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Method v2.0: one canonical six-phase sequence, DNA after scenarios - #2

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oddtitoreal merged 3 commits into
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revisione-metodo-2026-10
Oct 21, 2026
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oddtitoreal merged 3 commits into
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revisione-metodo-2026-10

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Method v2.0: one canonical six-phase sequence in which the Speculative Brand DNA is produced by the Value Stress Test, after the scenarios.

What changes

  • docs/method-overview.md rewritten as v2.0. Framing moves to Phase 0; the Ethical DNA moves after Scenario Generation, into Phase 2. The v1.1 seven-phase sequence is retired, with a mapping table. Breaking change, hence 2.0.0.
  • Phase 0: threshold conditions with observable evidence (threshold sheet), written consensus on research question, time window, working rules.
  • Scenario construction rule: four generic futures (growth, collapse, discipline, transformation), closed megatrends shared by all, one scenario built against the strongest declared value, horizon 10–15 years.
  • Value Stress Test on the operational form of each value, judged by people who did not build the scenarios, with Causal Layered Analysis as second method.
  • Preferable future designed in Phase 4 with backcasting; decision criteria as hypotheses with expected effect and review date; Decision Log.
  • Drift classification in the Guardian (error, superseded model, learning); metrics with calculation procedures; time and compression declared.
  • README.md, docs/runtime-alignment.md, docs/ai-governance.md, docs/ethical-framework.md, docs/community-co-creation-protocol.md (who sets the values, speaking rules), docs/method-evolution.md, examples/session_example_01.md, CHANGELOG.md.

Related pull requests (suggested merge order)

  1. this PR and specula-bos (2.2.0)
  2. specula-framework (1.3.0) and specula-skill (0.3.0)
  3. specula-handbook (2026.11)

To confirm before merging

  • Citations added to public pages: Dator (2009) and Causal Layered Analysis.
  • Brand Alchemist synthesis rules and the Community Advocate as counterweight are proposals.

Generated by Claude Code

Restore the sequence shared with specula-bos and the specula-framework
schemas: Framing in Phase 0, Ethical DNA produced by the Value Stress Test
in Phase 2, after Scenario Generation. Add scenario construction rule,
external judgement of the stress test, preferable future with backcasting,
criteria as hypotheses with a Decision Log, drift classification, declared
time compression, metric procedures, and who-sets-the-values rules.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_015hqrE8mcDrvCiLz4UuT9nA
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_015hqrE8mcDrvCiLz4UuT9nA
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@oddtitoreal
oddtitoreal merged commit 1386016 into main Oct 21, 2026
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