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sergioiglesias1/README.md

Hi, I'm Sergio Iglesias

Data Science | Machine Learning, Risk Modelling & Econometrics | BSc Economics

Economist turned data scientist, working where econometrics meets machine learning: predictive modelling, inference and segmentation on tabular data. I build models to support a decision, and document the reasoning as carefully as the result.

πŸ“ Based in Santander, Spain
🏒 Data Science Intern at Laborare SLP (legaltech startup)
πŸŽ“ BSc Economics, Universidad de Cantabria
🌍 Erasmus+ at Vrije Universiteit Brussel (Solvay)
πŸ“ˆ MSc in Data Science (UC-UIMP), 2026-2027 cohort, coordinated by IFCA (Institute of Physics of Cantabria), a centre of the CSIC (Spanish National Research Council)


πŸ› οΈ Tech Stack

Machine Learning & Modelling
scikit-learn TensorFlow Keras LightGBM statsmodels

Data & Analysis
Python R Pandas NumPy SciPy PostgreSQL

Visualisation & Delivery
Matplotlib Seaborn Streamlit Power BI

Tools
Git Jupyter VS Code LaTeX


πŸš€ Featured Projects

πŸ’³ Credit Risk & Finance

  • credit-risk-modeling, an end-to-end expected loss pipeline (PD Γ— LGD Γ— EAD) on a real loan portfolio. 95% recall on defaulters, 4.49% estimated portfolio loss, deployed as a Streamlit scoring app.
  • yield-curve-forecasting, Nelson-Siegel curve fitting on FRED and ECB data, with VAR/LSTM forecasts and a recession classifier validated through walk-forward backtesting. (collaborative, in progress)

πŸ“ˆ Macroeconometrics

  • gdp-convergence-analysis, cross-country test of Ξ²-convergence in real GDP per capita across 153 economies (World Bank, 2004–2024). A result of Ξ² = βˆ’0.354 (p < 0.001) implies a convergence speed of just 0.37%/yr, an order of magnitude below the canonical 2% benchmark. Οƒ-convergence confirms the distribution barely narrows. Conditional and convergence-club specifications, HC1 errors and influence diagnostics.

πŸ“Š Statistical Learning

  • bank-campaign-predictor, a term-deposit subscription model tuned for recall over raw accuracy: AUC 0.921, 90.7% recall on subscribers.
  • income-segmentation-r, PCA + K-Means on World Bank indicators for 169 economies. Three components explain 88.67% of variance and recover the official income classification, validated with Silhouette and Davies-Bouldin.

πŸ“ Econometrics

Bachelor's Thesis, "Technological Innovation in Spanish Manufacturing" (R). Balanced panel of 1,355 firms and 10,840 observations from PITEC (2008–2016). Fixed and random effects under one-way and two-way specifications, Hausman tests for estimator selection, lagged regressors and two dependent variables as a robustness check. Grade: 8.9/10.


πŸ“š Background

Data Science Intern | Laborare SLP | June 2026 - present

  • Analysed +100 survey responses by building an end-to-end Python pipeline: cleaning, Welch t-tests, Wilson intervals, willingness-to-pay curves
  • Deployed the survey landing page to production as the MVP's data-collection layer
  • Instrumented the validation funnel: 36 KPIs with formulas, sources and owners, UTM schema, survey variable design

BSc Economics | Universidad de Cantabria | 2021 - 2026

  • Relevant Classes: Econometrics, Statistics, Microeconomics, Macroeconomics, Multivariate Data Analysis

Erasmus+ Exchange | Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Solvay Business School | 2024 - 2025

  • Relevant Classes: IT Modelling, Programming, European Economics, Operations Management

Cantabria Tech Talent | Data Analysis programme (UNIR) | 2026

  • Awarded one of 68 places out of 768 applicants

Certifications

  • Deep Learning Specialization, DeepLearning.AI
  • Machine Learning Specialization, DeepLearning.AI
  • Financial Engineering and Risk Management, Coursera (by Columbia University)
  • Business Analytics with Excel, Coursera (by Johns Hopkins University)

πŸ” Areas of Interest

  • Machine Learning
  • Credit and model risk
  • Time series forecasting (ARIMA, VAR, LSTM)
  • Causal inference
  • Econometrics

πŸ“« Let's Connect

All projects are built from scratch and fully documented.

Pinned Loading

  1. yield-curve-forecasting yield-curve-forecasting Public

    Project predicting U.S. recessions from the Treasury yield curve and macro data. Compares probit, logistic regression, GBM, and LSTM via walk-forward backtesting, statistical significance tests, an…

    Python 1

  2. credit-risk-modeling credit-risk-modeling Public

    Python credit risk model on Lending Club data that estimates Expected Loss using PD, LGD and EAD. It models default probability and loss severity through classification and regression.

    Jupyter Notebook 2

  3. gdp-convergence-analysis gdp-convergence-analysis Public

    Cross-country Ξ²- and Οƒ-convergence analysis of real GDP per capita growth (2004–2024): 153 economies, emerging vs developed, convergence speeds and half-lives.

    Jupyter Notebook 1