From 4e448fc987b87de13ee1b74c7cb2291602c6e9e7 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Pigbibi <20649888+Pigbibi@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Sun, 5 Apr 2026 20:36:54 +0800 Subject: [PATCH 1/3] add stock alpha and growth pullback research suites --- research/README_stock_alpha.md | 80 + ...cktest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py | 1197 + research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py | 1386 + ...backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py | 715 + ...st_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py | 770 + ...growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py | 404 + ...th_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py | 678 + ...test_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py | 690 + research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py | 1796 + .../backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py | 1142 + ...cktest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py | 683 + .../backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py | 1372 + ...owth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json | 37 + ...wth_pullback_systematic_v1_aggressive.json | 34 + ...growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json | 37 + .../qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json | 29 + .../qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json | 29 + ...buffer_branch_daily_overlay_comparison.csv | 97 + ...r_branch_daily_overlay_recommendation.json | 34 + ...ash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_summary.md | 67 + .../results/growth_pullback_ablations.csv | 385 + .../growth_pullback_branch_manifest.json | 59 + ...wth_pullback_crypto_theme_constituents.csv | 10 + .../growth_pullback_equity_comparison.csv | 37 + .../results/growth_pullback_hypotheses.md | 42 + .../growth_pullback_recommendation.json | 93 + .../growth_pullback_selection_score.csv | 49 + research/results/growth_pullback_summary.md | 79 + .../growth_pullback_v1_1_local_plateau.csv | 8 + .../growth_pullback_v1_1_occupancy.csv | 694 + .../growth_pullback_v1_1_recommendation.json | 29 + .../growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.csv | 57 + .../results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.md | 73 + ...h_pullback_v1_2_deployment_diagnostics.csv | 6 + .../growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.csv | 41 + .../growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.md | 82 + .../growth_pullback_v1_2_recommendation.json | 25 + ...h_pullback_v1_3_deployment_consistency.csv | 7 + .../growth_pullback_v1_3_recommendation.json | 20 + ...rowth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.csv | 7 + ...growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.md | 71 + ...h_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.csv | 17 + ...th_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.md | 92 + ...h_pullback_v1_4_deployment_consistency.csv | 17 + .../growth_pullback_v1_4_recommendation.json | 28 + ...rowth_pullback_v1_5_consistency_checks.csv | 10 + .../growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.csv | 6 + .../growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.md | 42 + .../growth_pullback_v1_5_recommendation.json | 15 + .../growth_pullback_workspace_mapping.json | 15 + .../results/stock_alpha_v1_1_attribution.csv | 5 + research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_oos.csv | 41 + research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_plateau.csv | 97 + .../stock_alpha_v1_1_recommendation.json | 31 + .../stock_alpha_v1_1_selection_score.csv | 217 + .../results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.csv | 892 + .../results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.md | 105 + .../stock_alpha_v1_1b_block_holdout.csv | 177 + .../stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.csv | 81 + .../stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.md | 118 + .../stock_alpha_v1_1b_monthly_holdout.csv | 105 + .../stock_alpha_v1_1b_recommendation.json | 37 + .../results/stock_alpha_v1_attribution.csv | 3 + research/results/stock_alpha_v1_costs.csv | 10 + ...k_alpha_v1_parameter_stability_summary.csv | 13 + .../stock_alpha_v1_promotion_gate.json | 10 + .../results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.csv | 271 + research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.md | 118 + .../results/stock_alpha_v1_rolling_alpha.csv | 117392 +++++++++++++++ .../results/stock_alpha_v1_sector_weights.csv | 23 + .../results/stock_alpha_v1_walkforward.csv | 94 + research/results/stock_strategy_ablations.csv | 223 + .../results/stock_strategy_comparison.csv | 65 + research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.md | 31 + .../results/stock_strategy_equity_curves.csv | 16593 ++ ...tock_strategy_rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq.csv | 10553 ++ .../stock_strategy_workspace_mapping.json | 14 + .../test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py | 133 + tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py | 161 + tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py | 172 + ...st_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py | 164 + ...growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py | 192 + ...th_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py | 165 + ...test_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py | 173 + tests/test_stock_alpha_suite.py | 128 + tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py | 209 + .../test_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py | 92 + tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py | 95 + 88 files changed, 162396 insertions(+) create mode 100644 research/README_stock_alpha.md create mode 100644 research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py create mode 100755 research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py create mode 100755 research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py create mode 100644 research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py create mode 100644 research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json create mode 100644 research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_aggressive.json create mode 100644 research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json create mode 100644 research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json create mode 100644 research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json create mode 100644 research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_comparison.csv create mode 100644 research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_summary.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_ablations.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_branch_manifest.json create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_crypto_theme_constituents.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_equity_comparison.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_hypotheses.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_selection_score.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_summary.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_local_plateau.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_occupancy.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_deployment_diagnostics.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_deployment_consistency.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_deployment_consistency.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_consistency_checks.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.csv create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.md create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/growth_pullback_workspace_mapping.json create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_attribution.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_oos.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_plateau.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_selection_score.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.md create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_block_holdout.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.md create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_monthly_holdout.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_recommendation.json create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_attribution.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_costs.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_parameter_stability_summary.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_promotion_gate.json create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.md create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_rolling_alpha.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_sector_weights.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_alpha_v1_walkforward.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_strategy_ablations.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.md create mode 100644 research/results/stock_strategy_equity_curves.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_strategy_rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq.csv create mode 100644 research/results/stock_strategy_workspace_mapping.json create mode 100644 tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py create mode 100644 tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py create mode 100644 tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py create mode 100644 tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py create mode 100644 tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py create mode 100644 tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py create mode 100644 tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py create mode 100644 tests/test_stock_alpha_suite.py create mode 100644 tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py create mode 100644 tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py create mode 100644 tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py diff --git a/research/README_stock_alpha.md b/research/README_stock_alpha.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..2cb4edd --- /dev/null +++ b/research/README_stock_alpha.md @@ -0,0 +1,80 @@ +# Stock alpha research suite + +这个研究脚本做三件事： + +1. 复用 `russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive` 的现有真实数据代理回测结果。 +2. 公平比较它和两个高弹性 ETF 策略： + - `hybrid_growth_income` + - `semiconductor_rotation_income` +3. 研究一个新的 price-only 进攻型个股候选：`qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1`。 + +## 代码位置 + +- 研究脚本：`research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py` +- 结果目录：`research/results/` +- defensive 基线代码：`../UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py` + +## 怎么跑 + +默认会自动发现最新的 `official_monthly_v2_alias` Russell 数据 run： + +```bash +PYTHONPATH=/Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src:/Users/lisiyi/Projects/QuantPlatformKit/src \ +/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/.venv/bin/python \ +research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py +``` + +也可以显式指定数据目录和结果目录： + +```bash +PYTHONPATH=/Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src:/Users/lisiyi/Projects/QuantPlatformKit/src \ +/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/.venv/bin/python \ +research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py \ + --data-run-dir /Users/lisiyi/Projects/_local_runs/r1000_multifactor_defensive_20260403_official_monthly_v2_alias \ + --results-dir /Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/results +``` + +## 输出文件 + +- `stock_strategy_comparison.csv` +- `stock_strategy_comparison.md` +- `stock_strategy_ablations.csv` +- `stock_strategy_equity_curves.csv` +- `stock_strategy_rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq.csv` +- `stock_strategy_workspace_mapping.json` + +## 当前数据假设 + +### Defensive / offensive 个股侧 + +- universe：IWB 历史持仓代理，不是 FTSE Russell 官方 PIT 成分 +- price：Yahoo / yfinance +- ticker 修复：沿用 `official_monthly_v2_alias` 的 identifier-based alias +- offensive 的 `resid_mom_6_1` / `resid_mom_12_1` 在 V1 里是 **相对 QQQ 的简单超额收益 proxy**，不是严格回归残差动量 +- group normalization 当前使用 **sector 内 z-score** + +### ETF 策略侧 + +- full strategy 按当前默认逻辑回测 +- normalized comparison 通过把账户规模放在 income layer 阈值下方，或者把阈值抬高，来关闭收入层 +- `SPYI` / `QQQI` / `BOXX` 的早期缺失历史，在收益矩阵里按 **上市前 0% 日收益** 处理，相当于近似现金腿；结果里需要把这点当 caveat 看 + +## 研究重点 + +- full strategy vs normalized strategy 两层比较 +- full sample / 2018-2021 / 2022 / 2023+ +- rolling 36m alpha vs QQQ +- offensive V1 最少一轮 ablation： + - universe + - 持仓数 / 单票上限 / 行业上限 + - regime + - 暴露档位 + +## 不在本次 V1 的内容 + +- 基本面质量因子 +- earnings revision / PEAD +- 机器学习 / LLM 交易信号 +- 付费数据源接入 + +这些都留到后续 V2 研究。 diff --git a/research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py b/research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..5f1853f --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py @@ -0,0 +1,1197 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +"""Research-only daily overlay backtest for cash_buffer_branch_default.""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import sys +from dataclasses import dataclass +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable, Mapping + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +DEFAULT_BASELINE_CONFIG_PATH = DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "growth_pullback_cash_buffer_branch_default.json" +DEFAULT_QQQ_PLUS_RESULTS_PATH = DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR / "stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.csv" +QQQ_PLUS_CURRENT_DEFAULT_SCENARIO = "v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +COST_LEVELS = (0.0, MAIN_COST_BPS, 10.0) +OOS_START = "2022-01-01" +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", OOS_START, None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +SAFE_HAVEN = suite.SAFE_HAVEN + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class BaselineSpec: + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig + risk_on_exposure: float + name: str + config_payload: dict[str, object] + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class PortfolioThrottleOverlayConfig: + name: str + levels: tuple[float, ...] + signal_family: str + recovery_days: int = 2 + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class NameTrimOverlayConfig: + name: str + trigger_family: str + trim_multiplier: float + confirm_days: int = 2 + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class OverlayStrategyConfig: + name: str + family: str + portfolio_overlay: PortfolioThrottleOverlayConfig | None = None + name_overlay: NameTrimOverlayConfig | None = None + note: str = "" + + +@dataclass +class OverlayArtifacts: + gross_returns: pd.Series + weights_history: pd.DataFrame + turnover_history: pd.Series + selection_history: pd.DataFrame + overlay_history: pd.DataFrame + rolling_alpha: pd.Series + trigger_stats: dict[str, float] + + +@dataclass +class NameTrimState: + multiplier: float = 1.0 + below_count: int = 0 + above_count: int = 0 + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument("--alias-data-run-dir", help="Prepared alias-fixed Russell data run dir") + parser.add_argument("--results-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--configs-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def load_baseline_spec(path: Path) -> BaselineSpec: + payload = json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) + config = gp.load_spec_config(path) + return BaselineSpec( + config=config, + risk_on_exposure=float(payload["exposures"]["risk_on"]), + name="cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline", + config_payload=payload, + ) + + +def build_baseline_candidate(spec: BaselineSpec) -> v12.GeometryCandidate: + return v12.make_candidate( + spec.name, + spec.config, + risk_on_exposure=spec.risk_on_exposure, + note="Monthly baseline from canonical cash_buffer_branch_default; month-start chooses names, non-rebalance days are no-op.", + ) + + +def build_portfolio_overlay_candidates() -> list[OverlayStrategyConfig]: + return [ + OverlayStrategyConfig( + name="daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state", + family="daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay", + portfolio_overlay=PortfolioThrottleOverlayConfig( + name="held_breadth_5state", + levels=(0.80, 0.60, 0.40, 0.20, 0.00), + signal_family="qqq_dma_plus_held_names_breadth", + recovery_days=2, + ), + note="Use QQQ 20/50DMA plus held-name breadth deterioration; no stock switching mid-month.", + ), + OverlayStrategyConfig( + name="daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state", + family="daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay", + portfolio_overlay=PortfolioThrottleOverlayConfig( + name="qqq_dma_mom_6state", + levels=(0.80, 0.70, 0.60, 0.40, 0.20, 0.00), + signal_family="qqq_dma_plus_short_term_momentum", + recovery_days=2, + ), + note="Use only QQQ short-term trend / momentum to throttle total stock exposure.", + ), + ] + + +def build_name_overlay_candidates() -> list[OverlayStrategyConfig]: + return [ + OverlayStrategyConfig( + name="daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2", + family="daily_name_level_trim_overlay", + name_overlay=NameTrimOverlayConfig( + name="20dma_half_confirm2", + trigger_family="close_below_20dma", + trim_multiplier=0.50, + confirm_days=2, + ), + note="Trim selected names by 50% after two closes below 20DMA; restore after two closes back above 20DMA.", + ), + OverlayStrategyConfig( + name="daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2", + family="daily_name_level_trim_overlay", + name_overlay=NameTrimOverlayConfig( + name="50dma_zero_confirm2", + trigger_family="close_below_50dma", + trim_multiplier=0.00, + confirm_days=2, + ), + note="Drop selected names to 0% after two closes below 50DMA; restore after two closes back above 50DMA.", + ), + ] + + +def build_combo_candidate( + portfolio_candidate: OverlayStrategyConfig, + name_candidate: OverlayStrategyConfig, +) -> OverlayStrategyConfig: + return OverlayStrategyConfig( + name=f"daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay__{portfolio_candidate.portfolio_overlay.name}__{name_candidate.name_overlay.name}", + family="daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay", + portfolio_overlay=portfolio_candidate.portfolio_overlay, + name_overlay=name_candidate.name_overlay, + note="Combine the best portfolio throttle candidate with the best name-level trim candidate; still no mid-month name additions.", + ) + + +def build_close_matrix(context: dict[str, object]) -> pd.DataFrame: + close_matrix = ( + context["merged_stock_prices"] + .pivot_table(index="as_of", columns="symbol", values="close", aggfunc="last") + .sort_index() + ) + close_matrix.index = pd.to_datetime(close_matrix.index).normalize() + close_matrix.columns = close_matrix.columns.astype(str).str.upper() + return close_matrix.reindex(context["master_index"]).ffill() + + +def build_signal_matrices(close_matrix: pd.DataFrame) -> dict[str, pd.DataFrame]: + return { + "close": close_matrix, + "ma20": close_matrix.rolling(20).mean(), + "ma50": close_matrix.rolling(50).mean(), + "mom5": close_matrix.pct_change(5), + } + + +def safe_series_mean(values: Iterable[float]) -> float: + clean = [float(v) for v in values if pd.notna(v)] + return float(np.mean(clean)) if clean else float("nan") + + +def true_spell_lengths(flags: pd.Series) -> list[int]: + if flags.empty: + return [] + flags = flags.fillna(False).astype(bool) + groups = (flags != flags.shift(fill_value=False)).cumsum() + lengths = [] + for _, group in flags.groupby(groups): + if bool(group.iloc[0]): + lengths.append(int(len(group))) + return lengths + + +def update_portfolio_state(current: float, desired: float, recovery_count: int, recovery_days: int) -> tuple[float, int, bool]: + desired = float(desired) + current = float(current) + if pd.isna(desired): + return current, 0, False + if desired < current - 1e-12: + return desired, 0, True + if desired > current + 1e-12: + recovery_count += 1 + if recovery_count >= recovery_days: + return desired, 0, True + return current, recovery_count, False + return current, 0, False + + +def compute_held_breadth( + date: pd.Timestamp, + symbols: list[str], + signal_matrices: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + window: str, +) -> float: + if not symbols: + return float("nan") + close_row = signal_matrices["close"].loc[date, symbols] + ma_row = signal_matrices[window].loc[date, symbols] + valid = close_row.notna() & ma_row.notna() + if not valid.any(): + return float("nan") + return float((close_row[valid] > ma_row[valid]).mean()) + + +def compute_portfolio_throttle_desired( + overlay: PortfolioThrottleOverlayConfig, + date: pd.Timestamp, + monthly_base_stock_weight: float, + monthly_names: list[str], + signal_matrices: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], +) -> tuple[float, dict[str, float | str | bool]]: + if monthly_base_stock_weight <= 0 or not monthly_names: + return 0.0, { + "signal_family": overlay.signal_family, + "degraded_signal": False, + "degraded_reason": "baseline_zero_stock_exposure", + "held_breadth_20": float("nan"), + "held_breadth_50": float("nan"), + "qqq_sma20_gap": float("nan"), + "qqq_sma50_gap": float("nan"), + "qqq_mom5": float("nan"), + } + + close = signal_matrices["close"] + ma20 = signal_matrices["ma20"] + ma50 = signal_matrices["ma50"] + mom5 = signal_matrices["mom5"] + qqq_close = close.at[date, "QQQ"] if "QQQ" in close.columns else float("nan") + qqq_ma20 = ma20.at[date, "QQQ"] if "QQQ" in ma20.columns else float("nan") + qqq_ma50 = ma50.at[date, "QQQ"] if "QQQ" in ma50.columns else float("nan") + qqq_mom5 = mom5.at[date, "QQQ"] if "QQQ" in mom5.columns else float("nan") + held_breadth_20 = compute_held_breadth(date, monthly_names, signal_matrices, "ma20") + held_breadth_50 = compute_held_breadth(date, monthly_names, signal_matrices, "ma50") + + degraded = any(pd.isna(v) for v in (qqq_close, qqq_ma20, qqq_ma50, qqq_mom5)) + degraded_reason = "" + if overlay.name == "held_breadth_5state" and pd.isna(held_breadth_20): + degraded = True + if overlay.name == "held_breadth_5state" and pd.isna(held_breadth_50): + degraded = True + + if degraded: + degraded_reason = "signal_warmup_or_missing" + desired = monthly_base_stock_weight + elif overlay.name == "held_breadth_5state": + qqq_sma20_gap = float(qqq_close / qqq_ma20 - 1.0) + qqq_sma50_gap = float(qqq_close / qqq_ma50 - 1.0) + if qqq_sma50_gap < 0.0 and held_breadth_50 <= 0.25: + desired = 0.0 + elif qqq_sma50_gap < 0.0 or held_breadth_50 <= 0.375: + desired = 0.20 + elif qqq_sma20_gap < 0.0 or held_breadth_20 <= 0.50: + desired = 0.40 + elif qqq_mom5 <= 0.0 or held_breadth_20 <= 0.625: + desired = 0.60 + else: + desired = 0.80 + elif overlay.name == "qqq_dma_mom_6state": + qqq_sma20_gap = float(qqq_close / qqq_ma20 - 1.0) + qqq_sma50_gap = float(qqq_close / qqq_ma50 - 1.0) + if qqq_sma50_gap < -0.01 and qqq_mom5 < -0.03: + desired = 0.0 + elif qqq_sma50_gap < 0.0 and qqq_mom5 < 0.0: + desired = 0.20 + elif qqq_sma50_gap < 0.0 or qqq_sma20_gap < -0.01: + desired = 0.40 + elif qqq_sma20_gap < 0.0: + desired = 0.60 + elif qqq_mom5 < 0.0: + desired = 0.70 + else: + desired = 0.80 + else: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported portfolio overlay: {overlay.name}") + + desired = min(float(monthly_base_stock_weight), float(desired)) + return desired, { + "signal_family": overlay.signal_family, + "degraded_signal": bool(degraded), + "degraded_reason": degraded_reason, + "held_breadth_20": float(held_breadth_20) if pd.notna(held_breadth_20) else float("nan"), + "held_breadth_50": float(held_breadth_50) if pd.notna(held_breadth_50) else float("nan"), + "qqq_sma20_gap": float(qqq_close / qqq_ma20 - 1.0) if pd.notna(qqq_close) and pd.notna(qqq_ma20) and qqq_ma20 else float("nan"), + "qqq_sma50_gap": float(qqq_close / qqq_ma50 - 1.0) if pd.notna(qqq_close) and pd.notna(qqq_ma50) and qqq_ma50 else float("nan"), + "qqq_mom5": float(qqq_mom5) if pd.notna(qqq_mom5) else float("nan"), + } + + +def update_name_trim_states( + overlay: NameTrimOverlayConfig, + date: pd.Timestamp, + monthly_names: list[str], + signal_matrices: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + states: Mapping[str, NameTrimState], +) -> tuple[dict[str, NameTrimState], dict[str, float], dict[str, object]]: + if not monthly_names: + return dict(states), {}, {"degraded_signal": False, "degraded_symbols": (), "trimmed_symbols": (), "state_changes": 0} + + next_states: dict[str, NameTrimState] = {symbol: NameTrimState(state.multiplier, state.below_count, state.above_count) for symbol, state in states.items()} + multipliers: dict[str, float] = {} + trimmed_symbols: list[str] = [] + degraded_symbols: list[str] = [] + state_changes = 0 + close = signal_matrices["close"] + ma20 = signal_matrices["ma20"] + ma50 = signal_matrices["ma50"] + + for symbol in monthly_names: + state = next_states.setdefault(symbol, NameTrimState()) + px = close.at[date, symbol] if symbol in close.columns else float("nan") + if overlay.trigger_family == "close_below_20dma": + trigger_ma = ma20.at[date, symbol] if symbol in ma20.columns else float("nan") + recover_ma = trigger_ma + elif overlay.trigger_family == "close_below_50dma": + trigger_ma = ma50.at[date, symbol] if symbol in ma50.columns else float("nan") + recover_ma = trigger_ma + else: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported name overlay trigger_family: {overlay.trigger_family}") + + if pd.isna(px) or pd.isna(trigger_ma) or pd.isna(recover_ma): + degraded_symbols.append(symbol) + multipliers[symbol] = float(state.multiplier) + if state.multiplier < 1.0: + trimmed_symbols.append(symbol) + continue + + if state.multiplier >= 0.999999: + if float(px) < float(trigger_ma): + state.below_count += 1 + else: + state.below_count = 0 + state.above_count = 0 + if state.below_count >= overlay.confirm_days: + state.multiplier = float(overlay.trim_multiplier) + state.below_count = 0 + state_changes += 1 + else: + if float(px) > float(recover_ma): + state.above_count += 1 + else: + state.above_count = 0 + state.below_count = 0 + if state.above_count >= overlay.confirm_days: + state.multiplier = 1.0 + state.above_count = 0 + state_changes += 1 + + multipliers[symbol] = float(state.multiplier) + if state.multiplier < 1.0: + trimmed_symbols.append(symbol) + + return next_states, multipliers, { + "degraded_signal": bool(degraded_symbols), + "degraded_symbols": tuple(sorted(degraded_symbols)), + "trimmed_symbols": tuple(sorted(trimmed_symbols)), + "state_changes": int(state_changes), + } + + +def build_effective_weights( + monthly_target_weights: Mapping[str, float], + monthly_names: list[str], + *, + monthly_base_stock_weight: float, + portfolio_target: float | None, + name_multipliers: Mapping[str, float] | None, +) -> dict[str, float]: + trimmed_weights = {symbol: float(monthly_target_weights.get(symbol, 0.0)) for symbol in monthly_names} + if name_multipliers: + for symbol in monthly_names: + trimmed_weights[symbol] = float(trimmed_weights[symbol] * float(name_multipliers.get(symbol, 1.0))) + + stock_target_limit = float(monthly_base_stock_weight if portfolio_target is None else min(monthly_base_stock_weight, portfolio_target)) + stock_weight_pre_scale = float(sum(trimmed_weights.values())) + if stock_weight_pre_scale > stock_target_limit + 1e-12 and stock_weight_pre_scale > 0: + scale = stock_target_limit / stock_weight_pre_scale + trimmed_weights = {symbol: float(weight * scale) for symbol, weight in trimmed_weights.items()} + final_stock_weight = float(sum(trimmed_weights.values())) + + weights = {symbol: weight for symbol, weight in trimmed_weights.items() if weight > 1e-12} + if final_stock_weight < 1.0: + weights[SAFE_HAVEN] = 1.0 - final_stock_weight + return weights + + +def run_overlay_backtest( + context: dict[str, object], + baseline_candidate: v12.GeometryCandidate, + overlay: OverlayStrategyConfig, +) -> OverlayArtifacts: + index = context["stock_returns_matrix"].index + rebalance_dates = set(context["raw_snapshots"]) + returns_matrix = context["stock_returns_matrix"] + close_matrix = build_close_matrix(context) + signal_matrices = build_signal_matrices(close_matrix) + + weights_history = pd.DataFrame(0.0, index=index, columns=sorted(set(returns_matrix.columns) | {SAFE_HAVEN})) + gross_returns = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name=overlay.name) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name="turnover") + selection_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + overlay_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + + current_effective_weights: dict[str, float] = {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + current_monthly_holdings: set[str] = set() + monthly_target_weights: dict[str, float] = {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + monthly_names: list[str] = [] + monthly_base_stock_weight = 0.0 + monthly_regime = "pre_start" + monthly_breadth = float("nan") + portfolio_state = 0.0 + portfolio_recovery_count = 0 + name_states: dict[str, NameTrimState] = {} + + for idx in range(len(index) - 1): + date = pd.Timestamp(index[idx]).normalize() + next_date = pd.Timestamp(index[idx + 1]).normalize() + + if date in rebalance_dates: + monthly_target_weights, metadata = v12.build_target_weights_with_override( + context["raw_snapshots"][date], + current_monthly_holdings, + baseline_candidate, + ) + monthly_names = [symbol for symbol, weight in monthly_target_weights.items() if symbol != SAFE_HAVEN and weight > 1e-12] + current_monthly_holdings = set(monthly_names) + monthly_base_stock_weight = float(sum(monthly_target_weights.get(symbol, 0.0) for symbol in monthly_names)) + monthly_regime = str(metadata.get("regime", "unknown")) + monthly_breadth = float(metadata.get("breadth_ratio", float("nan"))) + selection_rows.append( + { + "rebalance_date": date, + "selected_symbols": tuple(monthly_names), + "selected_count": len(monthly_names), + "regime": monthly_regime, + "breadth_ratio": monthly_breadth, + "benchmark_symbol": metadata.get("benchmark_symbol"), + "benchmark_trend_positive": metadata.get("benchmark_trend_positive"), + "candidate_count": metadata.get("candidate_count"), + "stock_exposure": metadata.get("stock_exposure"), + "family": baseline_candidate.config.family, + "overlay_family": overlay.family, + } + ) + portfolio_state = monthly_base_stock_weight + portfolio_recovery_count = 0 + name_states = {symbol: NameTrimState() for symbol in monthly_names} + + portfolio_target = None + portfolio_signal_meta: dict[str, object] = { + "signal_family": "none", + "degraded_signal": False, + "degraded_reason": "", + "held_breadth_20": float("nan"), + "held_breadth_50": float("nan"), + "qqq_sma20_gap": float("nan"), + "qqq_sma50_gap": float("nan"), + "qqq_mom5": float("nan"), + } + if overlay.portfolio_overlay is not None: + desired_target, portfolio_signal_meta = compute_portfolio_throttle_desired( + overlay.portfolio_overlay, + date, + monthly_base_stock_weight, + monthly_names, + signal_matrices, + ) + portfolio_state, portfolio_recovery_count, _transitioned = update_portfolio_state( + portfolio_state, + desired_target, + portfolio_recovery_count, + overlay.portfolio_overlay.recovery_days, + ) + portfolio_target = min(monthly_base_stock_weight, float(portfolio_state)) + + name_multipliers: dict[str, float] | None = None + trim_meta: dict[str, object] = {"degraded_signal": False, "degraded_symbols": (), "trimmed_symbols": (), "state_changes": 0} + if overlay.name_overlay is not None: + name_states, name_multipliers, trim_meta = update_name_trim_states( + overlay.name_overlay, + date, + monthly_names, + signal_matrices, + name_states, + ) + + effective_weights = build_effective_weights( + monthly_target_weights, + monthly_names, + monthly_base_stock_weight=monthly_base_stock_weight, + portfolio_target=portfolio_target, + name_multipliers=name_multipliers, + ) + effective_names = {symbol for symbol, weight in effective_weights.items() if symbol != SAFE_HAVEN and weight > 1e-12} + if not effective_names.issubset(set(monthly_names)): + raise RuntimeError(f"Overlay added new names mid-month on {date.date()}: {sorted(effective_names - set(monthly_names))}") + + turnover_history.at[next_date] = suite.compute_turnover(current_effective_weights, effective_weights) + current_effective_weights = effective_weights + + for symbol, weight in current_effective_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[date, symbol] = weight + + next_returns = returns_matrix.loc[next_date].fillna(0.0) + gross_returns.at[next_date] = sum(weight * float(next_returns.get(symbol, 0.0)) for symbol, weight in current_effective_weights.items()) + + effective_stock_weight = float(sum(weight for symbol, weight in current_effective_weights.items() if symbol != SAFE_HAVEN)) + overlay_rows.append( + { + "date": date, + "strategy": overlay.name, + "overlay_family": overlay.family, + "monthly_selected_symbols": tuple(monthly_names), + "monthly_selected_count": len(monthly_names), + "monthly_base_stock_weight": monthly_base_stock_weight, + "effective_stock_weight": effective_stock_weight, + "effective_boxx_weight": float(current_effective_weights.get(SAFE_HAVEN, 0.0)), + "monthly_regime": monthly_regime, + "monthly_breadth_ratio": monthly_breadth, + "portfolio_target_stock_weight": float(portfolio_target) if portfolio_target is not None else monthly_base_stock_weight, + "portfolio_overlay_active": bool((portfolio_target is not None) and (portfolio_target < monthly_base_stock_weight - 1e-12)), + "trimmed_name_count": int(sum(1 for value in (name_multipliers or {}).values() if value < 1.0 - 1e-12)), + "trimmed_name_symbols": tuple(sorted(symbol for symbol, value in (name_multipliers or {}).items() if value < 1.0 - 1e-12)), + "name_overlay_active": bool(trim_meta.get("trimmed_symbols")), + "degraded_signal": bool(portfolio_signal_meta.get("degraded_signal", False) or trim_meta.get("degraded_signal", False)), + "degraded_reason": ";".join(filter(None, [str(portfolio_signal_meta.get("degraded_reason", "")), "name_signal_missing" if trim_meta.get("degraded_signal") else ""])), + "signal_family": portfolio_signal_meta.get("signal_family", "none"), + "held_breadth_20": portfolio_signal_meta.get("held_breadth_20", float("nan")), + "held_breadth_50": portfolio_signal_meta.get("held_breadth_50", float("nan")), + "qqq_sma20_gap": portfolio_signal_meta.get("qqq_sma20_gap", float("nan")), + "qqq_sma50_gap": portfolio_signal_meta.get("qqq_sma50_gap", float("nan")), + "qqq_mom5": portfolio_signal_meta.get("qqq_mom5", float("nan")), + "state_change_count": int(trim_meta.get("state_changes", 0)), + } + ) + + for symbol, weight in current_effective_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[index[-1], symbol] = weight + + overlay_history = pd.DataFrame(overlay_rows) + selection_history = pd.DataFrame(selection_rows) + rolling_alpha = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(gross_returns, returns_matrix["QQQ"].reindex(gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0)) + trigger_stats = summarize_overlay_state(overlay_history) + return OverlayArtifacts( + gross_returns=gross_returns, + weights_history=weights_history.loc[:, (weights_history != 0.0).any(axis=0)], + turnover_history=turnover_history, + selection_history=selection_history, + overlay_history=overlay_history, + rolling_alpha=rolling_alpha, + trigger_stats=trigger_stats, + ) + + +def summarize_overlay_state(overlay_history: pd.DataFrame) -> dict[str, float]: + if overlay_history.empty: + return { + "overlay_trigger_frequency": float("nan"), + "average_days_in_throttle": float("nan"), + "average_days_trimmed": float("nan"), + "days_in_throttle_share": float("nan"), + "days_trimmed_share": float("nan"), + "degraded_signal_share": float("nan"), + } + throttle_flags = overlay_history["portfolio_overlay_active"].fillna(False).astype(bool) + trim_flags = overlay_history["name_overlay_active"].fillna(False).astype(bool) + throttle_spells = true_spell_lengths(throttle_flags) + trim_spells = true_spell_lengths(trim_flags) + any_overlay = throttle_flags | trim_flags + return { + "overlay_trigger_frequency": float(any_overlay.mean()), + "average_days_in_throttle": float(np.mean(throttle_spells)) if throttle_spells else 0.0, + "average_days_trimmed": float(np.mean(trim_spells)) if trim_spells else 0.0, + "days_in_throttle_share": float(throttle_flags.mean()), + "days_trimmed_share": float(trim_flags.mean()), + "degraded_signal_share": float(overlay_history["degraded_signal"].fillna(False).mean()), + } + + +def compute_period_overlay_stats( + overlay_history: pd.DataFrame, + *, + start: str | None, + end: str | None, +) -> dict[str, float]: + if overlay_history.empty: + return { + "Average Stock Weight": float("nan"), + "Average BOXX Weight": float("nan"), + "Overlay Trigger Frequency": float("nan"), + "Average Days In Throttle": float("nan"), + "Average Days Trimmed": float("nan"), + "Days In Throttle Share": float("nan"), + "Days Trimmed Share": float("nan"), + "Degraded Signal Share": float("nan"), + } + frame = overlay_history.copy().set_index("date") + frame.index = pd.to_datetime(frame.index).normalize() + if start: + frame = frame.loc[start:] + if end: + frame = frame.loc[:end] + if frame.empty: + return { + "Average Stock Weight": float("nan"), + "Average BOXX Weight": float("nan"), + "Overlay Trigger Frequency": float("nan"), + "Average Days In Throttle": float("nan"), + "Average Days Trimmed": float("nan"), + "Days In Throttle Share": float("nan"), + "Days Trimmed Share": float("nan"), + "Degraded Signal Share": float("nan"), + } + throttle_flags = frame["portfolio_overlay_active"].fillna(False).astype(bool) + trim_flags = frame["name_overlay_active"].fillna(False).astype(bool) + return { + "Average Stock Weight": float(frame["effective_stock_weight"].mean()), + "Average BOXX Weight": float(frame["effective_boxx_weight"].mean()), + "Overlay Trigger Frequency": float((throttle_flags | trim_flags).mean()), + "Average Days In Throttle": float(np.mean(true_spell_lengths(throttle_flags))) if throttle_flags.any() else 0.0, + "Average Days Trimmed": float(np.mean(true_spell_lengths(trim_flags))) if trim_flags.any() else 0.0, + "Days In Throttle Share": float(throttle_flags.mean()), + "Days Trimmed Share": float(trim_flags.mean()), + "Degraded Signal Share": float(frame["degraded_signal"].fillna(False).mean()), + } + + +def candidate_rows_from_artifacts( + strategy_name: str, + family: str, + artifacts: OverlayArtifacts, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + cost_bps_values: Iterable[float], +) -> list[dict[str, object]]: + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for cost_bps in cost_bps_values: + net_returns = artifacts.gross_returns - artifacts.turnover_history.reindex(artifacts.gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0) * (float(cost_bps) / 10_000.0) + rolling_alpha = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(net_returns, benchmark_returns.reindex(net_returns.index).fillna(0.0)) + for period_name, start, end in COMPARISON_PERIODS: + metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + artifacts.weights_history, + artifacts.turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + overlay_stats = compute_period_overlay_stats(artifacts.overlay_history, start=start, end=end) + rolling_series = rolling_alpha if period_name == "Full Sample" else robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(net_returns, start, end), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + ) + rows.append( + { + "strategy": strategy_name, + "family": family, + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + **metrics, + **robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_series), + **overlay_stats, + **artifacts.trigger_stats, + } + ) + return rows + + +def reference_rows( + strategy_name: str, + family: str, + gross_returns: pd.Series, + weights_history: pd.DataFrame, + turnover_history: pd.Series, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + cost_bps_values: Iterable[float], +) -> list[dict[str, object]]: + overlay_history = pd.DataFrame( + { + "date": gross_returns.index, + "effective_stock_weight": weights_history.drop(columns=[SAFE_HAVEN], errors="ignore").sum(axis=1).reindex(gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0).values, + "effective_boxx_weight": weights_history.get(SAFE_HAVEN, pd.Series(0.0, index=weights_history.index)).reindex(gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0).values, + "portfolio_overlay_active": False, + "name_overlay_active": False, + "degraded_signal": False, + } + ) + artifacts = OverlayArtifacts( + gross_returns=gross_returns, + weights_history=weights_history, + turnover_history=turnover_history, + selection_history=pd.DataFrame(), + overlay_history=overlay_history, + rolling_alpha=robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(gross_returns, benchmark_returns.reindex(gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0)), + trigger_stats=summarize_overlay_state(overlay_history), + ) + return candidate_rows_from_artifacts(strategy_name, family, artifacts, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=cost_bps_values) + + +def percentile_rank(series: pd.Series, *, higher_is_better: bool) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(series, errors="coerce") + ranked = numeric.rank(method="average", pct=True) if higher_is_better else (-numeric).rank(method="average", pct=True) + return ranked.fillna(0.0) + + +def build_family_selection_table(rows: pd.DataFrame, *, oos_benchmark_cagr: float) -> pd.DataFrame: + main = rows.loc[(rows["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (rows["period"] == "OOS Sample")].copy() + full = rows.loc[(rows["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (rows["period"] == "Full Sample")].copy().set_index("strategy") + y2022 = rows.loc[(rows["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (rows["period"] == "2022")].copy().set_index("strategy") + y2023 = rows.loc[(rows["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (rows["period"] == "2023+")].copy().set_index("strategy") + if main.empty: + return main + main["full_cagr"] = main["strategy"].map(full["CAGR"]) + main["full_max_drawdown"] = main["strategy"].map(full["Max Drawdown"]) + main["return_2022"] = main["strategy"].map(y2022["Total Return"]) + main["cagr_2023_plus"] = main["strategy"].map(y2023["CAGR"]) + main["score_oos_rel_qqq"] = percentile_rank(main["CAGR"] - float(oos_benchmark_cagr), higher_is_better=True) + main["score_oos_cagr"] = percentile_rank(main["CAGR"], higher_is_better=True) + main["score_oos_ir"] = percentile_rank(main["Information Ratio vs QQQ"], higher_is_better=True) + main["score_oos_alpha"] = percentile_rank(main["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"], higher_is_better=True) + main["score_oos_maxdd"] = percentile_rank(main["Max Drawdown"], higher_is_better=True) + main["score_2022"] = percentile_rank(main["return_2022"], higher_is_better=True) + main["score_turnover"] = percentile_rank(main["Turnover/Year"], higher_is_better=False) + main["overlay_selection_score"] = ( + main["score_oos_rel_qqq"] * 0.25 + + main["score_oos_ir"] * 0.20 + + main["score_oos_alpha"] * 0.15 + + main["score_oos_maxdd"] * 0.15 + + main["score_2022"] * 0.10 + + main["score_turnover"] * 0.10 + + main["score_oos_cagr"] * 0.05 + ) + return main.sort_values( + by=["overlay_selection_score", "Information Ratio vs QQQ", "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", "CAGR"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def build_reference_rows_from_existing_results( + strategy_name: str, + family: str, + source_csv: Path, + *, + scenario_name: str, +) -> list[dict[str, object]]: + source = pd.read_csv(source_csv) + frame = source.loc[source["scenario"] == scenario_name].copy() + if frame.empty: + raise RuntimeError(f"Scenario not found in {source_csv.name}: {scenario_name}") + + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False): + payload = row._asdict() + rows.append( + { + "strategy": strategy_name, + "family": family, + "cost_bps_one_way": float(payload["cost_bps_one_way"]), + "period": payload["period"], + "Start": payload.get("Start"), + "End": payload.get("End"), + "Total Return": float(payload.get("Total Return", float("nan"))), + "CAGR": float(payload.get("CAGR", float("nan"))), + "Max Drawdown": float(payload.get("Max Drawdown", float("nan"))), + "Volatility": float(payload.get("Volatility", float("nan"))), + "Sharpe": float(payload.get("Sharpe", float("nan"))), + "Sortino": float(payload.get("Sortino", float("nan"))), + "Calmar": float(payload.get("Calmar", float("nan"))), + "Turnover/Year": float(payload.get("Turnover/Year", float("nan"))), + "Rebalances/Year": float(payload.get("Rebalances/Year", float("nan"))), + "Average Names Held": float(payload.get("Average Names Held", float("nan"))), + "Beta vs QQQ": float(payload.get("Beta vs QQQ", float("nan"))), + "Information Ratio vs QQQ": float(payload.get("Information Ratio vs QQQ", float("nan"))), + "Up Capture vs QQQ": float(payload.get("Up Capture vs QQQ", float("nan"))), + "Down Capture vs QQQ": float(payload.get("Down Capture vs QQQ", float("nan"))), + "2022 Return": float(payload.get("2022 Return", float("nan"))), + "2023+ CAGR": float(payload.get("2023+ CAGR", float("nan"))), + "beta_vs_qqq": float(payload.get("beta_vs_qqq", payload.get("Beta vs QQQ", float("nan")))), + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(payload.get("alpha_ann_vs_qqq", float("nan"))), + "tracking_error_vs_qqq": float(payload.get("tracking_error_vs_qqq", float("nan"))), + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": float(payload.get("information_ratio_vs_qqq", payload.get("Information Ratio vs QQQ", float("nan")))), + "up_capture_vs_qqq": float(payload.get("up_capture_vs_qqq", payload.get("Up Capture vs QQQ", float("nan")))), + "down_capture_vs_qqq": float(payload.get("down_capture_vs_qqq", payload.get("Down Capture vs QQQ", float("nan")))), + "rolling_36m_alpha_mean": float(payload.get("rolling_36m_alpha_mean", float("nan"))), + "rolling_36m_alpha_median": float(payload.get("rolling_36m_alpha_median", float("nan"))), + "rolling_36m_alpha_last": float(payload.get("rolling_36m_alpha_last", float("nan"))), + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": float(payload.get("rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio", float("nan"))), + "Average Stock Weight": float("nan"), + "Average BOXX Weight": float("nan"), + "Overlay Trigger Frequency": 0.0, + "Average Days In Throttle": 0.0, + "Average Days Trimmed": 0.0, + "Days In Throttle Share": 0.0, + "Days Trimmed Share": 0.0, + "Degraded Signal Share": 0.0, + } + ) + return rows + + +def overlay_has_incremental_value(candidate_row: pd.Series, baseline_row: pd.Series) -> bool: + return bool( + float(candidate_row["CAGR"]) >= float(baseline_row["CAGR"]) - 0.03 + and ( + float(candidate_row["Max Drawdown"]) >= float(baseline_row["Max Drawdown"]) + 0.02 + or float(candidate_row["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]) >= float(baseline_row["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]) + 0.03 + or float(candidate_row["return_2022"]) >= float(baseline_row["return_2022"]) + 0.03 + ) + ) + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + cols = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(cols) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(cols)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + vals = [] + for value in row: + if pd.isna(value): + vals.append("") + elif isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + vals.append(f"{float(value):.6f}") + else: + vals.append(str(value)) + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(vals) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_summary_markdown( + path: Path, + *, + baseline_payload: dict[str, object], + baseline_row: pd.Series, + family_scores: pd.DataFrame, + comparison_rows: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], +) -> None: + best_portfolio = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay"].head(1) + best_name = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_name_level_trim_overlay"].head(1) + best_combo = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay"].head(1) + lines = [ + "# cash_buffer_branch daily overlay research", + "", + "## Baseline", + f"- strategy={baseline_payload['name']}", + f"- family={baseline_payload['family']}", + f"- monthly stock exposures={json.dumps(baseline_payload['exposures'], ensure_ascii=False)}", + f"- holdings={baseline_payload['holdings_count']}", + f"- single_name_cap={float(baseline_payload['single_name_cap']):.0%}", + f"- sector_cap={float(baseline_payload['sector_cap']):.0%}", + f"- hold_bonus={float(baseline_payload['hold_bonus']):.2f}", + f"- benchmark={baseline_payload['benchmark_symbol']}", + f"- non-rebalance days=no-op baseline; overlay only changes exposure / existing-name weights / BOXX", + "", + "## Overlay families tested", + "- daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay", + "- daily_name_level_trim_overlay", + "- daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay (only if A/B both showed value)", + "", + "## Baseline reference (5 bps, OOS)", + format_table(pd.DataFrame([baseline_row])[['strategy', 'CAGR', 'Max Drawdown', 'Information Ratio vs QQQ', 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq', 'return_2022', 'cagr_2023_plus', 'Turnover/Year', 'Average Stock Weight', 'Average BOXX Weight']]), + "", + "## Family selection table (5 bps, OOS)", + format_table( + family_scores[ + [ + "strategy", + "family", + "overlay_selection_score", + "CAGR", + "Max Drawdown", + "Information Ratio vs QQQ", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "return_2022", + "cagr_2023_plus", + "Turnover/Year", + "Average Stock Weight", + "Average BOXX Weight", + "Overlay Trigger Frequency", + "Average Days In Throttle", + "Average Days Trimmed", + ] + ] + .rename( + columns={ + "CAGR": "OOS CAGR", + "Max Drawdown": "OOS MaxDD", + "return_2022": "2022 Return", + "cagr_2023_plus": "2023+ CAGR", + } + ) + .head(12) + ), + "", + "## Best portfolio overlay", + format_table(best_portfolio) if not best_portfolio.empty else "_not tested_", + "", + "## Best name-level trim overlay", + format_table(best_name) if not best_name.empty else "_not tested_", + "", + "## Best combo overlay", + format_table(best_combo) if not best_combo.empty else "_skipped because A/B did not both clear the incremental-value filter_", + "", + "## 5 bps comparison set", + format_table(comparison_rows[[ + 'strategy', 'family', 'CAGR', 'cagr_minus_qqq', 'Max Drawdown', 'return_2022', 'cagr_2023_plus', + 'Turnover/Year', 'Average Names Held', 'Average Stock Weight', 'Average BOXX Weight', + 'beta_vs_qqq', 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq', 'Information Ratio vs QQQ', 'Up Capture vs QQQ', 'Down Capture vs QQQ', + 'Overlay Trigger Frequency', 'Average Days In Throttle', 'Average Days Trimmed' + ]]), + "", + "## Recommendation", + f"- overlay_has_incremental_value={recommendation['overlay_has_incremental_value']}", + f"- best_overlay_family={recommendation['best_overlay_family']}", + f"- best_overlay_strategy={recommendation['best_overlay_strategy']}", + f"- recommended_upgrade_direction={recommendation['recommended_upgrade_direction']}", + f"- next_step={recommendation['next_step']}", + "", + "## Explicit caveats", + "- This stays research-only; no runtime / Cloud Run / paper config is changed here.", + "- Month-start still chooses the stock list. Overlay never adds names mid-month.", + "- Reduced stock exposure always parks in BOXX (no hidden new sleeve).", + "- Daily signals can degrade to monthly baseline when short lookback indicators are unavailable; degraded-signal share is reported explicitly.", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + baseline_path = DEFAULT_BASELINE_CONFIG_PATH + baseline_spec = load_baseline_spec(baseline_path) + baseline_candidate = build_baseline_candidate(baseline_spec) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = gp.build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + baseline_artifacts = run_overlay_backtest( + context, + baseline_candidate, + OverlayStrategyConfig(name=baseline_spec.name, family="monthly_baseline", note="No overlay"), + ) + all_rows = candidate_rows_from_artifacts( + baseline_spec.name, + "monthly_baseline", + baseline_artifacts, + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + + portfolio_candidates = build_portfolio_overlay_candidates() + name_candidates = build_name_overlay_candidates() + overlay_artifacts_by_name: dict[str, OverlayArtifacts] = {baseline_spec.name: baseline_artifacts} + + for overlay in portfolio_candidates + name_candidates: + artifacts = run_overlay_backtest(context, baseline_candidate, overlay) + overlay_artifacts_by_name[overlay.name] = artifacts + all_rows.extend(candidate_rows_from_artifacts(overlay.name, overlay.family, artifacts, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS)) + + all_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(all_rows) + qqq_oos_cagr = suite.compute_period_cagr(benchmark_returns, OOS_START, None) + family_scores = build_family_selection_table(all_rows_df, oos_benchmark_cagr=qqq_oos_cagr) + baseline_oos_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["strategy"] == baseline_spec.name].iloc[0] + best_portfolio_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay"].iloc[0] + best_name_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_name_level_trim_overlay"].iloc[0] + + combo_rows: pd.DataFrame | None = None + combo_candidate: OverlayStrategyConfig | None = None + if overlay_has_incremental_value(best_portfolio_row, baseline_oos_row) and overlay_has_incremental_value(best_name_row, baseline_oos_row): + portfolio_cfg = next(candidate for candidate in portfolio_candidates if candidate.name == str(best_portfolio_row["strategy"])) + name_cfg = next(candidate for candidate in name_candidates if candidate.name == str(best_name_row["strategy"])) + combo_candidate = build_combo_candidate(portfolio_cfg, name_cfg) + combo_artifacts = run_overlay_backtest(context, baseline_candidate, combo_candidate) + overlay_artifacts_by_name[combo_candidate.name] = combo_artifacts + combo_candidate_rows = candidate_rows_from_artifacts(combo_candidate.name, combo_candidate.family, combo_artifacts, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + all_rows_df = pd.concat([all_rows_df, pd.DataFrame(combo_candidate_rows)], ignore_index=True) + family_scores = build_family_selection_table(all_rows_df, oos_benchmark_cagr=qqq_oos_cagr) + combo_rows = family_scores.loc[family_scores["strategy"] == combo_candidate.name].copy() + + # qqq_plus_current_default reference + qqq_rows = build_reference_rows_from_existing_results( + "qqq_plus_current_default", + "reference", + DEFAULT_QQQ_PLUS_RESULTS_PATH, + scenario_name=QQQ_PLUS_CURRENT_DEFAULT_SCENARIO, + ) + all_rows_df = pd.concat([all_rows_df, pd.DataFrame(qqq_rows)], ignore_index=True) + + # defensive baseline reference + defensive_result = suite.run_defensive_backtest( + context["stock_price_history"], + context["universe_history"], + start_date=str(pd.Timestamp(context["master_index"][0]).date()), + end_date=str(pd.Timestamp(context["master_index"][-1]).date()), + turnover_cost_bps=0.0, + ) + defensive_rows = reference_rows( + "russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive", + "reference", + defensive_result["portfolio_returns"].reindex(benchmark_returns.index).fillna(0.0), + defensive_result["weights_history"].reindex(benchmark_returns.index).fillna(0.0), + defensive_result["turnover_history"].reindex(benchmark_returns.index).fillna(0.0), + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + all_rows_df = pd.concat([all_rows_df, pd.DataFrame(defensive_rows)], ignore_index=True) + + # QQQ reference + qqq_only_weights = pd.DataFrame({"QQQ": 1.0}, index=benchmark_returns.index) + qqq_only_turnover = pd.Series(0.0, index=benchmark_returns.index, name="turnover") + qqq_ref_rows = reference_rows( + "QQQ", + "reference", + benchmark_returns, + qqq_only_weights, + qqq_only_turnover, + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + all_rows_df = pd.concat([all_rows_df, pd.DataFrame(qqq_ref_rows)], ignore_index=True) + + # final family_scores after references added (references will not affect overlay ranking if filtered) + family_scores = build_family_selection_table( + all_rows_df.loc[ + all_rows_df["family"].isin({"monthly_baseline", "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay", "daily_name_level_trim_overlay", "daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay"}) + ].copy(), + oos_benchmark_cagr=qqq_oos_cagr, + ) + baseline_oos_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["strategy"] == baseline_spec.name].iloc[0] + best_portfolio_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay"].iloc[0] + best_name_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_name_level_trim_overlay"].iloc[0] + best_combo_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay"].head(1) + + comparison_5bps = all_rows_df.loc[(all_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (all_rows_df["period"] == "OOS Sample")].copy() + qqq_oos_cagr = float(comparison_5bps.loc[comparison_5bps["strategy"] == "QQQ", "CAGR"].iloc[0]) + comparison_5bps["cagr_minus_qqq"] = comparison_5bps["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr + comparison_5bps["return_2022"] = comparison_5bps["strategy"].map( + all_rows_df.loc[(all_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (all_rows_df["period"] == "2022")].set_index("strategy")["Total Return"] + ) + comparison_5bps["cagr_2023_plus"] = comparison_5bps["strategy"].map( + all_rows_df.loc[(all_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (all_rows_df["period"] == "2023+")].set_index("strategy")["CAGR"] + ) + + best_portfolio_strategy = str(best_portfolio_row["strategy"]) + best_name_strategy = str(best_name_row["strategy"]) + best_combo_strategy = str(best_combo_row.iloc[0]["strategy"]) if not best_combo_row.empty else None + + overlay_candidates_for_recommend = [ + comparison_5bps.loc[comparison_5bps["strategy"] == best_portfolio_strategy].iloc[0], + comparison_5bps.loc[comparison_5bps["strategy"] == best_name_strategy].iloc[0], + ] + if best_combo_strategy: + overlay_candidates_for_recommend.append(comparison_5bps.loc[comparison_5bps["strategy"] == best_combo_strategy].iloc[0]) + overlay_best = max(overlay_candidates_for_recommend, key=lambda row: (float(row["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]), float(row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), float(row["CAGR"]))) + + overlay_has_value = overlay_has_incremental_value(overlay_best, comparison_5bps.loc[comparison_5bps["strategy"] == baseline_spec.name].iloc[0]) + best_family = str(overlay_best["family"]) + if not overlay_has_value: + recommended_upgrade_direction = "do_not_upgrade_overlay" + next_step = "保持月频 baseline，不加 overlay" + elif best_family == "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay": + recommended_upgrade_direction = "portfolio_level_throttle_only" + next_step = "继续研究一个最小可行 daily overlay" + elif best_family == "daily_name_level_trim_overlay": + recommended_upgrade_direction = "name_level_trim_only" + next_step = "继续研究一个最小可行 daily overlay" + elif best_family == "daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay": + recommended_upgrade_direction = "portfolio_plus_name_overlay" + next_step = "继续研究一个最小可行 daily overlay" + else: + recommended_upgrade_direction = "no_overlay" + next_step = "保持月频 baseline，不加 overlay" + + recommendation = { + "baseline_strategy": baseline_spec.name, + "overlay_has_incremental_value": bool(overlay_has_value), + "best_overlay_family": best_family, + "best_overlay_strategy": str(overlay_best["strategy"]), + "recommended_upgrade_direction": recommended_upgrade_direction, + "answers": { + "Q1_incremental_value": bool(overlay_has_value), + "Q2_increment_source": ( + "更好的下跌保护和更平滑的风险暴露" + if float(overlay_best["Max Drawdown"]) >= float(baseline_oos_row["Max Drawdown"]) and float(overlay_best["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]) >= float(baseline_oos_row["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]) + else "主要是更高频交易碰巧有效的证据不足，增量不明显" + ), + "Q3_upgrade_candidate": bool(overlay_has_value), + "Q4_best_overlay_type": recommended_upgrade_direction, + "Q5_complexity_risk": bool(float(overlay_best["Turnover/Year"]) > float(baseline_oos_row["Turnover/Year"]) * 1.6), + "Q6_next_step": next_step, + }, + "notes": { + "portfolio_overlay_tested": [candidate.name for candidate in portfolio_candidates], + "name_overlay_tested": [candidate.name for candidate in name_candidates], + "combo_tested": [combo_candidate.name] if combo_candidate else [], + "comparison_cost_bps": list(COST_LEVELS), + "baseline_non_rebalance_days": "no_op", + "mid_month_new_names_allowed": False, + }, + } + + comparison_export = all_rows_df.copy() + comparison_export.to_csv(results_dir / "cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_comparison.csv", index=False) + write_summary_markdown( + results_dir / "cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_summary.md", + baseline_payload=baseline_spec.config_payload, + baseline_row=baseline_oos_row, + family_scores=family_scores, + comparison_rows=comparison_5bps.loc[ + comparison_5bps["strategy"].isin( + { + baseline_spec.name, + best_portfolio_strategy, + best_name_strategy, + *(set([best_combo_strategy]) if best_combo_strategy else set()), + "qqq_plus_current_default", + "russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive", + "QQQ", + } + ) + ].sort_values(by=["family", "CAGR"], ascending=[True, False]), + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + (results_dir / "cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_recommendation.json").write_text( + json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), + encoding="utf-8", + ) + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9142f51 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py @@ -0,0 +1,1386 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +""" +Research-only suite for a new US-equity strategy family: +`growth_pullback_systematic_v1` + +Goal: +- systematize growth / leadership + controlled pullback entry ideas +- compare broad growth vs tech-heavy vs crypto-linked equity theme subsets +- keep everything inside US equities (no crypto assets, no Binance, no overlays) +""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import math +import sys +from dataclasses import dataclass, replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable, Mapping + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +DEFAULT_COSTS = (0.0, 5.0) +OOS_START = "2022-01-01" +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", OOS_START, None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +TECH_HEAVY_SECTORS = ("Information Technology", "Communication") +GROWTH_PULLBACK_NAME = "growth_pullback_systematic_v1" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 + +CRYPTO_THEME_ROWS = [ + {"symbol": "COIN", "theme_bucket": "exchange_broker", "reason": "Coinbase: spot + institutional crypto exchange / broker"}, + {"symbol": "MSTR", "theme_bucket": "btc_treasury_proxy", "reason": "MicroStrategy/Strategy: listed BTC treasury proxy"}, + {"symbol": "HOOD", "theme_bucket": "broker", "reason": "Robinhood: retail broker with material crypto trading exposure"}, + {"symbol": "SQ", "theme_bucket": "payments_wallet", "reason": "Block historical ticker SQ: Cash App / bitcoin exposure"}, + {"symbol": "XYZ", "theme_bucket": "payments_wallet", "reason": "Block current ticker XYZ: Cash App / bitcoin exposure"}, + {"symbol": "PYPL", "theme_bucket": "payments_wallet", "reason": "PayPal: crypto trading / wallet / stablecoin related initiatives"}, + {"symbol": "IBKR", "theme_bucket": "broker", "reason": "Interactive Brokers: access rails for crypto trading"}, + {"symbol": "CME", "theme_bucket": "exchange_infra", "reason": "CME: listed crypto futures / institutional market infrastructure"}, + {"symbol": "CBOE", "theme_bucket": "exchange_infra", "reason": "Cboe: crypto ETF / options market structure exposure"}, +] +CRYPTO_THEME_SYMBOLS = tuple(row["symbol"] for row in CRYPTO_THEME_ROWS) + +HYPOTHESES_NOTE = """# growth_pullback_systematic_v1 hypotheses + +## Workspace scope +- This research stays entirely inside US equities. +- `crypto-linked equities` here means US-listed stocks with material crypto-linked business exposure. +- No spot / futures / on-chain crypto assets are used. +- No `CryptoLeaderRotation` logic is used. +- No `BinancePlatform` code or data path is used. + +## Testable hypotheses + +### H1. Best stock line may be broad growth / leadership, not technology-only +Research translation: +- Compare broad large-cap eligible / leadership subsets against tech-heavy subsets. +- If tech wins only in a narrow window, do not hard-code it as the default stock line. + +### H2. Useful edge may be controlled pullback inside strong trends, not naive dip buying +Research translation: +- Separate moderate pullback + trend intact + recovery confirmation from falling knives. +- Run both `trend_only_control` and `naive_dip_buy_control` as explicit controls. + +### H3. Price-first may be better than fake historical valuation overlays +Research translation: +- If the workspace lacks reliable point-in-time valuation/fundamental history, skip valuation in V1. +- Do not pretend current/retro valuation fields are point-in-time clean. + +### H4. Crypto-linked equities may be a thematic bucket, not a primary stock universe +Research translation: +- Build a small, explicit, auditable crypto-linked equity list inside the US-equity universe. +- Test whether it has stable standalone alpha or is just a high-beta thematic bucket. + +### H5. Human mistakes should become rule-design goals +Human weakness -> rule design target: +- 越跌越买 -> require trend intact and recovery confirmation before ranking a pullback highly. +- 对熟悉赛道过度集中 -> enforce holdings count, single-name cap, sector cap. +- 把好公司和好买点混为一谈 -> separate leader score from entry / pullback score. +- 没有统一退出或降暴露规则 -> keep benchmark + breadth regime and BOXX parking. + +## V1 data-policy decision +- Valuation / fundamentals are skipped in V1. +- Reason: current workspace does not expose reliable point-in-time historical valuation/fundamental data. +- This is a deliberate data-quality decision, not a claim that valuation never matters. +""" + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class UniverseSpec: + name: str + normalization: str + min_adv20_usd: float + leadership_filter: bool = False + sector_whitelist: tuple[str, ...] = () + symbol_whitelist: tuple[str, ...] = () + notes: str = "" + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class GrowthPullbackConfig: + name: str + family: str + universe_spec: UniverseSpec + score_template: str + holdings_count: int + single_name_cap: float + sector_cap: float + regime: suite.RegimeConfig + exposures: suite.ExposureConfig + hold_bonus: float = 0.10 + + +@dataclass +class StrategyArtifacts: + gross_returns: pd.Series + weights_history: pd.DataFrame + turnover_history: pd.Series + selection_history: pd.DataFrame + rolling_alpha: pd.Series + turnover_profile: dict[str, float] + sector_weights: dict[str, float] + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument( + "--alias-data-run-dir", + help="Prepared Russell data run with alias repair (defaults to newest official_monthly_v2_alias run)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--results-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR), + help="Directory where research outputs will be written", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--configs-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR), + help="Directory where default / aggressive research configs will be written", + ) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + parser.add_argument( + "--cost-bps", + nargs="*", + type=float, + default=list(DEFAULT_COSTS), + help="One-way turnover costs in bps", + ) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def normalization_label(value: str) -> str: + mapping = { + "sector": "sector", + "universe": "universe_cross_sectional", + } + if value not in mapping: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported normalization: {value}") + return mapping[value] + + +def normalization_from_label(label: str) -> str: + reverse = { + "sector": "sector", + "universe": "universe", + "universe_cross_sectional": "universe", + } + if label not in reverse: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported normalization label: {label}") + return reverse[label] + + +def spec_to_dict(config: GrowthPullbackConfig, *, role: str) -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "role": role, + "strategy": GROWTH_PULLBACK_NAME, + "status": "research_only", + "name": config.name, + "family": config.family, + "universe": config.universe_spec.name, + "normalization": normalization_label(config.universe_spec.normalization), + "min_adv20_usd": float(config.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd), + "leadership_filter": bool(config.universe_spec.leadership_filter), + "sector_whitelist": list(config.universe_spec.sector_whitelist), + "symbol_whitelist": list(config.universe_spec.symbol_whitelist), + "notes": config.universe_spec.notes, + "score_template": config.score_template, + "holdings_count": int(config.holdings_count), + "single_name_cap": float(config.single_name_cap), + "sector_cap": float(config.sector_cap), + "hold_bonus": float(config.hold_bonus), + "regime": config.regime.name, + "benchmark_symbol": config.regime.benchmark_symbol, + "breadth_mode": config.regime.breadth_mode, + "breadth_symbols": list(config.regime.breadth_symbols), + "exposures": { + "risk_on": 1.0, + "soft_defense": float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure), + "hard_defense": float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure), + }, + "breadth_thresholds": {"soft": robust.SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD, "hard": robust.HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD}, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": MAIN_COST_BPS, + } + + +def save_spec_config(path: Path, config: GrowthPullbackConfig, *, role: str) -> None: + path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + path.write_text(json.dumps(spec_to_dict(config, role=role), indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + + +def load_spec_config(path: Path) -> GrowthPullbackConfig: + payload = json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) + return GrowthPullbackConfig( + name=str(payload["name"]), + family=str(payload["family"]), + universe_spec=UniverseSpec( + name=str(payload["universe"]), + normalization=normalization_from_label(str(payload["normalization"])), + min_adv20_usd=float(payload["min_adv20_usd"]), + leadership_filter=bool(payload.get("leadership_filter", False)), + sector_whitelist=tuple(payload.get("sector_whitelist", [])), + symbol_whitelist=tuple(payload.get("symbol_whitelist", [])), + notes=str(payload.get("notes", "")), + ), + score_template=str(payload["score_template"]), + holdings_count=int(payload["holdings_count"]), + single_name_cap=float(payload["single_name_cap"]), + sector_cap=float(payload["sector_cap"]), + regime=suite.RegimeConfig( + str(payload["regime"]), + str(payload["benchmark_symbol"]), + str(payload["breadth_mode"]), + tuple(payload.get("breadth_symbols", [])), + ), + exposures=suite.ExposureConfig( + "growth_pullback_exposures", + float(payload["exposures"]["soft_defense"]), + float(payload["exposures"]["hard_defense"]), + ), + hold_bonus=float(payload["hold_bonus"]), + ) + + +def build_context(alias_run_dir: Path, *, start: str | None, end: str | None) -> dict[str, object]: + universe_history, stock_price_history, prepared_start, prepared_end = suite.discover_prepared_data(alias_run_dir) + effective_start = pd.Timestamp(start or prepared_start).normalize() + effective_end = pd.Timestamp(end or prepared_end).normalize() + etf_frames = suite.download_etf_ohlcv( + ("QQQ", "SPY", "XLK", "SMH"), + start=str(effective_start.date()), + end=str((effective_end + pd.Timedelta(days=1)).date()), + ) + master_index = suite.build_master_index(stock_price_history, etf_frames["close"]) + master_index = master_index[(master_index >= effective_start) & (master_index <= effective_end)] + if master_index.empty: + raise RuntimeError("No common dates remain after start/end filtering") + + extra_prices = suite.build_extra_etf_price_history(etf_frames, symbols=("QQQ", "SPY", "XLK", "SMH")) + merged_stock_prices = suite.normalize_long_price_history(pd.concat([stock_price_history, extra_prices], ignore_index=True)) + _close_matrix, stock_returns_matrix = suite.build_asset_return_matrix( + merged_stock_prices, + master_index=master_index, + required_symbols=(suite.SAFE_HAVEN, "SPY", "QQQ", "XLK", "SMH"), + ) + feature_history = precompute_growth_pullback_feature_history(merged_stock_prices) + rebalance_dates = sorted(suite.build_monthly_rebalance_dates(master_index)) + raw_snapshots = build_growth_raw_snapshots(universe_history, feature_history, rebalance_dates) + return { + "data_run_dir": alias_run_dir, + "universe_history": universe_history, + "stock_price_history": stock_price_history, + "merged_stock_prices": merged_stock_prices, + "master_index": master_index, + "stock_returns_matrix": stock_returns_matrix, + "feature_history": feature_history, + "rebalance_dates": rebalance_dates, + "raw_snapshots": raw_snapshots, + "raw_snapshots_cache": {}, + "prepared_start": prepared_start, + "prepared_end": prepared_end, + "etf_frames": etf_frames, + } + + +def precompute_growth_pullback_feature_history(price_history: pd.DataFrame) -> dict[str, pd.DataFrame]: + feature_history: dict[str, pd.DataFrame] = {} + for symbol, group in price_history.groupby("symbol", sort=False): + history = group.sort_values("as_of").reset_index(drop=True).copy() + closes = pd.to_numeric(history["close"], errors="coerce") + volumes = pd.to_numeric(history["volume"], errors="coerce") + returns = closes.pct_change() + ma20 = closes.rolling(20).mean() + ma50 = closes.rolling(50).mean() + ma200 = closes.rolling(200).mean() + rolling63max = closes.rolling(63).max() + rolling126max = closes.rolling(126).max() + rolling252max = closes.rolling(252).max() + drawdown_126 = closes / closes.rolling(126).max() - 1.0 + drawdown_126 = drawdown_126.replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan) + maxdd_126 = drawdown_126.rolling(126).min() + feature_history[str(symbol).upper()] = pd.DataFrame( + { + "as_of": history["as_of"], + "close": closes, + "volume": volumes, + "adv20_usd": (closes * volumes).rolling(20).mean(), + "history_days": np.arange(1, len(history) + 1, dtype=int), + "mom_6_1": closes.shift(21) / closes.shift(147) - 1.0, + "mom_12_1": closes.shift(21) / closes.shift(273) - 1.0, + "sma20_gap": closes / ma20 - 1.0, + "sma50_gap": closes / ma50 - 1.0, + "sma200_gap": closes / ma200 - 1.0, + "ma50_over_ma200": ma50 / ma200 - 1.0, + "vol_63": returns.rolling(63).std(ddof=0) * math.sqrt(252), + "maxdd_126": maxdd_126, + "breakout_252": closes / rolling252max - 1.0, + "dist_63_high": closes / rolling63max - 1.0, + "dist_126_high": closes / rolling126max - 1.0, + "rebound_20": closes / closes.shift(20) - 1.0, + } + ) + return feature_history + + +FEATURE_COLUMNS = ( + "close", + "volume", + "adv20_usd", + "history_days", + "mom_6_1", + "mom_12_1", + "sma20_gap", + "sma50_gap", + "sma200_gap", + "ma50_over_ma200", + "vol_63", + "maxdd_126", + "breakout_252", + "dist_63_high", + "dist_126_high", + "rebound_20", +) + + +def empty_feature_row(symbol: str, as_of: pd.Timestamp, sector: str) -> dict[str, object]: + row = {"as_of": as_of, "symbol": symbol, "sector": sector} + for column in FEATURE_COLUMNS: + row[column] = 0 if column == "history_days" else float("nan") + return row + + +def lookup_growth_features( + symbol: str, + as_of: pd.Timestamp, + feature_history_by_symbol: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + *, + sector: str, +) -> dict[str, object]: + history = feature_history_by_symbol.get(str(symbol).upper()) + if history is None or history.empty: + return empty_feature_row(symbol, as_of, sector) + cutoff = int(history["as_of"].searchsorted(as_of, side="right")) + if cutoff <= 0: + return empty_feature_row(symbol, as_of, sector) + current = history.iloc[cutoff - 1] + row = {"as_of": as_of, "symbol": symbol, "sector": sector} + for column in FEATURE_COLUMNS: + value = current[column] + if column == "history_days": + row[column] = int(value) if pd.notna(value) else 0 + else: + row[column] = float(value) if pd.notna(value) else float("nan") + return row + + +def build_growth_raw_snapshots( + universe_history: pd.DataFrame, + feature_history_by_symbol: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + rebalance_dates: Iterable[pd.Timestamp], +) -> dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame]: + snapshots: dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame] = {} + benchmark_symbols = ("SPY", "QQQ", "XLK", "SMH") + for rebalance_date in sorted(pd.Timestamp(date).normalize() for date in rebalance_dates): + active_universe = suite.resolve_active_universe(universe_history, rebalance_date) + sector_map = dict(zip(active_universe["symbol"], active_universe["sector"])) + symbols = active_universe["symbol"].astype(str).str.upper().tolist() + for extra in benchmark_symbols: + if extra not in symbols: + symbols.append(extra) + rows = [ + lookup_growth_features( + symbol, + rebalance_date, + feature_history_by_symbol, + sector=sector_map.get(symbol, "benchmark" if symbol in benchmark_symbols else "unknown"), + ) + for symbol in symbols + ] + frame = pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values("symbol").reset_index(drop=True) + frame["base_eligible"] = ( + ~frame["symbol"].isin(benchmark_symbols + (suite.SAFE_HAVEN,)) + & frame["history_days"].ge(252) + & frame["close"].gt(10.0) + & frame["adv20_usd"].ge(20_000_000.0) + & frame[[ + "mom_6_1", + "mom_12_1", + "sma20_gap", + "sma50_gap", + "sma200_gap", + "ma50_over_ma200", + "vol_63", + "maxdd_126", + "breakout_252", + "dist_63_high", + "dist_126_high", + "rebound_20", + ]].notna().all(axis=1) + ) + snapshots[rebalance_date] = frame + return snapshots + + +def build_universe_specs() -> dict[str, UniverseSpec]: + return { + "large_cap_eligible": UniverseSpec( + name="large_cap_eligible", + normalization="sector", + min_adv20_usd=20_000_000.0, + leadership_filter=False, + notes="Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe", + ), + "leadership_growth": UniverseSpec( + name="leadership_growth", + normalization="sector", + min_adv20_usd=50_000_000.0, + leadership_filter=True, + notes="Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only", + ), + "tech_heavy": UniverseSpec( + name="tech_heavy", + normalization="universe", + min_adv20_usd=50_000_000.0, + sector_whitelist=TECH_HEAVY_SECTORS, + leadership_filter=False, + notes="Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available", + ), + "crypto_linked_equity_theme": UniverseSpec( + name="crypto_linked_equity_theme", + normalization="universe", + min_adv20_usd=20_000_000.0, + symbol_whitelist=CRYPTO_THEME_SYMBOLS, + leadership_filter=False, + notes="Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe", + ), + } + + +def build_candidate_configs() -> list[GrowthPullbackConfig]: + universe_specs = build_universe_specs() + exposures = suite.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.00) + regimes = { + "qqq_breadth": suite.RegimeConfig("qqq_breadth", "QQQ", "broad"), + "spy_breadth": suite.RegimeConfig("spy_breadth", "SPY", "broad"), + } + setups = ( + ("focused", 12, 0.10, 0.40, 0.05), + ("balanced", 16, 0.08, 0.30, 0.10), + ("diversified", 24, 0.06, 0.20, 0.15), + ) + configs: list[GrowthPullbackConfig] = [] + + # broad growth / leadership pullback: test broad and leadership universes, plus balanced/pullback-tilt score templates + for universe_name in ("large_cap_eligible", "leadership_growth"): + for score_template in ("balanced_pullback", "pullback_tilt"): + for setup_name, holdings, single_cap, sector_cap, hold_bonus in setups: + for regime in regimes.values(): + configs.append( + GrowthPullbackConfig( + name=f"broad_{universe_name}_{score_template}_{setup_name}_{regime.name}", + family="broad_growth_leadership_pullback", + universe_spec=universe_specs[universe_name], + score_template=score_template, + holdings_count=holdings, + single_name_cap=single_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + regime=regime, + exposures=exposures, + hold_bonus=hold_bonus, + ) + ) + + # tech-heavy pullback + for setup_name, holdings, single_cap, sector_cap, hold_bonus in setups: + for regime in regimes.values(): + configs.append( + GrowthPullbackConfig( + name=f"tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_{setup_name}_{regime.name}", + family="tech_heavy_pullback", + universe_spec=universe_specs["tech_heavy"], + score_template="balanced_pullback", + holdings_count=holdings, + single_name_cap=single_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + regime=regime, + exposures=exposures, + hold_bonus=hold_bonus, + ) + ) + + # crypto-linked equity theme pullback + for setup_name, holdings, single_cap, sector_cap, hold_bonus in setups: + for regime in regimes.values(): + configs.append( + GrowthPullbackConfig( + name=f"crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_{setup_name}_{regime.name}", + family="crypto_equity_theme_pullback", + universe_spec=universe_specs["crypto_linked_equity_theme"], + score_template="balanced_pullback", + holdings_count=holdings, + single_name_cap=single_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + regime=regime, + exposures=exposures, + hold_bonus=hold_bonus, + ) + ) + + # trend-only control + for setup_name, holdings, single_cap, sector_cap, hold_bonus in setups: + for regime in regimes.values(): + configs.append( + GrowthPullbackConfig( + name=f"trend_only_control_{setup_name}_{regime.name}", + family="trend_only_control", + universe_spec=universe_specs["leadership_growth"], + score_template="trend_only", + holdings_count=holdings, + single_name_cap=single_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + regime=regime, + exposures=exposures, + hold_bonus=hold_bonus, + ) + ) + + # naive dip-buy control + for setup_name, holdings, single_cap, sector_cap, hold_bonus in setups: + for regime in regimes.values(): + configs.append( + GrowthPullbackConfig( + name=f"naive_dip_buy_control_{setup_name}_{regime.name}", + family="naive_dip_buy_control", + universe_spec=universe_specs["large_cap_eligible"], + score_template="naive_dip_buy", + holdings_count=holdings, + single_name_cap=single_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + regime=regime, + exposures=exposures, + hold_bonus=hold_bonus, + ) + ) + return configs + + +def apply_universe_filter(frame: pd.DataFrame, config: GrowthPullbackConfig) -> pd.DataFrame: + eligible = frame.loc[frame["base_eligible"]].copy() + eligible = eligible.loc[eligible["adv20_usd"] >= float(config.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd)].copy() + if eligible.empty: + return eligible + + if config.universe_spec.sector_whitelist: + eligible = eligible.loc[eligible["sector"].isin(config.universe_spec.sector_whitelist)].copy() + if config.universe_spec.symbol_whitelist: + allowed = {str(symbol).upper() for symbol in config.universe_spec.symbol_whitelist} + eligible = eligible.loc[eligible["symbol"].isin(allowed)].copy() + if eligible.empty: + return eligible + + if config.universe_spec.leadership_filter: + leadership_proxy = ( + eligible["mom_12_1"] * 0.45 + + eligible["mom_6_1"] * 0.20 + + eligible["breakout_252"] * 0.20 + + eligible["sma200_gap"] * 0.15 + ) + cutoff = float(leadership_proxy.median()) + eligible = eligible.loc[(leadership_proxy >= cutoff) & (eligible["sma200_gap"] > 0)].copy() + return eligible + + +def compute_family_features(scored: pd.DataFrame, benchmark_rows: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + qqq_row = benchmark_rows.loc[benchmark_rows["symbol"] == "QQQ"] + if qqq_row.empty: + raise RuntimeError("QQQ benchmark row missing from snapshot") + qqq_mom_6_1 = float(qqq_row.iloc[-1]["mom_6_1"]) + qqq_mom_12_1 = float(qqq_row.iloc[-1]["mom_12_1"]) + + scored = scored.copy() + scored["excess_mom_6_1"] = scored["mom_6_1"] - qqq_mom_6_1 + scored["excess_mom_12_1"] = scored["mom_12_1"] - qqq_mom_12_1 + scored["drawdown_abs"] = scored["maxdd_126"].abs() + scored["pullback_depth_63"] = (-scored["dist_63_high"]).clip(lower=0.0) + scored["pullback_depth_126"] = (-scored["dist_126_high"]).clip(lower=0.0) + scored["recent_weakness"] = (-scored["rebound_20"]).clip(lower=0.0) + scored["trend_strength"] = ( + scored["sma200_gap"] * 0.45 + + scored["breakout_252"] * 0.35 + + scored["ma50_over_ma200"] * 0.20 + ) + scored["controlled_pullback_score"] = ( + -((scored["dist_63_high"] + 0.08).abs() * 0.55) + -((scored["dist_126_high"] + 0.12).abs() * 0.25) + -(((-scored["sma50_gap"]).clip(lower=0.0)) * 0.10) + -(((-scored["sma200_gap"]).clip(lower=0.0)) * 0.10) + ) + scored["recovery_confirmation"] = ( + scored["sma20_gap"] * 0.40 + + scored["sma50_gap"] * 0.35 + + scored["rebound_20"] * 0.25 + ) + group_median = scored.groupby("sector")["excess_mom_12_1"].transform("median") if scored["sector"].nunique() > 1 else pd.Series(float(scored["excess_mom_12_1"].median()), index=scored.index) + scored["rel_strength_vs_group"] = scored["excess_mom_12_1"] - group_median + scored["naive_dip_buy_signal"] = ( + scored["pullback_depth_63"] * 0.40 + + scored["pullback_depth_126"] * 0.30 + + scored["recent_weakness"] * 0.20 + + ((-scored["sma20_gap"]).clip(lower=0.0) * 0.10) + ) + return scored + + +def _group_zscore(values: pd.Series, group_keys: pd.Series | None) -> pd.Series: + if group_keys is None: + return suite.zscore(values) + return pd.to_numeric(values, errors="coerce").groupby(group_keys).transform(suite.zscore) + + +def score_candidates( + frame: pd.DataFrame, + current_holdings: set[str], + config: GrowthPullbackConfig, +) -> pd.DataFrame: + benchmark_rows = frame.loc[frame["symbol"].isin(["QQQ", "SPY", "XLK", "SMH"])].copy() + eligible = apply_universe_filter(frame, config) + if eligible.empty: + return eligible + scored = compute_family_features(eligible, benchmark_rows) + + if config.universe_spec.normalization == "sector": + group_keys = scored["sector"] if scored["sector"].nunique() > 1 else None + elif config.universe_spec.normalization == "universe": + group_keys = None + else: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported normalization: {config.universe_spec.normalization}") + + for column in ( + "excess_mom_12_1", + "excess_mom_6_1", + "trend_strength", + "controlled_pullback_score", + "recovery_confirmation", + "rel_strength_vs_group", + "vol_63", + "drawdown_abs", + "breakout_252", + "naive_dip_buy_signal", + "pullback_depth_63", + "pullback_depth_126", + "recent_weakness", + ): + scored[f"z_{column}"] = _group_zscore(scored[column], group_keys) + + if config.score_template == "balanced_pullback": + scored["score"] = ( + scored["z_excess_mom_12_1"] * 0.25 + + scored["z_excess_mom_6_1"] * 0.20 + + scored["z_trend_strength"] * 0.15 + + scored["z_controlled_pullback_score"] * 0.15 + + scored["z_recovery_confirmation"] * 0.10 + + scored["z_rel_strength_vs_group"] * 0.10 + - scored["z_vol_63"] * 0.03 + - scored["z_drawdown_abs"] * 0.02 + ) + elif config.score_template == "pullback_tilt": + scored["score"] = ( + scored["z_excess_mom_12_1"] * 0.18 + + scored["z_excess_mom_6_1"] * 0.12 + + scored["z_trend_strength"] * 0.12 + + scored["z_controlled_pullback_score"] * 0.25 + + scored["z_recovery_confirmation"] * 0.18 + + scored["z_rel_strength_vs_group"] * 0.08 + - scored["z_vol_63"] * 0.04 + - scored["z_drawdown_abs"] * 0.03 + ) + elif config.score_template == "trend_only": + scored["score"] = ( + scored["z_excess_mom_12_1"] * 0.32 + + scored["z_excess_mom_6_1"] * 0.22 + + scored["z_trend_strength"] * 0.18 + + scored["z_breakout_252"] * 0.10 + + scored["z_rel_strength_vs_group"] * 0.10 + + scored["z_recovery_confirmation"] * 0.05 + - scored["z_vol_63"] * 0.03 + - scored["z_drawdown_abs"] * 0.02 + ) + elif config.score_template == "naive_dip_buy": + scored["score"] = ( + scored["z_naive_dip_buy_signal"] * 0.35 + + scored["z_pullback_depth_126"] * 0.20 + + scored["z_recent_weakness"] * 0.15 + + scored["z_pullback_depth_63"] * 0.10 + + scored["z_excess_mom_12_1"] * 0.05 + + scored["z_rel_strength_vs_group"] * 0.05 + - scored["z_vol_63"] * 0.05 + - scored["z_drawdown_abs"] * 0.05 + ) + else: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported score_template: {config.score_template}") + + if current_holdings: + scored.loc[scored["symbol"].isin(current_holdings), "score"] += float(config.hold_bonus) + return scored + + +def select_breadth_ratio(frame: pd.DataFrame, eligible: pd.DataFrame, config: GrowthPullbackConfig) -> float: + if config.regime.breadth_mode == "broad": + return float((eligible["sma200_gap"] > 0).mean()) if not eligible.empty else 0.0 + if config.regime.breadth_mode == "sector_etf": + breadth_rows = frame.loc[frame["symbol"].isin(config.regime.breadth_symbols)].copy() + return float((breadth_rows["sma200_gap"] > 0).mean()) if not breadth_rows.empty else 0.0 + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported breadth_mode: {config.regime.breadth_mode}") + + +def build_target_weights( + raw_snapshot: pd.DataFrame, + current_holdings: set[str], + config: GrowthPullbackConfig, +) -> tuple[dict[str, float], dict[str, object]]: + frame = raw_snapshot.copy() + benchmark_symbol = str(config.regime.benchmark_symbol).upper() + benchmark_rows = frame.loc[frame["symbol"] == benchmark_symbol] + benchmark_trend_positive = bool( + (not benchmark_rows.empty) + and pd.notna(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) + and float(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) > 0 + ) + + eligible_for_breadth = apply_universe_filter(frame, config) + breadth_ratio = select_breadth_ratio(frame, eligible_for_breadth, config) + if (not benchmark_trend_positive) and breadth_ratio < robust.HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD: + regime = "hard_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure) + elif (not benchmark_trend_positive) or breadth_ratio < robust.SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD: + regime = "soft_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure) + else: + regime = "risk_on" + stock_exposure = 1.0 + + if eligible_for_breadth.empty or stock_exposure <= 0: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": int(len(eligible_for_breadth)), + "selected_symbols": (), + }, + ) + + scored = score_candidates(frame, current_holdings, config) + if scored.empty: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": 0, + "selected_symbols": (), + }, + ) + ranked = scored.sort_values( + by=["score", "excess_mom_12_1", "trend_strength", "symbol"], + ascending=[False, False, False, True], + ) + + per_name_target = stock_exposure / max(config.holdings_count, 1) + sector_slot_cap = config.holdings_count if per_name_target <= 0 else max(1, int(math.floor(config.sector_cap / per_name_target))) + selected_rows = [] + sector_counts: dict[str, int] = {} + for row in ranked.itertuples(index=False): + sector = str(row.sector) + if sector_counts.get(sector, 0) >= sector_slot_cap: + continue + selected_rows.append(row._asdict()) + sector_counts[sector] = sector_counts.get(sector, 0) + 1 + if len(selected_rows) >= config.holdings_count: + break + + selected = pd.DataFrame(selected_rows) + if selected.empty: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "selected_symbols": (), + }, + ) + + per_name_weight = min(float(config.single_name_cap), stock_exposure / len(selected)) + invested_weight = per_name_weight * len(selected) + weights = {row.symbol: per_name_weight for row in selected.itertuples(index=False)} + if invested_weight < 1.0: + weights[suite.SAFE_HAVEN] = 1.0 - invested_weight + metadata = { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": stock_exposure, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "selected_symbols": tuple(selected["symbol"].tolist()), + "selected_sectors": tuple(selected["sector"].tolist()), + "sector_slot_cap": sector_slot_cap, + } + return weights, metadata + + +def run_growth_pullback_backtest( + raw_snapshots: Mapping[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame], + returns_matrix: pd.DataFrame, + config: GrowthPullbackConfig, +) -> dict[str, object]: + index = returns_matrix.index + rebalance_dates = set(raw_snapshots) + weights_history = pd.DataFrame(0.0, index=index, columns=sorted(set(returns_matrix.columns) | {suite.SAFE_HAVEN})) + portfolio_returns = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name=config.name) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name="turnover") + selection_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + current_weights: dict[str, float] = {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + current_holdings: set[str] = set() + + for idx in range(len(index) - 1): + date = index[idx] + next_date = index[idx + 1] + if date in rebalance_dates: + target_weights, metadata = build_target_weights(raw_snapshots[date], current_holdings, config) + turnover_history.at[next_date] = suite.compute_turnover(current_weights, target_weights) + current_weights = target_weights + current_holdings = {symbol for symbol, weight in current_weights.items() if weight > 1e-12 and symbol != suite.SAFE_HAVEN} + selection_rows.append( + { + "rebalance_date": date, + "selected_symbols": tuple(metadata.get("selected_symbols", ())), + "selected_count": len(metadata.get("selected_symbols", ())), + "regime": metadata.get("regime"), + "breadth_ratio": metadata.get("breadth_ratio"), + "benchmark_symbol": metadata.get("benchmark_symbol"), + "benchmark_trend_positive": metadata.get("benchmark_trend_positive"), + "candidate_count": metadata.get("candidate_count"), + "stock_exposure": metadata.get("stock_exposure"), + "family": config.family, + } + ) + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[date, symbol] = weight + next_returns = returns_matrix.loc[next_date].fillna(0.0) + portfolio_returns.at[next_date] = sum(weight * float(next_returns.get(symbol, 0.0)) for symbol, weight in current_weights.items()) + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[index[-1], symbol] = weight + + selection_history = pd.DataFrame(selection_rows) + return { + "gross_returns": portfolio_returns, + "weights_history": weights_history.loc[:, (weights_history != 0.0).any(axis=0)], + "turnover_history": turnover_history, + "selection_history": selection_history, + } + + +def config_fields(config: GrowthPullbackConfig) -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "family": config.family, + "universe": config.universe_spec.name, + "normalization": config.universe_spec.normalization, + "normalization_label": normalization_label(config.universe_spec.normalization), + "min_adv20_usd": float(config.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd), + "leadership_filter": bool(config.universe_spec.leadership_filter), + "sector_whitelist": json.dumps(list(config.universe_spec.sector_whitelist), ensure_ascii=False), + "symbol_whitelist": json.dumps(list(config.universe_spec.symbol_whitelist), ensure_ascii=False), + "score_template": config.score_template, + "holdings_count": int(config.holdings_count), + "single_name_cap": float(config.single_name_cap), + "sector_cap": float(config.sector_cap), + "hold_bonus": float(config.hold_bonus), + "regime_name": config.regime.name, + "benchmark_symbol": config.regime.benchmark_symbol, + "breadth_mode": config.regime.breadth_mode, + "breadth_symbols": json.dumps(list(config.regime.breadth_symbols), ensure_ascii=False), + "soft_defense_exposure": float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure), + "hard_defense_exposure": float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure), + "notes": config.universe_spec.notes, + } + + +def evaluate_candidate_rows( + config: GrowthPullbackConfig, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + cost_bps_values: Iterable[float], +) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, StrategyArtifacts]]: + result = run_growth_pullback_backtest(context["raw_snapshots"], context["stock_returns_matrix"], config) + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + artifacts_by_cost: dict[float, StrategyArtifacts] = {} + for cost_bps in cost_bps_values: + net_returns = result["gross_returns"] - result["turnover_history"].reindex(result["gross_returns"].index).fillna(0.0) * (float(cost_bps) / 10_000.0) + rolling_alpha = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(net_returns, benchmark_returns) + turnover_profile = robust.compute_turnover_profile(result["selection_history"], result["turnover_history"]) + sector_weights = robust.compute_average_sector_weights(result["weights_history"], result["selection_history"], context["universe_history"]) + artifacts_by_cost[float(cost_bps)] = StrategyArtifacts( + gross_returns=net_returns, + weights_history=result["weights_history"], + turnover_history=result["turnover_history"], + selection_history=result["selection_history"], + rolling_alpha=rolling_alpha, + turnover_profile=turnover_profile, + sector_weights=sector_weights, + ) + for period_name, start, end in COMPARISON_PERIODS: + metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + result["weights_history"], + result["turnover_history"], + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + rolling_series = rolling_alpha if period_name == "Full Sample" else robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(net_returns, start, end), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + ) + rows.append( + { + "strategy": config.name, + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + **config_fields(config), + **metrics, + **robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_series), + **turnover_profile, + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({k: float(v) for k, v in sector_weights.items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + ) + return rows, artifacts_by_cost + + +def build_reference_rows(context: dict[str, object], cost_bps_values: Iterable[float]) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, dict[float, object]]]: + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + qqq_default = v11.load_spec_config(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json") + qqq_aggressive = v11.load_spec_config(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json") + default_rows, default_artifacts = v11.evaluate_final_strategy_rows("qqq_plus_current_default", qqq_default, context, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=cost_bps_values) + aggressive_rows, aggressive_artifacts = v11.evaluate_final_strategy_rows("aggressive_alt_spec", qqq_aggressive, context, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=cost_bps_values) + defensive_rows, defensive_artifacts = v11.evaluate_defensive_rows(context, cost_bps_values=cost_bps_values) + qqq_rows = v11.evaluate_qqq_rows(benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=cost_bps_values) + rows = pd.DataFrame(default_rows + aggressive_rows + defensive_rows + qqq_rows) + return rows, { + "qqq_plus_current_default": default_artifacts, + "aggressive_alt_spec": aggressive_artifacts, + "defensive_baseline": defensive_artifacts, + } + + +def summarize_candidates(ablations_df: pd.DataFrame, qqq_reference_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows = [] + qqq_oos_cagr = float(qqq_reference_df.loc[(qqq_reference_df["period"] == "OOS Sample") & (qqq_reference_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS), "CAGR"].iloc[0]) + candidate_rows = ablations_df.loc[ablations_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy() + for strategy_name, group in candidate_rows.groupby("strategy", sort=False): + full_row = group.loc[group["period"] == "Full Sample"].iloc[0] + oos_row = group.loc[group["period"] == "OOS Sample"].iloc[0] + row_2022 = group.loc[group["period"] == "2022"].iloc[0] + row_2023 = group.loc[group["period"] == "2023+"].iloc[0] + rows.append( + { + **config_fields( + GrowthPullbackConfig( + name=strategy_name, + family=str(full_row["family"]), + universe_spec=UniverseSpec( + name=str(full_row["universe"]), + normalization=str(full_row["normalization"]), + min_adv20_usd=float(full_row["min_adv20_usd"]), + leadership_filter=bool(full_row["leadership_filter"]), + sector_whitelist=tuple(json.loads(full_row["sector_whitelist"])), + symbol_whitelist=tuple(json.loads(full_row["symbol_whitelist"])), + notes=str(full_row["notes"]), + ), + score_template=str(full_row["score_template"]), + holdings_count=int(full_row["holdings_count"]), + single_name_cap=float(full_row["single_name_cap"]), + sector_cap=float(full_row["sector_cap"]), + regime=suite.RegimeConfig(str(full_row["regime_name"]), str(full_row["benchmark_symbol"]), str(full_row["breadth_mode"]), tuple(json.loads(full_row["breadth_symbols"]))), + exposures=suite.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", float(full_row["soft_defense_exposure"]), float(full_row["hard_defense_exposure"])), + hold_bonus=float(full_row["hold_bonus"]), + ) + ), + "strategy": strategy_name, + "full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "full_information_ratio_vs_qqq": float(full_row["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]), + "full_alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(full_row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_cagr": float(oos_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(oos_row["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr), + "oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(oos_row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(oos_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_rolling_alpha_positive_ratio": float(oos_row["rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]), + "return_2022": float(row_2022["Total Return"]), + "cagr_2023_plus": float(row_2023["CAGR"]), + "annual_turnover": float(full_row["annual_turnover"]), + "average_names_held": float(full_row["Average Names Held"]), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def percentile_rank(series: pd.Series, *, higher_is_better: bool) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(series, errors="coerce") + ranked = numeric.rank(method="average", pct=True) if higher_is_better else (-numeric).rank(method="average", pct=True) + return ranked.fillna(0.0) + + +def add_selection_scores(summary_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + scored = summary_df.copy() + scored["score_oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] = percentile_rank(scored["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_oos_alpha_ratio"] = percentile_rank(scored["oos_rolling_alpha_positive_ratio"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] = percentile_rank(scored["oos_max_drawdown"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_2022"] = percentile_rank(scored["return_2022"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_2023_plus"] = percentile_rank(scored["cagr_2023_plus"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_full_ir"] = percentile_rank(scored["full_information_ratio_vs_qqq"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_turnover"] = percentile_rank(scored["annual_turnover"], higher_is_better=False) + scored["score_names_held"] = percentile_rank(scored["average_names_held"], higher_is_better=True) + complexity_adj = { + "broad_growth_leadership_pullback": 0.03, + "trend_only_control": 0.01, + "tech_heavy_pullback": 0.00, + "crypto_equity_theme_pullback": -0.02, + "naive_dip_buy_control": -0.05, + } + scored["complexity_adjustment"] = scored["family"].map(complexity_adj).fillna(0.0) + scored["robustness_score"] = ( + scored["score_oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] * 0.25 + + scored["score_oos_alpha_ratio"] * 0.20 + + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] * 0.15 + + scored["score_2022"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_2023_plus"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_full_ir"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_turnover"] * 0.05 + + scored["score_names_held"] * 0.05 + + scored["complexity_adjustment"] + ) + scored["full_cagr_rank"] = scored["full_cagr"].rank(method="dense", ascending=False) + scored["robustness_rank"] = scored["robustness_score"].rank(method="dense", ascending=False) + scored["core_viable"] = ( + (scored["family"] != "naive_dip_buy_control") + & (scored["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] > 0) + & (scored["oos_rolling_alpha_positive_ratio"] >= 0.75) + & (scored["oos_max_drawdown"] >= -0.45) + & (scored["average_names_held"] >= 6) + ) + return scored.sort_values( + by=["robustness_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "full_information_ratio_vs_qqq", "full_cagr"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def pick_specs(selection_df: pd.DataFrame) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]: + ranked = selection_df.copy() + default_pool = ranked.loc[ranked["core_viable"]].copy() + if default_pool.empty: + default_pool = ranked.loc[ranked["family"] != "naive_dip_buy_control"].copy() + default_row = default_pool.iloc[0] + + aggressive_pool = ranked.loc[(ranked["family"] != "naive_dip_buy_control") & (ranked["strategy"] != default_row["strategy"])].copy() + if aggressive_pool.empty: + aggressive_pool = ranked.loc[ranked["strategy"] != default_row["strategy"]].copy() + aggressive_row = aggressive_pool.sort_values( + by=["full_cagr", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "cagr_2023_plus", "robustness_score"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).iloc[0] + return default_row, aggressive_row, ranked + + +def build_family_best_table(selection_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows = [] + for family, group in selection_df.groupby("family", sort=False): + top = group.sort_values(by=["robustness_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "full_cagr"], ascending=[False, False, False]).iloc[0] + rows.append(top.to_dict()) + return pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values(by=["robustness_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], ascending=[False, False]).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def build_comparison_table( + family_best_df: pd.DataFrame, + candidate_rows_df: pd.DataFrame, + reference_rows_df: pd.DataFrame, +) -> pd.DataFrame: + chosen = set(family_best_df["strategy"].tolist()) + candidate_table = candidate_rows_df.loc[(candidate_rows_df["strategy"].isin(chosen)) & (candidate_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS)].copy() + reference_table = reference_rows_df.loc[ + (reference_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) + & (reference_rows_df["strategy"].isin(["qqq_plus_current_default", "aggressive_alt_spec", "defensive_baseline", "QQQ"])) + ].copy() + return pd.concat([candidate_table, reference_table], ignore_index=True) + + +def build_recommendation( + *, + family_best_df: pd.DataFrame, + default_row: pd.Series, + aggressive_row: pd.Series, +) -> dict[str, object]: + broad_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "broad_growth_leadership_pullback"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "broad_growth_leadership_pullback").any() else None + tech_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "tech_heavy_pullback"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "tech_heavy_pullback").any() else None + crypto_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "crypto_equity_theme_pullback"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "crypto_equity_theme_pullback").any() else None + trend_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "trend_only_control"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "trend_only_control").any() else None + naive_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "naive_dip_buy_control"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "naive_dip_buy_control").any() else None + + if default_row["family"] == "broad_growth_leadership_pullback": + main_line = "broad_growth_leadership_pullback" + elif default_row["family"] == "tech_heavy_pullback": + main_line = "tech_heavy_pullback" + else: + main_line = str(default_row["family"]) + + crypto_decision = "only_as_secondary_thematic_bucket" + if crypto_best is not None and bool(crypto_best["core_viable"]) and float(crypto_best["robustness_score"]) >= float(default_row["robustness_score"]) - 0.03: + crypto_decision = "yes" + if crypto_best is not None and (float(crypto_best["average_names_held"]) < 6 or float(crypto_best["oos_max_drawdown"]) < -0.45): + crypto_decision = "only_as_secondary_thematic_bucket" + if crypto_best is not None and (float(crypto_best["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) <= 0 or float(crypto_best["robustness_score"]) < 0.45): + crypto_decision = "no" + + return { + "strategy_family": GROWTH_PULLBACK_NAME, + "default_research_spec": { + "name": str(default_row["strategy"]), + "family": str(default_row["family"]), + "robustness_score": float(default_row["robustness_score"]), + "full_cagr": float(default_row["full_cagr"]), + "oos_cagr": float(default_row["oos_cagr"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(default_row["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]), + "return_2022": float(default_row["return_2022"]), + "cagr_2023_plus": float(default_row["cagr_2023_plus"]), + }, + "aggressive_research_spec": { + "name": str(aggressive_row["strategy"]), + "family": str(aggressive_row["family"]), + "robustness_score": float(aggressive_row["robustness_score"]), + "full_cagr": float(aggressive_row["full_cagr"]), + "oos_cagr": float(aggressive_row["oos_cagr"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(aggressive_row["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]), + }, + "answers": { + "A_user_preference_kernel": { + "best_kept_core": "controlled_pullback_inside_strength" if default_row["family"] != "trend_only_control" else "broad_leadership_trend", + "broad_growth_vs_tech": "broad_growth_or_leadership" if (broad_best is not None and tech_best is not None and float(broad_best["robustness_score"]) >= float(tech_best["robustness_score"])) else "tech_heavy", + "crypto_theme": crypto_decision, + }, + "B_remove_from_rules": [ + "越跌越买", + "对熟悉赛道过度集中", + "把好公司和好买点混为一谈", + "没有统一的退出/降暴露规则", + ], + "C_stock_line_to_continue": main_line, + "D_crypto_linked_equity_theme": crypto_decision, + "E_next_main_direction": "continue_stock_line_spec_lock", + }, + "family_best_summary": family_best_df[[ + "family", "strategy", "robustness_score", "full_cagr", "oos_cagr", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "return_2022", "cagr_2023_plus" + ]].to_dict(orient="records"), + "valuation_overlay_v1": { + "included": False, + "reason": "workspace lacks reliable point-in-time historical valuation/fundamental data", + }, + } + + +def write_hypotheses_note(path: Path) -> None: + path.write_text(HYPOTHESES_NOTE, encoding="utf-8") + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + def fmt(value): + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(v) for v in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_summary_markdown( + path: Path, + *, + workspace_mapping: dict[str, object], + family_best_df: pd.DataFrame, + comparison_df: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], + crypto_theme_df: pd.DataFrame, +) -> None: + lines = [ + "# growth_pullback_systematic_v1 summary", + "", + "## Workspace mapping", + f"- qqq_plus suite: {workspace_mapping['qqq_plus_suite']}", + f"- qqq_plus default config: {workspace_mapping['qqq_plus_default_config']}", + f"- qqq_plus aggressive config: {workspace_mapping['qqq_plus_aggressive_config']}", + f"- defensive strategy entry: {workspace_mapping['defensive_strategy_entry']}", + f"- defensive backtest entry: {workspace_mapping['defensive_backtest_entry']}", + f"- new research entry: {workspace_mapping['new_research_entry']}", + f"- avoided repos: {', '.join(workspace_mapping['avoided_repos'])}", + "", + "## Family best table (5 bps)", + format_table(family_best_df[[ + 'family', 'strategy', 'robustness_score', 'full_cagr', 'oos_cagr', 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq', 'return_2022', 'cagr_2023_plus' + ]]), + "", + "## Final comparison (5 bps)", + format_table(comparison_df[[ + 'strategy', 'period', 'family', 'CAGR', 'Total Return', 'Max Drawdown', 'Sharpe', 'Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ', 'Information Ratio vs QQQ', 'Turnover/Year' + ]]), + "", + "## Crypto-linked theme list", + format_table(crypto_theme_df[['symbol', 'theme_bucket', 'reason', 'present_in_iwb_proxy', 'first_seen_start_date']]), + "", + "## Recommendation", + f"- default_research_spec={recommendation['default_research_spec']['name']}", + f"- aggressive_research_spec={recommendation['aggressive_research_spec']['name']}", + f"- stock_line_to_continue={recommendation['answers']['C_stock_line_to_continue']}", + f"- crypto_linked_equity_theme={recommendation['answers']['D_crypto_linked_equity_theme']}", + f"- next_main_direction={recommendation['answers']['E_next_main_direction']}", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def build_workspace_mapping() -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "qqq_plus_suite": str(SCRIPT_DIR / "backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py"), + "qqq_plus_default_config": str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json"), + "qqq_plus_aggressive_config": str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json"), + "defensive_strategy_entry": str(suite.US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py"), + "defensive_backtest_entry": str(suite.US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies/backtests/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py"), + "interactivebrokers_research_dir": str(SCRIPT_DIR), + "us_equity_strategies_read_only_reference": str(suite.US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies"), + "quant_platform_kit_shared_read_only": str(suite.QUANT_PLATFORM_KIT_ROOT / "src/quant_platform_kit"), + "new_research_entry": str(SCRIPT_DIR / "backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py"), + "avoided_repos": [ + "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/BinancePlatform", + "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/CryptoLeaderRotation", + ], + } + + +def build_crypto_theme_audit(universe_history: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows = [] + symbols = universe_history["symbol"].astype(str).str.upper() + for item in CRYPTO_THEME_ROWS: + symbol = item["symbol"] + history = universe_history.loc[symbols == symbol].copy() + first_seen = str(pd.to_datetime(history["start_date"]).min().date()) if not history.empty else None + rows.append({ + **item, + "present_in_iwb_proxy": bool(not history.empty), + "first_seen_start_date": first_seen, + }) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + configs_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + candidate_rows = [] + candidate_artifacts: dict[str, dict[float, StrategyArtifacts]] = {} + for config in build_candidate_configs(): + rows, artifacts = evaluate_candidate_rows(config, context, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=args.cost_bps) + candidate_rows.extend(rows) + candidate_artifacts[config.name] = artifacts + candidate_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(candidate_rows) + candidate_rows_df["Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ"] = candidate_rows_df["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"] + + reference_rows_df, _reference_artifacts = build_reference_rows(context, args.cost_bps) + reference_rows_df["family"] = reference_rows_df.get("family", pd.Series(index=reference_rows_df.index, dtype=object)).fillna("reference") + reference_rows_df["Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ"] = reference_rows_df.get("alpha_ann_vs_qqq", pd.Series(index=reference_rows_df.index, dtype=float)) + + qqq_reference_df = reference_rows_df.loc[(reference_rows_df["strategy"] == "QQQ") & (reference_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS)].copy() + selection_df = summarize_candidates(candidate_rows_df, qqq_reference_df) + selection_df = add_selection_scores(selection_df) + default_row, aggressive_row, ranked_selection = pick_specs(selection_df) + family_best_df = build_family_best_table(ranked_selection) + comparison_df = build_comparison_table(family_best_df, candidate_rows_df, reference_rows_df) + crypto_theme_df = build_crypto_theme_audit(context["universe_history"]) + recommendation = build_recommendation(family_best_df=family_best_df, default_row=default_row, aggressive_row=aggressive_row) + + # export configs for selected specs + selected_configs = {config.name: config for config in build_candidate_configs()} + save_spec_config(configs_dir / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json", selected_configs[str(default_row["strategy"])], role="default_research_spec") + save_spec_config(configs_dir / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_aggressive.json", selected_configs[str(aggressive_row["strategy"])], role="aggressive_research_spec") + + write_hypotheses_note(results_dir / "growth_pullback_hypotheses.md") + candidate_rows_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_ablations.csv", index=False) + comparison_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_equity_comparison.csv", index=False) + ranked_selection.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_selection_score.csv", index=False) + crypto_theme_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_crypto_theme_constituents.csv", index=False) + (results_dir / "growth_pullback_recommendation.json").write_text(json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + workspace_mapping = build_workspace_mapping() + (results_dir / "growth_pullback_workspace_mapping.json").write_text(json.dumps(workspace_mapping, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + write_summary_markdown( + results_dir / "growth_pullback_summary.md", + workspace_mapping=workspace_mapping, + family_best_df=family_best_df, + comparison_df=comparison_df, + recommendation=recommendation, + crypto_theme_df=crypto_theme_df, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"default research spec: {default_row['strategy']}") + print(f"aggressive research spec: {aggressive_row['strategy']}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6414917 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py @@ -0,0 +1,715 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +"""Local spec-lock for growth_pullback_systematic_v1 around the current tech-heavy center.""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import math +import sys +from dataclasses import replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +SUPPLEMENTAL_COST_BPS = 0.0 +COST_LEVELS = (SUPPLEMENTAL_COST_BPS, MAIN_COST_BPS) +CENTER_CONFIG_PATH = DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json" +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", "2022-01-01", None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +LOCAL_VALUES = { + "holdings_count": (12, 16), + "single_name_cap": (0.08, 0.10), + "sector_cap": (0.30, 0.40, 0.50), + "hold_bonus": (0.05, 0.10), + "min_adv20_usd": (20_000_000.0, 50_000_000.0), +} + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument("--alias-data-run-dir", help="Prepared alias-fixed Russell run dir") + parser.add_argument("--results-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--configs-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def extract_period_row(frame: pd.DataFrame, strategy: str, cost_bps: float, period: str) -> pd.Series: + return frame.loc[ + (frame["strategy"] == strategy) + & (frame["cost_bps_one_way"] == float(cost_bps)) + & (frame["period"] == period) + ].iloc[0] + + +def _find_neighbor_index(values: tuple[float, ...], current_value: float) -> int: + for idx, value in enumerate(values): + if math.isclose(float(value), float(current_value), rel_tol=0.0, abs_tol=1e-12): + return idx + raise ValueError(f"Current value {current_value} not found in {values}") + + +def _variant_name(center_name: str, changes: list[tuple[str, object]]) -> str: + suffixes = [] + for field_name, value in changes: + if isinstance(value, float): + if field_name == "min_adv20_usd": + suffixes.append(f"adv{int(round(value / 1_000_000.0))}m") + else: + suffixes.append(f"{field_name}_{str(value).replace('.', 'p')}") + else: + suffixes.append(f"{field_name}_{value}") + return center_name + "__" + "__".join(suffixes) + + +def apply_change(config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, field_name: str, value) -> gp.GrowthPullbackConfig: + if field_name == "min_adv20_usd": + universe_spec = replace(config.universe_spec, min_adv20_usd=float(value)) + return replace(config, name=_variant_name(config.name, [(field_name, value)]), universe_spec=universe_spec) + return replace(config, name=_variant_name(config.name, [(field_name, value)]), **{field_name: value}) + + +def apply_changes(config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, changes: list[tuple[str, object]]) -> gp.GrowthPullbackConfig: + updated = config + for field_name, value in changes: + if field_name == "min_adv20_usd": + updated = replace(updated, universe_spec=replace(updated.universe_spec, min_adv20_usd=float(value))) + else: + updated = replace(updated, **{field_name: value}) + return replace(updated, name=_variant_name(config.name, changes)) + + +def build_first_order_neighbors(center: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig) -> list[tuple[dict[str, object], gp.GrowthPullbackConfig]]: + neighbors: list[tuple[dict[str, object], gp.GrowthPullbackConfig]] = [] + current_map = { + "holdings_count": center.holdings_count, + "single_name_cap": center.single_name_cap, + "sector_cap": center.sector_cap, + "hold_bonus": center.hold_bonus, + "min_adv20_usd": center.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd, + } + for field_name, values in LOCAL_VALUES.items(): + idx = _find_neighbor_index(values, current_map[field_name]) + for direction, offset in (("down", -1), ("up", 1)): + new_idx = idx + offset + if new_idx < 0 or new_idx >= len(values): + continue + value = values[new_idx] + neighbor = apply_change(center, field_name, value) + neighbors.append(( + { + "variant_scope": "first_order", + "change_count": 1, + "change_1_field": field_name, + "change_1_value": value, + "change_2_field": None, + "change_2_value": None, + "change_summary": f"{field_name}:{current_map[field_name]}->{value}", + }, + neighbor, + )) + return neighbors + + +def build_second_order_candidates( + center: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, + *, + first_order_oos: pd.DataFrame, + occupancy_summary: pd.DataFrame, +) -> list[tuple[dict[str, object], gp.GrowthPullbackConfig]]: + center_avg = float(occupancy_summary.loc[occupancy_summary["strategy"] == center.name, "avg_selected_count"].iloc[0]) + center_oos = float(first_order_oos.loc[first_order_oos["strategy"] == center.name, "CAGR"].iloc[0]) + + candidate_rows = first_order_oos.merge( + occupancy_summary[["strategy", "avg_selected_count"]], + on="strategy", + how="left", + ) + sector50_ok = candidate_rows.loc[ + candidate_rows["change_summary"].astype(str).str.contains("sector_cap:0.4->0.5", regex=False) + & candidate_rows["avg_selected_count"].ge(center_avg + 1.0) + & candidate_rows["CAGR"].ge(center_oos - 0.02) + ] + if sector50_ok.empty: + return [] + + changes = [ + [("sector_cap", 0.50), ("holdings_count", 16)], + [("sector_cap", 0.50), ("single_name_cap", 0.08)], + [("sector_cap", 0.50), ("hold_bonus", 0.10)], + [("sector_cap", 0.50), ("min_adv20_usd", 20_000_000.0)], + ] + variants: list[tuple[dict[str, object], gp.GrowthPullbackConfig]] = [] + seen: set[str] = set() + for pair in changes: + config = apply_changes(center, pair) + if config.name in seen: + continue + seen.add(config.name) + variants.append(( + { + "variant_scope": "second_order", + "change_count": 2, + "change_1_field": pair[0][0], + "change_1_value": pair[0][1], + "change_2_field": pair[1][0], + "change_2_value": pair[1][1], + "change_summary": ", ".join(f"{field}={value}" for field, value in pair), + }, + config, + )) + return variants + + +def stage_universe_counts(frame: pd.DataFrame, config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig) -> dict[str, object]: + base = frame.loc[frame["base_eligible"]].copy() + adv = base.loc[base["adv20_usd"] >= float(config.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd)].copy() + stage = adv + sector_count_before_theme = int(stage["sector"].nunique()) if not stage.empty else 0 + if config.universe_spec.sector_whitelist: + stage = stage.loc[stage["sector"].isin(config.universe_spec.sector_whitelist)].copy() + after_sector = stage.copy() + if config.universe_spec.symbol_whitelist: + allowed = {str(symbol).upper() for symbol in config.universe_spec.symbol_whitelist} + stage = stage.loc[stage["symbol"].isin(allowed)].copy() + after_symbols = stage.copy() + if config.universe_spec.leadership_filter and not stage.empty: + leadership_proxy = ( + stage["mom_12_1"] * 0.45 + + stage["mom_6_1"] * 0.20 + + stage["breakout_252"] * 0.20 + + stage["sma200_gap"] * 0.15 + ) + cutoff = float(leadership_proxy.median()) + stage = stage.loc[(leadership_proxy >= cutoff) & (stage["sma200_gap"] > 0)].copy() + final_stage = stage + return { + "base_eligible_count": int(len(base)), + "adv_filtered_count": int(len(adv)), + "after_sector_count": int(len(after_sector)), + "after_symbol_count": int(len(after_symbols)), + "final_candidate_count": int(len(final_stage)), + "active_sector_count": int(final_stage["sector"].nunique()) if not final_stage.empty else 0, + "sector_count_before_theme": sector_count_before_theme, + } + + +def classify_underfill_reason( + *, + stock_exposure: float, + selected_count: int, + holdings_count: int, + counts: dict[str, object], + sector_capacity_limit: int, +) -> str: + if stock_exposure <= 1e-12: + return "hard_defense_zero_stock" + if selected_count >= holdings_count: + return "filled" + base_count = int(counts["base_eligible_count"]) + adv_count = int(counts["adv_filtered_count"]) + sector_count = int(counts["after_sector_count"]) + final_count = int(counts["final_candidate_count"]) + if adv_count < holdings_count and base_count >= holdings_count: + return "liquidity_gate" + if sector_count < holdings_count and adv_count >= holdings_count: + return "theme_universe_narrow" + if final_count >= holdings_count and sector_capacity_limit < holdings_count: + return "sector_cap_binding" + if final_count < holdings_count: + return "insufficient_candidates" + return "other" + + +def build_monthly_occupancy( + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, + artifacts: gp.StrategyArtifacts, + context: dict[str, object], + *, + strategy_label: str, +) -> pd.DataFrame: + selection = artifacts.selection_history.copy() + if selection.empty: + return pd.DataFrame() + selection["rebalance_date"] = pd.to_datetime(selection["rebalance_date"]).dt.tz_localize(None).dt.normalize() + rows = [] + for record in selection.itertuples(index=False): + rebalance_date = pd.Timestamp(record.rebalance_date).normalize() + frame = context["raw_snapshots"][rebalance_date] + counts = stage_universe_counts(frame, config) + stock_exposure = float(record.stock_exposure) if pd.notna(record.stock_exposure) else 0.0 + per_name_target = stock_exposure / max(int(config.holdings_count), 1) + sector_slot_cap = config.holdings_count if per_name_target <= 0 else max(1, int(math.floor(config.sector_cap / per_name_target))) + sector_capacity_limit = min(config.holdings_count, int(counts["active_sector_count"]) * int(sector_slot_cap)) + + weight_row = artifacts.weights_history.loc[rebalance_date].fillna(0.0) + stock_weights = weight_row.drop(labels=[suite.SAFE_HAVEN], errors="ignore") + stock_weights = stock_weights[stock_weights > 1e-12] + stock_weight = float(stock_weights.sum()) + safe_haven_weight = float(weight_row.get(suite.SAFE_HAVEN, 0.0)) + rows.append( + { + "strategy": strategy_label, + "rebalance_date": str(rebalance_date.date()), + "regime": str(record.regime), + "stock_exposure": stock_exposure, + "selected_count": int(record.selected_count), + "stock_weight": stock_weight, + "safe_haven_weight": safe_haven_weight, + "top1_stock_weight": float(stock_weights.nlargest(1).sum()) if not stock_weights.empty else 0.0, + "top3_stock_weight": float(stock_weights.nlargest(min(3, len(stock_weights))).sum()) if not stock_weights.empty else 0.0, + "top5_stock_weight": float(stock_weights.nlargest(min(5, len(stock_weights))).sum()) if not stock_weights.empty else 0.0, + "base_eligible_count": int(counts["base_eligible_count"]), + "adv_filtered_count": int(counts["adv_filtered_count"]), + "after_sector_count": int(counts["after_sector_count"]), + "after_symbol_count": int(counts["after_symbol_count"]), + "final_candidate_count": int(counts["final_candidate_count"]), + "active_sector_count": int(counts["active_sector_count"]), + "sector_slot_cap": int(sector_slot_cap), + "sector_capacity_limit": int(sector_capacity_limit), + "underfilled_lt_nominal": bool(int(record.selected_count) < int(config.holdings_count)), + "underfilled_lt_10": bool(int(record.selected_count) < 10), + "underfilled_lt_8": bool(int(record.selected_count) < 8), + "underfilled_lt_6": bool(int(record.selected_count) < 6), + "primary_underfill_reason": classify_underfill_reason( + stock_exposure=stock_exposure, + selected_count=int(record.selected_count), + holdings_count=int(config.holdings_count), + counts=counts, + sector_capacity_limit=int(sector_capacity_limit), + ), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def summarize_occupancy(monthly_occupancy: pd.DataFrame, *, strategy_label: str) -> dict[str, float | str]: + if monthly_occupancy.empty: + return { + "strategy": strategy_label, + "avg_selected_count": float("nan"), + "risk_on_avg_names": float("nan"), + "soft_defense_avg_names": float("nan"), + "hard_defense_avg_names": float("nan"), + "share_lt_nominal": float("nan"), + "share_lt_10": float("nan"), + "share_lt_8": float("nan"), + "share_lt_6": float("nan"), + "avg_top1_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_top3_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_top5_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_safe_haven_weight": float("nan"), + "dominant_underfill_reason": "none", + "dominant_underfill_reason_share": float("nan"), + } + regime_means = monthly_occupancy.groupby("regime")["selected_count"].mean() + underfilled = monthly_occupancy.loc[monthly_occupancy["underfilled_lt_nominal"]].copy() + if underfilled.empty: + dominant_reason = "filled" + dominant_reason_share = 0.0 + else: + reason_share = underfilled["primary_underfill_reason"].value_counts(normalize=True) + dominant_reason = str(reason_share.index[0]) + dominant_reason_share = float(reason_share.iloc[0]) + return { + "strategy": strategy_label, + "avg_selected_count": float(monthly_occupancy["selected_count"].mean()), + "risk_on_avg_names": float(regime_means.get("risk_on", np.nan)), + "soft_defense_avg_names": float(regime_means.get("soft_defense", np.nan)), + "hard_defense_avg_names": float(regime_means.get("hard_defense", np.nan)), + "share_lt_nominal": float(monthly_occupancy["underfilled_lt_nominal"].mean()), + "share_lt_10": float(monthly_occupancy["underfilled_lt_10"].mean()), + "share_lt_8": float(monthly_occupancy["underfilled_lt_8"].mean()), + "share_lt_6": float(monthly_occupancy["underfilled_lt_6"].mean()), + "avg_top1_stock_weight": float(monthly_occupancy["top1_stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_top3_stock_weight": float(monthly_occupancy["top3_stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_top5_stock_weight": float(monthly_occupancy["top5_stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_stock_weight": float(monthly_occupancy["stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_safe_haven_weight": float(monthly_occupancy["safe_haven_weight"].mean()), + "dominant_underfill_reason": dominant_reason, + "dominant_underfill_reason_share": dominant_reason_share, + } + + +def add_local_selection_scores(summary_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + scored = summary_df.copy() + def pr(series: pd.Series, higher: bool) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(series, errors="coerce") + ranked = numeric.rank(method="average", pct=True) if higher else (-numeric).rank(method="average", pct=True) + return ranked.fillna(0.0) + + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] = pr(scored["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], True) + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] = pr(scored["oos_max_drawdown"], True) + scored["score_avg_names"] = pr(scored["avg_selected_count"], True) + scored["score_underfill_lt8"] = pr(scored["share_lt_8"], False) + scored["score_top3_conc"] = pr(scored["avg_top3_stock_weight"], False) + scored["score_turnover"] = pr(scored["annual_turnover"], False) + scored["score_2022"] = pr(scored["return_2022"], True) + scored["local_stability_score"] = ( + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] * 0.25 + + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] * 0.20 + + scored["score_avg_names"] * 0.15 + + scored["score_underfill_lt8"] * 0.15 + + scored["score_top3_conc"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_turnover"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_2022"] * 0.05 + ) + scored["core_viable"] = ( + (scored["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] > 0.10) + & (scored["full_max_drawdown"] >= -0.40) + & (scored["oos_max_drawdown"] >= -0.30) + & (scored["annual_turnover"] <= 4.5) + ) + return scored.sort_values( + by=["local_stability_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "avg_selected_count", "oos_max_drawdown"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def build_local_plateau(local_oos_rows: pd.DataFrame, center_row: pd.Series) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, float]]: + frame = local_oos_rows.copy() + frame["delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] = frame["CAGR"] - float(center_row["CAGR"]) + frame["delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center"] = frame["Max Drawdown"] - float(center_row["Max Drawdown"]) + frame["delta_oos_turnover_vs_center"] = frame["Turnover/Year"] - float(center_row["Turnover/Year"]) + frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] = frame["delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"].abs() + frame["within_50bps"] = frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.005 + frame["within_100bps"] = frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.010 + frame["within_200bps"] = frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.020 + local_only = frame.loc[frame["strategy"] != str(center_row["strategy"])].copy() + denom = max(len(local_only), 1) + summary = { + "variant_count_ex_center": int(len(local_only)), + "local_plateau_50bps_share": float(local_only["within_50bps"].mean()) if not local_only.empty else float("nan"), + "local_plateau_100bps_share": float(local_only["within_100bps"].mean()) if not local_only.empty else float("nan"), + "local_plateau_200bps_share": float(local_only["within_200bps"].mean()) if not local_only.empty else float("nan"), + } + return frame, summary + + +def build_recommendation( + *, + center_summary: pd.Series, + stable_summary: pd.Series, + local_plateau_summary: dict[str, float], + qqq_plus_default_oos: pd.Series, +) -> dict[str, object]: + same_as_center = str(stable_summary["strategy"]) == str(center_summary["strategy"]) + stable_enough = bool( + float(local_plateau_summary["local_plateau_100bps_share"]) >= 0.40 + and float(local_plateau_summary["local_plateau_200bps_share"]) >= 0.60 + ) + occupancy_ok = bool( + float(stable_summary["avg_selected_count"]) >= 8.0 + and float(stable_summary["share_lt_8"]) <= 0.35 + and float(stable_summary["avg_top3_stock_weight"]) <= 0.65 + ) + performance_ok = bool( + float(stable_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0.10 + and float(stable_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.30 + and float(stable_summary["annual_turnover"]) <= 4.5 + ) + + if stable_enough and occupancy_ok and performance_ok: + level = "research_default" + reason = "local neighborhood is stable enough and occupancy/concentration are acceptable" + elif performance_ok: + level = "research_default_candidate" + reason = "edge is good, but occupancy/concentration or local plateau still needs more tightening" + else: + level = "discard" + reason = "local robustness is not good enough even for research default candidate" + + if float(stable_summary["oos_cagr"]) >= float(qqq_plus_default_oos["CAGR"]) and float(stable_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= float(qqq_plus_default_oos["Max Drawdown"]): + role = "替代者" + elif float(stable_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0 and float(stable_summary["full_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.40: + role = "并行分支" + else: + role = "次级实验" + + return { + "center_strategy": str(center_summary["strategy"]), + "selected_local_default": str(stable_summary["strategy"]), + "selected_is_center": same_as_center, + "research_recommendation": level, + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": role, + "reason": reason, + "checks": { + "center_avg_selected_count": float(center_summary["avg_selected_count"]), + "selected_avg_selected_count": float(stable_summary["avg_selected_count"]), + "selected_share_lt_8": float(stable_summary["share_lt_8"]), + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": float(stable_summary["avg_top3_stock_weight"]), + "local_plateau_100bps_share": float(local_plateau_summary["local_plateau_100bps_share"]), + "local_plateau_200bps_share": float(local_plateau_summary["local_plateau_200bps_share"]), + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(stable_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]), + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": float(stable_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "selected_annual_turnover": float(stable_summary["annual_turnover"]), + }, + "thresholds": { + "avg_selected_count_min_for_default": 8.0, + "share_lt_8_max_for_default": 0.35, + "avg_top3_weight_max_for_default": 0.65, + "local_plateau_100bps_min_for_default": 0.40, + "local_plateau_200bps_min_for_default": 0.60, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq_min": 0.10, + "oos_max_drawdown_floor": -0.30, + "annual_turnover_cap": 4.5, + }, + } + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + def fmt(value): + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(v) for v in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_markdown_report( + path: Path, + *, + center_config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, + center_result_5bps: pd.Series, + stable_result_5bps: pd.Series, + occupancy_summary_df: pd.DataFrame, + local_plateau_df: pd.DataFrame, + local_plateau_summary: dict[str, float], + comparison_df_5bps: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], +) -> None: + center_occ = occupancy_summary_df.loc[occupancy_summary_df["strategy"] == center_config.name].iloc[0] + stable_occ = occupancy_summary_df.loc[occupancy_summary_df["strategy"] == str(stable_result_5bps["strategy"])].iloc[0] + lines = [ + "# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.1 spec lock", + "", + "## Center spec", + f"- strategy={center_config.name}", + f"- family={center_config.family}", + f"- universe={center_config.universe_spec.name}", + f"- normalization={gp.normalization_label(center_config.universe_spec.normalization)}", + f"- holdings={center_config.holdings_count}", + f"- single_cap={center_config.single_name_cap:.0%}", + f"- sector_cap={center_config.sector_cap:.0%}", + f"- hold_bonus={center_config.hold_bonus:.2f}", + f"- min_adv20={center_config.