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<!DOCTYPE html PUBLIC "-//W3C//DTD XHTML 1.0 Transitional//EN" "http://www.w3.org/TR/xhtml1/DTD/xhtml1-transitional.dtd">
<html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<head>
<meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=UTF-8" />
<title>Aaron Clauset</title>
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window.dataLayer = window.dataLayer || [];
function gtag(){dataLayer.push(arguments);}
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gtag('config', 'G-T327YEKYTN');
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<body>
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<div id="center">
<div class="content">
<h2>Focus Areas</h2>
<p> My group's research focuses on the development of novel methods for
analyzing and modeling complex systems of all kinds and for extracting
scientifically valuable insights from complex data.
We are particularly interested in notions of collective dynamics, the
emergence of patterns in random processes, population dynamics, and
statistical forecasting. These efforts are fundamentally non-discplinary,
sitting at the intersection of Computer Science, Physics, and Statistics, and
with broad applications across the sciences.
</p>
<p><i>Network Science</i><br/>
The quantitative study of networks has emerged as a fundamental tool for the
study of complex systems, in part for its ability to provide a rigorous
foundation to the study of biological and social complexity. Our
work here focuses on developing novel methods and models of large-scale
structure (regularities like modules, communities, and hierarchies) that can
be fitted directly to empirical network data, that account for auxiliary
information including vertex and edge annotations and temporal dynamics, and
that make precise predictions about missing information, anomalies, or future
evolution.
</p>
<p><i>Computational Social Science</i><br/>
The computer revolution is generating a revolution in the social sciences,
via both the collection of massive data sets on social behavior and newfound
ability to test complex theories with empirical data. These changes are
allowing us to examine old questions with new data and models and to pose
fundamentally new questions about large-scale patterns in social phenomena.
My group's work here focuses on the 'science of science', and in particular
the drivers of different kinds of inequalities in the academic workforce and
how they shape who makes what scientific discoveries. I also study global
patterns in terrorism and the dynamics of warfare and competition, as well
as the way networks provide a way to bridge the micro-dynamics of individuals
and the macro-patterns of populations.
</p>
<p><i>Computational Systems Biology</i><br/>
Fundamental questions in biology increasingly demand answers that consider the
interactions of different components or subsystems and the impact of macroevolutionary
forces on the large-scale and long-term dynamics of the biosphere. This work
spans all scales, including work with oncologists, paleontologists, epidemiologists,
geneticists, and microbial ecologists. Currently, my group's work aims to understand
the complex dynamics of ovarian cancer and the statistical patterns of genomic
structural variants. In the past, my group has developed predictive theories of
the macroevolution of species body sizes, microbial ecologies, and malaria.
</p>
<br/>
<ol>
<h2>Manuscripts under review</h2>
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.22189">How large should academic departments be?</a> <br/>
J. Bachmann, L. Espin-Noboa, F. Karimi, D.B. Larremore, G. Iniguez, and A. Clauset <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.04.30.722009v1.full">Cross-assay RNA modeling reveals cancer biomarkers. </a> <br/>
H.A. Townsend, K.R. Jordan, R.J. Wolsky, L.B. Van Kleunen, N. Davidson, K. Behbakht, M. Sikora, R. Dowell, A. Clauset, and B.G. Bitler <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.04.22.719856v1">On the predictability of progression-free survival in ovarian cancer from NanoString gene expression data.</a> <br/>
L.B. Van Kleunen, G. Bowman, S.E. Stockman, H.A. Townsend, L. Barrios, K.R. Jordan, R.J. Wolsky, K. Behbakht, M.J. Sikora, J.K. Richer, J. Hu, B.G. Bitler, A. Clauset <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li>
Undergraduate origins of U.S. professors: A cross-field comparative analysis. <br/>
K. Spoon, A. Clauset, D.B. Larremore, and E. Lee <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.00807">Consensus and fragmentation in academic publication preferences</a> <br/>
I. Van Buskirk, M. Hohmann, E. Landgren, J. Ugander, A. Clauset, and D.B. Larremore <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.20973">Scaling laws in empirical networks</a> <br/>
U. Dutta, A. Ray, and A. Clauset <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li><a href="https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.64898/2026.01.08.698368v1">Understanding and addressing under-sampling in plant-pollinator networks using stacked models for missing link prediction</a> <br/>
L. Van Kleunen, N. de Manincor, L.E. Dee, A. Clauset, S. Roberts, and F. Massol <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li>Researchers play distinct epistemic roles in constructing ecological knowledge <br/>
K.L. Wootton, J.A. Dunne, M. Galesic, A. Clauset, and D.B. Larremore <br/>
Submitted (2026) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=6108566">Women’s research in STEM has greater impact on public policy</a> <br/>
W. Li, H. Zheng, X. Zhang, and A. Clauset <br/>
Submitted (2025) </p>
<p><li><a href="https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/g6xwk">Reasons for gendered U.S. faculty departures across disciplines and institutions</a> <br/>
K. Spoon, J. Mendy, M. Martinez, M. Galesic, D.B. Larremore, A. Clauset, and L.A. Rivera <br/>
Submitted (2025) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/2508.09069">Meta-learning optimizes predictions of missing links in real-world networks</a><br/>
B. Singh, L. Van Kleunen, and A. Clauset <br/>
Submitted (2025) [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dRYzXS5vyaI">video presentation</a>] </p>
<p><li><a href="https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.09.30.615931v1">STIX: Long-reads based accurate structural variation annotation at population scale</a> <br/>
X. Zheng, M. Chowdhury, B. Mirpochoev, A. Clauset, R.M. Layer, and F.J. Sedlazeck <br/>
Submitted (2024) </p>
</p>
<br/>
<!-- </ol> -->
<div class="pauselist">
<h2>Publications (Refereed)</h2>
</div>
<!-- <ol> -->
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2309.04414">Scientific productivity as a random walk</a> <br/>
S. Zhang, N. LaBerge, S.F. Way, D.B. Larremore, and A. Clauset <br/>
To appear, <i>npj Complexity</i> (2026) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aeb1705">Escalation dynamics and the severity of wars</a><br/>
