Cross-border early warning from Ukrainian air-alert feeds. A base-rate gate a rule must clear before it may wake anyone: recall, a shared alarm budget, association. Two timing regimes, four alert states, unknown never printed as zero. No probability of impact, and no model fitted to a dozen events.
python osint telegram python3 provenance ukraine poland threat-modeling no-dependencies append-only early-warning-systems detection-engineering ukraine-invasion base-rate early-warning stdlib-only air-defence threat-modeling-osint
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Updated
Sep 4, 2026 - Python