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Research/v13 confirmatory - #43
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…) + failure classification Preregistered confirmatory study on independent seeds 21800-21807 (8 x 100 per cell, PYTHONHASHSEED=0), separate from pilot artifacts. Primary L endpoints (candidate - baseline, paired bootstrap 95% CI): - stable exact-D1 13-12: +36.88 pp [13.13, 69.38] (excludes 0) - novel exact-D1 13-12: +17.88 pp [6.38, 31.63] (excludes 0) - rolling-generator ablation 13-gen equals the deltas exactly; -notp 0 - per-seed nonzero: stable 6/8, novel 6/8 (not single-seed driven) - success: stable +0.50 [0.13, 0.88]; novel -9.62 [-24.13, 0.25] (no measured novel success effect; discovery != success) Preservation at 8x100 (13 == 12 exactly on every seed): F noisy_obs, H stable, R stable; exploratory R -nodc recovery 80.38 vs 68.38. Mission C failure classification (8x40 instrumented): rolling generation eliminates C2 (candidate not generated: 27.5%/15.6% in v12 -> 0.0% in v13); remaining failures are C1 (behavioral floor) and C3 (verification latency); zero C4/C5. Mission D: H/R regressions are execution-limited, not learning-limited (>=96% episodes learn the correct rule) and unchanged by v0.13. Artifacts: results/v13_confirmatory/ (raw per-seed JSON, JSONL checkpoints, diagnostics, analyses, rendered tables). 11 stamped Quality v0.5 manifests; all verify with 0 FAIL. Smoke/profiling used throwaway seeds 90000+; confirmatory seeds untouched by tuning. Tests: full python suite 224/224 (214 legacy + 10 new tool tests); audit suite 170/170; artifact gate PASS. See docs/RESEARCH_V13_CONFIRMATORY.md (protocol + results).
…it-blob hashes) Manifests now record commit_sha=e4972b6 and canonical git-blob hashes of the committed artifacts (verifier: 0 FAIL on all 11 manifests; per-seed means/CI deltas recompute exactly from raw vectors).
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