A. Clauset, B.F. Walter, L.-E. Cederman, and K.S. Gleditsch <br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>12</b>(32), eaeb1705 (2026) [<a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/2503.03945">preprint version</a>] </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.aec0494">Editorial and peer review dynamics at elite general science journals </a><br/>
S. Zhang, N. LaBerge, Q. McElhiney, D.B. Larremore, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>12</b>(29), aec0494 (2026) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3805689.3806762">Edge interventions can mitigate demographic and prestige disparities in the Computer Science coauthorship network</a> <br/>
K. Barnes, M. Ellis-Einhorn, C. Chavez-Ruelas, N. Hasan, M. Fanous, B. D. Sullivan, S. Friedler, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>The 2026 ACM Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency (FAccT)</i>, pages 6403-6464 (2026) [<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.04435">preprint version</a>] </p>
<p><li><a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-026-68769-7">Predicting missing links in food webs using stacked models and species traits</a> <br/>
L. Van Kleunen, L.E. Dee, K.L. Wootton, F. Massol, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Nature Communications</i> <b>17</b>, 2298 (2026) [<a href="https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.11.22.624890v1">preprint version</a>] </p>
<p><li><a href="https://journals.plos.org/complexsystems/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcsy.0000094">Fast algorithms to improve fair information access in networks </a><br/>
D.R. Windham, C.J. Wendt, A. Crane, M.J. Warr, F. Shi, S. Friedler, B.D. Sullivan, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>PLOS Complex Systems</i> <b>3</b>(3), e0000094 (2026) [<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.03127">preprint version</a>]
<p><li><a href="https://www.ejgo.net/articles/10.22514/ejgo.2026.002">Ovarian cancer think tank: the use of integrated artificial intelligence and computational biology in ovarian cancer diagnosis and treatment</a> <br/>
E. Ehimiaghe, H. Dimmick, D. Spinosa, F. Ireigbe, M.D. Post, R.J. Wolsky, A. Clauset, S. Orsulic, S. Taylor, E.W.Y. Hsieh, N. Davidson, M. Wood, B.G. Bitler, B.R. Corr, S.R. Guntupalli, L.W. Brubaker, M.R. Moroney, and K. Behbakht, <br/>
<i>European Journal of Gynaecological Oncology</i> <b>47</b>(1), 15-20 (2026) </p>
<p><li><a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41567-025-03114-1">The undervaluing of elite women in physics</a> <br/>
W. Li, H. Zheng, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Nature Physics</i> <b>21</b>, 1864-1867 (2025) </p>
<p><li><a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s43588-025-00795-9">Gender and racial diversity socialization in science</a> <br/>
W. Li, H. Zheng, J.E. Brand, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Nature Computational Science</i> <b>5</b>, 481-491 (2025)
<p><li><a href="https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10869-024-09984-1">Supporting academic parents: The effects of dependent care policies on research productivity trends</a> <br/>
D. Van Egdom, M.M. Piszczek, C. Spitzmueller, P. Lindner, A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Journal of Business and Psychology</i> <b>40</b>, 731-752 (2025)
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.12120">Sampling random graphs with specified degree sequences</a> <br/>
U. Dutta, B.K. Fosdick, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics</i> <b>34</b>(3), 934-947 (2025) [<a href="https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10618600.2024.2418817">JCGS version</a>]
<p><li>
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/nws.2024.16">Recommendations for sharing network data and materials</a> </br>
Z.P. Neal, Z. Almquist, J. Bagrow, A. Clauset, J. Diesner, E. Lazega, J. Lovato, J. Moody, T.P. Peixoto, Z. Steinert-Threlkeld, and A.S. Teixeira </br>
<i>Network Science</i> <b>12</b>(4), 404-417 (2024)
<p><li><a href="https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.01.26.577350v1">The spatial structure of the tumor immune microenvironment can explain and predict patient response in high-grade serous carcinoma</a> <br/>
L. Van Kleunen, M. Ahmadian, M.D. Post, R. Wolsky, C. Rickert, K. Jordan, J. Hu, J.K. Richer, K. Behbakht, M.J. Sikora, B.G. Bitler, A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Cancer Immunology Research</i> <b>12</b>(11), 1492-1507 (2024) [<a href="https://doi.org/10.1158/2326-6066.CIR-23-1109">CIR version</a>]
<p><li><a href="https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0306883">Link prediction accuracy on real-world networks under non-uniform missing edge patterns</a> <br/>
X. He, A. Ghasemian, E. Lee, A. Schwarze, A. Clauset, and P.J. Mucha <br/>
<i>PLoS ONE</i> <b>19</b>(7), e0306883 (2024) [<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2401.15140">preprint</a>]
<p><li>
<a href="https://elifesciences.org/articles/93755">Gendered hiring and attrition on the path to parity for academic faculty</a> <br/>
N. LaBerge, K.H. Wapman, A. Clauset, and D.B. Larremore <br/>
<i>eLife</i> <b>13</b>, RP93755 (2024)
<p><li>
<a href="https://journals.lww.com/greenjournal/abstract/9900/early_ovarian_cancer_detection_in_the_age_of.997.aspx">Early ovarian cancer detection in the age of fallopian tube precursors: A systematic review</a> <br/>
A. Greenwood, E.R. Woodruff, C. Nguyen, C. Piper, A. Clauset, L.W. Brubaker, K. Behbakht, B.G. Bitler <br/>
<i>Obstetrics & Gynecology</i> <b>143</b>(3), e63-e77 (2024)
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-45598-0">Sequential stacking link prediction algorithms for temporal networks</a> <br/>
X. He, A. Ghasemian, E. Lee, A. Clauset, and P.J. Mucha <br/>
<i>Nature Communications</i> <b>15</b>, 1364 (2024)
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.adi2205">Gender and retention patterns among U.S. faculty</a> <br/>
K. Spoon, N. Laberge, K.H. Wapman, S. Zhang, A.C. Morgan, M. Galesic, B.K. Fosdick, D.B. Larremore, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>9</b>(42), eadi2205 (2023) [<a href="https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/u26ze/">preprint version</a>] [<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/kspoon.bsky.social/post/3kc7cnhw6do2o">Bluesky thread</a>] [<a href="https://teaforteaching.com/320-gender-differences-in-faculty-retention/">podcast</a>] [<a href="https://vimeo.com/showcase/11393454/video/946245689">video presentation</a>]
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2208.01714">An open-source cultural consensus approach to name-based gender classification</a> <br/>
I. Van Buskirk, A. Clauset, and D.B. Larremore <br/>
<i>Proc. of the 17th International AAAI Conference on the Web and Social Media</i> (ICWSM) <b>17</b>, 866-877 (2023)
