docs(research): pre-register DeepSeek paper evidence window - #189
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Freeze the sentiment-macro paper window at deploy T0 before any post-T0 P&L review. Pre-T0 observations and the three historical paper positions are excluded. Live promotion is prohibited. Co-Authored-By: Grok 4.6 <noreply@x.ai>
Terminal completeness requires frozen operational health, lock-only taxonomy, exact DeepSeek identity, and proven PaperExecutor provenance. Three pre-T0 positions cannot justify a performance denominator. Co-Authored-By: Grok 4.6 <noreply@x.ai>
Require exact nonnegative integer observation counters. Derive window-level answered% from the pre-T0 Clopper-Pearson 99% bound instead of the 50% emergency degradation threshold. Co-Authored-By: Grok 4.6 <noreply@x.ai>
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Summary
Pre-registers the sentiment-macro DeepSeek paper evidence window before any post-T0 P&L review.
T0 is the production container start
2026-08-31T15:26:51Zat deployed SHAbc6ea9e1c62b36c82d27b96f2fb2c28d99f2f316. Pre-T0 sentiment observations and the three historical paper positions are excluded. Live promotion from this window is prohibited.This PR does not change strategy rules, runtime provider behavior, configuration, sizing, thresholds, execution, Docker, Deploy, or migrations. It does not score the new window.
Type of Change
SHAs
origin/main):bc6ea9e1c62b36c82d27b96f2fb2c28d99f2f316aea6a175fbffde632fdc15228760049f47e6c280What changed and why
docs/evidence_portfolio/DEEPSEEK_PAPER_WINDOW_PREREG.mddocs/evidence_portfolio/README.mdresearch/paper_windows/deepseek-sentiment-macro-v1/lock.jsonscripts/paper_window_protocol.pytests/test_deepseek_paper_window_prereg.pylive_go=false.Frozen fields
deepseek, modeldeepseek-v4-pro2026-08-31T15:26:51Zsentiment-macro-bot/config/settings.sentiment_macro.yamlmin_n_observations=140from pre-T0 12.541 obs/daypromote: false,live_go: falseTesting
tests/test_deepseek_paper_window_prereg.py(16 passed)ruff check .ruff format --checkon Python filesgit diff --check origin/main...HEADNotes
No production mutation. No extra provider calls. Post-T0 winners/losses/P&L were not inspected before freeze.