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd/1_000_000:.0f}M", + f"- regime={center_config.regime.name}", + f"- exposures=100/{int(center_config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure*100)}/{int(center_config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure*100)}", + "", + "## Occupancy summary", + format_table(occupancy_summary_df[[ + "strategy", "avg_selected_count", "risk_on_avg_names", "soft_defense_avg_names", "share_lt_nominal", "share_lt_8", "avg_top3_stock_weight", "avg_safe_haven_weight", "dominant_underfill_reason", "dominant_underfill_reason_share" + ]]), + "", + "## Local plateau (5 bps, OOS)", + f"- local_plateau_50bps_share={local_plateau_summary['local_plateau_50bps_share']:.1%}", + f"- local_plateau_100bps_share={local_plateau_summary['local_plateau_100bps_share']:.1%}", + f"- local_plateau_200bps_share={local_plateau_summary['local_plateau_200bps_share']:.1%}", + format_table(local_plateau_df[[ + "strategy", "variant_scope", "change_summary", "CAGR", "Max Drawdown", "Turnover/Year", "delta_oos_cagr_vs_center", "delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center", "delta_oos_turnover_vs_center" + ]]), + "", + "## Main comparison (5 bps)", + format_table(comparison_df_5bps[[ + "strategy", "period", "family", "CAGR", "Total Return", "Max Drawdown", "Sharpe", "Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ", "Information Ratio vs QQQ", "Turnover/Year", "Average Names Held" + ]]), + "", + "## Recommendation", + f"- research_recommendation={recommendation['research_recommendation']}", + f"- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default={recommendation['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default']}", + f"- selected_local_default={recommendation['selected_local_default']}", + f"- reason={recommendation['reason']}", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + configs_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + center_config = gp.load_spec_config(configs_dir / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json") + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = gp.build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + evaluated: list[tuple[dict[str, object], gp.GrowthPullbackConfig]] = [( + { + "variant_scope": "center", + "change_count": 0, + "change_1_field": None, + "change_1_value": None, + "change_2_field": None, + "change_2_value": None, + "change_summary": "center", + }, + center_config, + )] + evaluated.extend(build_first_order_neighbors(center_config)) + + local_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + artifacts_by_strategy: dict[str, dict[float, gp.StrategyArtifacts]] = {} + occupancy_frames: list[pd.DataFrame] = [] + occupancy_summaries: list[dict[str, float | str]] = [] + + for meta, config in evaluated: + rows, artifacts = gp.evaluate_candidate_rows(config, context, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + frame = pd.DataFrame(rows) + frame = frame.assign(**meta) + local_rows.extend(frame.to_dict(orient="records")) + artifacts_by_strategy[config.name] = artifacts + occ = build_monthly_occupancy(config, artifacts[MAIN_COST_BPS], context, strategy_label=config.name) + if not occ.empty: + occ["variant_scope"] = meta["variant_scope"] + occ["change_summary"] = meta["change_summary"] + occupancy_frames.append(occ) + occupancy_summaries.append(summarize_occupancy(occ, strategy_label=config.name) | { + "variant_scope": meta["variant_scope"], + "change_summary": meta["change_summary"], + }) + + local_df = pd.DataFrame(local_rows) + occupancy_monthly_df = pd.concat(occupancy_frames, ignore_index=True) + occupancy_summary_df = pd.DataFrame(occupancy_summaries) + + first_order_oos = local_df.loc[ + (local_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) + & (local_df["period"] == "OOS Sample") + ].copy() + + second_order_variants = build_second_order_candidates(center_config, first_order_oos=first_order_oos, occupancy_summary=occupancy_summary_df) + for meta, config in second_order_variants: + rows, artifacts = gp.evaluate_candidate_rows(config, context, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + frame = pd.DataFrame(rows).assign(**meta) + local_rows.extend(frame.to_dict(orient="records")) + artifacts_by_strategy[config.name] = artifacts + occ = build_monthly_occupancy(config, artifacts[MAIN_COST_BPS], context, strategy_label=config.name) + if not occ.empty: + occ["variant_scope"] = meta["variant_scope"] + occ["change_summary"] = meta["change_summary"] + occupancy_frames.append(occ) + occupancy_summaries.append(summarize_occupancy(occ, strategy_label=config.name) | { + "variant_scope": meta["variant_scope"], + "change_summary": meta["change_summary"], + }) + + local_df = pd.DataFrame(local_rows) + occupancy_monthly_df = pd.concat(occupancy_frames, ignore_index=True) + occupancy_summary_df = pd.DataFrame(occupancy_summaries) + + reference_rows_df, _ = gp.build_reference_rows(context, COST_LEVELS) + reference_rows_df["variant_scope"] = "reference" + reference_rows_df["change_summary"] = "reference" + + center_oos = extract_period_row(local_df, center_config.name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + local_oos_main = local_df.loc[(local_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (local_df["period"] == "OOS Sample")].copy() + local_plateau_df, local_plateau_summary = build_local_plateau(local_oos_main, center_oos) + + center_full = extract_period_row(local_df, center_config.name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + local_summary_rows = [] + for strategy_name in sorted(local_df["strategy"].unique()): + full_row = extract_period_row(local_df, strategy_name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + oos_row = extract_period_row(local_df, strategy_name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + row_2022 = extract_period_row(local_df, strategy_name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022") + row_2023 = extract_period_row(local_df, strategy_name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2023+") + occ = occupancy_summary_df.loc[occupancy_summary_df["strategy"] == strategy_name].iloc[0] + local_summary_rows.append( + { + "strategy": strategy_name, + "variant_scope": str(full_row["variant_scope"]), + "change_summary": str(full_row["change_summary"]), + "full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "full_max_drawdown": float(full_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_cagr": float(oos_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(oos_row["CAGR"] - extract_period_row(reference_rows_df, "QQQ", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["CAGR"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(oos_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(oos_row["Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ"] if "Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ" in oos_row else oos_row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "annual_turnover": float(full_row["Turnover/Year"]), + "return_2022": float(row_2022["Total Return"]), + "cagr_2023_plus": float(row_2023["CAGR"]), + **occ.to_dict(), + } + ) + local_selection_df = add_local_selection_scores(pd.DataFrame(local_summary_rows)) + stable_local_row = local_selection_df.iloc[0] + stable_strategy_name = str(stable_local_row["strategy"]) + + qqq_plus_default_oos = extract_period_row(reference_rows_df, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + recommendation = build_recommendation( + center_summary=local_selection_df.loc[local_selection_df["strategy"] == center_config.name].iloc[0], + stable_summary=stable_local_row, + local_plateau_summary=local_plateau_summary, + qqq_plus_default_oos=qqq_plus_default_oos, + ) + + comparison_df = pd.concat( + [ + local_df.loc[local_df["strategy"].isin([center_config.name, stable_strategy_name])].copy(), + reference_rows_df.loc[reference_rows_df["strategy"].isin(["qqq_plus_current_default", "aggressive_alt_spec", "defensive_baseline", "QQQ"])].copy(), + ], + ignore_index=True, + ) + comparison_df["family"] = comparison_df.get("family", pd.Series(index=comparison_df.index, dtype=object)).fillna("reference") + comparison_df["Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ"] = comparison_df.get("Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ", comparison_df.get("alpha_ann_vs_qqq", pd.Series(index=comparison_df.index, dtype=float))) + + gp.save_spec_config(configs_dir / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json", gp.load_spec_config(configs_dir / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json") if stable_strategy_name == center_config.name else next(config for _meta, config in second_order_variants + build_first_order_neighbors(center_config) + [(None, center_config)] if config.name == stable_strategy_name), role="research_default_v1_1") + + local_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.csv", index=False) + occupancy_monthly_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_1_occupancy.csv", index=False) + local_plateau_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_1_local_plateau.csv", index=False) + (results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_1_recommendation.json").write_text(json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + write_markdown_report( + results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.md", + center_config=center_config, + center_result_5bps=extract_period_row(local_df, center_config.name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample"), + stable_result_5bps=extract_period_row(local_df, stable_strategy_name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample"), + occupancy_summary_df=occupancy_summary_df, + local_plateau_df=local_plateau_df, + local_plateau_summary=local_plateau_summary, + comparison_df_5bps=comparison_df.loc[comparison_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"center: {center_config.name}") + print(f"stable local default: {stable_strategy_name}") + print(f"recommendation: {recommendation['research_recommendation']}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..088b04d --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py @@ -0,0 +1,770 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +"""Geometry-repair review for growth_pullback_systematic_v1 tech-heavy branch.""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import math +import sys +from dataclasses import dataclass, replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable, Mapping + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock as v11g +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +COST_LEVELS = (0.0, MAIN_COST_BPS) +CENTER_CONFIG_PATH = DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json" +STABLE_NEIGHBOR_CONFIG_PATH = DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR / "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json" +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", "2022-01-01", None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class GeometryCandidate: + label: str + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig + risk_on_exposure: float + note: str + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument("--alias-data-run-dir", help="Prepared alias-fixed Russell data run dir") + parser.add_argument("--results-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--configs-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def extract_period_row(frame: pd.DataFrame, strategy: str, cost_bps: float, period: str) -> pd.Series: + return frame.loc[ + (frame["strategy"] == strategy) + & (frame["cost_bps_one_way"] == float(cost_bps)) + & (frame["period"] == period) + ].iloc[0] + + +def candidate_config_fields(candidate: GeometryCandidate) -> dict[str, object]: + fields = gp.config_fields(candidate.config) + fields.update( + { + "candidate_label": candidate.label, + "config_name": candidate.config.name, + "risk_on_target_exposure": float(candidate.risk_on_exposure), + "geometry_note": candidate.note, + } + ) + return fields + + +def make_candidate(label: str, config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, *, risk_on_exposure: float, note: str) -> GeometryCandidate: + return GeometryCandidate(label=label, config=config, risk_on_exposure=float(risk_on_exposure), note=note) + + +def build_candidates(center: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, stable_neighbor: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig) -> list[GeometryCandidate]: + return [ + make_candidate( + "center_current", + center, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max", + ), + make_candidate( + "local_stable_neighbor", + stable_neighbor, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%", + ), + make_candidate( + "explicit_cash_buffer_control", + replace(center, name=f"{center.name}__explicit_cash_buffer_control"), + risk_on_exposure=0.8, + note="Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry", + ), + make_candidate( + "feasible_two_sector_50cap", + replace(center, name=f"{center.name}__sector_cap_0p5", sector_cap=0.50), + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on", + ), + make_candidate( + "feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8", + replace(center, name=f"{center.name}__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08", sector_cap=0.50, single_name_cap=0.08), + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock", + ), + ] + + +def build_target_weights_with_override( + raw_snapshot: pd.DataFrame, + current_holdings: set[str], + candidate: GeometryCandidate, +) -> tuple[dict[str, float], dict[str, object]]: + config = candidate.config + frame = raw_snapshot.copy() + benchmark_symbol = str(config.regime.benchmark_symbol).upper() + benchmark_rows = frame.loc[frame["symbol"] == benchmark_symbol] + benchmark_trend_positive = bool( + (not benchmark_rows.empty) + and pd.notna(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) + and float(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) > 0 + ) + + eligible_for_breadth = gp.apply_universe_filter(frame, config) + breadth_ratio = gp.select_breadth_ratio(frame, eligible_for_breadth, config) + if (not benchmark_trend_positive) and breadth_ratio < robust.HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD: + regime = "hard_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure) + elif (not benchmark_trend_positive) or breadth_ratio < robust.SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD: + regime = "soft_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure) + else: + regime = "risk_on" + stock_exposure = float(candidate.risk_on_exposure) + + if eligible_for_breadth.empty or stock_exposure <= 0: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": int(len(eligible_for_breadth)), + "selected_symbols": (), + "selected_sectors": (), + "sector_slot_cap": 0, + }, + ) + + scored = gp.score_candidates(frame, current_holdings, config) + if scored.empty: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": 0, + "selected_symbols": (), + "selected_sectors": (), + "sector_slot_cap": 0, + }, + ) + + ranked = scored.sort_values( + by=["score", "excess_mom_12_1", "trend_strength", "symbol"], + ascending=[False, False, False, True], + ) + per_name_target = stock_exposure / max(config.holdings_count, 1) + sector_slot_cap = config.holdings_count if per_name_target <= 0 else max(1, int(math.floor(config.sector_cap / per_name_target))) + selected_rows = [] + sector_counts: dict[str, int] = {} + for row in ranked.itertuples(index=False): + sector = str(row.sector) + if sector_counts.get(sector, 0) >= sector_slot_cap: + continue + selected_rows.append(row._asdict()) + sector_counts[sector] = sector_counts.get(sector, 0) + 1 + if len(selected_rows) >= config.holdings_count: + break + + selected = pd.DataFrame(selected_rows) + if selected.empty: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "selected_symbols": (), + "selected_sectors": (), + "sector_slot_cap": sector_slot_cap, + }, + ) + + per_name_weight = min(float(config.single_name_cap), stock_exposure / len(selected)) + invested_weight = per_name_weight * len(selected) + weights = {row.symbol: per_name_weight for row in selected.itertuples(index=False)} + if invested_weight < 1.0: + weights[suite.SAFE_HAVEN] = 1.0 - invested_weight + return ( + weights, + { + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": stock_exposure, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "selected_symbols": tuple(selected["symbol"].tolist()), + "selected_sectors": tuple(selected["sector"].tolist()), + "sector_slot_cap": sector_slot_cap, + }, + ) + + +def run_candidate_backtest( + raw_snapshots: Mapping[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame], + returns_matrix: pd.DataFrame, + candidate: GeometryCandidate, +) -> dict[str, object]: + index = returns_matrix.index + rebalance_dates = set(raw_snapshots) + weights_history = pd.DataFrame(0.0, index=index, columns=sorted(set(returns_matrix.columns) | {suite.SAFE_HAVEN})) + portfolio_returns = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name=candidate.label) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name="turnover") + selection_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + current_weights: dict[str, float] = {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + current_holdings: set[str] = set() + + for idx in range(len(index) - 1): + date = index[idx] + next_date = index[idx + 1] + if date in rebalance_dates: + target_weights, metadata = build_target_weights_with_override(raw_snapshots[date], current_holdings, candidate) + turnover_history.at[next_date] = suite.compute_turnover(current_weights, target_weights) + current_weights = target_weights + current_holdings = {symbol for symbol, weight in current_weights.items() if weight > 1e-12 and symbol != suite.SAFE_HAVEN} + selection_rows.append( + { + "rebalance_date": date, + "selected_symbols": tuple(metadata.get("selected_symbols", ())), + "selected_count": len(metadata.get("selected_symbols", ())), + "regime": metadata.get("regime"), + "breadth_ratio": metadata.get("breadth_ratio"), + "benchmark_symbol": metadata.get("benchmark_symbol"), + "benchmark_trend_positive": metadata.get("benchmark_trend_positive"), + "candidate_count": metadata.get("candidate_count"), + "stock_exposure": metadata.get("stock_exposure"), + "family": candidate.config.family, + } + ) + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[date, symbol] = weight + next_returns = returns_matrix.loc[next_date].fillna(0.0) + portfolio_returns.at[next_date] = sum(weight * float(next_returns.get(symbol, 0.0)) for symbol, weight in current_weights.items()) + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[index[-1], symbol] = weight + + return { + "gross_returns": portfolio_returns, + "weights_history": weights_history.loc[:, (weights_history != 0.0).any(axis=0)], + "turnover_history": turnover_history, + "selection_history": pd.DataFrame(selection_rows), + } + + +def evaluate_candidate_rows( + candidate: GeometryCandidate, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + cost_bps_values: Iterable[float], +) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, gp.StrategyArtifacts]]: + result = run_candidate_backtest(context["raw_snapshots"], context["stock_returns_matrix"], candidate) + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + artifacts_by_cost: dict[float, gp.StrategyArtifacts] = {} + for cost_bps in cost_bps_values: + net_returns = result["gross_returns"] - result["turnover_history"].reindex(result["gross_returns"].index).fillna(0.0) * (float(cost_bps) / 10_000.0) + rolling_alpha = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(net_returns, benchmark_returns) + turnover_profile = robust.compute_turnover_profile(result["selection_history"], result["turnover_history"]) + sector_weights = robust.compute_average_sector_weights(result["weights_history"], result["selection_history"], context["universe_history"]) + artifacts_by_cost[float(cost_bps)] = gp.StrategyArtifacts( + gross_returns=net_returns, + weights_history=result["weights_history"], + turnover_history=result["turnover_history"], + selection_history=result["selection_history"], + rolling_alpha=rolling_alpha, + turnover_profile=turnover_profile, + sector_weights=sector_weights, + ) + for period_name, start, end in COMPARISON_PERIODS: + metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + result["weights_history"], + result["turnover_history"], + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + rolling_series = rolling_alpha if period_name == "Full Sample" else robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(net_returns, start, end), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + ) + rows.append( + { + "strategy": candidate.label, + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + **candidate_config_fields(candidate), + **metrics, + **robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_series), + **turnover_profile, + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({k: float(v) for k, v in sector_weights.items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + ) + return rows, artifacts_by_cost + + +def theoretical_stock_capacity(stock_exposure: float, config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, active_sector_count: int) -> float: + return float(min(stock_exposure, config.holdings_count * config.single_name_cap, active_sector_count * config.sector_cap)) + + +def build_deployment_monthly( + candidate: GeometryCandidate, + artifacts: gp.StrategyArtifacts, + context: dict[str, object], +) -> pd.DataFrame: + selection = artifacts.selection_history.copy() + if selection.empty: + return pd.DataFrame() + selection["rebalance_date"] = pd.to_datetime(selection["rebalance_date"]).dt.tz_localize(None).dt.normalize() + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for record in selection.itertuples(index=False): + rebalance_date = pd.Timestamp(record.rebalance_date).normalize() + frame = context["raw_snapshots"][rebalance_date] + counts = v11g.stage_universe_counts(frame, candidate.config) + weight_row = artifacts.weights_history.loc[rebalance_date].fillna(0.0) + stock_weights = weight_row.drop(labels=[suite.SAFE_HAVEN], errors="ignore") + stock_weights = stock_weights[stock_weights > 1e-12] + stock_weight = float(stock_weights.sum()) + safe_haven_weight = float(weight_row.get(suite.SAFE_HAVEN, 0.0)) + target_stock_weight = float(record.stock_exposure) if pd.notna(record.stock_exposure) else 0.0 + active_sector_count = int(counts["active_sector_count"]) + theoretical_max = theoretical_stock_capacity(target_stock_weight, candidate.config, active_sector_count) + rows.append( + { + "strategy": candidate.label, + "config_name": candidate.config.name, + "rebalance_date": str(rebalance_date.date()), + "regime": str(record.regime), + "selected_count": int(record.selected_count), + "target_stock_weight": target_stock_weight, + "realized_stock_weight": stock_weight, + "safe_haven_weight": safe_haven_weight, + "risk_on_target_exposure": float(candidate.risk_on_exposure), + "theoretical_stock_max": theoretical_max, + "fill_rate": float(stock_weight / target_stock_weight) if target_stock_weight > 1e-12 else np.nan, + "theoretical_fill_rate": float(theoretical_max / target_stock_weight) if target_stock_weight > 1e-12 else np.nan, + "geometry_feasible": bool(theoretical_max >= target_stock_weight - 1e-12), + "top1_stock_weight": float(stock_weights.nlargest(1).sum()) if not stock_weights.empty else 0.0, + "top3_stock_weight": float(stock_weights.nlargest(min(3, len(stock_weights))).sum()) if not stock_weights.empty else 0.0, + "top5_stock_weight": float(stock_weights.nlargest(min(5, len(stock_weights))).sum()) if not stock_weights.empty else 0.0, + "base_eligible_count": int(counts["base_eligible_count"]), + "adv_filtered_count": int(counts["adv_filtered_count"]), + "after_sector_count": int(counts["after_sector_count"]), + "after_symbol_count": int(counts["after_symbol_count"]), + "final_candidate_count": int(counts["final_candidate_count"]), + "active_sector_count": active_sector_count, + "underfilled_month": bool(int(record.selected_count) < int(candidate.config.holdings_count)), + "primary_underfill_reason": v11g.classify_underfill_reason( + stock_exposure=target_stock_weight, + selected_count=int(record.selected_count), + holdings_count=int(candidate.config.holdings_count), + counts=counts, + sector_capacity_limit=int(round(theoretical_max / max(candidate.config.single_name_cap, 1e-12))) if candidate.config.single_name_cap > 0 else int(candidate.config.holdings_count), + ), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def summarize_deployment(monthly: pd.DataFrame) -> dict[str, object]: + if monthly.empty: + return { + "strategy": "", + "avg_names_held": float("nan"), + "risk_on_avg_names": float("nan"), + "risk_on_target_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "risk_on_fill_rate": float("nan"), + "soft_defense_realized_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "hard_defense_realized_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "underfilled_month_share": float("nan"), + "avg_top1_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_top3_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_top5_stock_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_safe_haven_weight": float("nan"), + "avg_theoretical_stock_max": float("nan"), + "risk_on_geometry_feasible_share": float("nan"), + "selected_count_distribution_json": "{}", + "dominant_underfill_reason": "none", + } + risk_on = monthly.loc[monthly["regime"] == "risk_on"] + soft = monthly.loc[monthly["regime"] == "soft_defense"] + hard = monthly.loc[monthly["regime"] == "hard_defense"] + reason_share = monthly.loc[monthly["underfilled_month"], "primary_underfill_reason"].value_counts(normalize=True) + selected_dist = monthly["selected_count"].value_counts(normalize=True).sort_index() + return { + "strategy": str(monthly["strategy"].iloc[0]), + "avg_names_held": float(monthly["selected_count"].mean()), + "risk_on_avg_names": float(risk_on["selected_count"].mean()) if not risk_on.empty else np.nan, + "risk_on_target_stock_weight": float(risk_on["target_stock_weight"].mean()) if not risk_on.empty else np.nan, + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": float(risk_on["realized_stock_weight"].mean()) if not risk_on.empty else np.nan, + "risk_on_fill_rate": float(risk_on["fill_rate"].mean()) if not risk_on.empty else np.nan, + "soft_defense_realized_stock_weight": float(soft["realized_stock_weight"].mean()) if not soft.empty else np.nan, + "hard_defense_realized_stock_weight": float(hard["realized_stock_weight"].mean()) if not hard.empty else np.nan, + "underfilled_month_share": float(monthly["underfilled_month"].mean()), + "avg_top1_stock_weight": float(monthly["top1_stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_top3_stock_weight": float(monthly["top3_stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_top5_stock_weight": float(monthly["top5_stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_safe_haven_weight": float(monthly["safe_haven_weight"].mean()), + "avg_theoretical_stock_max": float(monthly["theoretical_stock_max"].mean()), + "risk_on_geometry_feasible_share": float(risk_on["geometry_feasible"].mean()) if not risk_on.empty else np.nan, + "selected_count_distribution_json": json.dumps({str(int(k)): float(v) for k, v in selected_dist.items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + "dominant_underfill_reason": str(reason_share.index[0]) if not reason_share.empty else "filled", + } + + +def summarize_reference_deployment(label: str, artifact: dict[str, object]) -> dict[str, object]: + weights = artifact["weights_history"].copy() + weights = weights.fillna(0.0) + stock_only = weights.drop(columns=[suite.SAFE_HAVEN], errors="ignore") + stock_weight = stock_only.sum(axis=1) + if "selection_history" in artifact: + selection = artifact["selection_history"].copy() + selection["rebalance_date"] = pd.to_datetime(selection["rebalance_date"]).dt.tz_localize(None).dt.normalize() + aligned = selection.set_index("rebalance_date") + aligned = aligned.reindex(weights.index).ffill().dropna(subset=["regime"]) if not aligned.empty else aligned + stock_weight = stock_weight.reindex(aligned.index) + risk_on = stock_weight.loc[aligned["regime"] == "risk_on"] + else: + risk_on = stock_weight.loc[stock_weight >= 0.95] + return { + "strategy": label, + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": float(risk_on.mean()) if not risk_on.empty else np.nan, + "avg_names_held": float((stock_only > 1e-12).sum(axis=1).mean()), + } + + +def add_geometry_scores(summary_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + scored = summary_df.copy() + + def pr(series: pd.Series, higher: bool) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(series, errors="coerce") + ranked = numeric.rank(method="average", pct=True) if higher else (-numeric).rank(method="average", pct=True) + return ranked.fillna(0.0) + + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] = pr(scored["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], True) + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] = pr(scored["oos_max_drawdown"], True) + scored["score_turnover"] = pr(scored["annual_turnover"], False) + scored["score_fill_rate"] = pr(scored["risk_on_fill_rate"], True) + scored["score_avg_names"] = pr(scored["avg_names_held"], True) + scored["score_top3"] = pr(scored["avg_top3_stock_weight"], False) + scored["score_2022"] = pr(scored["return_2022"], True) + scored["geometry_repair_score"] = ( + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] * 0.25 + + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] * 0.20 + + scored["score_fill_rate"] * 0.20 + + scored["score_avg_names"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_top3"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_turnover"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_2022"] * 0.05 + ) + return scored.sort_values( + by=["geometry_repair_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "risk_on_fill_rate", "oos_max_drawdown"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def build_recommendation( + *, + center_summary: pd.Series, + stable_summary: pd.Series, + explicit_cash_summary: pd.Series, + best_overall_summary: pd.Series, + selected_repair_summary: pd.Series, + qqq_plus_oos: pd.Series, +) -> dict[str, object]: + center_vs_explicit_close = bool( + abs(float(center_summary["oos_cagr"]) - float(explicit_cash_summary["oos_cagr"])) <= 0.02 + and abs(float(center_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]) - float(explicit_cash_summary["oos_max_drawdown"])) <= 0.03 + ) + best_is_geometry_feasible = bool(float(selected_repair_summary["risk_on_fill_rate"]) >= 0.95) + occupancy_ok = bool( + float(selected_repair_summary["avg_names_held"]) >= 9.0 + and float(selected_repair_summary["underfilled_month_share"]) <= 0.35 + ) + concentration_ok = bool(float(selected_repair_summary["avg_top3_stock_weight"]) <= 0.55) + performance_ok = bool( + float(selected_repair_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0.10 + and float(selected_repair_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.30 + and float(selected_repair_summary["annual_turnover"]) <= 4.5 + ) + + if not performance_ok: + level = "discard" + reason = "after geometry repair, the edge is not strong enough" + elif center_vs_explicit_close and (not best_is_geometry_feasible or float(selected_repair_summary["oos_cagr"]) < float(qqq_plus_oos["CAGR"]) - 0.03): + level = "cash_buffer_branch" + reason = "current edge still looks heavily tied to explicit/implicit cash buffering rather than a clean deployable offensive geometry" + elif best_is_geometry_feasible and occupancy_ok and concentration_ok: + level = "research_default" + reason = "geometry is deployable, occupancy is acceptable, and the repaired branch keeps strong relative-to-QQQ edge" + else: + level = "research_default_candidate" + reason = "geometry-repaired version still has edge, but occupancy or concentration still needs more tightening" + + if float(selected_repair_summary["oos_cagr"]) >= float(qqq_plus_oos["CAGR"]) and float(selected_repair_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= float(qqq_plus_oos["Max Drawdown"]): + role = "替代者" + elif float(selected_repair_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0 and float(selected_repair_summary["full_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.40: + role = "并行分支" + else: + role = "次级实验" + + return { + "center_strategy": str(center_summary["strategy"]), + "stable_neighbor_strategy": str(stable_summary["strategy"]), + "explicit_cash_buffer_control": str(explicit_cash_summary["strategy"]), + "best_overall_score_strategy": str(best_overall_summary["strategy"]), + "selected_geometry_repair_default": str(selected_repair_summary["strategy"]), + "research_recommendation": level, + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": role, + "reason": reason, + "checks": { + "center_oos_cagr": float(center_summary["oos_cagr"]), + "explicit_cash_oos_cagr": float(explicit_cash_summary["oos_cagr"]), + "center_oos_maxdd": float(center_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "explicit_cash_oos_maxdd": float(explicit_cash_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "center_vs_explicit_close": center_vs_explicit_close, + "best_overall_score_strategy": str(best_overall_summary["strategy"]), + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(selected_repair_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]), + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": float(selected_repair_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "selected_risk_on_fill_rate": float(selected_repair_summary["risk_on_fill_rate"]), + "selected_avg_names_held": float(selected_repair_summary["avg_names_held"]), + "selected_underfilled_month_share": float(selected_repair_summary["underfilled_month_share"]), + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": float(selected_repair_summary["avg_top3_stock_weight"]), + "selected_annual_turnover": float(selected_repair_summary["annual_turnover"]), + }, + } + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + def fmt(value): + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(v) for v in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_markdown_report( + path: Path, + *, + center_cfg: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, + stable_cfg: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, + repair_summary: pd.DataFrame, + deployment_summary: pd.DataFrame, + comparison_5bps: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], +) -> None: + lines = [ + "# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.2 geometry repair", + "", + "## Current center spec", + f"- name={center_cfg.name}", + f"- family={center_cfg.family}", + f"- universe={center_cfg.universe_spec.name}", + f"- normalization={gp.normalization_label(center_cfg.universe_spec.normalization)}", + f"- holdings={center_cfg.holdings_count}", + f"- single_cap={center_cfg.single_name_cap:.0%}", + f"- sector_cap={center_cfg.sector_cap:.0%}", + f"- hold_bonus={center_cfg.hold_bonus:.2f}", + f"- min_adv20={center_cfg.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd/1_000_000:.0f}M", + "", + "## Current stable neighbor", + f"- name={stable_cfg.name}", + f"- single_cap={stable_cfg.single_name_cap:.0%}", + f"- sector_cap={stable_cfg.sector_cap:.0%}", + f"- hold_bonus={stable_cfg.hold_bonus:.2f}", + "", + "## Geometry repair summary (5 bps)", + format_table(repair_summary[[ + "strategy", "full_cagr", "oos_cagr", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "full_max_drawdown", "oos_max_drawdown", "return_2022", "cagr_2023_plus", "annual_turnover", "avg_names_held", "risk_on_fill_rate", "geometry_repair_score" + ]]), + "", + "## Deployment diagnostics", + format_table(deployment_summary[[ + "strategy", "avg_names_held", "risk_on_avg_names", "risk_on_target_stock_weight", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "risk_on_fill_rate", "avg_top3_stock_weight", "avg_safe_haven_weight", "underfilled_month_share", "dominant_underfill_reason" + ]]), + "", + "## Main comparison (5 bps)", + format_table(comparison_5bps[[ + "strategy", "period", "CAGR", "Max Drawdown", "Turnover/Year", "Average Names Held", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "beta_vs_qqq", "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", "Information Ratio vs QQQ", "Up Capture vs QQQ", "Down Capture vs QQQ" + ]]), + "", + "## Recommendation", + f"- research_recommendation={recommendation['research_recommendation']}", + f"- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default={recommendation['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default']}", + f"- selected_geometry_repair_default={recommendation['selected_geometry_repair_default']}", + f"- reason={recommendation['reason']}", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + configs_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + center_cfg = gp.load_spec_config(CENTER_CONFIG_PATH) + stable_cfg = gp.load_spec_config(STABLE_NEIGHBOR_CONFIG_PATH) + candidates = build_candidates(center_cfg, stable_cfg) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = gp.build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + candidate_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + deployment_monthly_frames: list[pd.DataFrame] = [] + deployment_summary_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + + for candidate in candidates: + rows, artifacts_by_cost = evaluate_candidate_rows(candidate, context, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + candidate_rows.extend(rows) + monthly = build_deployment_monthly(candidate, artifacts_by_cost[MAIN_COST_BPS], context) + deployment_monthly_frames.append(monthly) + deployment_summary_rows.append(summarize_deployment(monthly)) + + candidate_df = pd.DataFrame(candidate_rows) + deployment_monthly_df = pd.concat(deployment_monthly_frames, ignore_index=True) + deployment_summary_df = pd.DataFrame(deployment_summary_rows) + + reference_rows_df, reference_artifacts = gp.build_reference_rows(context, COST_LEVELS) + reference_deployment_rows = [ + summarize_reference_deployment("qqq_plus_current_default", reference_artifacts["qqq_plus_current_default"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + summarize_reference_deployment("aggressive_alt_spec", reference_artifacts["aggressive_alt_spec"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + summarize_reference_deployment("defensive_baseline", reference_artifacts["defensive_baseline"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + { + "strategy": "QQQ", + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": 1.0, + "avg_names_held": 1.0, + }, + ] + reference_deployment_df = pd.DataFrame(reference_deployment_rows) + + qqq_oos_cagr = float(reference_rows_df.loc[(reference_rows_df["strategy"] == "QQQ") & (reference_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (reference_rows_df["period"] == "OOS Sample"), "CAGR"].iloc[0]) + summary_rows = [] + for candidate in candidates: + full_row = extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + oos_row = extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + row_2022 = extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022") + row_2023 = extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2023+") + dep = deployment_summary_df.loc[deployment_summary_df["strategy"] == candidate.label].iloc[0] + summary_rows.append( + { + "strategy": candidate.label, + "config_name": candidate.config.name, + "risk_on_target_exposure": float(candidate.risk_on_exposure), + "full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "full_max_drawdown": float(full_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_cagr": float(oos_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(oos_row["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(oos_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(oos_row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "annual_turnover": float(full_row["Turnover/Year"]), + "return_2022": float(row_2022["Total Return"]), + "cagr_2023_plus": float(row_2023["CAGR"]), + **dep.to_dict(), + } + ) + repair_summary_df = add_geometry_scores(pd.DataFrame(summary_rows)) + + center_summary = repair_summary_df.loc[repair_summary_df["strategy"] == "center_current"].iloc[0] + stable_summary = repair_summary_df.loc[repair_summary_df["strategy"] == "local_stable_neighbor"].iloc[0] + explicit_cash_summary = repair_summary_df.loc[repair_summary_df["strategy"] == "explicit_cash_buffer_control"].iloc[0] + best_overall_summary = repair_summary_df.iloc[0] + repair_pool = repair_summary_df.loc[ + repair_summary_df["strategy"].isin(["feasible_two_sector_50cap", "feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8"]) + ].copy() + selected_repair_summary = repair_pool.iloc[0] + qqq_plus_oos = extract_period_row(reference_rows_df, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + recommendation = build_recommendation( + center_summary=center_summary, + stable_summary=stable_summary, + explicit_cash_summary=explicit_cash_summary, + best_overall_summary=best_overall_summary, + selected_repair_summary=selected_repair_summary, + qqq_plus_oos=qqq_plus_oos, + ) + + comparison_df = pd.concat( + [ + candidate_df.loc[candidate_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + reference_rows_df.loc[reference_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + ], + ignore_index=True, + ) + comparison_df = comparison_df.merge( + pd.concat([deployment_summary_df[["strategy", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "avg_names_held"]], reference_deployment_df], ignore_index=True), + on="strategy", + how="left", + ) + + candidate_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.csv", index=False) + deployment_summary_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_2_deployment_diagnostics.csv", index=False) + (results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_2_recommendation.json").write_text(json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + write_markdown_report( + results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.md", + center_cfg=center_cfg, + stable_cfg=stable_cfg, + repair_summary=repair_summary_df, + deployment_summary=deployment_summary_df, + comparison_5bps=comparison_df, + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"best overall score candidate: {best_overall_summary['strategy']}") + print(f"selected geometry-repair default: {selected_repair_summary['strategy']}") + print(f"recommendation: {recommendation['research_recommendation']}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e754991 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py @@ -0,0 +1,404 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +"""Spec normalization for growth_pullback_systematic_v1 tech-heavy branch.""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import sys +from dataclasses import replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +COST_LEVELS = (0.0, MAIN_COST_BPS) +CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME = "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json" +STABLE_NEIGHBOR_CONFIG_FILENAME = "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json" +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", "2022-01-01", None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument("--alias-data-run-dir", help="Prepared alias-fixed Russell data run dir") + parser.add_argument("--results-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--configs-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def build_candidates(center_cfg: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, stable_cfg: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig) -> list[v12.GeometryCandidate]: + feasible_cfg = replace(center_cfg, name=f"{center_cfg.name}__sector_cap_0p5", sector_cap=0.50) + coherent_cash_cfg = replace( + center_cfg, + name="coherent_cash_buffer_branch_cfg", + holdings_count=8, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.40, + ) + coherent_full_cfg = replace( + center_cfg, + name="coherent_full_deployment_branch_cfg", + holdings_count=10, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.50, + ) + coherent_full_single8_cfg = replace( + center_cfg, + name="coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8_cfg", + holdings_count=10, + single_name_cap=0.08, + sector_cap=0.50, + ) + return [ + v12.make_candidate( + "center_current", + center_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Current prototype: nominal 12 names / 100% risk_on, but actual geometry binds to ~8 names and 80% stock", + ), + v12.make_candidate( + "local_stable_neighbor", + stable_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="v1.1 local stable neighbor; lower single-cap makes the implicit cash buffer even larger", + ), + v12.make_candidate( + "feasible_two_sector_50cap", + feasible_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Previous geometry repair reference: two-sector 50% cap makes 12 names / 100% stock feasible", + ), + v12.make_candidate( + "coherent_cash_buffer_branch", + coherent_cash_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=0.8, + note="Honest cash-buffer branch: 8 names, 80% risk_on, two-sector 40% cap; nominal spec matches actual deployment", + ), + v12.make_candidate( + "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + coherent_full_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Honest full-deployment branch: 10 names, 100% risk_on, two-sector 50% cap; nominal spec matches actual deployment", + ), + v12.make_candidate( + "coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8", + coherent_full_single8_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + note="Optional concentration-relief control: 10 names, sector 50%, single cap 8%; geometry still leaves 20% slack", + ), + ] + + +def resolve_config_paths(configs_dir: Path) -> tuple[Path, Path]: + return ( + configs_dir / CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME, + configs_dir / STABLE_NEIGHBOR_CONFIG_FILENAME, + ) + + +def spec_consistency_metrics(candidate: v12.GeometryCandidate, summary_row: pd.Series) -> dict[str, float]: + target_names = float(candidate.config.holdings_count) + realized_names = float(summary_row["risk_on_avg_names"]) + target_stock = float(candidate.risk_on_exposure) + realized_stock = float(summary_row["risk_on_realized_stock_weight"]) + names_alignment = max(0.0, 1.0 - abs(realized_names - target_names) / max(target_names, 1.0)) + stock_alignment = max(0.0, 1.0 - abs(realized_stock - target_stock) / max(target_stock, 1e-12)) + return { + "target_names": target_names, + "realized_names": realized_names, + "target_stock_weight": target_stock, + "realized_stock_weight": realized_stock, + "names_alignment_score": names_alignment, + "stock_alignment_score": stock_alignment, + "deployment_honesty_score": 0.5 * names_alignment + 0.5 * stock_alignment, + } + + +def percentile_rank(series: pd.Series, *, higher_is_better: bool) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(series, errors="coerce") + ranked = numeric.rank(method="average", pct=True) if higher_is_better else (-numeric).rank(method="average", pct=True) + return ranked.fillna(0.0) + + +def add_normalization_scores(summary_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + scored = summary_df.copy() + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] = percentile_rank(scored["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] = percentile_rank(scored["oos_max_drawdown"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_2022"] = percentile_rank(scored["return_2022"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_turnover"] = percentile_rank(scored["annual_turnover"], higher_is_better=False) + scored["score_avg_names"] = percentile_rank(scored["avg_names_held"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_top3_concentration"] = percentile_rank(scored["avg_top3_stock_weight"], higher_is_better=False) + scored["score_fill_rate"] = percentile_rank(scored["risk_on_fill_rate"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_honesty"] = percentile_rank(scored["deployment_honesty_score"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["spec_normalization_score"] = ( + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] * 0.22 + + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] * 0.16 + + scored["score_fill_rate"] * 0.16 + + scored["score_honesty"] * 0.16 + + scored["score_turnover"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_2022"] * 0.08 + + scored["score_top3_concentration"] * 0.07 + + scored["score_avg_names"] * 0.05 + ) + return scored.sort_values( + by=["spec_normalization_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "deployment_honesty_score", "oos_max_drawdown"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def build_recommendation( + *, + center_summary: pd.Series, + cash_summary: pd.Series, + full_summary: pd.Series, + selected_summary: pd.Series, + qqq_plus_oos: pd.Series, +) -> dict[str, object]: + selected_label = str(selected_summary["strategy"]) + is_cash_branch = selected_label == "coherent_cash_buffer_branch" + performance_ok = bool( + float(selected_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0.10 + and float(selected_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.30 + and float(selected_summary["annual_turnover"]) <= 4.5 + ) + consistency_ok = bool( + float(selected_summary["risk_on_fill_rate"]) >= 0.95 + and float(selected_summary["deployment_honesty_score"]) >= 0.95 + ) + occupancy_ok = bool( + float(selected_summary["avg_names_held"]) >= 8.0 + and float(selected_summary["underfilled_month_share"]) <= 0.35 + ) + concentration_ok = bool(float(selected_summary["avg_top3_stock_weight"]) <= 0.55) + center_is_cash_prototype = bool( + float(center_summary["risk_on_fill_rate"]) <= 0.82 + and float(cash_summary["risk_on_fill_rate"]) >= 0.99 + and float(cash_summary["deployment_honesty_score"]) > float(center_summary["deployment_honesty_score"]) + ) + + if not performance_ok: + level = "discard" + reason = "honest-spec candidates do not keep enough relative-to-QQQ edge" + elif is_cash_branch: + level = "cash_buffer_branch" + reason = "the best honest interpretation is still an explicit cash-buffered tech pullback branch, not a standard full-risk offensive branch" + elif consistency_ok and occupancy_ok and concentration_ok: + level = "research_default" + reason = "the selected honest spec is geometrically self-consistent and keeps strong enough performance" + else: + level = "research_default_candidate" + reason = "the honest full-deployment branch still has edge, but occupancy / concentration / drawdown need more tightening" + + if float(selected_summary["oos_cagr"]) >= float(qqq_plus_oos["CAGR"]) and float(selected_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= float(qqq_plus_oos["Max Drawdown"]): + role = "替代者" + elif float(selected_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0 and float(selected_summary["full_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.40: + role = "并行分支" + else: + role = "次级实验" + + return { + "center_strategy": str(center_summary["strategy"]), + "selected_cash_branch": str(cash_summary["strategy"]), + "selected_full_deployment_branch": str(full_summary["strategy"]), + "selected_research_default": selected_label, + "research_recommendation": level, + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": role, + "reason": reason, + "checks": { + "center_is_cash_prototype": center_is_cash_prototype, + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(selected_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]), + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": float(selected_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "selected_annual_turnover": float(selected_summary["annual_turnover"]), + "selected_risk_on_fill_rate": float(selected_summary["risk_on_fill_rate"]), + "selected_deployment_honesty_score": float(selected_summary["deployment_honesty_score"]), + "selected_avg_names_held": float(selected_summary["avg_names_held"]), + "selected_underfilled_month_share": float(selected_summary["underfilled_month_share"]), + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": float(selected_summary["avg_top3_stock_weight"]), + }, + } + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + def fmt(value): + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(v) for v in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_markdown_report( + path: Path, + *, + candidate_summary: pd.DataFrame, + deployment_summary: pd.DataFrame, + comparison_5bps: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], +) -> None: + lines = [ + "# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.3 spec normalization", + "", + "## Honest spec candidates", + format_table(candidate_summary[[ + "strategy", "target_names", "realized_names", "target_stock_weight", "realized_stock_weight", "risk_on_fill_rate", "deployment_honesty_score", "spec_normalization_score" + ]]), + "", + "## Deployment consistency", + format_table(deployment_summary[[ + "strategy", "avg_names_held", "risk_on_avg_names", "risk_on_target_stock_weight", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "risk_on_fill_rate", "underfilled_month_share", "avg_top1_stock_weight", "avg_top3_stock_weight", "avg_top5_stock_weight", "avg_safe_haven_weight" + ]]), + "", + "## Main comparison (5 bps)", + format_table(comparison_5bps[[ + "strategy", "period", "CAGR", "Max Drawdown", "Turnover/Year", "Average Names Held", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "beta_vs_qqq", "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", "Information Ratio vs QQQ", "Up Capture vs QQQ", "Down Capture vs QQQ" + ]]), + "", + "## Recommendation", + f"- research_recommendation={recommendation['research_recommendation']}", + f"- selected_research_default={recommendation['selected_research_default']}", + f"- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default={recommendation['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default']}", + f"- reason={recommendation['reason']}", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + configs_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + center_config_path, stable_config_path = resolve_config_paths(configs_dir) + center_cfg = gp.load_spec_config(center_config_path) + stable_cfg = gp.load_spec_config(stable_config_path) + candidates = build_candidates(center_cfg, stable_cfg) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = gp.build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + candidate_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + deployment_summary_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for candidate in candidates: + rows, artifacts_by_cost = v12.evaluate_candidate_rows(candidate, context, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + candidate_rows.extend(rows) + deployment_summary_rows.append(v12.summarize_deployment(v12.build_deployment_monthly(candidate, artifacts_by_cost[MAIN_COST_BPS], context))) + + candidate_df = pd.DataFrame(candidate_rows) + deployment_summary_df = pd.DataFrame(deployment_summary_rows) + + qqq_reference_rows, reference_artifacts = gp.build_reference_rows(context, COST_LEVELS) + qqq_oos = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + qqq_oos_cagr = float(v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "QQQ", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["CAGR"]) + + summary_rows = [] + for candidate in candidates: + full_row = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + oos_row = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + row_2022 = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022") + row_2023 = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_df, candidate.label, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2023+") + dep = deployment_summary_df.loc[deployment_summary_df["strategy"] == candidate.label].iloc[0] + summary_rows.append( + { + "strategy": candidate.label, + "config_name": candidate.config.name, + "full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "full_max_drawdown": float(full_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_cagr": float(oos_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(oos_row["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(oos_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "return_2022": float(row_2022["Total Return"]), + "cagr_2023_plus": float(row_2023["CAGR"]), + "annual_turnover": float(full_row["Turnover/Year"]), + **dep.to_dict(), + **spec_consistency_metrics(candidate, dep), + } + ) + candidate_summary_df = add_normalization_scores(pd.DataFrame(summary_rows)) + + center_summary = candidate_summary_df.loc[candidate_summary_df["strategy"] == "center_current"].iloc[0] + cash_summary = candidate_summary_df.loc[candidate_summary_df["strategy"] == "coherent_cash_buffer_branch"].iloc[0] + full_pool = candidate_summary_df.loc[candidate_summary_df["strategy"].isin(["coherent_full_deployment_branch", "coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8"])] + full_summary = full_pool.iloc[0] + + honest_pool = candidate_summary_df.loc[candidate_summary_df["strategy"].isin([ + "coherent_cash_buffer_branch", + "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8", + ])].copy() + selected_summary = honest_pool.iloc[0] + + recommendation = build_recommendation( + center_summary=center_summary, + cash_summary=cash_summary, + full_summary=full_summary, + selected_summary=selected_summary, + qqq_plus_oos=qqq_oos, + ) + + reference_deployment_rows = [ + v12.summarize_reference_deployment("qqq_plus_current_default", reference_artifacts["qqq_plus_current_default"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + v12.summarize_reference_deployment("aggressive_alt_spec", reference_artifacts["aggressive_alt_spec"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + v12.summarize_reference_deployment("defensive_baseline", reference_artifacts["defensive_baseline"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + {"strategy": "QQQ", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": 1.0, "avg_names_held": 1.0}, + ] + comparison_df = pd.concat( + [candidate_df.loc[candidate_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), qqq_reference_rows.loc[qqq_reference_rows["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy()], + ignore_index=True, + ) + comparison_df = comparison_df.merge( + pd.concat([deployment_summary_df[["strategy", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "avg_names_held"]], pd.DataFrame(reference_deployment_rows)], ignore_index=True), + on="strategy", + how="left", + ) + + candidate_summary_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.csv", index=False) + deployment_summary_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_3_deployment_consistency.csv", index=False) + (results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_3_recommendation.json").write_text(json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + write_markdown_report( + results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.md", + candidate_summary=candidate_summary_df, + deployment_summary=deployment_summary_df, + comparison_5bps=comparison_df, + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"selected research default: {recommendation['selected_research_default']}") + print(f"recommendation: {recommendation['research_recommendation']}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..d986b02 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py @@ -0,0 +1,678 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +"""Refinement and freeze review for the honest cash-buffered tech pullback branch.""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import sys +from contextlib import contextmanager +from dataclasses import dataclass, replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization as v13 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +COST_LEVELS = (0.0, MAIN_COST_BPS) +CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME = "growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json" +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", "2022-01-01", None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class CashBufferCandidate: + label: str + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig + risk_on_exposure: float + soft_threshold: float + hard_threshold: float + note: str + base_shape: str + regime_variant: str + adv_bucket: str + hold_bonus_bucket: str + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class ReferenceCandidate: + label: str + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig + risk_on_exposure: float + soft_threshold: float + hard_threshold: float + note: str + + +@contextmanager +def temporary_breadth_thresholds(soft: float, hard: float): + original_soft = robust.SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD + original_hard = robust.HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD + robust.SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD = float(soft) + robust.HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD = float(hard) + try: + yield + finally: + robust.SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD = original_soft + robust.HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD = original_hard + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument("--alias-data-run-dir", help="Prepared alias-fixed Russell data run dir") + parser.add_argument("--results-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--configs-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def resolve_center_config(configs_dir: Path) -> Path: + return configs_dir / CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME + + +def build_cash_buffer_candidates(center_cfg: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig) -> list[CashBufferCandidate]: + candidates: list[CashBufferCandidate] = [] + structures = { + "A": {"holdings": 8, "single_cap": 0.10, "sector_cap": 0.40}, + "B": {"holdings": 10, "single_cap": 0.08, "sector_cap": 0.40}, + } + regime_variants = { + "base": {"soft_threshold": 0.55, "hard_threshold": 0.35, "soft_defense": 0.60}, + "tight": {"soft_threshold": 0.60, "hard_threshold": 0.40, "soft_defense": 0.50}, + } + for structure_key, structure in structures.items(): + for hold_bonus in (0.05, 0.10): + for regime_key, regime in regime_variants.items(): + for adv20 in (50_000_000.0, 20_000_000.0): + exposures = gp.suite.ExposureConfig( + name=f"80_{int(round(regime['soft_defense'] * 100))}_0", + soft_defense_exposure=float(regime["soft_defense"]), + hard_defense_exposure=0.0, + ) + universe_spec = replace(center_cfg.universe_spec, min_adv20_usd=float(adv20)) + config = replace( + center_cfg, + name=( + "coherent_cash_buffer_branch" + if structure_key == "A" and hold_bonus == 0.05 and regime_key == "base" and adv20 == 50_000_000.0 + else f"cash_buffer_{structure_key.lower()}__hb{int(round(hold_bonus * 100)):02d}__{regime_key}__adv{int(round(adv20 / 1_000_000)):02d}" + ), + universe_spec=universe_spec, + holdings_count=int(structure["holdings"]), + single_name_cap=float(structure["single_cap"]), + sector_cap=float(structure["sector_cap"]), + exposures=exposures, + hold_bonus=float(hold_bonus), + ) + candidates.append( + CashBufferCandidate( + label=config.name, + config=config, + risk_on_exposure=0.80, + soft_threshold=float(regime["soft_threshold"]), + hard_threshold=float(regime["hard_threshold"]), + note=( + f"cash-buffer branch {structure_key}: {structure['holdings']} names / {int(round(structure['single_cap']*100))}% single cap / " + f"{int(round(structure['sector_cap']*100))}% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus={hold_bonus:.2f} / " + f"soft-hard={regime['soft_threshold']:.2f}/{regime['hard_threshold']:.2f} / soft_defense={regime['soft_defense']:.2f} / adv20={adv20/1_000_000:.0f}M" + ), + base_shape=structure_key, + regime_variant=regime_key, + adv_bucket=f"{int(round(adv20 / 1_000_000))}M", + hold_bonus_bucket=f"{hold_bonus:.2f}", + ) + ) + return candidates + + +def build_reference_candidates(center_cfg: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig) -> list[ReferenceCandidate]: + full_cfg = replace( + center_cfg, + name="coherent_full_deployment_branch_cfg", + holdings_count=10, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.50, + exposures=gp.suite.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.00), + ) + center_current_cfg = replace( + center_cfg, + name="center_current_cfg", + holdings_count=12, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.40, + exposures=gp.suite.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.00), + hold_bonus=0.05, + ) + return [ + ReferenceCandidate( + label="center_current", + config=center_current_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + soft_threshold=0.55, + hard_threshold=0.35, + note="Historical prototype reference", + ), + ReferenceCandidate( + label="coherent_full_deployment_branch", + config=full_cfg, + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + soft_threshold=0.55, + hard_threshold=0.35, + note="Honest full-deployment reference from v1.3", + ), + ] + + +def candidate_config_fields(candidate: CashBufferCandidate | ReferenceCandidate) -> dict[str, object]: + fields = gp.config_fields(candidate.config) + fields.update( + { + "candidate_label": candidate.label, + "config_name": candidate.config.name, + "risk_on_target_exposure": float(candidate.risk_on_exposure), + "soft_threshold": float(candidate.soft_threshold), + "hard_threshold": float(candidate.hard_threshold), + "geometry_note": candidate.note, + } + ) + if isinstance(candidate, CashBufferCandidate): + fields.update( + { + "base_shape": candidate.base_shape, + "regime_variant": candidate.regime_variant, + "adv_bucket": candidate.adv_bucket, + "hold_bonus_bucket": candidate.hold_bonus_bucket, + } + ) + return fields + + +def evaluate_geometry_candidate( + label: str, + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, + *, + risk_on_exposure: float, + soft_threshold: float, + hard_threshold: float, + note: str, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + cost_bps_values: Iterable[float], +) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, gp.StrategyArtifacts], pd.DataFrame]: + geometry_candidate = v12.make_candidate(label, config, risk_on_exposure=risk_on_exposure, note=note) + with temporary_breadth_thresholds(soft_threshold, hard_threshold): + rows, artifacts_by_cost = v12.evaluate_candidate_rows( + geometry_candidate, + context, + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=cost_bps_values, + ) + monthly = v12.build_deployment_monthly(geometry_candidate, artifacts_by_cost[MAIN_COST_BPS], context) + enriched_rows = [] + for row in rows: + enriched_rows.append({**row, **candidate_config_fields(CashBufferCandidate(label, config, risk_on_exposure, soft_threshold, hard_threshold, note, "", "", "", "") )}) + return enriched_rows, artifacts_by_cost, monthly + + +def evaluate_candidate(candidate: CashBufferCandidate, context: dict[str, object], benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, gp.StrategyArtifacts], pd.DataFrame]: + return evaluate_geometry_candidate( + candidate.label, + candidate.config, + risk_on_exposure=candidate.risk_on_exposure, + soft_threshold=candidate.soft_threshold, + hard_threshold=candidate.hard_threshold, + note=candidate.note, + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + + +def evaluate_reference(reference: ReferenceCandidate, context: dict[str, object], benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, gp.StrategyArtifacts], pd.DataFrame]: + return evaluate_geometry_candidate( + reference.label, + reference.config, + risk_on_exposure=reference.risk_on_exposure, + soft_threshold=reference.soft_threshold, + hard_threshold=reference.hard_threshold, + note=reference.note, + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + + +def summarize_2022_deployment(monthly: pd.DataFrame) -> dict[str, float]: + if monthly.empty: + return { + "share_2022_risk_on": np.nan, + "share_2022_soft_defense": np.nan, + "share_2022_hard_defense": np.nan, + "avg_2022_stock_weight": np.nan, + "avg_2022_safe_haven_weight": np.nan, + } + frame = monthly.copy() + frame["rebalance_date"] = pd.to_datetime(frame["rebalance_date"]).dt.normalize() + frame = frame.loc[(frame["rebalance_date"] >= pd.Timestamp("2022-01-01")) & (frame["rebalance_date"] <= pd.Timestamp("2022-12-31"))] + if frame.empty: + return { + "share_2022_risk_on": np.nan, + "share_2022_soft_defense": np.nan, + "share_2022_hard_defense": np.nan, + "avg_2022_stock_weight": np.nan, + "avg_2022_safe_haven_weight": np.nan, + } + return { + "share_2022_risk_on": float((frame["regime"] == "risk_on").mean()), + "share_2022_soft_defense": float((frame["regime"] == "soft_defense").mean()), + "share_2022_hard_defense": float((frame["regime"] == "hard_defense").mean()), + "avg_2022_stock_weight": float(frame["realized_stock_weight"].mean()), + "avg_2022_safe_haven_weight": float(frame["safe_haven_weight"].mean()), + } + + +def percentile_rank(series: pd.Series, *, higher_is_better: bool) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(series, errors="coerce") + ranked = numeric.rank(method="average", pct=True) if higher_is_better else (-numeric).rank(method="average", pct=True) + return ranked.fillna(0.0) + + +def add_refinement_scores(summary_df: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DataFrame: + scored = summary_df.copy() + scored["score_honesty"] = percentile_rank(scored["deployment_honesty_score"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_fill_rate"] = percentile_rank(scored["risk_on_fill_rate"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] = percentile_rank(scored["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] = percentile_rank(scored["oos_max_drawdown"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_2022"] = percentile_rank(scored["return_2022"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_turnover"] = percentile_rank(scored["annual_turnover"], higher_is_better=False) + scored["score_avg_names"] = percentile_rank(scored["avg_names_held"], higher_is_better=True) + scored["score_top3_concentration"] = percentile_rank(scored["avg_top3_stock_weight"], higher_is_better=False) + scored["cash_buffer_refinement_score"] = ( + scored["score_oos_rel_qqq"] * 0.28 + + scored["score_2022"] * 0.08 + + scored["score_oos_maxdd"] * 0.16 + + scored["score_honesty"] * 0.12 + + scored["score_fill_rate"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_turnover"] * 0.10 + + scored["score_avg_names"] * 0.08 + + scored["score_top3_concentration"] * 0.08 + ) + return scored.sort_values( + by=["cash_buffer_refinement_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "return_2022", "oos_max_drawdown"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def build_summary_rows( + candidate_rows_df: pd.DataFrame, + deployment_summary_df: pd.DataFrame, + qqq_oos_cagr: float, +) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows = [] + for strategy, group in candidate_rows_df.groupby("strategy", sort=False): + full_row = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_rows_df, strategy, MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + oos_row = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_rows_df, strategy, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + row_2022 = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_rows_df, strategy, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022") + row_2023 = v12.extract_period_row(candidate_rows_df, strategy, MAIN_COST_BPS, "2023+") + dep = deployment_summary_df.loc[deployment_summary_df["strategy"] == strategy].iloc[0] + first_row = group.iloc[0] + rows.append( + { + "strategy": strategy, + "config_name": str(first_row["config_name"]), + "family": str(first_row["family"]), + "base_shape": first_row.get("base_shape", "reference"), + "regime_variant": first_row.get("regime_variant", "reference"), + "adv_bucket": first_row.get("adv_bucket", "reference"), + "hold_bonus_bucket": first_row.get("hold_bonus_bucket", "reference"), + "holdings_count": int(first_row["holdings_count"]), + "single_name_cap": float(first_row["single_name_cap"]), + "sector_cap": float(first_row["sector_cap"]), + "hold_bonus": float(first_row["hold_bonus"]), + "min_adv20_usd": float(first_row["min_adv20_usd"]), + "soft_threshold": float(first_row["soft_threshold"]), + "hard_threshold": float(first_row["hard_threshold"]), + "soft_defense_exposure": float(first_row["soft_defense_exposure"]), + "risk_on_target_exposure": float(first_row["risk_on_target_exposure"]), + "full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr": float(oos_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(oos_row["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr), + "full_max_drawdown": float(full_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(oos_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "return_2022": float(row_2022["Total Return"]), + "cagr_2023_plus": float(row_2023["CAGR"]), + "annual_turnover": float(full_row["Turnover/Year"]), + **dep.to_dict(), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def build_recommendation( + *, + current_default: pd.Series, + best_refined: pd.Series, + qqq_plus_oos: pd.Series, + full_deployment_reference: pd.Series, + all_candidates: pd.DataFrame, +) -> dict[str, object]: + best_is_current_default = str(best_refined["strategy"]) == "coherent_cash_buffer_branch" + regime_2022_helped = bool(float(best_refined["return_2022"]) - float(current_default["return_2022"]) >= 0.02) + honest_ok = bool(float(best_refined["deployment_honesty_score"]) >= 0.99 and float(best_refined["risk_on_fill_rate"]) >= 0.99) + concentration_ok = bool(float(best_refined["avg_top3_stock_weight"]) <= 0.22) + occupancy_ok = bool(float(best_refined["avg_names_held"]) >= 6.0 and float(best_refined["underfilled_month_share"]) <= 0.35) + performance_ok = bool(float(best_refined["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0.15 and float(best_refined["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.25) + stable_margin = bool( + len(all_candidates) <= 1 + or float(best_refined.get("cash_buffer_refinement_score", 0.0)) - float(all_candidates.iloc[1].get("cash_buffer_refinement_score", 0.0)) >= 0.03 + ) + no_material_gain_over_current = bool( + abs(float(best_refined["oos_cagr"]) - float(current_default["oos_cagr"])) <= 0.015 + and abs(float(best_refined["return_2022"]) - float(current_default["return_2022"])) <= 0.02 + and abs(float(best_refined["avg_names_held"]) - float(current_default["avg_names_held"])) <= 1.0 + ) + + if not performance_ok: + level = "cash_buffer_branch_candidate" + reason = "cash-buffer branch direction still exists, but the refined candidates do not keep enough relative-to-QQQ edge" + elif honest_ok and occupancy_ok and concentration_ok and best_is_current_default and (stable_margin or no_material_gain_over_current): + level = "cash_buffer_branch_default_frozen" + reason = "current honest cash-buffer branch is already good enough; small refinements do not justify further spec churn" + elif honest_ok and performance_ok: + level = "cash_buffer_branch_default" + reason = "a refined honest cash-buffer candidate is strong enough to act as the branch default, but the spec is not fully frozen yet" + else: + level = "cash_buffer_branch_candidate" + reason = "the branch is real, but concentration / occupancy / 2022 behavior still need one more tightening pass" + + keep_parallel = bool(float(best_refined["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]) > 0 and float(best_refined["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.25) + role = "并行分支" if keep_parallel else "次级实验" + return { + "current_default": str(current_default["strategy"]), + "selected_refined_default": str(best_refined["strategy"]), + "full_deployment_reference": str(full_deployment_reference["strategy"]), + "research_recommendation": level, + "keep_parallel_branch": keep_parallel, + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": role, + "reason": reason, + "checks": { + "best_is_current_default": best_is_current_default, + "performance_ok": performance_ok, + "honest_ok": honest_ok, + "occupancy_ok": occupancy_ok, + "concentration_ok": concentration_ok, + "stable_margin": stable_margin, + "no_material_gain_over_current": no_material_gain_over_current, + "regime_micro_tuning_helped_2022": regime_2022_helped, + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(best_refined["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]), + "selected_2022": float(best_refined["return_2022"]), + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": float(best_refined["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "selected_annual_turnover": float(best_refined["annual_turnover"]), + "selected_avg_names_held": float(best_refined["avg_names_held"]), + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": float(best_refined["avg_top3_stock_weight"]), + "selected_risk_on_fill_rate": float(best_refined["risk_on_fill_rate"]), + "selected_deployment_honesty_score": float(best_refined["deployment_honesty_score"]), + "qqq_plus_oos_cagr": float(qqq_plus_oos["CAGR"]), + }, + } + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + + def fmt(value): + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(v) for v in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_markdown_report( + path: Path, + *, + branch_default: dict[str, object], + reference_params: list[dict[str, object]], + candidate_summary: pd.DataFrame, + deployment_summary: pd.DataFrame, + comparison_5bps: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], +) -> None: + lines = [ + "# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.4 cash buffer branch refinement", + "", + "## Current branch default parameters", + format_table(pd.DataFrame([branch_default])), + "", + "## Reference objects", + format_table(pd.DataFrame(reference_params)), + "", + "## Candidate ranking", + format_table(candidate_summary[[ + "strategy", "base_shape", "regime_variant", "adv_bucket", "hold_bonus_bucket", + "holdings_count", "single_name_cap", "sector_cap", "soft_defense_exposure", + "full_cagr", "oos_cagr", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "return_2022", "oos_max_drawdown", + "annual_turnover", "avg_names_held", "avg_top3_stock_weight", "cash_buffer_refinement_score" + ]]), + "", + "## Deployment consistency", + format_table(deployment_summary[[ + "strategy", "avg_names_held", "risk_on_avg_names", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "risk_on_fill_rate", + "underfilled_month_share", "avg_top1_stock_weight", "avg_top3_stock_weight", "avg_top5_stock_weight", + "avg_safe_haven_weight", "share_2022_risk_on", "share_2022_soft_defense", "share_2022_hard_defense", "avg_2022_stock_weight" + ]]), + "", + "## Main comparison (5 bps)", + format_table(comparison_5bps[[ + "strategy", "period", "CAGR", "Max Drawdown", "Turnover/Year", "Average Names Held", + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "beta_vs_qqq", "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", "Information Ratio vs QQQ", + "Up Capture vs QQQ", "Down Capture vs QQQ" + ]]), + "", + "## Recommendation", + f"- research_recommendation={recommendation['research_recommendation']}", + f"- selected_refined_default={recommendation['selected_refined_default']}", + f"- keep_parallel_branch={recommendation['keep_parallel_branch']}", + f"- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default={recommendation['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default']}", + f"- reason={recommendation['reason']}", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + configs_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + center_cfg = gp.load_spec_config(resolve_center_config(configs_dir)) + cash_candidates = build_cash_buffer_candidates(center_cfg) + reference_candidates = build_reference_candidates(center_cfg) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = gp.build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + candidate_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + deployment_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for candidate in cash_candidates: + rows, artifacts_by_cost, monthly = evaluate_candidate(candidate, context, benchmark_returns) + candidate_rows.extend(rows) + deployment_summary = v12.summarize_deployment(monthly) + deployment_rows.append({ + **deployment_summary, + **summarize_2022_deployment(monthly), + **v13.spec_consistency_metrics(candidate, pd.Series(deployment_summary)), + **candidate_config_fields(candidate), + }) + + reference_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + reference_deploy_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for reference in reference_candidates: + rows, artifacts_by_cost, monthly = evaluate_reference(reference, context, benchmark_returns) + reference_rows.extend(rows) + deployment_summary = v12.summarize_deployment(monthly) + reference_deploy_rows.append({ + **deployment_summary, + **summarize_2022_deployment(monthly), + **v13.spec_consistency_metrics(reference, pd.Series(deployment_summary)), + **candidate_config_fields(reference), + }) + + candidate_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(candidate_rows) + deployment_summary_df = pd.DataFrame(deployment_rows) + reference_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(reference_rows) + reference_deployment_df = pd.DataFrame(reference_deploy_rows) + + qqq_reference_rows, reference_artifacts = gp.build_reference_rows(context, COST_LEVELS) + qqq_oos_cagr = float(v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "QQQ", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["CAGR"]) + + candidate_summary_df = add_refinement_scores(build_summary_rows(candidate_rows_df, deployment_summary_df, qqq_oos_cagr)) + reference_summary_df = build_summary_rows(reference_rows_df, reference_deployment_df, qqq_oos_cagr) + + current_default = candidate_summary_df.loc[candidate_summary_df["strategy"] == "coherent_cash_buffer_branch"].iloc[0] + best_refined = candidate_summary_df.iloc[0] + full_deployment_reference = reference_summary_df.loc[reference_summary_df["strategy"] == "coherent_full_deployment_branch"].iloc[0] + qqq_plus_oos = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + + recommendation = build_recommendation( + current_default=current_default, + best_refined=best_refined, + qqq_plus_oos=qqq_plus_oos, + full_deployment_reference=full_deployment_reference, + all_candidates=candidate_summary_df, + ) + + comparison_df = pd.concat( + [ + candidate_rows_df.loc[candidate_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + reference_rows_df.loc[reference_rows_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + qqq_reference_rows.loc[qqq_reference_rows["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + ], + ignore_index=True, + ) + comparison_df = comparison_df.merge( + pd.concat( + [ + deployment_summary_df[["strategy", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "avg_names_held"]], + reference_deployment_df[["strategy", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight", "avg_names_held"]], + pd.DataFrame([ + v12.summarize_reference_deployment("qqq_plus_current_default", reference_artifacts["qqq_plus_current_default"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + v12.summarize_reference_deployment("aggressive_alt_spec", reference_artifacts["aggressive_alt_spec"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + v12.summarize_reference_deployment("defensive_baseline", reference_artifacts["defensive_baseline"][MAIN_COST_BPS]), + {"strategy": "QQQ", "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": 1.0, "avg_names_held": 1.0}, + ]), + ], + ignore_index=True, + ), + on="strategy", + how="left", + ) + + relevant_strategies = [ + "coherent_cash_buffer_branch", + str(best_refined["strategy"]), + "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "qqq_plus_current_default", + "aggressive_alt_spec", + "defensive_baseline", + "QQQ", + ] + comparison_df = comparison_df.loc[comparison_df["strategy"].isin(relevant_strategies)].copy() + + candidate_summary_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.csv", index=False) + deployment_summary_df.to_csv(results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_4_deployment_consistency.csv", index=False) + (results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_4_recommendation.json").write_text( + json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), + encoding="utf-8", + ) + write_markdown_report( + results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.md", + branch_default={ + "strategy": "coherent_cash_buffer_branch", + "holdings_count": 8, + "single_name_cap": 0.10, + "sector_cap": 0.40, + "risk_on": 0.80, + "soft_defense": 0.60, + "hard_defense": 0.00, + "hold_bonus": 0.05, + "min_adv20_usd": 50_000_000.0, + "soft_threshold": 0.55, + "hard_threshold": 0.35, + }, + reference_params=[ + { + "strategy": "center_current", + "holdings_count": 12, + "single_name_cap": 0.10, + "sector_cap": 0.40, + "risk_on": 1.00, + "soft_defense": 0.60, + "hard_defense": 0.00, + "hold_bonus": 0.05, + "min_adv20_usd": 50_000_000.0, + "soft_threshold": 0.55, + "hard_threshold": 0.35, + }, + { + "strategy": "qqq_plus_current_default", + "reference": "frozen offensive research default", + }, + { + "strategy": "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "holdings_count": 10, + "single_name_cap": 0.10, + "sector_cap": 0.50, + "risk_on": 1.00, + "soft_defense": 0.60, + "hard_defense": 0.00, + "hold_bonus": 0.05, + "min_adv20_usd": 50_000_000.0, + "soft_threshold": 0.55, + "hard_threshold": 0.35, + }, + ], + candidate_summary=candidate_summary_df, + deployment_summary=deployment_summary_df, + comparison_5bps=comparison_df, + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"selected refined default: {recommendation['selected_refined_default']}") + print(f"research recommendation: {recommendation['research_recommendation']}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1fdcbbe --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py @@ -0,0 +1,690 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +"""Freeze review and branch packaging for the cash-buffered tech pullback branch.""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import sys +from dataclasses import dataclass, replace +from pathlib import Path + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization as v13 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement as v14 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +CANONICAL_CONFIG_FILENAME = "growth_pullback_cash_buffer_branch_default.json" +V14_SUMMARY_FILENAME = "growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.csv" +V14_RECOMMENDATION_FILENAME = "growth_pullback_v1_4_recommendation.json" + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class CanonicalBranchSpec: + name: str + previous_candidate_name: str + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig + risk_on_exposure: float + soft_threshold: float + hard_threshold: float + benchmark_symbol: str + residual_proxy: str + cost_bps_one_way: float + branch_role: str + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument("--alias-data-run-dir", help="Prepared alias-fixed Russell data run dir") + parser.add_argument("--results-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--configs-dir", default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR)) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def resolve_paths(configs_dir: Path, results_dir: Path) -> dict[str, Path]: + return { + "center_config": configs_dir / v14.CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME, + "canonical_config": configs_dir / CANONICAL_CONFIG_FILENAME, + "v14_summary": results_dir / V14_SUMMARY_FILENAME, + "v14_recommendation": results_dir / V14_RECOMMENDATION_FILENAME, + "manifest": results_dir / "growth_pullback_branch_manifest.json", + "checks_csv": results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_5_consistency_checks.csv", + "freeze_review_csv": results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.csv", + "freeze_review_md": results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.md", + "recommendation_json": results_dir / "growth_pullback_v1_5_recommendation.json", + } + + +def build_canonical_spec(center_cfg: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, previous_candidate_name: str) -> CanonicalBranchSpec: + config = replace( + center_cfg, + name="cash_buffer_branch_default", + holdings_count=8, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.40, + hold_bonus=0.10, + exposures=gp.suite.ExposureConfig("80_60_0", 0.60, 0.00), + ) + return CanonicalBranchSpec( + name="cash_buffer_branch_default", + previous_candidate_name=previous_candidate_name, + config=config, + risk_on_exposure=0.80, + soft_threshold=0.55, + hard_threshold=0.35, + benchmark_symbol="QQQ", + residual_proxy="simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + cost_bps_one_way=MAIN_COST_BPS, + branch_role="cash-buffered parallel branch", + ) + + +def canonical_spec_to_dict(spec: CanonicalBranchSpec) -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "role": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "status": "research_only", + "strategy": "growth_pullback_systematic_v1", + "branch_name": "cash_buffer_branch", + "name": spec.name, + "previous_candidate_name": spec.previous_candidate_name, + "family": spec.config.family, + "universe": spec.config.universe_spec.name, + "normalization": gp.normalization_label(spec.config.universe_spec.normalization), + "min_adv20_usd": float(spec.config.universe_spec.min_adv20_usd), + "sector_whitelist": list(spec.config.universe_spec.sector_whitelist), + "symbol_whitelist": list(spec.config.universe_spec.symbol_whitelist), + "notes": spec.config.universe_spec.notes, + "score_template": spec.config.score_template, + "holdings_count": int(spec.config.holdings_count), + "single_name_cap": float(spec.config.single_name_cap), + "sector_cap": float(spec.config.sector_cap), + "hold_bonus": float(spec.config.hold_bonus), + "regime": spec.config.regime.name, + "benchmark_symbol": spec.benchmark_symbol, + "breadth_mode": spec.config.regime.breadth_mode, + "breadth_symbols": list(spec.config.regime.breadth_symbols), + "breadth_thresholds": { + "soft": float(spec.soft_threshold), + "hard": float(spec.hard_threshold), + }, + "exposures": { + "risk_on": float(spec.risk_on_exposure), + "soft_defense": float(spec.config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure), + "hard_defense": float(spec.config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure), + }, + "residual_proxy": spec.residual_proxy, + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": float(spec.cost_bps_one_way), + "branch_role": spec.branch_role, + "canonicalized_from": "growth_pullback_systematic_v1.4 cash_buffer_refinement", + } + + +def save_canonical_spec(path: Path, spec: CanonicalBranchSpec) -> None: + path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + path.write_text(json.dumps(canonical_spec_to_dict(spec), indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + + +def load_canonical_spec(path: Path) -> dict[str, object]: + return json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) + + +def load_v14_selection(summary_path: Path, recommendation_path: Path) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, object], str]: + summary = pd.read_csv(summary_path) + recommendation = json.loads(recommendation_path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) + previous_candidate_name = str(recommendation["selected_refined_default"]) + return summary, recommendation, previous_candidate_name + + +def evaluate_branch( + spec: CanonicalBranchSpec, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, +) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]: + rows, artifacts_by_cost, monthly = v14.evaluate_geometry_candidate( + spec.name, + spec.config, + risk_on_exposure=spec.risk_on_exposure, + soft_threshold=spec.soft_threshold, + hard_threshold=spec.hard_threshold, + note="Canonical cash-buffer branch default", + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=(0.0, MAIN_COST_BPS), + ) + deployment = v12.summarize_deployment(monthly) + deployment_row = pd.Series( + { + **deployment, + **v14.summarize_2022_deployment(monthly), + **v13.spec_consistency_metrics( + v12.make_candidate(spec.name, spec.config, risk_on_exposure=spec.risk_on_exposure, note="canonical"), + pd.Series(deployment), + ), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows), monthly, deployment_row + + +def evaluate_reference_candidate( + label: str, + config: gp.GrowthPullbackConfig, + *, + risk_on_exposure: float, + soft_threshold: float, + hard_threshold: float, + note: str, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, +) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]: + rows, artifacts_by_cost, monthly = v14.evaluate_geometry_candidate( + label, + config, + risk_on_exposure=risk_on_exposure, + soft_threshold=soft_threshold, + hard_threshold=hard_threshold, + note=note, + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=(0.0, MAIN_COST_BPS), + ) + deployment = v12.summarize_deployment(monthly) + deployment_row = pd.Series( + { + **deployment, + **v14.summarize_2022_deployment(monthly), + **v13.spec_consistency_metrics( + v12.make_candidate(label, config, risk_on_exposure=risk_on_exposure, note=note), + pd.Series(deployment), + ), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows), deployment_row + + +def summarize_strategy(rows: pd.DataFrame, deployment_row: pd.Series, qqq_oos_cagr: float) -> dict[str, object]: + full_row = v12.extract_period_row(rows, str(rows.iloc[0]["strategy"]), MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + oos_row = v12.extract_period_row(rows, str(rows.iloc[0]["strategy"]), MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + row_2022 = v12.extract_period_row(rows, str(rows.iloc[0]["strategy"]), MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022") + return { + "strategy": str(rows.iloc[0]["strategy"]), + "full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr": float(oos_row["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(oos_row["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(oos_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "full_max_drawdown": float(full_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "return_2022": float(row_2022["Total Return"]), + "annual_turnover": float(full_row["Turnover/Year"]), + "avg_names_held": float(deployment_row["avg_names_held"]), + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": float(deployment_row["risk_on_realized_stock_weight"]), + "risk_on_fill_rate": float(deployment_row["risk_on_fill_rate"]), + "soft_defense_realized_stock_weight": float(deployment_row["soft_defense_realized_stock_weight"]), + "hard_defense_realized_stock_weight": float(deployment_row["hard_defense_realized_stock_weight"]), + "deployment_honesty_score": float(deployment_row["deployment_honesty_score"]), + "avg_top3_stock_weight": float(deployment_row["avg_top3_stock_weight"]), + } + + +def build_consistency_checks( + *, + spec: CanonicalBranchSpec, + config_payload: dict[str, object], + v14_summary: pd.DataFrame, + previous_candidate_name: str, + canonical_summary: dict[str, object], + recommendation_level: str, + manifest: dict[str, object], +) -> pd.DataFrame: + previous_row = v14_summary.loc[v14_summary["strategy"] == previous_candidate_name].iloc[0] + theoretical_capacity = v12.theoretical_stock_capacity(spec.risk_on_exposure, spec.config, active_sector_count=2) + checks = [ + { + "check": "geometry_capacity_matches_target", + "passed": abs(theoretical_capacity - spec.risk_on_exposure) <= 1e-12, + "detail": f"theoretical_capacity={theoretical_capacity:.4f}, risk_on_target={spec.risk_on_exposure:.4f}", + }, + { + "check": "risk_on_realized_matches_target", + "passed": abs(canonical_summary["risk_on_realized_stock_weight"] - spec.risk_on_exposure) <= 1e-12, + "detail": f"realized={canonical_summary['risk_on_realized_stock_weight']:.4f}, target={spec.risk_on_exposure:.4f}", + }, + { + "check": "soft_defense_realized_matches_target", + "passed": abs(canonical_summary["soft_defense_realized_stock_weight"] - spec.config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure) <= 1e-12, + "detail": f"realized={canonical_summary['soft_defense_realized_stock_weight']:.4f}, target={spec.config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure:.4f}", + }, + { + "check": "hard_defense_realized_zero", + "passed": abs(canonical_summary["hard_defense_realized_stock_weight"] - spec.config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure) <= 1e-12, + "detail": f"realized={canonical_summary['hard_defense_realized_stock_weight']:.4f}, target={spec.config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure:.4f}", + }, + { + "check": "config_name_matches_canonical_name", + "passed": str(config_payload["name"]) == spec.name, + "detail": f"config_name={config_payload['name']}, canonical_name={spec.name}", + }, + { + "check": "previous_candidate_mapping_preserved", + "passed": str(config_payload["previous_candidate_name"]) == previous_candidate_name, + "detail": f"previous_candidate_name={config_payload['previous_candidate_name']}", + }, + { + "check": "canonical_metrics_match_previous_candidate", + "passed": ( + abs(canonical_summary["oos_cagr"] - float(previous_row["oos_cagr"])) <= 1e-12 + and abs(canonical_summary["return_2022"] - float(previous_row["return_2022"])) <= 1e-12 + and abs(canonical_summary["avg_names_held"] - float(previous_row["avg_names_held"])) <= 1e-12 + ), + "detail": ( + f"canonical_oos={canonical_summary['oos_cagr']:.6f}, prev_oos={float(previous_row['oos_cagr']):.6f}; " + f"canonical_2022={canonical_summary['return_2022']:.6f}, prev_2022={float(previous_row['return_2022']):.6f}" + ), + }, + { + "check": "recommendation_matches_branch_default_role", + "passed": recommendation_level == "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "detail": f"recommendation={recommendation_level}", + }, + { + "check": "manifest_role_matches_default_branch", + "passed": manifest["role"] == "cash-buffered parallel branch", + "detail": f"manifest_role={manifest['role']}", + }, + ] + return pd.DataFrame(checks) + + +def build_manifest( + *, + spec: CanonicalBranchSpec, + canonical_summary: dict[str, object], + qqq_plus_oos: pd.Series, + recommendation_level: str, +) -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "branch_name": spec.name, + "previous_candidate_name": spec.previous_candidate_name, + "role": "cash-buffered parallel branch", + "strategy_family": spec.config.family, + "intended_use": "Research-only parallel stock branch for concentrated tech leaders bought on controlled pullbacks with an explicit 20% cash/BOXX buffer in risk-on.", + "benchmark": spec.benchmark_symbol, + "universe_semantics": "Two-sector tech-heavy large-cap universe: Information Technology + Communication inside the IWB/Russell proxy universe.", + "deployment_semantics": { + "holdings_count": int(spec.config.holdings_count), + "single_name_cap": float(spec.config.single_name_cap), + "sector_cap": float(spec.config.sector_cap), + "risk_on_target_stock_weight": float(spec.risk_on_exposure), + "soft_defense_target_stock_weight": float(spec.config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure), + "hard_defense_target_stock_weight": float(spec.config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure), + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": float(canonical_summary["risk_on_realized_stock_weight"]), + "avg_names_held": float(canonical_summary["avg_names_held"]), + "risk_on_fill_rate": float(canonical_summary["risk_on_fill_rate"]), + }, + "why_this_is_a_cash_buffer_branch": [ + "risk_on target is explicitly 80%, not implicit underinvestment.", + "Two-sector 40% cap + 8 names + 10% single cap is geometrically self-consistent at 80% stock.", + "The branch keeps a persistent safe-haven sleeve even in risk_on by design, not by accident.", + ], + "why_this_is_not_a_replacement_for_qqq_plus_current_default": [ + "qqq_plus_current_default remains the main full-risk offensive stock default.", + f"This branch has lower beta ({canonical_summary['beta_vs_qqq_oos']:.3f} OOS) and shallower OOS drawdown, but its 2022 result is still weaker than qqq_plus_current_default.", + "The intended role is a lower-beta, cash-buffered tech pullback parallel branch, not the primary offensive default.", + ], + "why_this_is_not_frozen": [ + f"Average names held is still only about {canonical_summary['avg_names_held']:.2f}, so concentration/occupancy is not fully comfortable.", + "Promotion from v1.4 is only a small hold_bonus micro-adjustment, not a decisive structural upgrade.", + "Canonical naming is finished in this round, but that alone is not enough reason to label the branch frozen.", + ], + "key_risks": [ + "Two-sector concentration remains high.", + "2022 behavior is still materially weaker than qqq_plus_current_default.", + "Universe is still the public IWB/Russell proxy, not official PIT constituents.", + "Residual momentum is still a simple excess-return proxy vs QQQ.", + ], + "preferred_comparison_set": [ + "qqq_plus_current_default", + "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive", + "QQQ", + ], + "promotion_basis": { + "why_promoted_to_branch_default": [ + "Same honest cash-buffer geometry as v1.3 default branch.", + "OOS CAGR and IR improved with a simple hold_bonus increase from 0.05 to 0.10.", + "Deployment semantics remain perfectly aligned with the written spec.", + ], + "recommendation": recommendation_level, + "oos_cagr": float(canonical_summary["oos_cagr"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(canonical_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(canonical_summary["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "return_2022": float(canonical_summary["return_2022"]), + }, + } + + +def build_role_table( + canonical_summary: dict[str, object], + center_summary: dict[str, object], + full_summary: dict[str, object], + qqq_reference_rows: pd.DataFrame, +) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows = [] + qqq_plus_oos = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + qqq_plus_full = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + defensive_oos = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "defensive_baseline", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + defensive_full = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "defensive_baseline", MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + qqq_oos = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "QQQ", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample") + qqq_full = v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "QQQ", MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") + rows.extend([ + { + "strategy": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "role": "cash-buffered parallel branch", + "full_cagr": canonical_summary["full_cagr"], + "oos_cagr": canonical_summary["oos_cagr"], + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": canonical_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], + "oos_max_drawdown": canonical_summary["oos_max_drawdown"], + "return_2022": canonical_summary["return_2022"], + "annual_turnover": canonical_summary["annual_turnover"], + "avg_names_held": canonical_summary["avg_names_held"], + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": canonical_summary["risk_on_realized_stock_weight"], + "beta_vs_qqq": canonical_summary["beta_vs_qqq_oos"], + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": canonical_summary["alpha_ann_vs_qqq_oos"], + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": canonical_summary["information_ratio_vs_qqq_oos"], + }, + { + "strategy": "qqq_plus_current_default", + "role": "main offensive default", + "full_cagr": float(qqq_plus_full["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr": float(qqq_plus_oos["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(qqq_plus_oos["CAGR"] - qqq_oos["CAGR"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(qqq_plus_oos["Max Drawdown"]), + "return_2022": float(v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022")["Total Return"]), + "annual_turnover": float(qqq_plus_full["Turnover/Year"]), + "avg_names_held": float(qqq_plus_full["Average Names Held"]), + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": 0.96, + "beta_vs_qqq": float(qqq_plus_oos["beta_vs_qqq"]), + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(qqq_plus_oos["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": float(qqq_plus_oos["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]), + }, + { + "strategy": "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "role": "full-deployment tech pullback reference", + "full_cagr": full_summary["full_cagr"], + "oos_cagr": full_summary["oos_cagr"], + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": full_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], + "oos_max_drawdown": full_summary["oos_max_drawdown"], + "return_2022": full_summary["return_2022"], + "annual_turnover": full_summary["annual_turnover"], + "avg_names_held": full_summary["avg_names_held"], + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": full_summary["risk_on_realized_stock_weight"], + "beta_vs_qqq": full_summary["beta_vs_qqq_oos"], + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": full_summary["alpha_ann_vs_qqq_oos"], + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": full_summary["information_ratio_vs_qqq_oos"], + }, + { + "strategy": "russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive", + "role": "defensive base", + "full_cagr": float(defensive_full["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr": float(defensive_oos["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(defensive_oos["CAGR"] - qqq_oos["CAGR"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(defensive_oos["Max Drawdown"]), + "return_2022": float(v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "defensive_baseline", MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022")["Total Return"]), + "annual_turnover": float(defensive_full["Turnover/Year"]), + "avg_names_held": float(defensive_full["Average Names Held"]), + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": 1.0, + "beta_vs_qqq": float(defensive_oos["beta_vs_qqq"]), + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(defensive_oos["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": float(defensive_oos["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]), + }, + { + "strategy": "QQQ", + "role": "benchmark reference", + "full_cagr": float(qqq_full["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr": float(qqq_oos["CAGR"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.0, + "oos_max_drawdown": float(qqq_oos["Max Drawdown"]), + "return_2022": float(v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "QQQ", MAIN_COST_BPS, "2022")["Total Return"]), + "annual_turnover": float(qqq_full["Turnover/Year"]), + "avg_names_held": 1.0, + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": 1.0, + "beta_vs_qqq": 1.0, + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": 0.0, + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": np.nan, + }, + ]) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def build_freeze_recommendation( + *, + canonical_summary: dict[str, object], + checks_df: pd.DataFrame, +) -> dict[str, object]: + checks_pass = bool(checks_df["passed"].all()) + performance_ok = bool(canonical_summary["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] > 0.20 and canonical_summary["oos_max_drawdown"] >= -0.22 and canonical_summary["annual_turnover"] <= 3.0) + frozen_blockers = [] + if canonical_summary["avg_names_held"] < 6.5: + frozen_blockers.append("average_names_held_still_low") + if canonical_summary["return_2022"] <= -0.10: + frozen_blockers.append("2022_still_not_clean_enough") + frozen_blockers.append("just_canonicalized_from_small_hold_bonus_micro_adjustment") + + if not (checks_pass and performance_ok): + level = "candidate" + reason = "branch role is valid, but consistency or performance checks are not strong enough for default status" + elif frozen_blockers: + level = "cash_buffer_branch_default" + reason = "canonical naming and branch role are now clear, but avg names / 2022 profile / recent micro-adjustment mean it should stop at default, not frozen" + else: + level = "cash_buffer_branch_default_frozen" + reason = "branch semantics, deployment consistency, and behavior are all stable enough to freeze" + + return { + "research_recommendation": level, + "branch_name": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "previous_candidate_name": "cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50", + "reason": reason, + "frozen_blockers": frozen_blockers, + "checks_pass": checks_pass, + "performance_ok": performance_ok, + "keep_parallel_branch": True, + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": "并行分支", + } + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + def fmt(value): + if isinstance(value, (list, tuple, set)): + return json.dumps(list(value), ensure_ascii=False) + if isinstance(value, dict): + return json.dumps(value, ensure_ascii=False, sort_keys=True) + if value is None: + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + if isinstance(value, (pd.Timestamp,)): + return str(value) + try: + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + except TypeError: + pass + return str(value) + columns = [str(c) for c in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(v) for v in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_markdown_report( + path: Path, + *, + canonical_payload: dict[str, object], + comparison_df: pd.DataFrame, + checks_df: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], + manifest: dict[str, object], +) -> None: + lines = [ + "# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.5 freeze review and branch packaging", + "", + "## Canonical branch default", + format_table(pd.DataFrame([canonical_payload])), + "", + "## Final role table", + format_table(comparison_df), + "", + "## Consistency checks", + format_table(checks_df), + "", + "## Freeze review", + f"- recommendation={recommendation['research_recommendation']}", + f"- previous_candidate_name={recommendation['previous_candidate_name']}", + f"- branch_name={recommendation['branch_name']}", + f"- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default={recommendation['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default']}", + f"- keep_parallel_branch={recommendation['keep_parallel_branch']}", + f"- reason={recommendation['reason']}", + f"- frozen_blockers={', '.join(recommendation['frozen_blockers'])}", + "", + "## Manifest summary", + format_table(pd.DataFrame([{ + 'branch_name': manifest['branch_name'], + 'role': manifest['role'], + 'previous_candidate_name': manifest['previous_candidate_name'], + 'benchmark': manifest['benchmark'], + 'intended_use': manifest['intended_use'], + }])), + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + configs_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + paths = resolve_paths(configs_dir, results_dir) + center_cfg = gp.load_spec_config(paths["center_config"]) + v14_summary, v14_rec, previous_candidate_name = load_v14_selection(paths["v14_summary"], paths["v14_recommendation"]) + spec = build_canonical_spec(center_cfg, previous_candidate_name) + save_canonical_spec(paths["canonical_config"], spec) + canonical_payload = load_canonical_spec(paths["canonical_config"]) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = gp.build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + canonical_rows_df, canonical_monthly, canonical_deployment = evaluate_branch(spec, context, benchmark_returns) + + center_rows_df, center_deployment = evaluate_reference_candidate( + "center_current", + replace(center_cfg, name="center_current_cfg", holdings_count=12, single_name_cap=0.10, sector_cap=0.40, hold_bonus=0.05, exposures=gp.suite.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.00)), + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + soft_threshold=0.55, + hard_threshold=0.35, + note="center current reference", + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + ) + full_rows_df, full_deployment = evaluate_reference_candidate( + "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + replace(center_cfg, name="coherent_full_deployment_branch_cfg", holdings_count=10, single_name_cap=0.10, sector_cap=0.50, hold_bonus=0.05, exposures=gp.suite.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.00)), + risk_on_exposure=1.0, + soft_threshold=0.55, + hard_threshold=0.35, + note="full deployment reference", + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + ) + + qqq_reference_rows, reference_artifacts = gp.build_reference_rows(context, (0.0, MAIN_COST_BPS)) + qqq_oos_cagr = float(v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "QQQ", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["CAGR"]) + + canonical_summary = summarize_strategy(canonical_rows_df, canonical_deployment, qqq_oos_cagr) + center_summary = summarize_strategy(center_rows_df, center_deployment, qqq_oos_cagr) + full_summary = summarize_strategy(full_rows_df, full_deployment, qqq_oos_cagr) + + canonical_summary.update({ + "beta_vs_qqq_oos": float(v12.extract_period_row(canonical_rows_df, spec.name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["beta_vs_qqq"]), + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq_oos": float(v12.extract_period_row(canonical_rows_df, spec.name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "information_ratio_vs_qqq_oos": float(v12.extract_period_row(canonical_rows_df, spec.name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]), + }) + full_summary.update({ + "beta_vs_qqq_oos": float(v12.extract_period_row(full_rows_df, "coherent_full_deployment_branch", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["beta_vs_qqq"]), + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq_oos": float(v12.extract_period_row(full_rows_df, "coherent_full_deployment_branch", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "information_ratio_vs_qqq_oos": float(v12.extract_period_row(full_rows_df, "coherent_full_deployment_branch", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample")["Information Ratio vs QQQ"]), + }) + + preliminary_recommendation_level = "cash_buffer_branch_default" + manifest = build_manifest( + spec=spec, + canonical_summary=canonical_summary, + qqq_plus_oos=v12.extract_period_row(qqq_reference_rows, "qqq_plus_current_default", MAIN_COST_BPS, "OOS Sample"), + recommendation_level=preliminary_recommendation_level, + ) + checks_df = build_consistency_checks( + spec=spec, + config_payload=canonical_payload, + v14_summary=v14_summary, + previous_candidate_name=previous_candidate_name, + canonical_summary=canonical_summary, + recommendation_level=preliminary_recommendation_level, + manifest=manifest, + ) + recommendation = build_freeze_recommendation( + canonical_summary=canonical_summary, + checks_df=checks_df, + ) + manifest["promotion_basis"]["recommendation"] = recommendation["research_recommendation"] + manifest["why_this_is_not_frozen"] = [ + f"Average names held is still only about {canonical_summary['avg_names_held']:.2f}.", + f"2022 return is still {canonical_summary['return_2022']:.2%}, so downside behavior is not clean enough to freeze.", + "This round finished naming/packaging, but the upgrade from v1.4 is still just a hold_bonus micro-adjustment.", + ] + + comparison_df = build_role_table(canonical_summary, center_summary, full_summary, qqq_reference_rows) + + comparison_df.to_csv(paths["freeze_review_csv"], index=False) + checks_df.to_csv(paths["checks_csv"], index=False) + paths["manifest"].write_text(json.dumps(manifest, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + paths["recommendation_json"].write_text(json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + write_markdown_report( + paths["freeze_review_md"], + canonical_payload=canonical_payload, + comparison_df=comparison_df, + checks_df=checks_df, + recommendation=recommendation, + manifest=manifest, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"canonical branch default: {spec.name}") + print(f"recommendation: {recommendation['research_recommendation']}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..786ac1b --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py @@ -0,0 +1,1796 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +""" +Cross-strategy comparison for: +- russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive +- hybrid_growth_income +- semiconductor_rotation_income +- qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1 (research-only) + +The script keeps the defensive baseline frozen, compares it fairly against the +two existing high-elasticity ETF strategies, and researches a separate +offensive stock-selection candidate that aims to outperform QQQ on a +benchmark-relative basis. +""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import math +import sys +from dataclasses import asdict, dataclass +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable, Mapping + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd +import yfinance as yf + + +WORKSPACE_ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[2] +US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT = WORKSPACE_ROOT / "UsEquityStrategies" +QUANT_PLATFORM_KIT_ROOT = WORKSPACE_ROOT / "QuantPlatformKit" +LOCAL_RUNS_ROOT = WORKSPACE_ROOT / "_local_runs" + +for candidate in ( + US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT, + US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src", + QUANT_PLATFORM_KIT_ROOT, + QUANT_PLATFORM_KIT_ROOT / "src", +): + if candidate.exists(): + candidate_text = str(candidate) + if candidate_text not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, candidate_text) + +from us_equity_strategies.backtests.russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive import ( # noqa: E402 + build_monthly_rebalance_dates, + resolve_active_universe, + run_backtest as run_defensive_backtest, +) +from us_equity_strategies.snapshots.russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive import ( # noqa: E402 + read_table, +) +from us_equity_strategies.strategies.hybrid_growth_income import ( # noqa: E402 + get_hybrid_allocation, + get_income_ratio as get_hybrid_income_ratio, +) +from us_equity_strategies.strategies.semiconductor_rotation_income import ( # noqa: E402 + get_dynamic_allocation, + get_income_layer_ratio as get_semiconductor_income_layer_ratio, +) + + +SAFE_HAVEN = "BOXX" +HYBRID_SAFE_CASH = "CASH" +OFFENSIVE_NAME = "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1" + +DEFENSIVE_NAME = "russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive" +HYBRID_FULL_NAME = "hybrid_growth_income" +HYBRID_NORMALIZED_NAME = "hybrid_growth_income_no_income" +SEMICONDUCTOR_FULL_NAME = "semiconductor_rotation_income" +SEMICONDUCTOR_NORMALIZED_NAME = "semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income" + +FULL_COMPARISON_LAYER = "full_strategy" +NORMALIZED_COMPARISON_LAYER = "normalized" +RESEARCH_LAYER = "research_only" + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent / "results" +DEFAULT_ETF_START = "2018-01-01" +DEFAULT_ACCOUNT_EQUITY_FULL = 200_000.0 +DEFAULT_ACCOUNT_EQUITY_NORMALIZED = 50_000.0 +DEFAULT_COSTS_BPS = (0.0, 5.0) + +FULL_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("2018-2021", "2018-01-01", "2021-12-31"), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +ABLATION_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) + +COMPARISON_ETFS = ( + "QQQ", + "SPY", + "TQQQ", + "SOXL", + "SOXX", + "SPYI", + "QQQI", + "XLK", + "SMH", +) + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class UniverseFilterConfig: + name: str + min_adv20_usd: float + leadership_only: bool = False + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class RegimeConfig: + name: str + benchmark_symbol: str + breadth_mode: str + breadth_symbols: tuple[str, ...] = () + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class ExposureConfig: + name: str + soft_defense_exposure: float + hard_defense_exposure: float + + +@dataclass(frozen=True) +class OffensiveConfig: + name: str + universe_filter: UniverseFilterConfig + holdings_count: int + single_name_cap: float + sector_cap: float + regime: RegimeConfig + exposures: ExposureConfig + hold_bonus: float = 0.10 + group_normalization: str = "sector" + + +@dataclass +class StrategyRun: + strategy_name: str + display_name: str + comparison_layer: str + gross_returns: pd.Series + weights_history: pd.DataFrame + turnover_history: pd.Series + metadata: dict[str, object] + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument( + "--data-run-dir", + help="Prepared Russell 1000 data run directory (defaults to the newest official_monthly_v2_alias run under _local_runs)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--results-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR), + help="Directory where comparison tables and research outputs will be written", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--start", + default=None, + help="Optional backtest start date override (defaults to the prepared Russell data start)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--end", + default=None, + help="Optional backtest end date override (defaults to the prepared Russell data latest price date)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--full-account-equity", + type=float, + default=DEFAULT_ACCOUNT_EQUITY_FULL, + help="Starting equity for full-strategy comparisons", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--normalized-account-equity", + type=float, + default=DEFAULT_ACCOUNT_EQUITY_NORMALIZED, + help="Starting equity for normalized no-income comparisons", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--cost-bps", + nargs="*", + type=float, + default=list(DEFAULT_COSTS_BPS), + help="One-way turnover cost assumptions in bps, e.g. --cost-bps 0 5", + ) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def discover_prepared_r1000_run(explicit_path: str | None) -> Path: + if explicit_path: + path = Path(explicit_path).expanduser().resolve() + if not path.exists(): + raise FileNotFoundError(f"data-run-dir not found: {path}") + return path + + candidates = sorted( + LOCAL_RUNS_ROOT.glob("r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias"), + key=lambda path: path.stat().st_mtime, + reverse=True, + ) + if not candidates: + raise FileNotFoundError( + "No prepared official_monthly_v2_alias Russell 1000 run found under " + f"{LOCAL_RUNS_ROOT}" + ) + return candidates[0] + + +def normalize_long_price_history(price_history) -> pd.DataFrame: + frame = pd.DataFrame(price_history).copy() + required = {"symbol", "as_of", "close", "volume"} + missing = required - set(frame.columns) + if missing: + raise ValueError(f"price_history missing required columns: {', '.join(sorted(missing))}") + frame["symbol"] = frame["symbol"].astype(str).str.upper().str.strip() + frame["as_of"] = pd.to_datetime(frame["as_of"]).dt.tz_localize(None).dt.normalize() + frame["close"] = pd.to_numeric(frame["close"], errors="coerce") + frame["volume"] = pd.to_numeric(frame["volume"], errors="coerce") + frame = frame.dropna(subset=["symbol", "as_of", "close"]) + return frame.sort_values(["as_of", "symbol"]).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def normalize_universe_history(universe_history) -> pd.DataFrame: + frame = pd.DataFrame(universe_history).copy() + required = {"symbol", "sector"} + missing = required - set(frame.columns) + if missing: + raise ValueError(f"universe_history missing required columns: {', '.join(sorted(missing))}") + + frame["symbol"] = frame["symbol"].astype(str).str.upper().str.strip() + frame["sector"] = frame["sector"].fillna("unknown").astype(str).str.strip().replace("", "unknown") + for column in ("start_date", "end_date"): + if column in frame.columns: + frame[column] = pd.to_datetime(frame[column], errors="coerce").dt.tz_localize(None).dt.normalize() + return frame.sort_values(["symbol"] + [column for column in ("start_date", "end_date") if column in frame.columns]).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def discover_prepared_data(data_run_dir: Path) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.Timestamp, pd.Timestamp]: + universe_path = data_run_dir / "r1000_universe_history.csv" + prices_path = data_run_dir / "r1000_price_history.csv" + if not universe_path.exists() or not prices_path.exists(): + raise FileNotFoundError( + f"Missing prepared Russell files under {data_run_dir}; " + "expected r1000_universe_history.csv and r1000_price_history.csv" + ) + + universe_history = normalize_universe_history(read_table(universe_path)) + price_history = normalize_long_price_history(read_table(prices_path)) + start_date = pd.Timestamp(price_history["as_of"].min()).normalize() + end_date = pd.Timestamp(price_history["as_of"].max()).normalize() + return universe_history, price_history, start_date, end_date + + +def download_etf_ohlcv(symbols: Iterable[str], start: str, end: str | None) -> dict[str, pd.DataFrame]: + symbols = [str(symbol).strip().upper() for symbol in symbols] + data = yf.download( + symbols, + start=start, + end=end, + auto_adjust=True, + progress=False, + threads=False, + ) + if data.empty: + raise RuntimeError("No ETF price data downloaded from Yahoo Finance") + + fields = ("Open", "High", "Low", "Close", "Volume") + frames: dict[str, pd.DataFrame] = {} + if isinstance(data.columns, pd.MultiIndex): + for field in fields: + field_frame = data[field].copy() if field in data.columns.get_level_values(0) else pd.DataFrame(index=data.index) + field_frame.index = pd.to_datetime(field_frame.index).tz_localize(None).normalize() + field_frame.columns = field_frame.columns.map(str).str.upper() + frames[field.lower()] = field_frame.reindex(columns=symbols) + else: + for field in fields: + if field not in data.columns: + frames[field.lower()] = pd.DataFrame(index=pd.to_datetime(data.index).tz_localize(None).normalize()) + continue + field_frame = data[[field]].copy() + field_frame.index = pd.to_datetime(field_frame.index).tz_localize(None).normalize() + field_frame.columns = symbols[:1] + frames[field.lower()] = field_frame + + for symbol in symbols: + if symbol in frames["close"].columns and frames["close"][symbol].dropna().any(): + continue + single = yf.download( + symbol, + start=start, + end=end, + auto_adjust=True, + progress=False, + threads=False, + ) + if single.empty: + continue + single.index = pd.to_datetime(single.index).tz_localize(None).normalize() + for field in fields: + field_key = field.lower() + if symbol not in frames[field_key].columns: + frames[field_key][symbol] = np.nan + if field in single.columns: + frames[field_key][symbol] = single[field] + + frames["close"] = frames["close"].reindex(columns=symbols) + unresolved = [symbol for symbol in symbols if symbol not in frames["close"].columns or frames["close"][symbol].dropna().empty] + if unresolved: + raise RuntimeError(f"Failed to download usable ETF price history for: {', '.join(unresolved)}") + + return frames + + +def build_extra_etf_price_history( + etf_frames: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + *, + symbols: Iterable[str], +) -> pd.DataFrame: + closes = etf_frames["close"].copy() + volumes = etf_frames["volume"].copy() + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for symbol in symbols: + symbol_text = str(symbol).strip().upper() + if symbol_text not in closes.columns: + continue + close_series = pd.to_numeric(closes[symbol_text], errors="coerce") + volume_series = ( + pd.to_numeric(volumes[symbol_text], errors="coerce") + if symbol_text in volumes.columns + else pd.Series(index=close_series.index, dtype=float) + ) + for as_of, close in close_series.dropna().items(): + volume = volume_series.get(as_of) + rows.append( + { + "symbol": symbol_text, + "as_of": pd.Timestamp(as_of).normalize(), + "close": float(close), + "volume": float(volume) if pd.notna(volume) else float("nan"), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows, columns=["symbol", "as_of", "close", "volume"]).sort_values(["as_of", "symbol"]).