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2201.00254">Subfield prestige and gender inequality in computer science</a> <br/>
N. LaBerge, K.H. Wapman, A.C. Morgan, S. Zhang, D.B. Larremore, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Communications of the ACM</i> <b>65</b>(12), 46-55 (CACM) (2022) [<a href="https://dl.acm.org/doi/10.1145/3535510">CACM version</a>] [<a href="https://twitter.com/laberge_nick/status/1597267279313412096">twitterthread</a>] </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/sciadv.abq7056">Labor advantages drive the greater productivity of faculty at elite universities</a> <br/>
S. Zhang, K.H. Wapman, D.B. Larremore, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>8</b>(46), eabq7056 (2022) [<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2204.05989">preprint version</a>] [<a href="https://twitter.com/_szhang/status/1593712551660990465">twitterthread</a>] [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ILliYjEcwxg">video presentation</a>] </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-05222-x">Quantifying hierarchy and dynamics in US faculty hiring and retention</a> <br/>
K.H. Wapman, S. Zhang, A. Clauset, and D.B. Larremore <br/>
<i>Nature</i> <b>610</b>, 120-127 (2022) [<a href="https://twitter.com/hneutr/status/1572632655421919232">twitterthread</a>] </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/6wjxc_v1">Socioeconomic roots of academic faculty</a> <br/>
A.C. Morgan, N. LaBerge, D.B. Larremore, M. Galesic, J.E. Brand, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Nature Human Behavior</i> <b>6</b>, 1625-1633 (2022) [<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-022-01425-4">Nat. Hum. Behav. version</a>] [<a href="https://twitter.com/aaronclauset/status/1375116154553896965">twitterthread</a>] </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-32604-6">Untangling the network effects of productivity and prominence among scientists</a> <br/>
W. Li, S. Zhang, Z. Zheng, S.J. Cranmer and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Nature Communications</i> <b>13</b>, 4907 (2022) [<a href="https://twitter.com/aaronclauset/status/1561758438564429824">twitterthread</a>] [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kPXlAOwcGT8">video</a>] <!-- [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gyhZ645Vh14">video</a>] -->
</p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2105.02949">The dynamics of faculty hiring networks</a> <br/>
E. Lee, A. Clauset, and D.B. Larremore <br/>
<i>EPJ Data Science</i> <b>10</b>, 48 (2021) [<a href="https://epjdatascience.springeropen.com/articles/10.1140/epjds/s13688-021-00303-9">EPJ Data Science version</a>] [<a href="https://mobile.twitter.com/__Eun_wsarm/status/1438903143526326276">twitterthread</a>]</p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2011.12843">Examining the consumption of radical content on YouTube</a> <br/>
H. Hosseinmardi, A. Ghasemian, A. Clauset, M. Mobiush, D.M. Rothschild, and D.J. Watts <br/>
<i>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA</i> <b>118</b>(32), e2101967118 (2021) [<a href="https://www.pnas.org/content/118/32/e2101967118">PNAS version</a>]</p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://bmcbioinformatics.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12859-021-04075-x">Denoising large-scale biological data using network filters</a> <br/>
A.J. Kavran and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>BMC Bioinformatics</i> <b>22</b>, article 157 (2021) [<a href="https://github.com/andykavran/Network_Filters">code and data</a>]</p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/9/eabd1996">The unequal impact of parenthood in academia</a> <br/>
A.C. Morgan, S.F. Way, M.J.D. Hoefer, D.B. Larremore, M. Galesic, and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>7</b>(9), eabd1996 (2021) [<a href="https://aaronclauset.github.io/slides/Clauset_2021_UnequalImpactOfParenthoodInAcademia_MothersInScience.pdf">slides</a>] [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TmHhi_ZXNBw">video presentation</a>]<br/>
[Paper of the Year Award, 2021, <a href="https://www.issi-society.org">Internat. Soc. Sciento. and Infor. (ISSI)</a>] [<a href="https://twitter.com/aaronclauset/status/1364685336131997696">twitterthread</a>] </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.14.041145">The capacity of the ovarian cancer tumor microenvironment to integrate inflammation signaling conveys a shorter disease-free interval</a> <br/>
K.R. Jordan, M.J. Sikora, J.E. Slansky, A. Minic, J.K. Richer, M.R. Moroney, J.C. Costello, A. Clauset, K. Behbakht, T.R. Kumar, and B.G. Bitler<br/>
<i>J. Clinical Research</i> <b>26</b>(23), 6362-6373 (2020) </p>
<p><li>
<a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1909.07578">Stacking models for nearly optimal link prediction in complex networks</a> <br/>
A. Ghasemian, H. Hosseinmardi, A. Galstyan, E.M. Airoldi, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA</i> <b>117</b>(38), 23393-23400 (2020) [<a href="https://github.com/Aghasemian/OptimalLinkPrediction">code and data</a>] [<a href="https://www.pnas.org/content/117/38/23393.short">PNAS version</a>] [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9KdBT2oxN-k">video presentation</a>] [<a href="https://aaronclauset.github.io/slides/Clauset_2021_NearOptimalLinkPrediction_UVM.pdf">slides</a>] [<a href="https://mobile.twitter.com/aaronclauset/status/1303382438291283968">twitterthread</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1817431116">Productivity, prominence, and the effects of academic environment</a> <br/>
S. F. Way, A. C. Morgan, D. B. Larremore, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA</i> <b>116</b>(22), 10729-10733 (2019) [<a href="https://twitter.com/aaronclauset/status/1122958846668918784">twitterthread</a>]
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.10582">Evaluating overfit and underfit in models of network community structure</a> <br/>
A. Ghasemian, H. Hosseinmardi, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>IEEE Trans. Knowledge and Data Engineering</i> <b>32</b>(9), 1722-1735 (2019) [<a href="https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8692626">TKDE version</a>]
</p>
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1904.04948">Environmental changes and the dynamics of musical identity</a><br/>
S. F. Way, S. Gil, I. Anderson, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Proc. of the 13th International AAAI Conference on the Web and Social Media</i> (ICWSM) <b>13</b>, 527-536 (2019)
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1801.03400">Scale-free networks are rare</a> <br/>
A. D. Broido and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Nature Communications</i> <b>10</b>, 1017 (2019)
[<a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-019-08746-5">Nature Communications version</a>] [<a href="https://github.com/adbroido/SFAnalysis">data and code</a>]
