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WEALTH — Capital Intelligence Engine

AI-driven capital health, market intelligence, and financial decision engine.

WEALTH transforms capital flows, markets, incentives, and risk into auditable evidence. It answers the questions that matter before money moves: Where is institutional failure beginning? What is the downside nobody is pricing? Who benefits? Who pays?

WEALTH computes. arifOS judges. Humans decide.

Licensed under AGPL-3.0.

The Problem

Organizations rarely fail because they lack spreadsheets. They fail because:

  • Risk accumulates unseen until it's too late
  • Incentive structures drift away from stated goals
  • Governance erodes silently over quarters and years
  • Reporting diverges from reality without anyone noticing

Traditional financial tools show you prices and charts. They don't show you the structural rot underneath.

Architecture

┌──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                    WEALTH Capital Engine                      │
│  Port :18082  ·  MCP Interface  ·  11 Tools  ·  18 Resources│
├──────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│                                                              │
│  ┌──────────────┐  ┌──────────────┐  ┌────────────────────┐ │
│  │  Capital     │  │   Market     │  │   Entropy          │ │
│  │ Diagnostics  │  │   Pulse      │  │   Modeling         │ │
│  └──────┬───────┘  └──────┬───────┘  └─────────┬──────────┘ │
│         │                 │                     │           │
│  ┌──────▼─────────────────▼─────────────────────▼──────────┐│
│  │              WEALTH Compute Core                         ││
│  │  NPV · IRR · EMV · Scenario Stress · Monte Carlo        ││
│  └──────────────────────────┬──────────────────────────────┘│
│                             │                               │
│  ┌──────────────┐  ┌───────▼───────┐  ┌──────────────────┐ │
│  │  Entry Plan  │  │   Backtest    │  │  Ledger & Runway │ │
│  │  (S/R aware) │  │   Engine      │  │  Tracking        │ │
│  └──────────────┘  └───────────────┘  └──────────────────┘ │
│                                                              │
└──────────────────────────┬───────────────────────────────────┘
                           │ MCP
                    ┌──────▼──────┐
                    │  arifOS      │
                    │  :8088 MCP   │
                    └─────────────┘

Quick Start

Docker

git clone https://github.com/arif-fazil/WEALTH.git
cd WEALTH
docker compose up -d

# Verify
curl http://localhost:18082/health
curl http://localhost:18082/tools/list

Local Development

cd WEALTH
pip install -e .
python -m wealth.server --port 18082

Capabilities

Capital Diagnostics

  • NPV, IRR, EMV computation with scenario stress
  • Capital health monitoring across portfolios
  • Concentration risk identification
  • Downside exposure analysis

Market Intelligence

  • Real-time FX, commodity, and stock indicators
  • Technical analysis: EMA, SMA, RSI, MACD, Bollinger Bands, PSAR, ATR, ADX
  • XAUUSD (gold) market analysis
  • Commodity price monitoring and alerts

Entropy Modeling

  • Institutional decay detection
  • Narrative vs. reality divergence scoring
  • Incentive structure mapping
  • Governance capacity assessment

Entry Planning

  • Support/resistance-aware entry, stop, and target computation
  • Strategy backtesting with enhanced metrics
  • Risk/reward ratio analysis
  • Monte Carlo simulation

Ledger & Runway

  • Immutable capital ledger tracking
  • Financial runway analysis
  • Receipt chain persistence (VAULT999)
  • Historical collapse replay (Enron, 1MDB, Wirecard, FTX, LTCM)

Historical Collapse Replay

WEALTH can replay historical financial collapses using only information available before the collapse:

Case Pre-collapse Signal Detected
Enron (2000) Reality ↔ Narrative divergence
1MDB (2014) Power ↔ Incentive capture
Wirecard Reporting ↔ Reality divergence
FTX Custody ↔ Governance coupling
LTCM Leverage ↔ Liquidity concentration

The objective is not hindsight. It is measuring whether risk signals existed before reality arrived.

Use Cases

Industry Application Value
Sovereign Wealth Funds Investment evaluation Long-term consequence visibility
Oil & Gas Capital project assessment NPV/IRR with scenario stress
Asset Management Portfolio health Real-time diagnostics + entropy
Trading Algorithmic strategy Backtesting + entry planning (XAUUSD)
Policy Analysis Institutional health Decay detection + governance scoring

MCP Interface

WEALTH exposes 11 canonical tools via MCP (Model Context Protocol):

capital_backtest · capital_diagnose · capital_entropy · capital_entry_plan · capital_health · capital_indicator · capital_ledger · capital_market · capital_primitive · capital_registry · wealth_judge_handoff

Full tool list: curl http://localhost:18082/tools/list

Federation Role

WEALTH is the capital intelligence organ in the arifOS federation. It computes financial evidence — it never allocates, trades, or decides.

GEOX = truth about reality · WEALTH = truth about consequences · WELL = truth about readiness

ARIF vetoes. arifOS judges. AAA routes. A-FORGE executes.

Sister Repos:

  • arifOS — Authority Plane — constitutional judgment
  • AAA — Attention Plane — reality compression + routing
  • A-FORGE — Execution Plane — governed mutation
  • GEOX — Earth Intelligence
  • WELL — Readiness Intelligence
  • arifFlow — Witness Plane — metabolism, FQ monitoring

Documentation

License

GNU Affero General Public License v3.0 (AGPL-3.0)

This program is free software: you can redistribute it and/or modify it under the terms of the GNU AGPL v3.0. See LICENSE for the full text.

DITEMPA BUKAN DIBERI — Forged, Not Given.

Built by Muhammad Arif bin Fazil.