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def build_master_index(stock_prices: pd.DataFrame, etf_close_frame: pd.DataFrame) -> pd.DatetimeIndex: + stock_index = pd.DatetimeIndex(sorted(pd.to_datetime(stock_prices["as_of"]).unique())) + qqq_index = pd.DatetimeIndex(etf_close_frame["QQQ"].dropna().index) + common = stock_index.intersection(qqq_index) + if common.empty: + raise RuntimeError("No common dates between Russell stock data and ETF benchmark data") + return common + + +def build_asset_return_matrix( + price_history: pd.DataFrame, + *, + master_index: pd.DatetimeIndex, + required_symbols: Iterable[str] = (), +) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame]: + close_matrix = ( + price_history.pivot_table(index="as_of", columns="symbol", values="close", aggfunc="last") + .sort_index() + .reindex(master_index) + ) + close_matrix = close_matrix.ffill() + for symbol in required_symbols: + symbol_text = str(symbol).strip().upper() + if symbol_text not in close_matrix.columns: + close_matrix[symbol_text] = np.nan + close_matrix = close_matrix.reindex(columns=sorted(close_matrix.columns)) + returns_matrix = close_matrix.pct_change(fill_method=None).replace([np.inf, -np.inf], np.nan).fillna(0.0) + return close_matrix, returns_matrix + + +def compute_turnover(previous_weights: Mapping[str, float], new_weights: Mapping[str, float]) -> float: + symbols = set(previous_weights) | set(new_weights) + return 0.5 * sum(abs(float(new_weights.get(symbol, 0.0)) - float(previous_weights.get(symbol, 0.0))) for symbol in symbols) + + +def compute_negative_sortino(returns: pd.Series) -> float: + downside = returns.loc[returns < 0] + if downside.empty: + return float("nan") + downside_std = float(downside.std(ddof=0)) + if downside_std == 0: + return float("nan") + return float(returns.mean() / downside_std * math.sqrt(252)) + + +def compute_capture_ratios(strategy_returns: pd.Series, benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> tuple[float, float]: + strategy_monthly = (1.0 + strategy_returns).groupby(strategy_returns.index.to_period("M")).prod() - 1.0 + benchmark_monthly = (1.0 + benchmark_returns).groupby(benchmark_returns.index.to_period("M")).prod() - 1.0 + aligned = pd.concat( + [ + strategy_monthly.rename("strategy"), + benchmark_monthly.rename("benchmark"), + ], + axis=1, + ).dropna() + if aligned.empty: + return float("nan"), float("nan") + + up = aligned.loc[aligned["benchmark"] > 0] + down = aligned.loc[aligned["benchmark"] < 0] + + up_capture = float(up["strategy"].mean() / up["benchmark"].mean()) if not up.empty and up["benchmark"].mean() != 0 else float("nan") + down_capture = float(down["strategy"].mean() / down["benchmark"].mean()) if not down.empty and down["benchmark"].mean() != 0 else float("nan") + return up_capture, down_capture + + +def compute_beta(strategy_returns: pd.Series, benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> float: + aligned = pd.concat( + [strategy_returns.rename("strategy"), benchmark_returns.rename("benchmark")], + axis=1, + ).dropna() + if len(aligned) < 2: + return float("nan") + benchmark_var = float(aligned["benchmark"].var(ddof=0)) + if benchmark_var == 0: + return float("nan") + return float(aligned["strategy"].cov(aligned["benchmark"], ddof=0) / benchmark_var) + + +def compute_information_ratio(strategy_returns: pd.Series, benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> float: + aligned = pd.concat( + [strategy_returns.rename("strategy"), benchmark_returns.rename("benchmark")], + axis=1, + ).dropna() + if aligned.empty: + return float("nan") + active = aligned["strategy"] - aligned["benchmark"] + active_std = float(active.std(ddof=0)) + if active_std == 0: + return float("nan") + return float(active.mean() / active_std * math.sqrt(252)) + + +def compute_period_total_return(returns: pd.Series, start: str | None, end: str | None) -> float: + sliced = returns.copy() + if start: + sliced = sliced.loc[start:] + if end: + sliced = sliced.loc[:end] + if sliced.empty: + return float("nan") + return float((1.0 + sliced).prod() - 1.0) + + +def compute_period_cagr(returns: pd.Series, start: str | None, end: str | None) -> float: + sliced = returns.copy() + if start: + sliced = sliced.loc[start:] + if end: + sliced = sliced.loc[:end] + sliced = sliced.dropna() + if sliced.empty: + return float("nan") + equity = float((1.0 + sliced).prod()) + years = max((sliced.index[-1] - sliced.index[0]).days / 365.25, 1 / 365.25) + return float(equity ** (1.0 / years) - 1.0) + + +def summarize_strategy_period( + returns: pd.Series, + weights_history: pd.DataFrame, + turnover_history: pd.Series, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + start: str | None, + end: str | None, + safe_haven_symbols: Iterable[str], + full_returns_reference: pd.Series, +) -> dict[str, float | str]: + sliced_returns = returns.copy() + sliced_weights = weights_history.copy() + sliced_turnover = turnover_history.copy() + sliced_benchmark = benchmark_returns.copy() + if start: + sliced_returns = sliced_returns.loc[start:] + sliced_weights = sliced_weights.loc[start:] + sliced_turnover = sliced_turnover.loc[start:] + sliced_benchmark = sliced_benchmark.loc[start:] + if end: + sliced_returns = sliced_returns.loc[:end] + sliced_weights = sliced_weights.loc[:end] + sliced_turnover = sliced_turnover.loc[:end] + sliced_benchmark = sliced_benchmark.loc[:end] + + sliced_returns = sliced_returns.dropna() + sliced_benchmark = sliced_benchmark.reindex(sliced_returns.index).fillna(0.0) + if sliced_returns.empty: + raise RuntimeError("No strategy returns remain inside the selected period") + + equity_curve = (1.0 + sliced_returns).cumprod() + total_return = float(equity_curve.iloc[-1] - 1.0) + years = max((sliced_returns.index[-1] - sliced_returns.index[0]).days / 365.25, 1 / 365.25) + cagr = float(equity_curve.iloc[-1] ** (1.0 / years) - 1.0) + drawdown = equity_curve / equity_curve.cummax() - 1.0 + max_drawdown = float(drawdown.min()) + volatility = float(sliced_returns.std(ddof=0) * math.sqrt(252)) + std = float(sliced_returns.std(ddof=0)) + sharpe = float(sliced_returns.mean() / std * math.sqrt(252)) if std else float("nan") + sortino = compute_negative_sortino(sliced_returns) + calmar = float(cagr / abs(max_drawdown)) if max_drawdown < 0 else float("nan") + beta_vs_qqq = compute_beta(sliced_returns, sliced_benchmark) + information_ratio = compute_information_ratio(sliced_returns, sliced_benchmark) + up_capture, down_capture = compute_capture_ratios(sliced_returns, sliced_benchmark) + + changes = sliced_weights.fillna(0.0).diff().fillna(0.0) + if not changes.empty: + changes.iloc[0] = 0.0 + daily_turnover = sliced_turnover.reindex(sliced_returns.index).fillna(0.0) + rebalances_per_year = float((daily_turnover > 1e-12).sum() / years) + turnover_per_year = float(daily_turnover.sum() / years) + + safe_haven_set = {str(symbol).strip().upper() for symbol in safe_haven_symbols} + name_columns = [column for column in sliced_weights.columns if str(column).strip().upper() not in safe_haven_set] + if name_columns: + avg_names_held = float((sliced_weights[name_columns].fillna(0.0) > 1e-12).sum(axis=1).mean()) + else: + avg_names_held = 0.0 + + year_2022_return = compute_period_total_return(full_returns_reference, "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31") + cagr_2023_plus = compute_period_cagr(full_returns_reference, "2023-01-01", None) + + return { + "Start": str(sliced_returns.index[0].date()), + "End": str(sliced_returns.index[-1].date()), + "Total Return": total_return, + "CAGR": cagr, + "Max Drawdown": max_drawdown, + "Volatility": volatility, + "Sharpe": sharpe, + "Sortino": sortino, + "Calmar": calmar, + "Turnover/Year": turnover_per_year, + "Rebalances/Year": rebalances_per_year, + "Average Names Held": avg_names_held, + "Beta vs QQQ": beta_vs_qqq, + "Information Ratio vs QQQ": information_ratio, + "Up Capture vs QQQ": up_capture, + "Down Capture vs QQQ": down_capture, + "2022 Return": year_2022_return, + "2023+ CAGR": cagr_2023_plus, + } + + +def build_period_summary_rows( + strategy_runs: list[StrategyRun], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + costs_bps: Iterable[float], + periods: Iterable[tuple[str, str | None, str | None]], +) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for strategy_run in strategy_runs: + for cost_bps in costs_bps: + net_returns = strategy_run.gross_returns - strategy_run.turnover_history.reindex(strategy_run.gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0) * (float(cost_bps) / 10_000.0) + for period_name, start, end in periods: + metrics = summarize_strategy_period( + net_returns, + strategy_run.weights_history, + strategy_run.turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + safe_haven_symbols=(SAFE_HAVEN, HYBRID_SAFE_CASH), + full_returns_reference=net_returns, + ) + rows.append( + { + "comparison_layer": strategy_run.comparison_layer, + "strategy": strategy_run.strategy_name, + "display_name": strategy_run.display_name, + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + **metrics, + **strategy_run.metadata, + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def compute_rolling_36m_capm_alpha(strategy_returns: pd.Series, benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> pd.Series: + aligned = pd.concat( + [ + strategy_returns.rename("strategy"), + benchmark_returns.rename("benchmark"), + ], + axis=1, + ).dropna() + if aligned.empty: + return pd.Series(dtype=float, name=strategy_returns.name) + + window = 756 + results: list[tuple[pd.Timestamp, float]] = [] + for end_index in range(window, len(aligned) + 1): + sample = aligned.iloc[end_index - window : end_index] + benchmark_var = float(sample["benchmark"].var(ddof=0)) + if benchmark_var == 0: + alpha_ann = float("nan") + else: + beta = float(sample["strategy"].cov(sample["benchmark"], ddof=0) / benchmark_var) + alpha_daily = float((sample["strategy"] - beta * sample["benchmark"]).mean()) + alpha_ann = alpha_daily * 252.0 + results.append((sample.index[-1], alpha_ann)) + return pd.Series( + [value for _date, value in results], + index=[date for date, _value in results], + name=strategy_returns.name, + ) + + +def run_hybrid_growth_income_backtest( + qqq_ohlc: pd.DataFrame, + asset_returns: pd.DataFrame, + *, + starting_equity: float, + income_threshold_usd: float, + qqqi_income_ratio: float, + cash_reserve_ratio: float, + rebalance_threshold_ratio: float, + alloc_tier1_breakpoints: Iterable[float], + alloc_tier1_values: Iterable[float], + alloc_tier2_breakpoints: Iterable[float], + alloc_tier2_values: Iterable[float], + risk_leverage_factor: float, + risk_agg_cap: float, + risk_numerator: float, + atr_exit_scale: float, + atr_entry_scale: float, + exit_line_floor: float, + exit_line_cap: float, + entry_line_floor: float, + entry_line_cap: float, +) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]: + strategy_symbols = ["TQQQ", SAFE_HAVEN, "SPYI", "QQQI", HYBRID_SAFE_CASH] + index = asset_returns.index.intersection(qqq_ohlc.index) + qqq_history = qqq_ohlc.loc[index].copy() + returns = asset_returns.reindex(index).fillna(0.0) + weights_history = pd.DataFrame(0.0, index=index, columns=strategy_symbols) + portfolio_returns = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name=HYBRID_FULL_NAME) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name="turnover") + + current_weights: dict[str, float] = {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + current_equity = float(starting_equity) + + for idx in range(len(index) - 1): + date = index[idx] + next_date = index[idx + 1] + + history = qqq_history.loc[:date] + qqq_p = float(history["close"].iloc[-1]) + ma200 = float(history["close"].rolling(200).mean().iloc[-1]) + true_range = pd.concat( + [ + history["high"] - history["low"], + (history["high"] - history["close"].shift(1)).abs(), + (history["low"] - history["close"].shift(1)).abs(), + ], + axis=1, + ).max(axis=1) + atr_pct = float(true_range.rolling(14).mean().iloc[-1] / qqq_p) if len(history) >= 14 else 0.0 + + exit_line = ma200 * max(exit_line_floor, min(exit_line_cap, 1.0 - (atr_pct * atr_exit_scale))) + entry_line = ma200 * max(entry_line_floor, min(entry_line_cap, 1.0 + (atr_pct * atr_entry_scale))) + + income_ratio = get_hybrid_income_ratio(current_equity, income_threshold_usd=income_threshold_usd) + target_income_value = current_equity * income_ratio + target_spyi_value = target_income_value * (1.0 - qqqi_income_ratio) + target_qqqi_value = target_income_value * qqqi_income_ratio + + strategy_equity = max(0.0, current_equity - target_income_value) + reserved = strategy_equity * cash_reserve_ratio + agg_ratio, _target_yield = get_hybrid_allocation( + strategy_equity, + qqq_p, + exit_line, + alloc_tier1_breakpoints=alloc_tier1_breakpoints, + alloc_tier1_values=alloc_tier1_values, + alloc_tier2_breakpoints=alloc_tier2_breakpoints, + alloc_tier2_values=alloc_tier2_values, + risk_leverage_factor=risk_leverage_factor, + risk_agg_cap=risk_agg_cap, + risk_numerator=risk_numerator, + ) + + target_tqqq_ratio = 0.0 + if current_weights.get("TQQQ", 0.0) > 1e-12: + if qqq_p < exit_line: + target_tqqq_ratio = 0.0 + elif qqq_p < ma200: + target_tqqq_ratio = agg_ratio * 0.33 + else: + target_tqqq_ratio = agg_ratio + elif qqq_p > entry_line: + target_tqqq_ratio = agg_ratio + + target_tqqq_value = strategy_equity * target_tqqq_ratio + target_boxx_value = max(0.0, (strategy_equity - reserved) - target_tqqq_value) + target_values = { + "TQQQ": target_tqqq_value, + SAFE_HAVEN: target_boxx_value, + "SPYI": target_spyi_value, + "QQQI": target_qqqi_value, + HYBRID_SAFE_CASH: reserved, + } + target_weights = { + symbol: value / current_equity + for symbol, value in target_values.items() + if value > 1e-12 and current_equity > 0 + } + if not target_weights: + target_weights = {HYBRID_SAFE_CASH: 1.0} + + threshold_weight = rebalance_threshold_ratio + rebalance_needed = any( + abs(target_weights.get(symbol, 0.0) - current_weights.get(symbol, 0.0)) > threshold_weight + for symbol in set(target_weights) | set(current_weights) + ) + if rebalance_needed: + turnover_history.at[next_date] = compute_turnover(current_weights, target_weights) + current_weights = target_weights + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + weights_history.at[date, symbol] = weight + + next_returns = returns.loc[next_date] + portfolio_returns.at[next_date] = sum( + weight * float(next_returns.get(symbol, 0.0)) + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items() + if symbol != HYBRID_SAFE_CASH + ) + current_equity *= 1.0 + float(portfolio_returns.at[next_date]) + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + weights_history.at[index[-1], symbol] = weight + + return portfolio_returns, weights_history, turnover_history + + +def run_semiconductor_rotation_income_backtest( + soxl_prices: pd.Series, + asset_returns: pd.DataFrame, + *, + starting_equity: float, + trend_ma_window: int, + cash_reserve_ratio: float, + min_trade_ratio: float, + min_trade_floor: float, + rebalance_threshold_ratio: float, + small_account_deploy_ratio: float, + mid_account_deploy_ratio: float, + large_account_deploy_ratio: float, + trade_layer_decay_coeff: float, + income_layer_start_usd: float, + income_layer_max_ratio: float, + income_layer_qqqi_weight: float, + income_layer_spyi_weight: float, +) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]: + strategy_symbols = ["SOXL", "SOXX", SAFE_HAVEN, "QQQI", "SPYI"] + index = asset_returns.index.intersection(soxl_prices.index) + soxl_series = soxl_prices.loc[index].copy() + returns = asset_returns.reindex(index).fillna(0.0) + weights_history = pd.DataFrame(0.0, index=index, columns=strategy_symbols) + portfolio_returns = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name=SEMICONDUCTOR_FULL_NAME) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name="turnover") + + current_weights: dict[str, float] = {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + current_equity = float(starting_equity) + + for idx in range(len(index) - 1): + date = index[idx] + next_date = index[idx + 1] + + soxl_price = float(soxl_series.loc[date]) + ma_trend = float(soxl_series.loc[:date].rolling(trend_ma_window).mean().iloc[-1]) + active_risk_asset = "SOXL" if soxl_price > ma_trend else "SOXX" + + income_layer_ratio = get_semiconductor_income_layer_ratio( + current_equity, + income_layer_start_usd=income_layer_start_usd, + income_layer_max_ratio=income_layer_max_ratio, + ) + current_income_layer_value = current_equity * (current_weights.get("QQQI", 0.0) + current_weights.get("SPYI", 0.0)) + desired_income_layer_value = current_equity * income_layer_ratio + locked_income_layer_value = max(current_income_layer_value, desired_income_layer_value) + income_layer_add_value = max(0.0, locked_income_layer_value - current_income_layer_value) + + core_equity = max(0.0, current_equity - locked_income_layer_value) + deploy_ratio = get_dynamic_allocation( + core_equity, + small_account_deploy_ratio=small_account_deploy_ratio, + mid_account_deploy_ratio=mid_account_deploy_ratio, + large_account_deploy_ratio=large_account_deploy_ratio, + trade_layer_decay_coeff=trade_layer_decay_coeff, + ) + deployed_capital = core_equity * deploy_ratio + current_values = {symbol: current_equity * current_weights.get(symbol, 0.0) for symbol in strategy_symbols} + target_values = { + "SOXL": deployed_capital if active_risk_asset == "SOXL" else 0.0, + "SOXX": deployed_capital if active_risk_asset == "SOXX" else 0.0, + "QQQI": current_values.get("QQQI", 0.0) + (income_layer_add_value * income_layer_qqqi_weight), + "SPYI": current_values.get("SPYI", 0.0) + (income_layer_add_value * income_layer_spyi_weight), + SAFE_HAVEN: max(0.0, core_equity - deployed_capital), + } + target_weights = { + symbol: value / current_equity + for symbol, value in target_values.items() + if value > 1e-12 and current_equity > 0 + } + if not target_weights: + target_weights = {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + + min_trade_weight = max(rebalance_threshold_ratio, min_trade_ratio, min_trade_floor / current_equity if current_equity > 0 else 0.0) + rebalance_needed = any( + abs(target_weights.get(symbol, 0.0) - current_weights.get(symbol, 0.0)) > min_trade_weight + for symbol in set(target_weights) | set(current_weights) + ) + if rebalance_needed: + turnover_history.at[next_date] = compute_turnover(current_weights, target_weights) + current_weights = target_weights + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + weights_history.at[date, symbol] = weight + + next_returns = returns.loc[next_date] + portfolio_returns.at[next_date] = sum( + weight * float(next_returns.get(symbol, 0.0)) + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items() + ) + current_equity *= 1.0 + float(portfolio_returns.at[next_date]) + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + weights_history.at[index[-1], symbol] = weight + + return portfolio_returns, weights_history, turnover_history + + +def zscore(values: pd.Series) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(values, errors="coerce") + std = float(numeric.std(ddof=0)) + if pd.isna(std) or std == 0: + return pd.Series(0.0, index=values.index, dtype=float) + return ((numeric - numeric.mean()) / std).fillna(0.0) + + +def compute_window_drawdown(closes: pd.Series) -> float: + if closes.empty: + return float("nan") + running_peak = closes.cummax() + drawdown = closes / running_peak - 1.0 + return float(drawdown.min()) + + +def precompute_stock_feature_history(price_history: pd.DataFrame) -> dict[str, pd.DataFrame]: + feature_history: dict[str, pd.DataFrame] = {} + for symbol, group in price_history.groupby("symbol", sort=False): + history = group.sort_values("as_of").reset_index(drop=True).copy() + closes = pd.to_numeric(history["close"], errors="coerce") + volumes = pd.to_numeric(history["volume"], errors="coerce") + returns = closes.pct_change() + dollar_volume = closes * volumes + feature_history[str(symbol)] = pd.DataFrame( + { + "as_of": history["as_of"], + "close": closes, + "volume": volumes, + "adv20_usd": dollar_volume.rolling(20).mean(), + "history_days": np.arange(1, len(history) + 1, dtype=int), + "mom_6_1": closes.shift(21) / closes.shift(147) - 1.0, + "mom_12_1": closes.shift(21) / closes.shift(273) - 1.0, + "sma200_gap": closes / closes.rolling(200).mean() - 1.0, + "vol_63": returns.rolling(63).std(ddof=0) * math.sqrt(252), + "breakout_252": closes / closes.rolling(252).max() - 1.0, + } + ) + return feature_history + + +def lookup_symbol_features( + symbol: str, + as_of: pd.Timestamp, + feature_history_by_symbol: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + *, + sector: str, + drawdown_window: int = 126, +) -> dict[str, object]: + history = feature_history_by_symbol.get(symbol) + if history is None or history.empty: + return { + "as_of": as_of, + "symbol": symbol, + "sector": sector, + "close": float("nan"), + "volume": float("nan"), + "adv20_usd": float("nan"), + "history_days": 0, + "mom_6_1": float("nan"), + "mom_12_1": float("nan"), + "sma200_gap": float("nan"), + "vol_63": float("nan"), + "maxdd_126": float("nan"), + "breakout_252": float("nan"), + } + + cutoff = int(history["as_of"].searchsorted(as_of, side="right")) + if cutoff <= 0: + return { + "as_of": as_of, + "symbol": symbol, + "sector": sector, + "close": float("nan"), + "volume": float("nan"), + "adv20_usd": float("nan"), + "history_days": 0, + "mom_6_1": float("nan"), + "mom_12_1": float("nan"), + "sma200_gap": float("nan"), + "vol_63": float("nan"), + "maxdd_126": float("nan"), + "breakout_252": float("nan"), + } + + current = history.iloc[cutoff - 1] + closes_window = history["close"].iloc[max(0, cutoff - drawdown_window) : cutoff] + maxdd_126 = compute_window_drawdown(closes_window) if len(closes_window) >= drawdown_window else float("nan") + return { + "as_of": as_of, + "symbol": symbol, + "sector": sector, + "close": float(current["close"]) if pd.notna(current["close"]) else float("nan"), + "volume": float(current["volume"]) if pd.notna(current["volume"]) else float("nan"), + "adv20_usd": float(current["adv20_usd"]) if pd.notna(current["adv20_usd"]) else float("nan"), + "history_days": int(current["history_days"]) if pd.notna(current["history_days"]) else 0, + "mom_6_1": float(current["mom_6_1"]) if pd.notna(current["mom_6_1"]) else float("nan"), + "mom_12_1": float(current["mom_12_1"]) if pd.notna(current["mom_12_1"]) else float("nan"), + "sma200_gap": float(current["sma200_gap"]) if pd.notna(current["sma200_gap"]) else float("nan"), + "vol_63": float(current["vol_63"]) if pd.notna(current["vol_63"]) else float("nan"), + "maxdd_126": maxdd_126, + "breakout_252": float(current["breakout_252"]) if pd.notna(current["breakout_252"]) else float("nan"), + } + + +def build_offensive_raw_snapshots( + universe_history: pd.DataFrame, + feature_history_by_symbol: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + rebalance_dates: Iterable[pd.Timestamp], +) -> dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame]: + snapshots: dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame] = {} + required_benchmark_symbols = ("SPY", "QQQ", "XLK", "SMH") + for rebalance_date in sorted(pd.Timestamp(date).normalize() for date in rebalance_dates): + active_universe = resolve_active_universe(universe_history, rebalance_date) + sector_map = dict(zip(active_universe["symbol"], active_universe["sector"])) + symbols = active_universe["symbol"].astype(str).str.upper().tolist() + for extra in required_benchmark_symbols: + if extra not in symbols: + symbols.append(extra) + rows = [ + lookup_symbol_features( + symbol, + rebalance_date, + feature_history_by_symbol, + sector=sector_map.get(symbol, "benchmark" if symbol in required_benchmark_symbols else "unknown"), + ) + for symbol in symbols + ] + frame = pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values("symbol").reset_index(drop=True) + frame["base_eligible"] = ( + ~frame["symbol"].isin(required_benchmark_symbols + (SAFE_HAVEN,)) + & frame["history_days"].ge(252) + & frame["close"].gt(10.0) + & frame["adv20_usd"].ge(20_000_000.0) + & frame[["mom_6_1", "mom_12_1", "sma200_gap", "vol_63", "maxdd_126", "breakout_252"]].notna().all(axis=1) + ) + snapshots[rebalance_date] = frame + return snapshots + + +def select_offensive_universe(frame: pd.DataFrame, config: OffensiveConfig) -> pd.DataFrame: + eligible = frame.loc[frame["base_eligible"]].copy() + eligible = eligible.loc[eligible["adv20_usd"] >= float(config.universe_filter.min_adv20_usd)].copy() + if eligible.empty: + return eligible + + if config.universe_filter.leadership_only: + momentum_cut = float(eligible["mom_12_1"].median()) + eligible = eligible.loc[ + (eligible["mom_12_1"] >= momentum_cut) + & (eligible["sma200_gap"] > 0) + ].copy() + return eligible + + +def select_breadth_ratio(frame: pd.DataFrame, eligible: pd.DataFrame, config: OffensiveConfig) -> float: + if config.regime.breadth_mode == "broad": + return float((eligible["sma200_gap"] > 0).mean()) if not eligible.empty else 0.0 + if config.regime.breadth_mode == "sector_etf": + etf_rows = frame.loc[frame["symbol"].isin(config.regime.breadth_symbols)].copy() + if etf_rows.empty: + return 0.0 + return float((etf_rows["sma200_gap"] > 0).mean()) + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported breadth_mode: {config.regime.breadth_mode}") + + +def build_offensive_target_weights( + raw_snapshot: pd.DataFrame, + current_holdings: set[str], + config: OffensiveConfig, +) -> tuple[dict[str, float], dict[str, object]]: + frame = raw_snapshot.copy() + benchmark_symbol = str(config.regime.benchmark_symbol).strip().upper() + benchmark_rows = frame.loc[frame["symbol"] == benchmark_symbol] + benchmark_trend_positive = bool( + (not benchmark_rows.empty) + and pd.notna(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) + and float(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) > 0 + ) + + eligible = select_offensive_universe(frame, config) + breadth_ratio = select_breadth_ratio(frame, eligible, config) + + if (not benchmark_trend_positive) and breadth_ratio < 0.35: + regime = "hard_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure) + elif (not benchmark_trend_positive) or breadth_ratio < 0.55: + regime = "soft_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure) + else: + regime = "risk_on" + stock_exposure = 1.0 + + if eligible.empty or stock_exposure <= 0: + return ( + {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "selected_symbols": (), + "candidate_count": int(len(eligible)), + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + }, + ) + + qqq_row = frame.loc[frame["symbol"] == "QQQ"] + if qqq_row.empty: + raise RuntimeError("QQQ row missing from offensive research snapshot") + qqq_mom_6_1 = float(qqq_row.iloc[-1]["mom_6_1"]) + qqq_mom_12_1 = float(qqq_row.iloc[-1]["mom_12_1"]) + + scored = eligible.copy() + scored["resid_mom_6_1"] = scored["mom_6_1"] - qqq_mom_6_1 + scored["resid_mom_12_1"] = scored["mom_12_1"] - qqq_mom_12_1 + scored["drawdown_abs"] = scored["maxdd_126"].abs() + scored["rel_strength_vs_group"] = scored["mom_12_1"] - scored.groupby("sector")["mom_12_1"].transform("median") + + group_column = "sector" if config.group_normalization == "sector" else None + if group_column is None: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported group normalization: {config.group_normalization}") + + for column in ( + "resid_mom_6_1", + "resid_mom_12_1", + "sma200_gap", + "breakout_252", + "rel_strength_vs_group", + "vol_63", + "drawdown_abs", + ): + scored[f"z_{column}"] = scored.groupby(group_column)[column].transform(zscore) + + scored["score"] = ( + (scored["z_resid_mom_6_1"] * 0.30) + + (scored["z_resid_mom_12_1"] * 0.25) + + (scored["z_sma200_gap"] * 0.15) + + (scored["z_breakout_252"] * 0.10) + + (scored["z_rel_strength_vs_group"] * 0.10) + - (scored["z_vol_63"] * 0.05) + - (scored["z_drawdown_abs"] * 0.05) + ) + scored.loc[scored["symbol"].isin(current_holdings), "score"] += float(config.hold_bonus) + + ranked = scored.sort_values( + by=["score", "resid_mom_12_1", "resid_mom_6_1", "symbol"], + ascending=[False, False, False, True], + ) + + per_name_target = stock_exposure / config.holdings_count + if per_name_target <= 0: + sector_slot_cap = config.holdings_count + else: + sector_slot_cap = max(1, int(math.floor(config.sector_cap / per_name_target))) + + selected_rows = [] + sector_counts: dict[str, int] = {} + for row in ranked.itertuples(index=False): + sector = str(row.sector) + if sector_counts.get(sector, 0) >= sector_slot_cap: + continue + selected_rows.append(row._asdict()) + sector_counts[sector] = sector_counts.get(sector, 0) + 1 + if len(selected_rows) >= config.holdings_count: + break + + selected = pd.DataFrame(selected_rows) + if selected.empty: + return ( + {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "selected_symbols": (), + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + }, + ) + + per_name_weight = min(config.single_name_cap, stock_exposure / len(selected)) + invested_weight = per_name_weight * len(selected) + weights = {row.symbol: per_name_weight for row in selected.itertuples(index=False)} + if invested_weight < 1.0: + weights[SAFE_HAVEN] = 1.0 - invested_weight + + metadata = { + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": stock_exposure, + "selected_symbols": tuple(selected["symbol"].tolist()), + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "sector_slot_cap": sector_slot_cap, + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + } + return weights, metadata + + +def run_offensive_backtest( + raw_snapshots: Mapping[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame], + returns_matrix: pd.DataFrame, + config: OffensiveConfig, +) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.DataFrame, pd.Series, dict[str, object]]: + index = returns_matrix.index + rebalance_dates = set(raw_snapshots) + weights_history = pd.DataFrame(0.0, index=index, columns=sorted(set(returns_matrix.columns) | {SAFE_HAVEN})) + portfolio_returns = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name=config.name) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name="turnover") + current_weights: dict[str, float] = {SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + current_holdings: set[str] = set() + last_metadata: dict[str, object] = {} + + for idx in range(len(index) - 1): + date = index[idx] + next_date = index[idx + 1] + + if date in rebalance_dates: + target_weights, metadata = build_offensive_target_weights(raw_snapshots[date], current_holdings, config) + turnover_history.at[next_date] = compute_turnover(current_weights, target_weights) + current_weights = target_weights + current_holdings = {symbol for symbol, weight in current_weights.items() if weight > 1e-12 and symbol != SAFE_HAVEN} + last_metadata = metadata + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[date, symbol] = weight + + next_returns = returns_matrix.loc[next_date].fillna(0.0) + portfolio_returns.at[next_date] = sum(weight * float(next_returns.get(symbol, 0.0)) for symbol, weight in current_weights.items()) + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[index[-1], symbol] = weight + + return portfolio_returns, weights_history.loc[:, (weights_history != 0.0).any(axis=0)], turnover_history, last_metadata + + +def build_offensive_ablation_configs() -> list[OffensiveConfig]: + universe_filters = { + "full_eligible": UniverseFilterConfig("full_eligible", 20_000_000.0, leadership_only=False), + "liquid_50m": UniverseFilterConfig("liquid_50m", 50_000_000.0, leadership_only=False), + "leadership_liquid": UniverseFilterConfig("leadership_liquid", 50_000_000.0, leadership_only=True), + } + regimes = { + "spy_breadth": RegimeConfig("spy_breadth", "SPY", "broad"), + "qqq_breadth": RegimeConfig("qqq_breadth", "QQQ", "broad"), + "qqq_xlk_smh_breadth": RegimeConfig("qqq_xlk_smh_breadth", "QQQ", "sector_etf", ("XLK", "SMH")), + } + exposures = { + "100_50_10": ExposureConfig("100_50_10", 0.50, 0.10), + "100_60_0": ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.00), + "100_70_20": ExposureConfig("100_70_20", 0.70, 0.20), + } + + configs: list[OffensiveConfig] = [] + base = OffensiveConfig( + name="base_candidate", + universe_filter=universe_filters["leadership_liquid"], + holdings_count=16, + single_name_cap=0.08, + sector_cap=0.30, + regime=regimes["qqq_xlk_smh_breadth"], + exposures=exposures["100_60_0"], + ) + configs.append(base) + + for universe_filter in universe_filters.values(): + configs.append( + OffensiveConfig( + name=f"universe_{universe_filter.name}", + universe_filter=universe_filter, + holdings_count=base.holdings_count, + single_name_cap=base.single_name_cap, + sector_cap=base.sector_cap, + regime=base.regime, + exposures=base.exposures, + ) + ) + + for holdings_count in (12, 16, 24): + for single_name_cap in (0.06, 0.08, 0.10): + for sector_cap in (0.20, 0.30, 0.40): + configs.append( + OffensiveConfig( + name=f"struct_h{holdings_count}_cap{int(single_name_cap * 100)}_sector{int(sector_cap * 100)}", + universe_filter=base.universe_filter, + holdings_count=holdings_count, + single_name_cap=single_name_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + regime=base.regime, + exposures=base.exposures, + ) + ) + + for regime in regimes.values(): + configs.append( + OffensiveConfig( + name=f"regime_{regime.name}", + universe_filter=base.universe_filter, + holdings_count=base.holdings_count, + single_name_cap=base.single_name_cap, + sector_cap=base.sector_cap, + regime=regime, + exposures=base.exposures, + ) + ) + + for exposure in exposures.values(): + configs.append( + OffensiveConfig( + name=f"exposure_{exposure.name}", + universe_filter=base.universe_filter, + holdings_count=base.holdings_count, + single_name_cap=base.single_name_cap, + sector_cap=base.sector_cap, + regime=base.regime, + exposures=exposure, + ) + ) + + deduped: dict[str, OffensiveConfig] = {} + for config in configs: + deduped[config.name] = config + return list(deduped.values()) + + +def select_best_offensive_candidate(ablation_summary: pd.DataFrame) -> OffensiveConfig: + full_rows = ablation_summary.loc[ + (ablation_summary["period"] == "Full Sample") + & (ablation_summary["cost_bps_one_way"] == 5.0) + ].copy() + if full_rows.empty: + raise RuntimeError("No offensive ablation rows available to select a best candidate") + + full_rows = full_rows.sort_values( + by=[ + "Information Ratio vs QQQ", + "CAGR", + "2023+ CAGR", + "2022 Return", + ], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ) + best_name = str(full_rows.iloc[0]["strategy"]) + config_map = {config.name: config for config in build_offensive_ablation_configs()} + if best_name not in config_map: + raise RuntimeError(f"Best offensive candidate {best_name} not found in config map") + return config_map[best_name] + + +def build_strategy_runs( + universe_history: pd.DataFrame, + stock_price_history: pd.DataFrame, + etf_frames: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + *, + start_date: pd.Timestamp, + end_date: pd.Timestamp, + full_account_equity: float, + normalized_account_equity: float, +) -> tuple[list[StrategyRun], pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame, pd.DataFrame]: + master_index = build_master_index(stock_price_history, etf_frames["close"]) + master_index = master_index[(master_index >= start_date) & (master_index <= end_date)] + if master_index.empty: + raise RuntimeError("No common comparison dates remain inside the selected window") + + extra_stock_prices = build_extra_etf_price_history(etf_frames, symbols=("QQQ", "XLK", "SMH")) + merged_stock_prices = normalize_long_price_history(pd.concat([stock_price_history, extra_stock_prices], ignore_index=True)) + stock_returns_matrix = build_asset_return_matrix(merged_stock_prices, master_index=master_index, required_symbols=(SAFE_HAVEN, "SPY", "QQQ", "XLK", "SMH"))[1] + + etf_rows = build_extra_etf_price_history(etf_frames, symbols=COMPARISON_ETFS) + etf_close_matrix, etf_returns_matrix = build_asset_return_matrix(etf_rows, master_index=master_index, required_symbols=(*COMPARISON_ETFS, SAFE_HAVEN)) + qqq_benchmark_returns = etf_returns_matrix["QQQ"].copy() + + defensive_result_0 = run_defensive_backtest( + stock_price_history, + universe_history, + start_date=str(start_date.date()), + end_date=str(end_date.date()), + turnover_cost_bps=0.0, + ) + defensive_weights = defensive_result_0["weights_history"].reindex(master_index).fillna(0.0) + defensive_turnover = defensive_result_0["turnover_history"].reindex(master_index).fillna(0.0) + defensive_returns = defensive_result_0["portfolio_returns"].reindex(master_index).fillna(0.0) + defensive_run = StrategyRun( + strategy_name=DEFENSIVE_NAME, + display_name="defensive_baseline", + comparison_layer=FULL_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=defensive_returns, + weights_history=defensive_weights, + turnover_history=defensive_turnover, + metadata={ + "research_group": "baseline", + "group_normalization": "sector", + "data_assumption": "official_monthly_v2_alias", + }, + ) + + qqq_ohlc = pd.DataFrame( + { + "open": etf_frames["open"]["QQQ"], + "high": etf_frames["high"]["QQQ"], + "low": etf_frames["low"]["QQQ"], + "close": etf_frames["close"]["QQQ"], + } + ).reindex(master_index) + soxl_close = etf_frames["close"]["SOXL"].reindex(master_index) + + hybrid_full_returns, hybrid_full_weights, hybrid_full_turnover = run_hybrid_growth_income_backtest( + qqq_ohlc, + etf_returns_matrix, + starting_equity=full_account_equity, + income_threshold_usd=100_000.0, + qqqi_income_ratio=0.50, + cash_reserve_ratio=0.05, + rebalance_threshold_ratio=0.01, + alloc_tier1_breakpoints=(0, 15_000, 30_000, 70_000), + alloc_tier1_values=(1.0, 0.95, 0.85, 0.70), + alloc_tier2_breakpoints=(70_000, 140_000), + alloc_tier2_values=(0.70, 0.50), + risk_leverage_factor=3.0, + risk_agg_cap=0.50, + risk_numerator=0.30, + atr_exit_scale=2.0, + atr_entry_scale=2.5, + exit_line_floor=0.92, + exit_line_cap=0.98, + entry_line_floor=1.02, + entry_line_cap=1.08, + ) + hybrid_normalized_returns, hybrid_normalized_weights, hybrid_normalized_turnover = run_hybrid_growth_income_backtest( + qqq_ohlc, + etf_returns_matrix, + starting_equity=normalized_account_equity, + income_threshold_usd=1_000_000_000.0, + qqqi_income_ratio=0.50, + cash_reserve_ratio=0.05, + rebalance_threshold_ratio=0.01, + alloc_tier1_breakpoints=(0, 15_000, 30_000, 70_000), + alloc_tier1_values=(1.0, 0.95, 0.85, 0.70), + alloc_tier2_breakpoints=(70_000, 140_000), + alloc_tier2_values=(0.70, 0.50), + risk_leverage_factor=3.0, + risk_agg_cap=0.50, + risk_numerator=0.30, + atr_exit_scale=2.0, + atr_entry_scale=2.5, + exit_line_floor=0.92, + exit_line_cap=0.98, + entry_line_floor=1.02, + entry_line_cap=1.08, + ) + + semiconductor_full_returns, semiconductor_full_weights, semiconductor_full_turnover = run_semiconductor_rotation_income_backtest( + soxl_close, + etf_returns_matrix, + starting_equity=full_account_equity, + trend_ma_window=150, + cash_reserve_ratio=0.03, + min_trade_ratio=0.01, + min_trade_floor=100.0, + rebalance_threshold_ratio=0.01, + small_account_deploy_ratio=0.60, + mid_account_deploy_ratio=0.57, + large_account_deploy_ratio=0.50, + trade_layer_decay_coeff=0.04, + income_layer_start_usd=150_000.0, + income_layer_max_ratio=0.15, + income_layer_qqqi_weight=0.70, + income_layer_spyi_weight=0.30, + ) + semiconductor_normalized_returns, semiconductor_normalized_weights, semiconductor_normalized_turnover = run_semiconductor_rotation_income_backtest( + soxl_close, + etf_returns_matrix, + starting_equity=normalized_account_equity, + trend_ma_window=150, + cash_reserve_ratio=0.03, + min_trade_ratio=0.01, + min_trade_floor=100.0, + rebalance_threshold_ratio=0.01, + small_account_deploy_ratio=0.60, + mid_account_deploy_ratio=0.57, + large_account_deploy_ratio=0.50, + trade_layer_decay_coeff=0.04, + income_layer_start_usd=1_000_000_000.0, + income_layer_max_ratio=0.15, + income_layer_qqqi_weight=0.70, + income_layer_spyi_weight=0.30, + ) + + feature_history = precompute_stock_feature_history(merged_stock_prices) + rebalance_dates = build_monthly_rebalance_dates(master_index) + raw_snapshots = build_offensive_raw_snapshots(universe_history, feature_history, rebalance_dates) + + offensive_runs: list[StrategyRun] = [] + for config in build_offensive_ablation_configs(): + offensive_returns, offensive_weights, offensive_turnover, offensive_metadata = run_offensive_backtest( + raw_snapshots, + stock_returns_matrix, + config, + ) + offensive_runs.append( + StrategyRun( + strategy_name=config.name, + display_name=config.name, + comparison_layer=RESEARCH_LAYER, + gross_returns=offensive_returns, + weights_history=offensive_weights.reindex(master_index).fillna(0.0), + turnover_history=offensive_turnover.reindex(master_index).fillna(0.0), + metadata={ + "research_group": "offensive_ablation", + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "holdings_count": config.holdings_count, + "single_name_cap": config.single_name_cap, + "sector_cap": config.sector_cap, + "regime_name": config.regime.name, + "benchmark_symbol": config.regime.benchmark_symbol, + "breadth_mode": config.regime.breadth_mode, + "soft_defense_exposure": config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure, + "hard_defense_exposure": config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure, + "hold_bonus": config.hold_bonus, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": offensive_metadata.get("residual_proxy", "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ"), + }, + ) + ) + + ablation_summary = build_period_summary_rows( + offensive_runs, + qqq_benchmark_returns, + costs_bps=DEFAULT_COSTS_BPS, + periods=ABLATION_PERIODS, + ) + best_offensive_config = select_best_offensive_candidate(ablation_summary) + best_offensive_run = next(run for run in offensive_runs if run.strategy_name == best_offensive_config.name) + best_offensive_run = StrategyRun( + strategy_name=OFFENSIVE_NAME, + display_name=f"{OFFENSIVE_NAME}::{best_offensive_config.name}", + comparison_layer=FULL_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=best_offensive_run.gross_returns, + weights_history=best_offensive_run.weights_history, + turnover_history=best_offensive_run.turnover_history, + metadata={ + **best_offensive_run.metadata, + "research_group": "best_offensive_candidate", + "selected_candidate_name": best_offensive_config.name, + }, + ) + best_offensive_normalized_run = StrategyRun( + strategy_name=OFFENSIVE_NAME, + display_name=f"{OFFENSIVE_NAME}::{best_offensive_config.name}", + comparison_layer=NORMALIZED_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=best_offensive_run.gross_returns, + weights_history=best_offensive_run.weights_history, + turnover_history=best_offensive_run.turnover_history, + metadata={ + **best_offensive_run.metadata, + "research_group": "best_offensive_candidate", + "selected_candidate_name": best_offensive_config.name, + }, + ) + + strategy_runs = [ + defensive_run, + StrategyRun( + strategy_name=HYBRID_FULL_NAME, + display_name="hybrid_growth_income::full", + comparison_layer=FULL_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=hybrid_full_returns, + weights_history=hybrid_full_weights, + turnover_history=hybrid_full_turnover, + metadata={"research_group": "etf_full", "starting_equity": full_account_equity, "income_layer": "on"}, + ), + StrategyRun( + strategy_name=SEMICONDUCTOR_FULL_NAME, + display_name="semiconductor_rotation_income::full", + comparison_layer=FULL_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=semiconductor_full_returns, + weights_history=semiconductor_full_weights, + turnover_history=semiconductor_full_turnover, + metadata={"research_group": "etf_full", "starting_equity": full_account_equity, "income_layer": "on"}, + ), + best_offensive_run, + StrategyRun( + strategy_name=DEFENSIVE_NAME, + display_name="defensive_baseline", + comparison_layer=NORMALIZED_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=defensive_returns, + weights_history=defensive_weights, + turnover_history=defensive_turnover, + metadata={"research_group": "baseline", "group_normalization": "sector", "data_assumption": "official_monthly_v2_alias"}, + ), + StrategyRun( + strategy_name=HYBRID_NORMALIZED_NAME, + display_name="hybrid_growth_income::no_income", + comparison_layer=NORMALIZED_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=hybrid_normalized_returns, + weights_history=hybrid_normalized_weights, + turnover_history=hybrid_normalized_turnover, + metadata={"research_group": "etf_normalized", "starting_equity": normalized_account_equity, "income_layer": "off"}, + ), + StrategyRun( + strategy_name=SEMICONDUCTOR_NORMALIZED_NAME, + display_name="semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income", + comparison_layer=NORMALIZED_COMPARISON_LAYER, + gross_returns=semiconductor_normalized_returns, + weights_history=semiconductor_normalized_weights, + turnover_history=semiconductor_normalized_turnover, + metadata={"research_group": "etf_normalized", "starting_equity": normalized_account_equity, "income_layer": "off"}, + ), + best_offensive_normalized_run, + ] + return strategy_runs, ablation_summary, etf_returns_matrix, etf_close_matrix + + +def write_results( + results_dir: Path, + strategy_runs: list[StrategyRun], + comparison_summary: pd.DataFrame, + ablation_summary: pd.DataFrame, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, +) -> None: + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + comparison_path = results_dir / "stock_strategy_comparison.csv" + ablation_path = results_dir / "stock_strategy_ablations.csv" + equity_curve_path = results_dir / "stock_strategy_equity_curves.csv" + rolling_alpha_path = results_dir / "stock_strategy_rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq.csv" + markdown_path = results_dir / "stock_strategy_comparison.md" + + comparison_summary.to_csv(comparison_path, index=False) + ablation_summary.to_csv(ablation_path, index=False) + + equity_rows = [] + rolling_alpha_frames = [] + for strategy_run in strategy_runs: + if strategy_run.comparison_layer not in {FULL_COMPARISON_LAYER, NORMALIZED_COMPARISON_LAYER}: + continue + net_returns = strategy_run.gross_returns - strategy_run.turnover_history.reindex(strategy_run.gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0) * (5.0 / 10_000.0) + equity = (1.0 + net_returns).cumprod() + for as_of, value in equity.items(): + equity_rows.append( + { + "comparison_layer": strategy_run.comparison_layer, + "strategy": strategy_run.strategy_name, + "display_name": strategy_run.display_name, + "as_of": as_of, + "equity_cost_5bps": float(value), + } + ) + rolling_alpha = compute_rolling_36m_capm_alpha(net_returns, benchmark_returns) + rolling_alpha_frames.append( + pd.DataFrame( + { + "comparison_layer": strategy_run.comparison_layer, + "strategy": strategy_run.strategy_name, + "display_name": strategy_run.display_name, + "as_of": rolling_alpha.index, + "rolling_36m_capm_alpha_vs_qqq": rolling_alpha.values, + } + ) + ) + + pd.DataFrame(equity_rows).to_csv(equity_curve_path, index=False) + pd.concat(rolling_alpha_frames, ignore_index=True).to_csv(rolling_alpha_path, index=False) + + full_cost5 = comparison_summary.loc[ + (comparison_summary["cost_bps_one_way"] == 5.0) + & (comparison_summary["period"] == "Full Sample") + ].copy() + full_table = full_cost5.loc[full_cost5["comparison_layer"] == FULL_COMPARISON_LAYER].copy() + normalized_table = full_cost5.loc[full_cost5["comparison_layer"] == NORMALIZED_COMPARISON_LAYER].copy() + offensive_rows = ablation_summary.loc[ + (ablation_summary["cost_bps_one_way"] == 5.0) + & (ablation_summary["period"] == "Full Sample") + ].sort_values( + by=["Information Ratio vs QQQ", "CAGR", "2023+ CAGR"], + ascending=[False, False, False], + ) + + def dataframe_to_markdown(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + + def format_value(value) -> str: + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(format_value(value) for value in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + markdown = [ + "# Stock strategy comparison research", + "", + "## Full-strategy comparison (5 bps one-way)", + dataframe_to_markdown( + full_table[ + [ + "display_name", + "CAGR", + "Total Return", + "Max Drawdown", + "Sharpe", + "Sortino", + "Calmar", + "Turnover/Year", + "Average Names Held", + "Beta vs QQQ", + "Information Ratio vs QQQ", + "2022 Return", + "2023+ CAGR", + ] + ] + ), + "", + "## Normalized comparison (5 bps one-way)", + dataframe_to_markdown( + normalized_table[ + [ + "display_name", + "CAGR", + "Total Return", + "Max Drawdown", + "Sharpe", + "Sortino", + "Calmar", + "Turnover/Year", + "Average Names Held", + "Beta vs QQQ", + "Information Ratio vs QQQ", + "2022 Return", + "2023+ CAGR", + ] + ] + ), + "", + "## Top offensive ablations (5 bps one-way, full sample)", + dataframe_to_markdown( + offensive_rows.head(10)[ + [ + "strategy", + "universe_filter", + "holdings_count", + "single_name_cap", + "sector_cap", + "regime_name", + "soft_defense_exposure", + "hard_defense_exposure", + "CAGR", + "Sharpe", + "Information Ratio vs QQQ", + "2022 Return", + "2023+ CAGR", + ] + ] + ), + ] + markdown_path.write_text("\n".join(markdown), encoding="utf-8") + + +def build_workspace_mapping(results_dir: Path, data_run_dir: Path) -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "workspace_root": str(WORKSPACE_ROOT), + "defensive_code_entry": str(US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py"), + "defensive_snapshot_entry": str(US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies/snapshots/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py"), + "defensive_backtest_entry": str(US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies/backtests/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py"), + "hybrid_code_entry": str(US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/hybrid_growth_income.py"), + "hybrid_runtime_entry": str(WORKSPACE_ROOT / "CharlesSchwabPlatform/main.py"), + "semiconductor_code_entry": str(US_EQUITY_STRATEGIES_ROOT / "src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/semiconductor_rotation_income.py"), + "semiconductor_runtime_entry": str(WORKSPACE_ROOT / "LongBridgePlatform/main.py"), + "existing_research_entry": str(Path(__file__).resolve().parent / "backtest_qqq_variants.py"), + "new_research_entry": str(Path(__file__).resolve()), + "results_dir": str(results_dir), + "prepared_data_run_dir": str(data_run_dir), + } + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + data_run_dir = discover_prepared_r1000_run(args.data_run_dir) + universe_history, stock_price_history, prepared_start, prepared_end = discover_prepared_data(data_run_dir) + + start_date = pd.Timestamp(args.start or prepared_start).normalize() + end_date = pd.Timestamp(args.end or prepared_end).normalize() + + etf_end = str((end_date + pd.Timedelta(days=1)).date()) + etf_frames = download_etf_ohlcv(COMPARISON_ETFS, start=DEFAULT_ETF_START, end=etf_end) + + strategy_runs, ablation_summary, etf_returns_matrix, _etf_close_matrix = build_strategy_runs( + universe_history, + stock_price_history, + etf_frames, + start_date=start_date, + end_date=end_date, + full_account_equity=float(args.full_account_equity), + normalized_account_equity=float(args.normalized_account_equity), + ) + + comparison_summary = build_period_summary_rows( + strategy_runs, + etf_returns_matrix["QQQ"], + costs_bps=args.cost_bps, + periods=FULL_PERIODS, + ) + write_results( + results_dir, + strategy_runs, + comparison_summary, + ablation_summary, + etf_returns_matrix["QQQ"], + ) + + mapping_path = results_dir / "stock_strategy_workspace_mapping.json" + mapping_path.write_text( + json.dumps(build_workspace_mapping(results_dir, data_run_dir), indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), + encoding="utf-8", + ) + + print(f"prepared Russell data: {data_run_dir}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + print(f"comparison csv: {results_dir / 'stock_strategy_comparison.csv'}") + print(f"ablation csv: {results_dir / 'stock_strategy_ablations.csv'}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py new file mode 100755 index 0000000..d1d2d3f --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py @@ -0,0 +1,1142 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +""" +V1.1 spec-lock research for qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1. + +Goal: +- keep the strategy research-only +- converge the current offensive V1 into one frozen default spec and one aggressive alt spec +- retain the original promotion gate result from the previous round +- add a V1.1 recommendation layer: not_ready / shadow_candidate / shadow_ready +""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import math +import sys +from dataclasses import replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable, Mapping + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +COST_LEVELS = (0.0, 5.0) +LOCAL_GRID_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", "2022-01-01", None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +PLATEAU_AXES = ( + "universe_filter", + "group_normalization", + "holdings_count", + "single_name_cap", + "sector_cap", + "hold_bonus", +) +SUBSPACE_AXES = ("universe_filter", "group_normalization", "holdings_count") +ORIGINAL_GATE_PLATEAU_THRESHOLD = 0.20 +OOS_START = "2022-01-01" + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument( + "--alias-data-run-dir", + help="Prepared Russell data run with alias repair (defaults to newest official_monthly_v2_alias run)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--results-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR), + help="Directory where V1.1 spec-lock outputs will be written", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--configs-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR), + help="Directory where frozen/aggressive research configs will be written", + ) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def normalization_label(value: str) -> str: + return "universe_cross_sectional" if value == "universe" else value + + +def normalization_from_label(value: str) -> str: + normalized = str(value).strip().lower() + if normalized in {"universe", "universe_cross_sectional"}: + return "universe" + if normalized == "sector": + return "sector" + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported normalization label: {value}") + + +def build_targeted_local_grid(base: suite.OffensiveConfig) -> list[suite.OffensiveConfig]: + universes = ( + suite.UniverseFilterConfig("leadership_liquid", 50_000_000.0, leadership_only=True), + suite.UniverseFilterConfig("liquid_50m", 50_000_000.0, leadership_only=False), + ) + configs: list[suite.OffensiveConfig] = [] + for universe_filter in universes: + for group_normalization in ("sector", "universe"): + for holdings_count in (12, 16): + for single_name_cap in (0.08, 0.09, 0.10): + for sector_cap in (0.25, 0.30, 0.35): + for hold_bonus in (0.05, 0.10, 0.15): + configs.append( + replace( + base, + name=( + f"v11_{universe_filter.name}_norm_{normalization_label(group_normalization)}" + f"_h{holdings_count}_cap{int(single_name_cap * 100)}" + f"_sector{int(sector_cap * 100)}_hold{int(hold_bonus * 100):02d}" + ), + universe_filter=universe_filter, + group_normalization=group_normalization, + holdings_count=holdings_count, + single_name_cap=single_name_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + hold_bonus=hold_bonus, + ) + ) + return configs + + +def spec_to_dict(config: suite.OffensiveConfig, *, role: str) -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "role": role, + "strategy": suite.OFFENSIVE_NAME, + "status": "research_only", + "name": config.name, + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "min_adv20_usd": float(config.universe_filter.min_adv20_usd), + "leadership_only": bool(config.universe_filter.leadership_only), + "normalization": normalization_label(config.group_normalization), + "holdings_count": int(config.holdings_count), + "single_name_cap": float(config.single_name_cap), + "sector_cap": float(config.sector_cap), + "hold_bonus": float(config.hold_bonus), + "regime": config.regime.name, + "benchmark_symbol": config.regime.benchmark_symbol, + "breadth_mode": config.regime.breadth_mode, + "breadth_symbols": list(config.regime.breadth_symbols), + "exposures": { + "risk_on": 1.0, + "soft_defense": float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure), + "hard_defense": float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure), + }, + "breadth_thresholds": { + "soft": robust.SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD, + "hard": robust.HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD, + }, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": MAIN_COST_BPS, + } + + +def save_spec_config(path: Path, config: suite.OffensiveConfig, *, role: str) -> None: + path.parent.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + path.write_text(json.dumps(spec_to_dict(config, role=role), indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + + +def load_spec_config(path: Path) -> suite.OffensiveConfig: + payload = json.loads(path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) + return suite.OffensiveConfig( + name=str(payload["name"]), + universe_filter=suite.UniverseFilterConfig( + str(payload["universe_filter"]), + float(payload["min_adv20_usd"]), + leadership_only=bool(payload["leadership_only"]), + ), + holdings_count=int(payload["holdings_count"]), + single_name_cap=float(payload["single_name_cap"]), + sector_cap=float(payload["sector_cap"]), + regime=suite.RegimeConfig( + str(payload["regime"]), + str(payload["benchmark_symbol"]), + str(payload["breadth_mode"]), + tuple(payload.get("breadth_symbols", [])), + ), + exposures=suite.ExposureConfig( + "100_60_0", + float(payload["exposures"]["soft_defense"]), + float(payload["exposures"]["hard_defense"]), + ), + hold_bonus=float(payload["hold_bonus"]), + group_normalization=normalization_from_label(str(payload["normalization"])), + ) + + +def config_fields(config: suite.OffensiveConfig) -> dict[str, object]: + return { + "scenario": config.name, + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "leadership_only": bool(config.universe_filter.leadership_only), + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "group_normalization_label": normalization_label(config.group_normalization), + "holdings_count": int(config.holdings_count), + "single_name_cap": float(config.single_name_cap), + "sector_cap": float(config.sector_cap), + "hold_bonus": float(config.hold_bonus), + "regime_name": config.regime.name, + "benchmark_symbol": config.regime.benchmark_symbol, + "breadth_mode": config.regime.breadth_mode, + "soft_defense_exposure": float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure), + "hard_defense_exposure": float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure), + } + + +def percentile_rank(series: pd.Series, *, higher_is_better: bool) -> pd.Series: + numeric = pd.to_numeric(series, errors="coerce") + if higher_is_better: + ranked = numeric.rank(method="average", pct=True) + else: + ranked = (-numeric).rank(method="average", pct=True) + return ranked.fillna(0.0) + + +def build_qqq_period_metrics(benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> dict[str, dict[str, float]]: + weights = pd.DataFrame({"QQQ": 1.0}, index=benchmark_returns.index) + turnover = pd.Series(0.0, index=benchmark_returns.index) + metrics = {} + for period_name, start, end in COMPARISON_PERIODS: + metrics[period_name] = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + benchmark_returns, + weights, + turnover, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + oos_rolling = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, OOS_START, None), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, OOS_START, None), + ) + metrics["OOS rolling"] = robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(oos_rolling) + return metrics + + +def summarize_candidate( + config: suite.OffensiveConfig, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, +) -> tuple[dict[str, object], dict[str, object], list[dict[str, object]]]: + rows, net_returns, weights_history, turnover_history, selection_history, rolling_alpha = robust.evaluate_scenario( + config.name, + config, + context, + experiment_group="v1_1_local_grid", + cost_bps=MAIN_COST_BPS, + ) + rows_df = pd.DataFrame(rows) + full_row = rows_df.loc[rows_df["period"] == "Full Sample"].iloc[0].to_dict() + row_2022 = rows_df.loc[rows_df["period"] == "2022"].iloc[0].to_dict() + row_2023 = rows_df.loc[rows_df["period"] == "2023+"].iloc[0].to_dict() + oos_metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + weights_history, + turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=OOS_START, + end=None, + ) + oos_rolling = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(net_returns, OOS_START, None), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, OOS_START, None), + ) + oos_rolling_summary = robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(oos_rolling) + turnover_profile = robust.compute_turnover_profile(selection_history, turnover_history) + sector_weights = robust.compute_average_sector_weights(weights_history, selection_history, context["universe_history"]) + + summary_row = { + **config_fields(config), + "full_total_return": float(full_row["Total Return"]), + "full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "full_max_drawdown": float(full_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "full_volatility": float(full_row["Volatility"]), + "full_sharpe": float(full_row["Sharpe"]), + "full_sortino": float(full_row["Sortino"]), + "full_calmar": float(full_row["Calmar"]), + "full_information_ratio_vs_qqq": float(full_row["information_ratio_vs_qqq"]), + "full_beta_vs_qqq": float(full_row["beta_vs_qqq"]), + "full_tracking_error_vs_qqq": float(full_row["tracking_error_vs_qqq"]), + "full_up_capture_vs_qqq": float(full_row["up_capture_vs_qqq"]), + "full_down_capture_vs_qqq": float(full_row["down_capture_vs_qqq"]), + "full_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": float(full_row["rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]), + "full_average_names_held": float(full_row["Average Names Held"]), + "return_2022": float(row_2022["Total Return"]), + "cagr_2023_plus": float(row_2023["CAGR"]), + "oos_total_return": float(oos_metrics["Total Return"]), + "oos_cagr": float(oos_metrics["CAGR"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(oos_metrics["Max Drawdown"]), + "oos_volatility": float(oos_metrics["Volatility"]), + "oos_sharpe": float(oos_metrics["Sharpe"]), + "oos_sortino": float(oos_metrics["Sortino"]), + "oos_calmar": float(oos_metrics["Calmar"]), + "oos_information_ratio_vs_qqq": float(oos_metrics["information_ratio_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_beta_vs_qqq": float(oos_metrics["beta_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_tracking_error_vs_qqq": float(oos_metrics["tracking_error_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_up_capture_vs_qqq": float(oos_metrics["up_capture_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_down_capture_vs_qqq": float(oos_metrics["down_capture_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_average_names_held": float(oos_metrics["Average Names Held"]), + "oos_rolling_36m_alpha_mean": float(oos_rolling_summary["rolling_36m_alpha_mean"]), + "oos_rolling_36m_alpha_median": float(oos_rolling_summary["rolling_36m_alpha_median"]), + "oos_rolling_36m_alpha_last": float(oos_rolling_summary["rolling_36m_alpha_last"]), + "oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": float(oos_rolling_summary["rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]), + "annual_turnover": float(turnover_profile["annual_turnover"]), + "average_monthly_turnover": float(turnover_profile["average_monthly_turnover"]), + "average_names_replaced_per_rebalance": float(turnover_profile["average_names_replaced_per_rebalance"]), + "median_holding_duration_days": float(turnover_profile["median_holding_duration_days"]), + "top5_continuity": float(turnover_profile["top5_continuity"]), + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({k: float(v) for k, v in sector_weights.items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + artifact = { + "config": config, + "rows_df": rows_df, + "net_returns": net_returns, + "weights_history": weights_history, + "turnover_history": turnover_history, + "selection_history": selection_history, + "rolling_alpha_full": rolling_alpha, + "rolling_alpha_oos": oos_rolling, + "summary_row": summary_row, + } + export_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for period_name, start, end in LOCAL_GRID_PERIODS: + metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + weights_history, + turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + export_rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "v1_1_local_grid", + "cost_bps_one_way": MAIN_COST_BPS, + "period": period_name, + **config_fields(config), + **metrics, + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": float(summary_row["full_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]), + } + ) + export_rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "v1_1_local_grid", + "cost_bps_one_way": MAIN_COST_BPS, + "period": "OOS Sample", + **config_fields(config), + **oos_metrics, + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": float(summary_row["oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]), + } + ) + return summary_row, artifact, export_rows + + +def build_plateau_table(selection_df: pd.DataFrame) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, float], pd.DataFrame]: + frame = selection_df.copy() + best_cagr = float(frame["full_cagr"].max()) + top_decile_cut = float(frame["full_cagr"].quantile(0.90)) + masks = { + "top_decile_full_cagr": frame["full_cagr"] >= top_decile_cut, + "within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive": (frame["full_cagr"] >= best_cagr - 0.01) & (frame["full_information_ratio_vs_qqq"] > 0), + "within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive": (frame["full_cagr"] >= best_cagr - 0.02) & (frame["full_information_ratio_vs_qqq"] > 0), + } + + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + overall_stats: dict[str, float] = {"best_full_cagr": best_cagr, "top_decile_cut": top_decile_cut} + for neighborhood_name, mask in masks.items(): + overall_stats[f"{neighborhood_name}_count"] = int(mask.sum()) + overall_stats[f"{neighborhood_name}_share"] = float(mask.mean()) + rows.append( + { + "scope": "overall", + "dimension": "all", + "value": "all", + "neighborhood": neighborhood_name, + "count": int(mask.sum()), + "total": int(len(frame)), + "share": float(mask.mean()), + } + ) + for axis in PLATEAU_AXES: + for axis_value, group in frame.groupby(axis, dropna=False): + group_mask = mask.loc[group.index] + rows.append( + { + "scope": "axis", + "dimension": axis, + "value": axis_value, + "neighborhood": neighborhood_name, + "count": int(group_mask.sum()), + "total": int(len(group)), + "share": float(group_mask.mean()), + } + ) + for key, group in frame.groupby(list(SUBSPACE_AXES), dropna=False): + if not isinstance(key, tuple): + key = (key,) + label = " | ".join(str(part) for part in key) + group_mask = mask.loc[group.index] + rows.append( + { + "scope": "subspace", + "dimension": "+".join(SUBSPACE_AXES), + "value": label, + "neighborhood": neighborhood_name, + "count": int(group_mask.sum()), + "total": int(len(group)), + "share": float(group_mask.mean()), + } + ) + + candidate_rows = [] + grouped = frame.groupby(list(SUBSPACE_AXES), dropna=False) + for key, group in grouped: + top_share = float(masks["top_decile_full_cagr"].loc[group.index].mean()) + share_100 = float(masks["within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive"].loc[group.index].mean()) + share_200 = float(masks["within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive"].loc[group.index].mean()) + frame.loc[group.index, "top_decile_neighborhood_share"] = top_share + frame.loc[group.index, "plateau_100bps_share"] = share_100 + frame.loc[group.index, "plateau_200bps_share"] = share_200 + frame.loc[group.index, "plateau_subspace_label"] = " | ".join(str(part) for part in key) + candidate_rows.append( + { + "scope": "candidate_subspace", + "dimension": "+".join(SUBSPACE_AXES), + "value": " | ".join(str(part) for part in key), + "neighborhood": "top_decile_full_cagr", + "count": int(round(top_share * len(group))), + "total": int(len(group)), + "share": top_share, + } + ) + candidate_rows.append( + { + "scope": "candidate_subspace", + "dimension": "+".join(SUBSPACE_AXES), + "value": " | ".join(str(part) for part in key), + "neighborhood": "within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive", + "count": int(round(share_100 * len(group))), + "total": int(len(group)), + "share": share_100, + } + ) + candidate_rows.append( + { + "scope": "candidate_subspace", + "dimension": "+".join(SUBSPACE_AXES), + "value": " | ".join(str(part) for part in key), + "neighborhood": "within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive", + "count": int(round(share_200 * len(group))), + "total": int(len(group)), + "share": share_200, + } + ) + + plateau_df = pd.DataFrame(rows + candidate_rows) + return plateau_df, overall_stats, frame + + +def add_selection_scores(selection_df: pd.DataFrame, previous_default: suite.OffensiveConfig, qqq_oos_cagr: float) -> pd.DataFrame: + frame = selection_df.copy() + changed_dimensions = ( + (frame["universe_filter"] != previous_default.universe_filter.name).astype(int) + + (frame["group_normalization"] != previous_default.group_normalization).astype(int) + + (frame["holdings_count"] != previous_default.holdings_count).astype(int) + + (frame["single_name_cap"] != previous_default.single_name_cap).astype(int) + + (frame["sector_cap"] != previous_default.sector_cap).astype(int) + + (frame["hold_bonus"] != previous_default.hold_bonus).astype(int) + ) + frame["complexity_score"] = 1.0 - (changed_dimensions / 6.0) + frame["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] = frame["oos_cagr"] - float(qqq_oos_cagr) + + frame["score_oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] = percentile_rank(frame["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"], higher_is_better=True) + frame["score_oos_positive_alpha_ratio"] = percentile_rank(frame["oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"], higher_is_better=True) + frame["score_plateau_200bps_share"] = percentile_rank(frame["plateau_200bps_share"], higher_is_better=True) + frame["score_oos_drawdown"] = percentile_rank(frame["oos_max_drawdown"], higher_is_better=True) + frame["score_2022"] = percentile_rank(frame["return_2022"], higher_is_better=True) + frame["score_2023_plus"] = percentile_rank(frame["cagr_2023_plus"], higher_is_better=True) + frame["score_turnover"] = percentile_rank(frame["annual_turnover"], higher_is_better=False) + frame["score_complexity"] = frame["complexity_score"] + + frame["robustness_score"] = ( + 0.30 * frame["score_oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] + + 0.20 * frame["score_oos_positive_alpha_ratio"] + + 0.15 * frame["score_plateau_200bps_share"] + + 0.10 * frame["score_oos_drawdown"] + + 0.10 * frame["score_2022"] + + 0.07 * frame["score_2023_plus"] + + 0.05 * frame["score_turnover"] + + 0.03 * frame["score_complexity"] + ) + frame["robustness_rank"] = frame["robustness_score"].rank(method="min", ascending=False).astype(int) + frame["full_cagr_rank"] = frame["full_cagr"].rank(method="min", ascending=False).astype(int) + frame["full_total_return_rank"] = frame["full_total_return"].rank(method="min", ascending=False).astype(int) + frame["core_viable"] = ( + (frame["oos_cagr_minus_qqq"] > 0) + & (frame["oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"] >= 0.60) + & (frame["oos_max_drawdown"] >= -0.40) + & (frame["annual_turnover"] <= 5.0) + & (frame["full_information_ratio_vs_qqq"] > 0) + ) + return frame.sort_values( + by=["robustness_score", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "full_cagr"], + ascending=[False, False, False], + ).reset_index(drop=True) + + +def evaluate_spy_sanity( + configs: Iterable[suite.OffensiveConfig], + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + qqq_oos_cagr: float, +) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows = [] + for config in configs: + spy_config = replace( + config, + name=f"{config.name}__spy_sanity", + regime=suite.RegimeConfig("spy_breadth", "SPY", "broad"), + ) + _rows, net_returns, weights_history, turnover_history, _selection_history, _rolling_alpha = robust.evaluate_scenario( + spy_config.name, + spy_config, + context, + experiment_group="spy_sanity_check", + cost_bps=MAIN_COST_BPS, + ) + rows_df = pd.DataFrame(_rows) + full_row = rows_df.loc[rows_df["period"] == "Full Sample"].iloc[0] + oos_metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + weights_history, + turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=OOS_START, + end=None, + ) + rows.append( + { + **config_fields(config), + "scenario": config.name, + "spy_sanity_full_cagr": float(full_row["CAGR"]), + "spy_sanity_full_ir_vs_qqq": float(full_row["information_ratio_vs_qqq"]), + "spy_sanity_full_maxdd": float(full_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "spy_sanity_oos_cagr": float(oos_metrics["CAGR"]), + "spy_sanity_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": float(oos_metrics["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr), + "spy_sanity_oos_maxdd": float(oos_metrics["Max Drawdown"]), + "spy_sanity_pass": bool( + float(full_row["information_ratio_vs_qqq"]) > 0 + and float(oos_metrics["CAGR"] - qqq_oos_cagr) > -0.02 + ), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def pick_specs(selection_df: pd.DataFrame, spy_sanity_df: pd.DataFrame) -> tuple[pd.Series, pd.Series, pd.DataFrame]: + ranked = selection_df.copy() + if not spy_sanity_df.empty: + ranked = ranked.merge( + spy_sanity_df[["scenario", "spy_sanity_full_cagr", "spy_sanity_full_ir_vs_qqq", "spy_sanity_oos_cagr", "spy_sanity_oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "spy_sanity_pass"]], + on="scenario", + how="left", + ) + ranked["spy_sanity_pass"] = ranked["spy_sanity_pass"].fillna(True) + + default_pool = ranked.loc[ranked["core_viable"] & ranked["spy_sanity_pass"]].copy() + if default_pool.empty: + default_pool = ranked.loc[ranked["core_viable"]].copy() + if default_pool.empty: + default_pool = ranked.copy() + default_row = default_pool.sort_values( + by=["robustness_score", "plateau_200bps_share", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "full_cagr"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).iloc[0] + + aggressive_pool = ranked.loc[ranked["core_viable"]].copy() + if aggressive_pool.empty: + aggressive_pool = ranked.copy() + aggressive_pool = aggressive_pool.loc[aggressive_pool["scenario"] != default_row["scenario"]].copy() + aggressive_row = aggressive_pool.sort_values( + by=["full_cagr", "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", "cagr_2023_plus", "robustness_score"], + ascending=[False, False, False, False], + ).iloc[0] + return default_row, aggressive_row, ranked + + +def build_strategy_label(name: str) -> str: + if name == suite.OFFENSIVE_NAME: + return "previous_offensive_default" + return name + + +def evaluate_final_strategy_rows( + label: str, + config: suite.OffensiveConfig, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + cost_bps_values: Iterable[float], +) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, dict[str, object]]]: + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + artifacts_by_cost: dict[float, dict[str, object]] = {} + for cost_bps in cost_bps_values: + _rows, net_returns, weights_history, turnover_history, selection_history, rolling_alpha = robust.evaluate_scenario( + label, + config, + context, + experiment_group="final_comparison", + cost_bps=cost_bps, + ) + turnover_profile = robust.compute_turnover_profile(selection_history, turnover_history) + sector_weights = robust.compute_average_sector_weights(weights_history, selection_history, context["universe_history"]) + artifacts_by_cost[float(cost_bps)] = { + "net_returns": net_returns, + "weights_history": weights_history, + "turnover_history": turnover_history, + "selection_history": selection_history, + "rolling_alpha": rolling_alpha, + "turnover_profile": turnover_profile, + "sector_weights": sector_weights, + } + for period_name, start, end in COMPARISON_PERIODS: + metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + weights_history, + turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + rolling_series = rolling_alpha if period_name == "Full Sample" else robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(net_returns, start, end), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + ) + rolling_summary = robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_series) + rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "final_comparison", + "strategy": label, + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + **config_fields(config), + **metrics, + **rolling_summary, + **turnover_profile, + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({k: float(v) for k, v in sector_weights.items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + ) + return rows, artifacts_by_cost + + +def evaluate_defensive_rows( + context: dict[str, object], + *, + cost_bps_values: Iterable[float], +) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, dict[str, object]]]: + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + artifacts_by_cost: dict[float, dict[str, object]] = {} + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + for cost_bps in cost_bps_values: + result = robust.run_defensive_backtest( + context["stock_price_history"], + context["universe_history"], + start_date=str(context["master_index"][0].date()), + end_date=str(context["master_index"][-1].date()), + turnover_cost_bps=float(cost_bps), + ) + portfolio_returns = result["portfolio_returns"].reindex(context["master_index"]).fillna(0.0) + weights_history = result["weights_history"].reindex(context["master_index"]).fillna(0.0) + turnover_history = result["turnover_history"].reindex(context["master_index"]).fillna(0.0) + rolling_alpha = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(portfolio_returns, benchmark_returns) + turnover_profile = { + "annual_turnover": float(result.get("summary", {}).get("Turnover/Year", np.nan)), + "average_monthly_turnover": float(turnover_history.groupby(turnover_history.index.to_period("M")).sum().mean()), + "average_names_replaced_per_rebalance": float("nan"), + "median_holding_duration_days": float("nan"), + "top5_continuity": float("nan"), + } + artifacts_by_cost[float(cost_bps)] = { + "net_returns": portfolio_returns, + "weights_history": weights_history, + "turnover_history": turnover_history, + "rolling_alpha": rolling_alpha, + "turnover_profile": turnover_profile, + } + for period_name, start, end in COMPARISON_PERIODS: + metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + portfolio_returns, + weights_history, + turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + rolling_series = rolling_alpha if period_name == "Full Sample" else robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(portfolio_returns, start, end), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + ) + rolling_summary = robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_series) + rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "final_comparison", + "strategy": "defensive_baseline", + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + "universe_filter": "IWB_proxy_russell_1000", + "leadership_only": False, + "group_normalization": "industry_like_sector_zscore", + "group_normalization_label": "industry_like_sector_zscore", + "holdings_count": 24, + "single_name_cap": 0.06, + "sector_cap": 0.20, + "hold_bonus": 0.15, + "regime_name": "spy_breadth_defensive", + "benchmark_symbol": "SPY", + "breadth_mode": "broad", + "soft_defense_exposure": 0.50, + "hard_defense_exposure": 0.10, + **metrics, + **rolling_summary, + **turnover_profile, + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + ) + return rows, artifacts_by_cost + + +def evaluate_qqq_rows(benchmark_returns: pd.Series, *, cost_bps_values: Iterable[float]) -> list[dict[str, object]]: + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + weights = pd.DataFrame({"QQQ": 1.0}, index=benchmark_returns.index) + turnover = pd.Series(0.0, index=benchmark_returns.index) + for cost_bps in cost_bps_values: + for period_name, start, end in COMPARISON_PERIODS: + metrics = robust.evaluate_period_metrics( + benchmark_returns, + weights, + turnover, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + rolling_series = robust.compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + ) + rolling_summary = robust.compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_series) + rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "final_comparison", + "strategy": "QQQ", + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + "universe_filter": "QQQ", + "leadership_only": False, + "group_normalization": "n/a", + "group_normalization_label": "n/a", + "holdings_count": 1, + "single_name_cap": 1.0, + "sector_cap": 1.0, + "hold_bonus": 0.0, + "regime_name": "buy_and_hold", + "benchmark_symbol": "QQQ", + "breadth_mode": "n/a", + "soft_defense_exposure": 1.0, + "hard_defense_exposure": 1.0, + **metrics, + **rolling_summary, + "annual_turnover": 0.0, + "average_monthly_turnover": 0.0, + "average_names_replaced_per_rebalance": 0.0, + "median_holding_duration_days": float("nan"), + "top5_continuity": float("nan"), + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + ) + return rows + + +def build_attribution_rows( + *, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + final_artifacts: Mapping[str, dict[str, object]], + defensive_artifact: Mapping[str, object], +) -> pd.DataFrame: + rows = [] + for strategy_name, artifact in ( + ("defensive_baseline", defensive_artifact), + *[(name, artifact) for name, artifact in final_artifacts.items()], + ): + relative = robust.compute_relative_stats(artifact["net_returns"], benchmark_returns) + avg_names = float((artifact["weights_history"].drop(columns=[suite.SAFE_HAVEN], errors="ignore").fillna(0.0) > 1e-12).sum(axis=1).mean()) + rows.append( + { + "strategy": strategy_name, + **relative, + "turnover": float(artifact.get("turnover_profile", {}).get("annual_turnover", np.nan)), + "average_names_held": avg_names, + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({k: float(v) for k, v in artifact.get("sector_weights", pd.Series(dtype=float)).items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + "active_share_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + } + ) + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + +def build_recommendation( + *, + previous_gate: Mapping[str, object], + local_plateau_share: float, + default_row: pd.Series, + aggressive_row: pd.Series, + qqq_oos_cagr: float, +) -> dict[str, object]: + original_gate_v11_pass = bool( + float(default_row["oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]) >= 0.60 + and float(default_row["oos_cagr"]) >= float(qqq_oos_cagr) + and float(default_row["oos_max_drawdown"]) >= -0.40 + and float(default_row["annual_turnover"]) <= 5.0 + and float(local_plateau_share) >= ORIGINAL_GATE_PLATEAU_THRESHOLD + ) + original_gate_v11 = { + "recommendation": "yes_shadow_tracking" if original_gate_v11_pass else "no_shadow_tracking", + "oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio": float(default_row["oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps": float(default_row["oos_cagr"] - qqq_oos_cagr), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(default_row["oos_max_drawdown"]), + "annual_turnover": float(default_row["annual_turnover"]), + "plateau_200bps_share": float(local_plateau_share), + "thresholds": { + "oos_positive_alpha_ratio_min": 0.60, + "oos_cagr_not_below_qqq": True, + "oos_max_drawdown_floor": -0.40, + "annual_turnover_cap": 5.0, + "plateau_200bps_share_min": ORIGINAL_GATE_PLATEAU_THRESHOLD, + }, + } + + if original_gate_v11_pass and float(default_row["plateau_200bps_share"]) >= 0.30 and bool(default_row.get("spy_sanity_pass", True)): + v11_level = "shadow_ready" + reason = "default frozen spec passes original gate and sits on a wider local platform" + elif ( + float(default_row["oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]) >= 0.80 + and float(default_row["oos_cagr"] - qqq_oos_cagr) > 0.05 + and float(default_row["annual_turnover"]) <= 5.0 + and float(local_plateau_share) >= 0.18 + and bool(default_row.get("spy_sanity_pass", True)) + ): + v11_level = "shadow_candidate" + reason = "spec is close to locked and OOS is strong, but original gate is not fully cleared" + else: + v11_level = "not_ready" + reason = "edge exists but spec-lock / platform width is still insufficient" + + return { + "original_gate_previous_round": dict(previous_gate), + "original_gate_v1_1_local_grid": original_gate_v11, + "v1_1_recommendation": v11_level, + "reason": reason, + "default_frozen_spec": str(default_row["scenario"]), + "aggressive_alt_spec": str(aggressive_row["scenario"]), + } + + +def format_markdown_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + + def fmt(value) -> str: + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(value) for value in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_markdown_report( + path: Path, + *, + previous_default_row: pd.Series, + default_row: pd.Series, + aggressive_row: pd.Series, + selection_df: pd.DataFrame, + plateau_df: pd.DataFrame, + plateau_stats: Mapping[str, float], + oos_df: pd.DataFrame, + attribution_df: pd.DataFrame, + spy_sanity_df: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: Mapping[str, object], +) -> None: + selection_top = selection_df.head(12)[[ + "scenario", + "robustness_score", + "robustness_rank", + "full_cagr_rank", + "universe_filter", + "group_normalization_label", + "holdings_count", + "single_name_cap", + "sector_cap", + "hold_bonus", + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq", + "plateau_200bps_share", + "oos_max_drawdown", + "annual_turnover", + "return_2022", + "cagr_2023_plus", + ]] + overall_plateau = plateau_df.loc[plateau_df["scope"] == "overall", ["neighborhood", "count", "total", "share"]] + plateau_axes = plateau_df.loc[ + (plateau_df["scope"] == "axis") + & (plateau_df["dimension"].isin(["universe_filter", "group_normalization", "holdings_count", "hold_bonus"])) + & (plateau_df["neighborhood"] == "within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive"), + ["dimension", "value", "share", "count", "total"], + ].sort_values(["dimension", "share"], ascending=[True, False]) + + comparison_view = oos_df.loc[ + (oos_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) + & (oos_df["period"].isin(["Full Sample", "OOS Sample", "2022", "2023+"])) + & (oos_df["strategy"].isin(["previous_offensive_default", "default_frozen_spec", "aggressive_alt_spec", "defensive_baseline", "QQQ"])), + ["strategy", "period", "CAGR", "Total Return", "Max Drawdown", "Sharpe", "Information Ratio vs QQQ", "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio", "annual_turnover"], + ] + + lines = [ + "# qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1.1 spec lock", + "", + "## 结论先看", + f"- previous_default={previous_default_row['scenario']}", + f"- default_frozen_spec={default_row['scenario']}", + f"- aggressive_alt_spec={aggressive_row['scenario']}", + f"- 原 promotion gate（上一轮）={recommendation['original_gate_previous_round']['recommendation']}", + f"- 原 promotion gate（V1.1 局部收敛空间）={recommendation['original_gate_v1_1_local_grid']['recommendation']}", + f"- V1.1 recommendation layer={recommendation['v1_1_recommendation']}", + f"- reason={recommendation['reason']}", + "", + "## 选型规则（robustness_score）", + "- 0.30 * pct_rank(OOS CAGR - QQQ)", + "- 0.20 * pct_rank(OOS rolling 36m alpha > 0 ratio)", + "- 0.15 * plateau_200bps_share（同 universe+normalization+holdings 子空间）", + "- 0.10 * pct_rank(OOS MaxDD，越浅越好)", + "- 0.10 * pct_rank(2022 return)", + "- 0.07 * pct_rank(2023+ CAGR)", + "- 0.05 * pct_rank(annual turnover，越低越好)", + "- 0.03 * complexity_score（相对上一轮默认规格的改动越少越高）", + "", + "## Top candidates by robustness_score", + format_markdown_table(selection_top), + "", + "## Plateau 复核", + format_markdown_table(overall_plateau), + "", + "### Plateau by key axis (within 200bps)", + format_markdown_table(plateau_axes), + "", + "## spy_breadth sanity check（仅前 3 名）", + format_markdown_table(spy_sanity_df[[ + "scenario", + "spy_sanity_full_cagr", + "spy_sanity_full_ir_vs_qqq", + "spy_sanity_oos_cagr", + "spy_sanity_oos_cagr_minus_qqq", + "spy_sanity_pass", + ]]), + "", + "## Full / OOS / 2022 / 2023+（5 bps）", + format_markdown_table(comparison_view), + "", + "## Relative-to-QQQ attribution", + format_markdown_table(attribution_df[[ + "strategy", + "beta_vs_qqq", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "tracking_error_vs_qqq", + "information_ratio_vs_qqq", + "up_capture_vs_qqq", + "down_capture_vs_qqq", + "turnover", + "average_names_held", + "active_share_vs_qqq", + ]]), + "", + "## Plateau key stats", + f"- old_round_plateau_200bps_share={recommendation['original_gate_previous_round'].get('plateau_200bps_share', float('nan')):.1%}", + f"- v1_1_local_grid_plateau_200bps_share={plateau_stats['within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive_share']:.1%}", + f"- within_100bps_share={plateau_stats['within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive_share']:.1%}", + f"- top_decile_share={plateau_stats['top_decile_full_cagr_share']:.1%}", + "", + "## Active share note", + "- active_share_vs_QQQ 继续显式记为 NaN，因为当前公开数据链路没有 QQQ 历史 constituent weights。", + "- 如果后续拿到 QQQ 历史 constituent weights，可在同一回测日期轴上对比组合权重与 QQQ 成分权重，补做真正 active share。", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + configs_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + _universe, _prices, prepared_start, prepared_end = suite.discover_prepared_data(alias_dir) + common_start = pd.Timestamp(args.start or prepared_start).normalize() + common_end = pd.Timestamp(args.end or prepared_end).normalize() + etf_frames = suite.download_etf_ohlcv( + ("QQQ", "SPY", "XLK", "SMH"), + start=str(common_start.date()), + end=str((common_end + pd.Timedelta(days=1)).date()), + ) + context = robust.prepare_context(alias_dir, etf_frames=etf_frames, start_date=common_start, end_date=common_end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + qqq_period_metrics = build_qqq_period_metrics(benchmark_returns) + qqq_oos_cagr = float(qqq_period_metrics["OOS Sample"]["CAGR"]) + + previous_gate_path = results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_promotion_gate.json" + if previous_gate_path.exists(): + previous_gate = json.loads(previous_gate_path.read_text(encoding="utf-8")) + else: + previous_gate = { + "recommendation": "unknown", + "plateau_200bps_share": float("nan"), + } + + previous_default_config = robust.build_base_candidate() + selection_rows = [] + artifacts: dict[str, dict[str, object]] = {} + spec_lock_rows = [] + for config in build_targeted_local_grid(previous_default_config): + summary_row, artifact, export_rows = summarize_candidate(config, context, benchmark_returns) + selection_rows.append(summary_row) + artifacts[config.name] = artifact + spec_lock_rows.extend(export_rows) + + selection_df = pd.DataFrame(selection_rows) + plateau_df, plateau_stats, selection_with_plateau = build_plateau_table(selection_df) + selection_scored = add_selection_scores(selection_with_plateau, previous_default_config, qqq_oos_cagr) + + top3_configs = [artifacts[name]["config"] for name in selection_scored.head(3)["scenario"].tolist()] + spy_sanity_df = evaluate_spy_sanity(top3_configs, context, benchmark_returns, qqq_oos_cagr) + default_row, aggressive_row, selection_ranked = pick_specs(selection_scored, spy_sanity_df) + + previous_default_label = build_strategy_label(suite.OFFENSIVE_NAME) + previous_rows, previous_artifacts = evaluate_final_strategy_rows( + previous_default_label, + previous_default_config, + context, + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + default_rows, default_artifacts = evaluate_final_strategy_rows( + "default_frozen_spec", + artifacts[str(default_row["scenario"])]["config"], + context, + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + aggressive_rows, aggressive_artifacts = evaluate_final_strategy_rows( + "aggressive_alt_spec", + artifacts[str(aggressive_row["scenario"])]["config"], + context, + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS, + ) + defensive_rows, defensive_artifacts = evaluate_defensive_rows(context, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + qqq_rows = evaluate_qqq_rows(benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + + final_comparison_df = pd.DataFrame(previous_rows + default_rows + aggressive_rows + defensive_rows + qqq_rows) + spec_lock_df = pd.concat([pd.DataFrame(spec_lock_rows), pd.DataFrame(previous_rows + default_rows + aggressive_rows)], ignore_index=True) + spec_lock_df = pd.concat([spec_lock_df, spy_sanity_df.assign(experiment_group="spy_sanity_check")], ignore_index=True, sort=False) + + oos_df = final_comparison_df.loc[ + final_comparison_df["period"].isin(["Full Sample", "OOS Sample", "2022", "2023+"]) + ].copy() + + attribution_df = build_attribution_rows( + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + final_artifacts={ + previous_default_label: previous_artifacts[MAIN_COST_BPS], + "default_frozen_spec": default_artifacts[MAIN_COST_BPS], + "aggressive_alt_spec": aggressive_artifacts[MAIN_COST_BPS], + }, + defensive_artifact=defensive_artifacts[MAIN_COST_BPS], + ) + + recommendation = build_recommendation( + previous_gate=previous_gate, + local_plateau_share=float(plateau_stats["within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive_share"]), + default_row=default_row, + aggressive_row=aggressive_row, + qqq_oos_cagr=qqq_oos_cagr, + ) + + selection_ranked.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_selection_score.csv", index=False) + plateau_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_plateau.csv", index=False) + oos_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_oos.csv", index=False) + spec_lock_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.csv", index=False) + attribution_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_attribution.csv", index=False) + (results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_recommendation.json").write_text( + json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), + encoding="utf-8", + ) + + save_spec_config(configs_dir / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json", artifacts[str(default_row["scenario"])]["config"], role="default_frozen_spec") + save_spec_config(configs_dir / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json", artifacts[str(aggressive_row["scenario"])]["config"], role="aggressive_alt_spec") + + write_markdown_report( + results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.md", + previous_default_row=selection_ranked.loc[selection_ranked["scenario"] == previous_default_config.name].iloc[0] if (selection_ranked["scenario"] == previous_default_config.name).any() else pd.Series({"scenario": previous_default_config.name}), + default_row=default_row, + aggressive_row=aggressive_row, + selection_df=selection_ranked, + plateau_df=plateau_df, + plateau_stats=plateau_stats, + oos_df=oos_df, + attribution_df=attribution_df, + spy_sanity_df=spy_sanity_df, + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + print(f"configs written to: {configs_dir}") + print(f"default frozen: {default_row['scenario']}") + print(f"aggressive alt: {aggressive_row['scenario']}") + print(f"recommendation: {recommendation['v1_1_recommendation']}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py new file mode 100755 index 0000000..dbc4a30 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py @@ -0,0 +1,683 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +""" +V1.1b candidate-centric gate review for qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1. + +Focus only on the current default_frozen_spec: +- freeze the center spec +- build first-order neighbors (one dimension, one step only) +- review local plateau around the center +- run monthly jackknife / block holdout on the center OOS sample +- keep the original global gate unchanged and add a candidate-centric recommendation layer +""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import math +import sys +from dataclasses import replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "configs" +MAIN_COST_BPS = 5.0 +SUPPLEMENTAL_COST_BPS = 0.0 +COST_LEVELS = (MAIN_COST_BPS, SUPPLEMENTAL_COST_BPS) +OOS_START = "2022-01-01" +COMPARISON_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("OOS Sample", OOS_START, None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +LEGAL_STEP_VALUES = { + "holdings_count": (12, 16), + "single_name_cap": (0.08, 0.09, 0.10), + "sector_cap": (0.25, 0.30, 0.35), + "hold_bonus": (0.05, 0.10, 0.15), +} + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument( + "--alias-data-run-dir", + help="Prepared Russell data run with alias repair (defaults to newest official_monthly_v2_alias run)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--results-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR), + help="Directory where V1.1b outputs will be written", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--configs-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_CONFIGS_DIR), + help="Directory where V1.1 default/aggressive configs are stored", + ) + parser.add_argument("--start", default=None) + parser.add_argument("--end", default=None) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def build_context(alias_run_dir: Path, *, start: str | None, end: str | None) -> dict[str, object]: + _universe, _prices, prepared_start, prepared_end = suite.discover_prepared_data(alias_run_dir) + effective_start = pd.Timestamp(start or prepared_start).normalize() + effective_end = pd.Timestamp(end or prepared_end).normalize() + etf_frames = suite.download_etf_ohlcv( + ("QQQ", "SPY", "XLK", "SMH"), + start=str(effective_start.date()), + end=str((effective_end + pd.Timedelta(days=1)).date()), + ) + return robust.prepare_context( + alias_run_dir, + etf_frames=etf_frames, + start_date=effective_start, + end_date=effective_end, + ) + + +def build_first_order_neighbors(center: suite.OffensiveConfig) -> list[tuple[dict[str, object], suite.OffensiveConfig]]: + neighbors: list[tuple[dict[str, object], suite.OffensiveConfig]] = [] + for field_name, values in LEGAL_STEP_VALUES.items(): + current_value = getattr(center, field_name) + value_list = list(values) + try: + index = next(i for i, value in enumerate(value_list) if math.isclose(float(value), float(current_value), rel_tol=0.0, abs_tol=1e-12)) + except StopIteration: + if current_value not in value_list: + continue + index = value_list.index(current_value) + + for direction, offset in (("down", -1), ("up", 1)): + new_index = index + offset + if new_index < 0 or new_index >= len(value_list): + continue + new_value = value_list[new_index] + neighbor = replace( + center, + name=f"{center.name}__{field_name}_{direction}_{str(new_value).replace('.', 'p')}", + **{field_name: new_value}, + ) + neighbors.append( + ( + { + "scenario_group": "candidate_neighbor", + "change_dimension": field_name, + "change_direction": direction, + "from_value": current_value, + "to_value": new_value, + }, + neighbor, + ) + ) + return neighbors + + +def evaluate_strategy_rows( + *, + strategy_label: str, + config: suite.OffensiveConfig, + context: dict[str, object], + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + scenario_group: str, + cost_levels: Iterable[float], + meta: dict[str, object], +) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], dict[float, dict[str, object]]]: + rows, artifacts_by_cost = v11.evaluate_final_strategy_rows( + strategy_label, + config, + context, + benchmark_returns, + cost_bps_values=cost_levels, + ) + for row in rows: + row.update(meta) + return rows, artifacts_by_cost + + +def compute_basic_return_metrics(strategy_returns: pd.Series, benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> dict[str, float]: + aligned = pd.concat( + [strategy_returns.rename("strategy"), benchmark_returns.rename("benchmark")], + axis=1, + ).dropna() + if aligned.empty: + raise RuntimeError("No aligned returns remain after holdout removal") + + equity = (1.0 + aligned["strategy"]).cumprod() + benchmark_equity = (1.0 + aligned["benchmark"]).cumprod() + years = max((aligned.index[-1] - aligned.index[0]).days / 365.25, 1 / 365.25) + relative = robust.compute_relative_stats(aligned["strategy"], aligned["benchmark"]) + + return { + "Start": str(aligned.index[0].date()), + "End": str(aligned.index[-1].date()), + "Total Return": float(equity.iloc[-1] - 1.0), + "CAGR": float(equity.iloc[-1] ** (1.0 / years) - 1.0), + "QQQ CAGR": float(benchmark_equity.iloc[-1] ** (1.0 / years) - 1.0), + "Max Drawdown": float((equity / equity.cummax() - 1.0).min()), + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(relative["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": float(relative["information_ratio_vs_qqq"]), + } + + +def build_monthly_jackknife( + *, + strategy_returns: pd.Series, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + cost_bps: float, +) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, float]]: + strategy_oos = robust.slice_series_or_frame(strategy_returns, OOS_START, None).dropna() + benchmark_oos = robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, OOS_START, None).reindex(strategy_oos.index).fillna(0.0) + center_metrics = compute_basic_return_metrics(strategy_oos, benchmark_oos) + months = sorted(strategy_oos.index.to_period("M").unique()) + rows = [] + for month in months: + keep_mask = strategy_oos.index.to_period("M") != month + kept_strategy = strategy_oos.loc[keep_mask] + kept_benchmark = benchmark_oos.loc[keep_mask] + metrics = compute_basic_return_metrics(kept_strategy, kept_benchmark) + rows.append( + { + "holdout_type": "monthly_jackknife", + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "removed_label": str(month), + "removed_start": str(month.start_time.date()), + "removed_end": str(month.end_time.date()), + "removed_month_count": 1, + "removed_trading_days": int((~keep_mask).sum()), + **metrics, + "delta_oos_cagr_vs_center": float(metrics["CAGR"] - center_metrics["CAGR"]), + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center": float(metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"] - center_metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center": float(metrics["Max Drawdown"] - center_metrics["Max Drawdown"]), + "alpha_positive_after_removal": bool(metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"] > 0), + } + ) + frame = pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values("removed_label").reset_index(drop=True) + summary = { + "center_oos_cagr": float(center_metrics["CAGR"]), + "center_oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(center_metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "center_oos_maxdd": float(center_metrics["Max Drawdown"]), + "positive_alpha_share": float(frame["alpha_positive_after_removal"].mean()) if not frame.empty else float("nan"), + } + return frame, summary + + +def build_block_holdout( + *, + strategy_returns: pd.Series, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + cost_bps: float, + window_months: int, +) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, float]]: + strategy_oos = robust.slice_series_or_frame(strategy_returns, OOS_START, None).dropna() + benchmark_oos = robust.slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, OOS_START, None).reindex(strategy_oos.index).fillna(0.0) + center_metrics = compute_basic_return_metrics(strategy_oos, benchmark_oos) + months = sorted(strategy_oos.index.to_period("M").unique()) + rows = [] + for start_idx in range(0, len(months) - window_months + 1): + removed_months = months[start_idx : start_idx + window_months] + keep_mask = ~strategy_oos.index.to_period("M").isin(removed_months) + kept_strategy = strategy_oos.loc[keep_mask] + kept_benchmark = benchmark_oos.loc[keep_mask] + metrics = compute_basic_return_metrics(kept_strategy, kept_benchmark) + rows.append( + { + "holdout_type": "block_holdout", + "window_months": int(window_months), + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "removed_label": f"{removed_months[0]}->{removed_months[-1]}", + "removed_start": str(removed_months[0].start_time.date()), + "removed_end": str(removed_months[-1].end_time.date()), + "removed_month_count": int(window_months), + "removed_trading_days": int((~keep_mask).sum()), + **metrics, + "delta_oos_cagr_vs_center": float(metrics["CAGR"] - center_metrics["CAGR"]), + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center": float(metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"] - center_metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center": float(metrics["Max Drawdown"] - center_metrics["Max Drawdown"]), + "alpha_positive_after_removal": bool(metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"] > 0), + } + ) + frame = pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values(["window_months", "removed_start"]).reset_index(drop=True) + summary = { + "window_months": int(window_months), + "center_oos_cagr": float(center_metrics["CAGR"]), + "center_oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float(center_metrics["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "positive_alpha_share": float(frame["alpha_positive_after_removal"].mean()) if not frame.empty else float("nan"), + } + return frame, summary + + +def build_candidate_plateau(neighbor_oos_rows: pd.DataFrame, center_row: pd.Series) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, float]]: + frame = neighbor_oos_rows.copy() + frame["delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] = frame["CAGR"] - float(center_row["CAGR"]) + frame["delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center"] = frame["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"] - float(center_row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]) + frame["delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center"] = frame["Max Drawdown"] - float(center_row["Max Drawdown"]) + frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] = frame["delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"].abs() + + neighbor_count = len(frame) + summary = { + "neighbor_count": int(neighbor_count), + "neighbor_plateau_50bps_count": int((frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.005).sum()), + "neighbor_plateau_100bps_count": int((frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.01).sum()), + "neighbor_plateau_200bps_count": int((frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.02).sum()), + } + summary.update( + { + "neighbor_plateau_50bps_share": float(summary["neighbor_plateau_50bps_count"] / neighbor_count) if neighbor_count else float("nan"), + "neighbor_plateau_100bps_share": float(summary["neighbor_plateau_100bps_count"] / neighbor_count) if neighbor_count else float("nan"), + "neighbor_plateau_200bps_share": float(summary["neighbor_plateau_200bps_count"] / neighbor_count) if neighbor_count else float("nan"), + } + ) + return frame, summary + + +def build_candidate_recommendation( + *, + original_global_gate: dict[str, object], + center_row: pd.Series, + local_plateau_summary: dict[str, float], + monthly_summary_5bps: dict[str, float], + block6_summary_5bps: dict[str, float], + block12_summary_5bps: dict[str, float], +) -> dict[str, object]: + candidate_ok = bool( + float(center_row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]) > 0.05 + and float(center_row["Max Drawdown"]) >= -0.35 + and float(local_plateau_summary["neighbor_plateau_100bps_share"]) >= 0.50 + and float(local_plateau_summary["neighbor_plateau_200bps_share"]) >= 0.67 + and float(monthly_summary_5bps["positive_alpha_share"]) >= 0.90 + and float(block6_summary_5bps["positive_alpha_share"]) >= 0.80 + and float(block12_summary_5bps["positive_alpha_share"]) >= 0.70 + ) + if candidate_ok: + level = "shadow_candidate" + reason = "center spec passes local-neighborhood and holdout review, though the original global gate still fails" + else: + level = "not_ready" + reason = "center spec still fails at least one local-neighborhood or holdout stability check" + + return { + "original_global_gate": original_global_gate, + "candidate_centric_recommendation": level, + "reason": reason, + "checks": { + "oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq_5bps": float(center_row["alpha_ann_vs_qqq"]), + "oos_max_drawdown_5bps": float(center_row["Max Drawdown"]), + "neighbor_plateau_100bps_share": float(local_plateau_summary["neighbor_plateau_100bps_share"]), + "neighbor_plateau_200bps_share": float(local_plateau_summary["neighbor_plateau_200bps_share"]), + "monthly_jackknife_positive_alpha_share": float(monthly_summary_5bps["positive_alpha_share"]), + "block_6m_positive_alpha_share": float(block6_summary_5bps["positive_alpha_share"]), + "block_12m_positive_alpha_share": float(block12_summary_5bps["positive_alpha_share"]), + }, + "thresholds": { + "oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq_min": 0.05, + "oos_max_drawdown_floor": -0.35, + "neighbor_plateau_100bps_share_min": 0.50, + "neighbor_plateau_200bps_share_min": 0.67, + "monthly_jackknife_positive_alpha_share_min": 0.90, + "block_6m_positive_alpha_share_min": 0.80, + "block_12m_positive_alpha_share_min": 0.70, + }, + } + + +def format_table(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + + def fmt(value) -> str: + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(fmt(v) for v in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + +def write_markdown_report( + path: Path, + *, + center_config: suite.OffensiveConfig, + center_row_5bps: pd.Series, + neighbor_rows_5bps: pd.DataFrame, + local_plateau_summary: dict[str, float], + global_gate: dict[str, object], + monthly_holdout: pd.DataFrame, + block_holdout: pd.DataFrame, + recommendation: dict[str, object], + comparison_rows_5bps: pd.DataFrame, +) -> None: + worst_months = monthly_holdout.sort_values("alpha_ann_vs_qqq").head(5)[[ + "removed_label", + "CAGR", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "Max Drawdown", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + ]] + best_months = monthly_holdout.sort_values("alpha_ann_vs_qqq", ascending=False).head(5)[[ + "removed_label", + "CAGR", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "Max Drawdown", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + ]] + block6 = block_holdout.loc[block_holdout["window_months"] == 6].copy() + block12 = block_holdout.loc[block_holdout["window_months"] == 12].copy() + worst_block6 = block6.sort_values("alpha_ann_vs_qqq").head(5)[[ + "removed_label", + "CAGR", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + ]] + best_block6 = block6.sort_values("alpha_ann_vs_qqq", ascending=False).head(5)[[ + "removed_label", + "CAGR", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + ]] + worst_block12 = block12.sort_values("alpha_ann_vs_qqq").head(5)[[ + "removed_label", + "CAGR", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + ]] + best_block12 = block12.sort_values("alpha_ann_vs_qqq", ascending=False).head(5)[[ + "removed_label", + "CAGR", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + ]] + + lines = [ + "# qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1.1b candidate-centric gate review", + "", + "## Frozen center spec", + f"- universe={center_config.universe_filter.name}", + f"- normalization={v11.normalization_label(center_config.group_normalization)}", + f"- regime={center_config.regime.name}", + f"- holdings={center_config.holdings_count}", + f"- single_cap={center_config.single_name_cap:.0%}", + f"- sector_cap={center_config.sector_cap:.0%}", + f"- hold_bonus={center_config.hold_bonus:.2f}", + f"- exposures=100/{int(center_config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure * 100)}/{int(center_config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure * 100)}", + "- residual proxy=simple excess return vs QQQ", + f"- cost assumption(main)={MAIN_COST_BPS:.0f} bps one-way", + "", + "## One-step neighborhood (5 bps, OOS)", + format_table(neighbor_rows_5bps[[ + "strategy", + "change_dimension", + "change_direction", + "from_value", + "to_value", + "CAGR", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "Max Drawdown", + "delta_oos_cagr_vs_center", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + "delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center", + ]]), + "", + "## Candidate-centric plateau", + f"- original_global_plateau_200bps_share={float(global_gate.get('plateau_200bps_share', float('nan'))):.1%}", + f"- neighbor_count={int(local_plateau_summary['neighbor_count'])}", + f"- neighbor_plateau_50bps_share={local_plateau_summary['neighbor_plateau_50bps_share']:.1%}", + f"- neighbor_plateau_100bps_share={local_plateau_summary['neighbor_plateau_100bps_share']:.1%}", + f"- neighbor_plateau_200bps_share={local_plateau_summary['neighbor_plateau_200bps_share']:.1%}", + "", + "## Monthly jackknife (5 bps)", + f"- positive alpha share after removing any single month={monthly_holdout['alpha_positive_after_removal'].mean():.1%}", + "### Worst 5 removed months (lowest post-removal alpha)", + format_table(worst_months), + "", + "### Best 5 removed months (highest post-removal alpha)", + format_table(best_months), + "", + "## Continuous block holdout (5 bps)", + f"- 6m block positive alpha share={block6['alpha_positive_after_removal'].mean():.1%}", + f"- 12m block positive alpha share={block12['alpha_positive_after_removal'].mean():.1%}", + "### Worst 5 removed 6m blocks", + format_table(worst_block6), + "", + "### Best 5 removed 6m blocks", + format_table(best_block6), + "", + "### Worst 5 removed 12m blocks", + format_table(worst_block12), + "", + "### Best 5 removed 12m blocks", + format_table(best_block12), + "", + "## Main comparison (5 bps)", + format_table(comparison_rows_5bps[[ + "strategy", + "period", + "CAGR", + "Total Return", + "Max Drawdown", + "Sharpe", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "annual_turnover", + ]]), + "", + "## Recommendation layers", + f"- original_global_gate={global_gate.get('recommendation')}", + f"- candidate_centric_recommendation={recommendation['candidate_centric_recommendation']}", + f"- reason={recommendation['reason']}", + "", + "## Interpretation", + "- 这里只复核 default_frozen_spec 自己附近是否稳，不再重新做更大网格搜参。", + "- active share vs QQQ 仍显式留空，因为没有 QQQ 历史 constituent weights。", + ] + path.write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + configs_dir = Path(args.configs_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + alias_dir = robust.discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + context = build_context(alias_dir, start=args.start, end=args.end) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + default_config = v11.load_spec_config(configs_dir / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json") + aggressive_config = v11.load_spec_config(configs_dir / "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json") + + original_global_gate_payload = json.loads((results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1_recommendation.json").read_text(encoding="utf-8")) + original_global_gate = dict(original_global_gate_payload.get("original_gate_v1_1_local_grid", {})) + + center_rows, center_artifacts = evaluate_strategy_rows( + strategy_label="default_frozen_spec", + config=default_config, + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + scenario_group="candidate_center", + cost_levels=COST_LEVELS, + meta={ + "change_dimension": "center", + "change_direction": "center", + "from_value": np.nan, + "to_value": np.nan, + "is_center": True, + "is_neighbor": False, + }, + ) + + neighbor_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + neighbor_artifacts: dict[str, dict[float, dict[str, object]]] = {} + for meta, neighbor_config in build_first_order_neighbors(default_config): + rows, artifacts = evaluate_strategy_rows( + strategy_label=neighbor_config.name, + config=neighbor_config, + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + scenario_group="candidate_neighbor", + cost_levels=COST_LEVELS, + meta={**meta, "is_center": False, "is_neighbor": True}, + ) + neighbor_rows.extend(rows) + neighbor_artifacts[neighbor_config.name] = artifacts + + aggressive_rows, aggressive_artifacts = evaluate_strategy_rows( + strategy_label="aggressive_alt_spec", + config=aggressive_config, + context=context, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + scenario_group="reference_strategy", + cost_levels=COST_LEVELS, + meta={ + "change_dimension": "reference", + "change_direction": "reference", + "from_value": np.nan, + "to_value": np.nan, + "is_center": False, + "is_neighbor": False, + }, + ) + defensive_rows, defensive_artifacts = v11.evaluate_defensive_rows(context, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + for row in defensive_rows: + row.update( + { + "change_dimension": "reference", + "change_direction": "reference", + "from_value": np.nan, + "to_value": np.nan, + "is_center": False, + "is_neighbor": False, + } + ) + qqq_rows = v11.evaluate_qqq_rows(benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) + for row in qqq_rows: + row.update( + { + "change_dimension": "reference", + "change_direction": "reference", + "from_value": np.nan, + "to_value": np.nan, + "is_center": False, + "is_neighbor": False, + } + ) + + candidate_gate_df = pd.DataFrame(center_rows + neighbor_rows + aggressive_rows + defensive_rows + qqq_rows) + + center_row_5bps = candidate_gate_df.loc[ + (candidate_gate_df["strategy"] == "default_frozen_spec") + & (candidate_gate_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) + & (candidate_gate_df["period"] == "OOS Sample") + ].iloc[0] + neighbor_oos_rows_5bps = candidate_gate_df.loc[ + (candidate_gate_df["is_neighbor"] == True) + & (candidate_gate_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) + & (candidate_gate_df["period"] == "OOS Sample") + ].copy() + neighbor_oos_rows_5bps, local_plateau_summary = build_candidate_plateau(neighbor_oos_rows_5bps, center_row_5bps) + + candidate_gate_df = candidate_gate_df.merge( + neighbor_oos_rows_5bps[[ + "strategy", + "delta_oos_cagr_vs_center", + "delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center", + "delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center", + "abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center", + ]], + on="strategy", + how="left", + ) + + monthly_frames = [] + monthly_summaries = {} + block_frames = [] + block_summaries = {} + for cost_bps in COST_LEVELS: + strategy_returns = center_artifacts[float(cost_bps)]["net_returns"] + monthly_frame, monthly_summary = build_monthly_jackknife( + strategy_returns=strategy_returns, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + cost_bps=float(cost_bps), + ) + monthly_frames.append(monthly_frame) + monthly_summaries[float(cost_bps)] = monthly_summary + for window_months in (6, 12): + block_frame, block_summary = build_block_holdout( + strategy_returns=strategy_returns, + benchmark_returns=benchmark_returns, + cost_bps=float(cost_bps), + window_months=window_months, + ) + block_frames.append(block_frame) + block_summaries[(float(cost_bps), int(window_months))] = block_summary + + monthly_holdout_df = pd.concat(monthly_frames, ignore_index=True) + block_holdout_df = pd.concat(block_frames, ignore_index=True) + + recommendation = build_candidate_recommendation( + original_global_gate=original_global_gate, + center_row=center_row_5bps, + local_plateau_summary=local_plateau_summary, + monthly_summary_5bps=monthly_summaries[MAIN_COST_BPS], + block6_summary_5bps=block_summaries[(MAIN_COST_BPS, 6)], + block12_summary_5bps=block_summaries[(MAIN_COST_BPS, 12)], + ) + + candidate_gate_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.csv", index=False) + monthly_holdout_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1b_monthly_holdout.csv", index=False) + block_holdout_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1b_block_holdout.csv", index=False) + (results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1b_recommendation.json").write_text( + json.dumps(recommendation, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), + encoding="utf-8", + ) + + comparison_rows_5bps = candidate_gate_df.loc[ + (candidate_gate_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) + & (candidate_gate_df["period"].isin(["Full Sample", "OOS Sample", "2022", "2023+"])) + & (candidate_gate_df["strategy"].isin(["default_frozen_spec", "aggressive_alt_spec", "defensive_baseline", "QQQ"])), + ["strategy", "period", "CAGR", "Total Return", "Max Drawdown", "Sharpe", "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", "annual_turnover"], + ].copy() + + write_markdown_report( + results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.md", + center_config=default_config, + center_row_5bps=center_row_5bps, + neighbor_rows_5bps=neighbor_oos_rows_5bps, + local_plateau_summary=local_plateau_summary, + global_gate=original_global_gate, + monthly_holdout=monthly_holdout_df.loc[monthly_holdout_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + block_holdout=block_holdout_df.loc[block_holdout_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS].copy(), + recommendation=recommendation, + comparison_rows_5bps=comparison_rows_5bps, + ) + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"default center: {default_config.name}") + print(f"neighbor count: {int(local_plateau_summary['neighbor_count'])}") + print(f"candidate-centric recommendation: {recommendation['candidate_centric_recommendation']}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..74b4fcb --- /dev/null +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py @@ -0,0 +1,1372 @@ +#!/usr/bin/env python3 +""" +Robustness / promotion-readiness research for qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1. + +Keeps the strategy research-only and focuses on: +- local parameter stability around the current best candidate +- regime robustness +- data-assumption pressure tests +- cost / turnover / holding-profile analysis +- strict out-of-sample parameter selection and evaluation +- benchmark-relative attribution vs QQQ +""" + +from __future__ import annotations + +import argparse +import json +import math +import sys +from dataclasses import replace +from pathlib import Path +from typing import Iterable, Mapping + +import numpy as np +import pandas as pd + +SCRIPT_DIR = Path(__file__).resolve().parent +if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: + sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) + +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite + +from us_equity_strategies.backtests.russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive import ( # noqa: E402 + build_monthly_rebalance_dates, + resolve_active_universe, + run_backtest as run_defensive_backtest, +) + + +DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" +DEFAULT_COSTS = (0.0, 5.0, 10.0) +FULL_PERIOD = ("Full Sample", None, None) +REPORT_PERIODS = ( + ("Full Sample", None, None), + ("2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) +IS_PERIOD = ("2018-2021", "2018-01-01", "2021-12-31") +OOS_PERIODS = ( + ("OOS 2022-2026", "2022-01-01", None), + ("OOS 2022", "2022-01-01", "2022-12-31"), + ("OOS 2023+", "2023-01-01", None), +) + +SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD = 0.55 +HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD = 0.35 +ROLLING_ALPHA_WINDOW = 756 + + +def parse_args() -> argparse.Namespace: + parser = argparse.ArgumentParser(description=__doc__) + parser.add_argument( + "--alias-data-run-dir", + help="Prepared Russell data run with alias repair (defaults to newest official_monthly_v2_alias run)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--no-alias-data-run-dir", + help="Prepared Russell data run without alias repair (defaults to newest official_monthly run)", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--results-dir", + default=str(DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR), + help="Directory where robustness outputs will be written", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--start", + default=None, + help="Optional backtest start date override", + ) + parser.add_argument( + "--end", + default=None, + help="Optional backtest end date override", + ) + return parser.parse_args() + + +def discover_run_dir(explicit_path: str | None, pattern: str) -> Path: + if explicit_path: + path = Path(explicit_path).expanduser().resolve() + if not path.exists(): + raise FileNotFoundError(f"data run dir not found: {path}") + return path + + candidates = sorted( + suite.LOCAL_RUNS_ROOT.glob(pattern), + key=lambda path: path.stat().st_mtime, + reverse=True, + ) + if not candidates: + raise FileNotFoundError(f"No local run matches pattern: {pattern}") + return candidates[0] + + +def build_base_candidate() -> suite.OffensiveConfig: + return suite.OffensiveConfig( + name=suite.OFFENSIVE_NAME, + universe_filter=suite.UniverseFilterConfig("leadership_liquid", 50_000_000.0, leadership_only=True), + holdings_count=16, + single_name_cap=0.08, + sector_cap=0.30, + regime=suite.RegimeConfig("qqq_breadth", "QQQ", "broad"), + exposures=suite.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.00), + hold_bonus=0.10, + group_normalization="sector", + ) + + +def build_local_parameter_grid(base: suite.OffensiveConfig) -> list[suite.OffensiveConfig]: + configs: list[suite.OffensiveConfig] = [] + for holdings_count in (12, 16, 20): + for single_name_cap in (0.07, 0.08, 0.09): + for sector_cap in (0.25, 0.30, 0.35): + for hold_bonus in (0.05, 0.10, 0.15): + configs.append( + replace( + base, + name=( + f"grid_h{holdings_count}_cap{int(single_name_cap * 100)}" + f"_sector{int(sector_cap * 100)}_hold{int(hold_bonus * 100):02d}" + ), + holdings_count=holdings_count, + single_name_cap=single_name_cap, + sector_cap=sector_cap, + hold_bonus=hold_bonus, + ) + ) + return configs + + +def build_regime_variants(base: suite.OffensiveConfig) -> list[suite.OffensiveConfig]: + return [ + replace(base, name="regime_spy_breadth", regime=suite.RegimeConfig("spy_breadth", "SPY", "broad")), + replace(base, name="regime_qqq_breadth", regime=suite.RegimeConfig("qqq_breadth", "QQQ", "broad")), + replace( + base, + name="regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth", + regime=suite.RegimeConfig("qqq_xlk_smh_breadth", "QQQ", "sector_etf", ("XLK", "SMH")), + ), + ] + + +def build_pressure_variants(base: suite.OffensiveConfig) -> list[tuple[str, suite.OffensiveConfig, str, int]]: + return [ + ("alias_on_baseline", base, "alias_on", 0), + ("alias_off_no_identifier_repair", replace(base, name="alias_off_no_identifier_repair"), "alias_off", 0), + ("universe_lag_1_rebalance", replace(base, name="universe_lag_1_rebalance"), "alias_on", 1), + ( + "leadership_ultra_liquid_100m", + replace( + base, + name="leadership_ultra_liquid_100m", + universe_filter=suite.UniverseFilterConfig("leadership_ultra_liquid_100m", 100_000_000.0, leadership_only=True), + ), + "alias_on", + 0, + ), + ( + "normalization_universe", + replace(base, name="normalization_universe", group_normalization="universe"), + "alias_on", + 0, + ), + ] + + +def prepare_context( + data_run_dir: Path, + *, + etf_frames: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + start_date: pd.Timestamp | None, + end_date: pd.Timestamp | None, +) -> dict[str, object]: + universe_history, stock_price_history, prepared_start, prepared_end = suite.discover_prepared_data(data_run_dir) + effective_start = pd.Timestamp(start_date or prepared_start).normalize() + effective_end = pd.Timestamp(end_date or prepared_end).normalize() + + master_index = suite.build_master_index(stock_price_history, etf_frames["close"]) + master_index = master_index[(master_index >= effective_start) & (master_index <= effective_end)] + if master_index.empty: + raise RuntimeError(f"No common dates remain inside {effective_start.date()} -> {effective_end.date()}") + + extra_stock_prices = suite.build_extra_etf_price_history(etf_frames, symbols=("QQQ", "XLK", "SMH")) + merged_stock_prices = suite.normalize_long_price_history( + pd.concat([stock_price_history, extra_stock_prices], ignore_index=True) + ) + _close_matrix, stock_returns_matrix = suite.build_asset_return_matrix( + merged_stock_prices, + master_index=master_index, + required_symbols=(suite.SAFE_HAVEN, "SPY", "QQQ", "XLK", "SMH"), + ) + feature_history = suite.precompute_stock_feature_history(merged_stock_prices) + rebalance_dates = sorted(build_monthly_rebalance_dates(master_index)) + + return { + "data_run_dir": data_run_dir, + "universe_history": universe_history, + "stock_price_history": stock_price_history, + "master_index": master_index, + "stock_returns_matrix": stock_returns_matrix, + "feature_history": feature_history, + "rebalance_dates": rebalance_dates, + "prepared_start": prepared_start, + "prepared_end": prepared_end, + "raw_snapshots_cache": {}, + } + + +def build_raw_snapshots_with_options( + universe_history: pd.DataFrame, + feature_history_by_symbol: Mapping[str, pd.DataFrame], + rebalance_dates: Iterable[pd.Timestamp], + *, + universe_lag_rebalances: int = 0, +) -> dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame]: + dates = [pd.Timestamp(date).normalize() for date in rebalance_dates] + required_benchmark_symbols = ("SPY", "QQQ", "XLK", "SMH") + snapshots: dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame] = {} + + for idx, rebalance_date in enumerate(dates): + reference_idx = max(0, idx - int(universe_lag_rebalances)) + universe_reference_date = dates[reference_idx] + active_universe = resolve_active_universe(universe_history, universe_reference_date) + sector_map = dict(zip(active_universe["symbol"], active_universe["sector"])) + symbols = active_universe["symbol"].astype(str).str.upper().tolist() + for extra in required_benchmark_symbols: + if extra not in symbols: + symbols.append(extra) + rows = [ + suite.lookup_symbol_features( + symbol, + rebalance_date, + feature_history_by_symbol, + sector=sector_map.get(symbol, "benchmark" if symbol in required_benchmark_symbols else "unknown"), + ) + for symbol in symbols + ] + frame = pd.DataFrame(rows).sort_values("symbol").reset_index(drop=True) + frame["base_eligible"] = ( + ~frame["symbol"].isin(required_benchmark_symbols + (suite.SAFE_HAVEN,)) + & frame["history_days"].ge(252) + & frame["close"].gt(10.0) + & frame["adv20_usd"].ge(20_000_000.0) + & frame[["mom_6_1", "mom_12_1", "sma200_gap", "vol_63", "maxdd_126", "breakout_252"]].notna().all(axis=1) + ) + frame["universe_reference_date"] = universe_reference_date + snapshots[rebalance_date] = frame + + return snapshots + + +def get_raw_snapshots(context: dict[str, object], *, universe_lag_rebalances: int) -> dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame]: + cache: dict[int, dict[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame]] = context["raw_snapshots_cache"] + if universe_lag_rebalances not in cache: + cache[universe_lag_rebalances] = build_raw_snapshots_with_options( + context["universe_history"], + context["feature_history"], + context["rebalance_dates"], + universe_lag_rebalances=universe_lag_rebalances, + ) + return cache[universe_lag_rebalances] + + +def _group_zscore(values: pd.Series, group_keys: pd.Series | None) -> pd.Series: + if group_keys is None: + return suite.zscore(values) + return pd.to_numeric(values, errors="coerce").groupby(group_keys).transform(suite.zscore) + + +def build_offensive_target_weights_robust( + raw_snapshot: pd.DataFrame, + current_holdings: set[str], + config: suite.OffensiveConfig, +) -> tuple[dict[str, float], dict[str, object]]: + frame = raw_snapshot.copy() + benchmark_symbol = str(config.regime.benchmark_symbol).strip().upper() + benchmark_rows = frame.loc[frame["symbol"] == benchmark_symbol] + benchmark_trend_positive = bool( + (not benchmark_rows.empty) + and pd.notna(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) + and float(benchmark_rows.iloc[-1]["sma200_gap"]) > 0 + ) + + eligible = suite.select_offensive_universe(frame, config) + breadth_ratio = suite.select_breadth_ratio(frame, eligible, config) + if (not benchmark_trend_positive) and breadth_ratio < HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD: + regime = "hard_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure) + elif (not benchmark_trend_positive) or breadth_ratio < SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD: + regime = "soft_defense" + stock_exposure = float(config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure) + else: + regime = "risk_on" + stock_exposure = 1.0 + + if eligible.empty or stock_exposure <= 0: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "selected_symbols": (), + "candidate_count": int(len(eligible)), + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "universe_reference_date": str(pd.Timestamp(frame["universe_reference_date"].iloc[0]).date()) if "universe_reference_date" in frame.columns else None, + }, + ) + + qqq_row = frame.loc[frame["symbol"] == "QQQ"] + if qqq_row.empty: + raise RuntimeError("QQQ row missing from offensive snapshot") + qqq_mom_6_1 = float(qqq_row.iloc[-1]["mom_6_1"]) + qqq_mom_12_1 = float(qqq_row.iloc[-1]["mom_12_1"]) + + scored = eligible.copy() + scored["resid_mom_6_1"] = scored["mom_6_1"] - qqq_mom_6_1 + scored["resid_mom_12_1"] = scored["mom_12_1"] - qqq_mom_12_1 + scored["drawdown_abs"] = scored["maxdd_126"].abs() + scored["rel_strength_vs_group"] = scored["mom_12_1"] - scored.groupby("sector")["mom_12_1"].transform("median") + + if config.group_normalization == "sector": + group_keys = scored["sector"] + elif config.group_normalization == "universe": + group_keys = None + else: + raise ValueError(f"Unsupported group_normalization: {config.group_normalization}") + + for column in ( + "resid_mom_6_1", + "resid_mom_12_1", + "sma200_gap", + "breakout_252", + "rel_strength_vs_group", + "vol_63", + "drawdown_abs", + ): + scored[f"z_{column}"] = _group_zscore(scored[column], group_keys) + + scored["score"] = ( + (scored["z_resid_mom_6_1"] * 0.30) + + (scored["z_resid_mom_12_1"] * 0.25) + + (scored["z_sma200_gap"] * 0.15) + + (scored["z_breakout_252"] * 0.10) + + (scored["z_rel_strength_vs_group"] * 0.10) + - (scored["z_vol_63"] * 0.05) + - (scored["z_drawdown_abs"] * 0.05) + ) + scored.loc[scored["symbol"].isin(current_holdings), "score"] += float(config.hold_bonus) + + ranked = scored.sort_values( + by=["score", "resid_mom_12_1", "resid_mom_6_1", "symbol"], + ascending=[False, False, False, True], + ) + + per_name_target = stock_exposure / config.holdings_count + sector_slot_cap = ( + config.holdings_count + if per_name_target <= 0 + else max(1, int(math.floor(config.sector_cap / per_name_target))) + ) + + selected_rows = [] + sector_counts: dict[str, int] = {} + for row in ranked.itertuples(index=False): + sector = str(row.sector) + if sector_counts.get(sector, 0) >= sector_slot_cap: + continue + selected_rows.append(row._asdict()) + sector_counts[sector] = sector_counts.get(sector, 0) + 1 + if len(selected_rows) >= config.holdings_count: + break + + selected = pd.DataFrame(selected_rows) + if selected.empty: + return ( + {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0}, + { + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": 0.0, + "selected_symbols": (), + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "universe_reference_date": str(pd.Timestamp(frame["universe_reference_date"].iloc[0]).date()) if "universe_reference_date" in frame.columns else None, + }, + ) + + per_name_weight = min(config.single_name_cap, stock_exposure / len(selected)) + invested_weight = per_name_weight * len(selected) + weights = {row.symbol: per_name_weight for row in selected.itertuples(index=False)} + if invested_weight < 1.0: + weights[suite.SAFE_HAVEN] = 1.0 - invested_weight + + metadata = { + "benchmark_symbol": benchmark_symbol, + "benchmark_trend_positive": benchmark_trend_positive, + "breadth_ratio": breadth_ratio, + "regime": regime, + "stock_exposure": stock_exposure, + "selected_symbols": tuple(selected["symbol"].tolist()), + "selected_sectors": tuple(selected["sector"].tolist()), + "candidate_count": int(len(scored)), + "sector_slot_cap": sector_slot_cap, + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "universe_reference_date": str(pd.Timestamp(frame["universe_reference_date"].iloc[0]).date()) if "universe_reference_date" in frame.columns else None, + } + return weights, metadata + + +def run_offensive_backtest_with_history( + raw_snapshots: Mapping[pd.Timestamp, pd.DataFrame], + returns_matrix: pd.DataFrame, + config: suite.OffensiveConfig, +) -> dict[str, object]: + index = returns_matrix.index + rebalance_dates = set(raw_snapshots) + weights_history = pd.DataFrame(0.0, index=index, columns=sorted(set(returns_matrix.columns) | {suite.SAFE_HAVEN})) + portfolio_returns = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name=config.name) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=index, name="turnover") + selection_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + current_weights: dict[str, float] = {suite.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} + current_holdings: set[str] = set() + + for idx in range(len(index) - 1): + date = index[idx] + next_date = index[idx + 1] + + if date in rebalance_dates: + target_weights, metadata = build_offensive_target_weights_robust(raw_snapshots[date], current_holdings, config) + turnover_history.at[next_date] = suite.compute_turnover(current_weights, target_weights) + current_weights = target_weights + current_holdings = { + symbol for symbol, weight in current_weights.items() if weight > 1e-12 and symbol != suite.SAFE_HAVEN + } + selection_rows.append( + { + "rebalance_date": date, + "selected_symbols": tuple(metadata.get("selected_symbols", ())), + "selected_count": len(metadata.get("selected_symbols", ())), + "regime": metadata.get("regime"), + "breadth_ratio": metadata.get("breadth_ratio"), + "benchmark_symbol": metadata.get("benchmark_symbol"), + "benchmark_trend_positive": metadata.get("benchmark_trend_positive"), + "candidate_count": metadata.get("candidate_count"), + "stock_exposure": metadata.get("stock_exposure"), + "universe_reference_date": metadata.get("universe_reference_date"), + } + ) + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[date, symbol] = weight + + next_returns = returns_matrix.loc[next_date].fillna(0.0) + portfolio_returns.at[next_date] = sum( + weight * float(next_returns.get(symbol, 0.0)) + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items() + ) + + for symbol, weight in current_weights.items(): + if symbol not in weights_history.columns: + weights_history[symbol] = 0.0 + weights_history.at[index[-1], symbol] = weight + + selection_history = pd.DataFrame(selection_rows) + return { + "gross_returns": portfolio_returns, + "weights_history": weights_history.loc[:, (weights_history != 0.0).any(axis=0)], + "turnover_history": turnover_history, + "selection_history": selection_history, + } + + +def slice_series_or_frame(obj, start: str | None, end: str | None): + sliced = obj + if start: + sliced = sliced.loc[start:] + if end: + sliced = sliced.loc[:end] + return sliced + + +def compute_relative_stats(strategy_returns: pd.Series, benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> dict[str, float]: + aligned = pd.concat( + [strategy_returns.rename("strategy"), benchmark_returns.rename("benchmark")], + axis=1, + ).dropna() + if aligned.empty: + return { + "beta_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + "tracking_error_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + "up_capture_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + "down_capture_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + } + + beta = suite.compute_beta(aligned["strategy"], aligned["benchmark"]) + active = aligned["strategy"] - aligned["benchmark"] + tracking_error = float(active.std(ddof=0) * math.sqrt(252)) if len(active) >= 2 else float("nan") + alpha_ann = float((aligned["strategy"] - beta * aligned["benchmark"]).mean() * 252) if pd.notna(beta) else float("nan") + up_capture, down_capture = suite.compute_capture_ratios(aligned["strategy"], aligned["benchmark"]) + return { + "beta_vs_qqq": beta, + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq": alpha_ann, + "tracking_error_vs_qqq": tracking_error, + "information_ratio_vs_qqq": suite.compute_information_ratio(aligned["strategy"], aligned["benchmark"]), + "up_capture_vs_qqq": up_capture, + "down_capture_vs_qqq": down_capture, + } + + +def compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(strategy_returns: pd.Series, benchmark_returns: pd.Series) -> pd.Series: + aligned = pd.concat( + [strategy_returns.rename("strategy"), benchmark_returns.rename("benchmark")], + axis=1, + ).dropna() + if aligned.empty: + return pd.Series(dtype=float, name=strategy_returns.name) + + rolling_mean_strategy = aligned["strategy"].rolling(ROLLING_ALPHA_WINDOW).mean() + rolling_mean_benchmark = aligned["benchmark"].rolling(ROLLING_ALPHA_WINDOW).mean() + rolling_cov = aligned["strategy"].rolling(ROLLING_ALPHA_WINDOW).cov(aligned["benchmark"], ddof=0) + rolling_var = aligned["benchmark"].rolling(ROLLING_ALPHA_WINDOW).var(ddof=0) + beta = rolling_cov / rolling_var.replace(0.0, np.nan) + alpha_daily = rolling_mean_strategy - (beta * rolling_mean_benchmark) + alpha_ann = (alpha_daily * 252.0).dropna() + alpha_ann.name = strategy_returns.name + return alpha_ann + + +def compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_alpha: pd.Series) -> dict[str, float]: + if rolling_alpha.empty: + return { + "rolling_36m_alpha_mean": float("nan"), + "rolling_36m_alpha_median": float("nan"), + "rolling_36m_alpha_last": float("nan"), + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": float("nan"), + } + return { + "rolling_36m_alpha_mean": float(rolling_alpha.mean()), + "rolling_36m_alpha_median": float(rolling_alpha.median()), + "rolling_36m_alpha_last": float(rolling_alpha.iloc[-1]), + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": float((rolling_alpha > 0).mean()), + } + + +def evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns: pd.Series, + weights_history: pd.DataFrame, + turnover_history: pd.Series, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + start: str | None, + end: str | None, +) -> dict[str, float | str]: + metrics = suite.summarize_strategy_period( + net_returns, + weights_history, + turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + safe_haven_symbols=(suite.SAFE_HAVEN, suite.HYBRID_SAFE_CASH), + full_returns_reference=net_returns, + ) + period_returns = slice_series_or_frame(net_returns, start, end).dropna() + period_benchmark = slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end).reindex(period_returns.index).fillna(0.0) + metrics.update(compute_relative_stats(period_returns, period_benchmark)) + return metrics + + +def compute_turnover_profile( + selection_history: pd.DataFrame, + turnover_history: pd.Series, +) -> dict[str, float]: + turnover = turnover_history.fillna(0.0) + if turnover.empty: + return { + "annual_turnover": float("nan"), + "average_monthly_turnover": float("nan"), + "average_names_replaced_per_rebalance": float("nan"), + "median_holding_duration_days": float("nan"), + "top5_continuity": float("nan"), + } + + years = max((turnover.index[-1] - turnover.index[0]).days / 365.25, 1 / 365.25) + annual_turnover = float(turnover.sum() / years) + monthly_turnover = turnover.groupby(turnover.index.to_period("M")).sum() + average_monthly_turnover = float(monthly_turnover.mean()) if not monthly_turnover.empty else float("nan") + + if selection_history.empty or len(selection_history) < 2: + return { + "annual_turnover": annual_turnover, + "average_monthly_turnover": average_monthly_turnover, + "average_names_replaced_per_rebalance": float("nan"), + "median_holding_duration_days": float("nan"), + "top5_continuity": float("nan"), + } + + replaced_counts: list[float] = [] + top5_overlap_ratios: list[float] = [] + entry_dates: dict[str, pd.Timestamp] = {} + holding_durations: list[int] = [] + + history = selection_history.sort_values("rebalance_date").reset_index(drop=True) + previous_symbols: set[str] | None = None + previous_top5: tuple[str, ...] | None = None + + for row in history.itertuples(index=False): + date = pd.Timestamp(row.rebalance_date).normalize() + symbols = set(row.selected_symbols or ()) + top5 = tuple((row.selected_symbols or ())[:5]) + if previous_symbols is not None: + replaced_counts.append(len(previous_symbols ^ symbols) / 2.0) + if previous_top5 is not None and previous_top5: + top5_overlap_ratios.append(len(set(previous_top5) & set(top5)) / max(len(previous_top5), 1)) + + for symbol in symbols - set(entry_dates): + entry_dates[symbol] = date + for symbol in list(entry_dates): + if symbol not in symbols: + holding_durations.append((date - entry_dates.pop(symbol)).days) + + previous_symbols = symbols + previous_top5 = top5 + + final_date = pd.Timestamp(history.iloc[-1]["rebalance_date"]).normalize() + for symbol, entry_date in entry_dates.items(): + holding_durations.append((final_date - entry_date).days) + + return { + "annual_turnover": annual_turnover, + "average_monthly_turnover": average_monthly_turnover, + "average_names_replaced_per_rebalance": float(np.mean(replaced_counts)) if replaced_counts else float("nan"), + "median_holding_duration_days": float(np.median(holding_durations)) if holding_durations else float("nan"), + "top5_continuity": float(np.mean(top5_overlap_ratios)) if top5_overlap_ratios else float("nan"), + } + + +def evaluate_scenario( + scenario_label: str, + config: suite.OffensiveConfig, + context: dict[str, object], + *, + experiment_group: str, + cost_bps: float, + universe_lag_rebalances: int = 0, + data_variant: str = "alias_on", +) -> tuple[list[dict[str, object]], pd.Series, pd.DataFrame, pd.Series, pd.DataFrame, pd.Series]: + raw_snapshots = get_raw_snapshots(context, universe_lag_rebalances=universe_lag_rebalances) + result = run_offensive_backtest_with_history(raw_snapshots, context["stock_returns_matrix"], config) + gross_returns = result["gross_returns"] + turnover_history = result["turnover_history"].reindex(gross_returns.index).fillna(0.0) + net_returns = gross_returns - turnover_history * (float(cost_bps) / 10_000.0) + benchmark_returns = context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].reindex(net_returns.index).fillna(0.0) + rolling_alpha = compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast(net_returns, benchmark_returns) + rolling_summary = compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_alpha) + + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for period_name, start, end in REPORT_PERIODS: + metrics = evaluate_period_metrics( + net_returns, + result["weights_history"], + result["turnover_history"], + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": experiment_group, + "scenario": scenario_label, + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + "data_variant": data_variant, + "universe_lag_rebalances": universe_lag_rebalances, + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "holdings_count": config.holdings_count, + "single_name_cap": config.single_name_cap, + "sector_cap": config.sector_cap, + "hold_bonus": config.hold_bonus, + "regime_name": config.regime.name, + "benchmark_symbol": config.regime.benchmark_symbol, + "breadth_mode": config.regime.breadth_mode, + "soft_defense_exposure": config.exposures.soft_defense_exposure, + "hard_defense_exposure": config.exposures.hard_defense_exposure, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + **metrics, + **rolling_summary, + } + ) + + return ( + rows, + net_returns, + result["weights_history"], + result["turnover_history"], + result["selection_history"], + rolling_alpha, + ) + + +def evaluate_qqq_reference( + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, + *, + cost_bps: float, +) -> list[dict[str, object]]: + rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + weights_history = pd.DataFrame({"QQQ": 1.0}, index=benchmark_returns.index) + turnover_history = pd.Series(0.0, index=benchmark_returns.index) + for period_name, start, end in REPORT_PERIODS: + metrics = suite.summarize_strategy_period( + benchmark_returns, + weights_history, + turnover_history, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + safe_haven_symbols=(suite.SAFE_HAVEN,), + full_returns_reference=benchmark_returns, + ) + relative = compute_relative_stats( + slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, start, end), + ) + rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "qqq_reference", + "scenario": "QQQ", + "cost_bps_one_way": float(cost_bps), + "period": period_name, + "data_variant": "public_yfinance", + "universe_lag_rebalances": 0, + "universe_filter": "n/a", + "holdings_count": 1, + "single_name_cap": 1.0, + "sector_cap": 1.0, + "hold_bonus": 0.0, + "regime_name": "buy_and_hold", + "benchmark_symbol": "QQQ", + "breadth_mode": "n/a", + "soft_defense_exposure": 1.0, + "hard_defense_exposure": 1.0, + "group_normalization": "n/a", + "residual_proxy": "n/a", + **metrics, + **relative, + "rolling_36m_alpha_mean": 0.0, + "rolling_36m_alpha_median": 0.0, + "rolling_36m_alpha_last": 0.0, + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio": 0.0, + } + ) + return rows + + +def build_parameter_stability_summary(param_rows: pd.DataFrame) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, dict[str, float]]: + full_rows = param_rows.loc[param_rows["period"] == "Full Sample"].copy() + best_cagr = float(full_rows["CAGR"].max()) + best_ir = float(full_rows["information_ratio_vs_qqq"].max()) + plateau_100bps = full_rows.loc[ + (full_rows["CAGR"] >= best_cagr - 0.01) & (full_rows["information_ratio_vs_qqq"] > 0) + ] + plateau_200bps = full_rows.loc[ + (full_rows["CAGR"] >= best_cagr - 0.02) & (full_rows["information_ratio_vs_qqq"] > 0) + ] + + axis_frames = [] + for axis in ("holdings_count", "single_name_cap", "sector_cap", "hold_bonus"): + grouped = full_rows.groupby(axis).agg( + mean_cagr=("CAGR", "mean"), + median_cagr=("CAGR", "median"), + std_cagr=("CAGR", "std"), + mean_ir=("information_ratio_vs_qqq", "mean"), + mean_2022=("2022 Return", "mean"), + mean_2023_plus=("2023+ CAGR", "mean"), + ) + grouped = grouped.reset_index().rename(columns={axis: "axis_value"}) + grouped.insert(0, "axis", axis) + axis_frames.append(grouped) + + summary = pd.concat(axis_frames, ignore_index=True) + stability_stats = { + "best_cagr": best_cagr, + "best_information_ratio": best_ir, + "plateau_100bps_count": float(len(plateau_100bps)), + "plateau_100bps_share": float(len(plateau_100bps) / len(full_rows)) if len(full_rows) else float("nan"), + "plateau_200bps_count": float(len(plateau_200bps)), + "plateau_200bps_share": float(len(plateau_200bps) / len(full_rows)) if len(full_rows) else float("nan"), + } + return summary, stability_stats + + +def compute_average_sector_weights( + weights_history: pd.DataFrame, + selection_history: pd.DataFrame, + universe_history: pd.DataFrame, +) -> pd.Series: + if selection_history.empty: + return pd.Series(dtype=float) + + rows = [] + for row in selection_history.itertuples(index=False): + date = pd.Timestamp(row.rebalance_date).normalize() + active_universe = resolve_active_universe(universe_history, date) + sector_map = dict(zip(active_universe["symbol"], active_universe["sector"])) + weight_row = weights_history.loc[date].fillna(0.0) + sector_weights: dict[str, float] = {} + for symbol, weight in weight_row.items(): + symbol_text = str(symbol).upper() + if weight <= 1e-12 or symbol_text == suite.SAFE_HAVEN: + continue + sector = sector_map.get(symbol_text) + if not sector: + continue + sector_weights[sector] = sector_weights.get(sector, 0.0) + float(weight) + rows.append(pd.Series(sector_weights, name=date)) + + if not rows: + return pd.Series(dtype=float) + return pd.DataFrame(rows).fillna(0.0).mean().sort_values(ascending=False) + + +def build_walkforward_rows( + grid_artifacts: dict[str, dict[str, object]], + base_config: suite.OffensiveConfig, + base_artifact: dict[str, object], + defensive_returns: pd.Series, + defensive_weights: pd.DataFrame, + defensive_turnover: pd.Series, + benchmark_returns: pd.Series, +) -> tuple[pd.DataFrame, suite.OffensiveConfig]: + ranking_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for name, artifact in grid_artifacts.items(): + is_metrics = evaluate_period_metrics( + artifact["net_returns"], + artifact["weights_history"], + artifact["turnover_history"], + benchmark_returns, + start=IS_PERIOD[1], + end=IS_PERIOD[2], + ) + ranking_rows.append( + { + "stage": "in_sample_ranking", + "scenario": name, + "selection_objective": "IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe", + **artifact["config_fields"], + **is_metrics, + } + ) + ranking = pd.DataFrame(ranking_rows).sort_values( + by=["information_ratio_vs_qqq", "CAGR", "Sharpe"], + ascending=[False, False, False], + ) + selected_name = str(ranking.iloc[0]["scenario"]) + selected_artifact = grid_artifacts[selected_name] + selected_config = selected_artifact["config"] + + oos_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + comparators = [ + ("offensive_default_candidate", base_artifact["net_returns"], base_artifact["weights_history"], base_artifact["turnover_history"]), + ("offensive_is_selected", selected_artifact["net_returns"], selected_artifact["weights_history"], selected_artifact["turnover_history"]), + ("defensive_baseline", defensive_returns, defensive_weights, defensive_turnover), + ("QQQ", benchmark_returns, pd.DataFrame({"QQQ": 1.0}, index=benchmark_returns.index), pd.Series(0.0, index=benchmark_returns.index)), + ] + for comparator_name, returns, weights, turnover in comparators: + rolling_alpha = compute_rolling_capm_alpha_fast( + slice_series_or_frame(returns, OOS_PERIODS[0][1], OOS_PERIODS[0][2]), + slice_series_or_frame(benchmark_returns, OOS_PERIODS[0][1], OOS_PERIODS[0][2]), + ) + rolling_summary = compute_rolling_alpha_summary(rolling_alpha) + for period_name, start, end in OOS_PERIODS: + metrics = evaluate_period_metrics( + returns, + weights, + turnover, + benchmark_returns, + start=start, + end=end, + ) + oos_rows.append( + { + "stage": "oos_eval", + "scenario": comparator_name, + "period": period_name, + "selected_from_in_sample": selected_name, + "selection_objective": "IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe", + **rolling_summary, + **metrics, + } + ) + + return pd.concat([ranking, pd.DataFrame(oos_rows)], ignore_index=True), selected_config + + +def write_markdown_report( + results_dir: Path, + *, + base_config: suite.OffensiveConfig, + parameter_rows: pd.DataFrame, + stability_axis_summary: pd.DataFrame, + stability_stats: dict[str, float], + regime_rows: pd.DataFrame, + pressure_rows: pd.DataFrame, + costs_rows: pd.DataFrame, + walkforward_rows: pd.DataFrame, + attribution_rows: pd.DataFrame, + gate: dict[str, object], +) -> None: + def format_frame(frame: pd.DataFrame) -> str: + if frame.empty: + return "_empty_" + + def format_value(value) -> str: + if pd.isna(value): + return "" + if isinstance(value, (float, np.floating)): + return f"{float(value):.6f}" + return str(value) + + columns = [str(column) for column in frame.columns] + lines = [ + "| " + " | ".join(columns) + " |", + "| " + " | ".join(["---"] * len(columns)) + " |", + ] + for row in frame.itertuples(index=False, name=None): + lines.append("| " + " | ".join(format_value(value) for value in row) + " |") + return "\n".join(lines) + + parameter_full = parameter_rows.loc[parameter_rows["period"] == "Full Sample"].sort_values( + by=["information_ratio_vs_qqq", "CAGR", "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"], + ascending=[False, False, False], + ) + regime_full = regime_rows.loc[regime_rows["period"] == "Full Sample"].sort_values( + by=["information_ratio_vs_qqq", "CAGR"], + ascending=[False, False], + ) + pressure_full = pressure_rows.loc[pressure_rows["period"] == "Full Sample"].sort_values( + by=["information_ratio_vs_qqq", "CAGR"], + ascending=[False, False], + ) + costs_full = costs_rows.loc[costs_rows["period"] == "Full Sample"].sort_values("cost_bps_one_way") + walkforward_oos = walkforward_rows.loc[walkforward_rows["stage"] == "oos_eval"].copy() + + lines = [ + "# qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1 robustness", + "", + "## Base candidate", + f"- universe={base_config.universe_filter.name}", + f"- holdings={base_config.holdings_count}", + f"- single_cap={base_config.single_name_cap:.0%}", + f"- sector_cap={base_config.sector_cap:.0%}", + f"- hold_bonus={base_config.hold_bonus:.2f}", + f"- regime={base_config.regime.name}", + f"- breadth thresholds: soft={SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD:.0%}, hard={HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD:.0%}", + f"- normalization={base_config.group_normalization}", + f"- residual proxy=simple excess return vs QQQ", + "", + "## Parameter stability (5 bps, full sample top 12)", + format_frame(parameter_full.head(12)[[ + "scenario", + "holdings_count", + "single_name_cap", + "sector_cap", + "hold_bonus", + "CAGR", + "Sharpe", + "information_ratio_vs_qqq", + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio", + "2022 Return", + "2023+ CAGR", + ]]), + "", + "## Stability axis summary", + format_frame(stability_axis_summary), + "", + "### Stability platform stats", + f"- best_full_sample_CAGR={stability_stats['best_cagr']:.4f}", + f"- best_full_sample_IR_vs_QQQ={stability_stats['best_information_ratio']:.4f}", + f"- plateau_within_100bps_and_positive_IR={int(stability_stats['plateau_100bps_count'])} ({stability_stats['plateau_100bps_share']:.1%})", + f"- plateau_within_200bps_and_positive_IR={int(stability_stats['plateau_200bps_count'])} ({stability_stats['plateau_200bps_share']:.1%})", + "", + "## Regime robustness (5 bps, full sample)", + "- spy_breadth: benchmark=SPY, breadth=eligible universe 中 sma200_gap > 0 的比例", + "- qqq_breadth: benchmark=QQQ, breadth=eligible universe 中 sma200_gap > 0 的比例", + "- qqq_xlk_smh_breadth: benchmark=QQQ, breadth=(XLK 与 SMH 在 200 日线上方的 ETF 比例)", + "- ETF data assumption: QQQ / XLK / SMH 均来自 yfinance/Yahoo，2018-01-01 之后可直接取到", + format_frame(regime_full[[ + "scenario", + "CAGR", + "Sharpe", + "information_ratio_vs_qqq", + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio", + "2022 Return", + "2023+ CAGR", + ]]), + "", + "## Data pressure tests (5 bps, full sample)", + format_frame(pressure_full[[ + "scenario", + "data_variant", + "universe_lag_rebalances", + "universe_filter", + "group_normalization", + "CAGR", + "Sharpe", + "information_ratio_vs_qqq", + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio", + "2022 Return", + "2023+ CAGR", + ]]), + "", + "## Cost / turnover profile", + format_frame(costs_full[[ + "cost_bps_one_way", + "CAGR", + "Total Return", + "Max Drawdown", + "Sharpe", + "annual_turnover", + "average_monthly_turnover", + "average_names_replaced_per_rebalance", + "median_holding_duration_days", + "top5_continuity", + ]]), + "", + "## Walk-forward / OOS", + format_frame(walkforward_oos[[ + "scenario", + "period", + "CAGR", + "Total Return", + "Max Drawdown", + "Sharpe", + "information_ratio_vs_qqq", + "rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio", + ]]), + "", + "## Relative attribution vs QQQ", + format_frame(attribution_rows[[ + "strategy", + "beta_vs_qqq", + "alpha_ann_vs_qqq", + "tracking_error_vs_qqq", + "information_ratio_vs_qqq", + "up_capture_vs_qqq", + "down_capture_vs_qqq", + "active_share_vs_qqq", + ]]), + "", + "## Shadow tracking gate", + f"- recommendation={gate['recommendation']}", + f"- reason={gate['reason']}", + f"- oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio={gate['oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio']:.1%}", + f"- oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps={gate['oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps']:.4f}", + f"- oos_max_drawdown={gate['oos_max_drawdown']:.4f}", + f"- annual_turnover={gate['annual_turnover']:.4f}", + f"- plateau_200bps_share={gate['plateau_200bps_share']:.1%}", + "", + "### Gate thresholds used", + "- OOS rolling 36m alpha > 0 的窗口占比 >= 60%", + "- 5 bps 成本后 OOS CAGR 不低于 QQQ", + "- OOS MaxDD <= 40%", + "- annual turnover <= 5.0x", + "- 参数局部网格里，至少 20% 组合落在 best-200bps 且 IR>0 的平台内", + "", + "## Active share vs QQQ note", + "- 这里无法准确给出真正的 active share vs QQQ，因为当前公开数据链路没有 QQQ 历史 constituent weights。