[<a href="https://mediasite.kellogg.northwestern.edu/Mediasite/Play/d0b5314ca1544614aae40836309631621d">video presentation</a>, at 41:00]
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1805.09966">Prestige drives epistemic inequality in the diffusion of scientific ideas</a> <br/>
A. C. Morgan, D. J. Economou, S. F. Way, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>EPJ Data Science</i> <b>7</b>, 40 (2018) [<a href="https://epjdatascience.springeropen.com/articles/10.1140/epjds/s13688-018-0166-4">EPJ Data Science version</a>]
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1804.02760">Automatically assembling a full census of an academic field</a> <br/>
A. C. Morgan, S. F. Way, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>PLOS ONE</i> <b>13</b>(8), e0202223 (2018) [<a href="https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0202223">PLoS version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/4/2/eaao3580">Trends and fluctuations in the severity of interstate wars</a> <br/>
A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>4</b>, eaao3580 (2018) [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2l2IkwCzLQo">video presentation at NASEM 2019</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="https://www.nature.com/nature/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nature24621.html">A communal catalogue reveals Earth’s multiscale microbial diversity</a>.</br>
L. R. Thompson, J. G. Sanders, [et al. including A. Clauset]</br>
<i>Nature</i> <b>551</b>, 457-463 (2017) </p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1612.08228">The misleading narrative of the canonical faculty productivity trajectory</a>.</br>
S. F. Way, A. C. Morgan, A. Clauset, and D. B. Larremore</br>
<i>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA</i> <b>114</b>(44), E9216–E9223 (2017) [<a href="http://www.pnas.org/content/114/44/E9216.abstract">PNAS version</a>] <br/>[<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GYQcZgkjgTM">video presentation</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/070789">Using null models to infer microbial co-occurrence networks</a> <br/>
N. Connor, A. Barbaran and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>PLOS ONE</i> <b>12</b>(5), e0176751 (2017) [<a href="http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0176751">PLoS version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1608.05878">The ground truth about metadata and community detection in networks</a> <br/>
L. Peel, D. B. Larremore, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>3</b>(5), e1602548 (2017) [<a href="http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/3/5/e1602548">Science Advances version</a>]
[code <a href="http://danlarremore.com/metadata/">here</a> and <a href="https://piratepeel.github.io/code.html">here</a>] <br/> [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWFhxiRmHPo">video presentation</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1507.01266">Eigenvector-based centrality measures for temporal networks</a> <br/>
D. Taylor, S. A. Myers, A. Clauset, M. A. Porter, P. J. Mucha<br/>
<i>Multiscale Modeling and Simulation</i> <b>15</b>(1), 537-574 (2017)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1506.06179">Detectability thresholds and optimal algorithms for community structure in dynamic networks</a> <br/>
A. Ghasemian, P. Zhang, A. Clauset, C. Moore, and L. Peel<br/>
<i>Physical Review X</i> <b>6</b>, 031005 (2016)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1507.04001">Structure and inference in annotated networks</a> <br/>
M. E. J. Newman and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Nature Communications</i> <b>7</b>, 11863 (2016) [<a href="http://www.nature.com/ncomms/2016/160616/ncomms11863/abs/ncomms11863.html">NComms version</a>] [<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWFhxiRmHPo">video presentation</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1602.00795">Gender, productivity, and prestige in computer science faculty hiring networks</a> <br/>
S. F. Way, D. B. Larremore, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Proc. 2016 World Wide Web Conference</i> (WWW), 1169-1179 (2016)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1504.05872">Predicting sports scoring dynamics with restoration and anti-persistence</a> <br/>
L. Peel and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Proc. 2015 IEEE International Conference on Data Mining</i> (ICDM), 339-348 (2015)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.nature.com/ncomms/2015/151012/ncomms9368/abs/ncomms9368.html">Ape origins of human malaria virulence genes</a> <br/>
D. B. Larremore, S. A. Sundararaman, W. Liu, W. R. Proto, A. Clauset, D. E. Loy, S. Speede, P. M. Sharp, B. H. Hahn, J. C. Rayner, and C. O. Buckee<br/>
<i>Nature Communications</i> <b>6</b>, 8368 (2015)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1503.06772">Assembling thefacebook: Using heterogeneity to understand online social network assembly</a> <br/>
A. Z. Jacobs, S. F. Way, J. Ugander and A. Clauset
<br/>
<i>Proc. ACM Web Science Conference</i> (WebSci), article 18 (2015) [<a href="http://azjacobs.com/fb100/">data supplement</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1503.03509">Safe leads and lead changes in competitive team sports</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, M. Kogan and S. Redner<br/>
<i>Physical Review E</i> <b>91</b>, 062815 (2015)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://advances.sciencemag.org/content/1/1/e1400005">Systematic inequality and hierarchy in faculty hiring networks</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, S. Arbesman and D. B. Larremore<br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>1</b>(1), e1400005 (2015) (<a href="/facultyhiring/">code and data</a>) (<a href="http://danlarremore.com/faculty/">visualizations</a>)<br/>
<a href="http://www.slate.com/articles/life/education/2015/02/university_hiring_if_you_didn_t_get_your_ph_d_at_an_elite_university_good.single.html">Perspective piece</a> in <i>Slate</i>, with <a href="http://www.joelwarner.com">Joel Warner</a></p>
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1403.0989">Detecting change points in the large-scale structure of evolving networks</a> <br/>
L. Peel and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Proc. of the 29th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence</i> (AAAI), 2914-2920 (2015) (<a href="https://piratepeel.github.io/code.html">code</a>)</p>
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1404.0431">Learning latent block structure in weighted networks</a> <br/>
C. Aicher, A. Z. Jacobs and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Journal of Complex Networks</i> <b>3</b>(2), 221-248 (2015) (<a href="/wsbm/">code</a>) [<a href="http://comnet.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/full/cnu026?
