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docs(design): approve Phase-26 designs — hypothesis map + structural counterfactual (H.0/CF.0)#169

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docs(design): approve Phase-26 designs — hypothesis map + structural counterfactual (H.0/CF.0)#169
bryanmatthewsimonson merged 2 commits into
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claude/phase-26-h0-design-docs

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Summary

Phase-26 slice H.0/CF.0: brings the two overnight design drafts from claude/epistack-plan-review-krh2wr onto main, flipped to approved with the maintainer's decisions recorded, plus the ROADMAP Phase-26 entry moved to in-progress.

  • docs/HYPOTHESIS_MAP_DESIGN.md — competing answers to a case's scope question with claim-level supports/undermines edges; computed on read, no new wire kind, no score/weight/probability anywhere (grep-tested), model never picks a winner. §8 decisions: local-derived v1 (wire kind stays deferred), neutral per-section edge counts OK but never cross-compared, verdict-state chips shown as context with an explicit "verdict does not weight the edge" note.
  • docs/COUNTERFACTUAL_DESIGN.md — "what depends on this claim" as counts-with-derivation over the case graph; the probabilistic Monte Carlo remains refused (constitution-amending, not planned). §7 decisions: inline per-claim expander; CF.1 ships both remove and negate.
  • docs/ROADMAP.md — Phase 26 entry updated: designs approved 2026-07-16, ladder H.1–H.4 then CF.1–CF.2, one PR per slice.

Docs-only; no code changes.

Next slices

H.1 (pure model + assembler + tests) follows in its own PR.

🤖 Generated with Claude Code

claude and others added 2 commits July 16, 2026 08:54
…or review)

Two design docs for the speculative half of the corpus-analysis
review — written for maintainer review, NOT to be built without
sign-off (this PR is left unmerged deliberately).

- HYPOTHESIS_MAP_DESIGN.md: competing answers to the case question
  with captured claims attached as supporting/undermining structural
  evidence, side by side, model never picks, NO score/probability
  (grep-tested). Promotes synthesis positions; local-derived first
  (dossier posture); LLM edge-suggestion via the codified
  gate/ground/filter/human-accept firewall. §6 names the three ways
  it could cross a red line and the guard for each.
- COUNTERFACTUAL_DESIGN.md: the maintainer's 'Monte Carlo' ask
  reframed to clear the firewall — a STRUCTURAL 'what depends on this
  claim' over the existing case graph, counts-with-derivation never
  probabilities (a measurement, not an estimation, per
  TRUTH_ADJUDICATION §1). Deterministic graph walk, no LLM, no wire
  kind. §4 refuses the probabilistic version as a separate,
  constitution-amending decision not taken.
- ROADMAP Phase 26 stub: safe wins shipped (T1.1-T1.3), these two
  design-only pending review.

Docs only — no code, no wire.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_017SZCGu5qxuF2QCuGyJrNcH
Flip HYPOTHESIS_MAP_DESIGN.md and COUNTERFACTUAL_DESIGN.md from draft
to approved (2026-07-16) and resolve their open-questions sections
with the maintainer's decisions:

- Hypothesis map stays local-derived (no wire kind; H.5 deferred).
- Neutral per-section edge counts are acceptable, never cross-compared
  (guard test required).
- Verdict-state chips render as context with an explicit "verdict does
  not weight the edge" note.
- Counterfactual: inline per-claim expander; CF.1 ships remove +
  negate; the probabilistic Monte Carlo refusal is confirmed.

ROADMAP Phase 26 moves from design-only to in-progress (H.1–H.4 then
CF.1–CF.2, one PR per slice).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Fable 5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
@bryanmatthewsimonson
bryanmatthewsimonson merged commit ced2f5e into main Jul 18, 2026
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bryanmatthewsimonson deleted the claude/phase-26-h0-design-docs branch July 18, 2026 05:09
bryanmatthewsimonson added a commit that referenced this pull request Jul 18, 2026
…counterfactual, corpus v2, forensic fixes, capture skill, PDF links)

Consolidation merge of the full 26/27 chain after the stacked-merge cascade closed the intermediates. Contains, in original commit order: 26 H.0-H.4 + CF.1/CF.2 (#169-#175) and 27 S.1-S.4, F.1-F.6, K.1-K.4, PDF links (#176-#183).
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