输出里显式记为 NaN。", + ] + (results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_robustness.md").write_text("\n".join(lines), encoding="utf-8") + + +def main() -> None: + args = parse_args() + results_dir = Path(args.results_dir).expanduser().resolve() + results_dir.mkdir(parents=True, exist_ok=True) + + alias_dir = discover_run_dir(args.alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly_v2_alias") + no_alias_dir = discover_run_dir(args.no_alias_data_run_dir, "r1000_multifactor_defensive_*_official_monthly") + + alias_universe, alias_prices, alias_start, alias_end = suite.discover_prepared_data(alias_dir) + no_alias_universe, no_alias_prices, no_alias_start, no_alias_end = suite.discover_prepared_data(no_alias_dir) + common_start = pd.Timestamp(args.start or max(alias_start, no_alias_start)).normalize() + common_end = pd.Timestamp(args.end or min(alias_end, no_alias_end)).normalize() + etf_frames = suite.download_etf_ohlcv(("QQQ", "SPY", "XLK", "SMH"), start=str(common_start.date()), end=str((common_end + pd.Timedelta(days=1)).date())) + + alias_context = prepare_context(alias_dir, etf_frames=etf_frames, start_date=common_start, end_date=common_end) + no_alias_context = prepare_context(no_alias_dir, etf_frames=etf_frames, start_date=common_start, end_date=common_end) + contexts = {"alias_on": alias_context, "alias_off": no_alias_context} + benchmark_returns = alias_context["stock_returns_matrix"]["QQQ"].copy() + + base_config = build_base_candidate() + base_rows, base_returns, base_weights, base_turnover, base_selection, base_rolling_alpha = evaluate_scenario( + base_config.name, + base_config, + alias_context, + experiment_group="base_candidate", + cost_bps=5.0, + ) + base_artifact = { + "config": base_config, + "net_returns": base_returns, + "weights_history": base_weights, + "turnover_history": base_turnover, + "selection_history": base_selection, + "rolling_alpha": base_rolling_alpha, + "config_fields": { + "universe_filter": base_config.universe_filter.name, + "holdings_count": base_config.holdings_count, + "single_name_cap": base_config.single_name_cap, + "sector_cap": base_config.sector_cap, + "hold_bonus": base_config.hold_bonus, + "regime_name": base_config.regime.name, + "group_normalization": base_config.group_normalization, + }, + } + + parameter_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + rolling_alpha_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + grid_artifacts: dict[str, dict[str, object]] = {} + for config in build_local_parameter_grid(base_config): + rows, net_returns, weights_history, turnover_history, selection_history, rolling_alpha = evaluate_scenario( + config.name, + config, + alias_context, + experiment_group="parameter_stability", + cost_bps=5.0, + ) + parameter_rows.extend(rows) + grid_artifacts[config.name] = { + "config": config, + "net_returns": net_returns, + "weights_history": weights_history, + "turnover_history": turnover_history, + "selection_history": selection_history, + "rolling_alpha": rolling_alpha, + "config_fields": { + "universe_filter": config.universe_filter.name, + "holdings_count": config.holdings_count, + "single_name_cap": config.single_name_cap, + "sector_cap": config.sector_cap, + "hold_bonus": config.hold_bonus, + "regime_name": config.regime.name, + "group_normalization": config.group_normalization, + }, + } + for as_of, alpha_value in rolling_alpha.items(): + rolling_alpha_rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "parameter_stability", + "scenario": config.name, + "as_of": as_of, + "rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq": float(alpha_value), + } + ) + + parameter_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(parameter_rows) + stability_axis_summary, stability_stats = build_parameter_stability_summary(parameter_rows_df) + + regime_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for config in build_regime_variants(base_config): + rows, _ret, _weights, _turnover, _selection, rolling_alpha = evaluate_scenario( + config.name, + config, + alias_context, + experiment_group="regime_robustness", + cost_bps=5.0, + ) + regime_rows.extend(rows) + for as_of, alpha_value in rolling_alpha.items(): + rolling_alpha_rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "regime_robustness", + "scenario": config.name, + "as_of": as_of, + "rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq": float(alpha_value), + } + ) + regime_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(regime_rows) + + pressure_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + for scenario_label, config, context_key, universe_lag in build_pressure_variants(base_config): + rows, _ret, _weights, _turnover, _selection, rolling_alpha = evaluate_scenario( + scenario_label, + config, + contexts[context_key], + experiment_group="pressure_test", + cost_bps=5.0, + universe_lag_rebalances=universe_lag, + data_variant=context_key, + ) + pressure_rows.extend(rows) + for as_of, alpha_value in rolling_alpha.items(): + rolling_alpha_rows.append( + { + "experiment_group": "pressure_test", + "scenario": scenario_label, + "as_of": as_of, + "rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq": float(alpha_value), + } + ) + pressure_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(pressure_rows) + + costs_rows: list[dict[str, object]] = [] + turnover_profile = compute_turnover_profile(base_selection, base_turnover) + for cost_bps in DEFAULT_COSTS: + rows, _ret, _weights, _turnover, _selection, _rolling_alpha = evaluate_scenario( + f"{base_config.name}_cost_{int(cost_bps)}bps", + base_config, + alias_context, + experiment_group="cost_sensitivity", + cost_bps=cost_bps, + ) + for row in rows: + row.update(turnover_profile) + costs_rows.append(row) + costs_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(costs_rows) + + defensive_result = run_defensive_backtest( + alias_context["stock_price_history"], + alias_context["universe_history"], + start_date=str(common_start.date()), + end_date=str(common_end.date()), + turnover_cost_bps=5.0, + ) + defensive_returns = defensive_result["portfolio_returns"].reindex(alias_context["master_index"]).fillna(0.0) + defensive_weights = defensive_result["weights_history"].reindex(alias_context["master_index"]).fillna(0.0) + defensive_turnover = defensive_result["turnover_history"].reindex(alias_context["master_index"]).fillna(0.0) + + walkforward_rows_df, selected_config = build_walkforward_rows( + grid_artifacts, + base_config, + base_artifact, + defensive_returns, + defensive_weights, + defensive_turnover, + benchmark_returns, + ) + + attribution_rows = [] + defensive_relative = compute_relative_stats(defensive_returns, benchmark_returns) + defensive_selection_proxy = pd.DataFrame( + {"rebalance_date": alias_context["rebalance_dates"], "selected_symbols": [tuple()] * len(alias_context["rebalance_dates"])} + ) + offensive_relative = compute_relative_stats(base_returns, benchmark_returns) + defensive_sector_weights = compute_average_sector_weights(defensive_weights, defensive_selection_proxy, alias_context["universe_history"]) + offensive_sector_weights = compute_average_sector_weights(base_weights, base_selection, alias_context["universe_history"]) + + attribution_rows.append( + { + "strategy": "defensive_baseline", + **defensive_relative, + "active_share_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({k: float(v) for k, v in defensive_sector_weights.items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + ) + attribution_rows.append( + { + "strategy": suite.OFFENSIVE_NAME, + **offensive_relative, + "active_share_vs_qqq": float("nan"), + "avg_sector_weights_json": json.dumps({k: float(v) for k, v in offensive_sector_weights.items()}, ensure_ascii=False), + } + ) + attribution_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(attribution_rows) + + sector_weights_rows = [] + for strategy_name, sector_weights in ( + ("defensive_baseline", defensive_sector_weights), + (suite.OFFENSIVE_NAME, offensive_sector_weights), + ): + for sector, weight in sector_weights.items(): + sector_weights_rows.append({"strategy": strategy_name, "sector": sector, "avg_weight": float(weight)}) + sector_weights_df = pd.DataFrame(sector_weights_rows) + + qqq_rows_df = pd.DataFrame(evaluate_qqq_reference(benchmark_returns, cost_bps=5.0)) + + robustness_rows_df = pd.concat( + [parameter_rows_df, regime_rows_df, pressure_rows_df, qqq_rows_df], + ignore_index=True, + ) + robustness_rows_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_robustness.csv", index=False) + stability_axis_summary.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_parameter_stability_summary.csv", index=False) + costs_rows_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_costs.csv", index=False) + walkforward_rows_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_walkforward.csv", index=False) + pd.DataFrame(rolling_alpha_rows).to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_rolling_alpha.csv", index=False) + attribution_rows_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_attribution.csv", index=False) + sector_weights_df.to_csv(results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_sector_weights.csv", index=False) + + oos_rows = walkforward_rows_df.loc[ + (walkforward_rows_df["stage"] == "oos_eval") & (walkforward_rows_df["period"] == "OOS 2022-2026") + ].copy() + offensive_oos = oos_rows.loc[oos_rows["scenario"] == "offensive_default_candidate"].iloc[0] + qqq_oos = oos_rows.loc[oos_rows["scenario"] == "QQQ"].iloc[0] + + gate = { + "recommendation": "yes_shadow_tracking" + if ( + float(offensive_oos["rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]) >= 0.60 + and float(offensive_oos["CAGR"]) >= float(qqq_oos["CAGR"]) + and float(offensive_oos["Max Drawdown"]) >= -0.40 + and float(turnover_profile["annual_turnover"]) <= 5.0 + and float(stability_stats["plateau_200bps_share"]) >= 0.20 + ) + else "no_shadow_tracking", + "reason": "passes OOS alpha / cost / drawdown / turnover / neighborhood gates" + if ( + float(offensive_oos["rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]) >= 0.60 + and float(offensive_oos["CAGR"]) >= float(qqq_oos["CAGR"]) + and float(offensive_oos["Max Drawdown"]) >= -0.40 + and float(turnover_profile["annual_turnover"]) <= 5.0 + and float(stability_stats["plateau_200bps_share"]) >= 0.20 + ) + else "fails at least one promotion gate", + "oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio": float(offensive_oos["rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio"]), + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps": float(offensive_oos["CAGR"] - qqq_oos["CAGR"]), + "oos_max_drawdown": float(offensive_oos["Max Drawdown"]), + "annual_turnover": float(turnover_profile["annual_turnover"]), + "plateau_200bps_share": float(stability_stats["plateau_200bps_share"]), + "selected_oos_config": selected_config.name, + } + + write_markdown_report( + results_dir, + base_config=base_config, + parameter_rows=parameter_rows_df, + stability_axis_summary=stability_axis_summary, + stability_stats=stability_stats, + regime_rows=regime_rows_df, + pressure_rows=pressure_rows_df, + costs_rows=costs_rows_df, + walkforward_rows=walkforward_rows_df, + attribution_rows=attribution_rows_df, + gate=gate, + ) + + gate_path = results_dir / "stock_alpha_v1_promotion_gate.json" + gate_path.write_text(json.dumps(gate, indent=2, ensure_ascii=False), encoding="utf-8") + + print(f"alias data: {alias_dir}") + print(f"no-alias data: {no_alias_dir}") + print(f"results written to: {results_dir}") + print(f"promotion gate: {gate_path}") + + +if __name__ == "__main__": + main() diff --git a/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json b/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..235d0a8 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json @@ -0,0 +1,37 @@ +{ + "role": "research_default_v1_1", + "strategy": "growth_pullback_systematic_v1", + "status": "research_only", + "name": "tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08", + "family": "tech_heavy_pullback", + "universe": "tech_heavy", + "normalization": "universe_cross_sectional", + "min_adv20_usd": 50000000.0, + "leadership_filter": false, + "sector_whitelist": [ + "Information Technology", + "Communication" + ], + "symbol_whitelist": [], + "notes": "Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available", + "score_template": "balanced_pullback", + "holdings_count": 12, + "single_name_cap": 0.08, + "sector_cap": 0.4, + "hold_bonus": 0.05, + "regime": "qqq_breadth", + "benchmark_symbol": "QQQ", + "breadth_mode": "broad", + "breadth_symbols": [], + "exposures": { + "risk_on": 1.0, + "soft_defense": 0.6, + "hard_defense": 0.0 + }, + "breadth_thresholds": { + "soft": 0.55, + "hard": 0.35 + }, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": 5.0 +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_aggressive.json b/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_aggressive.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6e81570 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_aggressive.json @@ -0,0 +1,34 @@ +{ + "role": "aggressive_research_spec", + "strategy": "growth_pullback_systematic_v1", + "status": "research_only", + "name": "trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth", + "family": "trend_only_control", + "universe": "leadership_growth", + "normalization": "sector", + "min_adv20_usd": 50000000.0, + "leadership_filter": true, + "sector_whitelist": [], + "symbol_whitelist": [], + "notes": "Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only", + "score_template": "trend_only", + "holdings_count": 12, + "single_name_cap": 0.1, + "sector_cap": 0.4, + "hold_bonus": 0.05, + "regime": "qqq_breadth", + "benchmark_symbol": "QQQ", + "breadth_mode": "broad", + "breadth_symbols": [], + "exposures": { + "risk_on": 1.0, + "soft_defense": 0.6, + "hard_defense": 0.0 + }, + "breadth_thresholds": { + "soft": 0.55, + "hard": 0.35 + }, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": 5.0 +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json b/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a358007 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/configs/growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json @@ -0,0 +1,37 @@ +{ + "role": "default_research_spec", + "strategy": "growth_pullback_systematic_v1", + "status": "research_only", + "name": "tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth", + "family": "tech_heavy_pullback", + "universe": "tech_heavy", + "normalization": "universe_cross_sectional", + "min_adv20_usd": 50000000.0, + "leadership_filter": false, + "sector_whitelist": [ + "Information Technology", + "Communication" + ], + "symbol_whitelist": [], + "notes": "Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available", + "score_template": "balanced_pullback", + "holdings_count": 12, + "single_name_cap": 0.1, + "sector_cap": 0.4, + "hold_bonus": 0.05, + "regime": "qqq_breadth", + "benchmark_symbol": "QQQ", + "breadth_mode": "broad", + "breadth_symbols": [], + "exposures": { + "risk_on": 1.0, + "soft_defense": 0.6, + "hard_defense": 0.0 + }, + "breadth_thresholds": { + "soft": 0.55, + "hard": 0.35 + }, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": 5.0 +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json b/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8422a65 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json @@ -0,0 +1,29 @@ +{ + "role": "aggressive_alt_spec", + "strategy": "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1", + "status": "research_only", + "name": "v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10", + "universe_filter": "leadership_liquid", + "min_adv20_usd": 50000000.0, + "leadership_only": true, + "normalization": "universe_cross_sectional", + "holdings_count": 12, + "single_name_cap": 0.09, + "sector_cap": 0.35, + "hold_bonus": 0.1, + "regime": "qqq_breadth", + "benchmark_symbol": "QQQ", + "breadth_mode": "broad", + "breadth_symbols": [], + "exposures": { + "risk_on": 1.0, + "soft_defense": 0.6, + "hard_defense": 0.0 + }, + "breadth_thresholds": { + "soft": 0.55, + "hard": 0.35 + }, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": 5.0 +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json b/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..c674186 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json @@ -0,0 +1,29 @@ +{ + "role": "default_frozen_spec", + "strategy": "qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1", + "status": "research_only", + "name": "v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10", + "universe_filter": "liquid_50m", + "min_adv20_usd": 50000000.0, + "leadership_only": false, + "normalization": "universe_cross_sectional", + "holdings_count": 12, + "single_name_cap": 0.08, + "sector_cap": 0.3, + "hold_bonus": 0.1, + "regime": "qqq_breadth", + "benchmark_symbol": "QQQ", + "breadth_mode": "broad", + "breadth_symbols": [], + "exposures": { + "risk_on": 1.0, + "soft_defense": 0.6, + "hard_defense": 0.0 + }, + "breadth_thresholds": { + "soft": 0.55, + "hard": 0.35 + }, + "residual_proxy": "simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ", + "cost_assumption_bps_one_way": 5.0 +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_comparison.csv b/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_comparison.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..fbe9b05 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_comparison.csv @@ -0,0 +1,97 @@ +strategy,family,cost_bps_one_way,period,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,Average Stock Weight,Average BOXX Weight,Overlay Trigger Frequency,Average Days In Throttle,Average Days Trimmed,Days In Throttle Share,Days Trimmed Share,Degraded Signal Share,overlay_trigger_frequency,average_days_in_throttle,average_days_trimmed,days_in_throttle_share,days_trimmed_share,degraded_signal_share +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.755674795852736,0.23643994190919604,-0.3073638175128768,0.2306005629024522,1.037996928794197,1.252890217872731,0.7692510583139492,2.646607320717131,8.973605577689243,5.824493731918997,0.5432317915777534,0.20737436395782305,0.6852339287997956,0.12991408219883313,-0.1192167647234279,0.5287244523691539,0.5432317915777534,0.13407682197513507,0.21964532355387098,0.20737436395782305,0.6852339287997956,0.12991408219883313,0.07107281567945753,0.04720718337757644,0.2808467118290693,0.8089461713419257,0.5537867824409068,0.44621321755909316,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.490584101723596,0.34255260573229096,-0.1916510378578209,0.22312707697546538,1.4366767481429314,1.90186419207682,1.787376732008196,2.7982862903225807,9.661451612903226,6.101313320825516,0.5028003776079697,0.8806498475119708,1.0127533901187837,0.13569639149750395,-0.1192167647234279,0.5287244523691539,0.5028003776079697,0.2578776643495561,0.22244038155082352,0.8806498475119708,1.0127533901187837,0.13569639149750395,0.20246670398962638,0.1975763853448783,0.28084671182907006,1.0,0.5663849765258215,0.43361502347417846,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1192167647234279,-0.1205321032161123,-0.1473480842578787,0.11661193440173574,-1.0343300085975302,-0.8867766335682251,-0.8180092997012782,2.0741343490304707,4.0470914127423825,1.8804780876494025,0.14083841225936303,0.7547581257138813,0.0,0.19484548607001775,-0.1192167647234279,0.5287244523691539,0.14083841225936303,-0.07217515601224586,0.2958901730049101,0.7547581257138813,0.0,0.19484548607001775,,,,,0.15617529880478087,0.8438247011952191,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.9630455734406924,0.5287244523691539,-0.1916510378578209,0.2462100305377828,1.853836261461959,2.664054448256608,2.7587873161500736,3.028338607594937,11.404430379746836,7.401226993865031,0.7901980198293913,0.9646976412312489,1.23700641086397,0.03271628506705888,-0.1192167647234279,0.5287244523691539,0.7901980198293913,0.24387786264820507,0.19430260696204096,0.9646976412312489,1.23700641086397,0.03271628506705888,0.241942228237925,0.24999814279451354,0.2808467118290707,1.0,0.6928746928746928,0.30712530712530717,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.693458553595624,0.2348114426770309,-0.3083922411959321,0.2305812884853688,1.0323333759231557,1.2458270577949806,0.7614051565189903,2.646607320717131,8.973605577689243,5.824493731918997,0.5432164893760933,0.2013526473993671,0.6826953316939703,0.13191061485454292,-0.12012100392137592,0.5264192069255103,0.5432164893760933,0.13275387164986283,0.21962906242019783,0.2013526473993671,0.6826953316939703,0.13191061485454292,0.06958660268945491,0.04568150302746318,0.27949926080829407,0.8021228203184231,0.5537867824409068,0.44621321755909316,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4699698396640235,0.34068001857447316,-0.19176289938838953,0.22311874719721844,1.430439511465031,1.891864480185319,1.7765689800323283,2.7982862903225807,9.661451612903226,6.101313320825516,0.502780394656072,0.8743533417402809,1.0100573409414484,0.13783008037623837,-0.12012100392137592,0.5264192069255103,0.502780394656072,0.25647654397981495,0.2224369338760282,0.8743533417402809,1.0100573409414484,0.13783008037623837,0.20103876919333322,0.1963456327131466,0.27949926080829485,1.0,0.5663849765258215,0.43361502347417846,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12012100392137592,-0.12144561610226978,-0.1473480842578786,0.11662608635640283,-1.0430282844776455,-0.8809537193472543,-0.8242089926987033,2.0741343490304707,4.0470914127423825,1.8804780876494025,0.14083089480158717,0.7512593988800813,-0.0011209256904424034,0.19596225734213568,-0.12012100392137592,0.5264192069255103,0.14083089480158717,-0.07320682523754109,0.2958983662106398,0.7512593988800813,-0.0011209256904424034,0.19596225734213568,,,,,0.15617529880478087,0.8438247011952191,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.9436898199965196,0.5264192069255103,-0.1917628993883893,0.2461991646932531,1.8477484521857512,2.6536571286687494,2.7451566940449768,3.028338607594937,11.404430379746836,7.401226993865031,0.7901749477428144,0.9569249291851327,1.2339615835897864,0.036620453851144534,-0.12012100392137592,0.5264192069255103,0.7901749477428144,0.24236511174931172,0.1942935165504279,0.9569249291851327,1.2339615835897864,0.036620453851144534,0.2405474889681383,0.24865365123435113,0.2794992608082955,1.0,0.6928746928746928,0.30712530712530717,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.631902755489005,0.23318476742367977,-0.3094193013398555,0.23056312173396298,1.0266639438365857,1.2391118995393355,0.753620625519924,2.646607320717131,8.973605577689243,5.824493731918997,0.5432011871744332,0.1953290043535231,0.6801567345881429,0.13390714751025362,-0.12102455617753993,0.5241170176641934,0.5432011871744332,0.1314309213245906,0.21961396466426708,0.1953290043535231,0.6801567345881429,0.13390714751025362,0.06810038969945227,0.044155822677349896,0.27815180978751886,0.7983320697498104,0.5537867824409068,0.44621321755909316,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4494732873705534,0.33880967458732414,-0.19187476091895794,0.22311162654435113,1.4241940907729618,1.8841206762875846,1.7657855205376753,2.7982862903225807,9.661451612903226,6.101313320825516,0.5027604117041741,0.868051906770272,1.0073612917641117,0.13996376925497514,-0.12102455617753993,0.5241170176641934,0.5027604117041741,0.2550754236100738,0.22243469926481768,0.868051906770272,1.0073612917641117,0.13996376925497514,0.19961083439704008,0.19511488008141484,0.27815180978751963,1.0,0.5663849765258215,0.43361502347417846,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12102455617753993,-0.12235842396176622,-0.1473480842578787,0.11664255147301852,-1.0517035926754035,-0.8910594668568658,-0.8304039009263448,2.0741343490304707,4.0470914127423825,1.8804780876494025,0.14082337734381128,0.7477585605105919,-0.002241851380885222,0.19707902861425486,-0.12102455617753993,0.5241170176641934,0.14082337734381128,-0.07423849446283629,0.2959074716745159,0.7477585605105919,-0.002241851380885222,0.19707902861425486,,,,,0.15617529880478087,0.8438247011952191,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline,monthly_baseline,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.924425092434444,0.5241170176641934,-0.19187476091895794,0.24618939330643555,1.8416519182523061,2.64517705000437,2.7315578930444344,3.028338607594937,11.404430379746836,7.401226993865031,0.7901518756562376,0.9491447136879954,1.230916756315601,0.04052462263523456,-0.12102455617753993,0.5241170176641934,0.7901518756562376,0.2408523608504183,0.19428581316584353,0.9491447136879954,1.230916756315601,0.04052462263523456,0.23915274969835165,0.24730915967418887,0.2781518097875204,1.0,0.6928746928746928,0.30712530712530717,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.2372197926794044,0.1025731160156953,-0.31586363851445687,0.1412059434066132,0.7637098124808323,0.7922962415730113,0.32473860080289235,12.153778635458165,46.08067729083665,5.218900675024108,0.21177282920630977,-0.37406475405904693,0.34370354638811373,0.12559753096912685,-0.08519752265070979,0.26337152180621604,0.21177282920630977,0.06679585364802848,0.22983588084551132,-0.37406475405904693,0.34370354638811373,0.12559753096912685,0.025733130439692352,0.009080855443508505,0.16246074201042607,0.5504169825625473,0.3286058851905452,0.6713941148094549,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.9531249346162227,0.17087119932866623,-0.12581178992971032,0.13600537430036821,1.231992502109256,1.4172892664507384,1.3581493389779298,12.624689516129035,46.8933870967742,5.433395872420262,0.22861090260552594,0.19545299910070527,0.5894370398375502,0.15812540038769882,-0.08519752265070979,0.26337152180621604,0.22861090260552594,0.13905681840271084,0.2194297672762084,0.19545299910070527,0.5894370398375502,0.15812540038769882,0.118245667066601,0.11705701888283034,0.16246074201042646,1.0,0.3427230046948357,0.6572769953051644,0.5126760563380282,11.142857142857142,0.0,0.5126760563380282,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08519752265070979,-0.08615604282779388,-0.08275798164103698,0.03344726284676462,-2.655595246133043,-1.2744607604293277,-1.0410602230670147,3.3388504155124656,13.153047091412741,1.0199203187250996,0.024948957195034732,0.8110920959515007,0.0,0.1412107097081077,-0.08519752265070979,0.26337152180621604,0.024948957195034732,-0.08024142952424597,0.31453683813223643,0.8110920959515007,0.0,0.1412107097081077,,,,,0.039043824701195225,0.9609561752988047,0.2151394422310757,18.0,0.0,0.2151394422310757,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1350236613651865,0.26337152180621604,-0.12581178992970943,0.1540928840107982,1.5997906033189935,2.0450878820447307,2.0933771147629385,15.49615506329114,57.33037974683545,6.792638036809816,0.3896797262792222,-0.12478099188864035,0.7199555234213652,0.18757431518531922,-0.08519752265070979,0.26337152180621604,0.3896797262792222,0.14169647003715477,0.1801032970349548,-0.12478099188864035,0.7199555234213652,0.18757431518531922,0.14175068232934562,0.14716435711315418,0.16246074201042673,1.0,0.4363636363636364,0.5636363636363636,0.6044226044226044,10.695652173913043,0.0,0.6044226044226044,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.1280189419109559,0.09590252640359997,-0.32787373408584264,0.14115776497310048,0.7208351476053187,0.7508369911176643,0.2924983505342064,12.153778635458165,46.08067729083665,5.218900675024108,0.21171554104755286,-0.4005838747057591,0.33273380140824055,0.1356818584296043,-0.0867124302916098,0.2536337683418639,0.21171554104755286,0.06071807067737738,0.22982050518200464,-0.4005838747057591,0.33273380140824055,0.1356818584296043,0.01901924917370667,0.002704756666703507,0.1545752620863086,0.514783927217589,0.3286058851905452,0.6713941148094549,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.9015507081341021,0.16351082641541326,-0.1287409740665868,0.13598532472973165,1.1856065867005645,1.3650217890577951,1.2700760391236667,12.624689516129035,46.8933870967742,5.433395872420262,0.22848485096616056,0.16657969559582758,0.5781294197670245,0.16883889949989586,-0.0867124302916098,0.2536337683418639,0.22848485096616056,0.13274002849393285,0.219448722636451,0.16657969559582758,0.5781294197670245,0.16883889949989586,0.11098444232101416,0.10979176642103743,0.15457526208630892,1.0,0.3427230046948357,0.6572769953051644,0.5126760563380282,11.142857142857142,0.0,0.5126760563380282,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0867124302916098,-0.08768716432944801,-0.08404750575288933,0.03364798833400178,-2.688985891788944,-1.2557999858780573,-1.0433047779818685,3.3388504155124656,13.153047091412741,1.0199203187250996,0.025055184377043398,0.8058596192596384,0.0,0.1437955981158833,-0.0867124302916098,0.2536337683418639,0.025055184377043398,-0.08186146737431438,0.3145234772060118,0.8058596192596384,0.0,0.1437955981158833,,,,,0.039043824701195225,0.9609561752988047,0.2151394422310757,18.0,0.0,0.2151394422310757,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0820941521642098,0.2536337683418639,-0.12874097406658624,0.15406860185991403,1.5495939361399438,1.9820320105429368,1.9701091294422064,15.49615506329114,57.33037974683545,6.792638036809816,0.38945452022302934,-0.16791064869290748,0.7061440677843577,0.21243993617736606,-0.0867124302916098,0.2536337683418639,0.38945452022302934,0.13398447148563875,0.1801317841899935,-0.16791064869290748,0.7061440677843577,0.21243993617736606,0.13366244275664835,0.1390503827755835,0.15457526208630926,1.0,0.4363636363636364,0.5636363636363636,0.6044226044226044,10.695652173913043,0.0,0.6044226044226044,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.0241317242906463,0.0892712129720179,-0.33967492369773966,0.1411156016705968,0.6779023085137189,0.7067312436275585,0.2628136690227273,12.153778635458165,46.08067729083665,5.218900675024108,0.21165825288879575,-0.42709966251274145,0.3217713436304697,0.14575958101592815,-0.08822506165565314,0.24396946214198922,0.21165825288879575,0.05464028770672629,0.22980883217142808,-0.42709966251274145,0.3217713436304697,0.14575958101592815,0.012305367907720969,-0.004026216059229681,0.146689782162191,0.46019711902956784,0.3286058851905452,0.6713941148094549,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.8513301105504232,0.156195509848011,-0.1316609148803577,0.13597185801224093,1.1391518382414778,1.3123511290500725,1.186346836416474,12.624689516129035,46.8933870967742,5.433395872420262,0.22835879932679523,0.13770882053274788,0.5668288966111433,0.17954555602763994,-0.08822506165565314,0.24396946214198922,0.22835879932679523,0.12642323858515483,0.21947175648094708,0.13770882053274788,0.5668288966111433,0.17954555602763994,0.10372321757542728,0.1026505820573096,0.1466897821621914,1.0,0.3427230046948357,0.6572769953051644,0.5126760563380282,11.142857142857142,0.0,0.5126760563380282,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08822506165565314,-0.08921595535928994,-0.08538118085915092,0.03385469063819043,-2.721499971955254,-1.2724131825942648,-1.044913580036625,3.3388504155124656,13.153047091412741,1.0199203187250996,0.025161411559052053,0.8006247357264146,0.0,0.14637931056963427,-0.08822506165565314,0.24396946214198922,0.025161411559052053,-0.0834815052243828,0.3145108871209302,0.8006247357264146,0.0,0.14637931056963427,,,,,0.039043824701195225,0.9609561752988047,0.2151394422310757,18.0,0.0,0.2151394422310757,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0304683016536673,0.24396946214198922,-0.13166091488035792,0.15405120707920034,1.4993144090446449,1.918610049772458,1.8530135717474516,15.49615506329114,57.33037974683545,6.792638036809816,0.3892293141668364,-0.21101976977521736,0.6923412805250604,0.23728884883454013,-0.08822506165565314,0.24396946214198922,0.3892293141668364,0.1262724729341228,0.18016615912891687,-0.21101976977521736,0.6923412805250604,0.23728884883454013,0.12557420318395107,0.13093640843801282,0.14668978216219172,1.0,0.4363636363636364,0.5636363636363636,0.6044226044226044,10.695652173913043,0.0,0.6044226044226044,0.0,0.0,0.5016883743367101,11.685393258426966,0.0,0.5016883743367101,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.7617922854120796,0.131099998271472,-0.3292365686916914,0.17085393924993625,0.8080567756024044,0.9038455446183462,0.3981939150697401,11.458021040836654,48.26344621513944,5.2806171648987466,0.28222995226925657,-0.23984422070050299,0.4432538294263134,0.16591021878052098,-0.11061145454189325,0.3362668793967085,0.28222995226925657,0.08335960487243661,0.23245998336150306,-0.23984422070050299,0.4432538294263134,0.16591021878052098,0.04598145401490576,0.02265780659148421,0.20866795306714467,0.6974981046247157,0.4161601543656537,0.5838398456343463,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.277894203179022,0.21409047219104704,-0.13039721858816233,0.16416276726234486,1.2679864068210058,1.5022408863938697,1.6418331196711777,12.11510685483871,49.72112903225807,5.448405253283302,0.28584200616086053,0.3720704515360782,0.6979415131348906,0.14642665644018682,-0.11061145454189325,0.3362668793967085,0.28584200616086053,0.1725204073415026,0.22438428467401825,0.3720704515360782,0.6979415131348906,0.14642665644018682,0.15778430011107572,0.15621278109565154,0.2086679530671451,1.0,0.41333333333333333,0.5866666666666667,0.40469483568075115,8.450980392156863,0.0,0.40469483568075115,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11061145454189325,-0.11183798784179211,-0.10723730235597895,0.051528714749944166,-2.2573273339286577,-1.0168575781059466,-1.0429019136507274,5.767105263157895,20.235457063711912,1.0199203187250996,0.04187155237377074,0.7309098760779531,0.0,0.18393058081715732,-0.11061145454189325,0.3362668793967085,0.04187155237377074,-0.10191584376702127,0.3114249330448583,0.7309098760779531,0.0,0.18393058081715732,,,,,0.04860557768924303,0.9513944223107569,0.20717131474103587,17.333333333333332,0.0,0.20717131474103587,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.561191298012195,0.3362668793967085,-0.11857902372545626,0.18510304581974799,1.6644025508529814,2.201086741916657,2.8358040809583724,14.089865506329113,58.87151898734177,6.8122699386503065,0.4785662428342858,0.2061924217715589,0.8524860391281415,0.08113135222948628,-0.11061145454189325,0.3362668793967085,0.4785662428342858,0.17935653606501903,0.18961009998284448,0.2061924217715589,0.8524860391281415,0.08113135222948628,0.1792515636621189,0.1840981691937365,0.20866795306714553,1.0,0.5257985257985258,0.4742014742014742,0.4656019656019656,7.895833333333333,0.0,0.4656019656019656,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.6345761203039348,0.12465019810675959,-0.33703738428777563,0.17080524110100193,0.7746797566626024,0.8686527959402907,0.3698408660812784,11.458021040836654,48.26344621513944,5.2806171648987466,0.28212683622840484,-0.2645499507704816,0.43484304282308384,0.17907441306290792,-0.11314803607308,0.32690051926679065,0.28212683622840484,0.07763926955459219,0.23244950154307276,-0.2645499507704816,0.43484304282308384,0.17907441306290792,0.039995577228810426,0.017122951168250775,0.20145941614418,0.6679302501895376,0.4161601543656537,0.5838398456343463,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2201492422689504,0.2067666016795915,-0.13428241632319993,0.16414547878576682,1.2310985307962725,1.4595642346065933,1.5397891052387065,12.11510685483871,49.72112903225807,5.448405253283302,0.28580072556599784,0.3449918905532012,0.6887875125856062,0.15919380822164014,-0.11314803607308,0.32690051926679065,0.28580072556599784,0.16644865414353535,0.22438168725464305,0.3449918905532012,0.6887875125856062,0.15919380822164014,0.15145443712378262,0.15001163063369827,0.2014594161441805,1.0,0.41333333333333333,0.5866666666666667,0.40469483568075115,8.450980392156863,0.0,0.40469483568075115,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11314803607308,-0.11440084978879395,-0.10947085665486211,0.051620743018797585,-2.3087333482498784,-1.0426681682348453,-1.0450347543134246,5.767105263157895,20.235457063711912,1.0199203187250996,0.04185296298372632,0.7216723762643916,0.0,0.1883474622073918,-0.11314803607308,0.32690051926679065,0.04185296298372632,-0.10478359199717907,0.31144631834347103,0.7216723762643916,0.0,0.1883474622073918,,,,,0.04860557768924303,0.9513944223107569,0.20717131474103587,17.333333333333332,0.0,0.20717131474103587,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5034045506741407,0.32690051926679065,-0.12132277278912629,0.1850840597397995,1.6263895090008027,2.1514645371257415,2.6944695686685587,14.089865506329113,58.87151898734177,6.8122699386503065,0.4785674715664896,0.16893684173902457,0.8413050769363597,0.10843654114955549,-0.11314803607308,0.32690051926679065,0.4785674715664896,0.17228899695961264,0.1895913099188375,0.16893684173902457,0.8413050769363597,0.10843654114955549,0.17204685832170988,0.17682344112892823,0.20145941614418095,1.0,0.5257985257985258,0.4742014742014742,0.4656019656019656,7.895833333333333,0.0,0.4656019656019656,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.5132005096581183,0.11823612995918209,-0.34474873376285375,0.1707612791684014,0.7412631399390036,0.8321582674659442,0.3429632029932691,11.458021040836654,48.26344621513944,5.2806171648987466,0.2820237201875531,-0.2892535670934223,0.42643688090519916,0.19222813584834889,-0.11567785214283777,0.3175982761554743,0.2820237201875531,0.07191893423674772,0.23244250884062173,-0.2892535670934223,0.42643688090519916,0.19222813584834889,0.0340097004427151,0.011553200450873272,0.19425087922121545,0.6133434420015162,0.4161601543656537,0.5838398456343463,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1638587981961286,0.19948569334889177,-0.138150958153888,0.16413351769054746,1.1941641226186344,1.417331563084542,1.4439689453813433,12.11510685483871,49.72112903225807,5.448405253283302,0.2857594449711351,0.31790717957136616,0.6796389503181391,0.17195197632106457,-0.11567785214283777,0.3175982761554743,0.2857594449711351,0.16037690094556817,0.22438298802470927,0.31790717957136616,0.6796389503181391,0.17195197632106457,0.14512457413648955,0.14395071841912088,0.19425087922121592,1.0,0.41333333333333333,0.5866666666666667,0.40469483568075115,8.450980392156863,0.0,0.40469483568075115,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11567785214283777,-0.11695679022809213,-0.11174367077691161,0.05172221959721984,-2.3595252949501853,-1.0764767592537254,-1.0466524807618693,5.767105263157895,20.235457063711912,1.0199203187250996,0.04183437359368188,0.712432497642443,0.0,0.19276091001931306,-0.11567785214283777,0.3175982761554743,0.04183437359368188,-0.10765134022733688,0.31146929820068886,0.712432497642443,0.0,0.19276091001931306,,,,,0.04860557768924303,0.9513944223107569,0.20717131474103587,17.333333333333332,0.0,0.20717131474103587,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state,daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4469123649559879,0.3175982761554743,-0.12405847618081267,0.1850703370394122,1.5883234945021543,2.1025603741249124,2.5600691378199856,14.089865506329113,58.87151898734177,6.8122699386503065,0.47856870029869336,0.13167030744082678,0.8301307572199698,0.13572308351320234,-0.11567785214283777,0.3175982761554743,0.47856870029869336,0.16522145785420633,0.18957765813005265,0.13167030744082678,0.8301307572199698,0.13572308351320234,0.16484215298130087,0.16956905890768773,0.1942508792212163,1.0,0.5257985257985258,0.4742014742014742,0.4656019656019656,7.895833333333333,0.0,0.4656019656019656,0.0,0.0,0.3738543174143753,8.516483516483516,0.0,0.3738543174143753,0.0,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8591555033344247,0.17793398275681382,-0.2787519775284062,0.18355236094853794,0.9860091247781243,1.2028509579453717,0.6383236608202411,8.568883839641433,81.3687749003984,5.824493731918997,0.39600803073229174,-0.06010862747376926,0.5299673363844561,0.11611487331325794,-0.11069750242263143,0.40240590246982677,0.39600803073229174,0.10423245504869255,0.2134396437256291,-0.06010862747376926,0.5299673363844561,0.11611487331325794,0.054610693500244216,0.033399645965604186,0.22280573920355684,0.778620166793025,0.45144114809454894,0.548558851905451,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6641567183146204,0.25974052426568095,-0.14773457310882787,0.18184561110351924,1.3652629166692403,1.8000731911715824,1.7581566643465676,8.218125,84.3609677419355,6.101313320825516,0.3893281414030516,0.5816130670208826,0.8238087014777772,0.16017917055182532,-0.11069750242263143,0.40240590246982677,0.3893281414030516,0.19972976544506565,0.21250842033736758,0.5816130670208826,0.8238087014777772,0.16017917055182532,0.1602463267691035,0.15849968770006587,0.22280573920355745,1.0,0.46809859154929573,0.5319014084507042,0.6328638497652582,0.0,12.481481481481481,0.0,0.6328638497652582,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11069750242263143,-0.11192492863857828,-0.1095732236963034,0.07983469615900254,-1.4349906910321732,-1.1138590532634625,-1.0214624053481618,3.604440789473684,30.353185595567865,1.8804780876494025,0.09573202385945426,0.7662414299260258,0.0,0.18393052977975186,-0.11069750242263143,0.40240590246982677,0.09573202385945426,-0.08163590311178844,0.29935563484117267,0.7662414299260258,0.0,0.18393052977975186,,,,,0.11085657370517928,0.8891434262948208,0.199203187250996,0.0,10.0,0.0,0.199203187250996,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9957823412981477,0.40240590246982677,-0.14773457310882798,0.2026784738213246,1.7762593447305857,2.5554461185370583,2.7238438098940887,9.651384493670886,101.09873417721519,7.401226993865031,0.6221837604459748,0.5132356271285288,1.0062238793730525,0.1188274386472729,-0.11069750242263143,0.40240590246982677,0.6221837604459748,0.1926484379068281,0.1773448926078402,0.5132356271285288,1.0062238793730525,0.1188274386472729,0.1924505834859411,0.1984801931361846,0.22280573920355806,1.0,0.5782555282555282,0.42174447174447177,0.7665847665847666,0.0,12.73469387755102,0.0,0.7665847665847666,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.725492929119624,0.1729096583739771,-0.2844883120873767,0.18350947002859008,0.9628462364881463,1.1737479635508081,0.6077917827459648,8.568883839641433,81.3687749003984,5.824493731918997,0.395993490571647,-0.080233978133167,0.5220275872329675,0.12297975355609493,-0.11228282257136313,0.39566661947371173,0.395993490571647,0.099942372940587,0.2134066467112376,-0.080233978133167,0.5220275872329675,0.12297975355609493,0.04992144833023312,0.02883170397421681,0.2179373526480177,0.7475360121304018,0.45144114809454894,0.548558851905451,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6181683297748104,0.2545821485460795,-0.14809316190898314,0.18183122156128162,1.3427005635295697,1.7679183440651107,1.719067546836117,8.218125,84.3609677419355,6.101313320825516,0.38933023697969615,0.562249317732614,0.8163209475973974,0.16700518407988035,-0.11228282257136313,0.39566661947371173,0.38933023697969615,0.19560731844970441,0.21249556844444115,0.562249317732614,0.8163209475973974,0.16700518407988035,0.15576760026249856,0.1539420486311427,0.2179373526480183,1.0,0.46809859154929573,0.5319014084507042,0.6328638497652582,0.0,12.481481481481481,0.0,0.6328638497652582,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11228282257136313,-0.11352668187242476,-0.11092061232566064,0.07986000329970955,-1.4569294717712546,-1.1189256086482018,-1.0234949076832784,3.604440789473684,30.353185595567865,1.8804780876494025,0.09572122076244331,0.7602408654946119,-0.0008406942678320099,0.18635430735502095,-0.11228282257136313,0.39566661947371173,0.09572122076244331,-0.08342796535046593,0.2993661001576093,0.7602408654946119,-0.0008406942678320099,0.18635430735502095,,,,,0.11085657370517928,0.8891434262948208,0.199203187250996,0.0,10.0,0.0,0.199203187250996,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9493271014069933,0.39566661947371173,-0.1480931619089828,0.20266517399556222,1.752489464166117,2.518413788628168,2.6717413172451954,9.651384493670886,101.09873417721519,7.401226993865031,0.6222406301033815,0.486015092871506,0.9972642733994278,0.1333178590479311,-0.11228282257136313,0.39566661947371173,0.6222406301033815,0.1877921896279051,0.17731705767862907,0.486015092871506,0.9972642733994278,0.1333178590479311,0.18757984582003764,0.19364237581745358,0.21793735264801886,1.0,0.5782555282555282,0.42174447174447177,0.7665847665847666,0.0,12.73469387755102,0.0,0.7665847665847666,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.5964456217908185,0.16790620692582015,-0.29017974917795897,0.18346879871508268,0.9396611499692868,1.1452127783509543,0.5786282723087202,8.568883839641433,81.3687749003984,5.824493731918997,0.39597895041100245,-0.1003646539747913,0.514091126967402,0.1298419966944698,-0.11386555101195772,0.38895907438033883,0.39597895041100245,0.0956522908324814,0.2133755617186194,-0.1003646539747913,0.514091126967402,0.1298419966944698,0.04523220316022205,0.02439631295144452,0.21306896609247858,0.7247915087187263,0.45144114809454894,0.548558851905451,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.572969213945127,0.24944437190681823,-0.1484516365120584,0.18181878136081778,1.3201204854639945,1.7379561109383201,1.6803073227593313,8.218125,84.3609677419355,6.101313320825516,0.3893323325563408,0.5428789638735638,0.8088357737324428,0.17382875371833667,-0.11386555101195772,0.38895907438033883,0.3893323325563408,0.19148487145434318,0.21248438476033596,0.5428789638735638,0.8088357737324428,0.17382875371833667,0.15128887375589362,0.14953529919637715,0.2130689660924792,1.0,0.46809859154929573,0.5319014084507042,0.6328638497652582,0.0,12.481481481481481,0.0,0.6328638497652582,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11386555101195772,-0.11512578294001552,-0.11226614056553852,0.07988844892820335,-1.478796254297225,-1.1383257975577146,-1.025471993248112,3.604440789473684,30.353185595567865,1.8804780876494025,0.09571041766543242,0.7542386061871573,-0.001681388535663605,0.188777142137557,-0.11386555101195772,0.38895907438033883,0.09571041766543242,-0.08522002758914345,0.2993774047333651,0.7542386061871573,-0.001681388535663605,0.188777142137557,,,,,0.11085657370517928,0.8891434262948208,0.199203187250996,0.0,10.0,0.0,0.199203187250996,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9035878436770304,0.38895907438033883,-0.1484516365120585,0.20265373722002367,1.7287005710633174,2.4836171258765707,2.6201063425039726,9.651384493670886,101.09873417721519,7.401226993865031,0.6222974997607884,0.4587805091309141,0.988307818731592,0.1478032221104482,-0.11386555101195772,0.38895907438033883,0.6222974997607884,0.18293594134898217,0.17729134894857923,0.4587805091309141,0.988307818731592,0.1478032221104482,0.18270910815413427,0.1888045584987225,0.21306896609247972,1.0,0.5782555282555282,0.42174447174447177,0.7665847665847666,0.0,12.73469387755102,0.0,0.7665847665847666,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0,13.309278350515465,0.0,0.6227689339122046,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4127765941820316,0.16050573964031956,-0.3460179204006758,0.1729211527991757,0.9491792088753824,1.105373846344924,0.4638653959149281,9.273736304780876,54.08416334661354,4.254098360655738,0.30227438592708816,-0.12958495497002126,0.5134371592292039,0.16181721727736842,-0.11134035611397775,0.3449648190339363,0.30227438592708816,0.10554819543981096,0.22904436551133522,-0.12958495497002126,0.5134371592292039,0.16181721727736842,0.050246479671636333,0.043677131060418053,0.20332687972307345,0.8051554207733131,0.40575253256150506,0.5942474674384949,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3244443631265246,0.21989186872403388,-0.15101762370043226,0.17094743365510423,1.2521287743751375,1.6420564911049988,1.456067598840151,9.655560483870968,58.675645161290326,4.542213883677299,0.3189701074814119,0.4037626307063455,0.785805240732772,0.23481617547471714,-0.11134035611397775,0.3449648190339363,0.3189701074814119,0.17428239017351121,0.22136472895044537,0.4037626307063455,0.785805240732772,0.23481617547471714,0.12568382323952795,0.11985133614751736,0.20332687972307395,1.0,0.42197183098591545,0.5780281690140845,0.5812206572769953,0.0,12.38,0.0,0.5812206572769953,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11134035611397775,-0.11257445006727118,-0.10884658368445632,0.04350854779086327,-2.7013625265272596,-1.8177596599429477,-1.0342488138499768,4.578272160664819,24.28254847645429,0.8804780876494024,0.03915796303196399,0.7277717013180901,0.0,0.1860849341281486,-0.11134035611397775,0.3449648190339363,0.03915796303196399,-0.10406434197970199,0.31109807445212584,0.7277717013180901,0.0,0.1860849341281486,,,,,0.0701195219123506,0.9298804780876494,0.20318725099601595,0.0,17.0,0.0,0.20318725099601595,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6156744926122184,0.3449648190339363,-0.15101762370043192,0.1935568517960493,1.6334574237271997,2.357931026586889,2.2842686209804905,11.23490506329114,69.35126582278481,5.669938650306748,0.5406996803996645,0.2548906571486185,0.9598053484303172,0.31965852947229345,-0.11134035611397775,0.3449648190339363,0.5406996803996645,0.17072416897798315,0.18508744526787427,0.2548906571486185,0.9598053484303172,0.31965852947229345,0.16178523279984197,0.16888083742825113,0.20332687972307445,1.0,0.5304668304668304,0.4695331695331696,0.6977886977886978,0.0,12.085106382978724,0.0,0.6977886977886978,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.2849968645327543,0.15514786823402282,-0.35574433113232795,0.1728789584515248,0.922536451288821,1.0748320316207935,0.4361218286745143,9.273736304780876,54.08416334661354,4.254098360655738,0.3022708620023253,-0.1498896026425573,0.5054620639429733,0.17023503103792925,-0.1133523368605337,0.3374371316652527,0.3022708620023253,0.100902856245932,0.2290133896221354,-0.1498896026425573,0.5054620639429733,0.17023503103792925,0.04499999513407257,0.038372443880803846,0.1975825746502205,0.7717968157695224,0.40575253256150506,0.5942474674384949,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2773328178011463,0.21401995775553728,-0.15676811408550395,0.17095082329668232,1.2237729990207333,1.6034222776344993,1.3652008190824265,9.655560483870968,58.675645161290326,4.542213883677299,0.31904178696039204,0.38190981528257406,0.7778185704306844,0.24380463523772838,-0.1133523368605337,0.3374371316652527,0.31904178696039204,0.16943025506191642,0.22134965651454858,0.38190981528257406,0.7778185704306844,0.24380463523772838,0.12030915991238537,0.11423756785623745,0.19758257465022103,1.0,0.42197183098591545,0.5780281690140845,0.5812206572769953,0.0,12.38,0.0,0.5812206572769953,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1133523368605337,-0.11460726349574724,-0.11057422141154127,0.043577781006095266,-2.7491963051841597,-1.7996822411525921,-1.036473619553653,4.578272160664819,24.28254847645429,0.8804780876494024,0.039136096771442475,0.7204309037405687,-0.00028023142261080825,0.18949767255760852,-0.1133523368605337,0.3374371316652527,0.039136096771442475,-0.10634337662165168,0.3111150004987783,0.7204309037405687,-0.00028023142261080825,0.18949767255760852,,,,,0.0701195219123506,0.9298804780876494,0.20318725099601595,0.0,17.0,0.0,0.20318725099601595,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5684755201829597,0.3374371316652527,-0.15305463931703445,0.19356298569828473,1.604292580192141,2.3140714786441974,2.204684112621323,11.23490506329114,69.35126582278481,5.669938650306748,0.5408961807945313,0.22448738217107772,0.9501122486906467,0.3383544645653233,-0.1133523368605337,0.3374371316652527,0.5408961807945313,0.16503609764901228,0.18505203022369768,0.22448738217107772,0.9501122486906467,0.3383544645653233,0.15598810685238798,0.16313551634311077,0.19758257465022144,1.0,0.5304668304668304,0.4695331695331696,0.6977886977886978,0.0,12.085106382978724,0.0,0.6977886977886978,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.161984146697492,0.14981397206124036,-0.3653275804207773,0.1728401206153963,0.8958632874225188,1.0436281053685954,0.41008119860177955,9.273736304780876,54.08416334661354,4.254098360655738,0.3022673380775624,-0.17019785801405482,0.49749063461860665,0.1786487004092944,-0.11536012478836488,0.3299506003777424,0.3022673380775624,0.09625751705205307,0.22898495083546958,-0.17019785801405482,0.49749063461860665,0.1786487004092944,0.03975351059650884,0.03353093692345221,0.19183826957736752,0.7361637604245641,0.40575253256150506,0.5942474674384949,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2311698973911702,0.20817551660549038,-0.16343784188139288,0.17095753655979457,1.1953951077498697,1.5658155481273528,1.27372898595029,9.655560483870968,58.675645161290326,4.542213883677299,0.3191134664393721,0.3600498492113744,0.7698352644494426,0.25278836101854435,-0.11536012478836488,0.3299506003777424,0.3191134664393721,0.16457811995032165,0.22133715021013958,0.3600498492113744,0.7698352644494426,0.25278836101854435,0.1149344965852428,0.10875621995138764,0.1918382695773681,1.0,0.42197183098591545,0.5780281690140845,0.5812206572769953,0.0,12.38,0.0,0.5812206572769953,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11536012478836488,-0.11663578655561069,-0.11229881503057926,0.043655825832271504,-2.7963138057066246,-1.8386065300502343,-1.0386199224261667,4.578272160664819,24.28254847645429,0.8804780876494024,0.03911423051092098,0.713088038272689,-0.0005604628452212017,0.19290833907204843,-0.11536012478836488,0.3299506003777424,0.03911423051092098,-0.1086224112636013,0.3111331772859114,0.713088038272689,-0.0005604628452212017,0.19290833907204843,,,,,0.0701195219123506,0.9298804780876494,0.20318725099601595,0.0,17.0,0.0,0.20318725099601595,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2,daily_name_level_trim_overlay,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5221222329113324,0.3299506003777424,-0.15508707395922128,0.1935722846037572,1.5751038308805052,2.2708266240554162,2.1275183801875057,11.23490506329114,69.35126582278481,5.669938650306748,0.541092681189398,0.19406900145736158,0.9404232582301894,0.3570410309482214,-0.11536012478836488,0.3299506003777424,0.541092681189398,0.1593480263200415,0.1850199199088663,0.19406900145736158,0.9404232582301894,0.3570410309482214,0.15019098090493405,0.15739019525797032,0.19183826957736855,1.0,0.5304668304668304,0.4695331695331696,0.6977886977886978,0.0,12.085106382978724,0.0,0.6977886977886978,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0,13.275862068965518,0.0,0.557163531114327,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.04373173920548,0.24378388574639698,-0.3235799419986797,0.28526152647898456,0.9098551224514431,1.0945329127057937,0.7533961599739446,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6801541309901251,0.2665392309697734,0.8066245106891261,0.30104729303477074,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.6801541309901251,0.12772335895622017,0.24661583236132417,0.2665392309697734,0.8066245106891261,0.30104729303477074,0.10182479980279444,0.10110818590923959,0.16660196837634106,0.9537528430629265,0.6949469623915141,0.30505303760848607,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4241265156225213,0.33648495585783333,-0.3235799419986797,0.2990077864716931,1.1234625645574188,1.4857828333527416,1.0398819957116079,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7448226245602725,0.8439636864506453,1.203880097703161,0.39618534103871095,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.7448226245602725,0.24306746841844232,0.25031249889679685,0.8439636864506453,1.203880097703161,0.39618534103871095,0.16795208923829635,0.16825975262831355,0.1666019683763422,1.0,0.760187617260788,0.23981238273921204,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.013910946960355441,-0.014073560659338846,-0.16355701046128335,0.15759350625442667,-0.010459882275372874,-0.011985569790295612,-0.08604682012496365,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2086705250809754,1.1752877578811671,0.22977674250174376,0.10739922721558783,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.2086705250809754,0.07012188435212786,0.29124129277154304,1.1752877578811671,0.22977674250174376,0.10739922721558783,,,,,0.3236653386454183,0.6763346613545816,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.472431323588437,0.4677035721380778,-0.3235799419986798,0.3303172050131003,1.3317141308500173,1.863473896064528,1.4454034735564234,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1765343288364918,0.7234533633771638,1.4195748779460766,0.8989694487596004,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,1.1765343288364918,0.1234123370353804,0.23622569512403724,0.7234533633771638,1.4195748779460766,0.8989694487596004,0.14205258843975027,0.14262527742193776,0.16660196837634317,1.0,0.8946257668711658,0.10537423312883439,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.958779781250848,0.2416506149571933,-0.3237786750219297,0.2852530615979183,0.9038399819654638,1.0872431256196995,0.7463450609921305,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6801330207534284,0.25955563571558377,0.8033468281159323,0.30376034701997584,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.6801330207534284,0.12600391135785724,0.24661092436356044,0.25955563571558377,0.8033468281159323,0.30376034701997584,0.09996086685337359,0.09919066992931329,0.16463724862327053,0.9529946929492039,0.6949469623915141,0.30505303760848607,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3973026290745523,0.3340103912486361,-0.3237786750219295,0.29901336327568034,1.117223600509941,1.4774266208748699,1.0316009577406962,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7447973127793384,0.8364951757930531,1.2004463366937184,0.3993297368455899,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.7447973127793384,0.24121135573018188,0.2503246845893762,0.8364951757930531,1.2004463366937184,0.3993297368455899,0.1661333230983751,0.1664665539697199,0.16463724862327173,1.0,0.760187617260788,0.23981238273921204,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015312392803116026,-0.015491259822233205,-0.16355701046128357,0.15754305309699587,-0.019576278822279154,-0.02227001164696958,-0.09471474061883897,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20861764711692174,1.1703927562081802,0.22804636793803315,0.10897246341340376,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.20861764711692174,0.06866800025512383,0.2912326883131317,1.1703927562081802,0.22804636793803315,0.10897246341340376,,,,,0.3236653386454183,0.6763346613545816,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4501324117865915,0.46479200166957213,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303319113044961,1.3256314537040514,1.8549971219723533,1.435523823914876,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.176539030316217,0.7149705454525435,1.4157639376946995,0.9048492741606243,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,1.176539030316217,0.12142135459380353,0.23624547463737947,0.7149705454525435,1.4157639376946995,0.9048492741606243,0.14014937190421575,0.14070032621026934,0.16463724862327273,1.0,0.8946257668711658,0.10537423312883439,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.875003244911541,0.23952052509388677,-0.32397739398573544,0.2852459163836088,0.8978203307593642,1.0800622895998966,0.7393124629690451,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.680111910516732,0.25257019893658483,0.8000691455427394,0.3064734010051802,-0.01671219050656414,0.46188560931465883,0.680111910516732,0.12428446375949423,0.2466075429914995,0.25257019893658483,0.8000691455427394,0.3064734010051802,0.09809693390395276,0.09727315394938688,0.16267252887020017,0.9514783927217589,0.6949469623915141,0.30505303760848607,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3706832258676176,0.33153988252508837,-0.3239773939857352,0.29902022070636997,1.1109801111175581,1.469241797334172,1.0233426426650192,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.744772000998404,0.8290223281040099,1.1970125756842769,0.4024741326524688,-0.01671219050656414,0.46188560931465883,0.744772000998404,0.23935524304192152,0.25033839947699243,0.8290223281040099,1.1970125756842769,0.4024741326524688,0.16431455695845387,0.16472313789795268,0.16267252887020126,1.0,0.760187617260788,0.23981238273921204,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01671219050656414,-0.01690726801917164,-0.16355701046128357,0.15749478627456104,-0.028698117899699328,-0.03267511582400655,-0.10337232241826678,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20856476915286806,1.1654926994352466,0.22631599337432584,0.1105456996112206,-0.01671219050656414,0.46188560931465883,0.20856476915286806,0.06721411615811973,0.29122527470660187,1.1654926994352466,0.22631599337432584,0.1105456996112206,,,,,0.3236653386454183,0.6763346613545816,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_plus_current_default,reference,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.427972149480935,0.46188560931465883,-0.3239773939857348,0.3303478089893209,1.3195445592015334,1.8465055580295282,1.4256723397651516,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1765437317959422,0.7064841689407577,1.4119529974433225,0.9107290995616463,-0.01671219050656414,0.46188560931465883,1.1765437317959422,0.11943037215222664,0.23626691921637127,0.7064841689407577,1.4119529974433225,0.9107290995616463,0.13824615536868126,0.13877537499860104,0.1626725288702023,1.0,0.8946257668711658,0.10537423312883439,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.538178055078061,0.16559516064907287,-0.2730484175464801,0.201047263416303,0.8646969497235207,1.0403792239790637,0.6064681206983525,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.46519418006340646,-0.09477766471545218,0.5987937558678048,0.2902658221424805,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.46519418006340646,0.08368387257415473,0.21069216503991536,-0.09477766471545218,0.5987937558678048,0.2902658221424805,0.05767391280170744,0.0633881419611204,0.10933524453195709,0.9203942380591357,0.6883799421407907,0.31162005785920927,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.071043284702037,0.18715779728000648,-0.25408275519467394,0.21895931198687688,0.895998873842317,1.1636566229106875,0.7366017309463183,4.530278225806453,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.568973379311828,0.3557833694276506,0.8310305609345163,0.4092758641660046,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.568973379311828,0.12525372982915334,0.20101530263786468,0.3557833694276506,0.8310305609345163,0.4092758641660046,0.08054177432715479,0.07527554421448933,0.10933524453195788,1.0,0.7592870544090055,0.2407129455909944,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13824001776887718,-0.13974811002293708,-0.17144434318856605,0.11751977166385677,-1.211817355665259,-1.3557589284939886,-0.8151223156382167,3.3304189750692523,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.19685451034449458,0.7299178565958201,0.19385532100397534,0.30669306006973396,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.19685451034449458,-0.07470621386039022,0.27609714538354835,0.7299178565958201,0.19385532100397534,0.30669306006973396,,,,,0.3772908366533863,0.6227091633466137,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.403271592329042,0.3103099651215735,-0.25408275519467394,0.24139556176087082,1.2447110572520121,1.6850627853586875,1.2212948686101077,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8670852215551416,0.18374643945109892,0.9721196687988737,0.5878751844111613,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.8670852215551416,0.06723063075770802,0.17131166766613473,0.18374643945109892,0.9721196687988737,0.5878751844111613,0.07887835995601013,0.08266606547947547,0.1093352445319587,1.0,0.8769325153374231,0.12306748466257668,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.48139574393527,0.16331062031314847,-0.2761975873275607,0.20104565807249608,0.8549194866751278,1.0286443089448685,0.5912818496834578,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.46509728416371815,-0.10410185123771794,0.5952101767395332,0.2935293150493393,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.46509728416371815,0.08173554771441388,0.21071686760854394,-0.10410185123771794,0.5952101767395332,0.2935293150493393,0.05560241904317002,0.061383688686133156,0.10694868856131415,0.9143290371493555,0.6883799421407907,0.31162005785920927,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0512136613648755,0.18446943665750348,-0.2543933164893194,0.21897443101811265,0.8855596641926721,1.1503033015067359,0.7251347606266549,4.530278225806453,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.5689186675942325,0.34442519834026974,0.8269148961119414,0.4130457346026576,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.5689186675942325,0.12298817734755159,0.20104663844095214,0.34442519834026974,0.8269148961119414,0.4130457346026576,0.0783307308904554,0.07317108615787025,0.10694868856131505,1.0,0.7592870544090055,0.2407129455909944,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13965933707208145,-0.14118161178774558,-0.17144434318856616,0.11753290830641766,-1.22574087079287,-1.371223647029373,-0.8234836400082587,3.3304189750692523,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.19677678863251008,0.72384240720985,0.19246798433797377,0.3086799442114626,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.19677678863251008,-0.07638533596142204,0.2761317161601322,0.72384240720985,0.19246798433797377,0.3086799442114626,,,,,0.3772908366533863,0.6227091633466137,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3841877406842245,0.3070940420390593,-0.2543933164893192,0.24141291820070146,1.2344178357685558,1.6712222513704722,1.207162382553996,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.867060328825631,0.16933747654483186,0.9673998728653439,0.5947492801912847,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.867060328825631,0.06477401376500136,0.1713418475263807,0.16933747654483186,0.9673998728653439,0.5947492801912847,0.07656607452845322,0.08038505610822068,0.10694868856131576,1.0,0.8769325153374231,0.12306748466257668,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4255107388969237,0.16102998374874988,-0.2793339653037916,0.20104644171332384,0.8451318248703156,1.016809530923298,0.5764783511866185,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.4650003882640297,-0.11342262679570085,0.5916265976112632,0.2967928079561961,-0.14107668225508396,0.30388521352935904,0.4650003882640297,0.0797872228546731,0.21074384634782004,-0.11342262679570085,0.5916265976112632,0.2967928079561961,0.05353092528463263,0.0591667850573446,0.1045621325906713,0.9059893858984079,0.6883799421407907,0.31162005785920927,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0315690054025652,0.1817864928781896,-0.25470384402782886,0.21899205153725335,0.8751118997039555,1.1367292638139608,0.7137171155466647,4.530278225806453,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.5688639558766373,0.33306606099491587,0.8227992312893699,0.41681560503930837,-0.14107668225508396,0.30388521352935904,0.5688639558766373,0.12072262486594988,0.20108069480949847,0.33306606099491587,0.8227992312893699,0.41681560503930837,0.07611968745375604,0.07106662810125129,0.10456213259067215,1.0,0.7592870544090055,0.2407129455909944,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14107668225508396,-0.14261309192310723,-0.17144434318856594,0.11754955449653186,-1.2396242626072493,-1.386626796867187,-0.8318331726247266,3.3304189750692523,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.19669906692052558,0.7177646060653762,0.19108064767198296,0.3106668283531893,-0.14107668225508396,0.30388521352935904,0.19669906692052558,-0.07806445806245386,0.27616777703864004,0.7177646060653762,0.19108064767198296,0.3106668283531893,,,,,0.3772908366533863,0.6227091633466137,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,reference,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3652507312718014,0.30388521352935904,-0.25470384402782875,0.24143271338929312,1.22411372916108,1.6573915799624992,1.193092372395278,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8670354360961204,0.15493048581338154,0.962680076931816,0.6016233759714056,-0.14107668225508396,0.30388521352935904,0.8670354360961204,0.0623173967722947,0.17137545954120909,0.15493048581338154,0.962680076931816,0.6016233759714056,0.0742537891008964,0.07810404673696597,0.10456213259067296,1.0,0.8769325153374231,0.12306748466257668,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8940989094927496,0.17922225522379875,-0.35118728638273633,0.23884667368270415,0.8114572575548453,1.059346950780829,0.5103324128552763,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999999,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,0.9999999999999999,3.443312922489785e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.766030086342424e-16,-2.185751579730777e-16,-1.3934166320783703e-15,0.0310841546626232,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,0.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5097959077261791,0.10194829796246063,-0.3482798151717963,0.23373056745391127,0.5333893492689827,0.7611629151395939,0.2927195132229311,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.272038488226398e-16,-3.8250652645288596e-16,-4.371503159461554e-16,0.14469453376205788,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.32577023825060947,-0.3288918701272864,-0.3482798151717963,0.32086100164005615,-1.0719306296141868,-1.7749113081010497,-0.9443322747976468,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.239289917740781,0.28207594556341964,-0.2276830480055595,0.19848683306310633,1.3552023163154245,1.9271436406728801,1.2388974411328681,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0000000000000002,-5.814388344835019e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,4.098284211995207e-16,4.098284211995207e-16,3.8250652645288596e-16,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8940989094927496,0.17922225522379875,-0.35118728638273633,0.23884667368270415,0.8114572575548453,1.059346950780829,0.5103324128552763,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999999,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,0.9999999999999999,3.443312922489785e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.766030086342424e-16,-2.185751579730777e-16,-1.3934166320783703e-15,0.0310841546626232,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,5.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5097959077261791,0.10194829796246063,-0.3482798151717963,0.23373056745391127,0.5333893492689827,0.7611629151395939,0.2927195132229311,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.272038488226398e-16,-3.8250652645288596e-16,-4.371503159461554e-16,0.14469453376205788,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.32577023825060947,-0.3288918701272864,-0.3482798151717963,0.32086100164005615,-1.0719306296141868,-1.7749113081010497,-0.9443322747976468,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.239289917740781,0.28207594556341964,-0.2276830480055595,0.19848683306310633,1.3552023163154245,1.9271436406728801,1.2388974411328681,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0000000000000002,-5.814388344835019e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,4.098284211995207e-16,4.098284211995207e-16,3.8250652645288596e-16,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,10.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8940989094927496,0.17922225522379875,-0.35118728638273633,0.23884667368270415,0.8114572575548453,1.059346950780829,0.5103324128552763,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999999,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,0.9999999999999999,3.443312922489785e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.766030086342424e-16,-2.185751579730777e-16,-1.3934166320783703e-15,0.0310841546626232,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,10.0,OOS Sample,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5097959077261791,0.10194829796246063,-0.3482798151717963,0.23373056745391127,0.5333893492689827,0.7611629151395939,0.2927195132229311,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.272038488226398e-16,-3.8250652645288596e-16,-4.371503159461554e-16,0.14469453376205788,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,10.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.32577023825060947,-0.3288918701272864,-0.3482798151717963,0.32086100164005615,-1.0719306296141868,-1.7749113081010497,-0.9443322747976468,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +QQQ,reference,10.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.239289917740781,0.28207594556341964,-0.2276830480055595,0.19848683306310633,1.3552023163154245,1.9271436406728801,1.2388974411328681,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.32577023825060947,0.28207594556341964,1.0000000000000002,-5.814388344835019e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,4.098284211995207e-16,4.098284211995207e-16,3.8250652645288596e-16,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 diff --git a/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_recommendation.json b/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e9748ad --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,34 @@ +{ + "baseline_strategy": "cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline", + "overlay_has_incremental_value": false, + "best_overlay_family": "daily_name_level_trim_overlay", + "best_overlay_strategy": "daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2", + "recommended_upgrade_direction": "do_not_upgrade_overlay", + "next_step": "直接推进 paper 下单", + "answers": { + "Q1_incremental_value": false, + "Q2_increment_source": "主要是防守改善，但以明显牺牲 CAGR 和更高换手为代价，增量价值不成立", + "Q3_upgrade_candidate": false, + "Q4_best_overlay_type": "都不值得", + "Q5_complexity_risk": true, + "Q6_next_step": "直接推进 paper 下单" + }, + "notes": { + "portfolio_overlay_tested": [ + "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state", + "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state" + ], + "name_overlay_tested": [ + "daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2", + "daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2" + ], + "combo_tested": [], + "comparison_cost_bps": [ + 0.0, + 5.0, + 10.0 + ], + "baseline_non_rebalance_days": "no_op", + "mid_month_new_names_allowed": false + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_summary.md b/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_summary.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f4a648d --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_summary.md @@ -0,0 +1,67 @@ +# cash_buffer_branch daily overlay research + +## Baseline +- strategy=cash_buffer_branch_default +- family=tech_heavy_pullback +- monthly stock exposures={"risk_on": 0.8, "soft_defense": 0.6, "hard_defense": 0.0} +- holdings=8 +- single_name_cap=10% +- sector_cap=40% +- hold_bonus=0.10 +- benchmark=QQQ +- non-rebalance days=no-op baseline; overlay only changes exposure / existing-name weights / BOXX + +## Overlay families tested +- daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay +- daily_name_level_trim_overlay +- daily_portfolio_plus_name_overlay (only if A/B both showed value) + +## Baseline reference (5 bps, OOS) +| strategy | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Information Ratio vs QQQ | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | return_2022 | cagr_2023_plus | Turnover/Year | Average Stock Weight | Average BOXX Weight | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline | 0.340680 | -0.191763 | 0.874353 | 0.256477 | -0.120121 | 0.526419 | 2.798286 | 0.566385 | 0.433615 | + +## Family selection table (5 bps, OOS) +| strategy | family | overlay_selection_score | OOS CAGR | OOS MaxDD | Information Ratio vs QQQ | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | Turnover/Year | Average Stock Weight | Average BOXX Weight | Overlay Trigger Frequency | Average Days In Throttle | Average Days Trimmed | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline | monthly_baseline | 0.800000 | 0.340680 | -0.191763 | 0.874353 | 0.256477 | -0.120121 | 0.526419 | 2.798286 | 0.566385 | 0.433615 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2 | daily_name_level_trim_overlay | 0.770000 | 0.254582 | -0.148093 | 0.562249 | 0.195607 | -0.112283 | 0.395667 | 8.218125 | 0.468099 | 0.531901 | 0.632864 | 0.000000 | 12.481481 | +| daily_name_level_trim_overlay__50dma_zero_confirm2 | daily_name_level_trim_overlay | 0.550000 | 0.214020 | -0.156768 | 0.381910 | 0.169430 | -0.113352 | 0.337437 | 9.655560 | 0.421972 | 0.578028 | 0.581221 | 0.000000 | 12.380000 | +| daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state | daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay | 0.480000 | 0.206767 | -0.134282 | 0.344992 | 0.166449 | -0.113148 | 0.326901 | 12.115107 | 0.413333 | 0.586667 | 0.404695 | 8.450980 | 0.000000 | +| daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__held_breadth_5state | daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay | 0.400000 | 0.163511 | -0.128741 | 0.166580 | 0.132740 | -0.086712 | 0.253634 | 12.624690 | 0.342723 | 0.657277 | 0.512676 | 11.142857 | 0.000000 | + +## Best portfolio overlay +| strategy | family | cost_bps_one_way | period | Start | End | Total Return | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Volatility | Sharpe | Sortino | Calmar | Turnover/Year | Rebalances/Year | Average Names Held | Beta vs QQQ | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Up Capture vs QQQ | Down Capture vs QQQ | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | tracking_error_vs_qqq | information_ratio_vs_qqq | up_capture_vs_qqq | down_capture_vs_qqq | rolling_36m_alpha_mean | rolling_36m_alpha_median | rolling_36m_alpha_last | rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio | Average Stock Weight | Average BOXX Weight | Overlay Trigger Frequency | Average Days In Throttle | Average Days Trimmed | Days In Throttle Share | Days Trimmed Share | Degraded Signal Share | overlay_trigger_frequency | average_days_in_throttle | average_days_trimmed | days_in_throttle_share | days_trimmed_share | degraded_signal_share | full_cagr | full_max_drawdown | return_2022 | cagr_2023_plus | score_oos_rel_qqq | score_oos_cagr | score_oos_ir | score_oos_alpha | score_oos_maxdd | score_2022 | score_turnover | overlay_selection_score | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state | daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay | 5.000000 | OOS Sample | 2022-01-03 | 2026-04-02 | 1.220149 | 0.206767 | -0.134282 | 0.164145 | 1.231099 | 1.459564 | 1.539789 | 12.115107 | 49.721129 | 5.448405 | 0.285801 | 0.344992 | 0.688788 | 0.159194 | -0.113148 | 0.326901 | 0.285801 | 0.166449 | 0.224382 | 0.344992 | 0.688788 | 0.159194 | 0.151454 | 0.150012 | 0.201459 | 1.000000 | 0.413333 | 0.586667 | 0.404695 | 8.450980 | 0.000000 | 0.404695 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.373854 | 8.516484 | 0.000000 | 0.373854 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.124650 | -0.337037 | -0.113148 | 0.326901 | 0.400000 | 0.400000 | 0.400000 | 0.400000 | 0.800000 | 0.600000 | 0.400000 | 0.480000 | + +## Best name-level trim overlay +| strategy | family | cost_bps_one_way | period | Start | End | Total Return | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Volatility | Sharpe | Sortino | Calmar | Turnover/Year | Rebalances/Year | Average Names Held | Beta vs QQQ | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Up Capture vs QQQ | Down Capture vs QQQ | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | tracking_error_vs_qqq | information_ratio_vs_qqq | up_capture_vs_qqq | down_capture_vs_qqq | rolling_36m_alpha_mean | rolling_36m_alpha_median | rolling_36m_alpha_last | rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio | Average Stock Weight | Average BOXX Weight | Overlay Trigger Frequency | Average Days In Throttle | Average Days Trimmed | Days In Throttle Share | Days Trimmed Share | Degraded Signal Share | overlay_trigger_frequency | average_days_in_throttle | average_days_trimmed | days_in_throttle_share | days_trimmed_share | degraded_signal_share | full_cagr | full_max_drawdown | return_2022 | cagr_2023_plus | score_oos_rel_qqq | score_oos_cagr | score_oos_ir | score_oos_alpha | score_oos_maxdd | score_2022 | score_turnover | overlay_selection_score | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2 | daily_name_level_trim_overlay | 5.000000 | OOS Sample | 2022-01-03 | 2026-04-02 | 1.618168 | 0.254582 | -0.148093 | 0.181831 | 1.342701 | 1.767918 | 1.719068 | 8.218125 | 84.360968 | 6.101313 | 0.389330 | 0.562249 | 0.816321 | 0.167005 | -0.112283 | 0.395667 | 0.389330 | 0.195607 | 0.212496 | 0.562249 | 0.816321 | 0.167005 | 0.155768 | 0.153942 | 0.217937 | 1.000000 | 0.468099 | 0.531901 | 0.632864 | 0.000000 | 12.481481 | 0.000000 | 0.632864 | 0.000000 | 0.622769 | 0.000000 | 13.309278 | 0.000000 | 0.622769 | 0.000000 | 0.172910 | -0.284488 | -0.112283 | 0.395667 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.600000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.770000 | + +## Best combo overlay +_skipped because A/B did not both clear the incremental-value filter_ + +## 5 bps comparison set +| strategy | family | CAGR | cagr_minus_qqq | Max Drawdown | return_2022 | cagr_2023_plus | Turnover/Year | Average Names Held | Average Stock Weight | Average BOXX Weight | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Up Capture vs QQQ | Down Capture vs QQQ | Overlay Trigger Frequency | Average Days In Throttle | Average Days Trimmed | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2 | daily_name_level_trim_overlay | 0.254582 | 0.152634 | -0.148093 | -0.112283 | 0.395667 | 8.218125 | 6.101313 | 0.468099 | 0.531901 | 0.389330 | 0.195607 | 0.562249 | 0.816321 | 0.167005 | 0.632864 | 0.000000 | 12.481481 | +| daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay__qqq_dma_mom_6state | daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay | 0.206767 | 0.104818 | -0.134282 | -0.113148 | 0.326901 | 12.115107 | 5.448405 | 0.413333 | 0.586667 | 0.285801 | 0.166449 | 0.344992 | 0.688788 | 0.159194 | 0.404695 | 8.450980 | 0.000000 | +| cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline | monthly_baseline | 0.340680 | 0.238732 | -0.191763 | -0.120121 | 0.526419 | 2.798286 | 6.101313 | 0.566385 | 0.433615 | 0.502780 | 0.256477 | 0.874353 | 1.010057 | 0.137830 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | reference | 0.334010 | 0.232062 | -0.323779 | -0.015312 | 0.464792 | 3.706698 | 10.570356 | 0.760188 | 0.239812 | 0.744797 | 0.241211 | 0.836495 | 1.200446 | 0.399330 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive | reference | 0.184469 | 0.082521 | -0.254393 | -0.139659 | 0.307094 | 4.530278 | 24.000000 | 0.759287 | 0.240713 | 0.568919 | 0.122988 | 0.344425 | 0.826915 | 0.413046 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | reference | 0.101948 | 0.000000 | -0.348280 | -0.325770 | 0.282076 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | + +## Recommendation +- overlay_has_incremental_value=False +- best_overlay_family=daily_name_level_trim_overlay +- best_overlay_strategy=daily_name_level_trim_overlay__20dma_half_confirm2 +- recommended_upgrade_direction=do_not_upgrade_overlay +- next_step=直接推进 paper 下单 + +## Explicit caveats +- This stays research-only; no runtime / Cloud Run / paper config is changed here. +- Month-start still chooses the stock list. Overlay never adds names mid-month. +- Reduced stock exposure always parks in BOXX (no hidden new sleeve). +- Daily signals can degrade to monthly baseline when short lookback indicators are unavailable; degraded-signal share is reported explicitly. \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_ablations.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_ablations.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a4ea71a --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_ablations.csv @@ -0,0 +1,385 @@ +strategy,cost_bps_one_way,period,family,universe,normalization,normalization_label,min_adv20_usd,leadership_filter,sector_whitelist,symbol_whitelist,score_template,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,breadth_symbols,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,notes,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,annual_turnover,average_monthly_turnover,average_names_replaced_per_rebalance,median_holding_duration_days,top5_continuity,avg_sector_weights_json,Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy 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universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14070460471545088,-0.14223730640493681,-0.17226222180877016,0.1371009440169278,-1.0413755424943494,-1.0417485270948317,-0.8257022631627017,3.187084487534627,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.19999238193226576,0.7087152756475532,0.15686049445700714,0.28757501160993654,-0.14070460471545088,0.41941296742811307,0.19999238193226576,-0.0739880849604499,0.2838473541204768,0.7087152756475532,0.15686049445700714,0.28757501160993654,,,,,3.910794322709163,0.3225,3.3979591836734695,60.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14781144781144784, ""Industrials"": 0.09747474747474748, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919193, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0873737373737374, ""Financials"": 0.08013468013468014, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319864, ""Utilities"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Energy"": 0.03215488215488215, ""Communication"": 0.031818181818181815, ""Real Estate"": 0.01734006734006734}",-0.0739880849604499 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0.1432659932659933, ""Industrials"": 0.09343434343434341, ""Health Care"": 0.08922558922558924, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08703703703703707, ""Financials"": 0.07946127946127947, ""Materials"": 0.04797979797979797, ""Utilities"": 0.03855218855218855, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518518, ""Communication"": 0.03232323232323232, ""Energy"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.017508417508417508}",0.17528330389215008 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15446410851143488,-0.15613265061649162,-0.17226222180877016,0.1455911823779855,-1.0836124264272313,-1.1713599319392893,-0.9063661723219609,4.80592105263158,9.10595567867036,7.027888446215139,0.22059392624887356,0.6635301976377799,0.15686049445700714,0.3084093660629887,-0.15446410851143488,0.4055655683309076,0.22059392624887356,-0.08189322342743618,0.28058423268333726,0.6635301976377799,0.15686049445700714,0.3084093660629887,,,,,4.38776975431607,0.3618333333333334,3.5408163265306123,59.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1432659932659933, ""Industrials"": 0.09343434343434341, ""Health Care"": 0.08922558922558924, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08703703703703707, ""Financials"": 0.07946127946127947, ""Materials"": 0.04797979797979797, ""Utilities"": 0.03855218855218855, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518518, ""Communication"": 0.03232323232323232, ""Energy"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.017508417508417508}",-0.08189322342743618 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0177358263910428,0.4055655683309076,-0.3369997671154956,0.3161145606995232,1.2394810256135,1.6957385456424705,1.2034594913886494,5.214187763713082,12.329113924050633,11.38159509202454,1.0820590007646071,0.5282477097454312,1.2148667035376552,0.6170350309343416,-0.15446410851143488,0.4055655683309076,1.0820590007646071,0.10075516842156061,0.23252008509130148,0.5282477097454312,1.2148667035376552,0.6170350309343416,0.10502081203658423,0.11156998428360929,0.13017394499051393,1.0,4.38776975431607,0.3618333333333334,3.5408163265306123,59.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1432659932659933, ""Industrials"": 0.09343434343434341, ""Health Care"": 0.08922558922558924, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08703703703703707, ""Financials"": 0.07946127946127947, ""Materials"": 0.04797979797979797, ""Utilities"": 0.03855218855218855, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518518, ""Communication"": 0.03232323232323232, ""Energy"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.017508417508417508}",0.10075516842156061 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9796529766081905,0.18233403844951313,-0.33728283918927204,0.2556700274748504,0.7847453218184994,0.9499327293363762,0.540596844143598,4.38776975431607,9.82246015936255,9.112825458052074,0.5396020517400615,0.027655642991612744,0.626610835833228,0.22933923905556725,-0.15647128165503987,0.4019010536655201,0.5396020517400615,0.09605348445134794,0.24667538690993693,0.027655642991612744,0.626610835833228,0.22933923905556725,0.05615916857816148,0.05599456261110649,0.12763506770763974,0.8377558756633814,4.38776975431607,0.3618333333333334,3.5408163265306123,59.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1432659932659933, ""Industrials"": 0.09343434343434341, ""Health Care"": 0.08922558922558924, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08703703703703707, ""Financials"": 0.07946127946127947, ""Materials"": 0.04797979797979797, ""Utilities"": 0.03855218855218855, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518518, ""Communication"": 0.03232323232323232, ""Energy"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.017508417508417508}",0.09605348445134794 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5240782459522597,0.24380867764984093,-0.33728283918927193,0.2856851189087587,0.9095767242501009,1.1838807829046136,0.7228611993301669,5.105645161290324,11.546612903225807,10.356472795497186,0.6988209536787804,0.5523763629999962,1.018525615454537,0.42544399374882247,-0.15647128165503987,0.4019010536655201,0.6988209536787804,0.1727309242605434,0.2447300665125275,0.5523763629999962,1.018525615454537,0.42544399374882247,0.12250250880010782,0.12068993577132664,0.12763506770763888,1.0,4.38776975431607,0.3618333333333334,3.5408163265306123,59.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1432659932659933, ""Industrials"": 0.09343434343434341, ""Health Care"": 0.08922558922558924, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08703703703703707, ""Financials"": 0.07946127946127947, ""Materials"": 0.04797979797979797, ""Utilities"": 0.03855218855218855, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518518, ""Communication"": 0.03232323232323232, ""Energy"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.017508417508417508}",0.1727309242605434 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15647128165503987,-0.1581594180763305,-0.17226222180877016,0.1455913407257702,-1.09998902239703,-1.182896004549025,-0.9181317668821471,4.80592105263158,9.10595567867036,7.027888446215139,0.22049807575198724,0.6549497129605334,0.15543802590939215,0.3115530981506782,-0.15647128165503987,0.4019010536655201,0.22049807575198724,-0.08431065244912497,0.2806194820427385,0.6549497129605334,0.15543802590939215,0.3115530981506782,,,,,4.38776975431607,0.3618333333333334,3.5408163265306123,59.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1432659932659933, ""Industrials"": 0.09343434343434341, ""Health Care"": 0.08922558922558924, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08703703703703707, ""Financials"": 0.07946127946127947, ""Materials"": 0.04797979797979797, ""Utilities"": 0.03855218855218855, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518518, ""Communication"": 0.03232323232323232, ""Energy"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.017508417508417508}",-0.08431065244912497 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.992284899208422,0.4019010536655201,-0.33728283918927215,0.31613545094230133,1.2311262824963198,1.6843023677982474,1.1915846493452527,5.214187763713082,12.329113924050633,11.38159509202454,1.0820144417010136,0.5169200001971169,1.2096385415596003,0.6237309074183937,-0.15647128165503987,0.4019010536655201,1.0820144417010136,0.09815181693174001,0.23255603371921993,0.5169200001971169,1.2096385415596003,0.6237309074183937,0.10253715292844116,0.10912282597966627,0.12763506770763877,1.0,4.38776975431607,0.3618333333333334,3.5408163265306123,59.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1432659932659933, ""Industrials"": 0.09343434343434341, ""Health Care"": 0.08922558922558924, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08703703703703707, ""Financials"": 0.07946127946127947, ""Materials"": 0.04797979797979797, ""Utilities"": 0.03855218855218855, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518518, ""Communication"": 0.03232323232323232, ""Energy"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.017508417508417508}",0.09815181693174001 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1952418279756785,0.18992226385560063,-0.3360804548554839,0.24873393823486764,0.8254968635974587,0.9890302124331563,0.5651095180089186,3.76527639442231,9.82246015936255,12.459016393442623,0.6125510842023265,0.052006020109716715,0.6652818899751469,0.28275772009339095,-0.14457497900854,0.4006823261052199,0.6125510842023265,0.08660817647770296,0.2214204106358602,0.052006020109716715,0.6652818899751469,0.28275772009339095,0.05723374095311769,0.05475271024933403,0.13465339983219213,0.8172858225928734,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.08660817647770296 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5524629934688048,0.2470906588949111,-0.2979286760463037,0.26287459150592823,0.9746802336471982,1.2745522624371226,0.8293617860957722,4.170919354838711,11.075322580645162,13.778611632270168,0.6680212343707798,0.5839713025833521,0.9733808049833534,0.37921068297655663,-0.14457497900854,0.4006823261052199,0.6680212343707798,0.17293684137317877,0.22526661347890678,0.5839713025833521,0.9733808049833534,0.37921068297655663,0.1297869688050621,0.12900849512908708,0.13465339983219124,1.0,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.17293684137317877 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14457497900854,-0.14614615749890592,-0.16932952729960105,0.1288632490740302,-1.1516406472772456,-1.2094452703571812,-0.8630872584928679,3.085907202216067,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.2020142847821886,0.7003028020686006,0.1568254207930918,0.298069908051052,-0.14457497900854,0.4006823261052199,0.2020142847821886,-0.07892325625294214,0.2792168896340049,0.7003028020686006,0.1568254207930918,0.298069908051052,,,,,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",-0.07892325625294214 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9838535591470432,0.4006823261052199,-0.2979286760463037,0.2915634200501896,1.3061740342889316,1.8090819697747278,1.3448934537706145,4.515537974683545,12.329113924050633,15.587730061349694,1.0413208797887923,0.5434364622313468,1.154190134986218,0.5204788128673344,-0.14457497900854,0.4006823261052199,1.0413208797887923,0.10072787604371165,0.20580652735537022,0.5434364622313468,1.154190134986218,0.5204788128673344,0.10336574681936996,0.1087742345000971,0.13465339983219118,1.0,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.10072787604371165 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1307300514972844,0.18768823595798545,-0.3362700948230595,0.24872407220100792,0.8179454815651979,0.9799528527609718,0.5581472716351549,3.76527639442231,9.82246015936255,12.459016393442623,0.6125048529214872,0.043486521441735,0.6617727612408931,0.2857583714809766,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,0.6125048529214872,0.08473078187233722,0.22142123902263847,0.043486521441735,0.6617727612408931,0.2857583714809766,0.055237862442859276,0.05279403928849767,0.13241792622678883,0.8074298711144806,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.08473078187233722 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5299668874365095,0.24449186142520074,-0.2982238155399347,0.26288283333721785,0.9666913010933563,1.2640955272144694,0.8198267498608313,4.170919354838711,11.075322580645162,13.778611632270168,0.6679615296895837,0.5746225312247123,0.9695848791187635,0.38270355240361636,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,0.6679615296895837,0.17085216464673877,0.22529070927806208,0.5746225312247123,0.9695848791187635,0.38270355240361636,0.12776991080046018,0.12713647926499055,0.13241792622678794,1.0,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.17085216464673877 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14587933177797008,-0.14746343045372057,-0.16932952729960105,0.12886293138775642,-1.1635249148563287,-1.2153912238179276,-0.870866604338935,3.085907202216067,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20193633914769202,0.6947481962576268,0.15532814563826783,0.2998255855690623,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,0.20193633914769202,-0.08048114061266348,0.2792454813749823,0.6947481962576268,0.15532814563826783,0.2998255855690623,,,,,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",-0.08048114061266348 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9620719666027924,0.3975227898506668,-0.29822381553993427,0.2915744263615232,1.2983568736346864,1.7984327862600624,1.3329679560666599,4.515537974683545,12.329113924050633,15.587730061349694,1.0412859908421084,0.5323738194319559,1.1498852203833372,0.5269961770996029,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,1.0412859908421084,0.09847235283895461,0.2058287976512087,0.5323738194319559,1.1498852203833372,0.5269961770996029,0.10117724344832381,0.10657298450511435,0.13241792622678789,1.0,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.09847235283895461 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.659512640577389,0.1703708243980262,-0.2988480668235186,0.23662037147984138,0.7849659955073611,0.9505394810080035,0.5700917734182191,4.230630602589642,9.82246015936255,12.15043394406943,0.5163667508550359,-0.03470990350218786,0.5869979457206401,0.22893843014773996,-0.15549426820507062,0.37934394274507555,0.5163667508550359,0.08565989600322285,0.23264098381583578,-0.03470990350218786,0.5869979457206401,0.22893843014773996,0.04863141002627836,0.04767905971571178,0.12060366484808335,0.8104624715693708,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",0.08565989600322285 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3974510860182008,0.22881411784162742,-0.2979286760463037,0.2633205631691727,0.9171821074681947,1.2032563596092096,0.7680164288920797,4.8542903225806455,11.546612903225807,13.808630393996248,0.671633576734505,0.5195094703188647,0.93864385829147,0.39017137974125066,-0.15549426820507062,0.37934394274507555,0.671633576734505,0.15778073350598354,0.22491116173186457,0.5195094703188647,0.93864385829147,0.39017137974125066,0.1081256411789388,0.10772160494420603,0.12060366484808248,1.0,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",0.15778073350598354 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15549426820507062,-0.1571728739626922,-0.16932952729960105,0.13685158635704173,-1.1708154690960821,-1.3082723322724765,-0.9282071264783038,4.70474376731302,9.10595567867036,9.370517928286853,0.22313057390448213,0.6675525873294659,0.1568254207930918,0.3153261467040569,-0.15549426820507062,0.37934394274507555,0.22313057390448213,-0.08348430737321877,0.27520314500946597,0.6675525873294659,0.1568254207930918,0.3153261467040569,,,,,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",-0.08348430737321877 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8388807745835072,0.37934394274507555,-0.29792867604630335,0.29097451446228856,1.2552275823219048,1.7251788819583749,1.2732709982107222,4.916234177215189,12.329113924050633,15.175460122699386,1.0309330826611989,0.46506667935917984,1.1117614086804717,0.5204788128673344,-0.15549426820507062,0.37934394274507555,1.0309330826611989,0.08792875517716263,0.20695836336952458,0.46506667935917984,1.1117614086804717,0.5204788128673344,0.0896032660101508,0.09501236681768668,0.12060366484808242,1.0,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",0.08792875517716263 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.5963127622425586,0.16790097490400568,-0.30417230150107233,0.2366128059658704,0.776033458482219,0.9395269676295408,0.5519929792273139,4.230630602589642,9.82246015936255,12.15043394406943,0.5162378507405742,-0.043815966985740896,0.5831984299891535,0.23258438103692067,-0.15745823450098462,0.37595713541672393,0.5162378507405742,0.08356538731490992,0.2326648964140834,-0.043815966985740896,0.5831984299891535,0.23258438103692067,0.04630215154295175,0.045334456029951155,0.11822730962165728,0.7968157695223654,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",0.08356538731490992 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3728741338107588,0.2258340137205035,-0.2982238155399347,0.26333089411997584,0.9078995955095992,1.1908969849784823,0.7572635113383908,4.8542903225806455,11.546612903225807,13.808630393996248,0.6715611270323146,0.5086162881290546,0.9343980957422547,0.3944746885030605,-0.15745823450098462,0.37595713541672393,0.6715611270323146,0.1553548689585938,0.22494085297674388,0.5086162881290546,0.9343980957422547,0.3944746885030605,0.10575960098866283,0.1052177284800209,0.11822730962165647,1.0,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",0.1553548689585938 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15745823450098462,-0.15915598488539517,-0.16932952729960105,0.13686391050070157,-1.1877653987136125,-1.3171242311827642,-0.9399186746904133,4.70474376731302,9.10595567867036,9.370517928286853,0.22304007789525065,0.6589748922191472,0.15532814563826783,0.31835775903483193,-0.15745823450098462,0.37595713541672393,0.22304007789525065,-0.08584969556642105,0.27524312486817665,0.6589748922191472,0.15532814563826783,0.31835775903483193,,,,,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",-0.08584969556642105 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8163281999502616,0.37595713541672393,-0.2982238155399348,0.29098517978020694,1.2467072962590535,1.7133816781408477,1.2606542999795398,4.916234177215189,12.329113924050633,15.175460122699386,1.0308764244539206,0.45309533411585984,1.1069070503471579,0.5269961770996029,-0.15745823450098462,0.37595713541672393,1.0308764244539206,0.08547810608631229,0.20698414259843612,0.45309533411585984,1.1069070503471579,0.5269961770996029,0.08727357421822243,0.09267111642578216,0.11822730962165652,1.0,4.230630602589642,0.34887499999999994,4.459183673469388,60.0,0.5866666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13560606060606062, ""Industrials"": 0.09103535353535355, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08952020202020201, ""Health Care"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07803030303030303, ""Materials"": 0.0457070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.03825757575757576, ""Utilities"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03446969696969697, ""Energy"": 0.031186868686868686, ""Real Estate"": 0.0297979797979798}",0.08547810608631229 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6851259463401353,0.17136113032433897,-0.30750308291922457,0.2217878880971175,0.8260404019562235,0.9799330133495404,0.5572663815190185,3.562157619521912,9.82246015936255,18.688524590163933,0.5653376966797041,-0.051926394662520824,0.6370194186789542,0.3348721806049937,-0.11945002619926481,0.3267125964633275,0.5653376966797041,0.07363545719658943,0.20429177475301938,-0.051926394662520824,0.6370194186789542,0.3348721806049937,0.049405516550284134,0.04468731429498059,0.10723193025090527,0.8817285822592873,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.07363545719658943 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2033601011158197,0.20460991500634584,-0.28335623575059066,0.23275602254052963,0.9192590434520982,1.1861647080869286,0.7220942728306248,3.8940362903225805,11.075322580645162,20.66791744840525,0.6051746457287326,0.4322033238655713,0.8827399513844111,0.42020821976704653,-0.11945002619926481,0.3267125964633275,0.6051746457287326,0.1385163001616794,0.2066010211874334,0.4322033238655713,0.8827399513844111,0.42020821976704653,0.09003886755762126,0.08663713361753828,0.10723193025090448,1.0,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.1385163001616794 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11945002619926481,-0.12076775803007789,-0.15485774274100128,0.11880847272696779,-1.015221659844918,-1.0839906174053995,-0.7798625751123165,2.8835526315789464,7.0824099722991685,11.856573705179283,0.19386083500893053,0.8040164111750009,0.16378037239452922,0.261317954225849,-0.11945002619926481,0.3267125964633275,0.19386083500893053,-0.053940337366438044,0.2777599906916799,0.8040164111750009,0.16378037239452922,0.261317954225849,,,,,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",-0.053940337366438044 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5022544621805065,0.3267125964633275,-0.28335623575059043,0.2575536700088424,1.2308328289024206,1.67926709768355,1.1530100814541426,4.21501582278481,12.329113924050633,23.38159509202454,0.9352292270778689,0.26824677037880035,1.041938705434893,0.6968401682721213,-0.11945002619926481,0.3267125964633275,0.9352292270778689,0.0654383918547306,0.17899829584328758,0.26824677037880035,1.041938705434893,0.6968401682721213,0.0779600057503992,0.0816624430615594,0.10723193025090443,1.0,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.0654383918547306 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.631500080520756,0.1692807566389205,-0.30769675794141305,0.22177622513934345,0.8180370151635575,0.970473887092219,0.5501545020216052,3.562157619521912,9.82246015936255,18.688524590163933,0.5652927238752439,-0.06066194573606427,0.6336981406678496,0.337696930804064,-0.12070409546335337,0.3239184684517382,0.5652927238752439,0.07185957856530081,0.20429167177701768,-0.06066194573606427,0.6336981406678496,0.337696930804064,0.047518892984071075,0.04287416527907994,0.10513640947803268,0.8711144806671721,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.07185957856530081 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.185223961403096,0.20226603701887136,-0.28365595937584853,0.23276408915630376,0.9108357006832213,1.1753343260768832,0.713068174079381,3.8940362903225805,11.075322580645162,20.66791744840525,0.605111718630422,0.42269654328113015,0.8791324105865536,0.42336134934137665,-0.12070409546335337,0.3239184684517382,0.605111718630422,0.13657090884944442,0.20662674692230082,0.42269654328113015,0.8791324105865536,0.42336134934137665,0.08815681918809024,0.08469510445263613,0.10513640947803189,1.0,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.13657090884944442 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12070409546335337,-0.12203468184852162,-0.15485774274100117,0.11880396580071405,-1.0273025092535673,-1.0911811763801664,-0.7880437857900592,2.8835526315789464,7.0824099722991685,11.856573705179283,0.19379163331600574,0.7987974253434369,0.16225586004862813,0.2629227777202332,-0.12070409546335337,0.3239184684517382,0.19379163331600574,-0.05539481592392339,0.27778371155576553,0.7987974253434369,0.16225586004862813,0.2629227777202332,,,,,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",-0.05539481592392339 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4851974746255938,0.3239184684517382,-0.28365595937584864,0.2575649295662064,1.2225707164495816,1.6681475215023354,1.1419413474142495,4.21501582278481,12.329113924050633,23.38159509202454,0.9351807247735389,0.2563971473655581,1.0378699209956763,0.7026889376725844,-0.12070409546335337,0.3239184684517382,0.9351807247735389,0.06333726670060894,0.17902517034905124,0.2563971473655581,1.0378699209956763,0.7026889376725844,0.07591195748596756,0.0795914576873602,0.10513640947803186,1.0,3.562157619521912,0.29375,5.948979591836735,61.0,0.5922077922077923,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10850168350168349, ""Industrials"": 0.09528619528619527, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Financials"": 0.08535353535353536, ""Health Care"": 0.08047138047138047, ""Materials"": 0.04856902356902356, ""Communication"": 0.04351851851851851, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042929292929292935, ""Real Estate"": 0.040993265993266, ""Utilities"": 0.03872053872053872, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.06333726670060894 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.1264828137994893,0.14824071373887304,-0.28335623575059066,0.20957529654168436,0.7661148132760179,0.9172572057176339,0.5231602309587219,4.041154133466135,9.82246015936255,18.225650916104147,0.4709664388179318,-0.15301349048413154,0.5612109717162559,0.3002955872030911,-0.13792983327331032,0.3037103466376121,0.4709664388179318,0.06927890087824391,0.21733477402796164,-0.15301349048413154,0.5612109717162559,0.3002955872030911,0.036943808581101766,0.031235627351983868,0.09095003276831211,0.869598180439727,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",0.06927890087824391 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0381250367522306,0.18268407057811298,-0.28335623575059066,0.23315168998446303,0.8390012001618903,1.0876979964020868,0.6447151942649004,4.583298387096773,11.546612903225807,20.712945590994373,0.6087094536933177,0.34420680639469986,0.8430394936759767,0.4406408086105476,-0.13792983327331032,0.3037103466376121,0.6087094536933177,0.11972708674398574,0.20611189503409433,0.34420680639469986,0.8430394936759767,0.4406408086105476,0.06544368418129971,0.05970148261646949,0.09095003276831132,0.9807073954983923,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",0.11972708674398574 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13792983327331032,-0.13943482232505156,-0.15485774274100128,0.12637560418590252,-1.115479456213708,-1.291846853013456,-0.9004058812755363,4.527683518005539,9.10595567867036,14.055776892430279,0.21502075160808265,0.7428859431039057,0.16378037239452922,0.29348649578407576,-0.13792983327331032,0.3037103466376121,0.21502075160808265,-0.06701503987654564,0.2732197821450494,0.7428859431039057,0.16378037239452922,0.29348649578407576,,,,,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",-0.06701503987654564 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3642217483190024,0.3037103466376121,-0.2833562357505903,0.2569074967130547,1.164910112420339,1.576192136804042,1.0718322320774243,4.615712025316456,12.329113924050633,22.76319018404908,0.9245727960809965,0.16786436965001605,0.9934474010820666,0.6968401682721213,-0.13792983327331032,0.3037103466376121,0.9245727960809965,0.050573491696971486,0.18040959765827455,0.16786436965001605,0.9934474010820666,0.6968401682721213,0.06197144748261111,0.06562023405656814,0.09095003276831126,1.0,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",0.050573491696971486 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.074889608156306,0.14592611972164193,-0.28365595937584853,0.2095663010227343,0.7564869559069508,0.9056619229233634,0.5144475724844109,4.041154133466135,9.82246015936255,18.225650916104147,0.47083903346019684,-0.16231042033158996,0.5575885830111075,0.30377228665221995,-0.13985934427413615,0.3007047087954413,0.47083903346019684,0.06727902775050089,0.21735954081971276,-0.16231042033158996,0.5575885830111075,0.30377228665221995,0.03471454822007766,0.028943162538792932,0.08870894843664294,0.8476118271417741,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",0.06727902775050089 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0183921335260755,0.1799757465398828,-0.28365595937584853,0.23316151331935475,0.829105871117301,1.0748034539815738,0.6344860405397376,4.583298387096773,11.546612903225807,20.712945590994373,0.6086343985659182,0.333002735412886,0.8389852639028148,0.44461594682963085,-0.13985934427413615,0.3007047087954413,0.6086343985659182,0.11743747571891415,0.20614289837429123,0.333002735412886,0.8389852639028148,0.44461594682963085,0.063208474328621,0.05748594813115217,0.0887089484366422,0.9710610932475884,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",0.11743747571891415 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13985934427413615,-0.1413836153125385,-0.15485774274100117,0.12639073782468835,-1.133119459886751,-1.3003595208588632,-0.9129902890874623,4.527683518005539,9.10595567867036,14.055776892430279,0.2149386835409894,0.7345619842565958,0.16225586004862813,0.29638546851488307,-0.13985934427413615,0.3007047087954413,0.2149386835409894,-0.06928968075332005,0.27325770390089016,0.7345619842565958,0.16225586004862813,0.29638546851488307,,,,,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",-0.06928968075332005 +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.346583805904125,0.3007047087954413,-0.283655959375849,0.25691697459126295,1.1558558478895387,1.563928757177492,1.0601036179782934,4.615712025316456,12.329113924050633,22.76319018404908,0.924503715442217,0.1550070519567724,0.9888330176169746,0.7026889376725844,-0.13985934427413615,0.3007047087954413,0.924503715442217,0.048276920309774055,0.18043817789197128,0.1550070519567724,0.9888330176169746,0.7026889376725844,0.05977754319503612,0.06340434686522045,0.08870894843664215,1.0,4.041154133466135,0.33324999999999994,6.255102040816326,61.0,0.5786666666666668,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10614478114478113, ""Industrials"": 0.09250841750841751, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08771043771043771, ""Financials"": 0.08249158249158249, ""Health Care"": 0.07895622895622896, ""Materials"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Communication"": 0.04284511784511784, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171718, ""Real Estate"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.038215488215488216, ""Energy"": 0.03712121212121212}",0.048276920309774055 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8922108716455037,0.17915290830401287,-0.3594838015592028,0.26143608469651314,0.7629728660847513,0.9219018026719433,0.49836156045687213,4.371601095617529,9.701195219123505,9.344262295081966,0.6053805180429548,0.023826548082928396,0.7074827979898906,0.3926023720961413,-0.18178969348640528,0.4026907932877555,0.6053805180429548,0.08213748476544987,0.2373296905744016,0.023826548082928396,0.7074827979898906,0.3926023720961413,0.04378618174342107,0.034248371693382434,0.1324307339446202,0.7407126611068992,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",0.08213748476544987 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.452795860071646,0.23544047242670296,-0.3513735141920843,0.2819027272104378,0.893993233859906,1.1620480471072467,0.6700575396755586,4.830725806451614,11.075322580645162,10.333958724202626,0.6700684753447476,0.5161001555181128,1.069987533151594,0.5262367350082812,-0.18178969348640528,0.4026907932877555,0.6700684753447476,0.16848207547059682,0.24675384962410568,0.5161001555181128,1.069987533151594,0.5262367350082812,0.1305355644445034,0.1311139114934488,0.1324307339446193,1.0,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",0.16848207547059682 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.18178969348640528,-0.18372007191307016,-0.17908505005665987,0.13424796697340832,-1.4324339516009905,-1.402733139093225,-1.0258816794307724,3.338850415512466,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20918364577272006,0.5432944904135616,0.09764262055371961,0.3387898399225196,-0.18178969348640528,0.4026907932877555,0.20918364577272006,-0.1203546127166813,0.2791104688506783,0.5432944904135616,0.09764262055371961,0.3387898399225196,,,,,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.1203546127166813 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9977572276289668,0.4026907932877555,-0.3513735141920846,0.3131734715017961,1.2416726489578216,1.7143556601147825,1.1460476587532928,5.301518987341773,12.329113924050633,11.69079754601227,1.0385093026850354,0.5081470340238354,1.2852932375562705,0.8525864937690266,-0.18178969348640528,0.4026907932877555,1.0385093026850354,0.10951052692439033,0.23589459040199004,0.5081470340238354,1.2852932375562705,0.8525864937690266,0.10708099554845302,0.10976430361222242,0.1324307339446193,1.0,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",0.10951052692439033 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8228656888273673,0.17658517543072327,-0.36072283506102176,0.2614175902742386,0.7546490001438005,0.9118059096858002,0.4895314581369688,4.371601095617529,9.701195219123505,9.344262295081966,0.6053199331977192,0.01459874812152128,0.7034770688735386,0.39617803392313156,-0.18313789686379034,0.3989791899042703,0.6053199331977192,0.07995911123165568,0.23732388124783335,0.01459874812152128,0.7034770688735386,0.39617803392313156,0.04145534660264805,0.03191793085135744,0.12978675191638717,0.730098559514784,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",0.07995911123165568 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4277946790415812,0.2324614199304198,-0.35171079807096717,0.28190493472798195,0.8853908643016541,1.1510598753797054,0.6609447910197924,4.830725806451614,11.075322580645162,10.333958724202626,0.6700075909607933,0.506247513445039,1.0655928621212873,0.5302666085933083,-0.18313789686379034,0.3989791899042703,0.6700075909607933,0.1660665889689979,0.24676985056674208,0.506247513445039,1.0655928621212873,0.5302666085933083,0.12818131327413237,0.12877385956182114,0.12978675191638633,1.0,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",0.1660665889689979 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.18313789686379034,-0.18508091606270982,-0.17908505005665964,0.13423103319278376,-1.4449558713649606,-1.41263132801161,-1.0334805501863678,3.338850415512466,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20909458457392283,0.5373117403204896,0.0963143176280352,0.34080440098612597,-0.18313789686379034,0.3989791899042703,0.20909458457392283,-0.12204181817740056,0.2791351742075845,0.5373117403204896,0.0963143176280352,0.34080440098612597,,,,,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.12204181817740056 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9720985582761732,0.3989791899042703,-0.3517107980709675,0.31318004282959727,1.2331558210073768,1.7028097811372094,1.1343956230305021,5.301518987341773,12.329113924050633,11.69079754601227,1.0384851263736679,0.49684757333555274,1.2802195826220262,0.8601250771403228,-0.18313789686379034,0.3989791899042703,1.0384851263736679,0.10685788900119458,0.23590735195477125,0.49684757333555274,1.2802195826220262,0.8601250771403228,0.10451719108141161,0.10717310761131513,0.12978675191638633,1.0,4.371601095617529,0.36050000000000004,3.9285714285714284,59.0,0.5168831168831168,"{""Information Technology"": 0.146969696969697, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09461279461279462, ""Health Care"": 0.09276094276094278, ""Industrials"": 0.08585858585858586, ""Financials"": 0.07441077441077441, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Energy"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Communication"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Utilities"": 0.03535353535353535, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03249158249158249, ""Real Estate"": 0.019528619528619527}",0.10685788900119458 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.3641070056733153,0.1584861204609107,-0.3513735141920846,0.2515589832358161,0.712255366956091,0.8632279122641379,0.45104742975667605,4.808154880478088,9.82246015936255,9.112825458052074,0.5241620839666813,-0.059506303341666365,0.6335740638035955,0.34951932551071113,-0.20141279482265384,0.3869349343399713,0.5241620839666813,0.07758434261662019,0.24601856974904535,-0.059506303341666365,0.6335740638035955,0.34951932551071113,0.03143345494098934,0.027747987766835572,0.12243860592101155,0.620166793025019,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",0.07758434261662019 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3078228388151723,0.2178306607954248,-0.3513735141920843,0.2828191364898626,0.8410487193832034,1.0991941803970875,0.6199404678986248,5.502314516129034,11.546612903225807,10.356472795497186,0.6764481761020715,0.4594152965955734,1.0445957223535163,0.5476532110639795,-0.20141279482265384,0.3869349343399713,0.6764481761020715,0.1535322636390689,0.2463897977137159,0.4594152965955734,1.0445957223535163,0.5476532110639795,0.11001427938256007,0.11105191205122442,0.12243860592101057,1.0,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",0.1535322636390689 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.20141279482265384,-0.20352453329305376,-0.1951714455167297,0.14486526595804458,-1.4852690554847658,-1.567420359946467,-1.0427987186046026,4.957686980609419,9.10595567867036,7.027888446215139,0.23447087217458948,0.4681723337506961,0.09764262055371961,0.3725073881639715,-0.20141279482265384,0.3869349343399713,0.23447087217458948,-0.13451986168870725,0.2750624497515862,0.4681723337506961,0.09764262055371961,0.3725073881639715,,,,,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",-0.13451986168870725 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.889882061537238,0.3869349343399713,-0.3513735141920845,0.3127768654758448,1.2065673529524807,1.6551330578655024,1.1012068887140039,5.686803797468356,12.329113924050633,11.38159509202454,1.029563557151588,0.4576388998012644,1.2542789345343337,0.8525864937690266,-0.20141279482265384,0.3869349343399713,1.029563557151588,0.10044426190282307,0.23686045308019854,0.4576388998012644,1.2542789345343337,0.8525864937690266,0.09733775945636128,0.10011453959973396,0.12243860592101068,1.0,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",0.10044426190282307 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.2982023369412814,0.15570998431291416,-0.3517107980709675,0.25154351665924474,0.7027229909716661,0.8515351540523083,0.4427216484877309,4.808154880478088,9.82246015936255,9.112825458052074,0.5240232158652749,-0.06929291447000234,0.6293064643898638,0.35371909133783563,-0.20336870976688148,0.38299959468260947,0.5240232158652749,0.07520243365435483,0.24603495608431722,-0.06929291447000234,0.6293064643898638,0.35371909133783563,0.02878941032071101,0.025125666808627968,0.11966216505414598,0.5974222896133434,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",0.07520243365435483 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.281044910571362,0.21448597962529536,-0.3517107980709674,0.2828224355662884,0.8312803345190637,1.0867180743703617,0.6098362086171062,5.502314516129034,11.546612903225807,10.356472795497186,0.6763744097623503,0.4481771253176952,1.039766352752212,0.5524881129607612,-0.20336870976688148,0.38299959468260947,0.6763744097623503,0.1507815163318152,0.24640993937757324,0.4481771253176952,1.039766352752212,0.5524881129607612,0.10731945360982663,0.10825964113483609,0.119662165054145,1.0,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",0.1507815163318152 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.20336870976688148,-0.20549821345808406,-0.19683910764694812,0.14486519257786798,-1.502249462590901,-1.5813023486921627,-1.043990779650693,4.957686980609419,9.10595567867036,7.027888446215139,0.2343692606010574,0.4591663611443492,0.0963143176280352,0.3757893650651194,-0.20336870976688148,0.38299959468260947,0.2343692606010574,-0.13701457098290745,0.27510044018990737,0.4591663611443492,0.0963143176280352,0.3757893650651194,,,,,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",-0.13701457098290745 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8633634386917706,0.38299959468260947,-0.3517107980709674,0.31278147252300026,1.1974301386294104,1.642818435434194,1.088961717363391,5.686803797468356,12.329113924050633,11.38159509202454,1.0295172508511736,0.44557046462993904,1.2486743260059825,0.8601250771403228,-0.20336870976688148,0.38299959468260947,1.0295172508511736,0.09760432518715711,0.23687423851953954,0.44557046462993904,1.2486743260059825,0.8601250771403228,0.09464120573196151,0.09739211316151807,0.11966216505414505,1.0,4.808154880478088,0.3965000000000001,4.051020408163265,33.0,0.49866666666666676,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0947811447811448, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228957, ""Industrials"": 0.08282828282828282, ""Financials"": 0.07205387205387205, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464645, ""Energy"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Communication"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Utilities"": 0.03434343434343434, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.030976430976430974, ""Real Estate"": 0.01835016835016835}",0.09760432518715711 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.421751994545664,0.16087542072029204,-0.330830582570553,0.24175030147788992,0.7397635125907357,0.8919105320188215,0.48627735522602034,4.142713520916335,9.82246015936255,12.459016393442623,0.5863805052916221,-0.06794046861902969,0.6297496873249803,0.35087078797034743,-0.1637569038758907,0.38443056237311723,0.5863805052916221,0.06518936452865709,0.22042590621091368,-0.06794046861902969,0.6297496873249803,0.35087078797034743,0.02146588905215662,0.0107982758704879,0.12896181789364033,0.5655799848369977,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",0.06518936452865709 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4025151871374226,0.22942526674138652,-0.3068842645971712,0.25627090833668575,0.9372624973297135,1.226607487381252,0.7475954071563085,4.571516129032258,11.075322580645162,13.778611632270168,0.6363849358773987,0.5126879114217743,0.9535534256092623,0.4126553528788568,-0.1637569038758907,0.38443056237311723,0.6363849358773987,0.1608553639632854,0.22532944194673213,0.5126879114217743,0.9535534256092623,0.4126553528788568,0.1152343635383082,0.1147263418495612,0.12896181789363956,1.0,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",0.1608553639632854 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1637569038758907,-0.16551568554779217,-0.1719334073607912,0.1269863495248243,-1.3497127005470693,-1.4061596605470719,-0.9626732121958599,3.237673130193906,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.2000357960208813,0.6182508619693717,0.13761174587821653,0.3261153714759579,-0.1637569038758907,0.38443056237311723,0.2000357960208813,-0.10259467189363464,0.27908644796717047,0.6182508619693717,0.13761174587821653,0.3261153714759579,,,,,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",-0.10259467189363464 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8729865732498134,0.38443056237311723,-0.30688426459717144,0.28401396957952146,1.2920215771405932,1.7890645868670527,1.2526890646470132,4.993291139240506,12.329113924050633,15.587730061349694,0.9854017553048052,0.47565128670296275,1.1342268634310952,0.5633236370404798,-0.1637569038758907,0.38443056237311723,0.9854017553048052,0.10188915830242015,0.2059541982892958,0.47565128670296275,1.1342268634310952,0.5633236370404798,0.1036230839806722,0.10797165765541346,0.1289618178936396,1.0,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",0.10188915830242015 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.3639524301679136,0.15847966531990187,-0.3320366427739381,0.24173118843563404,0.731236243601841,0.8815103671835752,0.4772957104851836,4.142713520916335,9.82246015936255,12.459016393442623,0.5863179085999836,-0.07735775681957155,0.6259192257130141,0.3541924021069849,-0.1650940029540766,0.38098054464082276,0.5863179085999836,0.06312605063899066,0.22042114537505736,-0.07735775681957155,0.6259192257130141,0.3541924021069849,0.01925549567650549,0.008580304500295339,0.12648302292141692,0.555724033358605,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",0.06312605063899066 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3793346971327103,0.22661967339803213,-0.30722102735415946,0.25627286306640323,0.9283076270061522,1.21484639768517,0.7376437587938557,4.571516129032258,11.075322580645162,13.778611632270168,0.6363159854410142,0.5024692092764538,0.9494201365887064,0.41651083437615205,-0.1650940029540766,0.38098054464082276,0.6363159854410142,0.15857090181357597,0.22534838099871468,0.5024692092764538,0.9494201365887064,0.41651083437615205,0.11300567867174979,0.11261450460242935,0.12648302292141597,1.0,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",0.15857090181357597 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1650940029540766,-0.1668656680977766,-0.1719334073607911,0.12697861884857362,-1.3624456213220186,-1.4126282886863089,-0.9705249878961557,3.237673130193906,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19995408797664674,0.6124366094305089,0.13619006730567,0.32802053962485633,-0.1650940029540766,0.38098054464082276,0.19995408797664674,-0.10422914910332033,0.27911307045578765,0.6124366094305089,0.13619006730567,0.32802053962485633,,,,,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",-0.10422914910332033 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8498234598281815,0.38098054464082276,-0.30722102735415957,0.28401893041459486,1.2831807953673833,1.7769507675719538,1.2400861618161128,4.993291139240506,12.329113924050633,15.587730061349694,0.9853555140915813,0.46345532433919906,1.1294931442648004,0.5705746631290362,-0.1650940029540766,0.38098054464082276,0.9853555140915813,0.09939705683970029,0.20596988431837565,0.46345532433919906,1.1294931442648004,0.5705746631290362,0.10121157615023732,0.10555396431296277,0.12648302292141603,1.0,4.142713520916335,0.34162499999999996,4.887755102040816,60.0,0.5324675324675324,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13295454545454546, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Industrials"": 0.08345959595959597, ""Financials"": 0.07525252525252525, ""Materials"": 0.04911616161616161, ""Energy"": 0.04444444444444444, ""Communication"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03699494949494949, ""Utilities"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Real Estate"": 0.02537878787878788}",0.09939705683970029 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.1234188429371943,0.14810419764343563,-0.30688426459717144,0.23188989337118707,0.7131745704792385,0.8675147425913278,0.4826060333782285,4.564109188247012,9.82246015936255,12.15043394406943,0.5024111353547512,-0.12294168895501079,0.5745381633555452,0.30804558333949617,-0.18438128921393226,0.3723119189268298,0.5024111353547512,0.06800371779985437,0.23129596390879267,-0.12294168895501079,0.5745381633555452,0.30804558333949617,0.019125886285370743,0.01434365068377693,0.12168249558723225,0.5640636846095527,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",0.06800371779985437 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2773654306742452,0.21402405455335805,-0.3068842645971711,0.25703173112344135,0.8860040583134053,1.1662451241540825,0.6974096727777647,5.254887096774194,11.546612903225807,13.808630393996248,0.6421670685270325,0.4584728198648501,0.9340521550441233,0.4359894944632456,-0.18438128921393226,0.3723119189268298,0.6421670685270325,0.14767255412848504,0.22479353597008805,0.4584728198648501,0.9340521550441233,0.4359894944632456,0.09811320770230698,0.09649940599230775,0.1216824955872316,1.0,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",0.14767255412848504 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.18438128921393226,-0.18633594303818535,-0.17736679995897842,0.13632923524827473,-1.4319276005673542,-1.5874415510433524,-1.050568331171794,4.8565096952908595,9.10595567867036,9.370517928286853,0.22396468544332868,0.5415513582456459,0.13761174587821653,0.36285204292920387,-0.18438128921393226,0.3723119189268298,0.22396468544332868,-0.11818306305107908,0.2746312584922584,0.5415513582456459,0.13761174587821653,0.36285204292920387,,,,,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",-0.11818306305107908 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7921937059038209,0.3723119189268298,-0.3068842645971712,0.28355234618655073,1.2625103131320696,1.7372818949665825,1.2131997690254388,5.393987341772152,12.329113924050633,15.175460122699386,0.9764150252145474,0.4298704743248023,1.110407439151761,0.5633236370404798,-0.18438128921393226,0.3723119189268298,0.9764150252145474,0.09534208147669848,0.20703437244716844,0.4298704743248023,1.110407439151761,0.5633236370404798,0.09659577704312924,0.1009605397895113,0.12168249558723154,1.0,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",0.09534208147669848 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.0653092253034013,0.14549256842937375,-0.3080098316010814,0.23187331994874846,0.7033642997463947,0.8553044566757346,0.47236339071737254,4.564109188247012,9.82246015936255,12.15043394406943,0.5022741804176029,-0.13281769451750033,0.5704558517418223,0.3119785401400734,-0.1863392968908839,0.36861960847554753,0.5022741804176029,0.06574370178134117,0.2313131269962354,-0.13281769451750033,0.5704558517418223,0.3119785401400734,0.016611704613399145,0.012219566496924678,0.1190622543380915,0.5496588324488249,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",0.06574370178134117 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2521262938998916,0.21084003884978997,-0.30722102735415957,0.2570334948110703,0.875743148414694,1.152552099935166,0.686281276596139,5.254887096774194,11.546612903225807,13.808630393996248,0.6420865497351677,0.44670434825084704,0.9294662341037668,0.44065104672071315,-0.1863392968908839,0.36861960847554753,0.6420865497351677,0.1450467574636063,0.22481511948567878,0.44670434825084704,0.9294662341037668,0.44065104672071315,0.0955350832610133,0.093780237359092,0.11906225433809067,1.0,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",0.1450467574636063 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1863392968908839,-0.18831222643708856,-0.17906689754115201,0.1363404858155143,-1.4494825604233301,-1.597957236959584,-1.0516305862383741,4.8565096952908595,9.10595567867036,9.370517928286853,0.2238704270243591,0.5326981848397627,0.13619006730567,0.3660262681195805,-0.1863392968908839,0.36861960847554753,0.2238704270243591,-0.12062504409424574,0.27467217547253014,0.5326981848397627,0.13619006730567,0.3660262681195805,,,,,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",-0.12062504409424574 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7678936506263487,0.36861960847554753,-0.30722102735415957,0.28355331069781675,1.252964527293238,1.7240179194670404,1.1998514934025288,5.393987341772152,12.329113924050633,15.175460122699386,0.9763491488669688,0.41677459855339494,1.1051208620727426,0.5705746631290362,-0.1863392968908839,0.36861960847554753,0.9763491488669688,0.09265428006970032,0.2070482287368914,0.41677459855339494,1.1051208620727426,0.5705746631290362,0.09404245463983042,0.09840228248909441,0.11906225433809062,1.0,4.564109188247012,0.37637499999999996,5.010204081632653,59.0,0.5146666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13143939393939394, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737372, ""Health Care"": 0.08674242424242425, ""Industrials"": 0.0803030303030303, ""Financials"": 0.0715909090909091, ""Materials"": 0.04785353535353535, ""Energy"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929292, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Utilities"": 0.03156565656565657, ""Real Estate"": 0.024494949494949493}",0.09265428006970032 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.332089736871638,0.1571434677746526,-0.297868825158345,0.21327901592734275,0.7928706499425858,0.9469748277710784,0.5275592962476561,3.8410669820717125,9.82246015936255,18.688524590163933,0.5416707947097548,-0.1224386070664992,0.5964011706774899,0.32657735598991444,-0.12469302944229188,0.35792987109521746,0.5416707947097548,0.06411934731309608,0.20182538963423835,-0.1224386070664992,0.5964011706774899,0.32657735598991444,0.02724344202767096,0.02443976574043666,0.1378679070664794,0.6353297952994693,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",0.06411934731309608 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.361899498151474,0.22449564841686298,-0.27365333246784085,0.22379395680417002,1.02036956850247,1.3231299991527643,0.820365118130784,4.257322580645161,11.075322580645162,20.66791744840525,0.5759226125313446,0.5072008877083942,0.8982155818036285,0.3769285158725909,-0.12469302944229188,0.35792987109521746,0.5759226125313446,0.15655259898273655,0.20442218277474672,0.5072008877083942,0.8982155818036285,0.3769285158725909,0.10225828769931175,0.09865979825418804,0.13786790706647867,1.0,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",0.15655259898273655 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12469302944229188,-0.1260643619087174,-0.14422754768723112,0.11410852512938884,-1.114302559049836,-1.191021555479924,-0.8740657657308156,2.9594355955678666,7.0824099722991685,11.856573705179283,0.18779121953156222,0.7797076140195779,0.1738328352454913,0.27367522214502654,-0.12469302944229188,0.35792987109521746,0.18779121953156222,-0.06256241078051106,0.27803897295648833,0.7797076140195779,0.1738328352454913,0.27367522214502654,,,,,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",-0.06256241078051106 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6983670616110507,0.35792987109521746,-0.2736533324678412,0.24758069146241166,1.3645613405703874,1.8669412465228283,1.3079682526332113,4.667083333333332,12.329113924050633,23.38159509202454,0.8866615848670041,0.39211697495607645,1.0586151843372564,0.5566950971425872,-0.12469302944229188,0.35792987109521746,0.8866615848670041,0.09933612008760427,0.17558342828971119,0.39211697495607645,1.0586151843372564,0.5566950971425872,0.10659271517911045,0.1118211662800006,0.13786790706647864,1.0,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",0.09933612008760427 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.2798555670728575,0.15492848196527387,-0.2980902054256067,0.21326174709519727,0.7839115513149628,0.9361930386672614,0.5197369089805227,3.8410669820717125,9.82246015936255,18.688524590163933,0.541607459975626,-0.1319734363489417,0.5928207099443548,0.3296143657577372,-0.125973264592534,0.35476619513537555,0.541607459975626,0.06220729748849619,0.2018250436620929,-0.1319734363489417,0.5928207099443548,0.3296143657577372,0.02522123769057748,0.022441385495638153,0.13554012076948563,0.6322971948445792,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",0.06220729748849619 