ijkey=dwMn1kKZLa4ndfy&keytype=ref">JCN version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/c9b4/a046753e998713c3259a16429411fffcb1cf.pdf">Forecasting of the risk of extreme massacres in Syria</a> <br/>
A. Scharpf, G. Schneider, A. Noh and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>European Review of International Studies</i> <b>1</b>(2), 50-68 (2014)</p>
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1403.2933">Efficiently inferring community structure in bipartite networks</a> <br/>
D. B. Larremore, A. Clauset and A. Z. Jacobs<br/>
<i>Physical Review E</i> <b>90</b>, 012805 (2014) (<a href="http://danlarremore.com/bipartiteSBM/">code and data</a>) [<a href="https://journals.aps.org/pre/abstract/10.1103/PhysRevE.90.012805">PRE version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://biorxiv.org/content/early/2013/12/22/001545">Exploring community structure in biological networks with random graphs</a> <br/>
P. Sah, L. O. Singh, A. Clauset and S. Bansal<br/>
<i>BMC Bioinformatics</i> <b>14</b>, 220 (2014)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1310.4461">Scoring dynamics across professional team sports: tempo, balance and predictability</a> <br/>
S. Merritt and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>EPJ Data Science</i> <b>3</b>, 4 (2014) [<a href="http://www.epjdatascience.com/content/3/1/4">EPJ Data Science version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1208.3524">Power-law distributions in binned empirical data</a> <br/>
Y. Virkar and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Annals of Applied Statistics</i> <b>8</b>(1), 89 - 119 (2014) (<a href="/powerlaws/bins/">code</a>) [<a href="http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoas/1396966280">AoAS version</a>]
<p><li><a href="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ele.12221/abstract">Body mass evolution and diversification within horses (family Equidae)</a> <br/>
L. Shoemaker and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Ecology Letters</i> <b>17</b>(2), 211 - 220 (2014)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1209.0089">Estimating the historical and future probabilities of large terrorist events</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and R. Woodard <br/>
<i>Annals of Applied Statistics</i> <b>7</b>(4), 1838 - 1865 (2013) <br/>
(<a href="/rareevents/">code</a>; <a href="http://cires.colorado.edu/blogs/prometheus/2013/11/07/webcast-now-available-for-noontime-seminar-on-probabilities-of-terrorist-events/">video lecture</a>, November 2013) [<a href="http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoas/1387823295">AoAS version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1308.5254">A network approach to analyzing highly recombinant malaria parasite genes</a> <br/>
D. B. Larremore, A. Clauset, and C. O. Buckee <br/>
<i>PLOS Computational Biology</i> <b>9</b>(10), e1003268 (2013) [<a href="http://www.ploscompbiol.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pcbi.1003268">PLoS version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1304.1039">Environmental structure and competitive scoring advantages in team competitions</a> <br/>
S. Merritt and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Scientific Reports</i> <b>3</b>, Article number 3067 (2013) (<a href="http://www.santafe.edu/research/videos/play/?id=3e80ca14-9cc0-44ab-a62c-6ca8f24f9641">video presentation</a>, Spring 2013</a>) [<a href="http://www.nature.com/srep/2013/131029/srep03067/full/srep03067.html">SciRep version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="papers/SSNC_2013_DieBlutspurDesVetos_inGerman.pdf">The blood trail of the veto: A forecast of the risk of extreme massacres in Syria</a> <br/>
A. Scharpf, G. Schneider, A. Noh and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Zeitschrift fur Friedens - und Konfliktforschung</i> <b>2</b>(1), 6 - 31 (2013) [In German.]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1303.6372">Detecting friendship within dynamic online interaction networks</a> <br/>
S. Merritt, A. Z. Jacobs, W. Mason and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Proc. of the 7th International AAAI Conference on Weblogs and Social Media</i> (ICWSM), 380 - 389 (2013)
<p><li><a href="http://www.pnas.org/content/110/15/5785.abstract">Transformation of social networks in the late pre-Hispanic U.S. Southwest</a> <br/>
B. J. Mills, J. J. Clark, M. Peeples, W. R. Haas Jr., J. M. Roberts Jr., B. Hill, D. L. Huntley, L. Borck, R. L. Breiger, A. Clauset, and M. S. Shackley<br/>
<i>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA</i> <b>110</b>(15): 5785 - 5790 (2013)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1207.1478">How large should whales be?</a><br/>
A. Clauset <br/>
<i>PLOS ONE</i> <b>8</b>(1), e53967 (2013) [<a href="http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0053967">PLoS version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1203.2268">Friends FTW! Friendship, collaboration and competition in <i>Halo: Reach</i></a> <br/>
W. Mason and A. Clauset <br/><i>Proc. of the 2013 Conf. on Computer Supported Cooperative Work</i> (CSCW), 375 - 386 (2013)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0906.3287">The developmental dynamics of terrorist organizations</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and K. S. Gleditsch <br/>
<i>PLOS ONE</i> <b>7</b>(11): e48633 (2012) (<a href="http://videolectures.net/ccss09_clauset_dotg/">video lecture</a>, Summer 2009) [<a href="http://dx.plos.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0048633">PLoS version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0910.0165">The performance of modularity maximization in practical contexts</a> <br/>
B. H. Good, Y.-A. de Montjoye and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Physical Review E</i> <b>81</b>, 046106 (2010) (<a href="modularity/">code</a>; <a href="http://collegerama.tudelft.nl/mediasite/SilverlightPlayer/Default.aspx?peid=1fd04e036ecd4e7f98b3e978b7108bd31d">video presentation, Fall 2010</a>)</p>
