Testing whether satellite-measured vegetation health (NDVI) predicts the Area Yield Index used by USDA's STAX and ARPI cotton insurance programs, and where the two disagree.
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Updated
Jul 17, 2026 - R
Testing whether satellite-measured vegetation health (NDVI) predicts the Area Yield Index used by USDA's STAX and ARPI cotton insurance programs, and where the two disagree.
Pricing and trigger-design engine for rainfall-index parametric crop insurance. Gamma/Weibull index fitting, Monte Carlo pricing with risk loadings, 40-year backtest, and quantified basis-risk analysis showing 33% of genuine loss years go uncompensated.
Un indice de production des prairies ouvert et reproductible, reconstruit depuis Sentinel-2, pour montrer ce qu'un indice de sécheresse peut voir ou non.
Climate Insurance Design and Performance Analysis
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