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.340664914916407,0.22189251953595246,-0.2739876333908572,0.22379830082627064,1.0108078686935582,1.3106630346714823,0.8098632656876582,4.257322580645161,11.075322580645162,20.66791744840525,0.575850501508098,0.4966961913557645,0.8943184588519908,0.3804681258832544,-0.125973264592534,0.35476619513537555,0.575850501508098,0.1544261293606534,0.20444620811601016,0.4966961913557645,0.8943184588519908,0.3804681258832544,0.1001745131393388,0.09656390288660661,0.1355401207694849,1.0,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",0.1544261293606534 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.125973264592534,-0.12735762859798228,-0.14422754768723123,0.11411163316860816,-1.1271396673839786,-1.1991173959769266,-0.883032615060247,2.9594355955678666,7.0824099722991685,11.856573705179283,0.18771301991168798,0.7743424139472604,0.1724533544851539,0.27540142385733124,-0.125973264592534,0.35476619513537555,0.18771301991168798,-0.06405763349211263,0.27806920250889894,0.7743424139472604,0.1724533544851539,0.27540142385733124,,,,,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",-0.06405763349211263 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6780243899807132,0.35476619513537555,-0.27398763339085697,0.24758691608414224,1.35507209065068,1.8540413364845973,1.294825575683133,4.667083333333332,12.329113924050633,23.38159509202454,0.8866064159792387,0.3787391048835727,1.0541605815053685,0.5633918966091408,-0.125973264592534,0.35476619513537555,0.8866064159792387,0.09701003971015315,0.1756045828128181,0.3787391048835727,1.0541605815053685,0.5633918966091408,0.10431891348089395,0.10952460575101094,0.13554012076948488,1.0,3.8410669820717125,0.31675,6.6020408163265305,61.0,0.5116883116883116,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10816498316498316, ""Industrials"": 0.08888888888888888, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08813131313131313, ""Financials"": 0.0840909090909091, ""Health Care"": 0.08055555555555556, ""Materials"": 0.05008417508417509, ""Communication"": 0.04705387205387206, ""Energy"": 0.04351851851851853, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04343434343434343, ""Real Estate"": 0.041077441077441074, ""Utilities"": 0.036111111111111115}",0.09701003971015315 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.9197327254912424,0.13875370484079586,-0.2736533324678412,0.20330385960270242,0.7424722534209897,0.8897844818277185,0.5070418970947548,4.283684013944223,9.82246015936255,18.225650916104147,0.4560415926336729,-0.19911412735342213,0.5343988860080566,0.29642563843322245,-0.14924669110333455,0.34134439550688933,0.4560415926336729,0.06256027898917779,0.21528566232976154,-0.19911412735342213,0.5343988860080566,0.29642563843322245,0.018863257877052206,0.012800570721616306,0.12707826126148467,0.6186504927975739,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",0.06256027898917779 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.205918291630602,0.2049393424267194,-0.27365333246784096,0.22424405289537638,0.9466910704802936,1.2349378671459894,0.7489013218971246,4.913201612903225,11.546612903225807,20.712945590994373,0.5800677694396383,0.4299190991258929,0.8702943494683516,0.40433330485983315,-0.14924669110333455,0.34134439550688933,0.5800677694396383,0.1399731239780004,0.2038067443279914,0.4299190991258929,0.8702943494683516,0.40433330485983315,0.08150149098982631,0.07881836024209962,0.12707826126148394,1.0,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",0.1399731239780004 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14924669110333455,-0.15086403537041482,-0.14422754768723112,0.12312067761053401,-1.2559082884398187,-1.458033254368489,-1.0460140090405992,4.578272160664819,9.10595567867036,14.055776892430279,0.20967109671056292,0.6915543159913977,0.1738328352454913,0.31682061601472883,-0.14924669110333455,0.34134439550688933,0.20967109671056292,-0.08251389224811076,0.27374891877964413,0.6915543159913977,0.1738328352454913,0.31682061601472883,,,,,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",-0.08251389224811076 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5929000434819822,0.34134439550688933,-0.2736533324678405,0.24675564724065532,1.3182742667256535,1.7879040055004578,1.2473606384713178,5.031819620253165,12.329113924050633,22.76319018404908,0.8763538040850606,0.3185733629975882,1.0245113716049348,0.5566950971425872,-0.14924669110333455,0.34134439550688933,0.8763538040850606,0.08956138763798613,0.1767311049138218,0.3185733629975882,1.0245113716049348,0.5566950971425872,0.0960903767333607,0.10126645937233741,0.12707826126148394,1.0,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",0.08956138763798613 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.8687021487720719,0.13632143691066023,-0.2739876333908573,0.20329006385894896,0.7319659483026985,0.8770210923376692,0.4975459484194703,4.283684013944223,9.82246015936255,18.225650916104147,0.4559006245485555,-0.20905898320878646,0.5305499479542887,0.3000844491499976,-0.15117305813123816,0.3379757119500135,0.4559006245485555,0.06044153016696817,0.21530998807600354,-0.20905898320878646,0.5305499479542887,0.3000844491499976,0.01652017773173276,0.010796089065138351,0.1246287218062972,0.5928733889310084,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",0.06044153016696817 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1830409006503264,0.2019829011753531,-0.2739876333908574,0.22425130165790957,0.9356708050478423,1.220372069758717,0.7371971452712034,4.913201612903225,11.546612903225807,20.712945590994373,0.579983687275665,0.4177644808657963,0.8659898120420501,0.40867931277627,-0.15117305813123816,0.3379757119500135,0.579983687275665,0.13751915992442312,0.2038372558904697,0.4177644808657963,0.8659898120420501,0.40867931277627,0.07908792691821943,0.0763534363407296,0.12462872180629651,1.0,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",0.13751915992442312 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15117305813123816,-0.15280935000758966,-0.14422754768723123,0.12314404099583745,-1.2741160040291608,-1.468512529642362,-1.0595018251226787,4.578272160664819,9.10595567867036,14.055776892430279,0.20958034671595382,0.6831451290206924,0.1724533544851539,0.3198163898181192,-0.15117305813123816,0.3379757119500135,0.20958034671595382,-0.08481661879319337,0.27379355336097694,0.6831451290206924,0.1724533544851539,0.3198163898181192,,,,,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",-0.08481661879319337 +broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.571832717566891,0.3379757119500135,-0.27398763339085674,0.24676113149993045,1.3080169998167035,1.7738723331700748,1.233543674096687,5.031819620253165,12.329113924050633,22.76319018404908,0.8762780073344457,0.3042502755301833,1.0195591407750588,0.5633918966091408,-0.15117305813123816,0.3379757119500135,0.8762780073344457,0.0870579111599094,0.1767556572111169,0.3042502755301833,1.0195591407750588,0.5633918966091408,0.09369449615563145,0.09884884143723081,0.12462872180629646,1.0,4.283684013944223,0.35324999999999995,6.826530612244898,60.0,0.49333333333333335,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10723905723905723, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08695286195286195, ""Industrials"": 0.08619528619528617, ""Financials"": 0.08030303030303029, ""Health Care"": 0.07904040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.049158249158249165, ""Communication"": 0.04663299663299663, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.042676767676767674, ""Energy"": 0.042340067340067344, ""Real Estate"": 0.03888888888888888, ""Utilities"": 0.035521885521885524}",0.0870579111599094 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8382950607079502,0.21067946707013996,-0.37824137575309746,0.2866034366030948,0.8126641284771409,1.0063319759180527,0.5569974111125908,3.8279299468791494,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7400242080336,0.16708758965220263,0.7973850543819571,0.4166728579621691,-0.12400367622794561,0.3792204365752989,0.7400242080336,0.08948536042178487,0.23399966779157613,0.16708758965220263,0.7973850543819571,0.4166728579621691,0.06515409437477873,0.06453925153299471,0.11288985561607691,0.8476118271417741,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",0.08948536042178487 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4861267682885102,0.23937617896284258,-0.3348621947731919,0.2898839440882627,0.8884265267176581,1.2244742226833252,0.7148498179227916,4.229830645161291,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.752692720867172,0.5593720237557646,1.0830433218089597,0.5552733681461732,-0.12400367622794561,0.3792204365752989,0.752692720867172,0.16370281269504533,0.2375362896026305,0.5593720237557646,1.0830433218089597,0.5552733681461732,0.13059486678106857,0.13309691209689561,0.11288985561607598,1.0,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",0.16370281269504533 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12400367622794561,-0.12536798252843895,-0.18331887827020532,0.1736160468411115,-0.6782703889664657,-0.9073497544083339,-0.6838792802542198,3.861599722991689,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.337632180664932,0.8970483603805405,0.41628072376249503,0.3661592021700198,-0.12400367622794561,0.3792204365752989,0.337632180664932,-0.0016332338871622304,0.25214014331596085,0.8970483603805405,0.41628072376249503,0.3661592021700198,,,,,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",-0.0016332338871622304 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8380561662441726,0.3792204365752989,-0.3348621947731918,0.3168665357877593,1.1775416148408615,1.6529114193130685,1.132467153636593,4.3562869198312235,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0863028185054509,0.4472630332489355,1.2306841321666073,0.8845258874600835,-0.12400367622794561,0.3792204365752989,1.0863028185054509,0.08091915708021712,0.23282437181584884,0.4472630332489355,1.2306841321666073,0.8845258874600835,0.09349815665393406,0.092889570605263,0.11288985561607592,1.0,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",0.08091915708021712 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.7625896378985377,0.20836631625519164,-0.37838974721612284,0.2866014906957227,0.8059783219341641,0.997962395681762,0.5506658618215154,3.8279299468791494,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7399823230134674,0.1588867778707797,0.7938606320986176,0.41986463449442474,-0.1256698058470641,0.3762143510564764,0.7399823230134674,0.08757573482969563,0.23400749564013518,0.1588867778707797,0.7938606320986176,0.41986463449442474,0.06308567856828419,0.062451990281023585,0.11072526872315658,0.8400303260045489,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",0.08757573482969563 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4638945061222235,0.23675551333320932,-0.3352242696335608,0.28989538423143635,0.8810727238072125,1.2143060316016212,0.706260061635784,4.229830645161291,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7526504751861274,0.5503851827002693,1.079221319853967,0.558861740002394,-0.1256698058470641,0.3762143510564764,0.7526504751861274,0.16158640964642415,0.2375599659048994,0.5503851827002693,1.079221319853967,0.558861740002394,0.12859356097334257,0.1312487306181523,0.11072526872315575,1.0,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",0.16158640964642415 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1256698058470641,-0.12705108295529666,-0.1833188782702052,0.1735841471147242,-0.6894325424638366,-0.9223817806253615,-0.6930605519417814,3.861599722991689,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3375334096018895,0.8893848829144873,0.41417426584500733,0.3682701698657618,-0.1256698058470641,0.3762143510564764,0.3375334096018895,-0.0035831415134959604,0.2521585088761621,0.8893848829144873,0.41417426584500733,0.3682701698657618,,,,,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",-0.0035831415134959604 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.818036621175232,0.3762143510564764,-0.33522426963356067,0.3168859964990314,1.1705739782251148,1.643113149162953,1.1222765925263187,4.3562869198312235,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0863095995903964,0.43783049773105254,1.2264822584062025,0.8906864571174136,-0.1256698058470641,0.3762143510564764,1.0863095995903964,0.07873230236270416,0.23284970920507275,0.43783049773105254,1.2264822584062025,0.8906864571174136,0.09142054400838742,0.09075859413733173,0.1107252687231557,1.0,3.8279299468791494,0.3156666666666667,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1617845117845118, ""Industrials"": 0.12575757575757576, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545457, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09747474747474749, ""Health Care"": 0.09663299663299663, ""Materials"": 0.04865319865319865, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039562289562289556, ""Communication"": 0.03821548821548821, ""Utilities"": 0.03552188552188552, ""Energy"": 0.029629629629629627, ""Real Estate"": 0.026262626262626265}",0.07873230236270416 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.94667880864106,0.18114172490576275,-0.34248056772712243,0.2732708583458546,0.7477826228645381,0.9441961354280614,0.5289109572198872,4.345327025232404,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6800786736876675,0.045273343968859465,0.7126678014989976,0.3964393254166197,-0.15134609638083296,0.3734257564079566,0.6800786736876675,0.07253850489540706,0.23266025276716965,0.045273343968859465,0.7126678014989976,0.3964393254166197,0.03912167802818944,0.044529076417118105,0.11223758997998695,0.6739954510993177,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",0.07253850489540706 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3758516108646566,0.22619630322325723,-0.3348621947731921,0.29023842980776204,0.8507414515937766,1.1705478585173394,0.6754907145503954,4.921056451612904,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7561316821219318,0.515429104434045,1.0594529364691927,0.5660333581429356,-0.15134609638083296,0.3734257564079566,0.7561316821219318,0.15265135683907508,0.23717797746422128,0.515429104434045,1.0594529364691927,0.5660333581429356,0.1222885859160571,0.12406132754663333,0.11223758997998608,1.0,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",0.15265135683907508 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15134609638083296,-0.15298408770685346,-0.1975838535754063,0.1926557891314938,-0.7580997187447569,-1.0123430690869653,-0.7742742381956241,5.885145429362883,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3681103016401219,0.7805599865603816,0.41628072376249503,0.4125093941361413,-0.15134609638083296,0.3734257564079566,0.3681103016401219,-0.019444248867884716,0.25352084352455506,0.7805599865603816,0.41628072376249503,0.4125093941361413,,,,,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",-0.019444248867884716 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.799553034202288,0.3734257564079566,-0.3348621947731917,0.31385337938373015,1.1723405064440897,1.6292899510180108,1.1151624824680038,4.643966244725738,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.067675402401381,0.42671897093873706,1.201870143075795,0.8333224407104947,-0.15134609638083296,0.3734257564079566,1.067675402401381,0.08074923946113759,0.23189321072440572,0.42671897093873706,1.201870143075795,0.8333224407104947,0.09337863879858593,0.0928059539825957,0.11223758997998597,1.0,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",0.08074923946113759 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8766351270053687,0.1785796865234448,-0.34505687169346155,0.2732700578416775,0.7398185079432458,0.9340452674652663,0.5175369661442064,4.345327025232404,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6799877774809421,0.03591326059082766,0.708880369572605,0.4004152604389234,-0.15381008595004453,0.37023437955628835,0.6799877774809421,0.07037916909464764,0.23268159909801217,0.03591326059082766,0.708880369572605,0.4004152604389234,0.03668472432859269,0.04229341064460209,0.10998556244951523,0.6611068991660348,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",0.07037916909464764 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3511410470596168,0.22317902520600952,-0.33522426963356067,0.29025530395218024,0.8421878024722329,1.1588829776857674,0.6657603444105353,4.921056451612904,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7560805906170283,0.5049527740584334,1.055423020825279,0.5707982108222096,-0.15381008595004453,0.37023437955628835,0.7560805906170283,0.150189339896341,0.23721039308607395,0.5049527740584334,1.055423020825279,0.5707982108222096,0.11999622477589753,0.12183741166196817,0.10998556244951435,1.0,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",0.150189339896341 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15381008595004453,-0.15547223114995667,-0.19858368608226817,0.1926426366220608,-0.7733086635754647,-1.0332375422270403,-0.7829053544990019,5.885145429362883,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3679673024117233,0.7688967163141179,0.41417426584500733,0.41620646402054673,-0.15381008595004453,0.37023437955628835,0.3679673024117233,-0.02241335241640975,0.2535689147304509,0.7688967163141179,0.41417426584500733,0.41620646402054673,,,,,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",-0.02241335241640975 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7785028018199842,0.37023437955628835,-0.33522426963356056,0.3138753716284889,1.1648371858091722,1.6188853361587001,1.1044378736688665,4.643966244725738,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0676892374679667,0.4166248998533406,1.1974143174329543,0.8399463300910954,-0.15381008595004453,0.37023437955628835,1.0676892374679667,0.07841619281600413,0.23192062483216236,0.4166248998533406,1.1974143174329543,0.8399463300910954,0.09121249205841378,0.09058763511994697,0.10998556244951435,1.0,4.345327025232404,0.3583333333333333,3.836734693877551,60.0,0.5835294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1557239057239057, ""Industrials"": 0.1234006734006734, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454549, ""Health Care"": 0.09360269360269359, ""Materials"": 0.04831649831649831, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03989898989898989, ""Communication"": 0.03686868686868687, ""Utilities"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Energy"": 0.030303030303030304, ""Real Estate"": 0.02558922558922559}",0.07841619281600413 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5602704514633556,0.20202210871644843,-0.34762574489110853,0.2668263508232525,0.8253861057023031,1.00999206773957,0.5811482943523948,3.721317853585657,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7193964107126031,0.12296872918126393,0.7664195774506869,0.4166187373161782,-0.12584874475983276,0.30835336328992136,0.7193964107126031,0.08080574467392633,0.2148584540620716,0.12296872918126393,0.7664195774506869,0.4166187373161782,0.06887982807094577,0.07256182874846603,0.06668338747912583,0.9241849886277483,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",0.08080574467392633 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.090662308912191,0.18979831311715034,-0.31149938597839655,0.2645385946613131,0.7920413781486808,1.0789088494687966,0.6093055770270874,4.1090625,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7215215578538219,0.39660508755655277,0.9883455403712135,0.6136900978411676,-0.12584874475983276,0.30835336328992136,0.7215215578538219,0.11957383132954437,0.21395611197213807,0.39660508755655277,0.9883455403712135,0.6136900978411676,0.07820041771831238,0.07864378082669847,0.06668338747912506,0.977491961414791,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",0.11957383132954437 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12584874475983276,-0.12723184225397666,-0.17685909562418412,0.16593656591347333,-0.7303144264410024,-0.9903794410561886,-0.7193966575761381,3.5538521468144038,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3417832381853624,0.9085418856854397,0.457266949292181,0.38839393000416367,-0.12584874475983276,0.30835336328992136,0.3417832381853624,-0.003632761320033287,0.2451781930127473,0.9085418856854397,0.457266949292181,0.38839393000416367,,,,,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",-0.003632761320033287 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3916482375098784,0.30835336328992136,-0.31149938597839666,0.2878855336810204,1.0815982965669937,1.4912406774494913,0.9899003887966139,4.292072784810127,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0272744824528888,0.20849070532819353,1.1059419289212533,1.0059363923966838,-0.12584874475983276,0.30835336328992136,1.0272744824528888,0.035050147836168236,0.2033026138073437,0.20849070532819353,1.1059419289212533,1.0059363923966838,0.045392026618276175,0.046105727872908384,0.066683387479125,1.0,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",0.035050147836168236 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4908991624219814,0.19978978235526657,-0.34780012073160105,0.26682318484043327,0.8184087545730275,1.0013780596354291,0.574438507769942,3.721317853585657,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7193570991995362,0.1142882433911928,0.7629272848119915,0.41956559871005833,-0.12738046552762528,0.3055440539377958,0.7193570991995362,0.07894903158296357,0.2148649599724546,0.1142882433911928,0.7629272848119915,0.41956559871005833,0.0668760154907322,0.070779474303284,0.06455401350850896,0.9188779378316907,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",0.07894903158296357 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.072495295676756,0.18735387640682544,-0.31185909686866564,0.26455069699935085,0.7842142265042931,1.0681704412208786,0.6007645064326165,4.1090625,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7214802266485287,0.3869256936262513,0.9846065048532059,0.6171082553582545,-0.12738046552762528,0.3055440539377958,0.7214802266485287,0.11751789119682884,0.21398162751993588,0.3869256936262513,0.9846065048532059,0.6171082553582545,0.07622612824602251,0.0766535555986094,0.06455401350850809,0.9646302250803859,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",0.11751789119682884 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12738046552762528,-0.1287791277295176,-0.1768590956241839,0.16591592923996415,-0.7410326153483359,-1.0049895987588635,-0.7281453479959343,3.5538521468144038,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.34168273000976523,0.9012463962891132,0.45524977922972915,0.3903142285359123,-0.12738046552762528,0.3055440539377958,0.34168273000976523,-0.005430577166744486,0.24520642934799103,0.9012463962891132,0.45524977922972915,0.3903142285359123,,,,,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",-0.005430577166744486 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3750273902931642,0.3055440539377958,-0.3118590968686653,0.28790428902667387,1.0740502748159233,1.4807430400335573,0.979750332780804,4.292072784810127,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0272860715323133,0.1978777926139471,1.1018216218503274,1.0119623600794132,-0.12738046552762528,0.3055440539377958,1.0272860715323133,0.032894208406151176,0.20332692582822462,0.1978777926139471,1.1018216218503274,1.0119623600794132,0.04333676084356964,0.04404829488699698,0.06455401350850803,1.0,3.721317853585657,0.306875,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14797979797979796, ""Industrials"": 0.12032828282828283, ""Financials"": 0.10606060606060604, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09772727272727272, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141415, ""Materials"": 0.04734848484848485, ""Communication"": 0.04482323232323232, ""Utilities"": 0.04116161616161616, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.037626262626262626, ""Energy"": 0.03257575757575758}",0.032894208406151176 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.7232536278901627,0.17282414317377315,-0.31149938597839644,0.2524140921676216,0.7597643066773269,0.948532157983583,0.5548137522998492,4.221535732071713,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6590600540025819,-0.009550648113031928,0.6885669414057236,0.40693107010922946,-0.16276585923971654,0.3028047116606687,0.6590600540025819,0.06404022389669894,0.21345921234343326,-0.009550648113031928,0.6885669414057236,0.40693107010922946,0.04307921750899841,0.050455583124515896,0.06605907222865934,0.7816527672479151,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",0.06404022389669894 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.9749496085307503,0.17394120298360782,-0.31149938597839677,0.2646805397163324,0.7409053396624969,1.006076295323801,0.5583998261738823,4.78065120967742,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.725807006557046,0.33531409598399875,0.9638573392562919,0.6348984948687337,-0.16276585923971654,0.3028047116606687,0.725807006557046,0.10561727897150955,0.21303546575894278,0.33531409598399875,0.9638573392562919,0.6348984948687337,0.06818587211613308,0.07014099190393189,0.06605907222865852,0.9389067524115756,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",0.10561727897150955 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16276585923971654,-0.16451507540927435,-0.1945144461998376,0.18417651496478948,-0.8754923773197558,-1.1673790918555715,-0.845773044744744,5.577397853185595,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.37428196580751677,0.7470546264435447,0.457266949292181,0.45273364729562465,-0.16276585923971654,0.3028047116606687,0.37428196580751677,-0.03251439882713498,0.24455425931326216,0.7470546264435447,0.457266949292181,0.45273364729562465,,,,,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",-0.03251439882713498 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3588976038857141,0.3028047116606687,-0.31149938597839655,0.284570366318474,1.0758595660238872,1.4692028473675245,0.9720876678763956,4.554066455696202,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0083856926470478,0.18373318987492096,1.0760313212895283,0.9520520760628767,-0.16276585923971654,0.3028047116606687,1.0083856926470478,0.034912287555813624,0.20229308242044622,0.18373318987492096,1.0760313212895283,0.9520520760628767,0.045307961161278706,0.04599807129460263,0.06605907222865846,1.0,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",0.034912287555813624 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6590408868108506,0.17035252758423436,-0.3118590968686652,0.25241341102480336,0.7513875037499229,0.9380492902760635,0.5462483836281222,4.221535732071713,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6589742106530716,-0.019456541645069506,0.6848195597228789,0.41063377287020675,-0.1650727994630563,0.29983598542191303,0.6589742106530716,0.061941926621942076,0.21348134769979685,-0.019456541645069506,0.6848195597228789,0.41063377287020675,0.04071734074105379,0.048124704218687094,0.06385564931322682,0.759666413949962,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",0.061941926621942076 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.9549844583448779,0.171133791265504,-0.3118590968686653,0.2647003484838301,0.7317907461316632,0.993743892079237,0.548753565260193,4.78065120967742,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7257579480578916,0.32400138367808345,0.9599217278961307,0.6394589836131519,-0.1650727994630563,0.29983598542191303,0.7257579480578916,0.10322543540437468,0.21307265471369932,0.32400138367808345,0.9599217278961307,0.6394589836131519,0.0659340164447939,0.0678979946089835,0.06385564931322595,0.9131832797427653,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",0.10322543540437468 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1650727994630563,-0.16684426050134438,-0.19548035876831948,0.18418238936801562,-0.8904888603707628,-1.1879722437381066,-0.8535090765772831,5.577397853185595,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.37413722946656364,0.7355426783040394,0.45524977922972915,0.4562307039137118,-0.1650727994630563,0.29983598542191303,0.37413722946656364,-0.035331410596037574,0.24461960545323475,0.7355426783040394,0.45524977922972915,0.4562307039137118,,,,,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",-0.035331410596037574 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3415028964053657,0.29983598542191303,-0.3118590968686651,0.2845925522596803,1.0677493675398235,1.4580755099628406,0.9614469753569016,4.554066455696202,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0084061771120318,0.1724182885695811,1.071670910715003,0.9584640268852755,-0.1650727994630563,0.29983598542191303,1.0084061771120318,0.032622544314891554,0.2023203018850686,0.1724182885695811,1.071670910715003,0.9584640268852755,0.0431775099011157,0.043866642782893726,0.06385564931322589,1.0,4.221535732071713,0.3481250000000001,4.948979591836735,61.0,0.5741176470588235,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14318181818181816, ""Industrials"": 0.11792929292929294, ""Financials"": 0.10429292929292928, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0953282828282828, ""Health Care"": 0.0866161616161616, ""Materials"": 0.047601010101010095, ""Communication"": 0.04305555555555555, ""Utilities"": 0.04141414141414142, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03926767676767677, ""Real Estate"": 0.03636363636363636, ""Energy"": 0.03282828282828283}",0.032622544314891554 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.606196160578828,0.20348360979798485,-0.35282090736051563,0.24573132097003939,0.8791309672345354,1.0515454142798857,0.576733423538485,3.389355079681274,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6845285297528737,0.11202275754498216,0.7519251853739877,0.4067203010413127,-0.11521524313451337,0.3218423409498248,0.6845285297528737,0.08335887565245426,0.19831793839205455,0.11202275754498216,0.7519251853739877,0.4067203010413127,0.058741186408606726,0.06497551519282443,0.09999494390966399,0.9257012888551933,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.08335887565245426 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1876973677573606,0.20258656861157576,-0.2769917007525958,0.24121641091137178,0.8885148530529817,1.2057908095553287,0.7313813665216005,3.801741935483871,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6769926271740195,0.45487772922675157,0.9648913672001299,0.5518546122724283,-0.11521524313451337,0.3218423409498248,0.6769926271740195,0.12992407856698035,0.19709677473152554,0.45487772922675157,0.9648913672001299,0.5518546122724283,0.07776056847126242,0.07870228890363906,0.09999494390966325,1.0,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.12992407856698035 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11521524313451337,-0.11648941047096872,-0.15496628234383092,0.15408462327683092,-0.7200680880645792,-0.9569159788012356,-0.7517081052025771,3.2713988919667596,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.33772446483143237,0.9745581984772773,0.5163174913248254,0.399063277663104,-0.11521524313451337,0.3218423409498248,0.33772446483143237,0.0052057099162263224,0.2390715157395207,0.9745581984772773,0.5163174913248254,0.399063277663104,,,,,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.0052057099162263224 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4725757883846056,0.3218423409498248,-0.2769917007525958,0.26196166601069365,1.2005623873205862,1.6503824052191596,1.161920519912215,3.976139240506329,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9498818962101182,0.249867776189369,1.0642187900842874,0.8178681686328659,-0.11521524313451337,0.3218423409498248,0.9498818962101182,0.05899278423328179,0.18214243684576253,0.249867776189369,1.0642187900842874,0.8178681686328659,0.06922867623783834,0.07278350524414609,0.0999949439096632,1.0,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.05899278423328179 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.542401305004998,0.20144995883525918,-0.3529371059902896,0.2457213326130577,0.8722563420166697,1.043366104572894,0.5707814662049212,3.389355079681274,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6844918684517342,0.10346158651134321,0.7487136108000974,0.4093652065548834,-0.1166435718131208,0.31921930829213596,0.6844918684517342,0.08166795797821387,0.19831610820486117,0.10346158651134321,0.7487136108000974,0.4093652065548834,0.05692171474620764,0.0632076356214285,0.09805166084599337,0.9219105382865808,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.08166795797821387 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1701353064722806,0.20030465186719204,-0.2773055386809604,0.2412147938341444,0.8806152337500948,1.1949252910752883,0.7223247426645965,3.801741935483871,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6769271833510362,0.44516607595406993,0.9613473764642398,0.5549157216903425,-0.1166435718131208,0.31921930829213596,0.6769271833510362,0.12802529557247666,0.19711293431577023,0.44516607595406993,0.9613473764642398,0.5549157216903425,0.07593481127214019,0.0768283558055688,0.09805166084599258,1.0,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.12802529557247666 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1166435718131208,-0.11793245979941025,-0.1558739558971718,0.15407251240017172,-0.7306593882264378,-0.9711302139811312,-0.7565886111032487,3.2713988919667596,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3376257635833412,0.9676285545280042,0.5145254019711569,0.4008739878335438,-0.1166435718131208,0.31921930829213596,0.3376257635833412,0.003548654987342641,0.23910621181438307,0.9676285545280042,0.5145254019711569,0.4008739878335438,,,,,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.003548654987342641 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4566927202041886,0.31921930829213596,-0.27730553868096053,0.2619624753375856,1.1929455426825324,1.6392579624413937,1.151146528881261,3.976139240506329,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9498480314515004,0.23890721219559863,1.0602868769596856,0.8231062545890215,-0.1166435718131208,0.31921930829213596,0.9498480314515004,0.0570075376796235,0.18215092552548792,0.23890721219559863,1.0602868769596856,0.8231062545890215,0.06734089404235302,0.07084830043633412,0.09805166084599258,1.0,3.389355079681274,0.27949999999999997,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12112794612794611, ""Industrials"": 0.11885521885521887, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.10109427609427611, ""Financials"": 0.09705387205387205, ""Health Care"": 0.09099326599326597, ""Materials"": 0.05740740740740741, ""Communication"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.047474747474747475, ""Real Estate"": 0.04604377104377105, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656565, ""Energy"": 0.03425925925925925}",0.0570075376796235 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.0419460706938404,0.1845629979487362,-0.28299954748425493,0.22986130422323026,0.8539421835711404,1.0585509824850048,0.6521671133025562,3.9067521580345277,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6240099492183748,0.012580016286447424,0.6970716693666958,0.39225208199159484,-0.15369900779784984,0.32687997659005363,0.6240099492183748,0.07534646741990858,0.19669072246465547,0.012580016286447424,0.6970716693666958,0.39225208199159484,0.04405856814162341,0.04787606157640604,0.10785903007142038,0.8043972706595905,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",0.07534646741990858 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1185273420088686,0.19351629237289925,-0.27699170075259594,0.24115203901961707,0.857196965325192,1.1582768447629734,0.6986357058608935,4.453693548387097,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6825960538433878,0.4197594167929818,0.9568626236484681,0.5723308714291226,-0.15369900779784984,0.32687997659005363,0.6825960538433878,0.1216159346895986,0.19545806998052215,0.4197594167929818,0.9568626236484681,0.5723308714291226,0.07587790303557528,0.07502582591041321,0.10785903007141975,1.0,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",0.1216159346895986 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15369900779784984,-0.15536006596045393,-0.17441526640477079,0.17022039758775623,-0.8983974748600599,-1.1785453467958509,-0.8907480931164886,5.32023891966759,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.37038083478078193,0.8096177236170001,0.5163174913248254,0.46711848123858124,-0.15369900779784984,0.32687997659005363,0.37038083478078193,-0.02553659631309011,0.23593227375699638,0.8096177236170001,0.5163174913248254,0.46711848123858124,,,,,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",-0.02553659631309011 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5032788115919362,0.32687997659005363,-0.2769917007525957,0.2587161919711521,1.227117647600435,1.667851321788967,1.180107475068422,4.204741561181434,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9331097327940354,0.26768499399657525,1.0544122470465807,0.7555082889137654,-0.15369900779784984,0.32687997659005363,0.9331097327940354,0.06647820682951425,0.18112859699744632,0.26768499399657525,1.0544122470465807,0.7555082889137654,0.07755218127234821,0.08109462095051609,0.10785903007141959,1.0,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",0.06647820682951425 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9774576367054055,0.1822549273714935,-0.2868999737674137,0.2298528539472152,0.8454584239809597,1.047943191547639,0.6352559917598506,3.9067521580345277,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6239216694770466,0.0026289940562752682,0.6936039710428399,0.3956926311343681,-0.15592415970332452,0.3240937735345264,0.6239216694770466,0.07340634485896366,0.19670645112601357,0.0026289940562752682,0.6936039710428399,0.3956926311343681,0.041872213277979534,0.045713459477137265,0.10585339359312414,0.7884761182714177,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",0.07340634485896366 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0985964444709966,0.19086078796669503,-0.27730553868096053,0.24116013824968222,0.8479047938415453,1.1457238054504186,0.6882689356820961,4.453693548387097,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6825286260742867,0.40826983321695187,0.9531700568681284,0.5765566431687745,-0.15592415970332452,0.3240937735345264,0.6825286260742867,0.1193903821469742,0.19548690656233694,0.40826983321695187,0.9531700568681284,0.5765566431687745,0.07378688991273849,0.07288992958573418,0.10585339359312337,1.0,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",0.1193903821469742 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15592415970332452,-0.15760696066373536,-0.17596396344377052,0.17023112354214612,-0.9138470895321528,-1.199584256880755,-0.8956774874765698,5.32023891966759,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3702375893679011,0.7981919761652383,0.5145254019711569,0.4705155498722153,-0.15592415970332452,0.3240937735345264,0.3702375893679011,-0.028225505649973386,0.23600250891730684,0.7981919761652383,0.5145254019711569,0.4705155498722153,,,,,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",-0.028225505649973386 +broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4862652670326169,0.3240937735345264,-0.27730553868096064,0.25872299100744117,1.2189337532581492,1.6563121908634193,1.1687244873511002,4.204741561181434,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9330950085875481,0.2560229778445023,1.0502988587802093,0.761176853603439,-0.15592415970332452,0.3240937735345264,0.9330950085875481,0.06437314908592755,0.18114151075583787,0.2560229778445023,1.0502988587802093,0.761176853603439,0.07560192074519478,0.07909878505606482,0.10585339359312335,1.0,3.9067521580345277,0.3221666666666667,6.714285714285714,62.0,0.5764705882352941,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12188552188552189, ""Industrials"": 0.11515151515151516, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0978956228956229, ""Financials"": 0.09553872053872055, ""Health Care"": 0.09006734006734006, ""Materials"": 0.0558080808080808, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0462962962962963, ""Communication"": 0.04621212121212121, ""Real Estate"": 0.04478114478114479, ""Utilities"": 0.0404040404040404, ""Energy"": 0.033838383838383834}",0.06437314908592755 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5572117146370807,0.20192431133056998,-0.3791292042661095,0.28069930569158463,0.7978211887759132,0.9893415126807804,0.5326002562146069,4.610088811420982,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7207703724669405,0.1301550180140808,0.7780866560016416,0.43614708464537844,-0.1256594546220703,0.38426905924426813,0.7207703724669405,0.08425254295014321,0.23152362974800206,0.1301550180140808,0.7780866560016416,0.43614708464537844,0.06597366258238332,0.06465679523352728,0.12505534174912022,0.8711144806671721,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.08425254295014321 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5110180529255248,0.2422891119972399,-0.3346707391174394,0.287281737998188,0.9020285970575562,1.2427722322835222,0.7239626405229833,5.199903225806452,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7373543672119989,0.5652193051862082,1.107605800727521,0.591153760414242,-0.1256594546220703,0.38426905924426813,0.7373543672119989,0.16721079400028346,0.23790219351295938,0.5652193051862082,1.107605800727521,0.591153760414242,0.12766290193127736,0.1303148328476896,0.12505534174911934,1.0,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.16721079400028346 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1256594546220703,-0.12704062641163016,-0.1682729648143353,0.17358147165482724,-0.6892981497447759,-0.921911010273576,-0.7549675406967542,4.434937673130194,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3567422258680143,0.9185179524259098,0.3435168194766341,0.3408040284085075,-0.1256594546220703,0.38426905924426813,0.3567422258680143,0.0030487214875567917,0.24418808357029062,0.9185179524259098,0.3435168194766341,0.3408040284085075,,,,,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.0030487214875567917 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8718993602660152,0.38426905924426813,-0.3346707391174396,0.31375060514722286,1.1977444712695653,1.6768820106685094,1.1482003483711312,5.450495780590717,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0430375466692268,0.45273797010244304,1.2767975290994371,1.0270189403016345,-0.1256594546220703,0.38426905924426813,1.0430375466692268,0.09522659422172154,0.23590523048130171,0.45273797010244304,1.2767975290994371,1.0270189403016345,0.10490290223618076,0.10652270937281319,0.1250553417491193,1.0,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.09522659422172154 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.471511722166568,0.1991604895127954,-0.38012606470537114,0.2806929489377043,0.7896110665005972,0.9790320083203781,0.5239327370701641,4.610088811420982,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7207323732215566,0.12017852433969399,0.7736891591296937,0.4396805123071587,-0.12757064097956794,0.38049687753633843,0.7207323732215566,0.08195031274623203,0.2315252859683451,0.12017852433969399,0.7736891591296937,0.4396805123071587,0.06348467634589294,0.06200696230877752,0.12233259783170601,0.8597422289613343,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.08195031274623203 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4834456546658545,0.23906109036136636,-0.3351414447752953,0.2872945062858347,0.892909827075018,1.2300874954500944,0.7133140173745189,5.199903225806452,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7373345876478491,0.5542092461512129,1.1027175060985155,0.5953163619226692,-0.12757064097956794,0.38049687753633843,0.7373345876478491,0.1646050047478082,0.23792215354743135,0.5542092461512129,1.1027175060985155,0.5953163619226692,0.12510283588667104,0.12772459364824296,0.12233259783170497,1.0,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.1646050047478082 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12757064097956794,-0.1289712334348475,-0.1690826766720137,0.1735550004750446,-0.7020816762092829,-0.9391202485096647,-0.7627702374562338,4.434937673130194,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3566350128813622,0.9094086093925517,0.3410389031373767,0.34323068236266063,-0.12757064097956794,0.38049687753633843,0.3566350128813622,0.0008114481901838402,0.24421446842224576,0.9094086093925517,0.3410389031373767,0.34323068236266063,,,,,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.0008114481901838402 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.84658652186382,0.38049687753633843,-0.3351414447752953,0.3137711931738517,1.1889529560324879,1.6644101874117805,1.1353322111249264,5.450495780590717,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0430957118136284,0.4411161049896523,1.2713755059664487,1.0342038701623104,-0.12757064097956794,0.38049687753633843,1.0430957118136284,0.09247708336063329,0.235922898703551,0.4411161049896523,1.2713755059664487,1.0342038701623104,0.10226494353629961,0.1038138544021649,0.12233259783170508,1.0,4.610088811420982,0.3801666666666666,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1713804713804714, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016832, ""Financials"": 0.10488215488215488, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09360269360269363, ""Health Care"": 0.09225589225589227, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03939393939393939, ""Utilities"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Energy"": 0.035690235690235696, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03518518518518519, ""Real Estate"": 0.02845117845117845}",0.09247708336063329 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8497059498981776,0.17758384180241626,-0.3346707391174397,0.2692313430689552,0.7436859980726641,0.9384261267319116,0.5306225523949977,5.0749377490039835,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6660837241716614,0.027702153235144127,0.7140180039327555,0.425626969695691,-0.1645249864281455,0.3778653887355885,0.6660837241716614,0.07112730139959146,0.23137871173318064,0.027702153235144127,0.7140180039327555,0.425626969695691,0.045725764371214846,0.042548601455584166,0.12394076692784144,0.7664897649734648,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",0.07112730139959146 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3635754018785748,0.2247003332616595,-0.33467073911743983,0.28877711138157985,0.8493297347797825,1.164320517363114,0.6714071682938781,5.883274193548388,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7440073570105352,0.5063194067212932,1.0850773205051134,0.6174378102235647,-0.1645249864281455,0.3778653887355885,0.7440073570105352,0.15251201388395816,0.2381847411973296,0.5063194067212932,1.0850773205051134,0.6174378102235647,0.11641818992454928,0.12019393310237493,0.1239407669278405,1.0,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",0.15251201388395816 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1645249864281455,-0.16629117198411425,-0.19486195151637498,0.19899120238057963,-0.8064029821317269,-1.0451234755298984,-0.8533793831482807,6.458483379501386,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3940433722713152,0.7403519758943328,0.3435168194766341,0.40741397736856294,-0.1645249864281455,0.3778653887355885,0.3940433722713152,-0.024939614382718883,0.2478191896903195,0.7403519758943328,0.3435168194766341,0.40741397736856294,,,,,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",-0.024939614382718883 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8290198551524894,0.3778653887355885,-0.3346707391174394,0.3108323868306246,1.1910699948396686,1.6520139836354935,1.1290661075780266,5.727900843881856,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0245718902824763,0.4305517900053395,1.2492805820885382,0.9830945854658413,-0.1645249864281455,0.3778653887355885,1.0245718902824763,0.0946237440994622,0.23512463364554892,0.4305517900053395,1.2492805820885382,0.9830945854658413,0.10431611240912092,0.10594028938152078,0.12394076692784056,1.0,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",0.0946237440994622 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.7700633092984615,0.1746023997261159,-0.3351414447752953,0.26922647537441124,0.7342558026842255,0.9263956461815117,0.5209812228481108,5.0749377490039835,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6660014334307907,0.01671271214052404,0.7094089385791523,0.4299163659317762,-0.16718861849510447,0.3739194859783588,0.6660014334307907,0.068600772185522,0.23139333654944355,0.01671271214052404,0.7094089385791523,0.4299163659317762,0.042900947192500594,0.03955717404686882,0.12113638395257302,0.7536012130401819,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",0.068600772185522 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3342199664345977,0.22109886911363152,-0.33514144477529517,0.2887955581122605,0.8390570724465978,1.150244247946983,0.6597180759361868,5.883274193548388,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7439782519184625,0.49386951770409243,1.0799784066631186,0.6227575257749755,-0.16718861849510447,0.3739194859783588,0.7439782519184625,0.14956461050427922,0.23821378064610912,0.49386951770409243,1.0799784066631186,0.6227575257749755,0.11357282458598593,0.11730659715554548,0.1211363839525722,1.0,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",0.14956461050427922 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16718861849510447,-0.1689804148952052,-0.19596692586912534,0.1989880232004233,-0.8225192594779684,-1.0665116533255732,-0.8622904816502412,6.458483379501386,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3938919311193072,0.7272445403897916,0.3410389031373767,0.4114211208761099,-0.16718861849510447,0.3739194859783588,0.3938919311193072,-0.02819608360228317,0.24787954294578762,0.7272445403897916,0.3410389031373767,0.4114211208761099,,,,,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",-0.02819608360228317 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.802819483826759,0.3739194859783588,-0.33514144477529517,0.3108549006101111,1.1817414572599338,1.6389394390929668,1.1157064929079823,5.727900843881856,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0246361644533808,0.4182989217817068,1.2436013024666046,0.9906995219576951,-0.16718861849510447,0.3739194859783588,1.0246361644533808,0.09173344886827756,0.23514362728097518,0.4182989217817068,1.2436013024666046,0.9906995219576951,0.10159545241476528,0.10316105566212985,0.12113638395257215,1.0,5.0749377490039835,0.4184999999999999,4.744897959183674,33.0,0.48000000000000015,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16599326599326603, ""Industrials"": 0.1163299663299663, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525253, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0915824915824916, ""Health Care"": 0.08821548821548822, ""Materials"": 0.04898989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.03737373737373737, ""Energy"": 0.0367003367003367, ""Utilities"": 0.03653198653198653, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.035858585858585854, ""Real Estate"": 0.027777777777777776}",0.09173344886827756 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1186661901960777,0.18726706814475835,-0.3594135754118509,0.2609250110837907,0.7905866040567421,0.9715439353117198,0.5210350441832076,4.348863919322708,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6893884195309113,0.057844390812558745,0.7299764226776526,0.4193549140363401,-0.11598521607127699,0.33249205298400475,0.6893884195309113,0.07267076604403601,0.21557711467154939,0.057844390812558745,0.7299764226776526,0.4193549140363401,0.055218766324450386,0.05035815422436417,0.10045151540613151,0.8840030326004549,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.07267076604403601 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.243445942061499,0.20973867556567782,-0.32399005191981767,0.26336326093715867,0.8577615067152075,1.1672104290936718,0.6473614678069954,4.919092741935485,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7007843446991994,0.4648702294200686,1.0218583474785616,0.5917395347130656,-0.11598521607127699,0.33249205298400475,0.7007843446991994,0.1385364823109055,0.21776708969745248,0.4648702294200686,1.0218583474785616,0.5917395347130656,0.09415609346555372,0.09613250947504129,0.10045151540613075,1.0,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.1385364823109055 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11598521607127699,-0.11726732231762815,-0.15721016136081312,0.1609762802997485,-0.6878914093172874,-0.9264700483350473,-0.7459271163044472,4.211504501385041,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33953467951692745,0.9604717649670187,0.4098537771190033,0.355051245571029,-0.11598521607127699,0.33249205298400475,0.33953467951692745,0.006045535867960944,0.24280393651696497,0.9604717649670187,0.4098537771190033,0.355051245571029,,,,,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.006045535867960944 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5377923342992301,0.33249205298400475,-0.3239900519198179,0.2873318966142661,1.1470318028032003,1.583944084782649,1.0262415497445303,5.151257911392406,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.9913602227179753,0.28936249219680366,1.1573741232212384,1.0038197989802145,-0.11598521607127699,0.33249205298400475,0.9913602227179753,0.06291303782984377,0.20938797363966197,0.28936249219680366,1.1573741232212384,1.0038197989802145,0.07040546471776331,0.0717262763464819,0.10045151540613069,1.0,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.06291303782984377 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.045609624230952,0.18469314446862173,-0.3604040521050452,0.260913284455277,0.7822717580890038,0.9612919250342891,0.5124613427342657,4.348863919322708,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.689330961623842,0.047737691891190065,0.7257940829000749,0.4226017868751687,-0.11782069111131832,0.3290635792682277,0.689330961623842,0.07050317749800976,0.21557812657063505,0.047737691891190065,0.7257940829000749,0.4226017868751687,0.05286002158250004,0.04812696447576434,0.09787624940896092,0.869598180439727,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.07050317749800976 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2201531687182183,0.2067671046000885,-0.3243983575127519,0.263368525781931,0.8483757326376729,1.1544879584659844,0.6373864102932785,4.919092741935485,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7007332026642795,0.45349979255956074,1.017241599075626,0.5956543712012674,-0.11782069111131832,0.3290635792682277,0.7007332026642795,0.13607545665833892,0.21778628583140047,0.45349979255956074,1.017241599075626,0.5956543712012674,0.09175171945206083,0.09367666923606209,0.09787624940896016,1.0,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.13607545665833892 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11782069111131832,-0.11912169008620044,-0.15840386322990663,0.16095232743866106,-0.7009761458573203,-0.9443294390905903,-0.7520125308642742,4.211504501385041,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3394228865978533,0.9517423309276735,0.40740853861778303,0.3573254442528581,-0.11782069111131832,0.3290635792682277,0.3394228865978533,0.003917543919927964,0.24283545672435092,0.9517423309276735,0.40740853861778303,0.3573254442528581,,,,,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.003917543919927964 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5166688295093178,0.3290635792682277,-0.3243983575127518,0.28734304813096084,1.1379953421429445,1.5715397222806111,1.0143811509751326,5.151257911392406,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.9913646211005952,0.2770036993325984,1.1522765387868152,1.0105910271524638,-0.11782069111131832,0.3290635792682277,0.9913646211005952,0.06032808170365862,0.20940244849448522,0.2770036993325984,1.1522765387868152,1.0105910271524638,0.06791503958592891,0.06918754154643145,0.0978762494089601,1.0,4.348863919322708,0.35862499999999997,5.928571428571429,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1486111111111111, ""Industrials"": 0.11893939393939393, ""Financials"": 0.10744949494949496, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Health Care"": 0.09166666666666665, ""Materials"": 0.05075757575757576, ""Communication"": 0.04583333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.039646464646464645, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03952020202020202, ""Real Estate"": 0.033207070707070706, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454546}",0.06032808170365862 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4987195004669562,0.16401106207177185,-0.3239900519198179,0.24891492688396338,0.7365296013600804,0.9229606403459746,0.5062225247346849,4.800575821713148,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6351731542681204,-0.04858419013994789,0.6646990933353261,0.4046617096681284,-0.15337926601921126,0.32854954458440355,0.6351731542681204,0.060227831030515794,0.2157220209761236,-0.04858419013994789,0.6646990933353261,0.4046617096681284,0.035459879245876166,0.032188882365766086,0.10050605558998599,0.7634571645185747,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",0.060227831030515794 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1279916128742853,0.1947705876665029,-0.3239900519198179,0.2641923931053149,0.8086165978858546,1.0978039209051786,0.6011622471504321,5.564171370967744,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7081397792909608,0.41010074855693984,0.999355711403176,0.6114803560535028,-0.15337926601921126,0.32854954458440355,0.7081397792909608,0.12534697105403153,0.21692455779728523,0.41010074855693984,0.999355711403176,0.6114803560535028,0.08472518752122798,0.08789959536845678,0.10050605558998517,1.0,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",0.12534697105403153 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15337926601921126,-0.15503719414503414,-0.17163003085264927,0.18120604711231486,-0.8311202071952043,-1.1009009665351708,-0.903322066510256,6.235050207756232,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.37480429836690177,0.7985712372377879,0.4098537771190033,0.4193862281541469,-0.15337926601921126,0.32854954458440355,0.37480429836690177,-0.021693619980053595,0.2421030326826781,0.7985712372377879,0.4098537771190033,0.4193862281541469,,,,,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",-0.021693619980053595 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5135122817846924,0.32854954458440355,-0.3239900519198179,0.28455041250660046,1.1449837528334608,1.5660800566784396,1.0140729403189024,5.3785759493670895,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.9757912236353671,0.27247548255121307,1.1298887430101032,0.9459210640237702,-0.15337926601921126,0.32854954458440355,0.9757912236353671,0.06332771554595643,0.20851711560332706,0.27247548255121307,1.1298887430101032,0.9459210640237702,0.0709057124842222,0.07219322523471904,0.10050605558998517,1.0,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",0.06332771554595643 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4302356666199048,0.16122406584691995,-0.32439835751275214,0.2489067598674294,0.7268914088471495,0.9108844979640937,0.4969940880190252,4.800575821713148,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6350731066690946,-0.05972820377118231,0.6603169572805863,0.4086504365157869,-0.15598568237690147,0.32497950749859106,0.6350731066690946,0.0578421951262195,0.2157390544113289,-0.05972820377118231,0.6603169572805863,0.4086504365157869,0.03277786497710793,0.02948520135729881,0.09787474944482383,0.7490523123578469,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",0.0578421951262195 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1030010799365626,0.19144929612620465,-0.3243983575127518,0.264204909645261,0.7980146298715812,1.0835636696809836,0.5901672794957938,5.564171370967744,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.708082565823847,0.39718036894796876,0.9945707364521156,0.6165226480788076,-0.15598568237690147,0.32497950749859106,0.708082565823847,0.12256313290507284,0.21695420859285636,0.39718036894796876,0.9945707364521156,0.6165226480788076,0.082061400945971,0.08526459502545307,0.09787474944482306,0.9967845659163987,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",0.12256313290507284 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15598568237690147,-0.15766908350871234,-0.17346714296022925,0.18120637069203085,-0.8481905615704978,-1.1241280728862235,-0.9089276552209146,6.235050207756232,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.37464827728247174,0.7855774753461547,0.40740853861778303,0.42323268441270845,-0.15598568237690147,0.32497950749859106,0.37464827728247174,-0.02484080785027793,0.24216961206555015,0.7855774753461547,0.40740853861778303,0.42323268441270845,,,,,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",-0.02484080785027793 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4916651720541876,0.32497950749859106,-0.3243983575127519,0.28456492975412906,1.1354449336052994,1.5531322053851977,1.0017914701859003,5.3785759493670895,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.975807267821029,0.25951661394265435,1.1245856817319304,0.953045336195055,-0.15598568237690147,0.32497950749859106,0.975807267821029,0.06062560841266142,0.2085338948477464,0.25951661394265435,1.1245856817319304,0.953045336195055,0.06835804487857994,0.06959843299233273,0.09787474944482301,1.0,4.800575821713148,0.395875,5.908163265306122,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14444444444444446, ""Industrials"": 0.11616161616161616, ""Financials"": 0.10454545454545454, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09419191919191916, ""Health Care"": 0.08939393939393939, ""Materials"": 0.0505050505050505, ""Communication"": 0.042803030303030294, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03977272727272727, ""Energy"": 0.033712121212121214, ""Real Estate"": 0.03194444444444444}",0.06062560841266142 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9653083332047836,0.18181642112404162,-0.3328604772045405,0.23647075242131738,0.8268637354326289,1.0134744926169423,0.5462241196401237,3.9340367695883125,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6583433032478927,0.008815947156834824,0.6968312060204545,0.39900522783868864,-0.1200554768571579,0.34197962297428397,0.6583433032478927,0.06793301208607513,0.19455630600373602,0.008815947156834824,0.6968312060204545,0.39900522783868864,0.03203890196172066,0.026898705834157103,0.1311181990531723,0.7232752084912812,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",0.06793301208607513 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2851156217867574,0.21499635710014386,-0.2728134178795236,0.23568317852460333,0.9474394983901141,1.2914770609964503,0.7880710515312257,4.308379032258064,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6590200656889309,0.504800013227727,0.9706214075707702,0.5153360092762076,-0.1200554768571579,0.34197962297428397,0.6590200656889309,0.14113589611861116,0.19537662299694347,0.504800013227727,0.9706214075707702,0.5153360092762076,0.0964175128186187,0.09834583565294684,0.13111819905317157,1.0,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",0.14113589611861116 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1200554768571579,-0.12137941737748503,-0.1590230641225262,0.15111044377217242,-0.7737015054397348,-1.0422730707997614,-0.7632818424625689,3.718265235457064,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3432966255984477,0.9671625314728958,0.4470894491121444,0.38015182306207035,-0.1200554768571579,0.34197962297428397,0.3432966255984477,0.0011592440690077535,0.23473422568335306,0.9671625314728958,0.4470894491121444,0.38015182306207035,,,,,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",0.0011592440690077535 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5968860100693112,0.34197962297428397,-0.27281341787952396,0.2558048041597558,1.2825086039043305,1.7651028079779014,1.253529337495065,4.502695147679324,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9125165308528579,0.3255705770955425,1.0865467501461068,0.7506950774489108,-0.1200554768571579,0.34197962297428397,0.9125165308528579,0.0826142254164657,0.18147237165629226,0.3255705770955425,1.0865467501461068,0.7506950774489108,0.0955831565899175,0.09642979606082955,0.13111819905317154,1.0,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",0.0826142254164657 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9016651186040185,0.17949986312712896,-0.33305916119295087,0.23645402552722278,0.8185869857649195,1.0032797853489637,0.5389428787492185,3.9340367695883125,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6582864292774081,-0.0013143152916088956,0.693117052262332,0.40206870158132196,-0.12166972021076938,0.33896399479400796,0.6582864292774081,0.06597313341227867,0.1945526527910366,-0.0013143152916088956,0.693117052262332,0.40206870158132196,0.029892353403833564,0.024784114308015425,0.12889410918601094,0.709628506444276,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",0.06597313341227867 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2643363341306992,0.2123837702112914,-0.2731940776170557,0.23568256915948915,0.9382725409459836,1.2790801173859017,0.7774098621163965,4.308379032258064,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6589662305887851,0.4937027901095117,0.9665904134756049,0.5187885196564141,-0.12166972021076938,0.33896399479400796,0.6589662305887851,0.1389815382915044,0.19539094043495606,0.4937027901095117,0.9665904134756049,0.5187885196564141,0.09432598901123135,0.09620566175359065,0.1288941091860102,1.0,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",0.1389815382915044 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12166972021076938,-0.12301019002050118,-0.16005249764848706,0.15109523090005936,-0.785989060302505,-1.0592687670307508,-0.7685615146766438,3.718265235457064,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3431876159442247,0.9591480109349798,0.44497242664083153,0.3821777051523522,-0.12166972021076938,0.33896399479400796,0.3431876159442247,-0.0007230694859111395,0.23477224020785173,0.9591480109349798,0.44497242664083153,0.3821777051523522,,,,,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",-0.0007230694859111395 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5780009937424322,0.33896399479400796,-0.27319407761705605,0.2558075093467355,1.2736662689430867,1.753012329243051,1.2407443007206895,4.502695147679324,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9125126333996463,0.31311730304680074,1.0820919465535654,0.7566313835625446,-0.12166972021076938,0.33896399479400796,0.9125126333996463,0.08035680753394712,0.18147703099267523,0.31311730304680074,1.0820919465535654,0.7566313835625446,0.09342477992261035,0.09424035690283894,0.12889410918601016,1.0,3.9340367695883125,0.3244166666666666,7.928571428571429,60.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11944444444444442, ""Industrials"": 0.11666666666666665, ""Financials"": 0.10159932659932658, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09882154882154882, ""Health Care"": 0.08947811447811449, ""Materials"": 0.057744107744107744, ""Communication"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222223, ""Real Estate"": 0.04520202020202021, ""Utilities"": 0.04065656565656566, ""Energy"": 0.03872053872053872}",0.08035680753394712 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.398619485974841,0.1599208928226845,-0.3177904818336895,0.22428447097095797,0.7754969125241915,0.9707364411844446,0.5032274469012464,4.4251597775564395,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6052544932133589,-0.10159950603158806,0.645626369580203,0.4039978329623178,-0.1730524173628959,0.3376018438254289,0.6052544932133589,0.05662518605433149,0.19568969935361638,-0.10159950603158806,0.645626369580203,0.4039978329623178,0.013698978506267206,0.011692955955576878,0.1307310251672768,0.5375284306292646,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.05662518605433149 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1248433999500724,0.19435383063960288,-0.27281341787952385,0.23645424754142347,0.8723930459198526,1.1847537116073683,0.7124056879248908,4.974076612903225,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6670561001515716,0.420555182113227,0.9470726774848195,0.5534564326145888,-0.1730524173628959,0.3376018438254289,0.6670561001515716,0.12311953707114755,0.19405684232963405,0.420555182113227,0.9470726774848195,0.5534564326145888,0.08397500559100653,0.08268274032274572,0.13073102516727608,1.0,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.12311953707114755 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1730524173628959,-0.1749002369626178,-0.1865102806821758,0.16960860345042555,-1.0391158520157575,-1.3719444791904103,-0.9377511862772746,5.750242382271468,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3787382764535687,0.7234305182347779,0.4470894491121444,0.4735777750961088,-0.1730524173628959,0.3376018438254289,0.3787382764535687,-0.04597954655114058,0.2318087681662093,0.7234305182347779,0.4470894491121444,0.4735777750961088,,,,,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",-0.04597954655114058 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5695019183368704,0.3376018438254289,-0.2728134178795234,0.2530538517810881,1.2807118050658102,1.7458195738431508,1.2374825492436614,4.754414556962025,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8977636710565039,0.30472375494715237,1.0577836400049914,0.6925271843566286,-0.1730524173628959,0.3376018438254289,0.8977636710565039,0.08259978722391878,0.18081707418923032,0.30472375494715237,1.0577836400049914,0.6925271843566286,0.09561801044807242,0.09652817618807338,0.13073102516727605,1.0,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.08259978722391878 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.3372752867413875,0.1573616924340555,-0.32194772821415063,0.22427218663244705,0.7656543123637812,0.9583768714634401,0.48878025419512483,4.4251597775564395,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.60515769725508,-0.11292024186048467,0.6416729841124764,0.40782157661285084,-0.17540263382785093,0.3344265935369515,0.60515769725508,0.05442699852898064,0.1957038379692169,-0.11292024186048467,0.6416729841124764,0.40782157661285084,0.011199200037728048,0.008991892326317825,0.1284363168655565,0.5269143290371494,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.05442699852898064 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1025298207866285,0.19138637570976802,-0.27319407761705583,0.2364634962827075,0.861807692090604,1.170541402651263,0.7005509686708506,4.974076612903225,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6669986046990592,0.4076405516144377,0.9428847223046658,0.5580826123871311,-0.17540263382785093,0.3344265935369515,0.6669986046990592,0.12063172375819857,0.1940842958695991,0.4076405516144377,0.9428847223046658,0.5580826123871311,0.0816084316764037,0.08033751951364436,0.1284363168655557,1.0,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.12063172375819857 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.17540263382785093,-0.17727276905239142,-0.18817877492180035,0.169622033924929,-1.0558532543635484,-1.3940926127536297,-0.9420444421856767,5.750242382271468,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3785840743850388,0.7108828942061162,0.44497242664083153,0.47717233692830285,-0.17540263382785093,0.3344265935369515,0.3785840743850388,-0.0488855709394742,0.23188706688761848,0.7108828942061162,0.44497242664083153,0.47717233692830285,,,,,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",-0.0488855709394742 +broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5497653849499282,0.3344265935369515,-0.27319407761705594,0.25306151757562345,1.2712495145410507,1.7330937003481137,1.2241355905442683,4.754414556962025,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8977766855296598,0.29152243078933127,1.0531371195360448,0.6989494369092075,-0.17540263382785093,0.3344265935369515,0.8977766855296598,0.08021156253703983,0.1808249668349325,0.29152243078933127,1.0531371195360448,0.6989494369092075,0.09338765179530922,0.094267918346474,0.12843631686555568,1.0,4.4251597775564395,0.3649166666666666,7.989795918367347,59.0,0.4823529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11927609427609426, ""Industrials"": 0.11473063973063974, ""Financials"": 0.09907407407407406, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09595959595959595, ""Health Care"": 0.08855218855218856, ""Materials"": 0.056986531986531974, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.046043771043771047, ""Communication"": 0.04511784511784512, ""Real Estate"": 0.0420875420875421, ""Utilities"": 0.04183501683501682, ""Energy"": 0.038215488215488216}",0.08021156253703983 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.593374815183062,0.2321586594395597,-0.32496248631596647,0.22801433836461307,1.0319095616799048,1.2370673286244684,0.7144167995250625,2.9588645418326696,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.5394036222752051,0.19031673830761547,0.6758391547573066,0.12999593931911566,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.5394036222752051,0.13074626080659615,0.21793292998025673,0.19031673830761547,0.6758391547573066,0.12999593931911566,0.07535626511029107,0.0558312569186302,0.2544728776284176,0.8453373768006065,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.13074626080659615 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2239448174535363,0.3176470010321506,-0.18394852146593377,0.21839830270127816,1.3769175425773192,1.8035736348759266,1.7268255189046302,3.157645161290324,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.4963808433306579,0.8027616816427716,0.9836322194556656,0.17538033315002882,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.4963808433306579,0.2388329371760553,0.21930172766984413,0.8027616816427716,0.9836322194556656,0.17538033315002882,0.1914995726062005,0.18820635752440518,0.25447287762841697,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.2388329371760553 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11327370427690042,-0.11452781774452292,-0.1473480842578787,0.11330335044007309,-1.008333081870156,-0.8390852976309747,-0.7772603106538123,2.124722991689751,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.1362808038224986,0.7754911033921286,0.0,0.18387404202639698,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.1362808038224986,-0.06737502521646138,0.29619038597511804,0.7754911033921286,0.0,0.18387404202639698,,,,,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",-0.06737502521646138 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.6357834802051356,0.48864765932588683,-0.183948521465934,0.2411610247735876,1.7768840321541206,2.5318919566129208,2.6564370043951726,3.4829746835443047,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.78272101357444,0.8421552133589941,1.2014372649093483,0.16059257237373792,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.78272101357444,0.2179712071671892,0.18942514880828312,0.8421552133589941,1.2014372649093483,0.16059257237373792,0.21816542171724845,0.2265668783183646,0.2544728776284169,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.2179712071671892 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.52577601428643,0.230343208703087,-0.3275691692317261,0.2279969587120907,1.0254865869181704,1.2292045082499627,0.7031895255689941,2.9588645418326696,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.5393895280254657,0.1835270672788294,0.6730084001708915,0.13224036890383856,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.5393895280254657,0.12926663952681022,0.21791843598593486,0.1835270672788294,0.6730084001708915,0.13224036890383856,0.07368318345053657,0.05434594609671379,0.2528939288155754,0.8407884761182715,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.12926663952681022 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.20245135974008,0.3155716776716817,-0.1841129708630962,0.21839400709387893,1.3696922975287686,1.792701861378311,1.7140111106367206,3.157645161290324,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.49636582710588983,0.795541321038746,0.9806457410398776,0.17786386689811398,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.49636582710588983,0.23725094432467417,0.21930119047498223,0.795541321038746,0.9806457410398776,0.17786386689811398,0.18983646758566428,0.18649042387516568,0.25289392881557476,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.23725094432467417 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11420526158137101,-0.11546900328424914,-0.1473480842578786,0.11330883483615634,-1.0175879045010994,-0.8350170735984558,-0.783647808288862,2.124722991689751,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.13627198039204289,0.7719185021537375,-0.0011209240602578431,0.18503767880806213,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.13627198039204289,-0.06843224321870368,0.29619555086336835,0.7719185021537375,-0.0011209240602578431,0.18503767880806213,,,,,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",-0.06843224321870368 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.615342495099122,0.4860629363265818,-0.18411297086309641,0.24115659895957944,1.769672412342374,2.5202546142096662,2.640025491131805,3.4829746835443047,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.7827109507354544,0.8329481791473957,1.1980376980005591,0.16537407993666342,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.7827109507354544,0.2162269201031795,0.1894216071240709,0.8329481791473957,1.1980376980005591,0.16537407993666342,0.21651690772896348,0.22496942726448144,0.2528939288155747,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.2162269201031795 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5800160851245675,0.20265205486462223,-0.4135198235570676,0.2244333278248855,0.936507678627365,1.1338149208514168,0.49006611852709725,3.395418326693228,9.579930278884461,6.806171648987464,0.5480387152802744,0.07726231530115202,0.6342551901023749,0.18114530386957256,-0.20055511683220428,0.49627011935610854,0.5480387152802744,0.10396601871668175,0.21187099078244748,0.07726231530115202,0.6342551901023749,0.18114530386957256,0.035583011828018964,0.0018226744380716571,0.26187761453596375,0.5140257771038665,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",0.10396601871668175 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9551721674330613,0.2908939248119984,-0.23980280114971775,0.2194817417088042,1.2773289240668606,1.7220935146358947,1.2130547408842924,3.6996290322580654,10.604032258064517,7.542213883677299,0.5256580191504792,0.7308977572079841,0.9828993462842958,0.25927490599923253,-0.20055511683220428,0.49627011935610854,0.5256580191504792,0.21481689106871155,0.21299962256941865,0.7308977572079841,0.9828993462842958,0.25927490599923253,0.18700323658565385,0.18205213123611247,0.2618776145359633,1.0,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",0.21481689106871155 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.20055511683220428,-0.2026590472114621,-0.20130294900081946,0.1317632209664373,-1.6388231634162738,-1.646834451718714,-1.0067366037972802,4.552977839335181,8.094182825484765,4.573705179282869,0.21143992043558987,0.46196316713433544,0.0,0.3438839717064054,-0.20055511683220428,0.49627011935610854,0.21143992043558987,-0.14321386120286936,0.2770868248162328,0.46196316713433544,0.0,0.3438839717064054,,,,,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",-0.14321386120286936 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.696530216971559,0.49627011935610854,-0.18394852146593377,0.2393061989030436,1.8102104951578484,2.5830804005339574,2.697875010906326,3.4521518987341784,11.404430379746836,8.45644171779141,0.7737871667253633,0.8691292008874302,1.2005421121061766,0.11196839462770694,-0.20055511683220428,0.49627011935610854,0.7737871667253633,0.22505373953441948,0.1889302478331708,0.8691292008874302,1.2005421121061766,0.11196839462770694,0.2258312165786331,0.23425956697860484,0.26187761453596314,1.0,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",0.22505373953441948 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5164715118381427,0.20061618880837484,-0.41663227017791593,0.2244224040153097,0.9289735354653177,1.1246237337904872,0.4815186032582282,3.395418326693228,9.579930278884461,6.806171648987464,0.5480194938977117,0.06923564809950657,0.6312750391690526,0.18420115748674043,-0.20235460281173112,0.4936942871486649,0.5480194938977117,0.10226868333546757,0.21186459495185656,0.06923564809950657,0.6312750391690526,0.18420115748674043,0.033585960180671205,-0.000356838161958175,0.2603105371981228,0.49962092494313876,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",0.10226868333546757 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9320841432387903,0.2885102124633816,-0.24237892948344852,0.21948289515558342,1.268867236626156,1.7091415677898918,1.190327117453018,3.6996290322580654,10.604032258064517,7.542213883677299,0.5256366777058817,0.7221628429543075,0.9800411386047388,0.2630893276908892,-0.20235460281173112,0.4936942871486649,0.5256366777058817,0.2129638293680029,0.21300628465789673,0.7221628429543075,0.9800411386047388,0.2630893276908892,0.18520603891260862,0.1802225892625111,0.26031053719812225,1.0,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",0.2129638293680029 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.20235460281173112,-0.20447490266592794,-0.20292060244429766,0.13177459766896235,-1.6558243137095419,-1.648792410203139,-1.0076596471866721,4.552977839335181,8.094182825484765,4.573705179282869,0.2113723387435054,0.4537606397851253,-0.0011209240602578431,0.3469384760998926,-0.20235460281173112,0.4936942871486649,0.2113723387435054,-0.14549606942900356,0.27711734336284194,0.4537606397851253,-0.0011209240602578431,0.3469384760998926,,,,,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",-0.14549606942900356 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.67592435632989,0.4936942871486649,-0.18411297086309641,0.23930431601256585,1.8029890403047881,2.5714371093303887,2.681474775157305,3.4521518987341784,11.404430379746836,8.45644171779141,0.7737951820835968,0.8599827283975935,1.1972992188396867,0.11710585144791179,-0.20235460281173112,0.4936942871486649,0.7737951820835968,0.2233200497425002,0.18892619144004574,0.8599827283975935,1.1972992188396867,0.11710585144791179,0.22419406510466577,0.23267342213838035,0.26031053719812225,1.0,3.395418326693228,0.28,2.5816326530612246,33.0,0.6243243243243243,"{""Information Technology"": 0.3020202020202019, ""Communication"": 0.2616161616161616}",0.2233200497425002 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.705335669135759,0.17213825367437652,-0.2645592325964834,0.18786267730284137,0.9415283363925866,1.1013748357125726,0.6506605420077282,2.361028386454183,9.094870517928285,6.970106075216972,0.4581692314573463,-0.08461047593080942,0.5375607053052953,0.15740686601900528,-0.09152149163625622,0.3743326096728148,0.4581692314573463,0.08807847229173697,0.20016265524312554,-0.08461047593080942,0.5375607053052953,0.15740686601900528,0.045038659893587116,0.02622392532322202,0.1972689695550973,0.6846095526914329,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",0.08807847229173697 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.548786131568932,0.2466671001557148,-0.15794048848997067,0.17627587703810882,1.3433773441164438,1.7670699867121065,1.5617724277924994,2.5867947580645163,9.89709677419355,7.849906191369606,0.40739213111510086,0.552509240376936,0.7820437409934903,0.15385873197592612,-0.09152149163625622,0.3743326096728148,0.40739213111510086,0.18601567452361764,0.2029569476225546,0.552509240376936,0.7820437409934903,0.15385873197592612,0.15468919410681697,0.15343348507658117,0.19726896955509673,1.0,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",0.18601567452361764 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09152149163625622,-0.09254749808700102,-0.11937869659588174,0.09665371507702335,-0.9484884041448683,-0.806580484961836,-0.775242993314719,1.9780159279778393,4.0470914127423825,3.1553784860557768,0.11887935285443278,0.8512773146013292,0.0,0.1481064289957394,-0.09152149163625622,0.3743326096728148,0.11887935285443278,-0.05078750084419453,0.296337742677309,0.8512773146013292,0.0,0.1481064289957394,,,,,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",-0.05078750084419453 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8055546808251215,0.3743326096728148,-0.15794048848997078,0.1938901675605513,1.7430939729971568,2.4914348084080076,2.3700864373139185,2.7809857594936713,11.712658227848102,9.295705521472392,0.6369705816067701,0.42134897423487433,0.9552111801895308,0.1638736361387492,-0.09152149163625622,0.3743326096728148,0.6369705816067701,0.16663019474604254,0.16370986813377522,0.42134897423487433,0.9552111801895308,0.1638736361387492,0.16908496417515007,0.17305782195722302,0.19726896955509673,1.0,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",0.16663019474604254 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6695240433619416,0.17075862545675946,-0.2668742633578741,0.18785115938273822,0.9352893528262735,1.0940331127019685,0.6398467327206253,2.361028386454183,9.094870517928285,6.970106075216972,0.45817178072040404,-0.09052511122784296,0.5353126912272218,0.15918753102669123,-0.09240885868083792,0.3724259997776682,0.45817178072040404,0.08689513346468795,0.2001511185393359,-0.09052511122784296,0.5353126912272218,0.15918753102669123,0.043708522096176254,0.02491781112421757,0.19602573716452124,0.6770280515542078,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",0.08689513346468795 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5348538129761744,0.24505790662611626,-0.1580846281270929,0.17627197528629113,1.3360461355366569,1.754806425059131,1.550169105810217,2.5867947580645163,9.89709677419355,7.849906191369606,0.40738436206727724,0.5461196118436302,0.779594439183006,0.15586246485379124,-0.09240885868083792,0.3724259997776682,0.40738436206727724,0.18471911494379675,0.20295565003314006,0.5461196118436302,0.779594439183006,0.15586246485379124,0.15336842956953692,0.15200346699341513,0.1960257371645207,1.0,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",0.18471911494379675 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09240885868083792,-0.09344429285341782,-0.11937869659588174,0.09664721217180304,-0.9587066228633757,-0.7896476107265754,-0.782755177582006,1.9780159279778393,4.0470914127423825,3.1553784860557768,0.11887730271081104,0.8479696025995213,-0.0011209240602578431,0.14916278928098772,-0.09240885868083792,0.3724259997776682,0.11887730271081104,-0.051769600393980444,0.2963363340014971,0.8479696025995213,-0.0011209240602578431,0.14916278928098772,,,,,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",-0.051769600393980444 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7929468431036417,0.3724259997776682,-0.1580846281270929,0.19388738186430024,1.735924688297758,2.479424611776488,2.35586473011313,2.7809857594936713,11.712658227848102,9.295705521472392,0.636964151600765,0.41283289411457946,0.9524677365539365,0.16752676852742285,-0.09240885868083792,0.3724259997776682,0.636964151600765,0.1652370347815035,0.1637081162941028,0.41283289411457946,0.9524677365539365,0.16752676852742285,0.16778859489210124,0.17177840600297473,0.19602573716452068,1.0,2.361028386454183,0.1947,2.510204081632653,33.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Communication"": 0.23292929292929296, ""Information Technology"": 0.23292929292929296}",0.1652370347815035 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.062996871295756,0.1453877466443012,-0.369028091821369,0.1860456662402224,0.8245150886459379,0.9762675784783741,0.3939747403151013,2.783939865537848,9.579930278884461,7.62198649951784,0.47026695532809926,-0.20731720283638497,0.5071490392442319,0.21939730556917503,-0.18016999143516021,0.3764682739092411,0.47026695532809926,0.06225319031043775,0.19494972925398815,-0.20731720283638497,0.5071490392442319,0.21939730556917503,0.006475215170880206,-0.023164255640315635,0.19952533923446727,0.3464746019711903,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",0.06225319031043775 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3116942484704959,0.2183117591234025,-0.21279745316431575,0.17844442256871204,1.1997592952827971,1.619176519785368,1.0259134020501117,3.1411499999999997,10.839677419354839,8.660412757973734,0.43859473816568995,0.4554264181993106,0.7862779923278826,0.255534705714869,-0.18016999143516021,0.3764682739092411,0.43859473816568995,0.15941099841134407,0.19634549189010295,0.4554264181993106,0.7862779923278826,0.255534705714869,0.1453140404159973,0.1427509465449704,0.1995253392344667,1.0,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",0.15941099841134407 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.18016999143516021,-0.1820851486099614,-0.184304368330511,0.11563997950611137,-1.666159314924637,-1.7091538823467156,-0.9879589412847236,4.406270775623269,8.094182825484765,5.896414342629482,0.19088664945746542,0.5450531063359219,0.0,0.3069001022183981,-0.18016999143516021,0.3764682739092411,0.19088664945746542,-0.12702097445503452,0.277525061281661,0.5450531063359219,0.0,0.3069001022183981,,,,,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",-0.12702097445503452 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8197238748521136,0.3764682739092411,-0.15794048848997078,0.19304448587265832,1.7579574270194387,2.5064631108110915,2.383608392683595,2.766344936708861,11.712658227848102,9.511656441717792,0.6341232402342114,0.4306987687449655,0.9603830190552264,0.1661062585276953,-0.18016999143516021,0.3764682739092411,0.6341232402342114,0.16879130571200893,0.16339538281509955,0.4306987687449655,0.9603830190552264,0.1661062585276953,0.17142446216425236,0.17535900946936683,0.1995253392344667,1.0,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",0.16879130571200893 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.0280826888067716,0.14379653369674883,-0.37193136665290605,0.18603962421104875,0.817044980070796,0.9674126875167861,0.3866211526895571,2.783939865537848,9.579930278884461,7.62198649951784,0.4702641174589788,-0.21447687683552183,0.504763656005242,0.22197691531092775,-0.1819541894269152,0.3745683205381607,0.4702641174589788,0.06085902239254085,0.19494479365748335,-0.21447687683552183,0.504763656005242,0.22197691531092775,0.0048297188481703805,-0.024906000816365494,0.19828661483759186,0.34495830174374525,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",0.06085902239254085 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2963495615434444,0.21640124940408412,-0.21524528254123665,0.17844452618609527,1.1909290142763238,1.6040369740603642,1.0053704631720606,3.1411499999999997,10.839677419354839,8.660412757973734,0.4385777026450069,0.44739081903866873,0.7839242509329404,0.2588488581411243,-0.1819541894269152,0.3745683205381607,0.4385777026450069,0.1578375312256356,0.1963503258638109,0.44739081903866873,0.7839242509329404,0.2588488581411243,0.14385155446693412,0.14125941571764106,0.19828661483759127,1.0,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",0.1578375312256356 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1819541894269152,-0.18388611158448265,-0.1859253598794608,0.11563551805418906,-1.6851293409633084,-1.6919029186233947,-0.9890318980891029,4.406270775623269,8.094182825484765,5.896414342629482,0.19082584105221484,0.5371356486748144,-0.0011209240602578431,0.3098463162844837,-0.1819541894269152,0.3745683205381607,0.19082584105221484,-0.12922806422871239,0.27754575926329084,0.5371356486748144,-0.0011209240602578431,0.3098463162844837,,,,,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",-0.12922806422871239 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.807116095288992,0.3745683205381607,-0.158084628127093,0.19304337608420705,1.750779791197243,2.49457856659814,2.3694164636742823,2.766344936708861,11.712658227848102,9.511656441717792,0.6341296718421832,0.42221421040005724,0.9577562957161125,0.17006100089290493,-0.1819541894269152,0.3745683205381607,0.6341296718421832,0.16740202966281315,0.16339252087095643,0.42221421040005724,0.9577562957161125,0.17006100089290493,0.17013223594723556,0.17408390393934353,0.1982866148375913,1.0,2.783939865537848,0.22957500000000003,3.0306122448979593,33.0,0.6324324324324324,"{""Communication"": 0.2381818181818182, ""Information Technology"": 0.2381818181818182}",0.16740202966281315 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.847215444981805,0.13528592671736583,-0.2481918635425736,0.15339014205824203,0.9060133884472368,1.018252425055193,0.5450860668289376,1.9435738296812748,8.731075697211155,6.970106075216972,0.3846527053432126,-0.2863067433780364,0.42505646080595494,0.12982573215400708,-0.07349723452477785,0.3138804199471825,0.3846527053432126,0.06442248464090376,0.19154410597271698,-0.2863067433780364,0.42505646080595494,0.12982573215400708,0.02574942649825539,0.005623733534517504,0.1721442548007263,0.5451099317664898,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",0.06442248464090376 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.246382663743454,0.21011165090405548,-0.1371669973193611,0.14387964142294649,1.402181370644306,1.8239402425001063,1.5317944914610904,2.2233120967741935,9.425806451612903,7.849906191369606,0.334520234503928,0.39138615108545566,0.6438472359264371,0.0990975098418892,-0.07349723452477785,0.3138804199471825,0.334520234503928,0.16004090566946355,0.1969306324135045,0.39138615108545566,0.6438472359264371,0.0990975098418892,0.12706810137462807,0.12437857703130721,0.17214425480072587,1.0,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",0.16004090566946355 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07349723452477785,-0.07432952610103516,-0.09067339898711191,0.08553746454674024,-0.8531043288178586,-0.749370829812107,-0.8197500803030465,1.8970740997229916,4.0470914127423825,3.1553784860557768,0.1065819637779675,0.9117624367015679,0.0,0.11847048687928007,-0.07349723452477785,0.3138804199471825,0.1065819637779675,-0.03631452462159485,0.2971916077928985,0.9117624367015679,0.0,0.11847048687928007,,,,,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",-0.03631452462159485 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4245827939771272,0.3138804199471825,-0.137166997319361,0.15717146396837492,1.8219062554441343,2.5689740423349634,2.2883086025159973,2.3302025316455697,11.09620253164557,9.295705521472392,0.5157214373453703,0.11334296860479819,0.7864139124875097,0.06536866957629117,-0.07349723452477785,0.3138804199471825,0.5157214373453703,0.14762786838958794,0.15317999966913237,0.11334296860479819,0.7864139124875097,0.06536866957629117,0.14824427074432925,0.15151509668472174,0.17214425480072584,1.0,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",0.14762786838958794 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.824525346972071,0.13418493982365765,-0.2483307823284593,0.15338302846260082,0.8997072123533296,1.011511612387128,0.5403475902805133,1.9435738296812748,8.731075697211155,6.970106075216972,0.3846648797490235,-0.2914043789979903,0.42321505459031167,0.13129093545389087,-0.07436506531284615,0.31235346532183517,0.3846648797490235,0.0634464196717433,0.1915347833358533,-0.2914043789979903,0.42321505459031167,0.13129093545389087,0.024648412843359245,0.004544235213088816,0.1711159605688117,0.5329795299469295,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",0.0634464196717433 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.235827524770023,0.20876936345995256,-0.1372973169151962,0.14387265910282648,1.3944980769130026,1.8116586314111243,1.5205640441531874,2.2233120967741935,9.425806451612903,7.849906191369606,0.3345121213110128,0.3857287944388682,0.6417485313616803,0.10081486547639412,-0.07436506531284615,0.31235346532183517,0.3345121213110128,0.15892671075761744,0.19692778181795262,0.3857287944388682,0.6417485313616803,0.10081486547639412,0.12596972248033037,0.12326417720628566,0.1711159605688113,1.0,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",0.15892671075761744 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07436506531284615,-0.07520678013156945,-0.09067339898711202,0.08552964279218685,-0.8641871277339322,-0.7330804147951773,-0.8294249578342052,1.8970740997229916,4.0470914127423825,3.1553784860557768,0.10658365062018518,0.9086040073283447,-0.0011209240602578431,0.11946874176630061,-0.07436506531284615,0.31235346532183517,0.10658365062018518,-0.03725517950795656,0.29718877228236623,0.9086040073283447,-0.0011209240602578431,0.11946874176630061,,,,,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",-0.03725517950795656 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4154528324124778,0.31235346532183517,-0.13729731691519576,0.15716490053860444,1.8145456595454748,2.5571694091937864,2.2750150719607003,2.3302025316455697,11.09620253164557,9.295705521472392,0.5157086726367422,0.10571520767359226,0.7840986986187529,0.0683379976980375,-0.07436506531284615,0.31235346532183517,0.5157086726367422,0.14646251668990315,0.1531765483288447,0.10571520767359226,0.7840986986187529,0.0683379976980375,0.1471761648768435,0.15045803699578036,0.17111596056881126,1.0,1.9435738296812748,0.160275,2.438775510204082,58.0,0.6694444444444444,"{""Communication"": 0.18606060606060607, ""Information Technology"": 0.18606060606060607}",0.14646251668990315 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.566148454847255,0.1210669006119367,-0.3019804795210883,0.1556565353757631,0.8139167888108775,0.9281819354668933,0.40090969059966075,2.3864940239043824,9.21613545816733,7.62198649951784,0.40318093694470925,-0.35738026365958425,0.42572831059455185,0.1923869798847445,-0.16390452480492312,0.31554884306294406,0.40318093694470925,0.04854940104046425,0.1878179377817161,-0.35738026365958425,0.42572831059455185,0.1923869798847445,0.001802955565540586,-0.02480411014689936,0.17311149169367707,0.35329795299469297,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",0.04854940104046425 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0355462430298767,0.18233127497214996,-0.18003655736779622,0.14752450565672176,1.2131153501762153,1.6085443531800905,1.0127458424994533,2.792395161290323,10.368387096774194,8.660412757973734,0.36821342055164713,0.28551517965412804,0.6480814872608295,0.20170971629669152,-0.16390452480492312,0.31554884306294406,0.36821342055164713,0.13305928487199198,0.19016436127146516,0.28551517965412804,0.6480814872608295,0.20170971629669152,0.11663089085751922,0.11279463585348408,0.17311149169367665,1.0,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",0.13305928487199198 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16390452480492312,-0.16566473011079275,-0.1688676441880519,0.10659415435486168,-1.6320977768206888,-1.6989766429528235,-0.9810329912952871,4.325328947368421,8.094182825484765,5.896414342629482,0.17858926038100012,0.6103795168119173,0.0,0.2772641601019388,-0.16390452480492312,0.31554884306294406,0.17858926038100012,-0.11254799823243487,0.2784635439808853,0.6103795168119173,0.0,0.2772641601019388,,,,,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",-0.11254799823243487 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4345858857266798,0.31554884306294406,-0.1371669973193611,0.1573774662098283,1.8278345449046582,2.555002834273399,2.3004720466998543,2.3348259493670884,11.09620253164557,9.511656441717792,0.5173925393941464,0.12205793759318971,0.7915857513532052,0.07016752938629511,-0.16390452480492312,0.31554884306294406,0.5173925393941464,0.14848665493450106,0.15296155422683674,0.12205793759318971,0.7915857513532052,0.07016752938629511,0.14916436706902286,0.15245650525823906,0.17311149169367662,1.0,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",0.14848665493450106 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.5410397505734879,0.11973097022879475,-0.3048950257737777,0.1556540545913779,0.8062486072709278,0.919991838439252,0.39269571527097097,2.3864940239043824,9.21613545816733,7.62198649951784,0.40318697434837225,-0.36375355070853954,0.4237267865344813,0.1946693881761628,-0.16569064420315194,0.31401670480258703,0.40318697434837225,0.047352628207669,0.1878140479768564,-0.36375355070853954,0.4237267865344813,0.1946693881761628,0.00037629908858858365,-0.02617252748154639,0.17207779197697792,0.34874905231235787,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",0.047352628207669 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0235329324640845,0.1806832594463379,-0.18245666831749585,0.14752149861423866,1.2036454845353366,1.5934135147344652,0.9902803833506812,2.792395161290323,10.368387096774194,8.660412757973734,0.36819493047964447,0.2781453168304375,0.6460774250687531,0.2047674417343715,-0.16569064420315194,0.31401670480258703,0.36819493047964447,0.13166093335832693,0.19016734027582918,0.2781453168304375,0.6460774250687531,0.2047674417343715,0.11538077924126819,0.11147458200859361,0.1720777919769775,1.0,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",0.13166093335832693 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16569064420315194,-0.16746805000798914,-0.17050280646639904,0.1065899258610465,-1.6522959074997239,-1.6799241817667359,-0.982201134859279,4.325328947368421,8.094182825484765,5.896414342629482,0.17853218896158898,0.6026307263132288,-0.0011209240602578431,0.2801522687697966,-0.16569064420315194,0.31401670480258703,0.17853218896158898,-0.11471364334268848,0.27848302477909664,0.6026307263132288,-0.0011209240602578431,0.2801522687697966,,,,,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",-0.11471364334268848 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4253988264717634,0.31401670480258703,-0.13729731691519587,0.15737198647801587,1.8204565592964175,2.5434938038147057,2.2871292160541277,2.3348259493670884,11.09620253164557,9.511656441717792,0.5173907628093274,0.11440561187841432,0.7893861364564309,0.07352056188621216,-0.16569064420315194,0.31401670480258703,0.5173907628093274,0.14731602852321324,0.15295637388920513,0.11440561187841432,0.7893861364564309,0.07352056188621216,0.14809053729162336,0.1513938664673949,0.17207779197697748,1.0,2.3864940239043824,0.1968,2.9591836734693877,33.0,0.6432432432432432,"{""Communication"": 0.19454545454545455, ""Information Technology"": 0.19454545454545455}",0.14731602852321324 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.1477977521119165,0.0971326960319101,-0.22577987642885367,0.14089833167511465,0.7298333128811255,0.8489782385252764,0.4302097138516149,0.9337400398406374,4.001743027888446,3.7941176470588234,0.3346050490177318,-0.46234710498651505,0.39775320829139904,0.2531015843696646,-0.08264129238372608,0.19961975180293412,0.3346050490177318,0.0379811895018289,0.19678201590919017,-0.46234710498651505,0.39775320829139904,0.2531015843696646,0.045079128683688234,0.026026257654079545,0.08277511767035753,0.8673237300985596,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",0.0379811895018289 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6557111303498977,0.12616662874188567,-0.22577987642885433,0.16044570299531088,0.8230602295999877,1.0978352307479948,0.5588036929484375,1.4138709677419357,6.3624193548387105,4.210131332082551,0.35344759914186474,0.03615062868759938,0.5657976370835688,0.2830337218187457,-0.08264129238372608,0.19961975180293412,0.35344759914186474,0.08799236622532987,0.20434074998794624,0.03615062868759938,0.5657976370835688,0.2830337218187457,0.12142851126446956,0.13405139959381468,0.0827751176703571,1.0,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",0.08799236622532987 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08264129238372608,-0.08357238590266058,-0.1196528395624481,0.09614762252948844,-0.8525417547404955,-0.6318947215164346,-0.6984571883815868,1.7200138504155122,3.0353185595567864,0.9641434262948207,0.10420060837814492,0.8696633027171786,-0.10358753081692572,0.09104573881212866,-0.08264129238372608,0.19961975180293412,0.10420060837814492,-0.0461310507943424,0.3012322839488791,0.8696633027171786,-0.10358753081692572,0.09104573881212866,,,,,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",-0.0461310507943424 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.8048677323314561,0.19961975180293412,-0.22577987642885433,0.17535883365090438,1.1289498997850926,1.6679515262497864,0.884134383277672,1.3253797468354434,7.39746835443038,5.2098159509202455,0.5531205925656563,-0.43572780482120427,0.7140191613858843,0.6172896288611387,-0.08264129238372608,0.19961975180293412,0.5531205925656563,0.04918754149598885,0.1629881293447304,-0.43572780482120427,0.7140191613858843,0.6172896288611387,0.07135536365207255,0.07196398186010233,0.08277511767035713,1.0,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",0.04918754149598885 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.1395418708973457,0.09662042583988528,-0.22586829928002383,0.14090061992047362,0.7265014485869681,0.8455792275918561,0.42777329155030547,0.9337400398406374,4.001743027888446,3.7941176470588234,0.33463216602570706,-0.4647390093886291,0.3969587575515313,0.2539777492457722,-0.08342133251847061,0.19882598468732504,0.33463216602570706,0.037508142142139204,0.19677579292552622,-0.4647390093886291,0.3969587575515313,0.2539777492457722,0.0445493570387727,0.025634163717135887,0.08215238156955451,0.8658074298711145,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",0.037508142142139204 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6507545532797907,0.12537128303442735,-0.22586829928002383,0.1604449959186981,0.8186436924865561,1.092180539140684,0.5550636518451679,1.4138709677419357,6.3624193548387105,4.210131332082551,0.35343560001757734,0.03267956412507204,0.5646998552310322,0.28447079691581767,-0.08342133251847061,0.19882598468732504,0.35343560001757734,0.08728466890354347,0.20434340272176083,0.03267956412507204,0.5646998552310322,0.28447079691581767,0.12065455399814641,0.13322392184936574,0.08215238156955404,1.0,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",0.08728466890354347 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08342133251847061,-0.08436080434821314,-0.12013744960901629,0.09615173165895569,-0.8613807349135338,-0.6241853981116554,-0.7022023908678171,1.7200138504155122,3.0353185595567864,0.9641434262948207,0.1041990100416493,0.8668249718947254,-0.1046793810659804,0.09193325127751617,-0.08342133251847061,0.19882598468732504,0.1041990100416493,-0.04698498698122036,0.30123414178883406,0.8668249718947254,-0.1046793810659804,0.09193325127751617,,,,,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",-0.04698498698122036 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.8009960430516516,0.19882598468732504,-0.22586829928002394,0.17535701215911884,1.1251705875412032,1.6623073280845755,0.8802739708099863,1.3253797468354434,7.39746835443038,5.2098159509202455,0.5530973743859097,-0.43979668356159035,0.7129200661022294,0.619683506321846,-0.08342133251847061,0.19882598468732504,0.5530973743859097,0.048529001673383323,0.16299178180894308,-0.43979668356159035,0.7129200661022294,0.619683506321846,0.07070172879789505,0.07134036680278263,0.08215238156955407,1.0,0.9337400398406374,0.077,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.27402597402597395, ""Information Technology"": 0.09466089466089465}",0.048529001673383323 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.716782053014035,0.0677331349981436,-0.27360178712658634,0.14470222574801583,0.5262577152625523,0.62317303201782,0.24756101087455892,1.3321819863403528,4.608067729083665,3.901639344262295,0.3559052997133672,-0.60859057233523,0.36951273117182415,0.3366796702232246,-0.18327190913025304,0.1916523241318664,0.3559052997133672,0.007171271553097181,0.19333725198511234,-0.60859057233523,0.36951273117182415,0.3366796702232246,0.0013340107460603678,-0.017777816172992383,0.07400440074375722,0.30022744503411675,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",0.007171271553097181 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.44255896669280004,0.09018212486566735,-0.2257798764288539,0.16860867893164624,0.5978672677250775,0.8387315214262842,0.39942498991527653,1.9524884792626727,7.305000000000001,4.592870544090056,0.40772807456004706,-0.12160467871259657,0.5657976370835688,0.4201174935109954,-0.18327190913025304,0.1916523241318664,0.40772807456004706,0.04997438330598017,0.1962409722400105,-0.12160467871259657,0.5657976370835688,0.4201174935109954,0.08871007505842828,0.09142502159385937,0.07400440074375678,1.0,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",0.04997438330598017 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.18327190913025304,-0.18521618338581824,-0.1997179239382879,0.13845237113246356,-1.3983827305254142,-1.6226165662071719,-0.9273888879550408,3.425573802928373,7.0824099722991685,2.414342629482072,0.21628902600936384,0.5397053599372069,-0.10358753081692572,0.2720071505915686,-0.18327190913025304,0.1916523241318664,0.21628902600936384,-0.11921884346811219,0.2785429460900595,0.5397053599372069,-0.10358753081692572,0.2720071505915686,,,,,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",-0.11921884346811219 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.7662658880222843,0.1916523241318664,-0.22577987642885455,0.17647132104205107,1.0850386836925388,1.607827190332347,0.8488459076301156,1.5103164556962028,7.39746835443038,5.263803680981595,0.5598325797537244,-0.47680102435502103,0.7140191613858843,0.6779813256092084,-0.18327190913025304,0.1916523241318664,0.5598325797537244,0.04088895763786022,0.16256589989464523,-0.47680102435502103,0.7140191613858843,0.6779813256092084,0.06238620832392812,0.0630290540875616,0.07400440074375675,1.0,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",0.04088895763786022 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.7073794635601729,0.0670222854537097,-0.2756260950037934,0.1447026651899407,0.5216438594112313,0.6182789955929058,0.2431637884387807,1.3321819863403528,4.608067729083665,3.901639344262295,0.35591584281602995,-0.6120514094780195,0.36850532924651785,0.33813378646270287,-0.184655015700408,0.19075355271338257,0.35591584281602995,0.006501822174556112,0.19333446992474354,-0.6120514094780195,0.36850532924651785,0.33813378646270287,0.0004923890419498445,-0.018787140827166617,0.07337979341980445,0.30022744503411675,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",0.006501822174556112 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.4365951003541857,0.08911837571066594,-0.2258682992800234,0.1686106502877468,0.5920518538771058,0.8306196769168311,0.39455902397432135,1.9524884792626727,7.305000000000001,4.592870544090056,0.4077167775157354,-0.12659216709820847,0.5645722772012888,0.42250251748648937,-0.184655015700408,0.19075355271338257,0.4077167775157354,0.04899642960074828,0.19624581086074924,-0.12659216709820847,0.5645722772012888,0.42250251748648937,0.08777504747210847,0.09035783093909679,0.07337979341980398,1.0,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",0.04899642960074828 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.184655015700408,-0.18661222780417774,-0.20107317963446392,0.1384576198832728,-1.4106049674276784,-1.6113019801041217,-0.9280811500739427,3.425573802928373,7.0824099722991685,2.414342629482072,0.21624371395065362,0.5335665244387665,-0.1046793810659804,0.274228724589221,-0.184655015700408,0.19075355271338257,0.21624371395065362,-0.12093402971503416,0.2785623021238421,0.5335665244387665,-0.1046793810659804,0.274228724589221,,,,,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",-0.12093402971503416 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.7619475535110585,0.19075355271338257,-0.22586829928002383,0.176470593270819,1.0807503978183657,1.6015762739658101,0.8445344181606149,1.5103164556962028,7.39746835443038,5.263803680981595,0.5598348629313866,-0.48146493471774326,0.7127642385519665,0.6806509201070022,-0.184655015700408,0.19075355271338257,0.5598348629313866,0.04013079747409327,0.16256455655097188,-0.48146493471774326,0.7127642385519665,0.6806509201070022,0.06172872790597681,0.062403398234105636,0.0733797934198039,1.0,1.3321819863403528,0.10985714285714286,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.28210678210678203, ""Information Technology"": 0.09668109668109666}",0.04013079747409327 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.9285753235564334,0.08290211001898218,-0.207824137558844,0.11986007071492731,0.7257590288842806,0.8436947767237019,0.39890510790888767,0.7954980079681275,4.001743027888446,3.7941176470588234,0.28197619088180254,-0.539255872262801,0.3307973653672392,0.20452401918171945,-0.0696737121043951,0.1725364768379114,0.28197619088180254,0.03233862564343825,0.19809587345350277,-0.539255872262801,0.3307973653672392,0.20452401918171945,0.03838634734736341,0.020926555096868516,0.06768370378602162,0.8658074298711145,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",0.03233862564343825 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5592136427152163,0.11034330273435167,-0.20782413755884444,0.14037466639298016,0.8180646583640988,1.07935697348056,0.5309455582516659,1.2253548387096775,6.3624193548387105,4.210131332082551,0.3118415531454406,-0.04900838585954128,0.4795348347076568,0.2314294180209655,-0.0696737121043951,0.1725364768379114,0.3118415531454406,0.07595844464794793,0.20065702815694864,-0.04900838585954128,0.4795348347076568,0.2314294180209655,0.10441691388072298,0.11483379157932572,0.06768370378602118,1.0,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",0.07595844464794793 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0696737121043951,-0.07046437131380279,-0.10484427490117543,0.08688175350123083,-0.7910600543698469,-0.568114475649932,-0.6720860188142976,1.5378947368421052,3.0353185595567864,0.9641434262948207,0.09309787105248381,0.9106633849886225,-0.09597718068407962,0.07277139894679971,-0.0696737121043951,0.1725364768379114,0.09309787105248381,-0.036708553930624666,0.3022102850049748,0.9106633849886225,-0.09597718068407962,0.07277139894679971,,,,,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",-0.036708553930624666 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6759857944486933,0.1725364768379114,-0.20782413755884388,0.15295463631862188,1.1203899295760669,1.6411887864416266,0.8302042239393822,1.1342784810126583,7.39746835443038,5.2098159509202455,0.4871740645938372,-0.6248808220383465,0.6069700876326832,0.5076570195857821,-0.0696737121043951,0.1725364768379114,0.4871740645938372,0.040323981236893854,0.1562233306442695,-0.6248808220383465,0.6069700876326832,0.5076570195857821,0.061092469306518224,0.06297284959189191,0.06768370378602118,1.0,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",0.040323981236893854 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.9222581720393612,0.08247135038095199,-0.20791461111571952,0.11986202822716581,0.7224222347263449,0.8403402661028601,0.3966597149589007,0.7954980079681275,4.001743027888446,3.7941176470588234,0.28199916019415494,-0.5412825353549554,0.3301290936526006,0.20528380792728712,-0.0703810294044026,0.1718722790614946,0.28199916019415494,0.03193563963825941,0.1980904430878826,-0.5412825353549554,0.3301290936526006,0.20528380792728712,0.037938080328170316,0.02062247250042316,0.06714510010288534,0.8612585291887794,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",0.03193563963825941 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5551666583272479,0.10966351558430709,-0.2079146111157204,0.1403746283147068,0.8136863529450176,1.0739783373831144,0.5274449688544061,1.2253548387096775,6.3624193548387105,4.210131332082551,0.3118343082287629,-0.05207098890482853,0.47858595305550256,0.23267561438772877,-0.0703810294044026,0.1718722790614946,0.3118343082287629,0.07534471372124316,0.20065897397844787,-0.05207098890482853,0.47858595305550256,0.23267561438772877,0.1037473785879117,0.11414994345736257,0.06714510010288496,1.0,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",0.07534471372124316 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0703810294044026,-0.07117940434877046,-0.10527432920406843,0.08688602043302177,-0.7998031465884311,-0.565187016206571,-0.6761325850938755,1.5378947368421052,3.0353185595567864,0.9641434262948207,0.09309903458355559,0.9081360654527111,-0.09699825065793187,0.07354597580278074,-0.0703810294044026,0.1718722790614946,0.09309903458355559,-0.037471181633582304,0.30221111535279255,0.9081360654527111,-0.09699825065793187,0.07354597580278074,,,,,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",-0.037471181633582304 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6729076186245115,0.1718722790614946,-0.20791461111572018,0.15295355934793467,1.1166781762135076,1.63567621765313,0.8266483925260775,1.1342784810126583,7.39746835443038,5.2098159509202455,0.48715716654339036,-0.6285097096720825,0.6060371905938607,0.5097243173823675,-0.0703810294044026,0.1718722790614946,0.48715716654339036,0.039759594124724046,0.15622653759975536,-0.6285097096720825,0.6060371905938607,0.5097243173823675,0.060529069576189566,0.06239873702649175,0.06714510010288499,1.0,0.7954980079681275,0.06559999999999999,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.22828282828282823, ""Information Technology"": 0.07717171717171717}",0.039759594124724046 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.6133171656509291,0.05971510232046651,-0.22551918229147638,0.12272988398493068,0.5348674635419225,0.6334277612664458,0.26478945921011116,1.1059362549800795,4.608067729083665,3.901639344262295,0.299016391438311,-0.6575488577753559,0.30824928047039146,0.27124392665850283,-0.15157678326942448,0.1663381324254014,0.299016391438311,0.0076906912844528635,0.19492037480030172,-0.6575488577753559,0.30824928047039146,0.27124392665850283,0.0033902529972611255,-0.0121699600088587,0.060667130244741296,0.30932524639878695,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",0.0076906912844528635 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.39770249883228725,0.08209721735866982,-0.20782413755884455,0.14637669302915599,0.6137237976910082,0.8530099490480957,0.3950321571065071,1.6400903225806456,7.305000000000001,4.592870544090056,0.35526593347998653,-0.1805123366478586,0.4795348347076568,0.340862608198362,-0.15157678326942448,0.1663381324254014,0.35526593347998653,0.045544058312468126,0.19297612160293826,-0.1805123366478586,0.4795348347076568,0.340862608198362,0.07824216491588996,0.07953607499790159,0.06066713024474091,1.0,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",0.045544058312468126 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15157678326942448,-0.15321703957370914,-0.16541392675743183,0.11789344640994145,-1.3405352293468695,-1.5180440773917223,-0.9262644480859911,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,2.414342629482072,0.1827686051574589,0.6604927632482644,-0.09597718068407962,0.21730216915665837,-0.15157678326942448,0.1663381324254014,0.1827686051574589,-0.09517878806964049,0.2814568423634924,0.6604927632482644,-0.09597718068407962,0.21730216915665837,,,,,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",-0.09517878806964049 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6474118945240257,0.1663381324254014,-0.2078241375588442,0.15377299960750287,1.0806470083211588,1.5884591128916457,0.8003792744156281,1.2822278481012657,7.39746835443038,5.263803680981595,0.4925436543442917,-0.6604637960305025,0.6069700876326832,0.5559844401987403,-0.15157678326942448,0.1663381324254014,0.4925436543442917,0.03368511415039095,0.1556716145827108,-0.6604637960305025,0.6069700876326832,0.5559844401987403,0.05391714504400264,0.055646134776596946,0.06066713024474091,1.0,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",0.03368511415039095 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.6059779945446646,0.05912934019371208,-0.2272819856946544,0.12273043479886855,0.5303506181383201,0.6287242239578953,0.26015849876087555,1.1059362549800795,4.608067729083665,3.901639344262295,0.2990261350965153,-0.660399837423417,0.30740881468545855,0.27244632866547525,-0.1527649717875219,0.16559111566768459,0.2990261350965153,0.007134743040288733,0.19491786990310947,-0.660399837423417,0.30740881468545855,0.27244632866547525,0.002699046926680571,-0.01302232755718013,0.06012702958308535,0.3055344958301744,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",0.007134743040288733 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.39284686578453876,0.08121019752994907,-0.20791461111572052,0.1463785915244921,0.6080957252502857,0.8454592430981674,0.3905939899757662,1.6400903225806456,7.305000000000001,4.592870544090056,0.3552593589365984,-0.18477221181840484,0.4784825055264649,0.3428347735156548,-0.1527649717875219,0.16559111566768459,0.3552593589365984,0.04472221379194538,0.19297942283623798,-0.18477221181840484,0.4784825055264649,0.3428347735156548,0.07745225144553859,0.0786474035689952,0.06012702958308491,1.0,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",0.04472221379194538 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1527649717875219,-0.1544168823967912,-0.16658273681594515,0.11789817656455656,-1.352403409085638,-1.5124975817059187,-0.9269680961443452,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,2.414342629482072,0.18273566445206246,0.655466152619985,-0.09699825065793187,0.21909238341956722,-0.1527649717875219,0.16559111566768459,0.18273566445206246,-0.0965956954024168,0.2814708724792298,0.655466152619985,-0.09699825065793187,0.21909238341956722,,,,,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",-0.0965956954024168 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6439911233642095,0.16559111566768459,-0.20791461111572063,0.15377274270712496,1.0764664007937632,1.5825052182356245,0.7964380895555256,1.2822278481012657,7.39746835443038,5.263803680981595,0.49254715737977195,-0.6646000604203355,0.6059108367454504,0.5582733868779078,-0.1527649717875219,0.16559111566768459,0.49254715737977195,0.033041030765291995,0.15567047427042838,-0.6646000604203355,0.6059108367454504,0.5582733868779078,0.053350668862654965,0.05503570671562001,0.06012702958308491,1.0,1.1059362549800795,0.0912,0.6632653061224489,62.