<p><li><a href="/papers/CHYG_10_StrategicCalculusOfTerrorism_SubstitutionAndCompetitionInTheIsrealPalestineConflict_preprint.pdf">The strategic calculus of terrorism: Substitution and competition in the Israel-Palestine conflict</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, L. Heger, M. Young and K. S. Gleditsch <br/>
<i>Cooperation & Conflict</i> <b>45</b>(1), 6 - 33 (2010) [<a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0010836709347113">C & C version<a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0902.0724">A generalized aggregation-disintegration model for the frequency of <br/>severe terrorist attacks</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and F. W. Wiegel <br/><i>Journal of Conflict Resolution</i> <b>54</b>(1), 179 - 197 (2010)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0706.1062">Power-law distributions in empirical data</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, C. R. Shalizi and M. E. J. Newman <br/>
<i>SIAM Review</i> <b>51</b>(4), 661 - 703 (2009) (<a href="powerlaws/">code</a>)</p>
<p><li><a href="/papers/ACKM_08_TracerouteBias_JACM_draft.pdf">On the bias of traceroute sampling</a> <br/>
D. Achlioptas, A. Clauset, D. Kempe and C. Moore <br/>
<i>Journal of the ACM</i> <b>56</b>(4), article 21, 28 pages (2009) [<a href="http://doi.acm.org/10.1145/1538902.1538905">ACM version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0808.4014">Evolutionary model of species body mass diversification</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and S. Redner <br/>
<i>Physical Review Letters</i> <b>102</b>, 038103 (2009)</p>
<p><li> <a href="http://reality.media.mit.edu/pdfs/pervasive09.pdf">Methodologies for continuous cellular tower data analysis</a> <br/>
N. Eagle, J. Quinn and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Proc. 7th International Conference on Pervasive Computing</i> (Pervasive '09), 342 - 353. </p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0808.3433">How many species have mass <i>M</i>?</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, D. J. Schwab and S. Redner <br/>
<i>American Naturalist</i> <b>173</b>, 256 - 263 (2009)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.arcontrol.2008.09.001">Controlling across complex networks - Emerging links between networks and control</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, H. G. Tanner, C. T. Abdallah and R. H. Byrne <br/>
<i>Annual Reviews in Control</i> <b>32</b>, 183 - 192 (2008)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0251">The evolution and distribution of species body size</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and D. H. Erwin <br/>
<i>Science</i> <b>321</b>, 399 - 401 (2008) [<a href="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/321/5887/399?ijkey=9IcQbsf0CPldo&keytype=ref&siteid=sci ">free reprint via Science</a>]<br/>
Accompanying <a href="http://www.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/321/5895/1451">Perspectives</a> piece.</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0811.0484">Hierarchical structure and the prediction of missing links in networks</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, C. Moore and M. E. J. Newman <br/>
<i>Nature</i> <b>453</b>, 98 - 101 (2008) (<a href="hierarchy/">code</a>) [<a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v453/n7191/abs/nature06830.html">Nature version</a>]<br/>
Accompanying <a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v453/n7191/full/453047a.html">News & Views</a> piece </p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0606007">On the frequency of severe terrorist attacks</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, M. Young and K. S. Gledistch <br/>
<i>Journal of Conflict Resolution</i> <b>51</b>(1), 58 - 88 (2007) <br/>
(First pre-print version: <a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0502014">physics/0502014</a> in Feb. 2005) [<a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/27638538">JCR version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0510198">Scale invariance in road networks</a> <br/>
V. Kalapala, V. Sanwalani, A. Clauset and C. Moore <br/>
<i>Physical Review E</i> <b>73</b>, 026130 (2006)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.aapsj.org/articles/aapsj0703/aapsj070368/aapsj070368.pdf">Molecular modeling of mono- and bis-quaternary ammonium salts as ligands at the a4b2 nicotinic acetylcholine receptor subtype using nonlinear techniques</a> <br/>
J. T. Ayers, A. Clauset, J. D. Schmitt, L. P. Dwoskin and P. A. Crooks <br/>
<i>American Association of Pharmaceutical Scientists Journal</i> <b>7</b>(3), E678 - 85 (2005)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://pubs.acs.org/cgi-bin/abstract.cgi/jcisd8/2005/45/i06/abs/ci0500839.html">Supervised self-organizing maps in QSAR I: Robust behavior with underdetermined datasets</a> <br/>
Y. D. Xiao, A. Clauset, R. Harris, E. Bayram, P. Santago II, and J. D. Schmitt <br/>
<i>Journal of Chemical Information and Modeling</i> <b>45</b>(6), 1749 - 1758 (2005)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.arxiv.org/abs/physics/0503036">Finding local community structure in networks</a> <br/>
A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Physical Review E</i> <b>72</b>, 026132 (2005)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0503087">On the bias of traceroute sampling; or, Power-law degree distributions in regular graphs</a> <br/>
D. Achlioptas, A Clauset, D. Kempe and C. Moore <br/>
<i>Proc. 37th ACM Symposium on Theory of Computing</i> (STOC) (Baltimore, May 2005)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0410059">Accuracy and scaling phenomena in internet mapping</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and C. Moore <br/>
<i>Physical Review Letters</i> <b>94</b>, 018701 (2005)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0408187">Finding community structure in very large networks</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, M. E. J. Newman and C. Moore <br/>
