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Fix type annotations, RuntimeWarning, and half-life display issues - #9

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Fix type annotations, RuntimeWarning, and half-life display issues#9
studiofarzulla with Copilot wants to merge 4 commits into
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copilot/fix-package-issues

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Copilot AI commented Jan 12, 2026

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Resolves 4 issues identified in ISSUES.md: missing API documentation, mypy strict mode failures, RuntimeWarning on ill-conditioned Hessian, and incorrect half-life display for near-unit-root models.

Changes

Documentation

  • Added missing max_iter parameter to README API reference

Type Safety

  • Fixed 6 mypy strict mode errors by adding return type annotations, converting numpy scalars to Python floats, and using explicit type casts
  • Added Any, cast to typing imports

Ill-conditioned Hessian Handling

  • Check diagonal of covariance matrix for negative values before sqrt
  • Return NaN for standard errors when Hessian is ill-conditioned
  • Eliminates "invalid value encountered in sqrt" RuntimeWarning

Half-life Display

  • Added NEAR_UNIT_ROOT_THRESHOLD = 0.9999 constant
  • Display "∞ (near unit root)" when persistence ≥ threshold instead of negative/nonsensical values

Code Quality

  • Extracted magic numbers to named constants
  • Reduced duplication by reusing nan_dict in error paths

Example

# High persistence model now displays meaningful output
results = estimate_gjr_garch_x(returns)
print(results.summary())
# Before: Half-life of shocks: -692.8 periods
# After:  Half-life of shocks: ∞ (near unit root)
Original prompt

If you could tackle the issues within the package that would be great.


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Copilot AI and others added 3 commits January 12, 2026 08:42
- Issue 1: Added missing max_iter parameter to README API Reference
- Issue 2: Fixed all 6 mypy strict mode type annotation errors
- Issue 3: Handle ill-conditioned Hessian gracefully by checking for negative variances before sqrt
- Issue 4: Handle half-life display when persistence is near 1.0 with special case for near unit root

Co-authored-by: studiofarzulla <62593503+studiofarzulla@users.noreply.github.com>
- Extract magic number 0.9999 to named constant NEAR_UNIT_ROOT_THRESHOLD
- Remove unnecessary float() conversion in variance recursion loop
- Eliminate duplicate dictionary comprehensions by using a single nan_dict variable

Co-authored-by: studiofarzulla <62593503+studiofarzulla@users.noreply.github.com>
Explain mathematical rationale for the threshold value and its purpose in preventing numerically unstable half-life calculations

Co-authored-by: studiofarzulla <62593503+studiofarzulla@users.noreply.github.com>
Copilot AI changed the title [WIP] Fix issues within the package Fix type annotations, RuntimeWarning, and half-life display issues Jan 12, 2026
Copilot AI requested a review from studiofarzulla January 12, 2026 08:50
@studiofarzulla
studiofarzulla marked this pull request as ready for review February 5, 2026 23:33
Copilot AI review requested due to automatic review settings February 5, 2026 23:33

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Pull request overview

This pull request addresses four issues identified in ISSUES.md: missing API documentation, mypy strict mode type annotation failures, RuntimeWarning handling for ill-conditioned Hessian matrices, and incorrect half-life display for near-unit-root GARCH models.

Changes:

  • Added max_iter parameter to README API reference documentation
  • Fixed 6 mypy strict mode errors through type annotations and numpy-to-Python type conversions
  • Implemented graceful handling of ill-conditioned Hessian matrices to prevent RuntimeWarnings
  • Added threshold-based logic to display "∞ (near unit root)" for high-persistence models

Reviewed changes

Copilot reviewed 2 out of 2 changed files in this pull request and generated 1 comment.

File Description
README.md Added missing max_iter parameter to API documentation
src/gjr_garch_x/init.py Fixed type annotations, added ill-conditioned Hessian checks, implemented near-unit-root display logic, converted numpy scalars to Python floats, and improved code maintainability

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Comment on lines +53 to +56
# When persistence is >= 0.9999, the half-life calculation becomes numerically
# unstable and produces misleading negative values. This threshold prevents
# displaying nonsensical half-life values for processes very close to non-stationary.
NEAR_UNIT_ROOT_THRESHOLD = 0.9999

Copilot AI Feb 5, 2026

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The NEAR_UNIT_ROOT_THRESHOLD is set to 0.9999, but the stationarity constraint at line 391 enforces persistence < 0.999. This means the estimated persistence can never reach 0.9999, making the threshold at line 179 effectively unreachable. Either update the threshold to a value less than 0.999 (e.g., 0.99 or 0.995), or adjust the constraint to allow persistence up to 0.9999.

Suggested change
# When persistence is >= 0.9999, the half-life calculation becomes numerically
# unstable and produces misleading negative values. This threshold prevents
# displaying nonsensical half-life values for processes very close to non-stationary.
NEAR_UNIT_ROOT_THRESHOLD = 0.9999
# When persistence is above this threshold, the half-life calculation becomes
# numerically unstable and may produce misleading negative values. This threshold
# prevents displaying nonsensical half-life values for processes very close to
# non-stationary.
NEAR_UNIT_ROOT_THRESHOLD = 0.995

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3 participants