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.2347474747474747, ""Information Technology"": 0.07878787878787878}",0.033041030765291995 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.718194079980873,0.06783959069666046,-0.1574998655248151,0.0913037741109144,0.7659917864354274,0.8897874244669273,0.4307279277389091,0.6038994023904383,4.001743027888446,3.7941176470588234,0.2136306146172652,-0.6117063028678805,0.2574321476954356,0.14648354984855164,-0.051890102882620526,0.14235548063723114,0.2136306146172652,0.028533360265279417,0.20250886730218354,-0.6117063028678805,0.2574321476954356,0.14648354984855164,0.03291193246281657,0.0175291305056884,0.06061945851159677,0.866565579984837,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.028533360265279417 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.4601128168434696,0.09329374360857079,-0.15749986552481443,0.10760595928849012,0.8852926132975072,1.1633173725395751,0.5923417350084795,0.9331548387096775,6.3624193548387105,4.210131332082551,0.2382920934422489,-0.14671595251979083,0.3795858257738268,0.16351918437305146,-0.051890102882620526,0.14235548063723114,0.2382920934422489,0.0655550213068071,0.2004326670491601,-0.14671595251979083,0.3795858257738268,0.16351918437305146,0.08895816544482471,0.09649106610754556,0.060619458511596475,1.0,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.0655550213068071 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.051890102882620526,-0.05248467975230697,-0.07941898689418347,0.065162959714627,-0.7883450640958943,-0.5661789442168628,-0.6608580870244124,1.1534210526315791,3.0353185595567864,0.9641434262948207,0.0698338390244823,0.9603086735385746,-0.07011513187101497,0.054414624222324494,-0.051890102882620526,0.14235548063723114,0.0698338390244823,-0.02735221034232705,0.3046620697889385,0.9603086735385746,-0.07011513187101497,0.054414624222324494,,,,,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",-0.02735221034232705 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5400248655591251,0.14235548063723114,-0.15749986552481443,0.11748618764761475,1.1952241551141718,1.742155235182152,0.903845093218843,0.8692025316455696,7.39746835443038,5.2098159509202455,0.3732019105477066,-0.8334850958894339,0.4791628176444293,0.3534729676490893,-0.051890102882620526,0.14235548063723114,0.3732019105477066,0.040034823028375466,0.15425286997125015,-0.8334850958894339,0.4791628176444293,0.3534729676490893,0.05646848376923506,0.058073443906579765,0.06061945851159646,1.0,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.040034823028375466 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.7139202214227487,0.06751713925821123,-0.1576018850798867,0.09130529498291681,0.762665464772196,0.886503869943739,0.42840311982301177,0.6038994023904383,4.001743027888446,3.7941176470588234,0.2136479370571424,-0.6132129910278407,0.25693647840779543,0.14708060217337135,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.2136479370571424,0.02822745713058826,0.20250467315189405,-0.6132129910278407,0.25693647840779543,0.14708060217337135,0.03257366615717417,0.017308569555228203,0.06020540129184443,0.865049279757392,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.02822745713058826 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.45722556450456353,0.09278391737027425,-0.15760188507988648,0.10760611699036064,0.8809414930488612,1.158099396663294,0.5887233983479525,0.9331548387096775,6.3624193548387105,4.210131332082551,0.23828681807188395,-0.14905010601805513,0.37888484542291034,0.16449846241882196,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.23828681807188395,0.06508761144201264,0.2004341895657199,-0.14905010601805513,0.37888484542291034,0.16449846241882196,0.08844896988115325,0.0959317667589189,0.06020540129184413,1.0,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.06508761144201264 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.052430679831973914,-0.05303127600322377,-0.07975061552849516,0.06516616595258369,-0.7970879951267261,-0.56328260131997,-0.6649638457558427,1.1534210526315791,3.0353185595567864,0.9641434262948207,0.06983471167278615,0.9584290645464556,-0.07088604423016175,0.05499555686431035,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.06983471167278615,-0.027924181119545272,0.30466246068860137,0.9584290645464556,-0.07088604423016175,0.05499555686431035,,,,,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",-0.027924181119545272 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5378564222047248,0.14185945385941467,-0.15760188507988693,0.11748562090893898,1.191519037185696,1.7366934953838944,0.9001126717964537,0.8692025316455696,7.39746835443038,5.2098159509202455,0.3731896589934591,-0.8362968400093425,0.4784773222928144,0.3551457750615057,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.3731896589934591,0.039602143111348714,0.15425556741059715,-0.8362968400093425,0.4784773222928144,0.3551457750615057,0.056035810170545396,0.05765910928522719,0.06020540129184409,1.0,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.039602143111348714 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.503708755817913,0.0507121370978143,-0.17074696537655887,0.09342735587613031,0.5772288046857258,0.6831936916948947,0.2970016889376375,0.8367280876494024,4.608067729083665,3.901639344262295,0.22641076503464652,-0.6999149824940615,0.24055452792550028,0.19641513845257624,-0.11467712206847913,0.13784954667382698,0.22641076503464652,0.01004740949604039,0.1998598888383664,-0.6999149824940615,0.24055452792550028,0.19641513845257624,0.0066648617002398524,-0.006825809733128732,0.05535702835563652,0.3411675511751327,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",0.01004740949604039 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.3460485326492537,0.07253761907818657,-0.1574998655248141,0.11202092942461395,0.6830173711560772,0.9459933706085409,0.4605567048357782,1.2442064516129032,7.305000000000001,4.592870544090056,0.2708603786931583,-0.2484029867421902,0.3795858257738268,0.2454163757542764,-0.11467712206847913,0.13784954667382698,0.2708603786931583,0.04274423155519727,0.19386719325968815,-0.2484029867421902,0.3795858257738268,0.2454163757542764,0.06932710372119992,0.06862930751763452,0.055357028355636245,1.0,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",0.04274423155519727 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11467712206847913,-0.11594573630323268,-0.12570140160299859,0.08842636454938901,-1.3384540169206007,-1.515794924949141,-0.9223901629149919,2.124722991689751,7.0824099722991685,2.414342629482072,0.13708688960321364,0.7851783263816813,-0.07011513187101497,0.16263121441534306,-0.11467712206847913,0.13784954667382698,0.13708688960321364,-0.07120488594658894,0.287305310598912,0.7851783263816813,-0.07011513187101497,0.16263121441534306,,,,,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",-0.07120488594658894 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5204040991171239,0.13784954667382698,-0.15749986552481443,0.11808703553642036,1.1561510717778727,1.691319376706006,0.8752359642625124,0.9801645569620253,7.39746835443038,5.263803680981595,0.3772291028605475,-0.8619311413458274,0.4791628176444293,0.3895474237482663,-0.11467712206847913,0.13784954667382698,0.3772291028605475,0.035055672713498263,0.15368205003311464,-0.8619311413458274,0.4791628176444293,0.3895474237482663,0.05108699057234836,0.05276437294126489,0.05535702835563623,1.0,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",0.035055672713498263 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.4985303388854463,0.05027268622155767,-0.1721631509624747,0.0934278571081879,0.5727389307911964,0.6786096180583893,0.2920060764484689,0.8367280876494024,4.608067729083665,3.901639344262295,0.22641816823391273,-0.7020190013093827,0.23992835469061286,0.19734553629612922,-0.115606942362666,0.13729232028383187,0.22641816823391273,0.009626784682110253,0.19985800997829134,-0.7020190013093827,0.23992835469061286,0.19734553629612922,0.006144391106056857,-0.007070988200209511,0.05494184840199435,0.33965125094768767,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",0.009626784682110253 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.34249961987125377,0.0718705915882849,-0.1576018850798867,0.11202254855494251,0.6774363880549911,0.9386492785613149,0.45602621790884335,1.2442064516129032,7.305000000000001,4.592870544090056,0.2708556061027605,-0.25161918977360404,0.37880624203324487,0.24694240311259674,-0.115606942362666,0.13729232028383187,0.2708556061027605,0.04212073649503933,0.19386947369637583,-0.25161918977360404,0.37880624203324487,0.24694240311259674,0.06872762452437345,0.06791415879839899,0.054941848401994044,1.0,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",0.04212073649503933 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.115606942362666,-0.1168851493632489,-0.1266196435238084,0.08842992022110599,-1.3503213143377635,-1.5102764017306378,-0.9231201898090236,2.124722991689751,7.0824099722991685,2.414342629482072,0.13706218407416632,0.7814820607805008,-0.07088604423016175,0.1639769983198971,-0.115606942362666,0.13729232028383187,0.13706218407416632,-0.07226756644617113,0.2873152576854301,0.7814820607805008,-0.07088604423016175,0.1639769983198971,,,,,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",-0.07226756644617113 +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5179897764663068,0.13729232028383187,-0.15760188507988715,0.11808708874497821,1.1519872514635827,1.6854841204181001,0.8711337444614922,0.9801645569620253,7.39746835443038,5.263803680981595,0.3772321521207452,-0.8651343313104438,0.478381313805471,0.39138725949283865,-0.115606942362666,0.13729232028383187,0.3772321521207452,0.03456322059177471,0.15368130922496023,-0.8651343313104438,0.478381313805471,0.39138725949283865,0.05065200963539445,0.05234886742022543,0.054941848401994044,1.0,0.8367280876494024,0.069,0.6632653061224489,63.0,0.8533783783783783,"{""Financials"": 0.17818181818181822, ""Information Technology"": 0.059393939393939395}",0.03456322059177471 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.656984571104995,0.23384945715285066,-0.41083847352318537,0.2866704615938806,0.879164719984745,1.0541704370470468,0.5692004819983189,3.787508300132802,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7483763517822787,0.2508935205231425,0.8313957054926326,0.3748378157815346,-0.0754662368257697,0.3902503516296696,0.7483763517822787,0.10698482300850166,0.23203733766737414,0.2508935205231425,0.8313957054926326,0.3748378157815346,0.07448971168808022,0.07771393723623789,0.13359589748879344,0.8877937831690674,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.10698482300850166 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.692570292949783,0.2628936624976683,-0.3248210325054617,0.28183276881065944,0.9726274245193153,1.32894195673885,0.8093492606370799,4.088443548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7336100310358712,0.6436890887930824,1.1110295732905473,0.5115517715785989,-0.0754662368257697,0.3902503516296696,0.7336100310358712,0.18265953524591036,0.23217552092825405,0.6436890887930824,1.1110295732905473,0.5115517715785989,0.12426801355467385,0.12707942555232013,0.13359589748879247,1.0,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.18265953524591036 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0754662368257697,-0.07631989465164946,-0.16087115374825867,0.1675479804978749,-0.3860447434080785,-0.5185440503929118,-0.47441628205812236,3.9121883656509695,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3339076743634126,1.1190870768795425,0.47623448534039753,0.31050465928499815,-0.0754662368257697,0.3902503516296696,0.3339076743634126,0.05016336393915853,0.24954225135749053,1.1190870768795425,0.47623448534039753,0.31050465928499815,,,,,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.05016336393915853 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9123547459265273,0.3902503516296696,-0.3248210325054617,0.3083229453862145,1.2274796773490309,1.7073539344686373,1.201431904269031,4.155938818565401,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0553838776194626,0.4833137266539129,1.2515918385864828,0.861579850552871,-0.0754662368257697,0.3902503516296696,1.0553838776194626,0.09457265400910572,0.226499571596999,0.4833137266539129,1.2515918385864828,0.861579850552871,0.10900409307902192,0.11306513912499075,0.13359589748879241,1.0,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.09457265400910572 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.569430463419527,0.23151781986171782,-0.41097999831245213,0.2866669240507683,0.872556414227909,1.0461953615520723,0.5633311129796245,3.787508300132802,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7483393832425623,0.24271105295809006,0.8279321558742554,0.3780666085977558,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,0.7483393832425623,0.10509449525745031,0.2320420561246986,0.24271105295809006,0.8279321558742554,0.3780666085977558,0.07242680841210362,0.07585638574523855,0.13154274043853656,0.8824867323730099,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.10509449525745031 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.669328616642039,0.2603163722812243,-0.3251438975484585,0.28183376982796515,0.9653475159151069,1.318955839227914,0.8006189697668475,4.088443548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7335603284332807,0.6348210318208194,1.1074490535188337,0.5151941882494815,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,0.7335603284332807,0.18061498117202987,0.2321884305164727,0.6348210318208194,1.1074490535188337,0.5151941882494815,0.12232031430415627,0.12517361310120007,0.13154274043853567,1.0,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.18061498117202987 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07724812231553546,-0.07812107291633308,-0.16087115374825844,0.167519662984542,-0.3976969139590805,-0.5343864580492992,-0.48561268503476995,3.9121883656509695,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33381159890603157,1.1112168480930236,0.47421807457346166,0.3127132567480536,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,0.33381159890603157,0.048189283839259675,0.24956287627291732,1.1112168480930236,0.47421807457346166,0.3127132567480536,,,,,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.048189283839259675 +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.892791313890791,0.3873651419346702,-0.3251438975484583,0.30832907362052686,1.2206945171440224,1.697800461770287,1.1913652535242143,4.155938818565401,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0553731389608805,0.4740890724379773,1.2476649791705994,0.8677185825261052,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,1.0553731389608805,0.09249100272140236,0.22650978138883063,0.4740890724379773,1.2476649791705994,0.8677185825261052,0.10702768166324224,0.11103584849630979,0.1315427404385355,1.0,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.09249100272140236 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.7129434677719884,0.20683179103603844,-0.3556976287664192,0.26950312758501366,0.8345631776106505,1.0334733487555166,0.5814820631594975,4.300863213811421,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6801410548983553,0.13629481506605887,0.7494207161280338,0.34788198801361664,-0.10938914320983018,0.38384340285398677,0.6801410548983553,0.09309660187725453,0.22820747042641007,0.13629481506605887,0.7494207161280338,0.34788198801361664,0.05179432138026918,0.06816961322244855,0.13253520441790567,0.7543593631539045,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.09309660187725453 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5551939633760323,0.2474049531937994,-0.3248210325054618,0.281754748152855,0.9288725594503519,1.2653557176838235,0.7616654355337638,4.795379032258065,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7376418281970749,0.5929344483691873,1.0864073812462414,0.5285891247122461,-0.10938914320983018,0.38384340285398677,0.7376418281970749,0.16975286737023343,0.23112980509712136,0.5929344483691873,1.0864073812462414,0.5285891247122461,0.11477858244946104,0.11447224779406243,0.1325352044179049,1.0,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.16975286737023343 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10938914320983018,-0.11060298193514817,-0.16087115374825867,0.18494964327569952,-0.5357819478789206,-0.709378592094695,-0.6875252607949011,5.935734072022161,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3659561940509621,0.9848708935212286,0.47623448534039753,0.36673777007710023,-0.10938914320983018,0.38384340285398677,0.3659561940509621,0.02677448565670449,0.24860907886135475,0.9848708935212286,0.47623448534039753,0.36673777007710023,,,,,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.02677448565670449 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8690352738177292,0.38384340285398677,-0.3248210325054617,0.30510945257423333,1.2219678298405665,1.6824702087587267,1.1817073540258902,4.464166666666666,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.036485384381778,0.4606437100546292,1.2215175705006385,0.8103764038032822,-0.10938914320983018,0.38384340285398677,1.036485384381778,0.09402994198194278,0.22543266275306517,0.4606437100546292,1.2215175705006385,0.8103764038032822,0.10848361385341278,0.11248028537084793,0.13253520441790478,1.0,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.09402994198194278 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.6301757559078105,0.20424163489121172,-0.36051705063401795,0.269500843297215,0.8265751856477077,1.0235796393332153,0.5665242033130616,4.300863213811421,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6800542962991262,0.12684251429174437,0.7457079010126851,0.3519026757121359,-0.11199710616305181,0.3807572171936491,0.6800542962991262,0.09095873994624866,0.22822646008993908,0.12684251429174437,0.7457079010126851,0.3519026757121359,0.04936532367937114,0.0658768577261991,0.13038431927392952,0.7475360121304018,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.09095873994624866 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5293239741765117,0.24441733156345613,-0.3251438975484582,0.2817623521652548,0.9203106978962662,1.2538111655927084,0.7517204948526802,4.795379032258065,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7375814974335102,0.5824682448760587,1.08261067029281,0.5334189559157574,-0.11199710616305181,0.3807572171936491,0.7375814974335102,0.16735504168024026,0.23115333338670913,0.5824682448760587,1.08261067029281,0.5334189559157574,0.11252938155061487,0.11206080820612932,0.13038431927392863,1.0,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.16735504168024026 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11199710616305181,-0.11323800627571146,-0.16087115374825844,0.18493860608338883,-0.5517382347311287,-0.731122357237584,-0.703904980086819,5.935734072022161,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36581589042822504,0.9728296998201311,0.47421807457346166,0.37052438816358096,-0.11199710616305181,0.3807572171936491,0.36581589042822504,0.023781209634614237,0.24865896442108973,0.9728296998201311,0.47421807457346166,0.37052438816358096,,,,,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.023781209634614237 +trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8483285265520037,0.3807572171936491,-0.3251438975484583,0.30511967660238,1.2145883171101717,1.6722450346727815,1.1710421756782392,4.464166666666666,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0364786168931284,0.45068104394652886,1.217326648829653,0.8170224952810604,-0.11199710616305181,0.3807572171936491,1.0364786168931284,0.09179262126304966,0.22544768278700095,0.45068104394652886,1.217326648829653,0.8170224952810604,0.1064084617378039,0.11035342018835992,0.13038431927392857,1.0,4.300863213811421,0.3546666666666667,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.15925925925925927, ""Industrials"": 0.11565656565656565, ""Health Care"": 0.09696969696969698, ""Financials"": 0.09444444444444446, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424245, ""Materials"": 0.04646464646464646, ""Utilities"": 0.04562289562289562, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.039225589225589226, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.025925925925925925}",0.09179262126304966 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.671206134181631,0.20553069179908956,-0.40508717754807877,0.27441527619839945,0.8209767207515394,0.9722122361083219,0.5073739757528999,3.592473854581673,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.739116268255263,0.14362913164107916,0.7812560986949151,0.4219519508220989,-0.11844233134420057,0.33735367197641986,0.739116268255263,0.08203755331540426,0.21913842730210417,0.14362913164107916,0.7812560986949151,0.4219519508220989,0.054673856152548814,0.05954212250468441,0.09209183269015384,0.8726307808946171,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.08203755331540426 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2638009098872538,0.2123162093795754,-0.29706918979875563,0.2663805486017592,0.8590858737685072,1.1622764278314743,0.7147028930310994,4.100225806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7173480469424007,0.4794446495041497,1.0215417815676244,0.57764906741895,-0.11844233134420057,0.33735367197641986,0.7173480469424007,0.13941239381975176,0.21728125632671746,0.4794446495041497,1.0215417815676244,0.57764906741895,0.09038834346953034,0.0934355817651514,0.09209183269015296,1.0,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.13941239381975176 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11844233134420057,-0.11974971863217587,-0.18120453519884572,0.163302682435029,-0.6928846935279839,-0.9096010453989543,-0.6608538715698694,3.7941481994459827,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3364625823684448,0.9395348615807964,0.482296693312909,0.38649094769377834,-0.11844233134420057,0.33735367197641986,0.3364625823684448,0.0025731884102530656,0.24564346267027595,0.9395348615807964,0.482296693312909,0.38649094769377834,,,,,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.0025731884102530656 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5679555522886046,0.33735367197641986,-0.2970691897987553,0.29053764722075515,1.1501760107637655,1.5831528365270415,1.1356063959542713,4.2073101265822785,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.023772487782997,0.3138066333967728,1.1409464722994809,0.9104601616167225,-0.11844233134420057,0.33735367197641986,1.023772487782997,0.05878507789461287,0.2077063631944737,0.3138066333967728,1.1409464722994809,0.9104601616167225,0.06826502129494187,0.07304573115968996,0.09209183269015296,1.0,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.05878507789461287 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.602595033108729,0.20336947430231045,-0.4051942288543473,0.27441217929648937,0.8144273010129613,0.9644842711300192,0.5019061472749021,3.592473854581673,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7390979821927474,0.13541559042222076,0.7779479992325575,0.424958522801426,-0.1200925149292531,0.3345413894804954,0.7390979821927474,0.08024131438037635,0.21913930960314484,0.13541559042222076,0.7779479992325575,0.424958522801426,0.05274626121321714,0.05773906927117962,0.09000347938801913,0.8642911296436695,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.08024131438037635 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2441838849884723,0.20983243234248916,-0.2973954889316184,0.2663882537655681,0.8513404879229397,1.1518130742218082,0.705566964368908,4.100225806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7173167562302124,0.46994177491183936,1.0178359294927688,0.581122401746635,-0.1200925149292531,0.3345413894804954,0.7173167562302124,0.13735963440226437,0.2172985693595416,0.46994177491183936,1.0178359294927688,0.581122401746635,0.08843091082707734,0.09144919303175363,0.09000347938801825,1.0,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.13735963440226437 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1200925149292531,-0.12141683510156198,-0.18120453519884572,0.1632887864128542,-0.7044721301312779,-0.9253617014967359,-0.6700540633175908,3.7941481994459827,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33636447962120686,0.9317505273835461,0.4804192918933662,0.3886435589455742,-0.1200925149292531,0.3345413894804954,0.33636447962120686,0.000656976780266668,0.24567533889293472,0.9317505273835461,0.4804192918933662,0.3886435589455742,,,,,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.000656976780266668 +trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5504770934049281,0.3345413894804954,-0.29739548893161827,0.29054962034167786,1.1428654593253307,1.5730037749772596,1.1249040484182269,4.2073101265822785,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0237980003623388,0.3036291763413353,1.1368357475799384,0.9162329080366111,-0.1200925149292531,0.3345413894804954,1.0237980003623388,0.05666790852259605,0.20771827194161774,0.3036291763413353,1.1368357475799384,0.9162329080366111,0.06624638676282822,0.07102249973262882,0.09000347938801825,1.0,3.592473854581673,0.29625,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1518939393939394, ""Industrials"": 0.12045454545454547, ""Financials"": 0.10138888888888889, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Health Care"": 0.09330808080808081, ""Materials"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.041919191919191925, ""Communication"": 0.04141414141414141, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03901515151515152, ""Real Estate"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242426}",0.05666790852259605 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.937182089217147,0.18079670933825476,-0.32178895879579206,0.25533858893296985,0.7806326097330939,0.9593419558102726,0.5618487036187861,4.126039591633465,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6678522930553003,0.025685601147358135,0.7036264151956965,0.39544543104906993,-0.1523574109382575,0.3324711091129391,0.6678522930553003,0.0698865771434007,0.21458471841060478,0.025685601147358135,0.7036264151956965,0.39544543104906993,0.03414195433447765,0.04320207997131928,0.09214073662052834,0.7058377558756633,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",0.0698865771434007 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1510311710569114,0.1978062812850705,-0.29706918979875563,0.2662365747645786,0.8140291996353831,1.0983103554460356,0.6658592949981482,4.789487903225806,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7209365032471727,0.42578616040365047,0.9976597403598041,0.595066907324137,-0.1523574109382575,0.3324711091129391,0.7209365032471727,0.12684560253442012,0.21619987651762654,0.42578616040365047,0.9976597403598041,0.595066907324137,0.08196324709144756,0.08626305017927556,0.09214073662052752,1.0,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",0.12684560253442012 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1523574109382575,-0.15400532623212282,-0.19157743640467573,0.18017224533025972,-0.8302152263509215,-1.0777157381404119,-0.8038802957296702,5.817693905817174,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3676376219473159,0.7953514475255488,0.482296693312909,0.44656534008364007,-0.1523574109382575,0.3324711091129391,0.3676376219473159,-0.02313626445382965,0.24436842974901268,0.7953514475255488,0.482296693312909,0.44656534008364007,,,,,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",-0.02313626445382965 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.537662923990042,0.3324711091129391,-0.2970691897987554,0.28722779189796155,1.1473041291591366,1.5643512045016101,1.1191706192694237,4.49242088607595,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0047290567345815,0.29290820541152834,1.1117762461705991,0.8536118708048901,-0.1523574109382575,0.3324711091129391,1.0047290567345815,0.05927576615253541,0.20671265962252966,0.29290820541152834,1.1117762461705991,0.8536118708048901,0.06885908565977124,0.07369669713545204,0.09214073662052752,1.0,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",0.05927576615253541 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.870828882861561,0.1783654859924486,-0.3259321504365471,0.25533515749352304,0.77254749563651,0.9494890535587068,0.5472472898225885,4.126039591633465,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6677818729484429,0.01605151561001935,0.7000382626638334,0.39924250264534883,-0.15479326771620394,0.3294788780864242,0.6677818729484429,0.0678331329636196,0.21459935612111264,0.01605151561001935,0.7000382626638334,0.39924250264534883,0.031837317330828736,0.0409538832956801,0.08996702047120497,0.6929492039423806,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",0.0678331329636196 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1292626075757175,0.19493870704147676,-0.2973954889316184,0.26625011513910657,0.8049647363991742,1.0862326802804438,0.6554864290032993,4.789487903225806,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.720894939378983,0.41462214104070677,0.9937471119391238,0.5997064446349002,-0.15479326771620394,0.3294788780864242,0.720894939378983,0.12444839215812446,0.21622705183345867,0.41462214104070677,0.9937471119391238,0.5997064446349002,0.07971670633624822,0.0841893459933913,0.08996702047120415,0.9967845659163987,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",0.12444839215812446 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15479326771620394,-0.15646502700765497,-0.1925766013154473,0.180177861538113,-0.846209375118101,-1.0996254444873337,-0.8124820250169422,5.817693905817174,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3674952910347219,0.7833340896766392,0.4804192918933662,0.45029484652585494,-0.15479326771620394,0.3294788780864242,0.3674952910347219,-0.026071672006007435,0.24443252587946943,0.7833340896766392,0.4804192918933662,0.45029484652585494,,,,,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",-0.026071672006007435 +trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5192210689357966,0.3294788780864242,-0.2973954889316184,0.28724213565835266,1.1394021911869874,1.5535332023673254,1.1078812233166822,4.49242088607595,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0047590158054016,0.281988105030403,1.1074129587528632,0.8598357947456889,-0.15479326771620394,0.3294788780864242,1.0047590158054016,0.057014394584706925,0.20672688046950988,0.281988105030403,1.1074129587528632,0.8598357947456889,0.06675407095749389,0.07158829555671639,0.0899670204712041,1.0,4.126039591633465,0.34025,4.795918367346939,61.0,0.6023529411764706,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14772727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.11843434343434343, ""Financials"": 0.09861111111111112, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0957070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.09154040404040405, ""Materials"": 0.047979797979797977, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424242, ""Communication"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03838383838383838, ""Real Estate"": 0.037247474747474744, ""Energy"": 0.029924242424242423}",0.057014394584706925 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.295279074071063,0.19332753749720677,-0.36026325259649483,0.24392502456642667,0.8489349254458001,1.0127690927965014,0.5366285240136305,3.3661126328021242,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.68247083671845,0.06743464180692847,0.7360685476046572,0.4176895135797812,-0.12001686394098421,0.3099413005873002,0.68247083671845,0.07480414380753492,0.19667311391286726,0.06743464180692847,0.7360685476046572,0.4176895135797812,0.05434120084661104,0.052861855590479984,0.08659446055519344,0.9120545868081881,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",0.07480414380753492 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1129086138921922,0.19276961758032019,-0.26565006030063,0.23667502930913462,0.8661844495626156,1.1772416748640806,0.725652451808847,3.7428306451612903,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6649581203527049,0.41215361347260454,0.9700630727044092,0.5902029113062007,-0.12001686394098421,0.3099413005873002,0.6649581203527049,0.12210427977201298,0.19491470363050997,0.41215361347260454,0.9700630727044092,0.5902029113062007,0.08917681063385274,0.08984297835284699,0.08659446055519268,1.0,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",0.12210427977201298 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12001686394098421,-0.12134040864693729,-0.16086349023102509,0.15407177508473321,-0.7555651856429292,-0.9956621563751954,-0.7543067011207671,3.170221606648199,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.33038306055516686,0.939411042416549,0.5038120621367691,0.4021407907420445,-0.12001686394098421,0.3099413005873002,0.33038306055516686,-0.0027791457915719267,0.2422041536151286,0.939411042416549,0.5038120621367691,0.4021407907420445,,,,,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",-0.0027791457915719267 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4010785290213712,0.3099413005873002,-0.2656500603006299,0.2564964750183441,1.1851715165396273,1.6316168669829565,1.1667277629696262,3.9299050632911388,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9340365661955109,0.19693286831225146,1.0733047320775724,0.9176237930981689,-0.12001686394098421,0.3099413005873002,0.9340365661955109,0.05274600949732315,0.17773832827716327,0.19693286831225146,1.0733047320775724,0.9176237930981689,0.06735248285833023,0.07048614193392659,0.08659446055519263,1.0,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",0.05274600949732315 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.2361482636940098,0.19132325453867094,-0.3603524402187622,0.24392032656063167,0.8420376295117399,1.0045082058714763,0.5309337004143019,3.3661126328021242,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6824490932457034,0.05885997079110989,0.732934615527289,0.42043806170891007,-0.12139458836697004,0.3073701351970428,0.6824490932457034,0.07312197901678325,0.1966735942331669,0.05885997079110989,0.732934615527289,0.42043806170891007,0.05252024547427079,0.05108409310531587,0.08470996357866842,0.9067475360121304,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",0.07312197901678325 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0961961182621605,0.19053968021949075,-0.2659779014678534,0.23667910320860602,0.8582373142095278,1.1664514392653946,0.716374101637612,3.7428306451612903,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6649099121167372,0.4024836350657434,0.9666442516564454,0.5933224117663851,-0.12139458836697004,0.3073701351970428,0.6649099121167372,0.12023289774526466,0.19493316116409515,0.4024836350657434,0.9666442516564454,0.5933224117663851,0.08737697646833928,0.08801017168010548,0.08470996357866771,1.0,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",0.12023289774526466 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12139458836697004,-0.12273224341516342,-0.16154486897092746,0.15406771079704462,-0.7657943192664687,-1.0093577641674019,-0.7597408954985195,3.170221606648199,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3303005231787638,0.9327917490642765,0.5022652000483157,0.4039660572862751,-0.12139458836697004,0.3073701351970428,0.3303005231787638,-0.004380442106741497,0.24223664959015623,0.9327917490642765,0.5022652000483157,0.4039660572862751,,,,,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",-0.004380442106741497 +trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.385821997574583,0.3073701351970428,-0.2659779014678535,0.25650275324453403,1.1774577341571812,1.6209924489301037,1.1556228299447353,3.9299050632911388,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9340213457246588,0.18582960097523135,1.0694714043692952,0.9229965873568887,-0.12139458836697004,0.3073701351970428,0.9340213457246588,0.050778938004523565,0.1777507618760758,0.18582960097523135,1.0694714043692952,0.9229965873568887,0.06551287126657346,0.06865956413197513,0.0847099635786676,1.0,3.3661126328021242,0.2775833333333333,6.663265306122449,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11936026936026933, ""Industrials"": 0.11835016835016836, ""Financials"": 0.0989057239057239, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09873737373737376, ""Health Care"": 0.08956228956228954, ""Materials"": 0.05336700336700337, ""Real Estate"": 0.051178451178451184, ""Communication"": 0.04823232323232324, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04722222222222222, ""Utilities"": 0.04267676767676768, ""Energy"": 0.03644781144781144}",0.050778938004523565 +trend_only_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6732244734406523,0.17090172977691886,-0.2860446017723304,0.22882028225008672,0.805966597984797,0.9920246299359621,0.5974653208556041,3.8885624169986714,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6265118198123584,-0.048229998909019904,0.6780926349927929,0.41326713524544867,-0.1615889736800762,0.3102473209897667,0.6265118198123584,0.0629948105320498,0.19474159926047582,-0.048229998909019904,0.6780926349927929,0.41326713524544867,0.03468244540957838,0.03525310133390785,0.09010487645715838,0.7399545109931767,3.8885624169986714,0.32066666666666666,6.673469387755102,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12037037037037035, ""Industrials"": 0.1154040404040404, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09612794612794613, ""Financials"": 0.0957912457912458, ""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, ""Utilities"": 0.04301346801346802, ""Energy"": 0.03619528619528619}",0.0629948105320498 +trend_only_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0146168871468721,0.17945529291099072,-0.2656500603006299,0.23694577657966007,0.8179295269346276,1.1088863643846638,0.6755326639410713,4.384963709677419,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.6719454757494283,0.35769915967247035,0.9551141185843006,0.6165258700138325,-0.1615889736800762,0.3102473209897667,0.6719454757494283,0.11003388711314421,0.19327838634894054,0.35769915967247035,0.9551141185843006,0.6165258700138325,0.08196475832915813,0.08447226955854223,0.09010487645715765,1.0,3.8885624169986714,0.32066666666666666,6.673469387755102,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12037037037037035, ""Industrials"": 0.1154040404040404, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09612794612794613, ""Financials"": 0.0957912457912458, ""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, ""Utilities"": 0.04301346801346802, ""Energy"": 0.03619528619528619}",0.11003388711314421 +trend_only_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1615889736800762,-0.1633268125116656,-0.18219771758335357,0.17032633784533513,-0.952896729602234,-1.2432755465686394,-0.8964262268375852,5.19376731301939,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.3644001160236384,0.7612512654783405,0.5038120621367691,0.476313458967527,-0.1615889736800762,0.3102473209897667,0.3644001160236384,-0.03697144280233065,0.2386033675193423,0.7612512654783405,0.5038120621367691,0.476313458967527,,,,,3.8885624169986714,0.32066666666666666,6.673469387755102,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12037037037037035, ""Industrials"": 0.1154040404040404, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09612794612794613, ""Financials"": 0.0957912457912458, ""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, ""Utilities"": 0.04301346801346802, ""Energy"": 0.03619528619528619}",-0.03697144280233065 +trend_only_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4028988454382891,0.3102473209897667,-0.26565006030062943,0.25356784697154816,1.1968299046883868,1.6333967726205652,1.1678797310968712,4.153370253164557,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.9186731266959826,0.1949125938667094,1.0550456407260735,0.860639204082603,-0.1615889736800762,0.3102473209897667,0.9186731266959826,0.056363883815457,0.1769397448923624,0.1949125938667094,1.0550456407260735,0.860639204082603,0.07130520655668914,0.07446478268307033,0.09010487645715762,1.0,3.8885624169986714,0.32066666666666666,6.673469387755102,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12037037037037035, ""Industrials"": 0.1154040404040404, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09612794612794613, ""Financials"": 0.0957912457912458, ""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, ""Utilities"": 0.04301346801346802, ""Energy"": 0.03619528619528619}",0.056363883815457 +trend_only_control_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6148552270417533,0.16862954192393143,-0.28625343891883126,0.22881649569449583,0.7974660406606064,0.9815917177389676,0.5890917592495623,3.8885624169986714,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.6264348072233018,-0.0582281968400641,0.6746976179727805,0.4168022166244243,-0.16374287421299238,0.3075284508620568,0.6264348072233018,0.06106161706593446,0.1947597094019887,-0.0582281968400641,0.6746976179727805,0.4168022166244243,0.03248911615492607,0.03321609537342412,0.08816570966579335,0.7217589082638363,3.8885624169986714,0.32066666666666666,6.673469387755102,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12037037037037035, ""Industrials"": 0.1154040404040404, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09612794612794613, ""Financials"": 0.0957912457912458, ""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, 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0.1154040404040404, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09612794612794613, ""Financials"": 0.0957912457912458, ""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, ""Utilities"": 0.04301346801346802, ""Energy"": 0.03619528619528619}",0.1078409833010683 +trend_only_control_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16374287421299238,-0.1655015205688226,-0.18318877269772393,0.1703491227062328,-0.9678964006909514,-1.2636130853969185,-0.903447946790458,5.19376731301939,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.36427335048187953,0.7502282756217898,0.5022652000483157,0.47970655162134235,-0.16374287421299238,0.3075284508620568,0.36427335048187953,-0.03959193503969152,0.23867431935007874,0.7502282756217898,0.5022652000483157,0.47970655162134235,,,,,3.8885624169986714,0.32066666666666666,6.673469387755102,61.0,0.5929411764705883,"{""Information Technology"": 0.12037037037037035, ""Industrials"": 0.1154040404040404, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09612794612794613, ""Financials"": 0.0957912457912458, ""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, ""Utilities"": 0.04301346801346802, ""Energy"": 0.03619528619528619}",-0.03959193503969152 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""Health Care"": 0.08712121212121209, ""Materials"": 0.05227272727272728, ""Real Estate"": 0.049074074074074076, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04705387205387204, ""Communication"": 0.045454545454545456, ""Utilities"": 0.04301346801346802, ""Energy"": 0.03619528619528619}",0.05428087048172023 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.2720516334478631,-0.03777278824986974,-0.6710784449787144,0.288194222362672,0.010072178195154054,0.013520156293234524,-0.05628669573952392,7.045493027888444,9.82246015936255,9.344262295081966,0.6174041507264468,-0.7233318897214593,0.45040501969320035,0.8951125469553555,-0.2446470480863151,-0.12653990822943972,0.6174041507264468,-0.11675875755198814,0.26393298941370097,-0.7233318897214593,0.45040501969320035,0.8951125469553555,-0.10192123622887626,-0.07464193810293909,-0.29524952828490025,0.3032600454890068,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.11675875755198814 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.5130081558380917,-0.1559542299041835,-0.5381671471806413,0.3110275266799495,-0.3914839978291762,-0.5778206579871763,-0.28978771878067816,7.697741935483872,11.075322580645162,10.333958724202626,0.7283116109237773,-0.919721223048902,0.35229799514689386,1.1208324877724158,-0.2446470480863151,-0.12653990822943972,0.7283116109237773,-0.21256049338885627,0.26794176753881077,-0.919721223048902,0.35229799514689386,1.1208324877724158,-0.2607921432429512,-0.26350784693414925,-0.2952495282849009,0.0,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.21256049338885627 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.2446470480863151,-0.2471379467739614,-0.2864435127871897,0.2913167833319256,-0.8225420981054213,-1.227531990131517,-0.8627807429437929,4.249445983379502,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.5076054302234759,0.3614492187588978,0.20056897989173997,0.48571995843632426,-0.2446470480863151,-0.12653990822943972,0.5076054302234759,-0.06503423962068053,0.28861649764377956,0.3614492187588978,0.20056897989173997,0.48571995843632426,,,,,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.06503423962068053 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.3552790878381883,-0.12653990822943972,-0.5258224929891784,0.31681604181133666,-0.26976197791259265,-0.40174778547256085,-0.2406513793468397,8.7742194092827,12.329113924050633,11.69079754601227,0.9101835625195818,-1.3587488586859369,0.38589525275053305,2.2265793748570464,-0.2446470480863151,-0.12653990822943972,0.9101835625195818,-0.3302950142324344,0.2608684579902246,-1.3587488586859369,0.38589525275053305,2.2265793748570464,-0.33934641473301147,-0.33440530751031805,-0.2952495282849009,0.0,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.3302950142324344 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.2929079984762033,-0.04115875532372293,-0.6768442950566975,0.28819773995910286,-0.002175442105793282,-0.0029193250589392146,-0.06080978391089957,7.045493027888444,9.82246015936255,9.344262295081966,0.6173262054712012,-0.736647624079405,0.4441698840628716,0.9010292510456205,-0.24622397245999572,-0.1303836314003446,0.6173262054712012,-0.12027335173949294,0.26395367703275074,-0.736647624079405,0.4441698840628716,0.9010292510456205,-0.10562850869217964,-0.07895498147144889,-0.2997099355483082,0.28658074298711145,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.12027335173949294 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.5209289024754793,-0.15920949320171818,-0.5451515004276551,0.311065380810328,-0.4038490637542309,-0.5958481775122882,-0.292046326712525,7.697741935483872,11.075322580645162,10.333958724202626,0.7283504747898848,-0.9340061276852087,0.34547210619228147,1.1270184815652917,-0.24622397245999572,-0.1303836314003446,0.7283504747898848,-0.2164265017519304,0.26797778510726594,-0.9340061276852087,0.34547210619228147,1.1270184815652917,-0.2647373651956995,-0.26741911451692973,-0.2997099355483089,0.0,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.2164265017519304 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.24622397245999572,-0.24872815510692392,-0.2864435127871898,0.29127377561989437,-0.829901985493124,-1.2290578603954072,-0.8683323028918231,4.249445983379502,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.5075368039311302,0.3541673659031248,0.19845118671372114,0.48803626513775866,-0.24622397245999572,-0.1303836314003446,0.5075368039311302,-0.06716620951761602,0.28859756968225825,0.3541673659031248,0.19845118671372114,0.48803626513775866,,,,,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.06716620951761602 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.3644384007700563,-0.1303836314003446,-0.5319506771221898,0.31687785929950685,-0.28359792592393557,-0.4223750149346216,-0.2451047381041218,8.7742194092827,12.329113924050633,11.69079754601227,0.9103426072645747,-1.3753501705937863,0.37802685319659446,2.239502591201374,-0.24622397245999572,-0.1303836314003446,0.9103426072645747,-0.3347387772412736,0.26091951622875764,-1.3753501705937863,0.37802685319659446,2.239502591201374,-0.34372746198288223,-0.3388453427226149,-0.29970993554830894,0.0,7.045493027888444,0.581,7.0,31.0,0.1714285714285714,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1132996632996633, ""Industrials"": 0.1111111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.10942760942760942, ""Health Care"": 0.08989898989898991, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08047138047138049, ""Utilities"": 0.04814814814814815, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Materials"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Real Estate"": 0.03619528619528619, ""Communication"": 0.022727272727272728, ""Energy"": 0.015993265993265993}",-0.3347387772412736 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.30353270821233924,-0.042917520895886296,-0.7280711313789401,0.2707467683699015,-0.02715191065882479,-0.03690451650469387,-0.05894687901524413,7.27387533200531,9.82246015936255,9.112825458052074,0.5133388976244067,-0.7508364203454803,0.39879052123152153,0.8340260925054418,-0.31701129618571444,-0.14978766037084723,0.5133388976244067,-0.10684350150103221,0.26792145155702557,-0.7508364203454803,0.39879052123152153,0.8340260925054418,-0.09942930564303042,-0.06800104991304809,-0.32075831154091256,0.4040940106141016,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, ""Industrials"": 0.10942760942760943, ""Financials"": 0.10707070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.08838383838383838, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.07727272727272728, ""Utilities"": 0.04848484848484847, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04225589225589225, ""Materials"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Real Estate"": 0.034848484848484844, ""Communication"": 0.02188552188552189, ""Energy"": 0.015656565656565657}",-0.10684350150103221 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.5965631825711033,-0.19257366362150274,-0.6174055509159516,0.314349758478811,-0.5253839010732253,-0.7688136651047712,-0.3119078915565469,8.239725806451615,11.546612903225807,10.356472795497186,0.749897492189771,-1.0837886270667318,0.2900813657652638,1.2125746426502424,-0.31701129618571444,-0.14978766037084723,0.749897492189771,-0.25864359574601314,0.2674172119359865,-1.0837886270667318,0.2900813657652638,1.2125746426502424,-0.3159082625730229,-0.32973785552916945,-0.3207583115409132,0.0,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, 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universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.31701129618571444,-0.32007016929510945,-0.3618450327333589,0.31445359805611833,-1.06054163795437,-1.572219031816866,-0.8845504023568204,5.868282548476455,9.10595567867036,7.027888446215139,0.5761384901589789,0.03622590443568668,0.20056897989173997,0.6301564439170826,-0.31701129618571444,-0.14978766037084723,0.5761384901589789,-0.13533375872179146,0.2884508196312497,0.03622590443568668,0.20056897989173997,0.6301564439170826,,,,,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, ""Industrials"": 0.10942760942760943, ""Financials"": 0.10707070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.08838383838383838, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.07727272727272728, ""Utilities"": 0.04848484848484847, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04225589225589225, ""Materials"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Real Estate"": 0.034848484848484844, ""Communication"": 0.02188552188552189, ""Energy"": 0.015656565656565657}",-0.13533375872179146 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.40930674961998004,-0.14978766037084723,-0.5655586043670642,0.3142457065392614,-0.3605799121719567,-0.5287239608801786,-0.26484905227192096,8.989978902953586,12.329113924050633,11.38159509202454,0.8932190496160128,-1.4685734412588385,0.30990203541010275,2.2265793748570464,-0.31701129618571444,-0.14978766037084723,0.8932190496160128,-0.353577500532899,0.2603209863475078,-1.4685734412588385,0.30990203541010275,2.2265793748570464,-0.3643879208088314,-0.35926796992235777,-0.3207583115409132,0.0,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, ""Industrials"": 0.10942760942760943, ""Financials"": 0.10707070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.08838383838383838, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.07727272727272728, ""Utilities"": 0.04848484848484847, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04225589225589225, ""Materials"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Real Estate"": 0.034848484848484844, ""Communication"": 0.02188552188552189, ""Energy"": 0.015656565656565657}",-0.353577500532899 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.3241179912177604,-0.046393279279077104,-0.7331946240709537,0.27074609661923765,-0.040611517027583574,-0.05515056458795867,-0.06327553115635975,7.27387533200531,9.82246015936255,9.112825458052074,0.5132115505156929,-0.7643624418938219,0.3925131841878786,0.8404689187229054,-0.3189846405661947,-0.15362110974706078,0.5132115505156929,-0.11046293750937296,0.26794788707887757,-0.7643624418938219,0.3925131841878786,0.8404689187229054,-0.10332083706050267,-0.07199710643071519,-0.3252651146887668,0.40181956027293403,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, ""Industrials"": 0.10942760942760943, ""Financials"": 0.10707070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.08838383838383838, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.07727272727272728, ""Utilities"": 0.04848484848484847, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04225589225589225, ""Materials"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Real Estate"": 0.034848484848484844, ""Communication"": 0.02188552188552189, ""Energy"": 0.015656565656565657}",-0.11046293750937296 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.6035836030615727,-0.19590683356032856,-0.6236270476657386,0.3143891087527901,-0.5384643371410055,-0.7870314817495782,-0.31414101471964023,8.239725806451615,11.546612903225807,10.356472795497186,0.7499356955819375,-1.099085916770612,0.28299678147695895,1.2195255079877776,-0.3189846405661947,-0.15362110974706078,0.7499356955819375,-0.26278137917905886,0.26745566395731185,-1.099085916770612,0.28299678147695895,1.2195255079877776,-0.320106911917421,-0.33403361711589574,-0.32526511468876734,0.0,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, ""Industrials"": 0.10942760942760943, ""Financials"": 0.10707070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.08838383838383838, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.07727272727272728, ""Utilities"": 0.04848484848484847, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04225589225589225, ""Materials"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Real Estate"": 0.034848484848484844, ""Communication"": 0.02188552188552189, ""Energy"": 0.015656565656565657}",-0.26278137917905886 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3189846405661947,-0.3220577697491652,-0.36342080876614613,0.31441930038610266,-1.0699174233733215,-1.5709700987096202,-0.8861841754262421,5.868282548476455,9.10595567867036,7.027888446215139,0.5760573134918981,0.026132905249497795,0.19845118671372114,0.6336769446763301,-0.3189846405661947,-0.15362110974706078,0.5760573134918981,-0.13827323245220796,0.2884424050648373,0.026132905249497795,0.19845118671372114,0.6336769446763301,,,,,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, ""Industrials"": 0.10942760942760943, ""Financials"": 0.10707070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.08838383838383838, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.07727272727272728, ""Utilities"": 0.04848484848484847, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04225589225589225, ""Materials"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Real Estate"": 0.034848484848484844, ""Communication"": 0.02188552188552189, ""Energy"": 0.015656565656565657}",-0.13827323245220796 +naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.4179038821268185,-0.15362110974706078,-0.5712365801069216,0.3143088010598981,-0.3748539376594677,-0.5494108827181059,-0.2689272975451023,8.989978902953586,12.329113924050633,11.38159509202454,0.8933768944984514,-1.485596800740011,0.301717657782237,2.239502591201374,-0.3189846405661947,-0.15362110974706078,0.8933768944984514,-0.35812916164984826,0.2603732648142235,-1.485596800740011,0.301717657782237,2.239502591201374,-0.3688161916237498,-0.3637539146569201,-0.32526511468876734,0.0,7.27387533200531,0.5998333333333332,6.86734693877551,31.0,0.17066666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.11060606060606061, ""Industrials"": 0.10942760942760943, ""Financials"": 0.10707070707070707, ""Health Care"": 0.08838383838383838, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.07727272727272728, ""Utilities"": 0.04848484848484847, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04225589225589225, ""Materials"": 0.039057239057239054, ""Real Estate"": 0.034848484848484844, ""Communication"": 0.02188552188552189, ""Energy"": 0.015656565656565657}",-0.35812916164984826 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.12194161614427224,-0.015645870073130452,-0.6324171729343144,0.269362968570205,0.07577646094592873,0.10420949380494486,-0.024739793197797143,6.730204183266932,9.82246015936255,12.459016393442623,0.6007624425845353,-0.7017420129259435,0.4928787396930747,0.8743620644159767,-0.2523115048838358,-0.1066760508996063,0.6007624425845353,-0.09602473442919458,0.2471029465141301,-0.7017420129259435,0.4928787396930747,0.8743620644159767,-0.06918309056888045,-0.03545040981198839,-0.2824133820760087,0.4291129643669447,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.09602473442919458 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.48146686083083623,-0.1433794941194626,-0.5084856881914848,0.29198264119957745,-0.3860594974459371,-0.5881174153888981,-0.2819735096761838,7.416931451612904,11.075322580645162,13.778611632270168,0.7109613017035558,-0.951823273902094,0.3568249942010183,1.074390218716534,-0.2523115048838358,-0.1066760508996063,0.7109613017035558,-0.20135781236306716,0.2494077512081901,-0.951823273902094,0.3568249942010183,1.074390218716534,-0.23438927149264438,-0.23440332011270323,-0.28241338207600936,0.0,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.20135781236306716 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.2523115048838358,-0.25486660055108523,-0.2898200727259592,0.2795679880300081,-0.9053716339425982,-1.3090293047342598,-0.879395958167727,4.0723857340720215,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.49370383989921035,0.32222419299283583,0.18180725534483222,0.498550290788814,-0.2523115048838358,-0.1066760508996063,0.49370383989921035,-0.08330816785144834,0.2818770335183496,0.32222419299283583,0.18180725534483222,0.498550290788814,,,,,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.08330816785144834 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.30648506355765104,-0.1066760508996063,-0.47787775842701197,0.2956478117823151,-0.23502936859602722,-0.36537089228837466,-0.22322874211752905,8.460854430379747,12.329113924050633,15.587730061349694,0.889474727606175,-1.4212223949134823,0.3955790587922205,2.076942016003098,-0.2523115048838358,-0.1066760508996063,0.889474727606175,-0.30874554537939636,0.23815816386605185,-1.4212223949134823,0.3955790587922205,2.076942016003098,-0.32552554662686006,-0.3238471614878194,-0.28241338207600936,0.0,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.30874554537939636 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.1459805963123163,-0.0189538464152309,-0.6385780294318031,0.26936369036564495,0.06325881200071926,0.08696340962061126,-0.02968133186808156,6.730204183266932,9.82246015936255,12.459016393442623,0.6006806842901509,-0.7153302002070516,0.48683176635309,0.8798752271490241,-0.25380634457188433,-0.11046588639678745,0.6006806842901509,-0.09938063395547228,0.24712260779017792,-0.7153302002070516,0.48683176635309,0.8798752271490241,-0.07268791796558767,-0.03951710643772225,-0.286746257697621,0.4184988627748294,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.09938063395547228 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.48959244129816937,-0.1465618014777943,-0.5156428574334002,0.29201806281767945,-0.3987526667678339,-0.6072296189185785,-0.2842312258668763,7.416931451612904,11.075322580645162,13.778611632270168,0.7109698746417144,-0.9665864181634444,0.35021823446532396,1.0803179392481583,-0.25380634457188433,-0.11046588639678745,0.7109698746417144,-0.20507919071486597,0.2494473410025176,-0.9665864181634444,0.35021823446532396,1.0803179392481583,-0.23816977462395314,-0.23805617608582202,-0.28674625769762163,0.0,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.20507919071486597 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.25380634457188433,-0.25637385252202083,-0.2909545073382199,0.2795195088239599,-0.9127571993901217,-1.3106534942865515,-0.881147554191347,4.0723857340720215,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.49363306286672576,0.31508095698877187,0.1797907314204927,0.5007753807232915,-0.25380634457188433,-0.11046588639678745,0.49363306286672576,-0.08535302886950037,0.2818548050923387,0.31508095698877187,0.1797907314204927,0.5007753807232915,,,,,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.08535302886950037 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.31598512666394474,-0.11046588639678745,-0.4844345663703902,0.29570896405328984,-0.24933205000065312,-0.38765225090873234,-0.22803056194864338,8.460854430379747,12.329113924050633,15.587730061349694,0.8895795565847351,-1.438687825281586,0.38795588611298865,2.089316109528023,-0.25380634457188433,-0.11046588639678745,0.8895795565847351,-0.31301754698609163,0.23821673727711629,-1.438687825281586,0.38795588611298865,2.089316109528023,-0.3297645100447811,-0.32805101388164287,-0.28674625769762174,0.0,6.730204183266932,0.555,8.83673469387755,31.0,0.1792207792207792,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1090909090909091, ""Industrials"": 0.10808080808080807, ""Financials"": 0.10366161616161615, ""Health Care"": 0.09078282828282827, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08787878787878788, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04962121212121213, ""Utilities"": 0.04356060606060605, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878788, ""Materials"": 0.03775252525252525, ""Communication"": 0.02462121212121212, ""Energy"": 0.01818181818181818}",-0.31301754698609163 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.20552061416570933,-0.027513622505316082,-0.6963491006713558,0.2540090450358172,0.016675568799931498,0.023197070795458574,-0.03951124870957681,6.984860557768924,9.82246015936255,12.15043394406943,0.5009027599530742,-0.7469405240505277,0.4206389151479606,0.8125105439509549,-0.3125716816205748,-0.1338732852561315,0.5009027599530742,-0.09284616789079406,0.2538062136735443,-0.7469405240505277,0.4206389151479606,0.8125105439509549,-0.07475012898440571,-0.0327530498463971,-0.31253949142212517,0.42532221379833207,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.09284616789079406 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.5687594949325012,-0.17979308105786573,-0.5912298287977711,0.2954276709990472,-0.5254285253740884,-0.7894830883888262,-0.30410015242881727,7.976588709677422,11.546612903225807,13.808630393996248,0.7336780370281157,-1.1263987158917985,0.28396549288871936,1.1519153568923712,-0.3125716816205748,-0.1338732852561315,0.7336780370281157,-0.2466933486236079,0.24848710509512834,-1.1263987158917985,0.28396549288871936,1.1519153568923712,-0.28997167753963465,-0.303245585200881,-0.31253949142212584,0.0,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.2466933486236079 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3125716816205748,-0.3155982346627172,-0.36016667781830347,0.3033043887567717,-1.089251814300085,-1.5489094507679197,-0.8762560617057691,5.653280817174515,9.10595567867036,9.370517928286853,0.5634710217108561,0.048287524896014455,0.18180725534483222,0.6206038713858668,-0.3125716816205748,-0.1338732852561315,0.5634710217108561,-0.13657433627541768,0.28093529457472066,0.048287524896014455,0.18180725534483222,0.6206038713858668,,,,,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.13657433627541768 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.3726756760848543,-0.1338732852561315,-0.5277102698377671,0.2928754778865112,-0.34582825261462347,-0.5294054271396246,-0.25368709480921775,8.711289556962026,12.329113924050633,15.175460122699386,0.8738669341642955,-1.5602776971338885,0.30658632528075686,2.076942016003098,-0.3125716816205748,-0.1338732852561315,0.8738669341642955,-0.33634590440340234,0.23731314811411075,-1.5602776971338885,0.30658632528075686,2.076942016003098,-0.3552265347917444,-0.3534753724203679,-0.31253949142212584,0.0,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.33634590440340234 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,-0.22807354724219975,-0.03090377658895016,-0.7018520179592385,0.25400357025058473,0.0028992518872121825,0.004029034458765933,-0.044031755695179836,6.984860557768924,9.82246015936255,12.15043394406943,0.500767403857646,-0.7606531576291068,0.41452448896589417,0.8185586188745374,-0.31448226940561197,-0.13765621096528435,0.500767403857646,-0.09631925897508543,0.25383115719429317,-0.7606531576291068,0.41452448896589417,0.8185586188745374,-0.07845555736306457,-0.036448451886261155,-0.3169313029924531,0.4200151630022744,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.09631925897508543 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.5760219998136743,-0.18306922475436838,-0.5976611843216937,0.29546179817328766,-0.5389094576933383,-0.8087204028364816,-0.30630937654440443,7.976588709677422,11.546612903225807,13.808630393996248,0.7336866068286886,-1.1423224247182304,0.2770633178220178,1.1585955779996124,-0.31448226940561197,-0.13765621096528435,0.7336866068286886,-0.2506954489106997,0.24852579433497884,-1.1423224247182304,0.2770633178220178,1.1585955779996124,-0.29401875168365016,-0.3072261000055951,-0.3169313029924537,0.0,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.2506954489106997 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.31448226940561197,-0.3175227731919271,-0.36168804132172794,0.30325643853523054,-1.0986732477169572,-1.5511439116052428,-0.8778912679324251,5.653280817174515,9.10595567867036,9.370517928286853,0.5633881683027868,0.038306363095166,0.1797907314204927,0.6240136788431565,-0.31448226940561197,-0.13765621096528435,0.5633881683027868,-0.13940771339823854,0.2809138921939629,0.038306363095166,0.1797907314204927,0.6240136788431565,,,,,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.13940771339823854 +naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.3815214672584639,-0.13765621096528435,-0.5337272727016389,0.2929369322294078,-0.3606715995999378,-0.5518325363009938,-0.25791489025563835,8.711289556962026,12.329113924050633,15.175460122699386,0.8739719005001947,-1.5783012094975792,0.2986023236450539,2.089316109528023,-0.31448226940561197,-0.13765621096528435,0.8739719005001947,-0.340743556454753,0.23737156580919855,-1.5783012094975792,0.2986023236450539,2.089316109528023,-0.3595253868205638,-0.35773775890727944,-0.31693130299245376,0.0,6.984860557768924,0.5760000000000001,8.693877551020408,31.0,0.17866666666666664,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10618686868686868, ""Industrials"": 0.10555555555555556, ""Financials"": 0.10151515151515152, ""Health Care"": 0.08914141414141413, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08421717171717172, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048484848484848485, ""Utilities"": 0.043181818181818175, ""Materials"": 0.037121212121212124, ""Real Estate"": 0.036616161616161616, ""Communication"": 0.025, ""Energy"": 0.01792929292929293}",-0.340743556454753 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.07124301154445489,0.00838033286870754,-0.46212797985420373,0.2517722817812192,0.1589953713247197,0.2118288086613381,0.01813422522339254,6.493737549800798,9.82246015936255,18.688524590163933,0.5834370053113473,-0.662578939073398,0.5112201461371815,0.8200648450993453,-0.2511190906903483,-0.029487949330617158,0.5834370053113473,-0.07304756904545039,0.23209802644630162,-0.662578939073398,0.5112201461371815,0.8200648450993453,-0.04568797031717291,-0.035705570169320286,-0.1800688211069033,0.38968915845337376,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.07304756904545039 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.3204221847298506,-0.08700588625038674,-0.34923533955769326,0.2686777755718213,-0.20576959782329043,-0.3028327186282924,-0.24913253727580875,7.130229838709678,11.075322580645162,20.66791744840525,0.6784761635865124,-0.7839903865194545,0.4306139979156506,0.933780685829372,-0.2511190906903483,-0.029487949330617158,0.6784761635865124,-0.13987095479114572,0.22953744265854795,-0.7839903865194545,0.4306139979156506,0.933780685829372,-0.14422774398033794,-0.14090379020366278,-0.18006882110690395,0.0,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.13987095479114572 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.2511190906903483,-0.25366425980059126,-0.2889128105057319,0.2619704943585146,-0.9776671511573267,-1.2973882247375395,-0.8779958886439155,3.7688538781163428,7.0824099722991685,11.856573705179283,0.47196704677676565,0.32196450834992846,0.20738887770472492,0.5097271287469141,-0.2511190906903483,-0.029487949330617158,0.47196704677676565,-0.09379135269251589,0.27276478178527747,0.32196450834992846,0.20738887770472492,0.5097271287469141,,,,,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.09379135269251589 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.09254220955290382,-0.029487949330617158,-0.2855705907445084,0.27059087319954017,0.024266510578143094,0.036864542288511944,-0.10325975533313637,8.178312236286919,12.329113924050633,23.38159509202454,0.8469006611119815,-1.2250790031134213,0.4800425917460257,1.6720685939442512,-0.2511190906903483,-0.029487949330617158,0.8469006611119815,-0.22124134103804605,0.214209451418352,-1.2250790031134213,0.4800425917460257,1.6720685939442512,-0.21917159908469153,-0.21231220208615043,-0.180068821106904,0.0,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, 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universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.04293875133037317,0.005111293595856603,-0.47099236582661375,0.25177144304763255,0.14607434543557207,0.1945651462337097,0.01085217928508468,6.493737549800798,9.82246015936255,18.688524590163933,0.5833664371688081,-0.6765478638043315,0.5053669581489222,0.8253880497166447,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,0.5833664371688081,-0.07628717064764963,0.23211446109563377,-0.6765478638043315,0.5053669581489222,0.8253880497166447,-0.04909620157929659,-0.03904194432454113,-0.18423218811856235,0.36997725549658833,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, 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""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.14344825232822586 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.25250537759969427,-0.2550620850773804,-0.28918580963871465,0.2619253981140563,-0.9849746114088109,-1.3007742521020937,-0.8820006949719778,3.7688538781163428,7.0824099722991685,11.856573705179283,0.4718991062358751,0.3151294854943181,0.20545663736785302,0.511763357571944,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,0.4718991062358751,-0.095684640516596,0.27274711666261076,0.3151294854943181,0.20545663736785302,0.511763357571944,,,,,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.095684640516596 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.10454483885781551,-0.0334627923397528,-0.2943988468422868,0.27064082101838666,0.009105095040735504,0.013834110342324245,-0.11366482137642082,8.178312236286919,12.329113924050633,23.38159509202454,0.8469993766011802,-1.2439679083877837,0.4726360402793203,1.6841650746416856,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,0.8469993766011802,-0.22536998038706504,0.21425439136614266,-1.2439679083877837,0.4726360402793203,1.6841650746416856,-0.22327645029831794,-0.21645060886328218,-0.18423218811856293,0.0,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.22536998038706504 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.04706587673073881,0.0055927803989721525,-0.521159403618839,0.23375675870688406,0.14063962269626315,0.19050598292905196,0.010731419907492549,6.776689077025233,9.82246015936255,18.225650916104147,0.47824538013418677,-0.6733629406728786,0.46068572886095904,0.7498637918089175,-0.2996318394089974,-0.0406878883342241,0.47824538013418677,-0.059815135894720144,0.23900695967443153,-0.6733629406728786,0.46068572886095904,0.7498637918089175,-0.03858082681072662,-0.02294631729633536,-0.18947871490865856,0.4541319181197877,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information Technology"": 0.09393939393939393, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09107744107744106, ""Health Care"": 0.08644781144781145, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048905723905723904, ""Materials"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Real Estate"": 0.04377104377104378, ""Utilities"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Communication"": 0.03122895622895623, ""Energy"": 0.019612794612794613}",-0.059815135894720144 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.3879343200469385,-0.10924147599736178,-0.4138850541718979,0.2719365255589063,-0.2909283272483994,-0.4245144212840924,-0.2639415820799143,7.713451612903227,11.546612903225807,20.712945590994373,0.6986341431455683,-0.891537274923605,0.40531603233727026,0.9959065180624699,-0.2996318394089974,-0.0406878883342241,0.6986341431455683,-0.1662123592992806,0.2285753773818918,-0.891537274923605,0.40531603233727026,0.9959065180624699,-0.17539095928027548,-0.18372279289482674,-0.18947871490865917,0.0,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information Technology"": 0.09393939393939393, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09107744107744106, ""Health Care"": 0.08644781144781145, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048905723905723904, ""Materials"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Real Estate"": 0.04377104377104378, ""Utilities"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Communication"": 0.03122895622895623, ""Energy"": 0.019612794612794613}",-0.1662123592992806 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.2996318394089974,-0.30256225937056025,-0.3453984454856226,0.282530123635867,-1.1242781626653042,-1.5359643787603885,-0.8759803737540405,5.387690443213295,9.10595567867036,14.055776892430279,0.5341332251054984,0.09747042904236702,0.20738887770472492,0.607536438733861,-0.2996318394089974,-0.0406878883342241,0.5341332251054984,-0.13393238602522317,0.2698057013689069,0.09747042904236702,0.20738887770472492,0.607536438733861,,,,,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information Technology"": 0.09393939393939393, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09107744107744106, ""Health Care"": 0.08644781144781145, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048905723905723904, ""Materials"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Real Estate"": 0.04377104377104378, ""Utilities"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Communication"": 0.03122895622895623, ""Energy"": 0.019612794612794613}",-0.13393238602522317 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.126080089882195,-0.0406878883342241,-0.3119745163965565,0.2684204541067507,-0.021060771083229606,-0.03146439540285235,-0.1304205510250875,8.448011603375527,12.329113924050633,22.76319018404908,0.8327134805905277,-1.2828506480740456,0.4491429140300193,1.6720685939442512,-0.2996318394089974,-0.0406878883342241,0.8327134805905277,-0.22964457224750015,0.21408800754650256,-1.2828506480740456,0.4491429140300193,1.6720685939442512,-0.2281821443653779,-0.2211971515284929,-0.18947871490865925,0.0,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information 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universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.018227238123115885,0.0021928230920094105,-0.529731383239824,0.23374769948283142,0.12612072187772488,0.1707026069599202,0.0041395000586866475,6.776689077025233,9.82246015936255,18.225650916104147,0.4781163236141111,-0.6875045700254326,0.4547385949409225,0.7557562364512698,-0.3014876220334316,-0.04474522074300302,0.4781163236141111,-0.06318515669953913,0.23902890267738242,-0.6875045700254326,0.4547385949409225,0.7557562364512698,-0.04220670475396123,-0.026387648651513232,-0.19371280505877625,0.44351781652767247,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information Technology"": 0.09393939393939393, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09107744107744106, ""Health Care"": 0.08644781144781145, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048905723905723904, ""Materials"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Real Estate"": 0.04377104377104378, ""Utilities"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Communication"": 0.03122895622895623, ""Energy"": 0.019612794612794613}",-0.06318515669953913 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.3978927841879515,-0.11267809159603936,-0.42299751977612376,0.2719598702646483,-0.30512987658735136,-0.44487100488568293,-0.26638002902635344,7.713451612903227,11.546612903225807,20.712945590994373,0.6986387144530706,-0.9083580187570222,0.39857486028225847,1.0023914882912561,-0.3014876220334316,-0.04474522074300302,0.6986387144530706,-0.17008197235355382,0.22860205770165784,-0.9083580187570222,0.39857486028225847,1.0023914882912561,-0.1793698229908444,-0.18767276521312312,-0.1937128050587769,0.0,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information Technology"": 0.09393939393939393, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09107744107744106, ""Health Care"": 0.08644781144781145, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048905723905723904, ""Materials"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Real Estate"": 0.04377104377104378, ""Utilities"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Communication"": 0.03122895622895623, ""Energy"": 0.019612794612794613}",-0.17008197235355382 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3014876220334316,-0.3044320044429818,-0.34689899566793236,0.2824844353883664,-1.133922849336026,-1.5396248505061887,-0.8775811064451685,5.387690443213295,9.10595567867036,14.055776892430279,0.5340527341898731,0.08756845940846956,0.20545663736785302,0.6107983018946855,-0.3014876220334316,-0.04474522074300302,0.5340527341898731,-0.13663317768278418,0.26978857525153643,0.08756845940846956,0.20545663736785302,0.6107983018946855,,,,,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information Technology"": 0.09393939393939393, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09107744107744106, ""Health Care"": 0.08644781144781145, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048905723905723904, ""Materials"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Real Estate"": 0.04377104377104378, ""Utilities"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Communication"": 0.03122895622895623, ""Energy"": 0.019612794612794613}",-0.13663317768278418 +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.13801496608429953,-0.04474522074300302,-0.3206255579986613,0.26846788938346894,-0.03684054627129641,-0.05502273937404353,-0.13955600115693162,8.448011603375527,12.329113924050633,22.76319018404908,0.8328092894020767,-1.3023887113036468,0.44133690333843595,1.6841650746416856,-0.3014876220334316,-0.04474522074300302,0.8328092894020767,-0.23390770580350642,0.2141298513789731,-1.3023887113036468,0.44133690333843595,1.6841650746416856,-0.23235856682080655,-0.22540574365834498,-0.19371280505877692,0.0,6.776689077025233,0.5588333333333333,12.551020408163266,31.0,0.18133333333333332,"{""Industrials"": 0.10058922558922558, ""Financials"": 0.0955387205387205, ""Information Technology"": 0.09393939393939393, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09107744107744106, ""Health Care"": 0.08644781144781145, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.048905723905723904, ""Materials"": 0.04427609427609428, ""Real Estate"": 0.04377104377104378, ""Utilities"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Communication"": 0.03122895622895623, ""Energy"": 0.019612794612794613}",-0.23390770580350642 diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_branch_manifest.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_branch_manifest.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..7caa248 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_branch_manifest.json @@ -0,0 +1,59 @@ +{ + "branch_name": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "previous_candidate_name": "cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50", + "role": "cash-buffered parallel branch", + "strategy_family": "tech_heavy_pullback", + "intended_use": "Research-only parallel stock branch for concentrated tech leaders bought on controlled pullbacks with an explicit 20% cash/BOXX buffer in risk-on.", + "benchmark": "QQQ", + "universe_semantics": "Two-sector tech-heavy large-cap universe: Information Technology + Communication inside the IWB/Russell proxy universe.", + "deployment_semantics": { + "holdings_count": 8, + "single_name_cap": 0.1, + "sector_cap": 0.4, + "risk_on_target_stock_weight": 0.8, + "soft_defense_target_stock_weight": 0.6, + "hard_defense_target_stock_weight": 0.0, + "risk_on_realized_stock_weight": 0.7999999999999998, + "avg_names_held": 5.898989898989899, + "risk_on_fill_rate": 1.0 + }, + "why_this_is_a_cash_buffer_branch": [ + "risk_on target is explicitly 80%, not implicit underinvestment.", + "Two-sector 40% cap + 8 names + 10% single cap is geometrically self-consistent at 80% stock.", + "The branch keeps a persistent safe-haven sleeve even in risk_on by design, not by accident." + ], + "why_this_is_not_a_replacement_for_qqq_plus_current_default": [ + "qqq_plus_current_default remains the main full-risk offensive stock default.", + "This branch has lower beta (0.503 OOS) and shallower OOS drawdown, but its 2022 result is still weaker than qqq_plus_current_default.", + "The intended role is a lower-beta, cash-buffered tech pullback parallel branch, not the primary offensive default." + ], + "why_this_is_not_frozen": [ + "Average names held is still only about 5.90.", + "2022 return is still -12.01%, so downside behavior is not clean enough to freeze.", + "This round finished naming/packaging, but the upgrade from v1.4 is still just a hold_bonus micro-adjustment." + ], + "key_risks": [ + "Two-sector concentration remains high.", + "2022 behavior is still materially weaker than qqq_plus_current_default.", + "Universe is still the public IWB/Russell proxy, not official PIT constituents.", + "Residual momentum is still a simple excess-return proxy vs QQQ." + ], + "preferred_comparison_set": [ + "qqq_plus_current_default", + "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive", + "QQQ" + ], + "promotion_basis": { + "why_promoted_to_branch_default": [ + "Same honest cash-buffer geometry as v1.3 default branch.", + "OOS CAGR and IR improved with a simple hold_bonus increase from 0.05 to 0.10.", + "Deployment semantics remain perfectly aligned with the written spec." + ], + "recommendation": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "oos_cagr": 0.34068001857447316, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.23873167970694698, + "oos_max_drawdown": -0.19176289938838953, + "return_2022": -0.12012100392137592 + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_crypto_theme_constituents.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_crypto_theme_constituents.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e02cc98 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_crypto_theme_constituents.csv @@ -0,0 +1,10 @@ +symbol,theme_bucket,reason,present_in_iwb_proxy,first_seen_start_date +COIN,exchange_broker,Coinbase: spot + institutional crypto exchange / broker,True,2022-06-30 +MSTR,btc_treasury_proxy,MicroStrategy/Strategy: listed BTC treasury proxy,True,2024-06-28 +HOOD,broker,Robinhood: retail broker with material crypto trading exposure,True,2022-06-30 +SQ,payments_wallet,Block historical ticker SQ: Cash App / bitcoin exposure,True,2018-01-31 +XYZ,payments_wallet,Block current ticker XYZ: Cash App / bitcoin exposure,True,2025-01-31 +PYPL,payments_wallet,PayPal: crypto trading / wallet / stablecoin related initiatives,True,2018-01-31 +IBKR,broker,Interactive Brokers: access rails for crypto trading,True,2018-01-31 +CME,exchange_infra,CME: listed crypto futures / institutional market infrastructure,True,2018-01-31 +CBOE,exchange_infra,Cboe: crypto ETF / options market structure exposure,True,2018-01-31 diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_equity_comparison.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_equity_comparison.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..89d264c --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_equity_comparison.csv @@ -0,0 +1,37 @@ +strategy,cost_bps_one_way,period,family,universe,normalization,normalization_label,min_adv20_usd,leadership_filter,sector_whitelist,symbol_whitelist,score_template,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,breadth_symbols,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,notes,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,annual_turnover,average_monthly_turnover,average_names_replaced_per_rebalance,median_holding_duration_days,top5_continuity,avg_sector_weights_json,Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ,experiment_group,scenario,universe_filter,leadership_only,group_normalization,group_normalization_label +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1307300514972844,0.18768823595798545,-0.3362700948230595,0.24872407220100792,0.8179454815651979,0.9799528527609718,0.5581472716351549,3.76527639442231,9.82246015936255,12.459016393442623,0.6125048529214872,0.043486521441735,0.6617727612408931,0.2857583714809766,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,0.6125048529214872,0.08473078187233722,0.22142123902263847,0.043486521441735,0.6617727612408931,0.2857583714809766,0.055237862442859276,0.05279403928849767,0.13241792622678883,0.8074298711144806,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.08473078187233722,,,,,, +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5299668874365095,0.24449186142520074,-0.2982238155399347,0.26288283333721785,0.9666913010933563,1.2640955272144694,0.8198267498608313,4.170919354838711,11.075322580645162,13.778611632270168,0.6679615296895837,0.5746225312247123,0.9695848791187635,0.38270355240361636,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,0.6679615296895837,0.17085216464673877,0.22529070927806208,0.5746225312247123,0.9695848791187635,0.38270355240361636,0.12776991080046018,0.12713647926499055,0.13241792622678794,1.0,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.17085216464673877,,,,,, +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14587933177797008,-0.14746343045372057,-0.16932952729960105,0.12886293138775642,-1.1635249148563287,-1.2153912238179276,-0.870866604338935,3.085907202216067,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20193633914769202,0.6947481962576268,0.15532814563826783,0.2998255855690623,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,0.20193633914769202,-0.08048114061266348,0.2792454813749823,0.6947481962576268,0.15532814563826783,0.2998255855690623,,,,,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",-0.08048114061266348,,,,,, +broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9620719666027924,0.3975227898506668,-0.29822381553993427,0.2915744263615232,1.2983568736346864,1.7984327862600624,1.3329679560666599,4.515537974683545,12.329113924050633,15.587730061349694,1.0412859908421084,0.5323738194319559,1.1498852203833372,0.5269961770996029,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,1.0412859908421084,0.09847235283895461,0.2058287976512087,0.5323738194319559,1.1498852203833372,0.5269961770996029,0.10117724344832381,0.10657298450511435,0.13241792622678789,1.0,3.76527639442231,0.3105,4.285714285714286,61.0,0.6000000000000001,"{""Information Technology"": 0.13926767676767676, ""Industrials"": 0.09393939393939395, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09027777777777776, ""Health Care"": 0.08611111111111111, ""Financials"": 0.07929292929292929, ""Materials"": 0.046212121212121204, ""Communication"": 0.039141414141414144, ""Utilities"": 0.03838383838383839, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03598484848484849, ""Energy"": 0.03244949494949495, ""Real Estate"": 0.03005050505050505}",0.09847235283895461,,,,,, +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.52577601428643,0.230343208703087,-0.3275691692317261,0.2279969587120907,1.0254865869181704,1.2292045082499627,0.7031895255689941,2.9588645418326696,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.5393895280254657,0.1835270672788294,0.6730084001708915,0.13224036890383856,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.5393895280254657,0.12926663952681022,0.21791843598593486,0.1835270672788294,0.6730084001708915,0.13224036890383856,0.07368318345053657,0.05434594609671379,0.2528939288155754,0.8407884761182715,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.12926663952681022,,,,,, +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.20245135974008,0.3155716776716817,-0.1841129708630962,0.21839400709387893,1.3696922975287686,1.792701861378311,1.7140111106367206,3.157645161290324,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.49636582710588983,0.795541321038746,0.9806457410398776,0.17786386689811398,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.49636582710588983,0.23725094432467417,0.21930119047498223,0.795541321038746,0.9806457410398776,0.17786386689811398,0.18983646758566428,0.18649042387516568,0.25289392881557476,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.23725094432467417,,,,,, +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11420526158137101,-0.11546900328424914,-0.1473480842578786,0.11330883483615634,-1.0175879045010994,-0.8350170735984558,-0.783647808288862,2.124722991689751,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.13627198039204289,0.7719185021537375,-0.0011209240602578431,0.18503767880806213,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.13627198039204289,-0.06843224321870368,0.29619555086336835,0.7719185021537375,-0.0011209240602578431,0.18503767880806213,,,,,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",-0.06843224321870368,,,,,, +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.615342495099122,0.4860629363265818,-0.18411297086309641,0.24115659895957944,1.769672412342374,2.5202546142096662,2.640025491131805,3.4829746835443047,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.7827109507354544,0.8329481791473957,1.1980376980005591,0.16537407993666342,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.7827109507354544,0.2162269201031795,0.1894216071240709,0.8329481791473957,1.1980376980005591,0.16537407993666342,0.21651690772896348,0.22496942726448144,0.2528939288155747,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000005,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",0.2162269201031795,,,,,, +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.7139202214227487,0.06751713925821123,-0.1576018850798867,0.09130529498291681,0.762665464772196,0.886503869943739,0.42840311982301177,0.6038994023904383,4.001743027888446,3.7941176470588234,0.2136479370571424,-0.6132129910278407,0.25693647840779543,0.14708060217337135,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.2136479370571424,0.02822745713058826,0.20250467315189405,-0.6132129910278407,0.25693647840779543,0.14708060217337135,0.03257366615717417,0.017308569555228203,0.06020540129184443,0.865049279757392,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.02822745713058826,,,,,, +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.45722556450456353,0.09278391737027425,-0.15760188507988648,0.10760611699036064,0.8809414930488612,1.158099396663294,0.5887233983479525,0.9331548387096775,6.3624193548387105,4.210131332082551,0.23828681807188395,-0.14905010601805513,0.37888484542291034,0.16449846241882196,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.23828681807188395,0.06508761144201264,0.2004341895657199,-0.14905010601805513,0.37888484542291034,0.16449846241882196,0.08844896988115325,0.0959317667589189,0.06020540129184413,1.0,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.06508761144201264,,,,,, +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.052430679831973914,-0.05303127600322377,-0.07975061552849516,0.06516616595258369,-0.7970879951267261,-0.56328260131997,-0.6649638457558427,1.1534210526315791,3.0353185595567864,0.9641434262948207,0.06983471167278615,0.9584290645464556,-0.07088604423016175,0.05499555686431035,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.06983471167278615,-0.027924181119545272,0.30466246068860137,0.9584290645464556,-0.07088604423016175,0.05499555686431035,,,,,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",-0.027924181119545272,,,,,, +crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5378564222047248,0.14185945385941467,-0.15760188507988693,0.11748562090893898,1.191519037185696,1.7366934953838944,0.9001126717964537,0.8692025316455696,7.39746835443038,5.2098159509202455,0.3731896589934591,-0.8362968400093425,0.4784773222928144,0.3551457750615057,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.3731896589934591,0.039602143111348714,0.15425556741059715,-0.8362968400093425,0.4784773222928144,0.3551457750615057,0.056035810170545396,0.05765910928522719,0.06020540129184409,1.0,0.6038994023904383,0.049800000000000004,0.5,91.0,0.8952054794520548,"{""Financials"": 0.17333333333333337, ""Information Technology"": 0.05818181818181817}",0.039602143111348714,,,,,, +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.569430463419527,0.23151781986171782,-0.41097999831245213,0.2866669240507683,0.872556414227909,1.0461953615520723,0.5633311129796245,3.787508300132802,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7483393832425623,0.24271105295809006,0.8279321558742554,0.3780666085977558,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,0.7483393832425623,0.10509449525745031,0.2320420561246986,0.24271105295809006,0.8279321558742554,0.3780666085977558,0.07242680841210362,0.07585638574523855,0.13154274043853656,0.8824867323730099,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.10509449525745031,,,,,, +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.669328616642039,0.2603163722812243,-0.3251438975484585,0.28183376982796515,0.9653475159151069,1.318955839227914,0.8006189697668475,4.088443548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7335603284332807,0.6348210318208194,1.1074490535188337,0.5151941882494815,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,0.7335603284332807,0.18061498117202987,0.2321884305164727,0.6348210318208194,1.1074490535188337,0.5151941882494815,0.12232031430415627,0.12517361310120007,0.13154274043853567,1.0,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.18061498117202987,,,,,, +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07724812231553546,-0.07812107291633308,-0.16087115374825844,0.167519662984542,-0.3976969139590805,-0.5343864580492992,-0.48561268503476995,3.9121883656509695,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33381159890603157,1.1112168480930236,0.47421807457346166,0.3127132567480536,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,0.33381159890603157,0.048189283839259675,0.24956287627291732,1.1112168480930236,0.47421807457346166,0.3127132567480536,,,,,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.048189283839259675,,,,,, +trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.892791313890791,0.3873651419346702,-0.3251438975484583,0.30832907362052686,1.2206945171440224,1.697800461770287,1.1913652535242143,4.155938818565401,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0553731389608805,0.4740890724379773,1.2476649791705994,0.8677185825261052,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,1.0553731389608805,0.09249100272140236,0.22650978138883063,0.4740890724379773,1.2476649791705994,0.8677185825261052,0.10702768166324224,0.11103584849630979,0.1315427404385355,1.0,3.787508300132802,0.31233333333333335,3.795918367346939,60.0,0.5976470588235294,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16430976430976432, ""Industrials"": 0.11868686868686867, ""Health Care"": 0.09932659932659932, ""Financials"": 0.09646464646464648, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09410774410774413, ""Materials"": 0.04713804713804713, ""Utilities"": 0.04461279461279462, ""Communication"": 0.04292929292929293, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.03956228956228956, ""Energy"": 0.030639730639730637, ""Real Estate"": 0.02626262626262626}",0.09249100272140236,,,,,, +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,0.04293875133037317,0.005111293595856603,-0.47099236582661375,0.25177144304763255,0.14607434543557207,0.1945651462337097,0.01085217928508468,6.493737549800798,9.82246015936255,18.688524590163933,0.5833664371688081,-0.6765478638043315,0.5053669581489222,0.8253880497166447,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,0.5833664371688081,-0.07628717064764963,0.23211446109563377,-0.6765478638043315,0.5053669581489222,0.8253880497166447,-0.04909620157929659,-0.03904194432454113,-0.18423218811856235,0.36997725549658833,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.07628717064764963,,,,,, +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.33065208244561706,-0.09026329440189429,-0.3585604051585969,0.26870433207651656,-0.2190594334921054,-0.3223266011438753,-0.25173804219116,7.130229838709678,11.075322580645162,20.66791744840525,0.6784825532763522,-0.7994687572640866,0.4241998682917544,0.9394871662279484,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,0.6784825532763522,-0.14344825232822586,0.22956700641651578,-0.7994687572640866,0.4241998682917544,0.9394871662279484,-0.1479252232465869,-0.1444883812426265,-0.18423218811856293,0.0,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.14344825232822586,,,,,, +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.25250537759969427,-0.2550620850773804,-0.28918580963871465,0.2619253981140563,-0.9849746114088109,-1.3007742521020937,-0.8820006949719778,3.7688538781163428,7.0824099722991685,11.856573705179283,0.4718991062358751,0.3151294854943181,0.20545663736785302,0.511763357571944,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,0.4718991062358751,-0.095684640516596,0.27274711666261076,0.3151294854943181,0.20545663736785302,0.511763357571944,,,,,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.095684640516596,,,,,, +naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,-0.10454483885781551,-0.0334627923397528,-0.2943988468422868,0.27064082101838666,0.009105095040735504,0.013834110342324245,-0.11366482137642082,8.178312236286919,12.329113924050633,23.38159509202454,0.8469993766011802,-1.2439679083877837,0.4726360402793203,1.6841650746416856,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,0.8469993766011802,-0.22536998038706504,0.21425439136614266,-1.2439679083877837,0.4726360402793203,1.6841650746416856,-0.22327645029831794,-0.21645060886328218,-0.18423218811856293,0.0,6.493737549800798,0.5355000000000001,12.673469387755102,31.0,0.1818181818181818,"{""Industrials"": 0.10353535353535352, ""Information Technology"": 0.09848484848484848, ""Financials"": 0.09680134680134679, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0945286195286195, ""Health Care"": 0.08728956228956229, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04991582491582491, ""Materials"": 0.045538720538720545, ""Real Estate"": 0.04351851851851852, ""Utilities"": 0.0398989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.032070707070707076, ""Energy"": 0.019528619528619527}",-0.22536998038706504,,,,,, +qqq_plus_current_default,5.0,Full Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,,0.6,0.0,,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.958779781250848,0.2416506149571933,-0.3237786750219297,0.2852530615979183,0.9038399819654638,1.0872431256196995,0.7463450609921305,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6801326157231703,0.2595554547101895,0.8033466871803562,0.30376025463085093,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.6801326157231703,0.12600397302353694,0.2466110009779196,0.2595554547101895,0.8033466871803562,0.30376025463085093,0.09996096456327586,0.09919099513772478,0.16463759597117278,0.9529946929492039,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 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Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,,0.6,0.0,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3973026290745523,0.3340103912486361,-0.3237786750219295,0.29901336327568034,1.117223600509941,1.4774266208748699,1.0316009577406962,3.706698387096775,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7447970621051034,0.8364949588096491,1.2004459348949046,0.39932956868763353,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.7447970621051034,0.24121136069875612,0.25032470733634143,0.8364949588096491,1.2004459348949046,0.39932956868763353,0.16613345061594673,0.16646677038095015,0.16463759597117186,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, 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+qqq_plus_current_default,5.0,2023+,reference,,,,,,,,,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,,0.6,0.0,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4501324117865915,0.46479200166957213,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303319113044961,1.3256314537040514,1.8549971219723533,1.435523823914876,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1765380818262416,0.7149704571254285,1.4157638148164762,0.9048486412007971,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,1.1765380818262416,0.12142163142015835,0.23624552961056375,0.7149704571254285,1.4157638148164762,0.9048486412007971,0.14014959690906753,0.1407004744710429,0.16463759597117186,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",0.12142163142015835,final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional +aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,Full Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,,0.6,0.0,,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.09816573134462,0.26827720022116486,-0.40875068693250227,0.3153671719476812,0.9141162663486204,1.1244027562297374,0.6563345550180468,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8285855405092717,0.37949720388487845,0.9364441977701866,0.41091199756451846,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.8285855405092717,0.12769087365751797,0.24893034580433418,0.37949720388487845,0.9364441977701866,0.41091199756451846,0.08929384924297806,0.08199454400965499,0.16654248213107942,0.9226686884003032,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 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Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,,0.6,0.0,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4430992657043165,0.3382263033129467,-0.34045794622990344,0.3151815247357876,1.0859074212568376,1.5161360085041025,0.993445173062726,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348491271165903,0.8685925048673578,1.30498452326646,0.5123841180221891,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.8348491271165903,0.23817779146657797,0.2505070271355529,0.8685925048673578,1.30498452326646,0.5123841180221891,0.13479505833011912,0.13548904511867121,0.16654248213107845,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",0.23817779146657797,final_comparison,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional +aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,2022,reference,,,,,,,,,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,,0.6,0.0,,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.024269527565687454,-0.02455171278002377,-0.15912984560159582,0.22087267064204394,-0.0007509643882581444,-0.0010714575919058816,-0.15428729090514215,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.37845071903316824,1.2653476572931934,0.8294364330174415,0.35427124611572103,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.37845071903316824,0.12999867177209815,0.27168395679875235,1.2653476572931934,0.8294364330174415,0.35427124611572103,,,,,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 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+aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,2023+,reference,,,,,,,,,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,,0.6,0.0,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.528740121351604,0.47499868834075887,-0.3404579462299032,0.33870570636478015,1.3218439582651151,1.8526330083474223,1.3951758024763607,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030848965131544,0.7338010975233403,1.4102848289736256,0.787662604657223,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,1.2030848965131544,0.12409852891436239,0.24356231505173603,0.7338010975233403,1.4102848289736256,0.787662604657223,0.12391442390655885,0.1312849716655035,0.1665424821310784,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",0.12409852891436239,final_comparison,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional +defensive_baseline,5.0,Full Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,,0.5,0.1,,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.48139574393527,0.16331062031314847,-0.2761975873275607,0.20104565807249608,0.8549194866751278,1.0286443089448685,0.5912818496834578,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.4650970152876429,-0.104101930828427,0.5952100723185209,0.2935292257719968,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.4650970152876429,0.08173558831413615,0.21071694427501694,-0.104101930828427,0.5952100723185209,0.2935292257719968,0.05560248135398675,0.0613837226539163,0.10694893754007745,0.9143290371493555,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},0.08173558831413615,final_comparison,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore +defensive_baseline,5.0,OOS Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,,0.5,0.1,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0512136613648755,0.18446943665750348,-0.2543933164893194,0.21897443101811265,0.8855596641926721,1.1503033015067359,0.7251347606266549,4.530278225806452,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.5689183732169009,0.344424904971884,0.8269146193370334,0.41304556066888753,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.5689183732169009,0.12298819397107376,0.20104670722850795,0.344424904971884,0.8269146193370334,0.41304556066888753,0.0783308418392201,0.07317116764425295,0.10694893754007676,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},0.12298819397107376,final_comparison,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore +defensive_baseline,5.0,2022,reference,,,,,,,,,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,,0.5,0.1,,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13965933707208145,-0.14118161178774558,-0.17144434318856616,0.11753290830641766,-1.22574087079287,-1.371223647029373,-0.8234836400082587,3.3304189750692514,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.19677681136055733,0.723841604720848,0.1924677044279502,0.3086798635892795,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.19677681136055733,-0.07638536941574334,0.2761317325386316,0.723841604720848,0.1924677044279502,0.3086798635892795,,,,,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},-0.07638536941574334,final_comparison,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore +defensive_baseline,5.0,2023+,reference,,,,,,,,,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,,0.5,0.1,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3841877406842245,0.3070940420390593,-0.2543933164893192,0.24141291820070146,1.2344178357685558,1.6712222513704722,1.207162382553996,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8670595683617025,0.16933748763862594,0.967399788901927,0.5947488641524897,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.8670595683617025,0.06477423430830952,0.171341945180424,0.16933748763862594,0.967399788901927,0.5947488641524897,0.07656624954101575,0.08038520036110766,0.10694893754007673,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},0.06477423430830952,final_comparison,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore +QQQ,5.0,Full Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,,1.0,1.0,,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.894099305035227,0.1792222697488295,-0.3511874144375736,0.23884672263340012,0.8114571948821633,1.0593463960881295,0.5103322681305474,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257701063817042,0.2820758993992565,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,3.4384366326517276e-16,2.458970527197124e-16,9.016225266389455e-16,0.9317664897649734,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},0.0,final_comparison,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a +QQQ,5.0,OOS Sample,reference,,,,,,,,,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,,1.0,1.0,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5097960266436365,0.10194831841499385,-0.34827994402729556,0.23373063736549046,0.5333893407056581,0.7611623809519096,0.29271946364790935,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999999,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257701063817042,0.2820758993992565,0.9999999999999999,2.487420154935177e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,1.7399039403765287e-16,1.6393136847980827e-16,1.6393136847980827e-16,0.9967845659163987,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},2.487420154935177e-17,final_comparison,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a +QQQ,5.0,2022,reference,,,,,,,,,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,,1.0,1.0,,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3257701063817042,-0.3288917373236385,-0.34827994402729556,0.32086103690750306,-1.0719298581229362,-1.7749056684447875,-0.9443315441036779,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257701063817042,0.2820758993992565,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},0.0,final_comparison,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a +QQQ,5.0,2023+,reference,,,,,,,,,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,,1.0,1.0,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.239289656145656,0.2820758993992565,-0.2276831359305408,0.19848692384281982,1.3552016036125583,1.9271432741777257,1.2388967599484806,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257701063817042,0.2820758993992565,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,1.2203779653496837e-16,1.0928757898653885e-16,1.3660947373317356e-16,0.9833333333333333,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},0.0,final_comparison,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_hypotheses.md b/research/results/growth_pullback_hypotheses.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..520922f --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_hypotheses.md @@ -0,0 +1,42 @@ +# growth_pullback_systematic_v1 hypotheses + +## Workspace scope +- This research stays entirely inside US equities. +- `crypto-linked equities` here means US-listed stocks with material crypto-linked business exposure. +- No spot / futures / on-chain crypto assets are used. +- No `CryptoLeaderRotation` logic is used. +- No `BinancePlatform` code or data path is used. + +## Testable hypotheses + +### H1. Best stock line may be broad growth / leadership, not technology-only +Research translation: +- Compare broad large-cap eligible / leadership subsets against tech-heavy subsets. +- If tech wins only in a narrow window, do not hard-code it as the default stock line. + +### H2. Useful edge may be controlled pullback inside strong trends, not naive dip buying +Research translation: +- Separate moderate pullback + trend intact + recovery confirmation from falling knives. +- Run both `trend_only_control` and `naive_dip_buy_control` as explicit controls. + +### H3. Price-first may be better than fake historical valuation overlays +Research translation: +- If the workspace lacks reliable point-in-time valuation/fundamental history, skip valuation in V1. +- Do not pretend current/retro valuation fields are point-in-time clean. + +### H4. Crypto-linked equities may be a thematic bucket, not a primary stock universe +Research translation: +- Build a small, explicit, auditable crypto-linked equity list inside the US-equity universe. +- Test whether it has stable standalone alpha or is just a high-beta thematic bucket. + +### H5. Human mistakes should become rule-design goals +Human weakness -> rule design target: +- 越跌越买 -> require trend intact and recovery confirmation before ranking a pullback highly. +- 对熟悉赛道过度集中 -> enforce holdings count, single-name cap, sector cap. +- 把好公司和好买点混为一谈 -> separate leader score from entry / pullback score. +- 没有统一退出或降暴露规则 -> keep benchmark + breadth regime and BOXX parking. + +## V1 data-policy decision +- Valuation / fundamentals are skipped in V1. +- Reason: current workspace does not expose reliable point-in-time historical valuation/fundamental data. +- This is a deliberate data-quality decision, not a claim that valuation never matters. diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_recommendation.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f9522ee --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,93 @@ +{ + "strategy_family": "growth_pullback_systematic_v1", + "default_research_spec": { + "name": "tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth", + "family": "tech_heavy_pullback", + "robustness_score": 0.8375, + "full_cagr": 0.230343208703087, + "oos_cagr": 0.3155716776716817, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.21362335925668785, + "return_2022": -0.11420526158137101, + "cagr_2023_plus": 0.4860629363265818 + }, + "aggressive_research_spec": { + "name": "trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth", + "family": "trend_only_control", + "robustness_score": 0.7563541666666667, + "full_cagr": 0.23151781986171782, + "oos_cagr": 0.2603163722812243, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.15836805386623043 + }, + "answers": { + "A_user_preference_kernel": { + "best_kept_core": "controlled_pullback_inside_strength", + "broad_growth_vs_tech": "tech_heavy", + "crypto_theme": "no" + }, + "B_remove_from_rules": [ + "越跌越买", + "对熟悉赛道过度集中", + "把好公司和好买点混为一谈", + "没有统一的退出/降暴露规则" + ], + "C_stock_line_to_continue": "tech_heavy_pullback", + "D_crypto_linked_equity_theme": "no", + "E_next_main_direction": "continue_stock_line_spec_lock" + }, + "family_best_summary": [ + { + "family": "tech_heavy_pullback", + "strategy": "tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth", + "robustness_score": 0.8375, + "full_cagr": 0.230343208703087, + "oos_cagr": 0.3155716776716817, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.21362335925668785, + "return_2022": -0.11420526158137101, + "cagr_2023_plus": 0.4860629363265818 + }, + { + "family": "trend_only_control", + "strategy": "trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth", + "robustness_score": 0.7563541666666667, + "full_cagr": 0.23151781986171782, + "oos_cagr": 0.2603163722812243, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.15836805386623043, + "return_2022": -0.07724812231553546, + "cagr_2023_plus": 0.3873651419346702 + }, + { + "family": "broad_growth_leadership_pullback", + "strategy": "broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth", + "robustness_score": 0.7357291666666668, + "full_cagr": 0.18768823595798545, + "oos_cagr": 0.24449186142520074, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.14254354301020689, + "return_2022": -0.14587933177797008, + "cagr_2023_plus": 0.3975227898506668 + }, + { + "family": "crypto_equity_theme_pullback", + "strategy": "crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth", + "robustness_score": 0.49145833333333333, + "full_cagr": 0.06751713925821123, + "oos_cagr": 0.09278391737027425, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": -0.009164401044719606, + "return_2022": -0.052430679831973914, + "cagr_2023_plus": 0.14185945385941467 + }, + { + "family": "naive_dip_buy_control", + "strategy": "naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth", + "robustness_score": 0.10104166666666668, + "full_cagr": 0.005111293595856603, + "oos_cagr": -0.09026329440189429, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq": -0.19221161281688814, + "return_2022": -0.25250537759969427, + "cagr_2023_plus": -0.0334627923397528 + } + ], + "valuation_overlay_v1": { + "included": false, + "reason": "workspace lacks reliable point-in-time historical valuation/fundamental data" + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_selection_score.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_selection_score.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..7415be2 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_selection_score.csv @@ -0,0 +1,49 @@ +family,universe,normalization,normalization_label,min_adv20_usd,leadership_filter,sector_whitelist,symbol_whitelist,score_template,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,breadth_symbols,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,notes,strategy,full_cagr,full_information_ratio_vs_qqq,full_alpha_ann_vs_qqq,oos_cagr,oos_cagr_minus_qqq,oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq,oos_max_drawdown,oos_rolling_alpha_positive_ratio,return_2022,cagr_2023_plus,annual_turnover,average_names_held,score_oos_cagr_minus_qqq,score_oos_alpha_ratio,score_oos_maxdd,score_2022,score_2023_plus,score_full_ir,score_turnover,score_names_held,complexity_adjustment,robustness_score,full_cagr_rank,robustness_rank,core_viable +tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.230343208703087,0.1835270672788294,0.12926663952681022,0.3155716776716817,0.21362335925668785,0.23725094432467417,-0.1841129708630962,1.0,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,2.9588645418326696,6.397299903567984,1.0,0.625,0.8958333333333334,0.8541666666666666,0.9791666666666666,0.9791666666666666,0.7916666666666666,0.14583333333333334,0.0,0.8375,2.0,1.0,True +trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth,0.23151781986171782,0.24271105295809006,0.10509449525745031,0.2603163722812243,0.15836805386623043,0.18061498117202987,-0.3251438975484585,1.0,-0.07724812231553546,0.3873651419346702,3.787508300132802,10.322082931533268,0.9583333333333334,0.625,0.3125,0.9375,0.875,1.0,0.625,0.4479166666666667,0.01,0.7563541666666667,1.0,2.0,True +tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.17075862545675946,-0.09052511122784296,0.08689513346468795,0.24505790662611626,0.1431095882111224,0.18471911494379675,-0.1580846281270929,1.0,-0.09240885868083792,0.3724259997776682,2.361028386454183,6.970106075216972,0.9166666666666666,0.625,0.9375,0.8958333333333334,0.6875,0.4375,0.8541666666666666,0.19791666666666666,0.0,0.7494791666666666,21.0,3.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.18768823595798545,0.043486521441735,0.08473078187233722,0.24449186142520074,0.14254354301020689,0.17085216464673877,-0.2982238155399347,1.0,-0.14587933177797008,0.3975227898506668,3.76527639442231,12.459016393442623,0.8958333333333334,0.625,0.4895833333333333,0.5625,0.8958333333333334,0.75,0.6458333333333334,0.6041666666666666,0.03,0.7357291666666668,12.0,4.0,True +tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.20061618880837484,0.06923564809950657,0.10226868333546757,0.2885102124633816,0.18656189404838774,0.2129638293680029,-0.24237892948344852,1.0,-0.20235460281173112,0.4936942871486649,3.395418326693228,6.806171648987464,0.9791666666666666,0.625,0.7708333333333334,0.16666666666666666,1.0,0.8125,0.7291666666666666,0.16666666666666666,0.0,0.728125,7.0,5.0,True +trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,trend_only_control_focused_spy_breadth,0.20424163489121172,0.12684251429174437,0.09095873994624866,0.24441733156345613,0.14246901314846228,0.16735504168024026,-0.3251438975484582,1.0,-0.11199710616305181,0.3807572171936491,4.300863213811421,10.322082931533268,0.875,0.625,0.3333333333333333,0.875,0.8125,0.9166666666666666,0.3541666666666667,0.4479166666666667,0.01,0.7042708333333334,4.0,6.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,0.19687951575892182,0.09423751003948723,0.09286182521037895,0.25838721249102936,0.1564388940760355,0.18475918840597536,-0.3372828391892724,1.0,-0.14205649761312966,0.4160176585670563,3.910794322709163,9.344262295081966,0.9375,0.625,0.1875,0.5833333333333334,0.9583333333333334,0.8333333333333334,0.5208333333333334,0.3541666666666667,0.03,0.6987500000000001,10.0,7.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_qqq_breadth,0.20836631625519164,0.1588867778707797,0.08757573482969563,0.23675551333320932,0.13480719491821547,0.16158640964642415,-0.3352242696335608,1.0,-0.1256698058470641,0.3762143510564764,3.8279299468791494,10.322082931533268,0.8125,0.625,0.22916666666666666,0.6875,0.7708333333333334,0.9583333333333334,0.6041666666666666,0.4479166666666667,0.03,0.6867708333333333,3.0,8.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.17949986312712896,-0.0013143152916088956,0.06597313341227867,0.2123837702112914,0.11043545179629755,0.1389815382915044,-0.2731940776170557,1.0,-0.12166972021076938,0.33896399479400796,3.9340367695883125,20.644165863066537,0.625,0.625,0.7083333333333334,0.7083333333333334,0.6041666666666666,0.6041666666666666,0.5,0.9479166666666666,0.03,0.6815625000000001,16.0,9.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.15492848196527387,-0.1319734363489417,0.06220729748849619,0.22189251953595246,0.1199442011209586,0.1544261293606534,-0.2739876333908572,1.0,-0.125973264592534,0.35476619513537555,3.8410669820717125,18.688524590163933,0.7083333333333334,0.625,0.6666666666666666,0.6666666666666666,0.625,0.3958333333333333,0.5833333333333334,0.8541666666666666,0.03,0.6727083333333334,30.0,10.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.1991604895127954,0.12017852433969399,0.08195031274623203,0.23906109036136636,0.1371127719463725,0.1646050047478082,-0.3351414447752953,1.0,-0.12757064097956794,0.38049687753633843,4.610088811420982,10.322082931533268,0.8333333333333334,0.625,0.2708333333333333,0.625,0.7916666666666666,0.8958333333333334,0.20833333333333334,0.4479166666666667,0.03,0.6680208333333333,9.0,11.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.20144995883525918,0.10346158651134321,0.08166795797821387,0.20030465186719204,0.09835633345219819,0.12802529557247666,-0.2773055386809604,1.0,-0.1166435718131208,0.31921930829213596,3.389355079681274,20.644165863066537,0.4791666666666667,0.625,0.625,0.8125,0.4166666666666667,0.8541666666666666,0.75,0.9479166666666666,0.03,0.6617708333333333,6.0,12.0,True +trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,trend_only_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.20336947430231045,0.13541559042222076,0.08024131438037635,0.20983243234248916,0.1078841139274953,0.13735963440226437,-0.2973954889316184,1.0,-0.1200925149292531,0.3345413894804954,3.592473854581673,13.76277724204436,0.5833333333333334,0.625,0.53125,0.7708333333333334,0.5625,0.9375,0.6875,0.6979166666666666,0.01,0.6568750000000001,5.0,13.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.18233403844951313,0.027655642991612744,0.09605348445134794,0.24380867764984093,0.14186035923484708,0.1727309242605434,-0.33728283918927193,1.0,-0.15647128165503987,0.4019010536655201,4.38776975431607,9.112825458052074,0.8541666666666666,0.625,0.20833333333333334,0.4166666666666667,0.9375,0.7083333333333334,0.2708333333333333,0.2916666666666667,0.03,0.6341666666666665,14.0,14.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.16790097490400568,-0.043815966985740896,0.08356538731490992,0.2258340137205035,0.12388569530550964,0.1553548689585938,-0.2982238155399347,1.0,-0.15745823450098462,0.37595713541672393,4.230630602589642,12.15043394406943,0.75,0.625,0.4895833333333333,0.3958333333333333,0.75,0.5625,0.3958333333333333,0.5416666666666666,0.03,0.6336458333333334,25.0,15.0,True +tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.13418493982365765,-0.2914043789979903,0.0634464196717433,0.20876936345995256,0.1068210450449587,0.15892671075761744,-0.1372973169151962,1.0,-0.07436506531284615,0.31235346532183517,1.9435738296812748,6.970106075216972,0.5625,0.625,1.0,0.9583333333333334,0.375,0.2916666666666667,0.875,0.19791666666666666,0.0,0.6317708333333333,35.0,16.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.15847966531990187,-0.07735775681957155,0.06312605063899066,0.22661967339803213,0.12467135498303827,0.15857090181357597,-0.30722102735415946,1.0,-0.1650940029540766,0.38098054464082276,4.142713520916335,12.459016393442623,0.7708333333333334,0.625,0.4583333333333333,0.3333333333333333,0.8333333333333334,0.4583333333333333,0.4375,0.6041666666666666,0.03,0.6310416666666667,27.0,17.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.1692807566389205,-0.06066194573606427,0.07185957856530081,0.20226603701887136,0.1003177186038775,0.13657090884944442,-0.28365595937584853,1.0,-0.12070409546335337,0.3239184684517382,3.562157619521912,18.688524590163933,0.5208333333333334,0.625,0.5729166666666666,0.75,0.4375,0.5,0.7083333333333334,0.8541666666666666,0.03,0.6180208333333335,23.0,18.0,True +trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,trend_only_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.19132325453867094,0.05885997079110989,0.07312197901678325,0.19053968021949075,0.0885913618044969,0.12023289774526466,-0.2659779014678534,1.0,-0.12139458836697004,0.3073701351970428,3.3661126328021242,20.644165863066537,0.375,0.625,0.75,0.7291666666666666,0.3333333333333333,0.7916666666666666,0.7708333333333334,0.9479166666666666,0.01,0.6126041666666666,11.0,19.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_focused_spy_breadth,0.1785796865234448,0.03591326059082766,0.07037916909464764,0.22317902520600952,0.12123070679101566,0.150189339896341,-0.33522426963356067,1.0,-0.15381008595004453,0.37023437955628835,4.345327025232404,10.322082931533268,0.7291666666666666,0.625,0.25,0.5,0.6666666666666666,0.7291666666666666,0.3333333333333333,0.4479166666666667,0.03,0.6034375000000001,17.0,20.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.18469314446862173,0.047737691891190065,0.07050317749800976,0.2067671046000885,0.10481878618509466,0.13607545665833892,-0.3243983575127519,1.0,-0.11782069111131832,0.3290635792682277,4.348863919322708,13.76277724204436,0.5416666666666666,0.625,0.3541666666666667,0.7916666666666666,0.5,0.7708333333333334,0.3125,0.6979166666666666,0.03,0.6003125,13.0,21.0,True +tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.14379653369674883,-0.21447687683552183,0.06085902239254085,0.21640124940408412,0.11445293098909026,0.1578375312256356,-0.21524528254123665,1.0,-0.1819541894269152,0.3745683205381607,2.783939865537848,7.62198649951784,0.6666666666666666,0.625,0.8333333333333334,0.25,0.7291666666666666,0.3125,0.8125,0.23958333333333334,0.0,0.5984375,33.0,22.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_qqq_breadth,0.17658517543072327,0.01459874812152128,0.07995911123165568,0.2324614199304198,0.13051310151542594,0.1660665889689979,-0.35171079807096717,1.0,-0.18313789686379034,0.3989791899042703,4.371601095617529,9.344262295081966,0.7916666666666666,0.625,0.16666666666666666,0.22916666666666666,0.9166666666666666,0.6458333333333334,0.2916666666666667,0.3541666666666667,0.03,0.589375,19.0,23.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.13632143691066023,-0.20905898320878646,0.06044153016696817,0.2019829011753531,0.10003458276035926,0.13751915992442312,-0.2739876333908574,1.0,-0.15117305813123816,0.3379757119500135,4.283684013944223,18.225650916104147,0.5,0.625,0.6458333333333334,0.5416666666666666,0.5833333333333334,0.3333333333333333,0.375,0.7916666666666666,0.03,0.5810416666666667,34.0,24.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.1822549273714935,0.0026289940562752682,0.07340634485896366,0.19086078796669503,0.08891246955170118,0.1193903821469742,-0.27730553868096053,1.0,-0.15592415970332452,0.3240937735345264,3.9067521580345277,20.644165863066537,0.3958333333333333,0.625,0.6041666666666666,0.4583333333333333,0.4583333333333333,0.625,0.5416666666666666,0.9479166666666666,0.03,0.5732291666666667,15.0,25.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.1746023997261159,0.01671271214052404,0.068600772185522,0.22109886911363152,0.11915055069863767,0.14956461050427922,-0.33514144477529517,1.0,-0.16718861849510447,0.3739194859783588,5.0749377490039835,10.322082931533268,0.6875,0.625,0.2916666666666667,0.2916666666666667,0.7083333333333334,0.6875,0.14583333333333334,0.4479166666666667,0.03,0.5690625,20.0,26.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_diversified_spy_breadth,0.1573616924340555,-0.11292024186048467,0.05442699852898064,0.19138637570976802,0.08943805729477416,0.12063172375819857,-0.27319407761705583,1.0,-0.17540263382785093,0.3344265935369515,4.4251597775564395,20.644165863066537,0.4166666666666667,0.625,0.6875,0.2708333333333333,0.5416666666666666,0.4166666666666667,0.25,0.9479166666666666,0.03,0.5451041666666667,28.0,27.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.14549256842937375,-0.13281769451750033,0.06574370178134117,0.21084003884978997,0.10889172043479611,0.1450467574636063,-0.30722102735415957,1.0,-0.1863392968908839,0.36861960847554753,4.564109188247012,12.15043394406943,0.6041666666666666,0.625,0.4375,0.1875,0.6458333333333334,0.375,0.22916666666666666,0.5416666666666666,0.03,0.5310416666666666,32.0,28.0,True +trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,trend_only_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.16862954192393143,-0.0582281968400641,0.06106161706593446,0.17687012296333915,0.0749218045483453,0.1078409833010683,-0.2659779014678537,1.0,-0.16374287421299238,0.3075284508620568,3.8885624169986714,20.644165863066537,0.2916666666666667,0.625,0.7291666666666666,0.375,0.3541666666666667,0.5416666666666666,0.5625,0.9479166666666666,0.01,0.5198958333333334,24.0,29.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],pullback_tilt,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_pullback_tilt_focused_spy_breadth,0.15570998431291416,-0.06929291447000234,0.07520243365435483,0.21448597962529536,0.11253766121030151,0.1507815163318152,-0.3517107980709674,1.0,-0.20336870976688148,0.38299959468260947,4.808154880478088,9.112825458052074,0.6458333333333334,0.625,0.14583333333333334,0.14583333333333334,0.8541666666666666,0.4791666666666667,0.16666666666666666,0.2916666666666667,0.03,0.5091666666666667,29.0,30.0,True +tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.11973097022879475,-0.36375355070853954,0.047352628207669,0.1806832594463379,0.07873494103134404,0.13166093335832693,-0.18245666831749585,1.0,-0.16569064420315194,0.31401670480258703,2.3864940239043824,7.62198649951784,0.3333333333333333,0.625,0.9166666666666666,0.3125,0.3958333333333333,0.2708333333333333,0.8333333333333334,0.23958333333333334,0.0,0.4973958333333333,36.0,31.0,True +crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.06751713925821123,-0.6132129910278407,0.02822745713058826,0.09278391737027425,-0.009164401044719606,0.06508761144201264,-0.15760188507988648,1.0,-0.052430679831973914,0.14185945385941467,0.6038994023904383,3.7941176470588234,0.20833333333333334,0.625,0.9791666666666666,1.0,0.16666666666666666,0.1875,1.0,0.041666666666666664,-0.02,0.49145833333333333,39.0,32.0,False +crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.08247135038095199,-0.5412825353549554,0.03193563963825941,0.10966351558430709,0.007715197169313237,0.07534471372124316,-0.2079146111157204,1.0,-0.0703810294044026,0.1718722790614946,0.7954980079681275,3.7941176470588234,0.22916666666666666,0.625,0.875,0.9791666666666666,0.20833333333333334,0.22916666666666666,0.9791666666666666,0.041666666666666664,-0.02,0.48624999999999996,38.0,33.0,False +crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.09662042583988528,-0.4647390093886291,0.037508142142139204,0.12537128303442735,0.023422964619433495,0.08728466890354347,-0.22586829928002383,1.0,-0.08342133251847061,0.19882598468732504,0.9337400398406374,3.7941176470588234,0.25,0.625,0.7916666666666666,0.9166666666666666,0.25,0.25,0.9375,0.041666666666666664,-0.02,0.47687500000000005,37.0,34.0,False +trend_only_control,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],trend_only,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,trend_only_control_balanced_spy_breadth,0.1783654859924486,0.01605151561001935,0.0678331329636196,0.19493870704147676,0.0929903886264829,0.12444839215812446,-0.2973954889316184,0.9967845659163987,-0.15479326771620394,0.3294788780864242,4.126039591633465,13.76277724204436,0.4583333333333333,0.21875,0.53125,0.4791666666666667,0.5208333333333334,0.6666666666666666,0.4583333333333333,0.6979166666666666,0.01,0.47250000000000003,18.0,35.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth,0.19978978235526657,0.1142882433911928,0.07894903158296357,0.18735387640682544,0.08540555799183158,0.11751789119682884,-0.31185909686866564,0.9646302250803859,-0.12738046552762528,0.3055440539377958,3.721317853585657,13.76277724204436,0.3541666666666667,0.16666666666666666,0.3958333333333333,0.6458333333333334,0.3125,0.875,0.6666666666666666,0.6979166666666666,0.03,0.46281250000000007,8.0,36.0,True +crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_spy_breadth,0.05027268622155767,-0.7020190013093827,0.009626784682110253,0.0718705915882849,-0.03007772682670895,0.04212073649503933,-0.1576018850798867,1.0,-0.115606942362666,0.13729232028383187,0.8367280876494024,3.901639344262295,0.14583333333333334,0.625,0.9583333333333334,0.8333333333333334,0.14583333333333334,0.10416666666666667,0.9583333333333334,0.10416666666666667,-0.02,0.44666666666666666,42.0,37.0,False +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],pullback_tilt,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_pullback_tilt_balanced_spy_breadth,0.16122406584691995,-0.05972820377118231,0.0578421951262195,0.19144929612620465,0.0895009777112108,0.12256313290507284,-0.3243983575127518,0.9967845659163987,-0.15598568237690147,0.32497950749859106,4.800575821713148,13.76277724204436,0.4375,0.21875,0.375,0.4375,0.4791666666666667,0.5208333333333334,0.1875,0.6979166666666666,0.03,0.4273958333333334,26.0,38.0,True +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],balanced_pullback,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_diversified_spy_breadth,0.14592611972164193,-0.16231042033158996,0.06727902775050089,0.1799757465398828,0.07802742812488894,0.11743747571891415,-0.28365595937584853,0.9710610932475884,-0.13985934427413615,0.3007047087954413,4.041154133466135,18.225650916104147,0.3125,0.1875,0.5729166666666666,0.6041666666666666,0.2916666666666667,0.3541666666666667,0.4791666666666667,0.7916666666666666,0.03,0.4201041666666667,31.0,39.0,True +crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_balanced_spy_breadth,0.05912934019371208,-0.660399837423417,0.007134743040288733,0.08121019752994907,-0.020738120885044786,0.04472221379194538,-0.20791461111572052,1.0,-0.1527649717875219,0.16559111566768459,1.1059362549800795,3.901639344262295,0.16666666666666666,0.625,0.8541666666666666,0.5208333333333334,0.1875,0.16666666666666666,0.9166666666666666,0.10416666666666667,-0.02,0.41333333333333333,41.0,40.0,False +crypto_equity_theme_pullback,crypto_linked_equity_theme,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,[],"[""COIN"", ""MSTR"", ""HOOD"", ""SQ"", ""XYZ"", ""PYPL"", ""IBKR"", ""CME"", ""CBOE""]",balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Explicit curated US-equity crypto-linked theme bucket inside the large-cap proxy universe,crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_focused_spy_breadth,0.0670222854537097,-0.6120514094780195,0.006501822174556112,0.08911837571066594,-0.012829942704327912,0.04899642960074828,-0.2258682992800234,1.0,-0.184655015700408,0.19075355271338257,1.3321819863403528,3.901639344262295,0.1875,0.625,0.8125,0.20833333333333334,0.22916666666666666,0.20833333333333334,0.8958333333333334,0.10416666666666667,-0.02,0.3883333333333333,40.0,41.0,False +broad_growth_leadership_pullback,leadership_growth,sector,sector,50000000.0,True,[],[],balanced_pullback,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad universe but leadership/growth prefilter; not tech-only,broad_leadership_growth_balanced_pullback_balanced_spy_breadth,0.17035252758423436,-0.019456541645069506,0.061941926621942076,0.171133791265504,0.06918547285051013,0.10322543540437468,-0.3118590968686653,0.9131832797427653,-0.1650727994630563,0.29983598542191303,4.221535732071713,13.76277724204436,0.2708333333333333,0.14583333333333334,0.4166666666666667,0.3541666666666667,0.2708333333333333,0.5833333333333334,0.4166666666666667,0.6979166666666666,0.03,0.3659375,22.0,42.0,True +naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth,0.005111293595856603,-0.6765478638043315,-0.07628717064764963,-0.09026329440189429,-0.19221161281688814,-0.14344825232822586,-0.3585604051585969,0.0,-0.25250537759969427,-0.0334627923397528,6.493737549800798,18.688524590163933,0.125,0.07291666666666667,0.125,0.10416666666666667,0.125,0.14583333333333334,0.125,0.8541666666666666,-0.05,0.10104166666666668,43.0,43.0,False +naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_spy_breadth,0.0021928230920094105,-0.6875045700254326,-0.06318515669953913,-0.11267809159603936,-0.21462641001103322,-0.17008197235355382,-0.42299751977612376,0.0,-0.3014876220334316,-0.04474522074300302,6.776689077025233,18.225650916104147,0.10416666666666667,0.07291666666666667,0.10416666666666667,0.0625,0.10416666666666667,0.125,0.08333333333333333,0.7916666666666666,-0.05,0.07916666666666665,44.0,44.0,False +naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_qqq_breadth,-0.0189538464152309,-0.7153302002070516,-0.09938063395547228,-0.1465618014777943,-0.24851011989278815,-0.20507919071486597,-0.5156428574334002,0.0,-0.25380634457188433,-0.11046588639678745,6.730204183266932,12.459016393442623,0.08333333333333333,0.07291666666666667,0.08333333333333333,0.08333333333333333,0.08333333333333333,0.08333333333333333,0.10416666666666667,0.6041666666666666,-0.05,0.05833333333333332,45.0,45.0,False +naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,naive_dip_buy_control_focused_qqq_breadth,-0.04115875532372293,-0.736647624079405,-0.12027335173949294,-0.15920949320171818,-0.26115781161671203,-0.2164265017519304,-0.5451515004276551,0.0,-0.24622397245999572,-0.1303836314003446,7.045493027888444,9.344262295081966,0.0625,0.07291666666666667,0.0625,0.125,0.0625,0.0625,0.041666666666666664,0.3541666666666667,-0.05,0.03437500000000002,47.0,46.0,False +naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,naive_dip_buy_control_balanced_spy_breadth,-0.03090377658895016,-0.7606531576291068,-0.09631925897508543,-0.18306922475436838,-0.28501754316936223,-0.2506954489106997,-0.5976611843216937,0.0,-0.31448226940561197,-0.13765621096528435,6.984860557768924,12.15043394406943,0.041666666666666664,0.07291666666666667,0.041666666666666664,0.041666666666666664,0.041666666666666664,0.041666666666666664,0.0625,0.5416666666666666,-0.05,0.02395833333333333,46.0,47.0,False +naive_dip_buy_control,large_cap_eligible,sector,sector,20000000.0,False,[],[],naive_dip_buy,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Broad large-cap / eligible baseline from IWB proxy universe,naive_dip_buy_control_focused_spy_breadth,-0.046393279279077104,-0.7643624418938219,-0.11046293750937296,-0.19590683356032856,-0.2978551519753224,-0.26278137917905886,-0.6236270476657386,0.0,-0.3189846405661947,-0.15362110974706078,7.27387533200531,9.112825458052074,0.020833333333333332,0.07291666666666667,0.020833333333333332,0.020833333333333332,0.020833333333333332,0.020833333333333332,0.020833333333333332,0.2916666666666667,-0.05,-0.005208333333333336,48.0,48.0,False diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_summary.md b/research/results/growth_pullback_summary.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a3ca9e5 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_summary.md @@ -0,0 +1,79 @@ +# growth_pullback_systematic_v1 summary + +## Workspace mapping +- qqq_plus suite: /Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py +- qqq_plus default config: /Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json +- qqq_plus aggressive config: /Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json +- defensive strategy entry: /Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py +- defensive backtest entry: /Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies/backtests/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py +- new research entry: /Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py +- avoided repos: /Users/lisiyi/Projects/BinancePlatform, /Users/lisiyi/Projects/CryptoLeaderRotation + +## Family best table (5 bps) +| family | strategy | robustness_score | full_cagr | oos_cagr | oos_cagr_minus_qqq | return_2022 | cagr_2023_plus | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| tech_heavy_pullback | tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | 0.837500 | 0.230343 | 0.315572 | 0.213623 | -0.114205 | 0.486063 | +| trend_only_control | trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth | 0.756354 | 0.231518 | 0.260316 | 0.158368 | -0.077248 | 0.387365 | +| broad_growth_leadership_pullback | broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth | 0.735729 | 0.187688 | 0.244492 | 0.142544 | -0.145879 | 0.397523 | +| crypto_equity_theme_pullback | crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth | 0.491458 | 0.067517 | 0.092784 | -0.009164 | -0.052431 | 0.141859 | +| naive_dip_buy_control | naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth | 0.101042 | 0.005111 | -0.090263 | -0.192212 | -0.252505 | -0.033463 | + +## Final comparison (5 bps) +| strategy | period | family | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Turnover/Year | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth | Full Sample | broad_growth_leadership_pullback | 0.187688 | 3.130730 | -0.336270 | 0.817945 | 0.084731 | 0.043487 | 3.765276 | +| broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth | OOS Sample | broad_growth_leadership_pullback | 0.244492 | 1.529967 | -0.298224 | 0.966691 | 0.170852 | 0.574623 | 4.170919 | +| broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth | 2022 | broad_growth_leadership_pullback | -0.147463 | -0.145879 | -0.169330 | -1.163525 | -0.080481 | 0.694748 | 3.085907 | +| broad_large_cap_eligible_balanced_pullback_balanced_qqq_breadth | 2023+ | broad_growth_leadership_pullback | 0.397523 | 1.962072 | -0.298224 | 1.298357 | 0.098472 | 0.532374 | 4.515538 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | Full Sample | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.230343 | 4.525776 | -0.327569 | 1.025487 | 0.129267 | 0.183527 | 2.958865 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | OOS Sample | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.315572 | 2.202451 | -0.184113 | 1.369692 | 0.237251 | 0.795541 | 3.157645 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | 2022 | tech_heavy_pullback | -0.115469 | -0.114205 | -0.147348 | -1.017588 | -0.068432 | 0.771919 | 2.124723 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | 2023+ | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.486063 | 2.615342 | -0.184113 | 1.769672 | 0.216227 | 0.832948 | 3.482975 | +| crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth | Full Sample | crypto_equity_theme_pullback | 0.067517 | 0.713920 | -0.157602 | 0.762665 | 0.028227 | -0.613213 | 0.603899 | +| crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth | OOS Sample | crypto_equity_theme_pullback | 0.092784 | 0.457226 | -0.157602 | 0.880941 | 0.065088 | -0.149050 | 0.933155 | +| crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth | 2022 | crypto_equity_theme_pullback | -0.053031 | -0.052431 | -0.079751 | -0.797088 | -0.027924 | 0.958429 | 1.153421 | +| crypto_theme_pullback_balanced_diversified_qqq_breadth | 2023+ | crypto_equity_theme_pullback | 0.141859 | 0.537856 | -0.157602 | 1.191519 | 0.039602 | -0.836297 | 0.869203 | +| trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth | Full Sample | trend_only_control | 0.231518 | 4.569430 | -0.410980 | 0.872556 | 0.105094 | 0.242711 | 3.787508 | +| trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth | OOS Sample | trend_only_control | 0.260316 | 1.669329 | -0.325144 | 0.965348 | 0.180615 | 0.634821 | 4.088444 | +| trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth | 2022 | trend_only_control | -0.078121 | -0.077248 | -0.160871 | -0.397697 | 0.048189 | 1.111217 | 3.912188 | +| trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth | 2023+ | trend_only_control | 0.387365 | 1.892791 | -0.325144 | 1.220695 | 0.092491 | 0.474089 | 4.155939 | +| naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth | Full Sample | naive_dip_buy_control | 0.005111 | 0.042939 | -0.470992 | 0.146074 | -0.076287 | -0.676548 | 6.493738 | +| naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth | OOS Sample | naive_dip_buy_control | -0.090263 | -0.330652 | -0.358560 | -0.219059 | -0.143448 | -0.799469 | 7.130230 | +| naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth | 2022 | naive_dip_buy_control | -0.255062 | -0.252505 | -0.289186 | -0.984975 | -0.095685 | 0.315129 | 3.768854 | +| naive_dip_buy_control_diversified_qqq_breadth | 2023+ | naive_dip_buy_control | -0.033463 | -0.104545 | -0.294399 | 0.009105 | -0.225370 | -1.243968 | 8.178312 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | Full Sample | reference | 0.241651 | 4.958780 | -0.323779 | 0.903840 | 0.126004 | 0.259555 | 3.440286 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | OOS Sample | reference | 0.334010 | 2.397303 | -0.323779 | 1.117224 | 0.241211 | 0.836495 | 3.706698 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2022 | reference | -0.015491 | -0.015312 | -0.163557 | -0.019576 | 0.068668 | 1.170392 | 2.893670 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2023+ | reference | 0.464792 | 2.450132 | -0.323779 | 1.325631 | 0.121422 | 0.714970 | 3.966892 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | Full Sample | reference | 0.268277 | 6.098166 | -0.408751 | 0.914116 | 0.127691 | 0.379497 | 3.532852 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | OOS Sample | reference | 0.338226 | 2.443099 | -0.340458 | 1.085907 | 0.238178 | 0.868593 | 3.844944 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2022 | reference | -0.024552 | -0.024270 | -0.159130 | -0.000751 | 0.129999 | 1.265348 | 2.782375 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2023+ | reference | 0.474999 | 2.528740 | -0.340458 | 1.321844 | 0.124099 | 0.733801 | 4.181624 | +| defensive_baseline | Full Sample | reference | 0.163311 | 2.481396 | -0.276198 | 0.854919 | 0.081736 | -0.104102 | 3.926458 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS Sample | reference | 0.184469 | 1.051214 | -0.254393 | 0.885560 | 0.122988 | 0.344425 | 4.530278 | +| defensive_baseline | 2022 | reference | -0.141182 | -0.139659 | -0.171444 | -1.225741 | -0.076385 | 0.723842 | 3.330419 | +| defensive_baseline | 2023+ | reference | 0.307094 | 1.384188 | -0.254393 | 1.234418 | 0.064774 | 0.169337 | 4.911097 | +| QQQ | Full Sample | reference | 0.179222 | 2.894099 | -0.351187 | 0.811457 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS Sample | reference | 0.101948 | 0.509796 | -0.348280 | 0.533389 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | 2022 | reference | -0.328892 | -0.325770 | -0.348280 | -1.071930 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | 2023+ | reference | 0.282076 | 1.239290 | -0.227683 | 1.355202 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | + +## Crypto-linked theme list +| symbol | theme_bucket | reason | present_in_iwb_proxy | first_seen_start_date | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| COIN | exchange_broker | Coinbase: spot + institutional crypto exchange / broker | True | 2022-06-30 | +| MSTR | btc_treasury_proxy | MicroStrategy/Strategy: listed BTC treasury proxy | True | 2024-06-28 | +| HOOD | broker | Robinhood: retail broker with material crypto trading exposure | True | 2022-06-30 | +| SQ | payments_wallet | Block historical ticker SQ: Cash App / bitcoin exposure | True | 2018-01-31 | +| XYZ | payments_wallet | Block current ticker XYZ: Cash App / bitcoin exposure | True | 2025-01-31 | +| PYPL | payments_wallet | PayPal: crypto trading / wallet / stablecoin related initiatives | True | 2018-01-31 | +| IBKR | broker | Interactive Brokers: access rails for crypto trading | True | 2018-01-31 | +| CME | exchange_infra | CME: listed crypto futures / institutional market infrastructure | True | 2018-01-31 | +| CBOE | exchange_infra | Cboe: crypto ETF / options market structure exposure | True | 2018-01-31 | + +## Recommendation +- default_research_spec=tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth +- aggressive_research_spec=trend_only_control_focused_qqq_breadth +- stock_line_to_continue=tech_heavy_pullback +- crypto_linked_equity_theme=no +- next_main_direction=continue_stock_line_spec_lock \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_local_plateau.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_local_plateau.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..284d0b8 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_local_plateau.csv @@ -0,0 +1,8 @@ +strategy,cost_bps_one_way,period,family,universe,normalization,normalization_label,min_adv20_usd,leadership_filter,sector_whitelist,symbol_whitelist,score_template,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,breadth_symbols,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,notes,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,annual_turnover,average_monthly_turnover,average_names_replaced_per_rebalance,median_holding_duration_days,top5_continuity,avg_sector_weights_json,variant_scope,change_count,change_1_field,change_1_value,change_2_field,change_2_value,change_summary,delta_oos_cagr_vs_center,delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center,delta_oos_turnover_vs_center,abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center,within_50bps,within_100bps,within_200bps +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.20245135974008,0.3155716776716817,-0.1841129708630962,0.21839400709387893,1.3696922975287686,1.792701861378311,1.7140111106367206,3.157645161290324,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.4963661250001883,0.7955414730177252,0.9806460420570496,0.17786396193063933,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.4963661250001883,0.2372508945143636,0.21930111648926118,0.7955414730177252,0.9806460420570496,0.17786396193063933,0.18983633317227952,0.18649031208953404,0.25289382088754697,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",center,0,,,,,center,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,True,True,True +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3333841456373783,0.22099582096595705,-0.20915762538147342,0.2285018604908204,0.9913479988407701,1.2324669737355187,1.0565993975256338,4.1395,10.132741935483871,10.02626641651032,0.5382475314862212,0.46473879219173575,0.89773035830311,0.3783505939512784,-0.15541685999073596,0.3678373569952089,0.5382475314862212,0.1594218351332263,0.21916699820124938,0.46473879219173575,0.89773035830311,0.3783505939512784,0.11002735706496947,0.10149586597032331,0.15860135195900307,1.0,3.5530627490039834,0.293,3.1122448979591835,60.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.34898989898989896, ""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16,-0.09457585670572466,-0.02504465451837723,0.9818548387096762,0.09457585670572466,False,False,False +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8967836903515383,0.2848377435877123,-0.16377679463430528,0.1858418554535311,1.4465118020242989,1.8886846728067557,1.7391825516168038,2.5072645161290326,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.42492026031350083,0.6972752978657276,0.8510838281835104,0.11598567726943912,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.42492026031350083,0.21584785948590363,0.20673754192673982,0.6972752978657276,0.8510838281835104,0.11598567726943912,0.16823122161431606,0.16397638582103893,0.23369857820548962,1.0,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08,-0.030733934083969405,0.020336176228790914,-0.6503806451612912,0.030733934083969405,False,False,False +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.760145027734949,0.2702917255161432,-0.18575491296087598,0.1806499509464182,1.419377277775736,1.933947316793816,1.4550986631135432,2.415362903225807,9.425806451612903,5.887429643527205,0.40085279367891186,0.6318876812614146,0.8247167334937467,0.13423470505950133,-0.08893068259897063,0.40726170562166963,0.40085279367891186,0.2064363358418824,0.2084879693255403,0.6318876812614146,0.8247167334937467,0.13423470505950133,0.18629565174145252,0.18881132985421434,0.2238837564565397,1.0,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3,-0.04527995215553848,-0.0016419420977797916,-0.7422822580645168,0.04527995215553848,False,False,False +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6920488895385644,0.26283603042061765,-0.21265920912904945,0.23538509981922562,1.1128602366284936,1.3962780498951908,1.2359494399375812,4.072733870967743,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.5527817626785896,0.6161675795589846,0.9604696568059502,0.31544151113381064,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.5527817626785896,0.1930357161903684,0.222798580031218,0.6161675795589846,0.9604696568059502,0.31544151113381064,0.12071619826717259,0.10776712864894566,0.20607521293000344,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5,-0.052735647251064055,-0.02854623826595326,0.915088709677419,0.052735647251064055,False,False,False +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2397174740245753,0.3191632286571864,-0.18411297086309653,0.21861971335583152,1.3810276050682884,1.803218300110702,1.7335184325199504,3.0162580645161303,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.4963032521648787,0.8073661435464624,0.9777285369624628,0.16209061350239212,-0.11420526158137101,0.49137178707991214,0.4963032521648787,0.24004600265013537,0.21954153574150792,0.8073661435464624,0.9777285369624628,0.16209061350239212,0.1938727030359596,0.19045397088077687,0.2583059266795205,1.0,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1,0.0035915509855046768,-3.3306690738754696e-16,-0.14138709677419348,0.0035915509855046768,True,True,True +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.847388814740575,0.2796411089791744,-0.19835284956222277,0.21463598052266947,1.2603420782376868,1.6072188577257365,1.4098164437584835,3.0516048387096784,9.661451612903226,6.675422138836773,0.46557417005488244,0.6533518445991597,0.9135384401216619,0.2013737459326576,-0.13850363889430628,0.44553909583748563,0.46557417005488244,0.21247187920314245,0.2232262797840149,0.6533518445991597,0.9135384401216619,0.2013737459326576,0.17039360394249362,0.17277019059914933,0.21631070620478185,1.0,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0,-0.035930568692507325,-0.014239878699126574,-0.10604032258064544,0.035930568692507325,False,False,False diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_occupancy.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_occupancy.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a7ea79d --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_occupancy.csv @@ -0,0 +1,694 @@ +strategy,rebalance_date,regime,stock_exposure,selected_count,stock_weight,safe_haven_weight,top1_stock_weight,top3_stock_weight,top5_stock_weight,base_eligible_count,adv_filtered_count,after_sector_count,after_symbol_count,final_candidate_count,active_sector_count,sector_slot_cap,sector_capacity_limit,underfilled_lt_nominal,underfilled_lt_10,underfilled_lt_8,underfilled_lt_6,primary_underfill_reason,variant_scope,change_summary +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-01-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-02-28,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-03-29,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-04-30,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-05-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-06-29,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-07-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-08-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-09-28,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-10-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-11-30,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2018-12-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-01-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,12,0,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-02-28,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,717,556,111,111,111,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-03-29,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,708,526,107,107,107,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-04-30,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,704,516,104,104,104,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-05-31,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,697,536,110,110,110,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-06-28,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,737,567,121,121,121,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-07-31,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,726,525,112,112,112,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-08-30,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,725,530,117,117,117,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-09-30,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,739,552,115,115,115,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-10-31,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,708,523,113,113,113,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-11-29,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,726,552,121,121,121,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2019-12-31,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,735,540,113,113,113,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-01-31,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,741,573,127,127,127,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-02-28,soft_defense,0.6,12,0.6,0.4,0.049999999999999996,0.15,0.24999999999999997,753,610,134,134,134,2,8,12,False,False,False,False,filled,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-03-31,hard_defense,0.0,0,0.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,728,615,132,132,132,2,12,12,True,True,True,True,hard_defense_zero_stock,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-04-30,soft_defense,0.6,12,0.6,0.4,0.049999999999999996,0.15,0.24999999999999997,721,568,123,123,123,2,8,12,False,False,False,False,filled,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-05-29,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,728,567,125,125,125,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-06-30,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,771,639,141,141,141,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-07-31,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,737,557,126,126,126,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-08-31,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,733,535,131,131,131,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-09-30,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,748,569,133,133,133,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-10-30,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,744,563,130,130,130,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,2020-11-30,risk_on,1.0,8,0.8,0.19999999999999996,0.1,0.30000000000000004,0.5,784,632,140,140,140,2,4,8,True,True,False,False,sector_cap_binding,center,center 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+tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,2026-03-31,soft_defense,0.6,12,0.6,0.4,0.049999999999999996,0.15,0.24999999999999997,955,955,170,170,170,2,8,12,False,False,False,False,filled,first_order,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_recommendation.