<i>Physical Review E</i> <b>70</b>, 066111 (2004) (<a href="http://www.cs.unm.edu/~aaron/research/fastmodularity.htm">code</a>)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.springerlink.com/content/u241720335362229/">Genetic algorithms and self-organizing maps: A powerful combination for modeling complex QSAR and QSPR problems</a> <br/>
E. Bayram, P. Santago II, R. Harris, Y. D. Xiao, A. Clauset and J. D. Schmitt <br/>
<i>Journal of Computer-Aided Molecular Design</i> <b>18</b>(7-9), 483 - 493 (2004)</p>
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<br/>
<div class="pauselist">
<h2>Book Chapters</h2>
</div>
<!-- <ol> -->
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1901.05086">On the frequency and severity of interstate wars</a> <br/>
A. Clauset<br/>
In N. P. Gleditsch (Ed.), <i>Lewis F. Richardson -- His Intellectual Legacy and Influence in the Social Sciences</i>, Springer, Pioneers in Arts, Humanities, Science, Engineering, Practice (2020) [<a href="https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-030-31589-4">Springer entire book</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.oxfordhandbooks.com/view/10.1093/oxfordhb/9780198777854.001.0001/oxfordhb-9780198777854-e-16">Trends in conflict</a> <br/>
K. S. Gleditsch and A. Clauset<br/>
In A. Gheciu and W. C. Wohlforth (Eds.), <i>The Oxford Handbook of International Security</i> (pp 227-244) Oxford University Press (2018)</p>
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<br/>
<div class="pauselist">
<h2>Essays and Perspectives</h2>
<div>
<!-- <ol> -->
<p><li><a href="https://www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/committees/cswep/newsletters/2024-issue2">Gendered devaluation and retention among U.S. faculty</a><br/>
K. Spoon and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>CSWEP News</i> (2), 7-10 (2024) </p>
<p><li><a href="https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-02567-9">Abolish ageism in early-career research awards</a><br/>
F. Karimi and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Nature</i> <b>620</b>, 492 (2023) </p>
<p><li><a href="https://advances.sciencemag.org/content/7/23/eabi5904">Decoding the dynamic tumor microenvironment</a><br/>
A. Clauset, K. Behbakht and B. G. Bitler<br/>
<i>Science Advances</i> <b>7</b>(23), eabi5904 (2021) </p>
<p><li><a href="/papers/CLS_2017_LimitsOfPredictionInScientificDiscovery.pdf">Data-driven predictions in the science of science</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, D. B. Larremore, and R. Sinatra<br/>
<i>Science</i> <b>355</b>(6324), 477-480 (2017) [Invited] [<a href="http://science.sciencemag.org/content/355/6324/477">Science version</a>] [<a href=" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GYQcZgkjgTM">video 2018</a>] [<a href="slides/Clauset_2021_PredictionAndItsLimitsForScientificDiscovery_GoldLabSymp.pdf">slides</a> and <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yCTql0nWVWk">video</a> 2021]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/bit.25857/full">Synthesis aided design: The biological design-build-test engineering paradigm?</a><br/>
R. T. Gill, A. L. Halweg-Edwards, S. F. Way and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>Biotechnology and Bioengineering</i> <b>113</b>(1), 7-10 (2016) </p>
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<br/>
<div class="pauselist">
<h2>Workshop Papers</h2>
</div>
<!-- <ol> -->
<p><li>If the data do not speak for themselves, how ought we to speak for the data?<br/>
I. Van Buskirk, B. Zaharatos, A. Clauset, D. B. Larremore <br/>
<i>ICWSM</i> Workshop on Disrupt, Ally, Resist, Embrace (DARE): Action Items for Computational Social Scientists in a Changing World (D.A.R.E. Workshop 2023)</p>
<p><li>Highly accurate link prediction in networks using stacked generalization <br/>
A. Ghasemian, A. Galstyan, and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>WSDM</i> International Workshop on Heterogeneous Networks Analysis and Mining (HeteroNAM 2018)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1411.4070">A unified view of generative models for networks: models, methods, opportunities, and challenges</a> <br/>
A. Z. Jacobs and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>NIPS</i> Workshop on Networks: From Graphs to Rich Data (2014) </p>
<p><li>Change-point detection in temporal networks using hierarchical random graphs <br/>
L. Peel and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>KDD</i> Workshop on Outlier Detection & Description under Data Diversity (2014) (<a href="http://gdriv.es/letopeel/proximitynetwork.html">code</a>)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1306.4363">Social network dynamics in a massive online game: Network turnover, non-densification, and team engagement in Halo Reach</a> <br/>
S. Merritt and A. Clauset <br/>
Eleventh Workshop on Mining and Learning with Graphs (MLG) (2013)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1305.5782">Adapting the stochastic block model to edge-weighted networks</a> <br/>
C. Aicher, A. Z. Jacobs and A. Clauset<br/>
<i>ICML</i> Workshop on Structured Learning (SLG 2013) (<a href="/wsbm/">code</a>) </p>
<p><li> <a href="http://reality.media.mit.edu/pdfs/anticipatory.pdf">Location segmentation, inference and prediction for anticipatory computing</a> <br/>
N. Eagle, A. Clauset and J. Quinn <br/>
<i>Proc. AAAI Spring Symposium</i>, 20-25 (2009) </p>
<p><li> <a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1211.7343">Persistence and periodicity in a dynamic proximity network</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and N. Eagle <br/>
DIMACS Workshop on Computational Methods for Dynamic Interaction Networks (Piscataway), 2007 </p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0610051">Structural inference of hierarchies in networks</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, C. Moore and M. E. J. Newman <br/>
