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Terrorism target set generation

José Roberto Canivete Cuissa
Luigi Bassini
Dorian Quelle

Zurich, 14.05.2023

The aim of this project is to predict if a building with specific features is likely to be targeted in a terrorist attack by analyzing a selected list of buildings that have been attacked in the past. To achieve this, the proposed approach involves using the OpenAI GPT-3.5 model to rate the importance of certain features for a given building at a specific year in the past. The past events are exctracted from the Global Terrorism Database (https://www.kaggle.com/datasets/START-UMD/gtd). Then, a machine learning model will be trained using the generated dataset to make predictions.

This project has been proposed by Zurich Insurance as a challenge during the Academia Industry Modeling Week 2023 which took place at the University of Zurich.

Requirements

  • openai
  • numpy
  • pandas
  • matplotlib
  • shap
  • scikit-learn

To use the OpenAI API, the library needs a valid account's secret key. Visit https://platform.openai.com/ to create an account and generate a secret key.

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This project aims to predict the probability of a building being targeted in a terrorist attack by extracting relevant features using LLM.

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