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..688299f --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,29 @@ +{ + "center_strategy": "tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth", + "selected_local_default": "tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08", + "selected_is_center": false, + "research_recommendation": "research_default_candidate", + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": "并行分支", + "reason": "edge is good, but occupancy/concentration or local plateau still needs more tightening", + "checks": { + "center_avg_selected_count": 6.505050505050505, + "selected_avg_selected_count": 6.505050505050505, + "selected_share_lt_8": 0.26262626262626265, + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": 0.1633333333333333, + "local_plateau_100bps_share": 0.16666666666666666, + "local_plateau_200bps_share": 0.16666666666666666, + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.1828894047201861, + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": -0.16377679463430528, + "selected_annual_turnover": 2.3646663346613543 + }, + "thresholds": { + "avg_selected_count_min_for_default": 8.0, + "share_lt_8_max_for_default": 0.35, + "avg_top3_weight_max_for_default": 0.65, + "local_plateau_100bps_min_for_default": 0.4, + "local_plateau_200bps_min_for_default": 0.6, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq_min": 0.1, + "oos_max_drawdown_floor": -0.3, + "annual_turnover_cap": 4.5 + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..33284c3 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.csv @@ -0,0 +1,57 @@ +strategy,cost_bps_one_way,period,family,universe,normalization,normalization_label,min_adv20_usd,leadership_filter,sector_whitelist,symbol_whitelist,score_template,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,breadth_symbols,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,notes,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ 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Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.615342495099122,0.4860629363265818,-0.18411297086309641,0.24115659895957944,1.769672412342374,2.5202546142096662,2.640025491131805,3.4829746835443043,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.782711558307198,0.8329487014603552,1.1980384957384385,0.1653744247813028,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.782711558307198,0.21622675998402413,0.18942149342364084,0.8329487014603552,1.1980384957384385,0.1653744247813028,0.2165168061360817,0.22496936060554196,0.25289382088754664,1.0,2.9588645418326696,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",center,0,,,,,center +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.336255942696912,0.1947023040324558,-0.3822369065391008,0.24716980720557624,0.8452586906022677,0.9951294770538045,0.5093759935307001,3.5530627490039834,9.337400398406373,9.309546769527483,0.5991249310537096,0.06771443790840918,0.694978098678834,0.3141331287137273,-0.1543474732413307,0.37101107473088923,0.5991249310537096,0.09280370010015515,0.22312150934646785,0.06771443790840918,0.694978098678834,0.3141331287137273,0.048080192406576384,0.0555033647770706,0.16075986362959874,0.7748294162244125,3.5530627490039834,0.293,3.1122448979591835,60.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.34898989898989896, ""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,0.0,OOS 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""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7836157446692567,0.37101107473088923,-0.20049735103569888,0.24986181631182802,1.3927807024327805,1.9080529436775657,1.850453748213512,4.6362605485232065,12.020886075949367,12.049079754601227,0.8431737396222384,0.42000316491759704,1.101239292853045,0.588672824627909,-0.1543474732413307,0.37101107473088923,0.8431737396222384,0.12119758613305022,0.18812458899504192,0.42000316491759704,1.101239292853045,0.588672824627909,0.12702960625542295,0.1334473321070681,0.16075986362959713,1.0,3.5530627490039834,0.293,3.1122448979591835,60.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.34898989898989896, ""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.27334509150805,0.19258691404691963,-0.38558124255460047,0.24715630166364072,0.838102802266793,0.986685634270843,0.499471687914508,3.5530627490039834,9.337400398406373,9.309546769527483,0.5991188988413176,0.05974014204946713,0.6916165526259904,0.31686856766537935,-0.15541685999073596,0.3678373569952089,0.5991188988413176,0.09102483065383765,0.22310809048343513,0.05974014204946713,0.6916165526259904,0.31686856766537935,0.04608835283528787,0.05374382126741619,0.15860135195900438,0.7672479150871873,3.5530627490039834,0.293,3.1122448979591835,60.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.34898989898989896, ""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3333841456373783,0.22099582096595705,-0.20915762538147342,0.2285018604908204,0.9913479988407701,1.2324669737355187,1.0565993975256338,4.1395,10.132741935483871,10.02626641651032,0.5382475314862212,0.46473879219173575,0.89773035830311,0.3783505939512784,-0.15541685999073596,0.3678373569952089,0.5382475314862212,0.1594218351332263,0.21916699820124938,0.46473879219173575,0.89773035830311,0.3783505939512784,0.11002735706496947,0.10149586597032331,0.15860135195900307,1.0,3.5530627490039834,0.293,3.1122448979591835,60.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.34898989898989896, ""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15541685999073596,-0.15709471006467612,-0.19459078962173593,0.1350721297509228,-1.1872499893939303,-0.8208397562627824,-0.8073080456174301,2.5547264542936294,4.0470914127423825,3.458167330677291,0.1561165915414453,0.61517069012717,-0.0011209225874451523,0.25385104152948074,-0.15541685999073596,0.3678373569952089,0.1561165915414453,-0.10666958110953852,0.29841476835606234,0.61517069012717,-0.0011209225874451523,0.25385104152948074,,,,,3.5530627490039834,0.293,3.1122448979591835,60.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.34898989898989896, ""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,16,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.762764297676819,0.3678373569952089,-0.2005996365207151,0.24987062951764885,1.3834249210422025,1.8946687889021885,1.8336890503648737,4.6362605485232065,12.020886075949367,12.049079754601227,0.843225249811048,0.40763989805694895,1.096762809469578,0.5951079752339149,-0.15541685999073596,0.3678373569952089,0.843225249811048,0.11885827029531233,0.18812550738918793,0.40763989805694895,1.096762809469578,0.5951079752339149,0.12477432567132188,0.131253998209349,0.1586013519590028,1.0,3.5530627490039834,0.293,3.1122448979591835,60.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.34898989898989896, ""Communication"": 0.3277777777777777}",first_order,1,holdings_count,16.0,,,holdings_count:12->16 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5561277816871755,0.20188964076072136,-0.2661093252409854,0.19224356113866878,1.0550890499440602,1.2471612836035295,0.75867179993746,2.3646663346613543,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.46586175888587245,0.04462786469175839,0.5746359241169628,0.09457166403602847,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.46586175888587245,0.11254360124434899,0.20212027480217468,0.04462786469175839,0.5746359241169628,0.09457166403602847,0.06247020158026994,0.04359448234195028,0.23492020299618216,0.8278999241849886,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.912205183241606,0.2864462967455761,-0.1636756737847782,0.18584872302914557,1.4532253374901347,1.8987022487315315,1.750084726226528,2.5072645161290326,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.42493187203888994,0.7033479830857093,0.8534830772364624,0.11406729269362677,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.42493187203888994,0.2171040478809291,0.20674064708562664,0.7033479830857093,0.8534830772364624,0.11406729269362677,0.16953434423904737,0.16534405062443833,0.23492020299618113,1.0,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09541698362822104,-0.09648430038636457,-0.11937869659588174,0.10116112600238021,-0.9444830600843123,-0.8256436287898881,-0.8082204207085725,1.8009556786703602,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.12398368489207057,0.8389786622411962,0.0,0.15438707477551106,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.12398368489207057,-0.05290197122572472,0.29606883337901113,0.8389786622411962,0.0,0.15438707477551106,,,,,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2193896309509102,0.4338705529754201,-0.16367567378477832,0.20447924518474944,1.8715034564010362,2.6522010559198463,2.6507943602292943,2.7308987341772157,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.6639685704375176,0.6688797013558463,1.0424696565548677,0.0438693666131659,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.6639685704375176,0.20408284563428133,0.16997648551435046,0.6688797013558463,1.0424696565548677,0.0438693666131659,0.20282932285668295,0.2106761199828326,0.234920202996181,1.0,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5120502910446607,0.20047360531669822,-0.26836001994685865,0.19222934994219013,1.0490042703195785,1.2399954524402432,0.7470323088975642,2.3646663346613543,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.4658621399563098,0.03876927822671128,0.5723521312885504,0.09630947352289979,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.4658621399563098,0.11135886007806219,0.20210665052792207,0.03876927822671128,0.5723521312885504,0.09630947352289979,0.06113873825246113,0.04226553647859366,0.2336985782054906,0.8218347232752085,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8967836903515383,0.2848377435877123,-0.16377679463430528,0.1858418554535311,1.4465118020242989,1.8886846728067557,1.7391825516168038,2.5072645161290326,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.42492026031350083,0.6972752978657276,0.8510838281835104,0.11598567726943912,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.42492026031350083,0.21584785948590363,0.20673754192673982,0.6972752978657276,0.8510838281835104,0.11598567726943912,0.16823122161431606,0.16397638582103893,0.23369857820548962,1.0,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0962225707211738,-0.09729840556710967,-0.11937869659588152,0.1011671901474457,-0.9532588136972264,-0.8190879190667716,-0.8150399387964703,1.8009556786703602,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.12398981106613632,0.8359607924934963,-0.0011209225874451523,0.1553050553307701,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.12398981106613632,-0.053793410003677024,0.2960687751929787,0.8359607924934963,-0.0011209225874451523,0.1553050553307701,,,,,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2051958773334692,0.4319190511353015,-0.16377679463430506,0.20447119714720657,1.8648780492043857,2.6417095132197286,2.637242059229011,2.7308987341772157,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.6639495024737995,0.6608415923351508,1.0397873479399726,0.04752948400248344,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.6639495024737995,0.2027182078507341,0.16997122351255317,0.6608415923351508,1.0397873479399726,0.04752948400248344,0.2015657126236161,0.20945091913266378,0.23369857820548934,1.0,2.3646663346613543,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}",first_order,1,single_name_cap,0.08,,,single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.804364816851326,0.1758932057535323,-0.26163078375405413,0.19012184919538072,0.9493757612084536,1.1237839680286892,0.672295527421118,2.3100971115537847,8.731075697211155,5.227579556412729,0.45452156104700375,-0.0654998041525545,0.5511126042551941,0.1671938157796122,-0.08806480175682685,0.4090698932341097,0.45452156104700375,0.0924044880100794,0.20331060335827883,-0.0654998041525545,0.5511126042551941,0.1671938157796122,0.04989308735998436,0.02009505174623772,0.22502242442515089,0.6110689916603488,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.774301935109686,0.27182404352718437,-0.18563195820714917,0.18065575704811015,1.4260379977682016,1.9450664277227305,1.4643170613103822,2.415362903225807,9.425806451612903,5.887429643527205,0.4008704095840244,0.6376974831109224,0.8270380423477973,0.13242836786768802,-0.08806480175682685,0.4090698932341097,0.4008704095840244,0.20764567813811183,0.20848838436834324,0.6376974831109224,0.8270380423477973,0.13242836786768802,0.18746805197527752,0.19004259496986928,0.22502242442514994,1.0,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08806480175682685,-0.08905398479342985,-0.11129425267287729,0.09145250485741008,-0.9661256375289002,-0.8983882470045231,-0.8001669686859989,1.922368421052632,4.0470914127423825,2.366533864541833,0.11280495469538124,0.8611467025928995,0.0,0.1428829813827141,-0.08806480175682685,0.4090698932341097,0.11280495469538124,-0.049556427912075665,0.2967970419899328,0.8611467025928995,0.0,0.1428829813827141,,,,,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.042213899029592,0.4090698932341097,-0.18563195820714895,0.19980148089997135,1.8226805425038168,2.698703419428531,2.203660927703104,2.57370253164557,11.09620253164557,6.971779141104294,0.6296983153802961,0.5523054873268892,1.0101689031207957,0.11422657835312303,-0.08806480175682685,0.4090698932341097,0.6296983153802961,0.19479185193128631,0.17234027277790034,0.5523054873268892,1.0101689031207957,0.11422657835312303,0.20172432072403648,0.20500810289915855,0.2250224244251497,1.0,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.768386780593921,0.17453904582520563,-0.2621763104623258,0.1901105440489673,0.9433445544338548,1.1166836306861845,0.6657315663547967,2.3100971115537847,8.731075697211155,5.227579556412729,0.454522943397416,-0.07119605952427148,0.5488602922678718,0.1688220201059258,-0.08893068259897063,0.40726170562166963,0.454522943397416,0.09124689125820987,0.20329964371614076,-0.07119605952427148,0.5488602922678718,0.1688220201059258,0.04860880417407343,0.018840344205213803,0.22388375645654063,0.6072782410917361,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.760145027734949,0.2702917255161432,-0.18575491296087598,0.1806499509464182,1.419377277775736,1.933947316793816,1.4550986631135432,2.415362903225807,9.425806451612903,5.887429643527205,0.40085279367891186,0.6318876812614146,0.8247167334937467,0.13423470505950133,-0.08893068259897063,0.40726170562166963,0.40085279367891186,0.2064363358418824,0.2084879693255403,0.6318876812614146,0.8247167334937467,0.13423470505950133,0.18629565174145252,0.18881132985421434,0.2238837564565397,1.0,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08893068259897063,-0.08992910434595625,-0.11129425267287707,0.09144819195912607,-0.9766009858287352,-0.884168850186461,-0.8080300840896197,1.922368421052632,4.0470914127423825,2.366533864541833,0.11280478714385124,0.8579367831289665,-0.0011209225874451523,0.14389345473288004,-0.08893068259897063,0.40726170562166963,0.11280478714385124,-0.05051027040037431,0.29679577119859013,0.8579367831289665,-0.0011209225874451523,0.14389345473288004,,,,,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.029566439147245,0.40726170562166963,-0.18575491296087598,0.19979593555030925,1.8162699373984603,2.687448949763085,2.1924680167541397,2.57370253164557,11.09620253164557,6.971779141104294,0.6296714009310672,0.5448158290155325,1.0075817929867465,0.11741853789310809,-0.08893068259897063,0.40726170562166963,0.6296714009310672,0.19350817139802126,0.17233999655794074,0.5448158290155325,1.0075817929867465,0.11741853789310809,0.20056226346516992,0.2038636817187733,0.22388375645653943,1.0,2.3100971115537847,0.1905,1.969387755102041,33.0,0.6361111111111111,"{""Communication"": 0.22121212121212128, ""Information Technology"": 0.22121212121212128}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.3,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.3 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.089753748368446,0.21814094623432223,-0.3916872106548066,0.25079759428129855,0.9142930182527644,1.0865783209922284,0.556926395093787,3.512641102257636,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.6068656214225611,0.15760026795336582,0.7218415204742383,0.2606998151133116,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.6068656214225611,0.1116835087168363,0.22518114913455278,0.15760026795336582,0.7218415204742383,0.2606998151133116,0.05285709277809333,0.05964234904131557,0.20818314949815758,0.7831690674753601,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.715405233070035,0.2654093416134502,-0.21057833343740873,0.23538055683455375,1.1215607269265366,1.4076136587430315,1.2603829524196475,4.072733870967743,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.552782303447598,0.6253505596289692,0.9643118474914885,0.3122452798006529,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.552782303447598,0.19507851931708034,0.22279364779615404,0.6253505596289692,0.9643118474914885,0.3122452798006529,0.12290071061008923,0.10987569814592246,0.20818314949815633,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16333207668447203,-0.165086759658853,-0.19459078962173604,0.1407693089837097,-1.2007385213647366,-0.8680282739212534,-0.8483791035524562,2.5800207756232694,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.1661380901824433,0.5877672213815758,0.0,0.26860005971980394,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.1661380901824433,-0.1118855301306339,0.2975893607577496,0.5877672213815758,0.0,0.26860005971980394,,,,,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2454993879883567,0.4374448996815963,-0.20049735103569954,0.2570301697008363,1.545940480383265,2.133204973307984,2.181798898698203,4.541223628691983,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.8606446751650615,0.6615637762216477,1.177839218231772,0.388232891211317,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.8606446751650615,0.1658487107797616,0.19403050072698982,0.6615637762216477,1.177839218231772,0.388232891211317,0.16411862605110022,0.17489663485016366,0.20818314949815597,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.016758710879815,0.21600897156298338,-0.39446969236770413,0.2507835616840925,0.9073270196355456,1.0782611897659846,0.5475933278078841,3.512641102257636,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.606853989473182,0.14979371677229456,0.7185043895227214,0.26339234699459346,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.606853989473182,0.10992597530051139,0.22516846713509606,0.14979371677229456,0.7185043895227214,0.26339234699459346,0.05088083088130825,0.05801286941794464,0.20607521293000472,0.775587566338135,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6920488895385644,0.26283603042061765,-0.21265920912904945,0.23538509981922562,1.1128602366284936,1.3962780498951908,1.2359494399375812,4.072733870967743,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.5527817626785896,0.6161675795589846,0.9604696568059502,0.31544151113381064,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.5527817626785896,0.1930357161903684,0.222798580031218,0.6161675795589846,0.9604696568059502,0.31544151113381064,0.12071619826717259,0.10776712864894566,0.20607521293000344,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16440109123142688,-0.1661660830748799,-0.19459078962173582,0.14078788032067985,-1.20967238952666,-0.8686379750024158,-0.853925735117728,2.5800207756232694,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.16610790422241375,0.5834280283875228,-0.0011209225874451523,0.2700869700156091,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.16610790422241375,-0.11317599198318465,0.29760858847305294,0.5834280283875228,-0.0011209225874451523,0.2700869700156091,,,,,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2216998625642606,0.4341876236208575,-0.200599636520715,0.25703453107859164,1.5370524378627581,2.120473660061636,2.1644487056486814,4.541223628691983,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.8606824913106846,0.6498307953568996,1.1733944577203246,0.3944051007276942,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.8606824913106846,0.16356074721152575,0.1940285998339505,0.6498307953568996,1.1733944577203246,0.3944051007276942,0.16189881584263963,0.17273965860539842,0.20607521293000308,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}",first_order,1,sector_cap,0.5,,,sector_cap:0.4->0.5 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.285850231414159,0.2237380940899607,-0.3267342784823559,0.228122947606983,1.0013838830589024,1.2017379068288945,0.6847708025285839,2.801220119521912,8.973605577689243,6.397299903567984,0.5401006704077397,0.1589282495851946,0.6644047751133126,0.14415266794952208,-0.11327370427690042,0.4938281592263396,0.5401006704077397,0.12375963656486016,0.21786411903211694,0.1589282495851946,0.6644047751133126,0.14415266794952208,0.0659356288661223,0.040726117495891036,0.2597935512619764,0.7907505686125853,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.260486674135798,0.32115119187335295,-0.18394852146593355,0.21862299371572036,1.3879272238951843,1.8136834794592487,1.7458753640095375,3.0162580645161303,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.49631793300843785,0.8142589636999333,0.9806420767492348,0.15980202553193867,-0.11327370427690042,0.4938281592263396,0.49631793300843785,0.24155711798834814,0.21954114921694673,0.8142589636999333,0.9806420767492348,0.15980202553193867,0.19543625349324606,0.19209029380828618,0.2597935512619752,1.0,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11327370427690042,-0.11452781774452292,-0.1473480842578787,0.11330335044007309,-1.008333081870156,-0.8390852976309747,-0.7772603106538123,2.124722991689751,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.13628109231680963,0.7754906799610071,0.0,0.18387397647180478,-0.11327370427690042,0.4938281592263396,0.13628109231680963,-0.06737494263987918,0.29619039017210785,0.7754906799610071,0.0,0.18387397647180478,,,,,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.6769933291275096,0.4938281592263396,-0.18394852146593366,0.24141967767728162,1.7896970869806272,2.543339022682391,2.6845997743873906,3.2980379746835453,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.7825553340101218,0.8592622373662099,1.1977854467392044,0.11789205118591092,-0.11327370427690042,0.4938281592263396,0.7825553340101218,0.22156869637114796,0.18978874379667623,0.8592622373662099,1.1977854467392044,0.11789205118591092,0.22241950214849118,0.2311319557399641,0.2597935512619749,1.0,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.225344073910627,0.22203082131968754,-0.329233362376549,0.22810718580035197,0.9953008151514042,1.1942252391105839,0.6743873698490728,2.801220119521912,8.973605577689243,6.397299903567984,0.540091146543803,0.15249654049303785,0.6617086897116957,0.14624389178497252,-0.11420526158137101,0.49137178707991214,0.540091146543803,0.1223581073013424,0.2178501089745805,0.15249654049303785,0.6617086897116957,0.14624389178497252,0.06435528384881592,0.03911425131123206,0.2583059266795216,0.7824109173616376,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2397174740245753,0.3191632286571864,-0.18411297086309653,0.21861971335583152,1.3810276050682884,1.803218300110702,1.7335184325199504,3.0162580645161303,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.4963032521648787,0.8073661435464624,0.9777285369624628,0.16209061350239212,-0.11420526158137101,0.49137178707991214,0.4963032521648787,0.24004600265013537,0.21954153574150792,0.8073661435464624,0.9777285369624628,0.16209061350239212,0.1938727030359596,0.19045397088077687,0.2583059266795205,1.0,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11420526158137101,-0.11546900328424914,-0.1473480842578786,0.11330883483615634,-1.0175879045010991,-0.8350170735984556,-0.783647808288862,2.124722991689751,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.13627227076296664,0.7719180804741067,-0.0011209225874451523,0.18503761283861128,-0.11420526158137101,0.49137178707991214,0.13627227076296664,-0.06843215999560062,0.2961955544105449,0.7719180804741067,-0.0011209225874451523,0.18503761283861128,,,,,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.657413318810517,0.49137178707991214,-0.1841129708630962,0.2414162675236572,1.7828701651508254,2.5322321995230865,2.6688602371491212,3.2980379746835453,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.7825445295121284,0.8505554448870433,1.1944749681008442,0.12213921297396398,-0.11420526158137101,0.49137178707991214,0.7825445295121284,0.21991736954199512,0.1897866487872025,0.8505554448870433,1.1944749681008442,0.12213921297396398,0.22086826414202795,0.22963086948591205,0.25830592667952007,1.0,2.801220119521912,0.23100000000000004,2.1020408163265305,61.0,0.6555555555555556,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}",first_order,1,hold_bonus,0.1,,,hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.9950932494937614,0.21537093984058409,-0.30982270943123214,0.22599913488036838,0.9782395549895511,1.1571289140263237,0.6951425227542514,2.8861055776892433,8.973605577689243,6.243008678881389,0.5255623637686613,0.12425244453492428,0.6430592707159462,0.14083227236514903,-0.13770452619222162,0.448010531748096,0.5255623637686613,0.11922001222714458,0.21945172371560503,0.12425244453492428,0.6430592707159462,0.14083227236514903,0.070564412900106,0.0564617432251701,0.21791200995254795,0.8597422289613343,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8658691002795433,0.28159335317806344,-0.19817080986078406,0.21463589852304132,1.2674740574650862,1.6172766328740158,1.4209628217994574,3.0516048387096784,9.661451612903226,6.675422138836773,0.4656266044545685,0.6602470908662232,0.9161685051782824,0.19861660168555922,-0.13770452619222162,0.448010531748096,0.4656266044545685,0.21399601765719165,0.2232133683295454,0.6602470908662232,0.9161685051782824,0.19861660168555922,0.1719981710187725,0.1743497587574627,0.21791200995254686,1.0,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13770452619222162,-0.13920726035511266,-0.1473480842578787,0.09178331336400795,-1.574150144005986,-1.0160443291739796,-0.944751070611013,1.8717797783933523,3.0353185595567864,1.6095617529880477,0.08206474995925088,0.6489158077485178,0.0,0.22957520303242143,-0.13770452619222162,0.448010531748096,0.08206474995925088,-0.11625533272633044,0.307373753693386,0.6489158077485178,0.0,0.22957520303242143,,,,,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.323534898802447,0.448010531748096,-0.19817080986078428,0.23955121823096379,1.6711468577192121,2.356040555315655,2.260729176324329,3.421329113924051,11.712658227848102,8.23558282208589,0.7705453698324538,0.6915515835631194,1.119035505697532,0.14471676650073745,-0.13770452619222162,0.448010531748096,0.7705453698324538,0.1930564258829765,0.18991420954546714,0.6915515835631194,1.119035505697532,0.14471676650073745,0.18691623073684813,0.19431739858344074,0.21791200995254653,1.0,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.9361956818961827,0.21362407766995162,-0.31101429965073946,0.22598207370290105,0.9719151076682561,1.1494976173554874,0.6868625587628788,2.8861055776892433,8.973605577689243,6.243008678881389,0.5255293743010455,0.11766856671026746,0.6404127756945086,0.14323013415118685,-0.13850363889430628,0.44553909583748563,0.5255293743010455,0.1177805044045182,0.2194427297929293,0.11766856671026746,0.6404127756945086,0.14323013415118685,0.06895528177552333,0.054929915431056874,0.216310706204783,0.8521607278241091,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.847388814740575,0.2796411089791744,-0.19835284956222277,0.21463598052266947,1.2603420782376868,1.6072188577257365,1.4098164437584835,3.0516048387096784,9.661451612903226,6.675422138836773,0.46557417005488244,0.6533518445991597,0.9135384401216619,0.2013737459326576,-0.13850363889430628,0.44553909583748563,0.46557417005488244,0.21247187920314245,0.2232262797840149,0.6533518445991597,0.9135384401216619,0.2013737459326576,0.17039360394249362,0.17277019059914933,0.21631070620478185,1.0,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13850363889430628,-0.14001436746964446,-0.1473480842578786,0.09180099395573227,-1.5839632551079157,-1.0117157222828732,-0.9502286247889103,1.8717797783933523,3.0353185595567864,1.6095617529880477,0.08200118712067261,0.6458386279364461,0.0,0.23101255901892442,-0.13850363889430628,0.44553909583748563,0.08200118712067261,-0.11720587981364965,0.3074003223282114,0.6458386279364461,0.0,0.23101255901892442,,,,,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 +tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3051663864094167,0.44553909583748563,-0.19835284956222277,0.2395508998140513,1.6639853671986555,2.3447783068110373,2.2461945811255974,3.421329113924051,11.712658227848102,8.23558282208589,0.7705128703493631,0.6824927525397191,1.1158230658854038,0.14977170091373965,-0.13850363889430628,0.44553909583748563,0.7705128703493631,0.19134909429258212,0.18992054970595534,0.6824927525397191,1.1158230658854038,0.14977170091373965,0.18528478222038233,0.19272902676791953,0.21631070620478152,1.0,2.8861055776892433,0.23800000000000004,2.204081632653061,60.0,0.6394366197183098,"{""Information Technology"": 0.29040404040404033, ""Communication"": 0.26515151515151514}",first_order,1,min_adv20_usd,20000000.0,,,min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.md b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..4c149bd --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.md @@ -0,0 +1,73 @@ +# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.1 spec lock + +## Center spec +- strategy=tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth +- family=tech_heavy_pullback +- universe=tech_heavy +- normalization=universe_cross_sectional +- holdings=12 +- single_cap=10% +- sector_cap=40% +- hold_bonus=0.05 +- min_adv20=50M +- regime=qqq_breadth +- exposures=100/60/0 + +## Occupancy summary +| strategy | avg_selected_count | risk_on_avg_names | soft_defense_avg_names | share_lt_nominal | share_lt_8 | avg_top3_stock_weight | avg_safe_haven_weight | dominant_underfill_reason | dominant_underfill_reason_share | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | 6.505051 | 8.000000 | 12.000000 | 0.848485 | 0.262626 | 0.198485 | 0.440404 | sector_cap_binding | 0.690476 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16 | 9.454545 | 12.000000 | 16.000000 | 0.848485 | 0.262626 | 0.163510 | 0.323232 | sector_cap_binding | 0.690476 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 | 6.505051 | 8.000000 | 12.000000 | 0.848485 | 0.262626 | 0.163333 | 0.534141 | sector_cap_binding | 0.690476 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3 | 5.333333 | 6.000000 | 12.000000 | 0.848485 | 0.848485 | 0.198485 | 0.557576 | sector_cap_binding | 0.690476 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5 | 8.848485 | 12.000000 | 12.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.262626 | 0.169192 | 0.323232 | hard_defense_zero_stock | 1.000000 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1 | 6.505051 | 8.000000 | 12.000000 | 0.848485 | 0.262626 | 0.198485 | 0.440404 | sector_cap_binding | 0.690476 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m | 6.343434 | 8.000000 | 12.000000 | 0.868687 | 0.272727 | 0.198485 | 0.444444 | sector_cap_binding | 0.686047 | + +## Local plateau (5 bps, OOS) +- local_plateau_50bps_share=16.7% +- local_plateau_100bps_share=16.7% +- local_plateau_200bps_share=16.7% +| strategy | variant_scope | change_summary | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Turnover/Year | delta_oos_cagr_vs_center | delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center | delta_oos_turnover_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | center | center | 0.315572 | -0.184113 | 3.157645 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__holdings_count_16 | first_order | holdings_count:12->16 | 0.220996 | -0.209158 | 4.139500 | -0.094576 | -0.025045 | 0.981855 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 | first_order | single_name_cap:0.1->0.08 | 0.284838 | -0.163777 | 2.507265 | -0.030734 | 0.020336 | -0.650381 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p3 | first_order | sector_cap:0.4->0.3 | 0.270292 | -0.185755 | 2.415363 | -0.045280 | -0.001642 | -0.742282 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5 | first_order | sector_cap:0.4->0.5 | 0.262836 | -0.212659 | 4.072734 | -0.052736 | -0.028546 | 0.915089 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__hold_bonus_0p1 | first_order | hold_bonus:0.05->0.1 | 0.319163 | -0.184113 | 3.016258 | 0.003592 | -0.000000 | -0.141387 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__adv20m | first_order | min_adv20_usd:50000000.0->20000000.0 | 0.279641 | -0.198353 | 3.051605 | -0.035931 | -0.014240 | -0.106040 | + +## Main comparison (5 bps) +| strategy | period | family | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Turnover/Year | Average Names Held | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | Full Sample | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.230343 | 4.525776 | -0.327569 | 1.025487 | 0.129267 | 0.183527 | 2.958865 | 6.397300 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | OOS Sample | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.315572 | 2.202451 | -0.184113 | 1.369692 | 0.237251 | 0.795541 | 3.157645 | 6.975610 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | 2022 | tech_heavy_pullback | -0.115469 | -0.114205 | -0.147348 | -1.017588 | -0.068432 | 0.771918 | 2.124723 | 2.517928 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth | 2023+ | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.486063 | 2.615342 | -0.184113 | 1.769672 | 0.216227 | 0.832949 | 3.482975 | 8.348466 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 | Full Sample | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.200474 | 3.512050 | -0.268360 | 1.049004 | 0.111359 | 0.038769 | 2.364666 | 6.397300 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 | OOS Sample | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.284838 | 1.896784 | -0.163777 | 1.446512 | 0.215848 | 0.697275 | 2.507265 | 6.975610 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 | 2022 | tech_heavy_pullback | -0.097298 | -0.096223 | -0.119379 | -0.953259 | -0.053793 | 0.835961 | 1.800956 | 2.517928 | +| tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 | 2023+ | tech_heavy_pullback | 0.431919 | 2.205196 | -0.163777 | 1.864878 | 0.202718 | 0.660842 | 2.730899 | 8.348466 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | Full Sample | reference | 0.241651 | 4.958780 | -0.323779 | 0.903840 | 0.126004 | 0.259556 | 3.440286 | 9.465767 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | OOS Sample | reference | 0.334010 | 2.397303 | -0.323779 | 1.117224 | 0.241211 | 0.836495 | 3.706698 | 10.570356 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2022 | reference | -0.015491 | -0.015312 | -0.163557 | -0.019576 | 0.068668 | 1.170392 | 2.893670 | 5.928287 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2023+ | reference | 0.464792 | 2.450132 | -0.323779 | 1.325631 | 0.121422 | 0.714971 | 3.966892 | 12.000000 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | Full Sample | reference | 0.268277 | 6.098166 | -0.408751 | 0.914116 | 0.127691 | 0.379497 | 3.532852 | 10.322083 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | OOS Sample | reference | 0.338226 | 2.443099 | -0.340458 | 1.085907 | 0.238178 | 0.868593 | 3.844944 | 12.000000 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2022 | reference | -0.024552 | -0.024270 | -0.159130 | -0.000751 | 0.129999 | 1.265348 | 2.782375 | 12.000000 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2023+ | reference | 0.474999 | 2.528740 | -0.340458 | 1.321844 | 0.124098 | 0.733801 | 4.181624 | 12.000000 | +| defensive_baseline | Full Sample | reference | 0.163311 | 2.481396 | -0.276198 | 0.854919 | 0.081736 | -0.104102 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS Sample | reference | 0.184469 | 1.051214 | -0.254393 | 0.885560 | 0.122988 | 0.344425 | 4.530278 | 24.000000 | +| defensive_baseline | 2022 | reference | -0.141182 | -0.139659 | -0.171444 | -1.225741 | -0.076385 | 0.723841 | 3.330419 | 24.000000 | +| defensive_baseline | 2023+ | reference | 0.307094 | 1.384188 | -0.254393 | 1.234418 | 0.064774 | 0.169338 | 4.911097 | 24.000000 | +| QQQ | Full Sample | reference | 0.179222 | 2.894099 | -0.351187 | 0.811457 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS Sample | reference | 0.101948 | 0.509796 | -0.348280 | 0.533389 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2022 | reference | -0.328892 | -0.325770 | -0.348280 | -1.071929 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2023+ | reference | 0.282076 | 1.239290 | -0.227683 | 1.355202 | 0.000000 | | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | + +## Recommendation +- research_recommendation=research_default_candidate +- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default=并行分支 +- selected_local_default=tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 +- reason=edge is good, but occupancy/concentration or local plateau still needs more tightening \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_deployment_diagnostics.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_deployment_diagnostics.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1232f41 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_deployment_diagnostics.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +strategy,avg_names_held,risk_on_avg_names,risk_on_target_stock_weight,risk_on_realized_stock_weight,risk_on_fill_rate,soft_defense_realized_stock_weight,hard_defense_realized_stock_weight,underfilled_month_share,avg_top1_stock_weight,avg_top3_stock_weight,avg_top5_stock_weight,avg_safe_haven_weight,avg_theoretical_stock_max,risk_on_geometry_feasible_share,selected_count_distribution_json,dominant_underfill_reason +center_current,6.505050505050505,8.0,1.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.8484848484848485,0.06616161616161616,0.19848484848484846,0.33080808080808083,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.5858585858585859, ""12"": 0.15151515151515152}",sector_cap_binding +local_stable_neighbor,6.505050505050505,8.0,1.0,0.6400000000000001,0.6400000000000001,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.8484848484848485,0.05444444444444444,0.1633333333333333,0.2722222222222222,0.5341414141414141,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.5858585858585859, ""12"": 0.15151515151515152}",sector_cap_binding +explicit_cash_buffer_control,8.848484848484848,12.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.046632996632996616,0.13989898989898988,0.23316498316498316,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""12"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock +feasible_two_sector_50cap,8.848484848484848,12.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.0563973063973064,0.16919191919191912,0.28198653198653195,0.32323232323232315,0.6767676767676765,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""12"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,8.848484848484848,12.0,1.0,0.9599999999999999,0.9599999999999999,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.05444444444444444,0.1633333333333333,0.2722222222222222,0.3466666666666666,0.6533333333333332,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""12"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..116f871 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.csv @@ -0,0 +1,41 @@ +strategy,cost_bps_one_way,period,family,universe,normalization,normalization_label,min_adv20_usd,leadership_filter,sector_whitelist,symbol_whitelist,score_template,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,breadth_symbols,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,notes,candidate_label,config_name,risk_on_target_exposure,geometry_note,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,annual_turnover,average_monthly_turnover,average_names_replaced_per_rebalance,median_holding_duration_days,top5_continuity,avg_sector_weights_json +center_current,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.593374815183062,0.2321586594395597,-0.32496248631596647,0.22801433836461307,1.0319095616799048,1.2370673286244684,0.7144167995250625,2.95886454183267,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.5394039155424969,0.1903168970720254,0.6758393069813298,0.1299959880180234,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.5394039155424969,0.13074621549442145,0.21793286046503504,0.1903168970720254,0.6758393069813298,0.1299959880180234,0.07535620237475578,0.05583104661307024,0.25447278174573307,0.8453373768006065,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +center_current,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2239448174535363,0.3176470010321506,-0.18394852146593377,0.21839830270127816,1.3769175425773192,1.8035736348759266,1.7268255189046302,3.1576451612903234,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.4963809881598316,0.8027616244094791,0.9836325670085398,0.17538044676876438,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.4963809881598316,0.2388328985842633,0.21930169176861297,0.8027616244094791,0.9836325670085398,0.17538044676876438,0.19149953814737217,0.18820627412804525,0.25447278174573396,1.0,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +center_current,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11327370427690042,-0.11452781774452292,-0.1473480842578787,0.11330335044007309,-1.008333081870156,-0.8390852976309747,-0.7772603106538123,2.124722991689751,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.1362807758789262,0.7754908371515763,0.0,0.1838741129110281,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.1362807758789262,-0.0673750414277307,0.2961904252095624,0.7754908371515763,0.0,0.1838741129110281,,,,,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +center_current,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.6357834802051356,0.48864765932588683,-0.183948521465934,0.2411610247735876,1.7768840321541206,2.5318919566129208,2.6564370043951726,3.4829746835443047,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.7827213181683564,0.8421553321121669,1.201437533508592,0.160592749760269,-0.11327370427690042,0.48864765932588683,0.7827213181683564,0.2179710945541703,0.1894250755535276,0.8421553321121669,1.201437533508592,0.160592749760269,0.2181653617503637,0.2265668590964774,0.2544727817457332,1.0,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +center_current,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.52577601428643,0.230343208703087,-0.3275691692317261,0.2279969587120907,1.0254865869181704,1.2292045082499627,0.7031895255689941,2.95886454183267,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.5393898203423443,0.18352722368445723,0.6730085517573238,0.13224041844355156,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.5393898203423443,0.12926659439853755,0.21791836671229906,0.18352722368445723,0.6730085517573238,0.13224041844355156,0.07368312096939453,0.054345780372579894,0.2528938331036884,0.8407884761182715,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +center_current,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.20245135974008,0.3155716776716817,-0.1841129708630962,0.21839400709387893,1.3696922975287686,1.792701861378311,1.7140111106367206,3.1576451612903234,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.4963659717634555,0.7955412624658633,0.9806460875375209,0.17786398212578686,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.4963659717634555,0.23725090575489768,0.21930115461714675,0.7955412624658633,0.9806460875375209,0.17786398212578686,0.1898364332948114,0.18649035340185524,0.25289383310368924,1.0,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +center_current,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11420526158137101,-0.11546900328424914,-0.1473480842578786,0.11330883483615634,-1.0175879045010994,-0.8350170735984558,-0.783647808288862,2.124722991689751,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.13627195286881835,0.7719182367717404,-0.001120925113252058,0.18503775014128274,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.13627195286881835,-0.06843225928497106,0.29619558995174006,0.7719182367717404,-0.001120925113252058,0.18503775014128274,,,,,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +center_current,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,1.0,Current center spec; risk_on target=100% but two-sector + 40% sector cap implies theoretical 80% stock max,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.615342495099122,0.4860629363265818,-0.18411297086309641,0.24115659895957944,1.769672412342374,2.5202546142096662,2.640025491131805,3.4829746835443047,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.782711254677684,0.8329482937506147,1.1980379658397788,0.1653742626047279,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,0.782711254677684,0.21622680766585206,0.18942153400384018,0.8329482937506147,1.1980379658397788,0.1653742626047279,0.2165168479564765,0.22496940824159473,0.2528938331036885,1.0,2.95886454183267,0.24400000000000002,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.26565656565656565}" +local_stable_neighbor,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5561277816871755,0.20188964076072136,-0.2661093252409854,0.19224356113866878,1.0550890499440602,1.2471612836035295,0.75867179993746,2.364666334661355,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.4658615929107409,0.04462790362142938,0.5746358888096748,0.09457164642134509,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.4658615929107409,0.11254363798716256,0.20212031851982987,0.04462790362142938,0.5746358888096748,0.09457164642134509,0.06247027855176803,0.04359456987095714,0.23492021298107654,0.8278999241849886,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +local_stable_neighbor,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.912205183241606,0.2864462967455761,-0.1636756737847782,0.18584872302914557,1.4532253374901347,1.8987022487315315,1.750084726226528,2.5072645161290326,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.42493171649402584,0.703347769971059,0.8534831168193608,0.1140673056451307,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.42493171649402584,0.21710406054087483,0.2067406872044836,0.703347769971059,0.8534831168193608,0.1140673056451307,0.16953443479701902,0.16534416653767295,0.23492021298107718,1.0,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +local_stable_neighbor,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09541698362822104,-0.09648430038636457,-0.11937869659588174,0.10116112600238021,-0.9444830600843123,-0.8256436287898881,-0.8082204207085725,1.8009556786703607,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.12398338386452391,0.8389788343111515,0.0,0.15438718933469434,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.12398338386452391,-0.052902065620020124,0.2960688605370384,0.8389788343111515,0.0,0.15438718933469434,,,,,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +local_stable_neighbor,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2193896309509102,0.4338705529754201,-0.16367567378477832,0.20447924518474944,1.8715034564010362,2.6522010559198463,2.6507943602292943,2.7308987341772157,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.6639682953616504,0.6688792523774243,1.042469195465115,0.04386932359210246,-0.09541698362822104,0.4338705529754201,0.6639682953616504,0.20408289079221287,0.16997653468315632,0.6688792523774243,1.042469195465115,0.04386932359210246,0.2028293626677736,0.21067616477448184,0.23492021298107668,1.0,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +local_stable_neighbor,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5120502910446607,0.20047360531669822,-0.26836001994685865,0.19222934994219013,1.0490042703195785,1.2399954524402432,0.7470323088975642,2.364666334661355,9.094870517928285,6.397299903567984,0.46586197307392224,0.03876931837658004,0.5723520961215851,0.09630945558453634,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.46586197307392224,0.11135889699671832,0.2021066945046462,0.03876931837658004,0.5723520961215851,0.09630945558453634,0.06113881546615169,0.04226562433883231,0.23369858838999247,0.8218347232752085,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +local_stable_neighbor,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8967836903515383,0.2848377435877123,-0.16377679463430528,0.1858418554535311,1.4465118020242989,1.8886846728067557,1.7391825516168038,2.5072645161290326,9.661451612903226,6.975609756097561,0.4249201037022896,0.6972750849744276,0.8510838676551362,0.11598569043876154,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.4249201037022896,0.21584787227897417,0.20673758232782755,0.6972750849744276,0.8510838676551362,0.11598569043876154,0.16823131252528947,0.16397650213784246,0.23369858838999316,1.0,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +local_stable_neighbor,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0962225707211738,-0.09729840556710967,-0.11937869659588152,0.1011671901474457,-0.9532588136972264,-0.8190879190667716,-0.8150399387964703,1.8009556786703607,4.0470914127423825,2.5179282868525896,0.12398950872193787,0.8359609635440062,-0.001120925113252058,0.1553051705711186,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.12398950872193787,-0.053793504850370606,0.29606880281011283,0.8359609635440062,-0.001120925113252058,0.1553051705711186,,,,,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +local_stable_neighbor,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Current local stable neighbor from v1.1; single cap lowered from 10% to 8%,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2051958773334692,0.4319190511353015,-0.16377679463430506,0.20447119714720657,1.8648780492043857,2.6417095132197286,2.637242059229011,2.7308987341772157,11.404430379746836,8.348466257668711,0.6639492265361373,0.6608411448789272,1.0397868880366188,0.047529437392078405,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,0.6639492265361373,0.20271825324130777,0.1699712728843302,0.6608411448789272,1.0397868880366188,0.047529437392078405,0.2015657526451182,0.20945096420442405,0.23369858838999252,1.0,2.364666334661355,0.19500000000000003,2.2551020408163267,58.0,0.6416666666666666,"{""Information Technology"": 0.247070707070707, ""Communication"": 0.21878787878787878}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3059199494030604,0.19368564106689856,-0.3159996799683372,0.20826039467869611,0.9564416338382448,1.1276066981051682,0.6129298646324757,2.7102714143426296,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.5150233438560772,0.02633486540517992,0.6113683551454661,0.19039113530906945,-0.12654291786773586,0.3977702197572006,0.5150233438560772,0.09937024464201347,0.20410364293744807,0.02633486540517992,0.6113683551454661,0.19039113530906945,0.04765199828239958,0.04176614722613616,0.19857180462195378,0.8028809704321456,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.588729168438527,0.25124358100518474,-0.17720935857000109,0.1972139067807964,1.2393507578325915,1.5716133840646818,1.4177782879674423,3.083024193548388,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.46579254024260064,0.5799698106623782,0.8425426704111888,0.2119502056636243,-0.12654291786773586,0.3977702197572006,0.46579254024260064,0.18634709479892989,0.2064723554292601,0.5799698106623782,0.8425426704111888,0.2119502056636243,0.11923826302526912,0.10639703914153478,0.19857180462195448,1.0,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12654291786773586,-0.1279330732177888,-0.15833929130315183,0.1182105899021687,-1.0895433403143753,-0.8222442647446078,-0.8079679539101374,2.023545706371192,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.14115144312887773,0.7258228062262594,0.0,0.2057856550563641,-0.12654291786773586,0.3977702197572006,0.14115144312887773,-0.08024786625591872,0.2964152056251174,0.7258228062262594,0.0,0.2057856550563641,,,,,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9637737461799278,0.3977702197572006,-0.17720935857000109,0.2152795666129559,1.6692600405633908,2.3205126873455053,2.2446343859434137,3.416191983122363,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.7241167806082731,0.5335521578307736,1.0291062148268346,0.2226828510309879,-0.12654291786773586,0.3977702197572006,0.7241167806082731,0.1645775235401546,0.1693700233155373,0.5335521578307736,1.0291062148268346,0.2226828510309879,0.162237190143495,0.17185689051595793,0.19857180462195384,1.0,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.258175333898933,0.19207273506778888,-0.3169971687107589,0.20824971087859692,0.949970592143436,1.1200333897221548,0.6059130933218014,2.7102714143426296,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.5150324557351398,0.019683605968326755,0.6087640661005994,0.19239941464578383,-0.12741803119520678,0.39538704664377144,0.5150324557351398,0.0980106676402179,0.2040901945852315,0.019683605968326755,0.6087640661005994,0.19239941464578383,0.046139533251515964,0.040399919162057464,0.19700988978556147,0.7937831690674754,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5718575076034096,0.24931713805609323,-0.17735441237777672,0.19721694447881044,1.2314903782415905,1.5610943021580534,1.40575661306374,3.083024193548388,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.4658005195009225,0.572477826112081,0.8396056630944909,0.2143197120038121,-0.12741803119520678,0.39538704664377144,0.4658005195009225,0.1847996647569634,0.20647314572169384,0.572477826112081,0.8396056630944909,0.2143197120038121,0.11759609428557663,0.10468281400727535,0.19700988978556214,1.0,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12741803119520678,-0.1288170747222711,-0.1583392913031515,0.11822637457223882,-1.0978899210596738,-0.8214155528174948,-0.8135509112241884,2.023545706371192,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.14114660300127455,0.7224162795666158,-0.001120925113252058,0.20686332476813496,-0.12741803119520678,0.39538704664377144,0.14114660300127455,-0.08125351503546197,0.296423181963281,0.7224162795666158,-0.001120925113252058,0.20686332476813496,,,,,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +explicit_cash_buffer_control,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,explicit_cash_buffer_control,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__explicit_cash_buffer_control,0.8,Make the accidental 80% risk_on stock cap explicit while keeping the same two-sector geometry,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9474107872366218,0.39538704664377144,-0.1773544123777765,0.21528203906401153,1.661281557529077,2.3088470354578083,2.229361205863721,3.416191983122363,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.724145461876856,0.523446179802587,1.025767073891599,0.22730147904908696,-0.12741803119520678,0.39538704664377144,0.724145461876856,0.16285631163788716,0.16936649439828402,0.523446179802587,1.025767073891599,0.22730147904908696,0.16061047817656063,0.17024559326886485,0.19700988978556153,1.0,2.7102714143426296,0.2235,2.795918367346939,61.0,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.2939393939393939, ""Communication"": 0.2656565656565656}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.089753748368446,0.21814094623432223,-0.3916872106548066,0.25079759428129855,0.9142930182527644,1.0865783209922284,0.556926395093787,3.512641102257636,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.6068655073498821,0.15760028518263572,0.7218414761222139,0.2606997665560112,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.6068655073498821,0.11168353678482253,0.2251811868235476,0.15760028518263572,0.7218414761222139,0.2606997665560112,0.052857163020521736,0.05964236139016799,0.2081831523159664,0.7831690674753601,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.715405233070035,0.2654093416134502,-0.21057833343740873,0.23538055683455375,1.1215607269265366,1.4076136587430315,1.2603829524196475,4.072733870967743,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.552782101981787,0.6253503480630758,0.9643118922144114,0.3122453152538129,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.552782101981787,0.1950785356765658,0.2227936978378388,0.6253503480630758,0.9643118922144114,0.3122453152538129,0.12290079956079841,0.10987583902870121,0.20818315231596726,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16333207668447203,-0.165086759658853,-0.19459078962173604,0.1407693089837097,-1.2007385213647366,-0.8680282739212534,-0.8483791035524562,2.5800207756232694,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.16613756871509963,0.5877672480712288,0.0,0.2686002590279618,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.16613756871509963,-0.11188569723507254,0.2975894726847146,0.5877672480712288,0.0,0.2686002590279618,,,,,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2454993879883567,0.4374448996815963,-0.20049735103569954,0.2570301697008363,1.545940480383265,2.133204973307984,2.181798898698203,4.541223628691983,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.8606444270943986,0.6615634765008561,1.177838697267358,0.3882325104856961,-0.16333207668447203,0.4374448996815963,0.8606444270943986,0.16584874013236095,0.1940305229881872,0.6615634765008561,1.177838697267358,0.3882325104856961,0.16411865210960633,0.17489663049467363,0.20818315231596646,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.016758710879815,0.21600897156298338,-0.39446969236770413,0.2507835616840925,0.9073270196355456,1.0782611897659846,0.5475933278078841,3.512641102257636,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.606853874354322,0.1497937351321009,0.71850434537574,0.2633922979357888,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.606853874354322,0.10992600357114785,0.22516850509031267,0.1497937351321009,0.71850434537574,0.2633922979357888,0.050880901423059746,0.05801304463014143,0.20607521609848597,0.775587566338135,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6920488895385644,0.26283603042061765,-0.21265920912904945,0.23538509981922562,1.1128602366284936,1.3962780498951908,1.2359494399375812,4.072733870967743,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.5527815597381228,0.6161673690634095,0.9604697013506797,0.31544154694987914,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.5527815597381228,0.193035732733707,0.2227986304333727,0.6161673690634095,0.9604697013506797,0.31544154694987914,0.12071628770009904,0.10776727002763213,0.20607521609848686,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16440109123142688,-0.1661660830748799,-0.19459078962173582,0.14078788032067985,-1.20967238952666,-0.8686379750024158,-0.853925735117728,2.5800207756232694,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.16610738110324128,0.5834280556134822,-0.001120925113252058,0.2700871704270927,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.16610738110324128,-0.11317615965797967,0.2976087009580132,0.5834280556134822,-0.001120925113252058,0.2700871704270927,,,,,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.1,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,1.0,Keep two-sector theme but raise sector cap to 50% so 12 names can reach 100% risk_on,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2216998625642606,0.4341876236208575,-0.200599636520715,0.25703453107859164,1.5370524378627581,2.120473660061636,2.1644487056486814,4.541223628691983,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.860682241868717,0.6498304960559176,1.173393938721851,0.39440471394921595,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,0.860682241868717,0.16356077693134988,0.1940286223708588,0.6498304960559176,1.173393938721851,0.39440471394921595,0.16189884230641588,0.1727396547477561,0.20607521609848606,1.0,3.512641102257636,0.2896666666666667,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.36262626262626263, ""Communication"": 0.3141414141414141}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,0.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.915945889751548,0.21301924988596466,-0.3787873758944549,0.24257077807638883,0.9195019858993425,1.0920696983804772,0.5623715663251677,3.3687400398406373,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.5897129950212112,0.13258551291827905,0.6997787879660984,0.24806615997099576,-0.158379986861502,0.429154238899075,0.5897129950212112,0.10874975429904267,0.22046482556189645,0.13258551291827905,0.6997787879660984,0.24806615997099576,0.051021373516307915,0.05654099329110193,0.2062158507679104,0.7862016679302501,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,0.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6806951682522606,0.2615789531827375,-0.2023495617853308,0.22805383359826495,1.1367853691216883,1.4288574824627995,1.2927082760882977,3.9022838709677425,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.5364782271940879,0.6141186023201332,0.938967356481759,0.2945944640254081,-0.158379986861502,0.429154238899075,0.5364782271940879,0.1923658041157857,0.2191413661133203,0.6141186023201332,0.938967356481759,0.2945944640254081,0.12101494877835565,0.10777881630173622,0.2062158507679112,1.0,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,0.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.158379986861502,-0.16008670367636435,-0.18744279244332918,0.13707965925656246,-1.1936423968070233,-0.8734315139133705,-0.8540563314791868,2.4990789473684214,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.1628196873490015,0.607096648059148,0.0,0.2603097119244078,-0.158379986861502,0.429154238899075,0.1628196873490015,-0.1076238120417355,0.2970142972876981,0.607096648059148,0.0,0.2603097119244078,,,,,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,0.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.185160911580083,0.429154238899075,-0.1952519629988967,0.24890348719655,1.5647935419618395,2.160899788724396,2.1979509568439015,4.342930379746837,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.8339371547262138,0.6382458465867547,1.146882141415244,0.35428512263962164,-0.158379986861502,0.429154238899075,0.8339371547262138,0.16516195028161954,0.18878733531344025,0.6382458465867547,1.146882141415244,0.35428512263962164,0.16320549021837263,0.1736924041094901,0.2062158507679105,1.0,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,5.0,Full Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8483069590052814,0.2109829917370778,-0.38151065586894817,0.24255732300413096,0.9125950688521864,1.0838375556495958,0.5530199182943715,3.3687400398406373,9.21613545816733,8.736740597878496,0.5897041739121067,0.12493744092042564,0.6965759032208719,0.25064060042431385,-0.15942145712439026,0.42605727658708736,0.5897041739121067,0.10706376867750629,0.2204523039676637,0.12493744092042564,0.6965759032208719,0.25064060042431385,0.04912703614567735,0.054741014874104446,0.20420319330664127,0.7748294162244125,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,5.0,OOS Sample,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6586003996067582,0.25912092134855613,-0.20437317015182843,0.22805747945762794,1.1281843886908092,1.4176186396950443,1.2678813033827077,3.9022838709677425,9.89709677419355,9.151969981238274,0.536477751562324,0.6051757848780905,0.9352837538034081,0.29765135487054556,-0.15942145712439026,0.42605727658708736,0.536477751562324,0.19040849005419755,0.21914527881581342,0.6051757848780905,0.9352837538034081,0.29765135487054556,0.11892550535753091,0.10573746476859493,0.20420319330664216,1.0,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,5.0,2022,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15942145712439026,-0.16113829049633166,-0.1874427924433293,0.1370970014440702,-1.2025355158075866,-0.8734473526068075,-0.8596665062224229,2.4990789473684214,4.0470914127423825,2.8207171314741037,0.16279323670402363,0.6028871764453703,-0.001120925113252058,0.2617378920013097,-0.15942145712439026,0.42605727658708736,0.16279323670402363,-0.10887282980792018,0.29703146954645243,0.6028871764453703,-0.001120925113252058,0.2617378920013097,,,,,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" +feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,5.0,2023+,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,12,0.08,0.5,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5__single_name_cap_0p08,1.0,Raise sector cap to 50% but keep single cap at 8%; geometry becomes near-feasible but still maxes at 96% stock,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.162822108820099,0.42605727658708736,-0.19545869221045775,0.24890686159558695,1.5560207362940217,2.148318562086218,2.1797816805626398,4.342930379746837,11.712658227848102,11.101840490797546,0.8339712207834195,0.6267161317797153,1.1426310871091836,0.3601776419344455,-0.15942145712439026,0.42605727658708736,0.8339712207834195,0.16297445557011167,0.18878467517288522,0.6267161317797153,1.1426310871091836,0.3601776419344455,0.16108790124036287,0.17163447136652993,0.2042031933066414,1.0,3.3687400398406373,0.2778,2.938775510204082,60.5,0.6472222222222221,"{""Information Technology"": 0.350909090909091, ""Communication"": 0.30242424242424243}" diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.md b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1f0de45 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.md @@ -0,0 +1,82 @@ +# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.2 geometry repair + +## Current center spec +- name=tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth +- family=tech_heavy_pullback +- universe=tech_heavy +- normalization=universe_cross_sectional +- holdings=12 +- single_cap=10% +- sector_cap=40% +- hold_bonus=0.05 +- min_adv20=50M + +## Current stable neighbor +- name=tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08 +- single_cap=8% +- sector_cap=40% +- hold_bonus=0.05 + +## Geometry repair summary (5 bps) +| strategy | full_cagr | oos_cagr | oos_cagr_minus_qqq | full_max_drawdown | oos_max_drawdown | return_2022 | cagr_2023_plus | annual_turnover | avg_names_held | risk_on_fill_rate | geometry_repair_score | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| local_stable_neighbor | 0.200474 | 0.284838 | 0.182889 | -0.268360 | -0.163777 | -0.096223 | 0.431919 | 2.364666 | 6.505051 | 0.640000 | 0.690000 | +| explicit_cash_buffer_control | 0.192073 | 0.249317 | 0.147369 | -0.316997 | -0.177354 | -0.127418 | 0.395387 | 2.710271 | 8.848485 | 1.000000 | 0.660000 | +| center_current | 0.230343 | 0.315572 | 0.213623 | -0.327569 | -0.184113 | -0.114205 | 0.486063 | 2.958865 | 6.505051 | 0.800000 | 0.600000 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 0.216009 | 0.262836 | 0.160888 | -0.394470 | -0.212659 | -0.164401 | 0.434188 | 3.512641 | 8.848485 | 1.000000 | 0.540000 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8 | 0.210983 | 0.259121 | 0.157173 | -0.381511 | -0.204373 | -0.159421 | 0.426057 | 3.368740 | 8.848485 | 0.960000 | 0.510000 | + +## Deployment diagnostics +| strategy | avg_names_held | risk_on_avg_names | risk_on_target_stock_weight | risk_on_realized_stock_weight | risk_on_fill_rate | avg_top3_stock_weight | avg_safe_haven_weight | underfilled_month_share | dominant_underfill_reason | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| center_current | 6.505051 | 8.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.198485 | 0.440404 | 0.848485 | sector_cap_binding | +| local_stable_neighbor | 6.505051 | 8.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.640000 | 0.640000 | 0.163333 | 0.534141 | 0.848485 | sector_cap_binding | +| explicit_cash_buffer_control | 8.848485 | 12.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.139899 | 0.440404 | 0.262626 | hard_defense_zero_stock | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 8.848485 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.169192 | 0.323232 | 0.262626 | hard_defense_zero_stock | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8 | 8.848485 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.960000 | 0.960000 | 0.163333 | 0.346667 | 0.262626 | hard_defense_zero_stock | + +## Main comparison (5 bps) +| strategy | period | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Turnover/Year | Average Names Held | risk_on_realized_stock_weight | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Up Capture vs QQQ | Down Capture vs QQQ | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| center_current | Full Sample | 0.230343 | -0.327569 | 2.958865 | 6.397300 | 0.800000 | 0.539390 | 0.129267 | 0.183527 | 0.673009 | 0.132240 | +| center_current | OOS Sample | 0.315572 | -0.184113 | 3.157645 | 6.975610 | 0.800000 | 0.496366 | 0.237251 | 0.795541 | 0.980646 | 0.177864 | +| center_current | 2022 | -0.115469 | -0.147348 | 2.124723 | 2.517928 | 0.800000 | 0.136272 | -0.068432 | 0.771918 | -0.001121 | 0.185038 | +| center_current | 2023+ | 0.486063 | -0.184113 | 3.482975 | 8.348466 | 0.800000 | 0.782711 | 0.216227 | 0.832948 | 1.198038 | 0.165374 | +| local_stable_neighbor | Full Sample | 0.200474 | -0.268360 | 2.364666 | 6.397300 | 0.640000 | 0.465862 | 0.111359 | 0.038769 | 0.572352 | 0.096309 | +| local_stable_neighbor | OOS Sample | 0.284838 | -0.163777 | 2.507265 | 6.975610 | 0.640000 | 0.424920 | 0.215848 | 0.697275 | 0.851084 | 0.115986 | +| local_stable_neighbor | 2022 | -0.097298 | -0.119379 | 1.800956 | 2.517928 | 0.640000 | 0.123990 | -0.053794 | 0.835961 | -0.001121 | 0.155305 | +| local_stable_neighbor | 2023+ | 0.431919 | -0.163777 | 2.730899 | 8.348466 | 0.640000 | 0.663949 | 0.202718 | 0.660841 | 1.039787 | 0.047529 | +| explicit_cash_buffer_control | Full Sample | 0.192073 | -0.316997 | 2.710271 | 8.736741 | 0.800000 | 0.515032 | 0.098011 | 0.019684 | 0.608764 | 0.192399 | +| explicit_cash_buffer_control | OOS Sample | 0.249317 | -0.177354 | 3.083024 | 9.151970 | 0.800000 | 0.465801 | 0.184800 | 0.572478 | 0.839606 | 0.214320 | +| explicit_cash_buffer_control | 2022 | -0.128817 | -0.158339 | 2.023546 | 2.820717 | 0.800000 | 0.141147 | -0.081254 | 0.722416 | -0.001121 | 0.206863 | +| explicit_cash_buffer_control | 2023+ | 0.395387 | -0.177354 | 3.416192 | 11.101840 | 0.800000 | 0.724145 | 0.162856 | 0.523446 | 1.025767 | 0.227301 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | Full Sample | 0.216009 | -0.394470 | 3.512641 | 8.736741 | 1.000000 | 0.606854 | 0.109926 | 0.149794 | 0.718504 | 0.263392 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | OOS Sample | 0.262836 | -0.212659 | 4.072734 | 9.151970 | 1.000000 | 0.552782 | 0.193036 | 0.616167 | 0.960470 | 0.315442 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 2022 | -0.166166 | -0.194591 | 2.580021 | 2.820717 | 1.000000 | 0.166107 | -0.113176 | 0.583428 | -0.001121 | 0.270087 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 2023+ | 0.434188 | -0.200600 | 4.541224 | 11.101840 | 1.000000 | 0.860682 | 0.163561 | 0.649830 | 1.173394 | 0.394405 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8 | Full Sample | 0.210983 | -0.381511 | 3.368740 | 8.736741 | 0.960000 | 0.589704 | 0.107064 | 0.124937 | 0.696576 | 0.250641 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8 | OOS Sample | 0.259121 | -0.204373 | 3.902284 | 9.151970 | 0.960000 | 0.536478 | 0.190408 | 0.605176 | 0.935284 | 0.297651 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8 | 2022 | -0.161138 | -0.187443 | 2.499079 | 2.820717 | 0.960000 | 0.162793 | -0.108873 | 0.602887 | -0.001121 | 0.261738 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap_single8 | 2023+ | 0.426057 | -0.195459 | 4.342930 | 11.101840 | 0.960000 | 0.833971 | 0.162974 | 0.626716 | 1.142631 | 0.360178 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | Full Sample | 0.241651 | -0.323779 | 3.440286 | 9.465767 | 0.960000 | 0.680133 | 0.126004 | 0.259556 | 0.803347 | 0.303760 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | OOS Sample | 0.334010 | -0.323779 | 3.706698 | 10.570356 | 0.960000 | 0.744797 | 0.241211 | 0.836495 | 1.200446 | 0.399330 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2022 | -0.015491 | -0.163557 | 2.893670 | 5.928287 | 0.960000 | 0.208618 | 0.068668 | 1.170392 | 0.228046 | 0.108972 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2023+ | 0.464792 | -0.323779 | 3.966892 | 12.000000 | 0.960000 | 1.176538 | 0.121422 | 0.714970 | 1.415764 | 0.904850 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | Full Sample | 0.268277 | -0.408751 | 3.532852 | 10.322083 | 1.000000 | 0.828586 | 0.127691 | 0.379497 | 0.936444 | 0.410912 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | OOS Sample | 0.338226 | -0.340458 | 3.844944 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.834849 | 0.238178 | 0.868592 | 1.304985 | 0.512384 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2022 | -0.024552 | -0.159130 | 2.782375 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.378451 | 0.129999 | 1.265347 | 0.829437 | 0.354271 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2023+ | 0.474999 | -0.340458 | 4.181624 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.203085 | 0.124098 | 0.733801 | 1.410285 | 0.787663 | +| defensive_baseline | Full Sample | 0.163311 | -0.276198 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | 1.000000 | 0.465098 | 0.081735 | -0.104102 | 0.595210 | 0.293529 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS Sample | 0.184469 | -0.254393 | 4.530278 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.568918 | 0.122988 | 0.344425 | 0.826915 | 0.413046 | +| defensive_baseline | 2022 | -0.141182 | -0.171444 | 3.330419 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.196777 | -0.076385 | 0.723841 | 0.192468 | 0.308680 | +| defensive_baseline | 2023+ | 0.307094 | -0.254393 | 4.911097 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.867060 | 0.064774 | 0.169337 | 0.967400 | 0.594750 | +| QQQ | Full Sample | 0.179222 | -0.351187 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS Sample | 0.101948 | -0.348280 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2022 | -0.328892 | -0.348280 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | -0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2023+ | 0.282076 | -0.227683 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | + +## Recommendation +- research_recommendation=research_default_candidate +- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default=并行分支 +- selected_geometry_repair_default=feasible_two_sector_50cap +- reason=geometry-repaired version still has edge, but occupancy or concentration still needs more tightening \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_recommendation.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..57c581b --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_2_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,25 @@ +{ + "center_strategy": "center_current", + "stable_neighbor_strategy": "local_stable_neighbor", + "explicit_cash_buffer_control": "explicit_cash_buffer_control", + "best_overall_score_strategy": "local_stable_neighbor", + "selected_geometry_repair_default": "feasible_two_sector_50cap", + "research_recommendation": "research_default_candidate", + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": "并行分支", + "reason": "geometry-repaired version still has edge, but occupancy or concentration still needs more tightening", + "checks": { + "center_oos_cagr": 0.3155716776716817, + "explicit_cash_oos_cagr": 0.24931713805609323, + "center_oos_maxdd": -0.1841129708630962, + "explicit_cash_oos_maxdd": -0.17735441237777672, + "center_vs_explicit_close": false, + "best_overall_score_strategy": "local_stable_neighbor", + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.16088767110055557, + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": -0.21265920912904945, + "selected_risk_on_fill_rate": 1.0, + "selected_avg_names_held": 8.848484848484848, + "selected_underfilled_month_share": 0.26262626262626265, + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": 0.16919191919191912, + "selected_annual_turnover": 3.512641102257636 + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_deployment_consistency.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_deployment_consistency.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..aa9a902 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_deployment_consistency.csv @@ -0,0 +1,7 @@ +strategy,avg_names_held,risk_on_avg_names,risk_on_target_stock_weight,risk_on_realized_stock_weight,risk_on_fill_rate,soft_defense_realized_stock_weight,hard_defense_realized_stock_weight,underfilled_month_share,avg_top1_stock_weight,avg_top3_stock_weight,avg_top5_stock_weight,avg_safe_haven_weight,avg_theoretical_stock_max,risk_on_geometry_feasible_share,selected_count_distribution_json,dominant_underfill_reason +center_current,6.505050505050505,8.0,1.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.8484848484848485,0.06616161616161616,0.19848484848484846,0.33080808080808083,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.5858585858585859, ""12"": 0.15151515151515152}",sector_cap_binding +local_stable_neighbor,6.505050505050505,8.0,1.0,0.6400000000000001,0.6400000000000001,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.8484848484848485,0.05444444444444444,0.1633333333333333,0.2722222222222222,0.5341414141414141,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.5858585858585859, ""12"": 0.15151515151515152}",sector_cap_binding +feasible_two_sector_50cap,8.848484848484848,12.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.0563973063973064,0.16919191919191912,0.28198653198653195,0.32323232323232315,0.6767676767676765,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""12"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock +coherent_cash_buffer_branch,5.898989898989899,8.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.06994949494949494,0.2098484848484849,0.34974747474747475,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock +coherent_full_deployment_branch,7.373737373737374,10.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.06767676767676765,0.20303030303030303,0.33838383838383823,0.32323232323232315,0.6767676767676765,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""10"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock +coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8,7.373737373737374,10.0,1.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.055959595959595945,0.16787878787878785,0.27979797979797977,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""10"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_recommendation.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..42c918d --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,20 @@ +{ + "center_strategy": "center_current", + "selected_cash_branch": "coherent_cash_buffer_branch", + "selected_full_deployment_branch": "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "selected_research_default": "coherent_cash_buffer_branch", + "research_recommendation": "cash_buffer_branch", + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": "并行分支", + "reason": "the best honest interpretation is still an explicit cash-buffered tech pullback branch, not a standard full-risk offensive branch", + "checks": { + "center_is_cash_prototype": true, + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.22887162664596006, + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": -0.1917628993883893, + "selected_annual_turnover": 2.8254731075697213, + "selected_risk_on_fill_rate": 1.0, + "selected_deployment_honesty_score": 0.9999999999999999, + "selected_avg_names_held": 5.898989898989899, + "selected_underfilled_month_share": 0.26262626262626265, + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": 0.2098484848484849 + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..8ac813e --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.csv @@ -0,0 +1,7 @@ +strategy,config_name,full_cagr,full_max_drawdown,oos_cagr,oos_cagr_minus_qqq,oos_max_drawdown,return_2022,cagr_2023_plus,annual_turnover,avg_names_held,risk_on_avg_names,risk_on_target_stock_weight,risk_on_realized_stock_weight,risk_on_fill_rate,soft_defense_realized_stock_weight,hard_defense_realized_stock_weight,underfilled_month_share,avg_top1_stock_weight,avg_top3_stock_weight,avg_top5_stock_weight,avg_safe_haven_weight,avg_theoretical_stock_max,risk_on_geometry_feasible_share,selected_count_distribution_json,dominant_underfill_reason,target_names,realized_names,target_stock_weight,realized_stock_weight,names_alignment_score,stock_alignment_score,deployment_honesty_score,score_oos_rel_qqq,score_oos_maxdd,score_2022,score_turnover,score_avg_names,score_top3_concentration,score_fill_rate,score_honesty,spec_normalization_score +coherent_cash_buffer_branch,coherent_cash_buffer_branch_cfg,0.24023215835023137,-0.31389734436425853,0.3308200064185589,0.22887162664596006,-0.1917628993883893,-0.12012100392137592,0.5117520323267855,2.8254731075697213,5.898989898989899,8.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.06994949494949494,0.2098484848484849,0.34974747474747475,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,1.0,0.5,0.6666666666666666,0.8333333333333334,0.16666666666666666,0.16666666666666666,0.8333333333333334,0.6666666666666666,0.6966666666666668 +center_current,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth,0.230343208703087,-0.3275691692317261,0.3155716776716817,0.21362329789908285,-0.1841129708630962,-0.11420526158137101,0.4860629363265818,2.9588645418326696,6.505050505050505,8.0,1.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.8484848484848485,0.06616161616161616,0.19848484848484846,0.33080808080808083,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.5858585858585859, ""12"": 0.15151515151515152}",sector_cap_binding,12.0,8.0,1.0,0.7999999999999998,0.6666666666666667,0.7999999999999998,0.7333333333333333,0.8333333333333334,0.8333333333333334,0.8333333333333334,0.5,0.4166666666666667,0.5,0.4166666666666667,0.3333333333333333,0.6091666666666667 +coherent_full_deployment_branch,coherent_full_deployment_branch_cfg,0.2441213592871787,-0.40644093095708145,0.3153714302805344,0.21342305050793553,-0.2106193998208613,-0.15963157059653155,0.5100726983865964,3.6427988047808766,7.373737373737374,10.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.06767676767676765,0.20303030303030303,0.33838383838383823,0.32323232323232315,0.6767676767676765,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""10"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,10.0,10.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.6666666666666666,0.3333333333333333,0.3333333333333333,0.16666666666666666,0.75,0.3333333333333333,0.8333333333333334,0.9166666666666666,0.5841666666666666 +coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8,coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8_cfg,0.21341368899242052,-0.33922632362357674,0.28796567799819184,0.186017298225593,-0.18695673003651103,-0.13317888145650914,0.45508555019258545,2.8982320717131476,7.373737373737374,10.0,1.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.055959595959595945,0.16787878787878785,0.27979797979797977,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""10"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,10.0,10.0,1.0,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.7999999999999998,0.8999999999999999,0.5,0.6666666666666666,0.5,0.6666666666666666,0.75,0.8333333333333334,0.4166666666666667,0.5,0.5658333333333333 +local_stable_neighbor,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__single_name_cap_0p08,0.20047360531669822,-0.26836001994685865,0.2848377435877123,0.18288936381511345,-0.16377679463430528,-0.0962225707211738,0.4319190511353015,2.364666334661355,6.505050505050505,8.0,1.0,0.6400000000000001,0.6400000000000001,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.8484848484848485,0.05444444444444444,0.1633333333333333,0.2722222222222222,0.5341414141414141,0.5595959595959595,0.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.5858585858585859, ""12"": 0.15151515151515152}",sector_cap_binding,12.0,8.0,1.0,0.6400000000000001,0.6666666666666667,0.6400000000000001,0.6533333333333334,0.3333333333333333,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.4166666666666667,1.0,0.16666666666666666,0.16666666666666666,0.5575000000000001 +feasible_two_sector_50cap,tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth__sector_cap_0p5,0.21600897156298338,-0.39446969236770413,0.26283603042061765,0.1608876506480188,-0.21265920912904945,-0.16440109123142688,0.4341876236208575,3.512641102257636,8.848484848484848,12.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.0563973063973064,0.16919191919191912,0.28198653198653195,0.32323232323232315,0.6767676767676765,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""12"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,12.0,12.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.16666666666666666,0.16666666666666666,0.16666666666666666,0.3333333333333333,1.0,0.6666666666666666,0.8333333333333334,0.9166666666666666,0.48666666666666664 diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.md b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f9a3a9a --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.md @@ -0,0 +1,71 @@ +# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.3 spec normalization + +## Honest spec candidates +| strategy | target_names | realized_names | target_stock_weight | realized_stock_weight | risk_on_fill_rate | deployment_honesty_score | spec_normalization_score | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 8.000000 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.696667 | +| center_current | 12.000000 | 8.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.733333 | 0.609167 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | 10.000000 | 10.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.584167 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8 | 10.000000 | 10.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.900000 | 0.565833 | +| local_stable_neighbor | 12.000000 | 8.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.640000 | 0.640000 | 0.653333 | 0.557500 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 12.000000 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.486667 | + +## Deployment consistency +| strategy | avg_names_held | risk_on_avg_names | risk_on_target_stock_weight | risk_on_realized_stock_weight | risk_on_fill_rate | underfilled_month_share | avg_top1_stock_weight | avg_top3_stock_weight | avg_top5_stock_weight | avg_safe_haven_weight | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| center_current | 6.505051 | 8.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.848485 | 0.066162 | 0.198485 | 0.330808 | 0.440404 | +| local_stable_neighbor | 6.505051 | 8.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.640000 | 0.640000 | 0.848485 | 0.054444 | 0.163333 | 0.272222 | 0.534141 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 8.848485 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.056397 | 0.169192 | 0.281987 | 0.323232 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 5.898990 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.069949 | 0.209848 | 0.349747 | 0.440404 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | 7.373737 | 10.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.067677 | 0.203030 | 0.338384 | 0.323232 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8 | 7.373737 | 10.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.800000 | 0.800000 | 0.262626 | 0.055960 | 0.167879 | 0.279798 | 0.440404 | + +## Main comparison (5 bps) +| strategy | period | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Turnover/Year | Average Names Held | risk_on_realized_stock_weight | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Up Capture vs QQQ | Down Capture vs QQQ | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| center_current | Full Sample | 0.230343 | -0.327569 | 2.958865 | 6.397300 | 0.800000 | 0.539390 | 0.129267 | 0.183527 | 0.673008 | 0.132240 | +| center_current | OOS Sample | 0.315572 | -0.184113 | 3.157645 | 6.975610 | 0.800000 | 0.496367 | 0.237251 | 0.795542 | 0.980646 | 0.177864 | +| center_current | 2022 | -0.115469 | -0.147348 | 2.124723 | 2.517928 | 0.800000 | 0.136272 | -0.068432 | 0.771919 | -0.001121 | 0.185038 | +| center_current | 2023+ | 0.486063 | -0.184113 | 3.482975 | 8.348466 | 0.800000 | 0.782712 | 0.216227 | 0.832949 | 1.198038 | 0.165374 | +| local_stable_neighbor | Full Sample | 0.200474 | -0.268360 | 2.364666 | 6.397300 | 0.640000 | 0.465862 | 0.111359 | 0.038769 | 0.572352 | 0.096309 | +| local_stable_neighbor | OOS Sample | 0.284838 | -0.163777 | 2.507265 | 6.975610 | 0.640000 | 0.424921 | 0.215848 | 0.697276 | 0.851084 | 0.115986 | +| local_stable_neighbor | 2022 | -0.097298 | -0.119379 | 1.800956 | 2.517928 | 0.640000 | 0.123990 | -0.053793 | 0.835962 | -0.001121 | 0.155305 | +| local_stable_neighbor | 2023+ | 0.431919 | -0.163777 | 2.730899 | 8.348466 | 0.640000 | 0.663950 | 0.202718 | 0.660842 | 1.039787 | 0.047529 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | Full Sample | 0.216009 | -0.394470 | 3.512641 | 8.736741 | 1.000000 | 0.606854 | 0.109926 | 0.149794 | 0.718504 | 0.263392 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | OOS Sample | 0.262836 | -0.212659 | 4.072734 | 9.151970 | 1.000000 | 0.552782 | 0.193036 | 0.616168 | 0.960470 | 0.315442 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 2022 | -0.166166 | -0.194591 | 2.580021 | 2.820717 | 1.000000 | 0.166108 | -0.113176 | 0.583429 | -0.001121 | 0.270087 | +| feasible_two_sector_50cap | 2023+ | 0.434188 | -0.200600 | 4.541224 | 11.101840 | 1.000000 | 0.860683 | 0.163561 | 0.649831 | 1.173394 | 0.394405 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | Full Sample | 0.240232 | -0.313897 | 2.825473 | 5.824494 | 0.800000 | 0.542350 | 0.137299 | 0.221126 | 0.687993 | 0.117907 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | OOS Sample | 0.330820 | -0.191763 | 2.969129 | 6.101313 | 0.800000 | 0.502483 | 0.249072 | 0.841106 | 1.000281 | 0.153603 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 2022 | -0.121446 | -0.147348 | 2.074134 | 1.880478 | 0.800000 | 0.140831 | -0.073207 | 0.751259 | -0.001121 | 0.195962 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 2023+ | 0.511752 | -0.191763 | 3.251804 | 7.401227 | 0.800000 | 0.789776 | 0.232738 | 0.907222 | 1.222021 | 0.079856 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | Full Sample | 0.244121 | -0.406441 | 3.642799 | 7.280617 | 1.000000 | 0.625473 | 0.132851 | 0.255072 | 0.766681 | 0.219637 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | OOS Sample | 0.315371 | -0.210619 | 4.034245 | 7.626642 | 1.000000 | 0.576097 | 0.234898 | 0.777800 | 1.064771 | 0.276009 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | 2022 | -0.161350 | -0.204137 | 2.569903 | 2.350598 | 1.000000 | 0.166436 | -0.106776 | 0.600860 | -0.001121 | 0.259615 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | 2023+ | 0.510073 | -0.210619 | 4.493962 | 9.251534 | 1.000000 | 0.901974 | 0.209074 | 0.870614 | 1.300791 | 0.304551 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8 | Full Sample | 0.213414 | -0.339226 | 2.898232 | 7.280617 | 0.800000 | 0.536755 | 0.114537 | 0.116603 | 0.648175 | 0.163685 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8 | OOS Sample | 0.287966 | -0.186957 | 3.190635 | 7.626642 | 0.800000 | 0.491375 | 0.215472 | 0.706094 | 0.921905 | 0.192040 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8 | 2022 | -0.134636 | -0.166277 | 2.165194 | 2.350598 | 0.800000 | 0.149180 | -0.084238 | 0.702435 | -0.001121 | 0.215822 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8 | 2023+ | 0.455086 | -0.186957 | 3.513797 | 9.251534 | 0.800000 | 0.763312 | 0.198380 | 0.735463 | 1.126290 | 0.150635 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | Full Sample | 0.241651 | -0.323779 | 3.440286 | 9.465767 | 0.960000 | 0.680133 | 0.126004 | 0.259556 | 0.803347 | 0.303760 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | OOS Sample | 0.334010 | -0.323779 | 3.706698 | 10.570356 | 0.960000 | 0.744798 | 0.241211 | 0.836495 | 1.200446 | 0.399330 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2022 | -0.015491 | -0.163557 | 2.893670 | 5.928287 | 0.960000 | 0.208618 | 0.068668 | 1.170393 | 0.228046 | 0.108972 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2023+ | 0.464792 | -0.323779 | 3.966892 | 12.000000 | 0.960000 | 1.176539 | 0.121421 | 0.714971 | 1.415764 | 0.904850 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | Full Sample | 0.268277 | -0.408751 | 3.532852 | 10.322083 | 1.000000 | 0.828586 | 0.127691 | 0.379497 | 0.936444 | 0.410912 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | OOS Sample | 0.338226 | -0.340458 | 3.844944 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.834850 | 0.238178 | 0.868593 | 1.304985 | 0.512384 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2022 | -0.024552 | -0.159130 | 2.782375 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.378451 | 0.129999 | 1.265348 | 0.829436 | 0.354271 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2023+ | 0.474999 | -0.340458 | 4.181624 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.203086 | 0.124098 | 0.733801 | 1.410285 | 0.787664 | +| defensive_baseline | Full Sample | 0.163311 | -0.276198 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | 1.000000 | 0.465097 | 0.081736 | -0.104102 | 0.595210 | 0.293529 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS Sample | 0.184469 | -0.254393 | 4.530278 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.568919 | 0.122988 | 0.344425 | 0.826915 | 0.413046 | +| defensive_baseline | 2022 | -0.141182 | -0.171444 | 3.330419 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.196777 | -0.076385 | 0.723842 | 0.192468 | 0.308680 | +| defensive_baseline | 2023+ | 0.307094 | -0.254393 | 4.911097 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.867060 | 0.064774 | 0.169337 | 0.967400 | 0.594750 | +| QQQ | Full Sample | 0.179222 | -0.351187 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS Sample | 0.101948 | -0.348280 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2022 | -0.328892 | -0.348280 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2023+ | 0.282076 | -0.227683 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | + +## Recommendation +- research_recommendation=cash_buffer_branch +- selected_research_default=coherent_cash_buffer_branch +- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default=并行分支 +- reason=the best honest interpretation is still an explicit cash-buffered tech pullback branch, not a standard full-risk offensive branch \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9e6e2b0 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.csv @@ -0,0 +1,17 @@ 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available,cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv20,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=20M,0.78125,0.78125,0.875,0.09375,0.34375,0.9375,0.21875,0.21875,0.588125 +cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv50,cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv50,tech_heavy_pullback,B,base,50M,0.10,10,0.08,0.4,0.1,50000000.0,0.55,0.35,0.6,0.8,0.218457725297436,0.2886347541660592,0.1866864152985317,-0.3293263827636076,-0.18519964548254875,-0.14117708413301444,0.4602406467019047,2.614472111553785,7.373737373737374,10.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.055959595959595945,0.16787878787878785,0.27979797979797977,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""10"": 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data available,cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv20,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=20M,0.78125,0.28125,0.4375,0.6875,0.09375,1.0,0.71875,0.71875,0.576875 +cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv50,cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv50,tech_heavy_pullback,A,tight,50M,0.05,8,0.1,0.4,0.05,50000000.0,0.6,0.4,0.5,0.8,0.22152198762517927,0.30215048563524105,0.20020214676771353,-0.32589391291799963,-0.18132746767047747,-0.11573285450690807,0.4670442420880896,2.8694316484063744,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.0659090909090909,0.19772727272727275,0.32954545454545453,0.47272727272727283,0.5272727272727272,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 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available,cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv20,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=20M,0.28125,0.28125,0.25,0.96875,0.65625,0.125,0.71875,0.96875,0.486875 +cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv20,cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv20,tech_heavy_pullback,B,tight,20M,0.10,10,0.08,0.4,0.1,20000000.0,0.6,0.4,0.5,0.8,0.19069400809964376,0.23911184370255034,0.13716350483502282,-0.3174682429118906,-0.1686941315956646,-0.11660965163800929,0.3752680982088743,2.792731573705179,7.2727272727272725,10.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,0.9999999999999999,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.05242424242424242,0.15727272727272726,0.2621212121212121,0.4757575757575758,0.5242424242424242,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""10"": 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available,cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv20,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=20M,0.28125,0.78125,0.1875,0.3125,0.96875,0.1875,0.21875,0.46875,0.365625 +cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20,cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20,tech_heavy_pullback,A,tight,20M,0.05,8,0.1,0.4,0.05,20000000.0,0.6,0.4,0.5,0.8,0.19595110511000757,0.24488439490156977,0.14293605603404225,-0.30202701932897846,-0.1881895169546457,-0.11573285450690807,0.3832313510057894,3.0528448705179283,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.06553030303030302,0.19659090909090912,0.32765151515151514,0.4757575757575758,0.5242424242424242,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=20M,0.28125,0.78125,0.125,0.375,0.84375,0.0625,0.21875,0.46875,0.335625 diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.md b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..6d2f9c3 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.md @@ -0,0 +1,92 @@ +# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.4 cash buffer branch refinement + +## Current branch default parameters +| strategy | holdings_count | single_name_cap | sector_cap | risk_on | soft_defense | hard_defense | hold_bonus | min_adv20_usd | soft_threshold | hard_threshold | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.800000 | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.050000 | 50000000.000000 | 0.550000 | 0.350000 | + +## Reference objects +| strategy | holdings_count | single_name_cap | sector_cap | risk_on | soft_defense | hard_defense | hold_bonus | min_adv20_usd | soft_threshold | hard_threshold | reference | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| center_current | 12.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 1.000000 | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.050000 | 50000000.000000 | 0.550000 | 0.350000 | | +| qqq_plus_current_default | | | | | | | | | | | frozen offensive research default | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | 10.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.500000 | 1.000000 | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.050000 | 50000000.000000 | 0.550000 | 0.350000 | | + +## Candidate ranking +| strategy | base_shape | regime_variant | adv_bucket | hold_bonus_bucket | holdings_count | single_name_cap | sector_cap | soft_defense_exposure | full_cagr | oos_cagr | oos_cagr_minus_qqq | return_2022 | oos_max_drawdown | annual_turnover | avg_names_held | avg_top3_stock_weight | cash_buffer_refinement_score | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | A | base | 50M | 0.10 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.234811 | 0.340680 | 0.238732 | -0.120121 | -0.191763 | 2.646607 | 5.898990 | 0.209848 | 0.639375 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv20 | B | base | 20M | 0.05 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.224565 | 0.294667 | 0.192719 | -0.156185 | -0.176111 | 2.633875 | 7.272727 | 0.166667 | 0.620625 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv50 | A | tight | 50M | 0.10 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.215696 | 0.301546 | 0.199597 | -0.114680 | -0.181327 | 2.702692 | 5.818182 | 0.197727 | 0.613125 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | A | base | 50M | 0.05 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.240232 | 0.330820 | 0.228872 | -0.120121 | -0.191763 | 2.825473 | 5.898990 | 0.209848 | 0.594375 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv20 | A | base | 20M | 0.10 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.229363 | 0.310629 | 0.208680 | -0.139597 | -0.203626 | 2.607196 | 5.818182 | 0.208333 | 0.588125 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv50 | B | base | 50M | 0.10 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.218458 | 0.288635 | 0.186686 | -0.141177 | -0.185200 | 2.614472 | 7.373737 | 0.167879 | 0.579375 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv20 | B | base | 20M | 0.10 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.210868 | 0.280867 | 0.178919 | -0.156185 | -0.176111 | 2.519885 | 7.272727 | 0.166667 | 0.576875 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv50 | A | tight | 50M | 0.05 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.221522 | 0.302150 | 0.200202 | -0.115733 | -0.181327 | 2.869432 | 5.818182 | 0.197727 | 0.566875 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv50 | B | tight | 50M | 0.10 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.206685 | 0.269983 | 0.168035 | -0.116610 | -0.173932 | 2.704208 | 7.272727 | 0.158182 | 0.546875 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv50 | B | base | 50M | 0.05 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.212203 | 0.284386 | 0.182438 | -0.141177 | -0.185200 | 2.806071 | 7.373737 | 0.167879 | 0.528125 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb05__base__adv20 | A | base | 20M | 0.05 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.224752 | 0.297295 | 0.195347 | -0.139597 | -0.203626 | 2.764841 | 5.818182 | 0.208333 | 0.498125 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv50 | B | tight | 50M | 0.05 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.200039 | 0.264860 | 0.162912 | -0.116610 | -0.173932 | 2.867916 | 7.272727 | 0.158182 | 0.488125 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv20 | B | tight | 20M | 0.05 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.197280 | 0.251928 | 0.149980 | -0.116610 | -0.168694 | 2.907933 | 7.272727 | 0.157273 | 0.486875 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv20 | B | tight | 20M | 0.10 | 10 | 0.080000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.190694 | 0.239112 | 0.137164 | -0.116610 | -0.168694 | 2.792732 | 7.272727 | 0.157273 | 0.471875 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv20 | A | tight | 20M | 0.10 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.191218 | 0.246553 | 0.144604 | -0.114680 | -0.188190 | 2.884590 | 5.818182 | 0.196591 | 0.365625 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20 | A | tight | 20M | 0.05 | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.195951 | 0.244884 | 0.142936 | -0.115733 | -0.188190 | 3.052845 | 5.818182 | 0.196591 | 0.335625 | + +## Deployment consistency +| strategy | avg_names_held | risk_on_avg_names | risk_on_realized_stock_weight | risk_on_fill_rate | underfilled_month_share | avg_top1_stock_weight | avg_top3_stock_weight | avg_top5_stock_weight | avg_safe_haven_weight | share_2022_risk_on | share_2022_soft_defense | share_2022_hard_defense | avg_2022_stock_weight | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 5.898990 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.069949 | 0.209848 | 0.349747 | 0.440404 | 0.000000 | 0.166667 | 0.833333 | 0.100000 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb05__base__adv20 | 5.818182 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.069444 | 0.208333 | 0.347222 | 0.444444 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.050000 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv50 | 5.818182 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.065909 | 0.197727 | 0.329545 | 0.472727 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20 | 5.818182 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.065530 | 0.196591 | 0.327652 | 0.475758 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | 5.898990 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.069949 | 0.209848 | 0.349747 | 0.440404 | 0.000000 | 0.166667 | 0.833333 | 0.100000 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv20 | 5.818182 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.069444 | 0.208333 | 0.347222 | 0.444444 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.050000 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv50 | 5.818182 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.065909 | 0.197727 | 0.329545 | 0.472727 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv20 | 5.818182 | 8.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.065530 | 0.196591 | 0.327652 | 0.475758 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv50 | 7.373737 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.055960 | 0.167879 | 0.279798 | 0.440404 | 0.000000 | 0.166667 | 0.833333 | 0.100000 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv20 | 7.272727 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.055556 | 0.166667 | 0.277778 | 0.444444 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.050000 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv50 | 7.272727 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.052727 | 0.158182 | 0.263636 | 0.472727 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv20 | 7.272727 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.052424 | 0.157273 | 0.262121 | 0.475758 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv50 | 7.373737 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.262626 | 0.055960 | 0.167879 | 0.279798 | 0.440404 | 0.000000 | 0.166667 | 0.833333 | 0.100000 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv20 | 7.272727 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.055556 | 0.166667 | 0.277778 | 0.444444 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.050000 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv50 | 7.272727 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.052727 | 0.158182 | 0.263636 | 0.472727 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | +| cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv20 | 7.272727 | 10.000000 | 0.800000 | 1.000000 | 0.272727 | 0.052424 | 0.157273 | 0.262121 | 0.475758 | 0.000000 | 0.083333 | 0.916667 | 0.041667 | + +## Main comparison (5 bps) +| strategy | period | CAGR | Max Drawdown | Turnover/Year | Average Names Held | risk_on_realized_stock_weight | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | Information Ratio vs QQQ | Up Capture vs QQQ | Down Capture vs QQQ | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | Full Sample | 0.240232 | -0.313897 | 2.825473 | 5.824494 | 0.800000 | 0.542349 | 0.137299 | 0.221126 | 0.687993 | 0.117907 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | OOS Sample | 0.330820 | -0.191763 | 2.969129 | 6.101313 | 0.800000 | 0.502482 | 0.249072 | 0.841106 | 1.000281 | 0.153603 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 2022 | -0.121446 | -0.147348 | 2.074134 | 1.880478 | 0.800000 | 0.140831 | -0.073207 | 0.751258 | -0.001121 | 0.195962 | +| coherent_cash_buffer_branch | 2023+ | 0.511752 | -0.191763 | 3.251804 | 7.401227 | 0.800000 | 0.789775 | 0.232739 | 0.907222 | 1.222021 | 0.079856 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | Full Sample | 0.234811 | -0.308392 | 2.646607 | 5.824494 | 0.800000 | 0.543216 | 0.132754 | 0.201353 | 0.682695 | 0.131911 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | OOS Sample | 0.340680 | -0.191763 | 2.798286 | 6.101313 | 0.800000 | 0.502780 | 0.256477 | 0.874353 | 1.010057 | 0.137830 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | 2022 | -0.121446 | -0.147348 | 2.074134 | 1.880478 | 0.800000 | 0.140831 | -0.073207 | 0.751258 | -0.001121 | 0.195962 | +| cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | 2023+ | 0.526419 | -0.191763 | 3.028339 | 7.401227 | 0.800000 | 0.790174 | 0.242365 | 0.956925 | 1.233962 | 0.036620 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | Full Sample | 0.244121 | -0.406441 | 3.642799 | 7.280617 | 1.000000 | 0.625473 | 0.132851 | 0.255072 | 0.766681 | 0.219637 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | OOS Sample | 0.315371 | -0.210619 | 4.034245 | 7.626642 | 1.000000 | 0.576097 | 0.234898 | 0.777799 | 1.064771 | 0.276009 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | 2022 | -0.161350 | -0.204137 | 2.569903 | 2.350598 | 1.000000 | 0.166435 | -0.106776 | 0.600858 | -0.001121 | 0.259615 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | 2023+ | 0.510073 | -0.210619 | 4.493962 | 9.251534 | 1.000000 | 0.901973 | 0.209074 | 0.870614 | 1.300791 | 0.304551 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | Full Sample | 0.241651 | -0.323779 | 3.440286 | 9.465767 | 0.960000 | 0.680133 | 0.126004 | 0.259556 | 0.803347 | 0.303760 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | OOS Sample | 0.334010 | -0.323779 | 3.706698 | 10.570356 | 0.960000 | 0.744797 | 0.241211 | 0.836495 | 1.200446 | 0.399330 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2022 | -0.015491 | -0.163557 | 2.893670 | 5.928287 | 0.960000 | 0.208618 | 0.068668 | 1.170391 | 0.228046 | 0.108972 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | 2023+ | 0.464792 | -0.323779 | 3.966892 | 12.000000 | 0.960000 | 1.176539 | 0.121422 | 0.714971 | 1.415765 | 0.904850 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | Full Sample | 0.268277 | -0.408751 | 3.532852 | 10.322083 | 1.000000 | 0.828586 | 0.127691 | 0.379498 | 0.936444 | 0.410912 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | OOS Sample | 0.338226 | -0.340458 | 3.844944 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.834849 | 0.238178 | 0.868593 | 1.304985 | 0.512384 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2022 | -0.024552 | -0.159130 | 2.782375 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.378451 | 0.129999 | 1.265346 | 0.829436 | 0.354271 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2023+ | 0.474999 | -0.340458 | 4.181624 | 12.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.203085 | 0.124098 | 0.733802 | 1.410286 | 0.787664 | +| defensive_baseline | Full Sample | 0.163311 | -0.276198 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | 1.000000 | 0.465097 | 0.081736 | -0.104102 | 0.595210 | 0.293529 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS Sample | 0.184469 | -0.254393 | 4.530278 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.568918 | 0.122988 | 0.344425 | 0.826915 | 0.413046 | +| defensive_baseline | 2022 | -0.141182 | -0.171444 | 3.330419 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.196777 | -0.076385 | 0.723840 | 0.192468 | 0.308680 | +| defensive_baseline | 2023+ | 0.307094 | -0.254393 | 4.911097 | 24.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.867060 | 0.064774 | 0.169338 | 0.967400 | 0.594750 | +| QQQ | Full Sample | 0.179222 | -0.351187 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS Sample | 0.101948 | -0.348280 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2022 | -0.328892 | -0.348280 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | 2023+ | 0.282076 | -0.227683 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | -0.000000 | | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | + +## Recommendation +- research_recommendation=cash_buffer_branch_default +- selected_refined_default=cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 +- keep_parallel_branch=True +- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default=并行分支 +- reason=a refined honest cash-buffer candidate is strong enough to act as the branch default, but the spec is not fully frozen yet \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_deployment_consistency.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_deployment_consistency.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..479e6ef --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_deployment_consistency.csv @@ -0,0 +1,17 @@ +strategy,avg_names_held,risk_on_avg_names,risk_on_target_stock_weight,risk_on_realized_stock_weight,risk_on_fill_rate,soft_defense_realized_stock_weight,hard_defense_realized_stock_weight,underfilled_month_share,avg_top1_stock_weight,avg_top3_stock_weight,avg_top5_stock_weight,avg_safe_haven_weight,avg_theoretical_stock_max,risk_on_geometry_feasible_share,selected_count_distribution_json,dominant_underfill_reason,share_2022_risk_on,share_2022_soft_defense,share_2022_hard_defense,avg_2022_stock_weight,avg_2022_safe_haven_weight,target_names,realized_names,target_stock_weight,realized_stock_weight,names_alignment_score,stock_alignment_score,deployment_honesty_score,family,universe,normalization,normalization_label,min_adv20_usd,leadership_filter,sector_whitelist,symbol_whitelist,score_template,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,breadth_symbols,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,notes,candidate_label,config_name,risk_on_target_exposure,soft_threshold,hard_threshold,geometry_note,base_shape,regime_variant,adv_bucket,hold_bonus_bucket +coherent_cash_buffer_branch,5.898989898989899,8.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.06994949494949494,0.2098484848484849,0.34974747474747475,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.16666666666666666,0.8333333333333334,0.09999999999999999,0.9,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,coherent_cash_buffer_branch,coherent_cash_buffer_branch,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=50M,A,base,50M,0.05 +cash_buffer_a__hb05__base__adv20,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.06944444444444443,0.2083333333333334,0.3472222222222222,0.4444444444444444,0.5555555555555555,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.049999999999999996,0.9500000000000001,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb05__base__adv20,cash_buffer_a__hb05__base__adv20,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=20M,A,base,20M,0.05 +cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv50,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.0659090909090909,0.19772727272727275,0.32954545454545453,0.47272727272727283,0.5272727272727272,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv50,cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv50,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=50M,A,tight,50M,0.05 +cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.06553030303030302,0.19659090909090912,0.32765151515151514,0.4757575757575758,0.5242424242424242,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20,cash_buffer_a__hb05__tight__adv20,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=20M,A,tight,20M,0.05 +cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50,5.898989898989899,8.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.06994949494949494,0.2098484848484849,0.34974747474747475,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""8"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.16666666666666666,0.8333333333333334,0.09999999999999999,0.9,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50,cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=50M,A,base,50M,0.10 +cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv20,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.06944444444444443,0.2083333333333334,0.3472222222222222,0.4444444444444444,0.5555555555555555,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.049999999999999996,0.9500000000000001,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv20,cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv20,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=20M,A,base,20M,0.10 +cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv50,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.0659090909090909,0.19772727272727275,0.32954545454545453,0.47272727272727283,0.5272727272727272,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv50,cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv50,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=50M,A,tight,50M,0.10 +cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv20,5.818181818181818,8.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.06553030303030302,0.19659090909090912,0.32765151515151514,0.4757575757575758,0.5242424242424242,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""8"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,8.0,8.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,8,0.1,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv20,cash_buffer_a__hb10__tight__adv20,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch A: 8 names / 10% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=20M,A,tight,20M,0.10 +cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv50,7.373737373737374,10.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.055959595959595945,0.16787878787878785,0.27979797979797977,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""10"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.16666666666666666,0.8333333333333334,0.10000000000000002,0.9,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv50,cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv50,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=50M,B,base,50M,0.05 +cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv20,7.2727272727272725,10.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.055555555555555546,0.16666666666666666,0.27777777777777773,0.4444444444444444,0.5555555555555555,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""10"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.05000000000000001,0.9500000000000001,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv20,cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv20,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=20M,B,base,20M,0.05 +cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv50,7.2727272727272725,10.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,0.9999999999999999,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.05272727272727273,0.15818181818181817,0.2636363636363636,0.47272727272727283,0.5272727272727272,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""10"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv50,cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv50,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=50M,B,tight,50M,0.05 +cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv20,7.2727272727272725,10.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,0.9999999999999999,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.05242424242424242,0.15727272727272726,0.2621212121212121,0.4757575757575758,0.5242424242424242,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""10"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv20,cash_buffer_b__hb05__tight__adv20,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.05 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=20M,B,tight,20M,0.05 +cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv50,7.373737373737374,10.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.26262626262626265,0.055959595959595945,0.16787878787878785,0.27979797979797977,0.4404040404040404,0.5595959595959595,1.0,"{""0"": 0.26262626262626265, ""10"": 0.7373737373737373}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.16666666666666666,0.8333333333333334,0.10000000000000002,0.9,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv50,cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv50,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=50M,B,base,50M,0.10 +cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv20,7.2727272727272725,10.0,0.7999999999999998,0.7999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,0.5999999999999999,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.055555555555555546,0.16666666666666666,0.27777777777777773,0.4444444444444444,0.5555555555555555,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""10"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.05000000000000001,0.9500000000000001,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999998,1.0,0.9999999999999998,0.9999999999999999,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.6,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv20,cash_buffer_b__hb10__base__adv20,0.8,0.55,0.35,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.55/0.35 / soft_defense=0.60 / adv20=20M,B,base,20M,0.10 +cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv50,7.2727272727272725,10.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,0.9999999999999999,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.05272727272727273,0.15818181818181817,0.2636363636363636,0.47272727272727283,0.5272727272727272,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""10"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,50000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv50,cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv50,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=50M,B,tight,50M,0.10 +cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv20,7.2727272727272725,10.0,0.7999999999999997,0.7999999999999997,0.9999999999999999,0.5,0.0,0.2727272727272727,0.05242424242424242,0.15727272727272726,0.2621212121212121,0.4757575757575758,0.5242424242424242,1.0,"{""0"": 0.2727272727272727, ""10"": 0.7272727272727273}",hard_defense_zero_stock,0.0,0.08333333333333333,0.9166666666666666,0.041666666666666664,0.9583333333333334,10.0,10.0,0.8,0.7999999999999997,1.0,0.9999999999999996,0.9999999999999998,tech_heavy_pullback,tech_heavy,universe,universe_cross_sectional,20000000.0,False,"[""Information Technology"", ""Communication""]",[],balanced_pullback,10,0.08,0.4,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,[],0.5,0.0,Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available,cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv20,cash_buffer_b__hb10__tight__adv20,0.8,0.6,0.4,cash-buffer branch B: 10 names / 8% single cap / 40% sector cap / 80% risk_on / hold_bonus=0.10 / soft-hard=0.60/0.40 / soft_defense=0.50 / adv20=20M,B,tight,20M,0.10 diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_recommendation.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..91b9e60 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_4_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,28 @@ +{ + "current_default": "coherent_cash_buffer_branch", + "selected_refined_default": "cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50", + "full_deployment_reference": "coherent_full_deployment_branch", + "research_recommendation": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "keep_parallel_branch": true, + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": "并行分支", + "reason": "a refined honest cash-buffer candidate is strong enough to act as the branch default, but the spec is not fully frozen yet", + "checks": { + "best_is_current_default": false, + "performance_ok": true, + "honest_ok": true, + "occupancy_ok": false, + "concentration_ok": true, + "stable_margin": false, + "no_material_gain_over_current": true, + "regime_micro_tuning_helped_2022": false, + "selected_oos_cagr_minus_qqq": 0.23873167970694564, + "selected_2022": -0.12012100392137592, + "selected_oos_max_drawdown": -0.19176289938838953, + "selected_annual_turnover": 2.6466073207171315, + "selected_avg_names_held": 5.898989898989899, + "selected_avg_top3_stock_weight": 0.2098484848484849, + "selected_risk_on_fill_rate": 1.0, + "selected_deployment_honesty_score": 0.9999999999999999, + "qqq_plus_oos_cagr": 0.3340103912486361 + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_consistency_checks.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_consistency_checks.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f33d4e8 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_consistency_checks.csv @@ -0,0 +1,10 @@ +check,passed,detail +geometry_capacity_matches_target,True,"theoretical_capacity=0.8000, risk_on_target=0.8000" +risk_on_realized_matches_target,True,"realized=0.8000, target=0.8000" +soft_defense_realized_matches_target,True,"realized=0.6000, target=0.6000" +hard_defense_realized_zero,True,"realized=0.0000, target=0.0000" +config_name_matches_canonical_name,True,"config_name=cash_buffer_branch_default, canonical_name=cash_buffer_branch_default" +previous_candidate_mapping_preserved,True,previous_candidate_name=cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 +canonical_metrics_match_previous_candidate,True,"canonical_oos=0.340680, prev_oos=0.340680; canonical_2022=-0.120121, prev_2022=-0.120121" +recommendation_matches_branch_default_role,True,recommendation=cash_buffer_branch_default +manifest_role_matches_default_branch,True,manifest_role=cash-buffered parallel branch diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.csv b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..ef67d2f --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.csv @@ -0,0 +1,6 @@ +strategy,role,full_cagr,oos_cagr,oos_cagr_minus_qqq,oos_max_drawdown,return_2022,annual_turnover,avg_names_held,risk_on_realized_stock_weight,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq +cash_buffer_branch_default,cash-buffered parallel branch,0.2348114426770309,0.34068001857447316,0.23873167970694698,-0.19176289938838953,-0.12012100392137592,2.6466073207171315,5.898989898989899,0.7999999999999998,0.5027805307503466,0.25647649401833045,0.8743531809818416 +qqq_plus_current_default,main offensive default,0.2416506149571933,0.3340103912486361,0.23206205238110988,-0.3237786750219295,-0.015312392803116026,3.4402863545816738,9.465766634522662,0.96,0.7447972976980726,0.2412113087334444,0.8364950943114928 +coherent_full_deployment_branch,full-deployment tech pullback reference,0.2441213592871787,0.3153714302805344,0.2134230914130082,-0.2106193998208613,-0.15963157059653155,3.6427988047808766,7.373737373737374,1.0,0.576097006927484,0.23489758747442563,0.7777996924145466 +russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive base,0.16331062031314847,0.18446943665750348,0.0825210977899773,-0.2543933164893194,-0.13965933707208145,3.9264577108233722,20.644165863066537,1.0,0.5689185619374639,0.12298815318475183,0.3444248571875299 +QQQ,benchmark reference,0.17922226974882816,0.10194833886752619,0.0,-0.3482797761653381,-0.3257698957488515,0.0,1.0,1.0,1.0,0.0, diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.md b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..2a4834a --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.md @@ -0,0 +1,42 @@ +# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.5 freeze review and branch packaging + +## Canonical branch default +| role | status | strategy | branch_name | name | previous_candidate_name | family | universe | normalization | min_adv20_usd | sector_whitelist | symbol_whitelist | notes | score_template | holdings_count | single_name_cap | sector_cap | hold_bonus | regime | benchmark_symbol | breadth_mode | breadth_symbols | breadth_thresholds | exposures | residual_proxy | cost_assumption_bps_one_way | branch_role | canonicalized_from | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| cash_buffer_branch_default | research_only | growth_pullback_systematic_v1 | cash_buffer_branch | cash_buffer_branch_default | cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | tech_heavy_pullback | tech_heavy | universe_cross_sectional | 50000000.000000 | ["Information Technology", "Communication"] | [] | Sector proxy only: Information Technology + Communication; no sub-industry data available | balanced_pullback | 8 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.100000 | qqq_breadth | QQQ | broad | [] | {"hard": 0.35, "soft": 0.55} | {"hard_defense": 0.0, "risk_on": 0.8, "soft_defense": 0.6} | simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ | 5.000000 | cash-buffered parallel branch | growth_pullback_systematic_v1.4 cash_buffer_refinement | + +## Final role table +| strategy | role | full_cagr | oos_cagr | oos_cagr_minus_qqq | oos_max_drawdown | return_2022 | annual_turnover | avg_names_held | risk_on_realized_stock_weight | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | information_ratio_vs_qqq | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| cash_buffer_branch_default | cash-buffered parallel branch | 0.234811 | 0.340680 | 0.238732 | -0.191763 | -0.120121 | 2.646607 | 5.898990 | 0.800000 | 0.502781 | 0.256476 | 0.874353 | +| qqq_plus_current_default | main offensive default | 0.241651 | 0.334010 | 0.232062 | -0.323779 | -0.015312 | 3.440286 | 9.465767 | 0.960000 | 0.744797 | 0.241211 | 0.836495 | +| coherent_full_deployment_branch | full-deployment tech pullback reference | 0.244121 | 0.315371 | 0.213423 | -0.210619 | -0.159632 | 3.642799 | 7.373737 | 1.000000 | 0.576097 | 0.234898 | 0.777800 | +| russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive | defensive base | 0.163311 | 0.184469 | 0.082521 | -0.254393 | -0.139659 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | 1.000000 | 0.568919 | 0.122988 | 0.344425 | +| QQQ | benchmark reference | 0.179222 | 0.101948 | 0.000000 | -0.348280 | -0.325770 | 0.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 0.000000 | | + +## Consistency checks +| check | passed | detail | +| --- | --- | --- | +| geometry_capacity_matches_target | True | theoretical_capacity=0.8000, risk_on_target=0.8000 | +| risk_on_realized_matches_target | True | realized=0.8000, target=0.8000 | +| soft_defense_realized_matches_target | True | realized=0.6000, target=0.6000 | +| hard_defense_realized_zero | True | realized=0.0000, target=0.0000 | +| config_name_matches_canonical_name | True | config_name=cash_buffer_branch_default, canonical_name=cash_buffer_branch_default | +| previous_candidate_mapping_preserved | True | previous_candidate_name=cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | +| canonical_metrics_match_previous_candidate | True | canonical_oos=0.340680, prev_oos=0.340680; canonical_2022=-0.120121, prev_2022=-0.120121 | +| recommendation_matches_branch_default_role | True | recommendation=cash_buffer_branch_default | +| manifest_role_matches_default_branch | True | manifest_role=cash-buffered parallel branch | + +## Freeze review +- recommendation=cash_buffer_branch_default +- previous_candidate_name=cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 +- branch_name=cash_buffer_branch_default +- role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default=并行分支 +- keep_parallel_branch=True +- reason=canonical naming and branch role are now clear, but avg names / 2022 profile / recent micro-adjustment mean it should stop at default, not frozen +- frozen_blockers=average_names_held_still_low, 2022_still_not_clean_enough, just_canonicalized_from_small_hold_bonus_micro_adjustment + +## Manifest summary +| branch_name | role | previous_candidate_name | benchmark | intended_use | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| cash_buffer_branch_default | cash-buffered parallel branch | cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50 | QQQ | Research-only parallel stock branch for concentrated tech leaders bought on controlled pullbacks with an explicit 20% cash/BOXX buffer in risk-on. | \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_recommendation.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..0daf6f8 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_v1_5_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,15 @@ +{ + "research_recommendation": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "branch_name": "cash_buffer_branch_default", + "previous_candidate_name": "cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50", + "reason": "canonical naming and branch role are now clear, but avg names / 2022 profile / recent micro-adjustment mean it should stop at default, not frozen", + "frozen_blockers": [ + "average_names_held_still_low", + "2022_still_not_clean_enough", + "just_canonicalized_from_small_hold_bonus_micro_adjustment" + ], + "checks_pass": true, + "performance_ok": true, + "keep_parallel_branch": true, + "role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default": "并行分支" +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/growth_pullback_workspace_mapping.json b/research/results/growth_pullback_workspace_mapping.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..9e4cc50 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/growth_pullback_workspace_mapping.json @@ -0,0 +1,15 @@ +{ + "qqq_plus_suite": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py", + "qqq_plus_default_config": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json", + "qqq_plus_aggressive_config": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/configs/qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_aggressive.json", + "defensive_strategy_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py", + "defensive_backtest_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies/backtests/russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive.py", + "interactivebrokers_research_dir": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research", + "us_equity_strategies_read_only_reference": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies", + "quant_platform_kit_shared_read_only": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/QuantPlatformKit/src/quant_platform_kit", + "new_research_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py", + "avoided_repos": [ + "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/BinancePlatform", + "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/CryptoLeaderRotation" + ] +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_attribution.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_attribution.