Test whether public figure position disclosures, official public mentions, policy funding events, and short-to-medium-term US equity returns show a reproducible relationship.
Working hypothesis:
- Signals appear first in public holdings or trade disclosures.
- They surface next in official speeches, announcements, White House materials, or media leads.
- Market reaction shows up later in price action, earnings, government procurement, or analyst events.
See the Chinese plan for data sources, evaluation windows, and milestone checklist.