In E. M. Airoldi et al. (Eds.): <i>ICML 2006 Ws, Lecture Notes in Computer Science</i> <b>4503</b>, 1 - 13. Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg (2007)</p>
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<br/>
<div class="pauselist">
<h2>Popular Press</h2>
<div>
<!-- <ol> -->
<p><li><a href="http://www.chronicle.com/blogs/letters/more-inclusive-scholarship-begins-with-active-experimentation/">More inclusive scholarship begins with active experimentation</a> <br/>
D. B. Larremore, A. C. Morgan and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>The Chronicle of Higher Education</i>, published online 1 November (2017)</p>
<p><li><a href="https://www.csmonitor.com/Science/Complexity/2017/0424/Why-predicting-the-future-is-more-than-just-horseplay">Why predicting the future is more than just horseplay</a> <br/>
D. B. Larremore and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Christian Science Monitor</i>, published online 24 April (2017)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.slate.com/articles/life/education/2015/02/university_hiring_if_you_didn_t_get_your_ph_d_at_an_elite_university_good.single.html">The academy’s dirty secret</a> <br/>
J. Warner and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Slate</i>, published online 23 February (2015)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.psmag.com/navigation/politics-and-law/what-spread-same-sex-marriage-future-recreational-weed-93048/">What same-sex marriage means for the future of recreational weed</a> <br/>
J. Warner and A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Pacific Standard</i>, published online 24 October (2014)</p>
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<br/>
<div class="pauselist">
<h2>Preprints and Other Publications</h2>
<div>
<!-- <ol> -->
<p><li>
<a href="https://biorxiv.org/cgi/content/short/2021.08.12.455589">Optimizing polymerase chain reaction (PCR) using machine learning</a> <br/>
N. J. Cordaro, A. J. Kavran, M. Smallegan, M. Palacio, N. Lammer, T. S. Brant, V. DuMont, N. Doherty Garcia, S. Miller, T. Jourabchi, S. L. Sawyer, and A. Clauset <br/>
Preprint, bioRxiv DOI:10.1101/2021.08.12.455589 (2021)</p>
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1810.08988">Predicting the outcomes of policy diffusion from U.S. states to federal law</a> <br/>
N. Connor and A. Clauset<br/>
Preprint, arxiv:1810.08988 (2018)</p>
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1806.07005">Thermodynamics of the minimum description length on community detection</a> <br/>
J. I. Perotti, C. J. Tessone, A. Clauset and G. Caldarelli<br/>
Preprint, arxiv:1806.07005 (2018)</p>
<p><li><a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/1710.11304">Characterizing the structural diversity of complex networks across domains</a> <br/>
K. Ikehara and A. Clauset<br/>
Preprint, arxiv:1710.11304 (2017)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/092866">The evolution of primate body size: left-skewness, maximum size, and Cope's rule</a> <br/>
R. C. Tillquist, L. Shoemaker, K. B. Knight, and A. Clauset<br/>
Preprint, bioRxiv DOI:10.1101/092866 (2016)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/086710">Revisiting the effect of red on competition in humans</a> <br/>
L. Fortunato and A. Clauset<br/>
Preprint, bioRxiv DOI:10.1101/086710 (2016)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1505.04741">Untangling the roles of parasites in food webs with generative network models</a> <br/>
A. Z. Jacobs, J. A. Dunne, C. Moore, and A. Clauset<br/>
Preprint, arxiv:1505.04741 (2015)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1401.2317">Rejoinder of "Estimating the historical and future probabilities of large terrorist events"</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and R. Woodard<br/>
<i>Annals of Applied Statistics</i> <b>7</b>(4), 1895-1897 (2013) [<a href="http://projecteuclid.org/euclid.aoas/1387823302">AoAS version</a>]</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/1103.0949">Adapting to non-stationarity with growing expert ensembles</a> <br/>
C. R. Shalizi, A. Z. Jacobs, K. L. Klinkner and A. Clauset <br/>
Preprint, arXiv:1103.0949 (2011)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://dx.doi.org/10.2202/1554-8597.1213">A novel explanation of the power-Law form of the frequency of severe terrorist events: Reply to Saperstein</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, M. Young and K.S. Gleditsch <br/>
<i>Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy</i> <b>16</b>(1), Article 12 (2010)
<p><li><a href="http://blogs.nature.com/soapbox_science/2010/10/27/story-telling-statistics-and-other-grave-scientific-insults">Story-telling, statistics, and other grave scientific insults</a><br/>
A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Nature</i> Soapbox Science Blog, posted 27 October (2010)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v465/n7295/full/465139d.html">A theoretician ponders what physics has to offer ecology</a><br/>
A. Clauset <br/>
<i>Nature</i> <b>465</b>, 139 (2010)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://www.pnas.org/content/107/9/E31">Multi-dimensional edge inference: Response to comment by Dr. Adams</a> <br/>
N. Eagle, A. Clauset, A. Pentland and D. Lazer <br/>
<i>Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA</i> <b>107</b>(9), E31 (2010)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/0901.0530">Comment on Yu et al., 'High quality binary protein interaction map of the yeast interactome network.' Science 322, 104 (2008)</a> <br/>
A. Clauset <br/>
Preprint, arXiv:0901.0530 (2009)</p>
<p><li><a href="http://arxiv.org/abs/cond-mat/0309415">How do networks become navigable?</a> <br/>
A. Clauset and C. Moore <br/>
Preprint, arXiv:cond-mat/0309415 (2003)</p>
<p><li><a href="/papers/ClauGrigLimMill_SFI03_ChaosYouCanPlayIn.pdf">Chaos you can play in</a> <br/>
A. Clauset, N. Grigg, M. Lim and E. Miller <br/>
<i>Proc. 2003 Santa Fe Institute Complex Systems Summer School</i> (Santa Fe, July 2003)</p>
</ol>
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