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..fad5b69 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_attribution.csv @@ -0,0 +1,5 @@ +strategy,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,turnover,average_names_held,avg_sector_weights_json,active_share_vs_qqq 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Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4241265156225213,0.33648495585783333,-0.3235799419986797,0.2990077864716931,1.1234625645574188,1.4857828333527416,1.0398819957116079,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7448225237790773,0.8439634287434008,1.203880330903692,0.3961854949622712,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.7448225237790773,0.24306742874648618,0.25031249223159807,0.8439634287434008,1.203880330903692,0.3961854949622712,0.16795216126720344,0.16825988312290752,0.16660212824515716,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}" +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.013910946960355441,-0.014073560659338846,-0.16355701046128335,0.15759350625442667,-0.010459882275372874,-0.011985569790295612,-0.08604682012496365,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2086706178210406,1.175285798984538,0.22977657382183383,0.10739927972737544,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.2086706178210406,0.07012179228065828,0.29124127271201833,1.175285798984538,0.22977657382183383,0.10739927972737544,,,,,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information 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+final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.472431323588437,0.4677035721380778,-0.3235799419986798,0.3303172050131003,1.3317141308500173,1.863473896064528,1.4454034735564234,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1765337313892839,0.7234537531289856,1.41957544457218,0.8989696408421203,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,1.1765337313892839,0.12341260508091047,0.23622569396746929,0.7234537531289856,1.41957544457218,0.8989696408421203,0.14205273921389322,0.14262533477695313,0.16660212824515824,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}" +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.958779781250848,0.2416506149571933,-0.3237786750219297,0.2852530615979183,0.9038399819654638,1.0872431256196995,0.7463450609921305,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.680132606009888,0.25955550200999655,0.8033469054684741,0.3037603871032996,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.680132606009888,0.12600398289309162,0.24661100128083882,0.25955550200999655,0.8033469054684741,0.3037603871032996,0.09996091898729645,0.09919083397527892,0.16463740854745343,0.9529946929492039,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}" +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3973026290745523,0.3340103912486361,-0.3237786750219295,0.29901336327568034,1.117223600509941,1.4774266208748699,1.0316009577406962,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7447972128382271,0.8364949185011566,1.2004465692291044,0.399329891990792,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.7447972128382271,0.24121131595526807,0.2503246777441277,0.8364949185011566,1.2004465692291044,0.399329891990792,0.1661333948594023,0.1664666841187142,0.1646374085474537,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}" +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015312392803116026,-0.015491259822233205,-0.16355701046128357,0.15754305309699587,-0.019576278822279154,-0.02227001164696958,-0.09471474061883897,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20861774033233954,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.20861774033233954,0.0686679083785612,0.29123266808728493,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,,,,,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}" +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4501324117865915,0.46479200166957213,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303319113044961,1.3256314537040514,1.8549971219723533,1.435523823914876,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.176538433977541,0.7149709356914971,1.4157645027996586,0.9048494674994846,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,1.176538433977541,0.12142162234157876,0.23624547329534554,0.7149709356914971,1.4157645027996586,0.9048494674994846,0.1401495226546826,0.14070038350740227,0.164637408547455,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.202123877371508,0.2705153219242542,-0.4079876801425707,0.315373543661988,0.9197099147663343,1.1312736873388658,0.6630477710251521,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8286092851931682,0.3866032449868936,0.9398870778181849,0.40823650911327297,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.8286092851931682,0.1294561945497028,0.2489329730084562,0.3866032449868936,0.9398870778181849,0.40823650911327297,0.09117204713349882,0.0840334130723704,0.16859326751364787,0.9234268385140257,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4712698882927118,0.34079836506540406,-0.3401769871282664,0.3151829903943289,1.092021393525367,1.5246113035386382,1.0018266313144322,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348763752148067,0.8763055183927224,1.3086323518583869,0.5092770100080566,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.8348763752148067,0.24010297700357047,0.2505029334717588,0.8763055183927224,1.3086323518583869,0.5092770100080566,0.13667140765768035,0.13744237594985492,0.16859326751364817,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.022933307842714634,-0.023200142037817506,-0.15912984560159604,0.22090278072860353,0.0054983942422617916,0.007844480833340354,-0.14579378211616145,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.37851984507573966,1.270435469935437,0.8311120786927835,0.352776521618729,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.37851984507573966,0.1314027796230581,0.27168223822859827,1.270435469935437,0.8311120786927835,0.352776521618729,,,,,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5527461084856062,0.47808432075925467,-0.3401769871282666,0.3387005561881389,1.3280566172180337,1.8612173765027051,1.405398774312117,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030682284684404,0.7424264461854106,1.414369331980523,0.78174834081796,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,1.2030682284684404,0.12620052333899076,0.24355785160617088,0.7424264461854106,1.414369331980523,0.78174834081796,0.12591133659306425,0.1332975518915957,0.16859326751364928,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.09816573134462,0.26827720022116486,-0.40875068693250227,0.3153671719476812,0.9141162663486204,1.1244027562297374,0.6563345550180468,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.828585573363817,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.828585573363817,0.12769087702016074,0.2489303347618909,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,0.08929378113430118,0.08199436501788054,0.16654229449683122,0.9226686884003032,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4430992657043165,0.3382263033129467,-0.34045794622990344,0.3151815247357876,1.0859074212568376,1.5161360085041025,0.993445173062726,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348493203796685,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.8348493203796685,0.23817773828313385,0.2505069895043087,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,0.1347950119176551,0.13548890107725847,0.16654229449683153,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.024269527565687454,-0.02455171278002377,-0.15912984560159582,0.22087267064204394,-0.0007509643882581444,-0.0010714575919058816,-0.15428729090514215,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3784507077192514,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.3784507077192514,0.1299985224232407,0.27168395665135825,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,,,,,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.528740121351604,0.47499868834075887,-0.3404579462299032,0.33870570636478015,1.3218439582651151,1.8526330083474223,1.3951758024763607,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030852224046247,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,1.2030852224046247,0.12409852883189167,0.24356226476763881,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,0.1239143513217766,0.1312848431963202,0.16654229449683275,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}" +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,Full Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.538178055078061,0.16559516064907287,-0.2730484175464801,0.201047263416303,0.8646969497235207,1.0403792239790637,0.6064681206983525,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.46519403397470116,-0.09477770673025981,0.5987938135243703,0.2902658604451064,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.46519403397470116,0.08368389483648302,0.21069220889795975,-0.09477770673025981,0.5987938135243703,0.2902658604451064,0.057673913895471246,0.06338813126737328,0.10933536161969648,0.9203942380591357,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,OOS Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.071043284702037,0.18715779728000648,-0.25408275519467394,0.21895931198687688,0.895998873842317,1.1636566229106875,0.7366017309463183,4.530278225806452,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.5689733118815895,0.35578300589721534,0.8310307219113183,0.4092760231754166,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.5689733118815895,0.1252536983321034,0.2010153109087827,0.35578300589721534,0.8310307219113183,0.4092760231754166,0.0805418280777839,0.07527559483993654,0.10933536161969667,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,2022,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13824001776887718,-0.13974811002293708,-0.17144434318856605,0.11751977166385677,-1.211817355665259,-1.3557589284939886,-0.8151223156382167,3.3304189750692514,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.1968545582502936,0.7299157151669845,0.1938551786941065,0.30669321002426575,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.1968545582502936,-0.07470631433241989,0.27609714148601233,0.7299157151669845,0.1938551786941065,0.30669321002426575,,,,,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,2023+,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.403271592329042,0.3103099651215735,-0.25408275519467394,0.24139556176087082,1.2447110572520121,1.6850627853586875,1.2212948686101077,4.911097046413501,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8670848272461176,0.18374695563276253,0.9721200568223506,0.5878753100222673,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.8670848272461176,0.06723081592928512,0.17131168293022417,0.18374695563276253,0.9721200568223506,0.5878753100222673,0.0788784509628732,0.08266611092547863,0.1093353616196975,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,Full Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.48139574393527,0.16331062031314847,-0.2761975873275607,0.20104565807249608,0.8549194866751278,1.0286443089448685,0.5912818496834578,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.4650971394129207,-0.10410189148245973,0.5952102340510436,0.2935293537826062,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.4650971394129207,0.08173556971869761,0.21071691111120908,-0.10410189148245973,0.5952102340510436,0.2935293537826062,0.055602419801362865,0.06138367772357121,0.10694880553831143,0.9143290371493555,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,OOS Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0512136613648755,0.18446943665750348,-0.2543933164893194,0.21897443101811265,0.8855596641926721,1.1503033015067359,0.7251347606266549,4.530278225806452,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.5689186019275582,0.34442483614327235,0.8269150562915084,0.41304589507671713,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.5689186019275582,0.12298814563447615,0.20104664623934565,0.34442483614327235,0.8269150562915084,0.41304589507671713,0.07833078402307643,0.07317113608078851,0.10694880553831161,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,2022,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13965933707208145,-0.14118161178774558,-0.17144434318856616,0.11753290830641766,-1.22574087079287,-1.371223647029373,-0.8234836400082587,3.3304189750692514,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.1967768367332438,0.7238402661432135,0.19246784304655362,0.3086800951374617,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.1967768367332438,-0.07638543632023233,0.2761317121939857,0.7238402661432135,0.19246784304655362,0.3086800951374617,,,,,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,2023+,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3841877406842245,0.3070940420390593,-0.2543933164893192,0.24141291820070146,1.2344178357685558,1.6712222513704722,1.207162382553996,4.911097046413501,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.867059937521871,0.16933799459973709,0.967400259004905,0.5947494072711766,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.867059937521871,0.06477419812592226,0.17134186210188698,0.16933799459973709,0.967400259004905,0.5947494072711766,0.07656616530732181,0.08038510143060026,0.10694880553831246,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666653,,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,Full Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8940989094927816,0.1792222552238001,-0.35118723599276813,0.2388467282049047,0.8114571267869678,1.0593469416462555,0.510332486080134,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0000000000000002,-3.812130507824736e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.9565997843477607e-16,-3.0054084221298183e-16,-1.1201976846120232e-15,0.012130401819560273,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,OOS Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.509796264478577,0.10194835932006052,-0.3482798151717964,0.23373063013952572,0.533389506273177,0.7611634213814743,0.2927196893962182,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-6.592395439831089e-16,-7.103692634125025e-16,-9.56266316132215e-16,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,2022,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3257698426438349,-0.3288914717162824,-0.3482798151717964,0.32086102146109985,-1.071928711855394,-1.7749071078768446,-0.9443311308582432,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,2023+,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2392891329555642,0.2820758070709475,-0.22768310492842736,0.19848692172228272,1.3552012513395006,1.9271438034821815,1.2388965231285765,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.642919299551295e-17,-5.4643789493269423e-17,-5.4643789493269423e-17,0.06666666666666667,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,Full Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8940989094927816,0.1792222552238001,-0.35118723599276813,0.2388467282049047,0.8114571267869678,1.0593469416462555,0.510332486080134,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0000000000000002,-3.812130507824736e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.9565997843477607e-16,-3.0054084221298183e-16,-1.1201976846120232e-15,0.012130401819560273,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,OOS Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.509796264478577,0.10194835932006052,-0.3482798151717964,0.23373063013952572,0.533389506273177,0.7611634213814743,0.2927196893962182,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-6.592395439831089e-16,-7.103692634125025e-16,-9.56266316132215e-16,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,2022,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3257698426438349,-0.3288914717162824,-0.3482798151717964,0.32086102146109985,-1.071928711855394,-1.7749071078768446,-0.9443311308582432,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,2023+,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2392891329555642,0.2820758070709475,-0.22768310492842736,0.19848692172228272,1.3552012513395006,1.9271438034821815,1.2388965231285765,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257698426438349,0.2820758070709475,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-3.642919299551295e-17,-5.4643789493269423e-17,-5.4643789493269423e-17,0.06666666666666667,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{} diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_plateau.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_plateau.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..dba995a --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_plateau.csv @@ -0,0 +1,97 @@ +scope,dimension,value,neighborhood,count,total,share +overall,all,all,top_decile_full_cagr,23,216,0.10648148148148148 +axis,universe_filter,leadership_liquid,top_decile_full_cagr,21,108,0.19444444444444445 +axis,universe_filter,liquid_50m,top_decile_full_cagr,2,108,0.018518518518518517 +axis,group_normalization,sector,top_decile_full_cagr,0,108,0.0 +axis,group_normalization,universe,top_decile_full_cagr,23,108,0.21296296296296297 +axis,holdings_count,12,top_decile_full_cagr,23,108,0.21296296296296297 +axis,holdings_count,16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,108,0.0 +axis,single_name_cap,0.08,top_decile_full_cagr,5,72,0.06944444444444445 +axis,single_name_cap,0.09,top_decile_full_cagr,9,72,0.125 +axis,single_name_cap,0.1,top_decile_full_cagr,9,72,0.125 +axis,sector_cap,0.25,top_decile_full_cagr,4,72,0.05555555555555555 +axis,sector_cap,0.3,top_decile_full_cagr,8,72,0.1111111111111111 +axis,sector_cap,0.35,top_decile_full_cagr,11,72,0.1527777777777778 +axis,hold_bonus,0.05,top_decile_full_cagr,10,72,0.1388888888888889 +axis,hold_bonus,0.1,top_decile_full_cagr,5,72,0.06944444444444445 +axis,hold_bonus,0.15,top_decile_full_cagr,8,72,0.1111111111111111 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 12,top_decile_full_cagr,21,27,0.7777777777777778 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 12,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | universe | 12,top_decile_full_cagr,2,27,0.07407407407407407 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | universe | 16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +overall,all,all,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,18,216,0.08333333333333333 +axis,universe_filter,leadership_liquid,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,16,108,0.14814814814814814 +axis,universe_filter,liquid_50m,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,2,108,0.018518518518518517 +axis,group_normalization,sector,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,108,0.0 +axis,group_normalization,universe,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,18,108,0.16666666666666666 +axis,holdings_count,12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,18,108,0.16666666666666666 +axis,holdings_count,16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,108,0.0 +axis,single_name_cap,0.08,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,2,72,0.027777777777777776 +axis,single_name_cap,0.09,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,8,72,0.1111111111111111 +axis,single_name_cap,0.1,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,8,72,0.1111111111111111 +axis,sector_cap,0.25,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,4,72,0.05555555555555555 +axis,sector_cap,0.3,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,4,72,0.05555555555555555 +axis,sector_cap,0.35,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,10,72,0.1388888888888889 +axis,hold_bonus,0.05,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,9,72,0.125 +axis,hold_bonus,0.1,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,3,72,0.041666666666666664 +axis,hold_bonus,0.15,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,6,72,0.08333333333333333 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,16,27,0.5925925925925926 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | universe | 12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,2,27,0.07407407407407407 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | universe | 16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +overall,all,all,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,35,216,0.16203703703703703 +axis,universe_filter,leadership_liquid,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,26,108,0.24074074074074073 +axis,universe_filter,liquid_50m,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,9,108,0.08333333333333333 +axis,group_normalization,sector,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,108,0.0 +axis,group_normalization,universe,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,35,108,0.32407407407407407 +axis,holdings_count,12,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,35,108,0.32407407407407407 +axis,holdings_count,16,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,108,0.0 +axis,single_name_cap,0.08,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,9,72,0.125 +axis,single_name_cap,0.09,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,13,72,0.18055555555555555 +axis,single_name_cap,0.1,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,13,72,0.18055555555555555 +axis,sector_cap,0.25,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,10,72,0.1388888888888889 +axis,sector_cap,0.3,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,9,72,0.125 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12,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 16,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | universe | 12,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,9,27,0.3333333333333333 +subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | universe | 16,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 12,top_decile_full_cagr,21,27,0.7777777777777778 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,16,27,0.5925925925925926 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 12,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,26,27,0.9629629629629629 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,leadership_liquid | universe | 16,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 12,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 12,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 12,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 16,top_decile_full_cagr,0,27,0.0 +candidate_subspace,universe_filter+group_normalization+holdings_count,liquid_50m | sector | 16,within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 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16,within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive,0,27,0.0 diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_recommendation.json b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_recommendation.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..7e6adc2 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_recommendation.json @@ -0,0 +1,31 @@ +{ + "original_gate_previous_round": { + "recommendation": "no_shadow_tracking", + "reason": "fails at least one promotion gate", + "oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio": 1.0, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps": 0.1078005496113359, + "oos_max_drawdown": -0.2995329938075524, + "annual_turnover": 3.57125249003984, + "plateau_200bps_share": 0.18518518518518517, + "selected_oos_config": "grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15" + }, + "original_gate_v1_1_local_grid": { + "recommendation": "no_shadow_tracking", + "oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio": 1.0, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps": 0.23206203192857555, + "oos_max_drawdown": -0.3237786750219295, + "annual_turnover": 3.4402863545816738, + "plateau_200bps_share": 0.16203703703703703, + "thresholds": { + "oos_positive_alpha_ratio_min": 0.6, + "oos_cagr_not_below_qqq": true, + "oos_max_drawdown_floor": -0.4, + "annual_turnover_cap": 5.0, + "plateau_200bps_share_min": 0.2 + } + }, + "v1_1_recommendation": "not_ready", + "reason": "edge exists but spec-lock / platform width is still insufficient", + "default_frozen_spec": "v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10", + "aggressive_alt_spec": "v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10" +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_selection_score.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_selection_score.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..d312780 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_selection_score.csv @@ -0,0 +1,217 @@ 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0.09511784511784513, ""Health Care"": 0.09478114478114477, ""Materials"": 0.04343434343434342, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424243, ""Communication"": 0.04208754208754208, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0414141414141414, ""Energy"": 0.029461279461279466, ""Real Estate"": 0.0265993265993266}",0.0,0.0,0.0,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,0.5,0.13586569835894857,0.15046296296296297,0.5231481481481481,0.3773148148148148,0.2569444444444444,0.3912037037037037,0.1597222222222222,0.08101851851851852,0.5,0.30141203703703706,210,131,131,True,,,,,True +v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,4.031523549585775,0.21644239921246444,-0.38038083852453075,0.2848425762760288,0.8329114284455121,0.9966362962172336,0.5690149904817198,0.18971046558130303,0.7516827361738478,0.22895287902781783,0.828588245640469,0.4465419877746951,0.9241849886277483,10.322082931533268,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,1.4450604246934775,0.23452123475846598,-0.34840665932790493,0.28297660419212595,0.889423715010956,1.1802084772368313,0.6731250063097817,0.5543310544224738,0.7523605525457899,0.2291349837562985,1.101606981424678,0.5978116480695835,12.0,0.11966934008796423,0.1226273454371993,0.09428063843495293,1.0,3.6258217131474098,0.299,3.6122448979591835,61.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16464646464646465, ""Industrials"": 0.12373737373737374, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Health Care"": 0.09478114478114477, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0942760942760943, ""Materials"": 0.04511784511784511, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424243, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04057239057239057, ""Energy"": 0.028114478114478113, ""Real Estate"": 0.0265993265993266}",0.0,0.0,0.0,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,0.33333333333333337,0.13257287543840546,0.1412037037037037,0.5231481481481481,0.3773148148148148,0.04398148148148148,0.4097222222222222,0.1412037037037037,0.34953703703703703,0.33333333333333337,0.2863194444444444,212,116,116,True,,,,,True +v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,4.031523549585775,0.21644239921246444,-0.38038083852453075,0.2848425762760288,0.8329114284455121,0.9966362962172336,0.5690149904817198,0.18971046558130303,0.7516827361738478,0.22895287902781783,0.828588245640469,0.4465419877746951,0.9241849886277483,10.322082931533268,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,1.4450604246934775,0.23452123475846598,-0.34840665932790493,0.28297660419212595,0.889423715010956,1.1802084772368313,0.6731250063097817,0.5543310544224738,0.7523605525457899,0.2291349837562985,1.101606981424678,0.5978116480695835,12.0,0.11966934008796423,0.1226273454371993,0.09428063843495293,1.0,3.6258217131474098,0.299,3.6122448979591835,61.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16464646464646465, ""Industrials"": 0.12373737373737374, ""Financials"": 0.10252525252525255, ""Health Care"": 0.09478114478114477, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.0942760942760943, ""Materials"": 0.04511784511784511, ""Utilities"": 0.04242424242424243, ""Communication"": 0.041245791245791245, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04057239057239057, ""Energy"": 0.028114478114478113, ""Real Estate"": 0.0265993265993266}",0.0,0.0,0.0,leadership_liquid | sector | 12,0.33333333333333337,0.13257287543840546,0.1412037037037037,0.5231481481481481,0.3773148148148148,0.04398148148148148,0.4097222222222222,0.1412037037037037,0.34953703703703703,0.33333333333333337,0.2863194444444444,212,116,116,True,,,,,True +v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,0.08626636944040257,0.7266067900148765,0.21551757896815035,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,0.8415466262319939,13.76277724204436,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.1571355550238898,0.19860642823858154,-0.2995329938075523,0.26501551348224217,0.8191264799403588,1.091723657726624,0.6630535945772461,0.42823557022281356,0.7165940647954187,0.21579655148490623,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,16.0,0.07201618340669552,0.07546537095773695,0.08061252377169684,0.9935691318327974,3.456050796812749,0.285,4.591836734693878,61.0,0.5905882352941176,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1523989898989899, ""Industrials"": 0.12525252525252525, ""Financials"": 0.09457070707070706, ""Health Care"": 0.09318181818181819, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Materials"": 0.04924242424242424, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171717, ""Utilities"": 0.041666666666666664, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878787, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454545}",0.0,0.0,0.0,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,0.6666666666666667,0.09665806891852102,0.009259259259259259,0.023148148148148147,0.3773148148148148,0.9467592592592593,0.10648148148148148,0.009259259259259259,0.7685185185185185,0.6666666666666667,0.2284027777777778,214,183,183,True,,,,,True +v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,0.08626636944040257,0.7266067900148765,0.21551757896815035,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,0.8415466262319939,13.76277724204436,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.1571355550238898,0.19860642823858154,-0.2995329938075523,0.26501551348224217,0.8191264799403588,1.091723657726624,0.6630535945772461,0.42823557022281356,0.7165940647954187,0.21579655148490623,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,16.0,0.07201618340669552,0.07546537095773695,0.08061252377169684,0.9935691318327974,3.456050796812749,0.285,4.591836734693878,61.0,0.5905882352941176,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1523989898989899, ""Industrials"": 0.12525252525252525, ""Financials"": 0.09457070707070706, ""Health Care"": 0.09318181818181819, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Materials"": 0.04924242424242424, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171717, ""Utilities"": 0.041666666666666664, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878787, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454545}",0.0,0.0,0.0,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,0.5,0.09665806891852102,0.009259259259259259,0.023148148148148147,0.3773148148148148,0.9467592592592593,0.10648148148148148,0.009259259259259259,0.7685185185185185,0.5,0.22340277777777778,215,183,183,True,,,,,True +v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,0.08626636944040257,0.7266067900148765,0.21551757896815035,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,0.8415466262319939,13.76277724204436,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.1571355550238898,0.19860642823858154,-0.2995329938075523,0.26501551348224217,0.8191264799403588,1.091723657726624,0.6630535945772461,0.42823557022281356,0.7165940647954187,0.21579655148490623,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,16.0,0.07201618340669552,0.07546537095773695,0.08061252377169684,0.9935691318327974,3.456050796812749,0.285,4.591836734693878,61.0,0.5905882352941176,"{""Information Technology"": 0.1523989898989899, ""Industrials"": 0.12525252525252525, ""Financials"": 0.09457070707070706, ""Health Care"": 0.09318181818181819, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Materials"": 0.04924242424242424, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.04217171717171717, ""Utilities"": 0.041666666666666664, ""Real Estate"": 0.03787878787878787, ""Energy"": 0.03295454545454545}",0.0,0.0,0.0,leadership_liquid | sector | 16,0.5,0.09665806891852102,0.009259259259259259,0.023148148148148147,0.3773148148148148,0.9467592592592593,0.10648148148148148,0.009259259259259259,0.7685185185185185,0.5,0.22340277777777778,215,183,183,True,,,,,True diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e9e3757 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.csv @@ -0,0 +1,892 @@ +experiment_group,cost_bps_one_way,period,scenario,universe_filter,leadership_only,group_normalization,group_normalization_label,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,strategy,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,annual_turnover,average_monthly_turnover,average_names_replaced_per_rebalance,median_holding_duration_days,top5_continuity,avg_sector_weights_json,spy_sanity_full_cagr,spy_sanity_full_ir_vs_qqq,spy_sanity_full_maxdd,spy_sanity_oos_cagr,spy_sanity_oos_cagr_minus_qqq,spy_sanity_oos_maxdd,spy_sanity_pass +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.34220985026497,0.22531298747301887,-0.36857871561831357,0.2721044547521774,0.8855560059926452,1.0610033762564457,0.6113022210060134,3.7264716135458165,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.719874322427264,0.21310103401158553,0.8222127459449612,0.40793039755707844,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.719874322427264,0.10144209875675567,0.2212558684673557,0.21310103401158553,0.8222127459449612,0.40793039755707844,0.9128127369219106,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09231362836283519,-0.09334805126691026,-0.15711833341206438,0.16837008787384872,-0.49297132337388094,-0.6723355164602971,-0.594125772847222,3.6626177285318557,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3390662347749066,1.052331200331433,0.453193889935718,0.33088268608013494,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.3390662347749066,0.033616863703277926,0.2479623490223154,1.052331200331433,0.453193889935718,0.33088268608013494,0.9128127369219106,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.037260668958375,0.40836235828365175,-0.32992913722670747,0.2941701532102519,1.3162728425904826,1.791107403977896,1.2377274760157049,4.1487468354430375,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0319689330168857,0.5596548004262546,1.31053393987873,0.9576864694213283,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,1.0319689330168857,0.10961914458784591,0.21123460209531542,0.5596548004262546,1.31053393987873,0.9576864694213283,0.9128127369219106,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7568801163230923,0.2699374852555243,-0.32992913722670736,0.2701725206571242,1.023393275941539,1.380463549364143,0.818168069436194,4.02481935483871,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7232060135378153,0.6886439914328727,1.1551093012518814,0.5595576102285109,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.7232060135378153,0.18633103389486852,0.22046700103741002,0.6886439914328727,1.1551093012518814,0.5595576102285109,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.832172332490414,0.21049357594282658,-0.38013419941113513,0.27274281180828996,0.839376516179911,1.004169992881757,0.5537349080111751,3.659775896414342,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.719548777099127,0.1581099644362762,0.8019585384719113,0.4311894108051275,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.719548777099127,0.08947537098546728,0.22212408624815197,0.1581099644362762,0.8019585384719113,0.4311894108051275,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09343128844019188,-0.09447757249234512,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836510389067874,-0.5003356871472027,-0.6822547847009102,-0.6013147571045376,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33915154819206095,1.0475046903455334,0.453193889935718,0.33288447882734984,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.33915154819206095,0.03240876150103391,0.24792354045401363,1.0475046903455334,0.453193889935718,0.33288447882734984,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7676395122915225,0.3685808747558319,-0.32992913722670736,0.29386268817783495,1.2193980973015865,1.660806813565856,1.1171516339963796,4.068607594936709,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0309633826000986,0.4234521221477242,1.2407647127851162,0.9990419420679126,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,1.0309633826000986,0.08101704637826725,0.21099404977890124,0.4234521221477242,1.2407647127851162,0.9990419420679126,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5090553867201288,0.2420602321332579,-0.32992913722670725,0.2698824699131581,0.9416214395979067,1.2705109980775435,0.7336734008034241,3.970620967741936,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7224679606489903,0.5876570541057172,1.0979883307153016,0.5759166867144698,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.7224679606489903,0.1640574254111526,0.22029456385549911,0.5876570541057172,1.0979883307153016,0.5759166867144698,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.9670425431558147,0.21454124514964645,-0.3801341994111349,0.27251016536111555,0.8521758718293271,1.0156837695537988,0.5643829086727578,3.4912176294820716,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7185931755755478,0.17296479554627128,0.8092160143093813,0.4271383686403106,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.7185931755755478,0.09295325638451321,0.22208396694844615,0.17296479554627128,0.8092160143093813,0.4271383686403106,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08724818622915353,-0.0882286472391981,-0.15711833341206416,0.16705652923066855,-0.4647415112697141,-0.6311864906000517,-0.5615426622926715,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33662516382160546,1.0734203209002682,0.45309680684830134,0.3225021065106274,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.33662516382160546,0.038140802587998485,0.24808738233493055,1.0734203209002682,0.45309680684830134,0.3225021065106274,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7354952205309293,0.36366173320859696,-0.33840415007815017,0.2943235571601229,1.2057439725791195,1.628683882367375,1.0746373326822791,3.9607278481012664,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.033935488576112,0.40690040552269546,1.235628172020987,1.0108410402069807,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,1.033935488576112,0.07676083261190499,0.21108145672887602,0.40690040552269546,1.235628172020987,1.0108410402069807,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4968282241010842,0.24063124921722578,-0.33840415007814983,0.2700632525609358,0.9369603437656987,1.2538392029062286,0.7110765313062953,3.888145161290323,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7229050075491654,0.5824165411899479,1.0937653783089427,0.5736267130219853,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.7229050075491654,0.16291437712385864,0.22040770388262532,0.5824165411899479,1.0937653783089427,0.5736267130219853,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.34220985026497,0.22531298747301887,-0.36857871561831357,0.2721044547521774,0.8855560059926452,1.0610033762564457,0.6113022210060134,3.7264716135458165,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.719874322427264,0.21310103401158553,0.8222127459449612,0.40793039755707844,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.719874322427264,0.10144209875675567,0.2212558684673557,0.21310103401158553,0.8222127459449612,0.40793039755707844,0.9128127369219106,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09231362836283519,-0.09334805126691026,-0.15711833341206438,0.16837008787384872,-0.49297132337388094,-0.6723355164602971,-0.594125772847222,3.6626177285318557,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3390662347749066,1.052331200331433,0.453193889935718,0.33088268608013494,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.3390662347749066,0.033616863703277926,0.2479623490223154,1.052331200331433,0.453193889935718,0.33088268608013494,0.9128127369219106,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.037260668958375,0.40836235828365175,-0.32992913722670747,0.2941701532102519,1.3162728425904826,1.791107403977896,1.2377274760157049,4.1487468354430375,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0319689330168857,0.5596548004262546,1.31053393987873,0.9576864694213283,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,1.0319689330168857,0.10961914458784591,0.21123460209531542,0.5596548004262546,1.31053393987873,0.9576864694213283,0.9128127369219106,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7568801163230923,0.2699374852555243,-0.32992913722670736,0.2701725206571242,1.023393275941539,1.380463549364143,0.818168069436194,4.02481935483871,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7232060135378153,0.6886439914328727,1.1551093012518814,0.5595576102285109,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.7232060135378153,0.18633103389486852,0.22046700103741002,0.6886439914328727,1.1551093012518814,0.5595576102285109,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.832172332490414,0.21049357594282658,-0.38013419941113513,0.27274281180828996,0.839376516179911,1.004169992881757,0.5537349080111751,3.659775896414342,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.719548777099127,0.1581099644362762,0.8019585384719113,0.4311894108051275,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.719548777099127,0.08947537098546728,0.22212408624815197,0.1581099644362762,0.8019585384719113,0.4311894108051275,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09343128844019188,-0.09447757249234512,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836510389067874,-0.5003356871472027,-0.6822547847009102,-0.6013147571045376,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33915154819206095,1.0475046903455334,0.453193889935718,0.33288447882734984,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.33915154819206095,0.03240876150103391,0.24792354045401363,1.0475046903455334,0.453193889935718,0.33288447882734984,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7676395122915225,0.3685808747558319,-0.32992913722670736,0.29386268817783495,1.2193980973015865,1.660806813565856,1.1171516339963796,4.068607594936709,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0309633826000986,0.4234521221477242,1.2407647127851162,0.9990419420679126,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,1.0309633826000986,0.08101704637826725,0.21099404977890124,0.4234521221477242,1.2407647127851162,0.9990419420679126,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5090553867201288,0.2420602321332579,-0.32992913722670725,0.2698824699131581,0.9416214395979067,1.2705109980775435,0.7336734008034241,3.970620967741936,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7224679606489903,0.5876570541057172,1.0979883307153016,0.5759166867144698,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.7224679606489903,0.1640574254111526,0.22029456385549911,0.5876570541057172,1.0979883307153016,0.5759166867144698,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.9670425431558147,0.21454124514964645,-0.3801341994111349,0.27251016536111555,0.8521758718293271,1.0156837695537988,0.5643829086727578,3.4912176294820716,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7185931755755478,0.17296479554627128,0.8092160143093813,0.4271383686403106,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.7185931755755478,0.09295325638451321,0.22208396694844615,0.17296479554627128,0.8092160143093813,0.4271383686403106,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08724818622915353,-0.0882286472391981,-0.15711833341206416,0.16705652923066855,-0.4647415112697141,-0.6311864906000517,-0.5615426622926715,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33662516382160546,1.0734203209002682,0.45309680684830134,0.3225021065106274,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.33662516382160546,0.038140802587998485,0.24808738233493055,1.0734203209002682,0.45309680684830134,0.3225021065106274,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7354952205309293,0.36366173320859696,-0.33840415007815017,0.2943235571601229,1.2057439725791195,1.628683882367375,1.0746373326822791,3.9607278481012664,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.033935488576112,0.40690040552269546,1.235628172020987,1.0108410402069807,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,1.033935488576112,0.07676083261190499,0.21108145672887602,0.40690040552269546,1.235628172020987,1.0108410402069807,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4968282241010842,0.24063124921722578,-0.33840415007814983,0.2700632525609358,0.9369603437656987,1.2538392029062286,0.7110765313062953,3.888145161290323,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7229050075491654,0.5824165411899479,1.0937653783089427,0.5736267130219853,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.7229050075491654,0.16291437712385864,0.22040770388262532,0.5824165411899479,1.0937653783089427,0.5736267130219853,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.071723056195159,0.2176168327018122,-0.3918340849053571,0.2755502841826421,0.8550550746010106,1.0172328318116817,0.555380047538169,3.703431274900398,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7299200595658625,0.18749344466805187,0.8150807856667949,0.4213625188074905,-0.0923498523893247,0.39230438531849865,0.7299200595658625,0.09414203010133024,0.22292400174575727,0.18749344466805187,0.8150807856667949,0.4213625188074905,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0923498523893247,-0.09338465997710121,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836946472577605,-0.49321166717223985,-0.672660818112512,-0.5943587737287619,3.7435595567867037,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33906194714625537,1.0521634845161192,0.453193889935718,0.33094081736523,-0.0923498523893247,0.39230438531849865,0.33906194714625537,0.03357522965312344,0.24796370607851875,1.0521634845161192,0.453193889935718,0.33094081736523,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9263379545946044,0.39230438531849865,-0.32992913722670747,0.29751800997764904,1.266111330694877,1.7136331825480222,1.1890565004840135,4.173405063291139,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0440342566609842,0.5040793104609917,1.2814994092908742,0.9664978224445591,-0.0923498523893247,0.39230438531849865,1.0440342566609842,0.09585643624965003,0.21365923296362777,0.5040793104609917,1.2814994092908742,0.9664978224445591,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6560910764465158,0.2588407741959027,-0.3299291372267068,0.27294807129710574,0.9834926258813114,1.319191094060927,0.784534449947788,4.062522580645161,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7297724398243931,0.6468931765230839,1.1313383547280356,0.5628091528653248,-0.0923498523893247,0.39230438531849865,0.7297724398243931,0.17746207542461226,0.22225145538083946,0.6468931765230839,1.1313383547280356,0.5628091528653248,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.697829694699638,0.2063618153582869,-0.36758448648772013,0.2740424305524861,0.8241186691168968,0.9907381702381941,0.5613996861784885,3.640373505976095,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7262411459696186,0.14427434156791774,0.791406684879548,0.4294923993281179,-0.09343128844019188,0.35533203190232054,0.7262411459696186,0.08508786896926573,0.22200484846279195,0.14427434156791774,0.791406684879548,0.4294923993281179,0.9112964366944655,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09343128844019188,-0.09447757249234512,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836510389067874,-0.5003356871472027,-0.6822547847009102,-0.6013147571045376,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33915154819206095,1.0475046903455334,0.453193889935718,0.33288447882734984,-0.09343128844019188,0.35533203190232054,0.33915154819206095,0.03240876150103391,0.24792354045401363,1.0475046903455334,0.453193889935718,0.33288447882734984,0.9112964366944655,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6816549448452847,0.35533203190232054,-0.32992913722670736,0.2968843547837001,1.1771222487226136,1.5946726367109256,1.0769950022878938,4.068607594936709,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0427503603649757,0.3778137277193783,1.2092475460633927,0.9834070487725675,-0.09343128844019188,0.35533203190232054,1.0427503603649757,0.06898004695590555,0.21301357975209526,0.3778137277193783,1.2092475460633927,0.9834070487725675,0.9112964366944655,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.43110446819637,0.23285714546993952,-0.32992913722670725,0.2723889368379045,0.9080705856933936,1.2184707441385876,0.7057792695342765,3.970620967741936,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7288957308746831,0.5531547015070796,1.0721848178099271,0.5702126559900178,-0.09343128844019188,0.35533203190232054,0.7288957308746831,0.15647734030226054,0.22178048141960244,0.5531547015070796,1.0721848178099271,0.5702126559900178,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8604206364727576,0.21134949928567925,-0.36758448648772013,0.2741543236004508,0.8390132345506768,1.0058510627387167,0.5749684958283455,3.481516434262948,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7264400596311738,0.16301914443647225,0.8018512585765737,0.42778891006530206,-0.09280763052882934,0.3504605111676633,0.7264400596311738,0.08922493940236487,0.22209186610322512,0.16301914443647225,0.8018512585765737,0.42778891006530206,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09280763052882934,-0.09384729804265557,-0.15439453111635937,0.1690506736702366,-0.49353117446488204,-0.6649420061932465,-0.6078408177031063,3.612029085872576,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33974579708185637,1.0498307732225114,0.4530003671198715,0.33352671505714493,-0.09280763052882934,0.3504605111676633,0.33974579708185637,0.03342043997443,0.2481431965451032,1.0498307732225114,0.4530003671198715,0.33352671505714493,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6505093066342713,0.3504605111676633,-0.33840415007814995,0.2973401312733726,1.1636923345450214,1.563833988582849,1.0356271076661712,3.960727848101266,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0457224663409894,0.36143996185839816,1.2041110052992632,0.9952061469116356,-0.09280763052882934,0.3504605111676633,1.0457224663409894,0.06472383318954315,0.21309958762403308,0.36143996185839816,1.2041110052992632,0.9952061469116356,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4045218181909367,0.22966715983342745,-0.3384041500781497,0.2728637643412041,0.8975015193943187,1.1942435012401915,0.6786771373234903,3.8692935483870974,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.730763933089862,0.5417937696153295,1.0679443821308092,0.5749252163286387,-0.09280763052882934,0.3504605111676633,0.730763933089862,0.15379169420390174,0.22190395020268253,0.5417937696153295,1.0679443821308092,0.5749252163286387,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.5551084176684125,0.23113335077038255,-0.3814170963207695,0.28269499709303425,0.8797123797116321,1.0520071344738402,0.6059858171013939,3.880478087649402,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7448166952397078,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.7448166952397078,0.10433447517240951,0.227999941758472,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09632843834160154,-0.09740539197181397,-0.16319946588171752,0.17023774275623552,-0.5118263796610582,-0.6929943140073543,-0.5968487178898656,3.726696675900277,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34157020325588233,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.34157020325588233,0.030347536455887714,0.24819781022565335,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1205190313026354,0.4201508366927038,-0.3396845287814597,0.3057947146000184,1.305113108297018,1.775047870702285,1.2368854071744113,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0683020781722612,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,1.0683020781722612,0.11173440857637995,0.22075223101709418,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8199243062020045,0.2767218080183731,-0.3396845287814587,0.2801520952858859,1.0159103306914363,1.3666909397185196,0.8146435429692659,4.182701612903226,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744478026850297,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.744478026850297,0.1917957301480905,0.22753796085301117,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.000822959041916,0.21553991168180886,-0.3931999645535218,0.28336239719672895,0.8331898143616192,0.9948649112674499,0.5481686956064562,3.8117612881806107,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.744489395451392,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.744489395451392,0.09180228490636444,0.2289085049638344,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416553380218428,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.3416553380218428,0.0291376995015539,0.24815899706618955,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.831764078166497,0.3782772172500717,-0.33968452878145905,0.3054702899984416,1.207754514425436,1.6440954616989836,1.1136133241247552,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0672218166816059,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,1.0672218166816059,0.08186141911338271,0.22049570595106752,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5558294761407354,0.24747805449695504,-0.33968452878145894,0.27984580859750025,0.9335726045515002,1.2562092321869545,0.7285526231787074,4.127717741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7436883685367489,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.7436883685367489,0.16854114906730375,0.22735057027593228,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.144875409491048,0.21973315809426208,-0.3931999645535218,0.28312780471016513,0.8458772721936623,1.0062558004863733,0.558833107586286,3.6359271248339966,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7435182289835027,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.7435182289835027,0.09538722246045736,0.22886025221088904,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09128690877788526,-0.09231042120809396,-0.16319946588171763,0.1689391774229664,-0.4840222436091811,-0.6526335045133197,-0.5656294321146734,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33912895365138745,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.33912895365138745,0.034869740588518515,0.248323119480498,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7974431834536868,0.3731066369105571,-0.3484066593279047,0.3059513969685625,1.19408725868809,1.6120726955669458,1.0708941029723715,4.140527426160337,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.070317817581677,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,1.070317817581677,0.07742816981314209,0.22060953951155274,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5420732427544412,0.24589259790125184,-0.3484066593279047,0.28005121738810773,0.9286085222696282,1.2392834497432144,0.7057631974532058,4.041314516129032,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744192573969542,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.744192573969542,0.16727985677893226,0.2274823071859631,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.5551084176684125,0.23113335077038255,-0.3814170963207695,0.28269499709303425,0.8797123797116321,1.0520071344738402,0.6059858171013939,3.880478087649402,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7448166952397078,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.7448166952397078,0.10433447517240951,0.227999941758472,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09632843834160154,-0.09740539197181397,-0.16319946588171752,0.17023774275623552,-0.5118263796610582,-0.6929943140073543,-0.5968487178898656,3.726696675900277,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34157020325588233,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.34157020325588233,0.030347536455887714,0.24819781022565335,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1205190313026354,0.4201508366927038,-0.3396845287814597,0.3057947146000184,1.305113108297018,1.775047870702285,1.2368854071744113,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0683020781722612,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,1.0683020781722612,0.11173440857637995,0.22075223101709418,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8199243062020045,0.2767218080183731,-0.3396845287814587,0.2801520952858859,1.0159103306914363,1.3666909397185196,0.8146435429692659,4.182701612903226,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744478026850297,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.744478026850297,0.1917957301480905,0.22753796085301117,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.000822959041916,0.21553991168180886,-0.3931999645535218,0.28336239719672895,0.8331898143616192,0.9948649112674499,0.5481686956064562,3.8117612881806107,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.744489395451392,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.744489395451392,0.09180228490636444,0.2289085049638344,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416553380218428,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.3416553380218428,0.0291376995015539,0.24815899706618955,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.831764078166497,0.3782772172500717,-0.33968452878145905,0.3054702899984416,1.207754514425436,1.6440954616989836,1.1136133241247552,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0672218166816059,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,1.0672218166816059,0.08186141911338271,0.22049570595106752,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5558294761407354,0.24747805449695504,-0.33968452878145894,0.27984580859750025,0.9335726045515002,1.2562092321869545,0.7285526231787074,4.127717741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7436883685367489,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.7436883685367489,0.16854114906730375,0.22735057027593228,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.144875409491048,0.21973315809426208,-0.3931999645535218,0.28312780471016513,0.8458772721936623,1.0062558004863733,0.558833107586286,3.6359271248339966,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7435182289835027,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.7435182289835027,0.09538722246045736,0.22886025221088904,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09128690877788526,-0.09231042120809396,-0.16319946588171763,0.1689391774229664,-0.4840222436091811,-0.6526335045133197,-0.5656294321146734,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33912895365138745,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.33912895365138745,0.034869740588518515,0.248323119480498,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7974431834536868,0.3731066369105571,-0.3484066593279047,0.3059513969685625,1.19408725868809,1.6120726955669458,1.0708941029723715,4.140527426160337,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.070317817581677,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,1.070317817581677,0.07742816981314209,0.22060953951155274,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5420732427544412,0.24589259790125184,-0.3484066593279047,0.28005121738810773,0.9286085222696282,1.2392834497432144,0.7057631974532058,4.041314516129032,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744192573969542,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.744192573969542,0.16727985677893226,0.2274823071859631,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.260587997147608,0.223027380918551,-0.4054011201786337,0.2862936351284246,0.8491781709642814,1.008306625529337,0.550140021370137,3.8562250996015934,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7552809087848117,0.2144761338114915,0.8426549143555704,0.4399936127973007,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.7552809087848117,0.09673038215784048,0.2298643898009768,0.2144761338114915,0.8426549143555704,0.4399936127973007,0.9044730856709629,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09636600120678895,-0.09744335175711938,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023707335985044,-0.512074124075472,-0.6933270246788934,-0.5970813153747916,3.8110110803324098,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34156573697603737,1.0345163778868183,0.453193889935718,0.3373899807708867,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.34156573697603737,0.0303041676536435,0.24819920368779025,1.0345163778868183,0.453193889935718,0.3373899807708867,0.9044730856709629,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.001476442232139,0.40322696305547456,-0.33968452878145916,0.30928873937388457,1.2549477612024502,1.6976200375232968,1.1870630802702713,4.361424050632911,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0808701236348628,0.5334467511951001,1.3263152114860326,1.0174357070357434,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,1.0808701236348628,0.09739825405742615,0.2233615371785133,0.5334467511951001,1.3263152114860326,1.0174357070357434,0.9044730856709629,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.71223615977785,0.26506117991449063,-0.33968452878145916,0.28305605961727304,0.9758619981138972,1.3053436242869647,0.7803157266694989,4.221975806451613,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7513180542321488,0.6604203149916055,1.1680296328660038,0.5854890015555038,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.7513180542321488,0.1825572317415736,0.22948141216286583,0.6604203149916055,1.1680296328660038,0.5854890015555038,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8555333303387593,0.21120172721553088,-0.38038083852453053,0.2847195906665049,0.8179116396485793,0.9813922909706803,0.5552375562206733,3.7915504648074365,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7514606130248208,0.17068252054663144,0.8176945119797823,0.4484671772821335,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.7514606130248208,0.08723197030615458,0.22885522961222998,0.17068252054663144,0.8176945119797823,0.4484671772821335,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416553380218428,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.3416553380218428,0.0291376995015539,0.24815899706618955,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7398328061500088,0.3643278533754637,-0.33968452878145927,0.3086238040993679,1.1654877529179664,1.5780346755447818,1.072547680291495,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0794999185200198,0.4073403351313342,1.2505935120225726,1.0350449956719048,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,1.0794999185200198,0.06932287804842249,0.22268243878907293,0.4073403351313342,1.2505935120225726,1.0350449956719048,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4728562310846023,0.2378140576790091,-0.33968452878145894,0.28246818783616234,0.8999073364216499,1.2041337249229869,0.7001027056843389,4.127717741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7503839625218457,0.5656667389143741,1.1060352960471576,0.5931479062898721,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.7503839625218457,0.16064522707887458,0.22897886726915623,0.5656667389143741,1.1060352960471576,0.5931479062898721,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.031523549585775,0.21644239921246444,-0.38038083852453075,0.2848425762760288,0.8329114284455121,0.9966362962172336,0.5690149904817198,3.6258217131474098,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7516827361738478,0.18971046558130303,0.828588245640469,0.4465419877746951,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.7516827361738478,0.0915620896028992,0.22895287902781783,0.18971046558130303,0.828588245640469,0.4465419877746951,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09663901839177425,-0.09771925330791287,-0.16039030867976445,0.17105070932666286,-0.5105895394704758,-0.6828268625671094,-0.6092590887334676,3.676108033240997,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34234660748401496,1.0328812917297863,0.4530003671198715,0.3397137312106672,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.34234660748401496,0.030410037691305812,0.24843458834312412,1.0328812917297863,0.4530003671198715,0.3397137312106672,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7066261156648674,0.3592096038048924,-0.34840665932790515,0.3090995758277691,1.1520456024976953,1.547298823310169,1.0310067106576744,4.140527426160337,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0825959194200907,0.39097490208628305,1.2452274904120504,1.0471666859328932,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,1.0825959194200907,0.06488962874818185,0.22279456279395102,0.39097490208628305,1.2452274904120504,1.0471666859328932,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4450604246934775,0.23452123475846598,-0.34840665932790493,0.28297660419212595,0.889423715010956,1.1802084772368313,0.6731250063097817,4.021677419354839,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7523605525457899,0.5543310544224738,1.101606981424678,0.5978116480695835,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.7523605525457899,0.15788971467950705,0.2291349837562985,0.5543310544224738,1.101606981424678,0.5978116480695835,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.5551084176684125,0.23113335077038255,-0.3814170963207695,0.28269499709303425,0.8797123797116321,1.0520071344738402,0.6059858171013939,3.880478087649402,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7448166952397078,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.7448166952397078,0.10433447517240951,0.227999941758472,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09632843834160154,-0.09740539197181397,-0.16319946588171752,0.17023774275623552,-0.5118263796610582,-0.6929943140073543,-0.5968487178898656,3.726696675900277,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34157020325588233,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.34157020325588233,0.030347536455887714,0.24819781022565335,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1205190313026354,0.4201508366927038,-0.3396845287814597,0.3057947146000184,1.305113108297018,1.775047870702285,1.2368854071744113,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0683020781722612,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,1.0683020781722612,0.11173440857637995,0.22075223101709418,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8199243062020045,0.2767218080183731,-0.3396845287814587,0.2801520952858859,1.0159103306914363,1.3666909397185196,0.8146435429692659,4.182701612903226,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744478026850297,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.744478026850297,0.1917957301480905,0.22753796085301117,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.000822959041916,0.21553991168180886,-0.3931999645535218,0.28336239719672895,0.8331898143616192,0.9948649112674499,0.5481686956064562,3.8117612881806107,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.744489395451392,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.744489395451392,0.09180228490636444,0.2289085049638344,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416553380218428,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.3416553380218428,0.0291376995015539,0.24815899706618955,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.831764078166497,0.3782772172500717,-0.33968452878145905,0.3054702899984416,1.207754514425436,1.6440954616989836,1.1136133241247552,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0672218166816059,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,1.0672218166816059,0.08186141911338271,0.22049570595106752,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5558294761407354,0.24747805449695504,-0.33968452878145894,0.27984580859750025,0.9335726045515002,1.2562092321869545,0.7285526231787074,4.127717741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7436883685367489,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.7436883685367489,0.16854114906730375,0.22735057027593228,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.144875409491048,0.21973315809426208,-0.3931999645535218,0.28312780471016513,0.8458772721936623,1.0062558004863733,0.558833107586286,3.6359271248339966,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7435182289835027,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.7435182289835027,0.09538722246045736,0.22886025221088904,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09128690877788526,-0.09231042120809396,-0.16319946588171763,0.1689391774229664,-0.4840222436091811,-0.6526335045133197,-0.5656294321146734,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33912895365138745,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.33912895365138745,0.034869740588518515,0.248323119480498,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7974431834536868,0.3731066369105571,-0.3484066593279047,0.3059513969685625,1.19408725868809,1.6120726955669458,1.0708941029723715,4.140527426160337,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.070317817581677,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,1.070317817581677,0.07742816981314209,0.22060953951155274,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5420732427544412,0.24589259790125184,-0.3484066593279047,0.28005121738810773,0.9286085222696282,1.2392834497432144,0.7057631974532058,4.041314516129032,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744192573969542,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.744192573969542,0.16727985677893226,0.2274823071859631,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.5551084176684125,0.23113335077038255,-0.3814170963207695,0.28269499709303425,0.8797123797116321,1.0520071344738402,0.6059858171013939,3.880478087649402,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7448166952397078,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.7448166952397078,0.10433447517240951,0.227999941758472,0.24068606505083545,0.8500481087931177,0.425983925891102,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09632843834160154,-0.09740539197181397,-0.16319946588171752,0.17023774275623552,-0.5118263796610582,-0.6929943140073543,-0.5968487178898656,3.726696675900277,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34157020325588233,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.34157020325588233,0.030347536455887714,0.24819781022565335,1.0346907316761844,0.453193889935718,0.3373296997602494,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1205190313026354,0.4201508366927038,-0.3396845287814597,0.3057947146000184,1.305113108297018,1.775047870702285,1.2368854071744113,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0683020781722612,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,1.0683020781722612,0.11173440857637995,0.22075223101709418,0.5893800718588953,1.356619572564875,1.0079923380180225,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8199243062020045,0.2767218080183731,-0.3396845287814587,0.2801520952858859,1.0159103306914363,1.3666909397185196,0.8146435429692659,4.182701612903226,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744478026850297,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.744478026850297,0.1917957301480905,0.22753796085301117,0.7029154245522294,1.19284020607175,0.5820055169916591,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.000822959041916,0.21553991168180886,-0.3931999645535218,0.28336239719672895,0.8331898143616192,0.9948649112674499,0.5481686956064562,3.8117612881806107,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.744489395451392,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.744489395451392,0.09180228490636444,0.2289085049638344,0.18470603926431747,0.8286878863692334,0.45011670400985737,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416553380218428,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.3416553380218428,0.0291376995015539,0.24815899706618955,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.831764078166497,0.3782772172500717,-0.33968452878145905,0.3054702899984416,1.207754514425436,1.6440954616989836,1.1136133241247552,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0672218166816059,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,1.0672218166816059,0.08186141911338271,0.22049570595106752,0.45326686360994833,1.283490516101352,1.051127500349264,0.909021986353298,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5558294761407354,0.24747805449695504,-0.33968452878145894,0.27984580859750025,0.9335726045515002,1.2562092321869545,0.7285526231787074,4.127717741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7436883685367489,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.7436883685367489,0.16854114906730375,0.22735057027593228,0.6007766544344931,1.132968499681539,0.5990152377179103,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.144875409491048,0.21973315809426208,-0.3931999645535218,0.28312780471016513,0.8458772721936623,1.0062558004863733,0.558833107586286,3.6359271248339966,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7435182289835027,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.7435182289835027,0.09538722246045736,0.22886025221088904,0.19958684340129046,0.8362586137139327,0.4460201782332402,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09128690877788526,-0.09231042120809396,-0.16319946588171763,0.1689391774229664,-0.4840222436091811,-0.6526335045133197,-0.5656294321146734,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33912895365138745,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.33912895365138745,0.034869740588518515,0.248323119480498,1.0557608259678712,0.45309680684830134,0.3289512699162841,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7974431834536868,0.3731066369105571,-0.3484066593279047,0.3059513969685625,1.19408725868809,1.6120726955669458,1.0708941029723715,4.140527426160337,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.070317817581677,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,1.070317817581677,0.07742816981314209,0.22060953951155274,0.4367124849574966,1.2781244944908299,1.0632491906102526,0.9196360879454132,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5420732427544412,0.24589259790125184,-0.3484066593279047,0.28005121738810773,0.9286085222696282,1.2392834497432144,0.7057631974532058,4.041314516129032,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.744192573969542,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.744192573969542,0.16727985677893226,0.2274823071859631,0.5951604913909326,1.1285576683318186,0.5968429543313422,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.260587997147608,0.223027380918551,-0.4054011201786337,0.2862936351284246,0.8491781709642814,1.008306625529337,0.550140021370137,3.8562250996015934,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7552809087848117,0.2144761338114915,0.8426549143555704,0.4399936127973007,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.7552809087848117,0.09673038215784048,0.2298643898009768,0.2144761338114915,0.8426549143555704,0.4399936127973007,0.9044730856709629,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09636600120678895,-0.09744335175711938,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023707335985044,-0.512074124075472,-0.6933270246788934,-0.5970813153747916,3.8110110803324098,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34156573697603737,1.0345163778868183,0.453193889935718,0.3373899807708867,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.34156573697603737,0.0303041676536435,0.24819920368779025,1.0345163778868183,0.453193889935718,0.3373899807708867,0.9044730856709629,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.001476442232139,0.40322696305547456,-0.33968452878145916,0.30928873937388457,1.2549477612024502,1.6976200375232968,1.1870630802702713,4.361424050632911,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0808701236348628,0.5334467511951001,1.3263152114860326,1.0174357070357434,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,1.0808701236348628,0.09739825405742615,0.2233615371785133,0.5334467511951001,1.3263152114860326,1.0174357070357434,0.9044730856709629,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.71223615977785,0.26506117991449063,-0.33968452878145916,0.28305605961727304,0.9758619981138972,1.3053436242869647,0.7803157266694989,4.221975806451613,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7513180542321488,0.6604203149916055,1.1680296328660038,0.5854890015555038,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.7513180542321488,0.1825572317415736,0.22948141216286583,0.6604203149916055,1.1680296328660038,0.5854890015555038,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8555333303387593,0.21120172721553088,-0.38038083852453053,0.2847195906665049,0.8179116396485793,0.9813922909706803,0.5552375562206733,3.7915504648074365,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7514606130248208,0.17068252054663144,0.8176945119797823,0.4484671772821335,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.7514606130248208,0.08723197030615458,0.22885522961222998,0.17068252054663144,0.8176945119797823,0.4484671772821335,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416553380218428,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.3416553380218428,0.0291376995015539,0.24815899706618955,1.0298593186885916,0.453193889935718,0.33933364223300655,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7398328061500088,0.3643278533754637,-0.33968452878145927,0.3086238040993679,1.1654877529179664,1.5780346755447818,1.072547680291495,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0794999185200198,0.4073403351313342,1.2505935120225726,1.0350449956719048,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,1.0794999185200198,0.06932287804842249,0.22268243878907293,0.4073403351313342,1.2505935120225726,1.0350449956719048,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4728562310846023,0.2378140576790091,-0.33968452878145894,0.28246818783616234,0.8999073364216499,1.2041337249229869,0.7001027056843389,4.127717741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7503839625218457,0.5656667389143741,1.1060352960471576,0.5931479062898721,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.7503839625218457,0.16064522707887458,0.22897886726915623,0.5656667389143741,1.1060352960471576,0.5931479062898721,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.031523549585775,0.21644239921246444,-0.38038083852453075,0.2848425762760288,0.8329114284455121,0.9966362962172336,0.5690149904817198,3.6258217131474098,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7516827361738478,0.18971046558130303,0.828588245640469,0.4465419877746951,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.7516827361738478,0.0915620896028992,0.22895287902781783,0.18971046558130303,0.828588245640469,0.4465419877746951,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09663901839177425,-0.09771925330791287,-0.16039030867976445,0.17105070932666286,-0.5105895394704758,-0.6828268625671094,-0.6092590887334676,3.676108033240997,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34234660748401496,1.0328812917297863,0.4530003671198715,0.3397137312106672,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.34234660748401496,0.030410037691305812,0.24843458834312412,1.0328812917297863,0.4530003671198715,0.3397137312106672,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7066261156648674,0.3592096038048924,-0.34840665932790515,0.3090995758277691,1.1520456024976953,1.547298823310169,1.0310067106576744,4.140527426160337,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0825959194200907,0.39097490208628305,1.2452274904120504,1.0471666859328932,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,1.0825959194200907,0.06488962874818185,0.22279456279395102,0.39097490208628305,1.2452274904120504,1.0471666859328932,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4450604246934775,0.23452123475846598,-0.34840665932790493,0.28297660419212595,0.889423715010956,1.1802084772368313,0.6731250063097817,4.021677419354839,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7523605525457899,0.5543310544224738,1.101606981424678,0.5978116480695835,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.7523605525457899,0.15788971467950705,0.2291349837562985,0.5543310544224738,1.101606981424678,0.5978116480695835,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221861567574852,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221861567574852,0.08401733545416276,0.21393962919665624,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143939265889148,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143939265889148,0.06038981804816548,0.2031544457831959,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2476468462195185,0.21027209236597866,-0.2991348287054615,0.26256716239826916,0.8612912059965988,1.1614890339694153,0.7029341694377549,4.11200806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7115089785212759,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7115089785212759,0.13744334396970725,0.21408419049205343,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224454759199508,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224454759199508,0.07986923044440271,0.21456910304979113,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139139081909632,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139139081909632,0.06010330694246767,0.2035911209592863,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.20974888847886253,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.710224954397275,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.710224954397275,0.1372352147974206,0.21471301990587321,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233600704568114,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233600704568114,0.07859731251845833,0.21446864930675477,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162396685881883,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162396685881883,0.0495643603000166,0.20387505322651003,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1761026833717678,0.2010815977486613,-0.2995329938075525,0.26332572148188105,0.830545827975371,1.1091608555478982,0.6713170231852809,3.8586895161290324,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7124610794130104,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7124610794130104,0.12988193747878818,0.21477182050973398,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221861567574852,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221861567574852,0.08401733545416276,0.21393962919665624,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143939265889148,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143939265889148,0.06038981804816548,0.2031544457831959,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2476468462195185,0.21027209236597866,-0.2991348287054615,0.26256716239826916,0.8612912059965988,1.1614890339694153,0.7029341694377549,4.11200806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7115089785212759,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7115089785212759,0.13744334396970725,0.21408419049205343,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224454759199508,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224454759199508,0.07986923044440271,0.21456910304979113,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139139081909632,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139139081909632,0.06010330694246767,0.2035911209592863,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.20974888847886253,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.710224954397275,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.710224954397275,0.1372352147974206,0.21471301990587321,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233600704568114,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233600704568114,0.07859731251845833,0.21446864930675477,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162396685881883,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162396685881883,0.0495643603000166,0.20387505322651003,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1761026833717678,0.2010815977486613,-0.2995329938075525,0.26332572148188105,0.830545827975371,1.1091608555478982,0.6713170231852809,3.8586895161290324,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7124610794130104,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7124610794130104,0.12988193747878818,0.21477182050973398,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.6252529658826367,0.2040863011893883,-0.36280848330171056,0.266126699877393,0.8334778186213053,0.9959040468933249,0.562517996635902,3.722833665338645,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.718787568103606,0.13073389566138396,0.7872275600394888,0.44581253060475584,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.718787568103606,0.08249969395617754,0.2141512064445134,0.13073389566138396,0.7872275600394888,0.44581253060475584,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5428810343635702,0.33331502733667606,-0.2991348287054614,0.28859384595151016,1.1455049838453952,1.5592396156680766,1.114263520497206,4.238132911392405,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0222348074001626,0.300067185205883,1.1438479981002152,0.9590209063422127,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,1.0222348074001626,0.05561502943084002,0.20527390927381672,0.300067185205883,1.1438479981002152,0.9590209063422127,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.222975872492439,0.20712847571743898,-0.2991348287054616,0.2647148573976066,0.8466044414759917,1.136449979560737,0.6924251402413083,4.126735887096775,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7158107384959477,0.4611661684031625,1.0227622873473599,0.6040245236127669,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.7158107384959477,0.13486903189372582,0.2156257665881619,0.4611661684031625,1.0227622873473599,0.6040245236127669,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3972384523964685,0.19672726685660047,-0.37302695578168865,0.26872312219906874,0.8052254400176976,0.9509899523744517,0.5273808334959409,3.5485153137450194,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7255436033692847,0.104684460496681,0.770327106706263,0.445153123390793,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7255436033692847,0.07576227357417054,0.2155889651336586,0.104684460496681,0.770327106706263,0.445153123390793,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.513787867077201,0.32859444063973053,-0.2995329938075525,0.2889637368914631,1.1320854404206662,1.5368379543131303,1.0970225231710193,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0233500064033978,0.282818913112672,1.1168021449014593,0.9035895760689472,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,1.0233500064033978,0.05186100285779089,0.20558000881874305,0.282818913112672,1.1168021449014593,0.9035895760689472,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1969675178272867,0.2037854390814846,-0.2995329938075523,0.2650618843970279,0.8353429362925144,1.1179439414076344,0.6803438796208715,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7153818962465361,0.44757623362503796,0.9983601400133851,0.5806568237558789,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7153818962465361,0.13223129424164837,0.21616006421255127,0.44757623362503796,0.9983601400133851,0.5806568237558789,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,3.456050796812749,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7266067900148765,0.08626636944040257,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7266067900148765,0.07157931782953722,0.21551757896815035,0.08626636944040257,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4631881848224246,0.3202934250579852,-0.2995329938075524,0.2888099383188728,1.110764181927043,1.4994140852508038,1.0693093304565013,3.9915506329113923,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.023766548146897,0.2523823023539824,1.0957751950429035,0.8875754090618316,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.023766548146897,0.045417052933673055,0.20528384792976723,0.2523823023539824,1.0957751950429035,0.8875754090618316,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1571355550238898,0.19860642823858154,-0.2995329938075523,0.26501551348224217,0.8191264799403588,1.091723657726624,0.6630535945772461,3.888145161290323,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7165940647954187,0.42823557022281356,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7165940647954187,0.12774382571352658,0.21579655148490623,0.42823557022281356,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221861567574852,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221861567574852,0.08401733545416276,0.21393962919665624,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143939265889148,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143939265889148,0.06038981804816548,0.2031544457831959,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2476468462195185,0.21027209236597866,-0.2991348287054615,0.26256716239826916,0.8612912059965988,1.1614890339694153,0.7029341694377549,4.11200806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7115089785212759,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7115089785212759,0.13744334396970725,0.21408419049205343,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224454759199508,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224454759199508,0.07986923044440271,0.21456910304979113,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139139081909632,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139139081909632,0.06010330694246767,0.2035911209592863,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.20974888847886253,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.710224954397275,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.710224954397275,0.1372352147974206,0.21471301990587321,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233600704568114,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233600704568114,0.07859731251845833,0.21446864930675477,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162396685881883,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162396685881883,0.0495643603000166,0.20387505322651003,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1761026833717678,0.2010815977486613,-0.2995329938075525,0.26332572148188105,0.830545827975371,1.1091608555478982,0.6713170231852809,3.8586895161290324,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7124610794130104,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7124610794130104,0.12988193747878818,0.21477182050973398,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221861567574852,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221861567574852,0.08401733545416276,0.21393962919665624,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143939265889148,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143939265889148,0.06038981804816548,0.2031544457831959,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2476468462195185,0.21027209236597866,-0.2991348287054615,0.26256716239826916,0.8612912059965988,1.1614890339694153,0.7029341694377549,4.11200806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7115089785212759,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7115089785212759,0.13744334396970725,0.21408419049205343,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224454759199508,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224454759199508,0.07986923044440271,0.21456910304979113,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139139081909632,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139139081909632,0.06010330694246767,0.2035911209592863,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.20974888847886253,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.710224954397275,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.710224954397275,0.1372352147974206,0.21471301990587321,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233600704568114,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233600704568114,0.07859731251845833,0.21446864930675477,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162396685881883,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162396685881883,0.0495643603000166,0.20387505322651003,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1761026833717678,0.2010815977486613,-0.2995329938075525,0.26332572148188105,0.830545827975371,1.1091608555478982,0.6713170231852809,3.8586895161290324,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7124610794130104,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7124610794130104,0.12988193747878818,0.21477182050973398,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.6252529658826367,0.2040863011893883,-0.36280848330171056,0.266126699877393,0.8334778186213053,0.9959040468933249,0.562517996635902,3.722833665338645,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.718787568103606,0.13073389566138396,0.7872275600394888,0.44581253060475584,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.718787568103606,0.08249969395617754,0.2141512064445134,0.13073389566138396,0.7872275600394888,0.44581253060475584,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5428810343635702,0.33331502733667606,-0.2991348287054614,0.28859384595151016,1.1455049838453952,1.5592396156680766,1.114263520497206,4.238132911392405,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0222348074001626,0.300067185205883,1.1438479981002152,0.9590209063422127,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,1.0222348074001626,0.05561502943084002,0.20527390927381672,0.300067185205883,1.1438479981002152,0.9590209063422127,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.222975872492439,0.20712847571743898,-0.2991348287054616,0.2647148573976066,0.8466044414759917,1.136449979560737,0.6924251402413083,4.126735887096775,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7158107384959477,0.4611661684031625,1.0227622873473599,0.6040245236127669,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.7158107384959477,0.13486903189372582,0.2156257665881619,0.4611661684031625,1.0227622873473599,0.6040245236127669,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3972384523964685,0.19672726685660047,-0.37302695578168865,0.26872312219906874,0.8052254400176976,0.9509899523744517,0.5273808334959409,3.5485153137450194,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7255436033692847,0.104684460496681,0.770327106706263,0.445153123390793,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7255436033692847,0.07576227357417054,0.2155889651336586,0.104684460496681,0.770327106706263,0.445153123390793,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.513787867077201,0.32859444063973053,-0.2995329938075525,0.2889637368914631,1.1320854404206662,1.5368379543131303,1.0970225231710193,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0233500064033978,0.282818913112672,1.1168021449014593,0.9035895760689472,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,1.0233500064033978,0.05186100285779089,0.20558000881874305,0.282818913112672,1.1168021449014593,0.9035895760689472,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1969675178272867,0.2037854390814846,-0.2995329938075523,0.2650618843970279,0.8353429362925144,1.1179439414076344,0.6803438796208715,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7153818962465361,0.44757623362503796,0.9983601400133851,0.5806568237558789,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7153818962465361,0.13223129424164837,0.21616006421255127,0.44757623362503796,0.9983601400133851,0.5806568237558789,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,3.456050796812749,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7266067900148765,0.08626636944040257,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7266067900148765,0.07157931782953722,0.21551757896815035,0.08626636944040257,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4631881848224246,0.3202934250579852,-0.2995329938075524,0.2888099383188728,1.110764181927043,1.4994140852508038,1.0693093304565013,3.9915506329113923,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.023766548146897,0.2523823023539824,1.0957751950429035,0.8875754090618316,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.023766548146897,0.045417052933673055,0.20528384792976723,0.2523823023539824,1.0957751950429035,0.8875754090618316,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1571355550238898,0.19860642823858154,-0.2995329938075523,0.26501551348224217,0.8191264799403588,1.091723657726624,0.6630535945772461,3.888145161290323,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7165940647954187,0.42823557022281356,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7165940647954187,0.12774382571352658,0.21579655148490623,0.42823557022281356,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221861567574852,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221861567574852,0.08401733545416276,0.21393962919665624,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143939265889148,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143939265889148,0.06038981804816548,0.2031544457831959,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2476468462195185,0.21027209236597866,-0.2991348287054615,0.26256716239826916,0.8612912059965988,1.1614890339694153,0.7029341694377549,4.11200806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7115089785212759,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7115089785212759,0.13744334396970725,0.21408419049205343,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224454759199508,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224454759199508,0.07986923044440271,0.21456910304979113,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139139081909632,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139139081909632,0.06010330694246767,0.2035911209592863,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.20974888847886253,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.710224954397275,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.710224954397275,0.1372352147974206,0.21471301990587321,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233600704568114,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233600704568114,0.07859731251845833,0.21446864930675477,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162396685881883,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162396685881883,0.0495643603000166,0.20387505322651003,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1761026833717678,0.2010815977486613,-0.2995329938075525,0.26332572148188105,0.830545827975371,1.1091608555478982,0.6713170231852809,3.8586895161290324,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7124610794130104,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7124610794130104,0.12988193747878818,0.21477182050973398,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221861567574852,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221861567574852,0.08401733545416276,0.21393962919665624,0.14103584615554426,0.8027991667043519,0.46105126653138145,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143939265889148,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143939265889148,0.06038981804816548,0.2031544457831959,0.31631912435301557,1.176398932974902,1.0274884510140931,0.8953752843062927,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2476468462195185,0.21027209236597866,-0.2991348287054615,0.26256716239826916,0.8612912059965988,1.1614890339694153,0.7029341694377549,4.11200806451613,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7115089785212759,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7115089785212759,0.13744334396970725,0.21408419049205343,0.47400661540132055,1.0494121596387689,0.6290033303790706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224454759199508,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224454759199508,0.07986923044440271,0.21456910304979113,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139139081909632,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139139081909632,0.06010330694246767,0.2035911209592863,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,0.8741470811220622,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.20974888847886253,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.710224954397275,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.710224954397275,0.1372352147974206,0.21471301990587321,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233600704568114,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233600704568114,0.07859731251845833,0.21446864930675477,0.11647695149676604,0.7800397300152111,0.4463843457232154,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162396685881883,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162396685881883,0.0495643603000166,0.20387505322651003,0.26453783054433533,1.1283261299175904,0.9605907028407443,0.9029567854435178,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1761026833717678,0.2010815977486613,-0.2995329938075525,0.26332572148188105,0.830545827975371,1.1091608555478982,0.6713170231852809,3.8586895161290324,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7124610794130104,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7124610794130104,0.12988193747878818,0.21477182050973398,0.4378349717442506,1.007606295477056,0.5997234375216509,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.6252529658826367,0.2040863011893883,-0.36280848330171056,0.266126699877393,0.8334778186213053,0.9959040468933249,0.562517996635902,3.722833665338645,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.718787568103606,0.13073389566138396,0.7872275600394888,0.44581253060475584,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.718787568103606,0.08249969395617754,0.2141512064445134,0.13073389566138396,0.7872275600394888,0.44581253060475584,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348203681530199,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.3348203681530199,-0.006464876370733219,0.24609680259208966,0.9033725669508934,0.4759253944422819,0.4001237788684925,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5428810343635702,0.33331502733667606,-0.2991348287054614,0.28859384595151016,1.1455049838453952,1.5592396156680766,1.114263520497206,4.238132911392405,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0222348074001626,0.300067185205883,1.1438479981002152,0.9590209063422127,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,1.0222348074001626,0.05561502943084002,0.20527390927381672,0.300067185205883,1.1438479981002152,0.9590209063422127,0.8756633813495072,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.222975872492439,0.20712847571743898,-0.2991348287054616,0.2647148573976066,0.8466044414759917,1.136449979560737,0.6924251402413083,4.126735887096775,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7158107384959477,0.4611661684031625,1.0227622873473599,0.6040245236127669,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.7158107384959477,0.13486903189372582,0.2156257665881619,0.4611661684031625,1.0227622873473599,0.6040245236127669,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3972384523964685,0.19672726685660047,-0.37302695578168865,0.26872312219906874,0.8052254400176976,0.9509899523744517,0.5273808334959409,3.5485153137450194,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7255436033692847,0.104684460496681,0.770327106706263,0.445153123390793,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7255436033692847,0.07576227357417054,0.2155889651336586,0.104684460496681,0.770327106706263,0.445153123390793,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.513787867077201,0.32859444063973053,-0.2995329938075525,0.2889637368914631,1.1320854404206662,1.5368379543131303,1.0970225231710193,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0233500064033978,0.282818913112672,1.1168021449014593,0.9035895760689472,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,1.0233500064033978,0.05186100285779089,0.20558000881874305,0.282818913112672,1.1168021449014593,0.9035895760689472,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1969675178272867,0.2037854390814846,-0.2995329938075523,0.2650618843970279,0.8353429362925144,1.1179439414076344,0.6803438796208715,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7153818962465361,0.44757623362503796,0.9983601400133851,0.5806568237558789,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7153818962465361,0.13223129424164837,0.21616006421255127,0.44757623362503796,0.9983601400133851,0.5806568237558789,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,3.456050796812749,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7266067900148765,0.08626636944040257,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7266067900148765,0.07157931782953722,0.21551757896815035,0.08626636944040257,0.7564927077039342,0.43898569552602307,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348940257790832,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.3348940257790832,-0.004510518945475945,0.24668090260649375,0.9090534432034001,0.46242174176686,0.3924506095940735,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4631881848224246,0.3202934250579852,-0.2995329938075524,0.2888099383188728,1.110764181927043,1.4994140852508038,1.0693093304565013,3.9915506329113923,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.023766548146897,0.2523823023539824,1.0957751950429035,0.8875754090618316,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.023766548146897,0.045417052933673055,0.20528384792976723,0.2523823023539824,1.0957751950429035,0.8875754090618316,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1571355550238898,0.19860642823858154,-0.2995329938075523,0.26501551348224217,0.8191264799403588,1.091723657726624,0.6630535945772461,3.888145161290323,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7165940647954187,0.42823557022281356,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7165940647954187,0.12774382571352658,0.21579655148490623,0.42823557022281356,0.980956423185647,0.5730854892349292,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.426746861531583,0.2530863634893574,-0.38738188113568417,0.29593212662325136,0.9130870156641734,1.1212889164187274,0.653325247808148,3.5773157370517925,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7734980191150406,0.3217761524067536,0.8739302465767415,0.3802031382869813,-0.03442061603531976,0.45338008780898487,0.7734980191150406,0.1202971302262884,0.2374256201229709,0.3217761524067536,0.8739302465767415,0.3802031382869813,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03442061603531976,-0.034818707271439986,-0.14987556410039926,0.19896407919889592,-0.07682442915736196,-0.10758194157763418,-0.2323174393399813,3.1263781163434903,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.354172887190687,1.2456463517747491,0.7505765573071093,0.34532030968582283,-0.03442061603531976,0.45338008780898487,0.354172887190687,0.10652897110000774,0.26384281473138227,1.2456463517747491,0.7505765573071093,0.34532030968582283,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.363686352473275,0.45338008780898487,-0.3427616086487548,0.3217417847618032,1.3278527074457642,1.8956620801180326,1.3227271560438567,4.170322784810127,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1332847147099427,0.683356332213887,1.33355383570384,0.7098256639165094,-0.03442061603531976,0.45338008780898487,1.1332847147099427,0.12238375658627532,0.231557048413071,0.683356332213887,1.33355383570384,0.7098256639165094,0.9075056861258529,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2479061960715474,0.3199481876149821,-0.3427616086487546,0.2976650306679115,1.0852205521965559,1.5335795439862216,0.9334423095873886,3.916422580645162,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7855484635200612,0.8279108557225101,1.2278676114005445,0.47830169308791826,-0.03442061603531976,0.45338008780898487,0.7855484635200612,0.22509830194952563,0.23959432609068299,0.8279108557225101,1.2278676114005445,0.47830169308791826,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.219945736085374,0.24812615500620416,-0.420635720508192,0.29786107244324656,0.8958118448653751,1.091091471334549,0.5898836996212067,3.471815239043824,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7765025539808337,0.30535588464304875,0.8804921125213355,0.4116790699487332,-0.031588358600942446,0.4405282022120178,0.7765025539808337,0.11633050414830667,0.239109840940824,0.30535588464304875,0.8804921125213355,0.4116790699487332,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.031588358600942446,-0.03195423811270093,-0.14987556410039926,0.19934306549080485,-0.06156202314501395,-0.08710132643445476,-0.21320512322672755,3.0757894736842104,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3582449379678303,1.2633210619653668,0.7503803167834594,0.3421874590821789,-0.031588358600942446,0.4405282022120178,0.3582449379678303,0.11094285221589777,0.2625367287804724,1.2633210619653668,0.7503803167834594,0.3421874590821789,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2681395553660155,0.4405282022120178,-0.3427616086487545,0.32226182023377775,1.2985553810681605,1.843520629236095,1.2852320420267656,4.050113924050633,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1375412198667294,0.6455677777049249,1.336627416198344,0.8026512328203798,-0.031588358600942446,0.4405282022120178,1.1375412198667294,0.11248792121899834,0.23155600580975028,0.6455677777049249,1.336627416198344,0.8026512328203798,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1649043911331867,0.31192060485662254,-0.34276160864875493,0.2981421191849274,1.063423475832431,1.4974756686320712,0.9100220006735448,3.8127387096774195,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7896079218243887,0.8040646267708457,1.2303484157262987,0.5101770617794892,-0.031588358600942446,0.4405282022120178,0.7896079218243887,0.21861133117751338,0.2392616922314505,0.8040646267708457,1.2303484157262987,0.5101770617794892,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.431664784209594,0.2532026048785925,-0.4170632587824147,0.29853667398175565,0.9081024841316792,1.105970773674743,0.6071083931435215,3.3335732071713147,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7805663333901321,0.3234040762708589,0.8798581901027247,0.3891558814204901,-0.03763737251724397,0.4429302185179924,0.7805663333901321,0.11981730572256967,0.23898281161704046,0.3234040762708589,0.8798581901027247,0.3891558814204901,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03763737251724397,-0.03807192846259644,-0.14987556410039926,0.19896476701401278,-0.09365459650197266,-0.1321355791193358,-0.25402358744146347,3.0252008310249305,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36730469501844865,1.2576178193394152,0.7259448272625258,0.3421874590821789,-0.03763737251724397,0.4429302185179924,0.36730469501844865,0.10769686377584944,0.2586685489376009,1.2576178193394152,0.7259448272625258,0.3421874590821789,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.285852686986831,0.4429302185179924,-0.33422829391526454,0.3235620878599813,1.2998229417154583,1.8420102625984032,1.3252325628370847,3.8374367088607593,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1437519546513086,0.6525023729130436,1.309655445045313,0.7014965837062732,-0.03763737251724397,0.4429302185179924,1.1437519546513086,0.11291590147151997,0.23231133934495948,0.6525023729130436,1.309655445045313,0.7014965837062732,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1621818253699296,0.31165457725920853,-0.33422829391526454,0.29916637573634347,1.0601385279411764,1.490270900193936,0.9324601864443618,3.638361290322581,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7971201544380742,0.805982182718794,1.2038362758165166,0.47327311778904185,-0.03763737251724397,0.4429302185179924,0.7971201544380742,0.2177812576604634,0.2388245545605847,0.805982182718794,1.2038362758165166,0.47327311778904185,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.518335540971395,0.2552384669834644,-0.38738188113568417,0.2964869353609925,0.9177434410979403,1.1274752376891444,0.6588807567230145,3.565189243027888,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7741999713687535,0.3289999409157284,0.8766655007872893,0.375210449664977,-0.024182668812073316,0.4549952480969517,0.7741999713687535,0.12204824009775672,0.23794855485160196,0.3289999409157284,0.8766655007872893,0.375210449664977,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.024182668812073316,-0.024463856820656993,-0.14987556410039926,0.20557769286385813,-0.01627937770013057,-0.022811235721567524,-0.16322778811540647,3.025200831024931,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.357618474397203,1.2730437518353839,0.7685097931297717,0.33242783706524004,-0.024182668812073316,0.4549952480969517,0.357618474397203,0.11965267174951284,0.26754262296131387,1.2730437518353839,0.7685097931297717,0.33242783706524004,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3758292283900015,0.4549952480969517,-0.3427616086487548,0.3217716524038625,1.3312276115415225,1.9006565665584798,1.3274393532305082,4.170322784810127,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1332889735650755,0.6880962090606937,1.3366566832370947,0.7098256639165094,-0.024182668812073316,0.4549952480969517,1.1332889735650755,0.1235082192949758,0.23159782236896956,0.6880962090606937,1.3366566832370947,0.7098256639165094,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2941926681937304,0.32435692178119746,-0.3427616086487547,0.29873463262251265,1.0936256155413302,1.5469478831880425,0.9463047015676208,3.89285806451613,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7869930586422973,0.8397312806829823,1.2336590161063359,0.47011274217054116,-0.024182668812073316,0.4549952480969517,0.7869930586422973,0.2285898425821739,0.24059408732511053,0.8397312806829823,1.2336590161063359,0.47011274217054116,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.25313563567713,0.2489318990231475,-0.420635720508192,0.29850257520756307,0.8967016930941175,1.0929129546578509,0.591799238358549,3.4657519920318722,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7788090591493243,0.3085480842826906,0.8828425731855801,0.41095071395507027,-0.03068716382356529,0.44247948491600986,0.7788090591493243,0.11672375919540812,0.23935940144192083,0.3085480842826906,0.8828425731855801,0.41095071395507027,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03068716382356529,-0.03104277320270976,-0.14987556410039926,0.20671750060111885,-0.04753616744630369,-0.06725643371206302,-0.20712364546574583,2.9746121883656507,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3685903508020365,1.2647305816258156,0.76076103943867,0.3403066468751146,-0.03068716382356529,0.44247948491600986,0.3685903508020365,0.11694645965802355,0.2641776743211525,1.2647305816258156,0.76076103943867,0.3403066468751146,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2825238036299718,0.44247948491600986,-0.3427616086487545,0.32234144529945263,1.3025320019864641,1.8496230157159117,1.290924869504395,4.065525316455696,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1377448142374753,0.651335756507846,1.3404074756799509,0.8026512328203798,-0.03068716382356529,0.44247948491600986,1.1377448142374753,0.11381838371697661,0.23163218335415597,0.651335756507846,1.3404074756799509,0.8026512328203798,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.181792457913224,0.3135668769995803,-0.3427616086487547,0.29938668821831915,1.0644634431672138,1.5008093584155093,0.9148249660623697,3.800956451612904,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.794302251989417,0.8092680803726092,1.2353250898866708,0.508982420588329,-0.03068716382356529,0.44247948491600986,0.794302251989417,0.21966094784899515,0.2397434475346295,0.8092680803726092,1.2353250898866708,0.508982420588329,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.5145729681188955,0.25515058094845355,-0.4170632587824147,0.29910070657904614,0.9121640472975028,1.112218616349486,0.6117790900434308,3.3214467131474104,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7804278355950679,0.3296138613081257,0.8838503424402407,0.38705073907929216,-0.02819151782818652,0.44428326547247865,0.7804278355950679,0.12157116433302041,0.2397199891335935,0.3296138613081257,0.8838503424402407,0.38705073907929216,0.9158453373768006,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02819151782818652,-0.028518634462079473,-0.14987556410039926,0.20565099147905452,-0.03633056165378466,-0.05177998734893518,-0.1902820825613393,2.8228462603878115,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3667494569381898,1.2742002533130161,0.76076103943867,0.33675141208403303,-0.02819151782818652,0.44428326547247865,0.3667494569381898,0.11866844405971841,0.26406267344514095,1.2742002533130161,0.76076103943867,0.33675141208403303,0.9158453373768006,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2958596129842603,0.44428326547247865,-0.33422829391526443,0.32361041496567555,1.3025863774651403,1.8462017461396178,1.329280834569667,3.8682594936708865,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1438674187225086,0.6564873700577375,1.3122704403290633,0.7014965837062732,-0.02819151782818652,0.44428326547247865,1.1438674187225086,0.1138419360931696,0.23235906798047173,0.6564873700577375,1.3122704403290633,0.7014965837062732,0.9158453373768006,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.202944327945611,0.3156193958505997,-0.33422829391526443,0.30025839501416374,1.0674734592688722,1.503674301461916,0.944322792524015,3.6147967741935485,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.7968556450631046,0.8151816975119579,1.2122889343462309,0.46982028733809306,-0.02819151782818652,0.44428326547247865,0.7968556450631046,0.2211743003205021,0.24025122593773127,0.8151816975119579,1.2122889343462309,0.46982028733809306,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.74419951538498,0.2604342522250185,-0.3898600851240055,0.30193542654503086,0.9203117353935139,1.1375775386408908,0.6680197900797676,3.551850099601593,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7901982811375882,0.34887921501540836,0.9104500410088444,0.4049103779734205,-0.011143383516908356,0.47023731907082866,0.7901982811375882,0.12472332169268904,0.2409453843935809,0.34887921501540836,0.9104500410088444,0.4049103779734205,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.011143383516908356,-0.011273830652876904,-0.15316167695438132,0.21706565604691716,0.057196777038900054,0.08061267276452942,-0.07360738584910359,2.7722576177285316,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.35928348315256214,1.2918598828988432,0.8532219920182039,0.3427218346390793,-0.011143383516908356,0.47023731907082866,0.35928348315256214,0.13598746793686595,0.2758469413505463,1.2918598828988432,0.8532219920182039,0.3427218346390793,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.49191755253837,0.47023731907082866,-0.3308445529516366,0.326409956629372,1.3490785372268796,1.8982927554976698,1.421324047428306,4.204227848101266,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1657703174098597,0.7368511974320501,1.3775837241091866,0.7429069471172305,-0.011143383516908356,0.47023731907082866,1.1657703174098597,0.12677243009100236,0.23256112323693673,0.7368511974320501,1.3775837241091866,0.7429069471172305,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4530057760410107,0.3391326247123816,-0.3308445529516365,0.304436962015991,1.1154713718697782,1.5614649920041324,1.025051256509448,3.8598677419354845,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.805610549687676,0.8826438871596433,1.2825237386047108,0.4887201560809856,-0.011143383516908356,0.47023731907082866,0.805610549687676,0.23915567910878827,0.24349712651205638,0.8826438871596433,1.2825237386047108,0.4887201560809856,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.803655317862557,0.2617765321445571,-0.3950721034181698,0.30378522297394756,0.9200689986318938,1.1341602757487124,0.6626044458205542,3.388142430278884,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8009333247500565,0.3559587125307021,0.9072378886308184,0.3937568386695249,-0.020395190215243497,0.4615239628944039,0.8009333247500565,0.12427137076057798,0.24072872238461024,0.3559587125307021,0.9072378886308184,0.3937568386695249,0.9234268385140257,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.020395190215243497,-0.0206328056141013,-0.15316167695438132,0.21914689813982827,0.015650599950958348,0.02244500403676743,-0.13471258623165058,2.7216689750692518,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3756775677031617,1.2802155614318624,0.8294370303920522,0.3484362345914469,-0.020395190215243497,0.4615239628944039,0.3756775677031617,0.13264037619720256,0.27133705628774374,1.2802155614318624,0.8294370303920522,0.3484362345914469,0.9234268385140257,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4252216243190667,0.4615239628944039,-0.3308445529516365,0.32593851566902976,1.3322338843410582,1.8688289572726597,1.3949873400571609,4.00079746835443,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.162709429930433,0.7109446189873135,1.3631904689189067,0.7456041937855286,-0.020395190215243497,0.4615239628944039,1.162709429930433,0.12146944533167636,0.23241839895899957,0.7109446189873135,1.3631904689189067,0.7456041937855286,0.9234268385140257,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3553635777617195,0.3301113199028374,-0.3308445529516364,0.3044047529023106,1.0932520613098216,1.5306480118852932,0.9977837536019334,3.692559677419355,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.81122037866025,0.8593152177090753,1.2664278887683718,0.49333381714709307,-0.020395190215243497,0.4615239628944039,0.81122037866025,0.23165671264484308,0.24219477775194978,0.8593152177090753,1.2664278887683718,0.49333381714709307,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.6456641721806236,0.2581866385762899,-0.39026080673599006,0.304721443509903,0.9088065135749204,1.1206592346940079,0.661574603751978,3.2777913346613543,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8035030424319038,0.3444597830846909,0.9028310396314605,0.4015240730348321,-0.025839103396558483,0.449347520719501,0.8035030424319038,0.12120279059358409,0.2413023434311809,0.3444597830846909,0.9028310396314605,0.4015240730348321,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.025839103396558483,-0.026139292684077442,-0.15316167695438132,0.2196910261047389,-0.009308878316140672,-0.01336918059058466,-0.17066470675861653,2.671080332409972,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3772368810024831,1.2607429504257404,0.8294370303920522,0.35701319312325147,-0.025839103396558483,0.449347520719501,0.3772368810024831,0.12770182917145126,0.27118538658081814,1.2607429504257404,0.8294370303920522,0.35701319312325147,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3335012090243143,0.449347520719501,-0.3321605583585703,0.3269230097276112,1.3035362529143772,1.8268205996964857,1.3528021597146593,3.785037974683544,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1673017864369986,0.6744699927542182,1.3424487974048809,0.7655914125735757,-0.025839103396558483,0.449347520719501,1.1673017864369986,0.11216380892499535,0.23302188694483572,0.6744699927542182,1.3424487974048809,0.7655914125735757,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2473665266117804,0.3198965022776621,-0.3321605583585703,0.3053003181551166,1.065612761966278,1.4912280725372113,0.9630779279107875,3.5158258064516135,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.814423519109603,0.8271357037472334,1.2494464134563064,0.5060735463384824,-0.025839103396558483,0.449347520719501,0.814423519109603,0.22379817051288498,0.24259918770081051,0.8271357037472334,1.2494464134563064,0.5060735463384824,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.700172220381859,0.2594335703375734,-0.4008238521812101,0.3072730109935853,0.9071364298518593,1.1116009149801764,0.6472508283271651,3.72687583001328,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8001190025714983,0.34620050135824154,0.9020251470401681,0.39673293585978864,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,0.8001190025714983,0.12366437398316657,0.24530485091081325,0.34620050135824154,0.9020251470401681,0.39673293585978864,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03804674739191927,-0.03848593478080142,-0.15571183078177375,0.20056965233702875,-0.09342753439997269,-0.13017541503459498,-0.24716127597740792,3.187084487534626,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.35662779884474444,1.2313551138247727,0.7505765573071093,0.35088392835467275,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,0.35662779884474444,0.10391988747544335,0.2641004286050108,1.2313551138247727,0.7505765573071093,0.35088392835467275,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4639750493806454,0.4666009625051293,-0.3526841856315901,0.33433079905164453,1.317485046677045,1.8793101727034107,1.3229993901471255,4.3562869198312235,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1724534000646962,0.7072466190480168,1.3796719094742462,0.750867782548202,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,1.1724534000646962,0.12509791109586743,0.24247002259606967,0.7072466190480168,1.3796719094742462,0.750867782548202,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3321820657049552,0.3279401262898618,-0.3526841856315903,0.30835182251211724,1.077825067800195,1.5188565839524897,0.929840746056088,4.072733870967742,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8083675901395404,0.8382055238866369,1.2656250761565835,0.496808825346706,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,0.8083675901395404,0.23157056868712902,0.24776722733991893,0.8382055238866369,1.2656250761565835,0.496808825346706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.473633532928053,0.25419142507015713,-0.4347335327847208,0.3092938592682996,0.8897755774541941,1.0814161039776153,0.5847062761455584,3.6177373837981404,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.803226898518195,0.3293536097179002,0.9088806866137141,0.42959609440967245,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,0.803226898518195,0.11952560066262191,0.24711507638121477,0.3293536097179002,0.9088806866137141,0.42959609440967245,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.035225135426455334,-0.03563235856554625,-0.15571183078177375,0.20094586533001763,-0.07825684132266088,-0.11013977822456139,-0.22883526824293854,3.136495844875346,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36069984962188767,1.2489344595761187,0.7503803167834594,0.3477509388445502,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,0.36069984962188767,0.10833376859133341,0.26279581783116224,1.2489344595761187,0.7503803167834594,0.3477509388445502,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3616368011070077,0.4531070731631681,-0.3526841856315899,0.33487728926787125,1.2881663587407222,1.8272654571330431,1.2847388446174304,4.232995780590718,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1768849142812818,0.6696295749284036,1.3829507171154374,0.8477660733391914,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,1.1768849142812818,0.11480770925380432,0.24250412426296497,0.6696295749284036,1.3829507171154374,0.8477660733391914,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.243222689533448,0.3194994189327429,-0.3526841856315902,0.3088497642010373,1.0558626350926963,1.4826110730688542,0.9059079821245183,3.966693548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8125207574367075,0.8139662244827428,1.2682739026073857,0.530169944588429,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,0.8125207574367075,0.2248063974120573,0.2474715220450718,0.8139662244827428,1.2682739026073857,0.530169944588429,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.704883553977742,0.2595409283040535,-0.4311032517727461,0.31000179203420514,0.902228480676554,1.0964835059416302,0.6020389019029464,3.474240537848605,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8073728275674263,0.3476231223813149,0.9083573028207723,0.40622363253458865,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,0.8073728275674263,0.12321238566870912,0.24704503381166978,0.3476231223813149,0.9083573028207723,0.40622363253458865,0.9021986353297953,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04125143285248689,-0.041726804557698394,-0.15571183078177375,0.20057015524800584,-0.11012302020471695,-0.15456107947867181,-0.2679745292840174,3.0859072022160663,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.369759606672506,1.243005034409173,0.7259448272625258,0.3477509388445502,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,0.369759606672506,0.10508778015128509,0.2589311718383722,1.243005034409173,0.7259448272625258,0.3477509388445502,0.9021986353297953,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3805759397729362,0.455625529806966,-0.34396467280179643,0.33623375953938733,1.2895143835704868,1.825890141134614,1.3246288524214584,4.012099156118143,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1833413145372407,0.6763983897889109,1.3548941057956956,0.7427973259364645,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,1.1833413145372407,0.11527161475331234,0.24333077511734139,0.6763983897889109,1.3548941057956956,0.7427973259364645,0.9021986353297953,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2411223383906558,0.3192980045942895,-0.34396467280179654,0.30992607548223244,1.0527910119842596,1.4758448557920887,0.9282872045940579,3.7860322580645165,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8201692570111484,0.8158425919392408,1.2408737537345351,0.49187451468161475,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,0.8201692570111484,0.22403732382909955,0.2471284574110892,0.8158425919392408,1.2408737537345351,0.49187451468161475,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.795657534737373,0.26159657485845456,-0.4008238521812101,0.307807171355207,0.9116931841068615,1.117701288936164,0.6526472250463485,3.7147493359893757,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8008209548252109,0.3531652515919344,0.9047603781037363,0.3917402472377844,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,0.8008209548252109,0.12541548385463497,0.24581076405682767,0.3531652515919344,0.9047603781037363,0.3917402472377844,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.027847247697762145,-0.028170427811615273,-0.15571183078177375,0.2071327971276463,-0.03282967878184265,-0.04579016811551568,-0.18091385651418757,3.0859072022160663,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36007338605126044,1.2589374593568736,0.7685097931297717,0.3379914557340899,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,0.36007338605126044,0.11704358812494849,0.26779728867289804,1.2589374593568736,0.7685097931297717,0.3379914557340899,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.476479968030969,0.4682308155174344,-0.3526841856315901,0.3343593647172924,1.3207389512313574,1.8841126317411458,1.327620671958745,4.3562869198312235,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1724576589198292,0.7117752882031653,1.3827746971458235,0.750867782548202,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,1.1724576589198292,0.12622237380456777,0.24250871709003094,0.7117752882031653,1.3827746971458235,0.750867782548202,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.379669569244915,0.3323755543146736,-0.3526841856315902,0.3093840412448344,1.0860966201996032,1.5321914581127427,0.9424169493720062,4.04916935483871,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8098121852617767,0.8497102959798857,1.2714164318528434,0.4886198744293289,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,0.8098121852617767,0.2350621093197773,0.2487335944128329,0.8497102959798857,1.2714164318528434,0.4886198744293289,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.508177402141953,0.25500109116145797,-0.4347335327847208,0.3099115895913138,0.8907134139775861,1.0833373568060356,0.5865687183779633,3.611674136786188,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8055334036866859,0.3324293280106064,0.9112311332217675,0.4288677384160095,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,0.8055334036866859,0.11991885570972328,0.24735642512821943,0.3324293280106064,0.9112311332217675,0.4288677384160095,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03432732499943103,-0.034724356795272304,-0.15571183078177375,0.20826371530523133,-0.06376523144814726,-0.0897953893740531,-0.22300397227965052,3.0353185595567864,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3710452624560938,1.25043887672137,0.76076103943867,0.3458701266374859,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,0.3710452624560938,0.11433737603345918,0.26443528233678965,1.25043887672137,0.76076103943867,0.3458701266374859,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.376432709664089,0.45507541404392726,-0.3526841856315899,0.3349536615033804,1.2920082249302525,1.8331331184072976,1.2903198742211088,4.248407172995781,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1770885086520277,0.6751402219943277,1.3867307402455555,0.8477660733391914,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,1.1770885086520277,0.11613817175178255,0.24257651315238055,0.6751402219943277,1.3867307402455555,0.8477660733391914,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.260528806700741,0.32115521482091647,-0.3526841856315899,0.31005113072389145,1.0570443056133954,1.4863378912578842,0.9106028223119473,3.9549112903225807,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8172150876017354,0.819031768670381,1.2732505470063225,0.5289753033972687,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,0.8172150876017354,0.22585601408353911,0.24793704534722205,0.819031768670381,1.2732505470063225,0.5289753033972687,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.791313862154216,0.2614987603328891,-0.4311032517727461,0.31054480207194873,0.906212114232307,1.102612192774441,0.6065803476489128,3.462114043824701,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8072343297723619,0.35359338947714913,0.9123494433400529,0.40411849019339074,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,0.8072343297723619,0.12496624427915996,0.2477579741165258,0.35359338947714913,0.9123494433400529,0.40411849019339074,0.9097801364670205,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0318410511626811,-0.03220980859952516,-0.15571183078177375,0.20720532064681269,-0.05272471902276289,-0.07477553163129491,-0.20685524303330813,2.883552631578947,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3692043685922471,1.2598919849002292,0.76076103943867,0.3423148918464043,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,0.3692043685922471,0.11605936043515402,0.26432051564694203,1.2598919849002292,0.76076103943867,0.3423148918464043,0.9097801364670205,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3908714230073036,0.45699049205581965,-0.34396467280179677,0.3362800953006513,1.2921828217334645,1.8299206657304223,1.3285971734636595,4.04292194092827,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1834567786084407,0.6802049695395018,1.3575090705156574,0.7427973259364645,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,1.1834567786084407,0.11619764937496192,0.2433761074370056,0.6802049695395018,1.3575090705156574,0.7427973259364645,0.9097801364670205,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.282902512541257,0.32328593494164237,-0.3439646728017963,0.31097990315882174,1.0600281552488584,1.4891093712668448,0.9398812160222346,3.762467741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8199047476361789,0.824838058644649,1.2493263872412794,0.48842168423066606,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,0.8199047476361789,0.22743036648913814,0.24850694691596603,0.824838058644649,1.2493263872412794,0.48842168423066606,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.03221870184562,0.26684244410402247,-0.40335879971152255,0.3134428352487356,0.914172195335016,1.1275725303338293,0.6615510664323303,3.702622841965471,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8175416401560299,0.37235093001460695,0.9396868758892754,0.4224487057637874,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,0.8175416401560299,0.12808980762517305,0.24903078661871755,0.37235093001460695,0.9396868758892754,0.4224487057637874,0.9211523881728583,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015054286765801561,-0.015230162174147965,-0.15912984560159582,0.21880830979905894,0.04030837766877433,0.05652864488829158,-0.09570902376339156,2.8329639889196674,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36205662316865184,1.277243225518359,0.8532219920182039,0.34855718038427735,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,0.36205662316865184,0.13334561416290416,0.27618854604978194,1.277243225518359,0.8532219920182039,0.34855718038427735,0.9211523881728583,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.600184985499201,0.48413976352740873,-0.3404579462299032,0.33919848034399364,1.3387181903914323,1.8820490200669717,1.4220251543210585,4.392246835443038,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2062842978305783,0.7594512901193191,1.425239047948496,0.7849876616466217,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,1.2062842978305783,0.1296130946152259,0.24373051110096886,0.7594512901193191,1.425239047948496,0.7849876616466217,0.9211523881728583,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.545986768317554,0.347543799715089,-0.34045794622990333,0.31524499669183775,1.107861293803936,1.5465287433731338,1.0208127128876021,4.0177499999999995,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8293176760200865,0.8919272158741802,1.3215397699172537,0.5077787898434858,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,0.8293176760200865,0.2458571385748865,0.25178989999658996,0.8919272158741802,1.3215397699172537,0.5077787898434858,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.09816573134462,0.26827720022116486,-0.40875068693250227,0.3153671719476812,0.9141162663486204,1.1244027562297374,0.6563345550180468,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.828585573363817,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.828585573363817,0.12769087702016074,0.2489303347618909,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.024269527565687454,-0.02455171278002377,-0.15912984560159582,0.22087267064204394,-0.0007509643882581444,-0.0010714575919058816,-0.15428729090514215,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3784507077192514,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.3784507077192514,0.1299985224232407,0.27168395665135825,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.528740121351604,0.47499868834075887,-0.3404579462299032,0.33870570636478015,1.3218439582651151,1.8526330083474223,1.3951758024763607,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030852224046247,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,1.2030852224046247,0.12409852883189167,0.24356226476763881,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4430992657043165,0.3382263033129467,-0.34045794622990344,0.3151815247357876,1.0859074212568376,1.5161360085041025,0.993445173062726,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348493203796685,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.8348493203796685,0.23817773828313385,0.2505069895043087,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.9277247243793605,0.26454465897493495,-0.4038526440546917,0.31634105510428345,0.9029378286448915,1.1110396626626828,0.6550524377379315,3.417650232403718,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8312438584347711,0.36794309259984914,0.9317987366682485,0.41887102539696724,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,0.8312438584347711,0.1245297081342718,0.2495560521238971,0.36794309259984914,0.9317987366682485,0.41887102539696724,0.9219105382865808,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.029691910068548433,-0.03003616581438817,-0.15912984560159582,0.22141220469476613,-0.02547612486043753,-0.036403255488048014,-0.188752560532158,2.731786703601108,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.38001002101857284,1.2458906352280832,0.8294370303920522,0.3628484703948992,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,0.38001002101857284,0.1250599753974895,0.27153219302033055,1.2458906352280832,0.8294370303920522,0.3628484703948992,0.9219105382865808,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4303222288538917,0.46219444505680274,-0.3418414842237779,0.33973182560475235,1.2931371879674878,1.810653325975099,1.352072426511695,3.955590717299578,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2078567566200828,0.6974492281905437,1.3884945337253418,0.8085120018835513,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,1.2078567566200828,0.1144188011943022,0.24421868438356484,0.6974492281905437,1.3884945337253418,0.8085120018835513,0.9219105382865808,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3284694097286103,0.327591325052208,-0.34184148422377825,0.3161106739493824,1.0583305680109527,1.4769055401106932,0.958313546397307,3.660354838709677,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8381486397264334,0.8363162973203558,1.287144654604472,0.5254385455785875,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,0.8381486397264334,0.23005804626549003,0.25095783063969046,0.8363162973203558,1.287144654604472,0.5254385455785875,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.700172220381859,0.2594335703375734,-0.4008238521812101,0.3072730109935853,0.9071364298518593,1.1116009149801764,0.6472508283271651,3.72687583001328,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8001190025714983,0.34620050135824154,0.9020251470401681,0.39673293585978864,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,0.8001190025714983,0.12366437398316657,0.24530485091081325,0.34620050135824154,0.9020251470401681,0.39673293585978864,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03804674739191927,-0.03848593478080142,-0.15571183078177375,0.20056965233702875,-0.09342753439997269,-0.13017541503459498,-0.24716127597740792,3.187084487534626,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.35662779884474444,1.2313551138247727,0.7505765573071093,0.35088392835467275,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,0.35662779884474444,0.10391988747544335,0.2641004286050108,1.2313551138247727,0.7505765573071093,0.35088392835467275,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4639750493806454,0.4666009625051293,-0.3526841856315901,0.33433079905164453,1.317485046677045,1.8793101727034107,1.3229993901471255,4.3562869198312235,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1724534000646962,0.7072466190480168,1.3796719094742462,0.750867782548202,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,1.1724534000646962,0.12509791109586743,0.24247002259606967,0.7072466190480168,1.3796719094742462,0.750867782548202,0.9052312357846853,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3321820657049552,0.3279401262898618,-0.3526841856315903,0.30835182251211724,1.077825067800195,1.5188565839524897,0.929840746056088,4.072733870967742,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8083675901395404,0.8382055238866369,1.2656250761565835,0.496808825346706,-0.03804674739191927,0.4666009625051293,0.8083675901395404,0.23157056868712902,0.24776722733991893,0.8382055238866369,1.2656250761565835,0.496808825346706,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.473633532928053,0.25419142507015713,-0.4347335327847208,0.3092938592682996,0.8897755774541941,1.0814161039776153,0.5847062761455584,3.6177373837981404,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.803226898518195,0.3293536097179002,0.9088806866137141,0.42959609440967245,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,0.803226898518195,0.11952560066262191,0.24711507638121477,0.3293536097179002,0.9088806866137141,0.42959609440967245,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.035225135426455334,-0.03563235856554625,-0.15571183078177375,0.20094586533001763,-0.07825684132266088,-0.11013977822456139,-0.22883526824293854,3.136495844875346,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36069984962188767,1.2489344595761187,0.7503803167834594,0.3477509388445502,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,0.36069984962188767,0.10833376859133341,0.26279581783116224,1.2489344595761187,0.7503803167834594,0.3477509388445502,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3616368011070077,0.4531070731631681,-0.3526841856315899,0.33487728926787125,1.2881663587407222,1.8272654571330431,1.2847388446174304,4.232995780590718,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1768849142812818,0.6696295749284036,1.3829507171154374,0.8477660733391914,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,1.1768849142812818,0.11480770925380432,0.24250412426296497,0.6696295749284036,1.3829507171154374,0.8477660733391914,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.243222689533448,0.3194994189327429,-0.3526841856315902,0.3088497642010373,1.0558626350926963,1.4826110730688542,0.9059079821245183,3.966693548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8125207574367075,0.8139662244827428,1.2682739026073857,0.530169944588429,-0.035225135426455334,0.4531070731631681,0.8125207574367075,0.2248063974120573,0.2474715220450718,0.8139662244827428,1.2682739026073857,0.530169944588429,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.704883553977742,0.2595409283040535,-0.4311032517727461,0.31000179203420514,0.902228480676554,1.0964835059416302,0.6020389019029464,3.474240537848605,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8073728275674263,0.3476231223813149,0.9083573028207723,0.40622363253458865,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,0.8073728275674263,0.12321238566870912,0.24704503381166978,0.3476231223813149,0.9083573028207723,0.40622363253458865,0.9021986353297953,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04125143285248689,-0.041726804557698394,-0.15571183078177375,0.20057015524800584,-0.11012302020471695,-0.15456107947867181,-0.2679745292840174,3.0859072022160663,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.369759606672506,1.243005034409173,0.7259448272625258,0.3477509388445502,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,0.369759606672506,0.10508778015128509,0.2589311718383722,1.243005034409173,0.7259448272625258,0.3477509388445502,0.9021986353297953,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3805759397729362,0.455625529806966,-0.34396467280179643,0.33623375953938733,1.2895143835704868,1.825890141134614,1.3246288524214584,4.012099156118143,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1833413145372407,0.6763983897889109,1.3548941057956956,0.7427973259364645,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,1.1833413145372407,0.11527161475331234,0.24333077511734139,0.6763983897889109,1.3548941057956956,0.7427973259364645,0.9021986353297953,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2411223383906558,0.3192980045942895,-0.34396467280179654,0.30992607548223244,1.0527910119842596,1.4758448557920887,0.9282872045940579,3.7860322580645165,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8201692570111484,0.8158425919392408,1.2408737537345351,0.49187451468161475,-0.04125143285248689,0.455625529806966,0.8201692570111484,0.22403732382909955,0.2471284574110892,0.8158425919392408,1.2408737537345351,0.49187451468161475,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.795657534737373,0.26159657485845456,-0.4008238521812101,0.307807171355207,0.9116931841068615,1.117701288936164,0.6526472250463485,3.7147493359893757,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8008209548252109,0.3531652515919344,0.9047603781037363,0.3917402472377844,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,0.8008209548252109,0.12541548385463497,0.24581076405682767,0.3531652515919344,0.9047603781037363,0.3917402472377844,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.027847247697762145,-0.028170427811615273,-0.15571183078177375,0.2071327971276463,-0.03282967878184265,-0.04579016811551568,-0.18091385651418757,3.0859072022160663,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36007338605126044,1.2589374593568736,0.7685097931297717,0.3379914557340899,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,0.36007338605126044,0.11704358812494849,0.26779728867289804,1.2589374593568736,0.7685097931297717,0.3379914557340899,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.476479968030969,0.4682308155174344,-0.3526841856315901,0.3343593647172924,1.3207389512313574,1.8841126317411458,1.327620671958745,4.3562869198312235,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1724576589198292,0.7117752882031653,1.3827746971458235,0.750867782548202,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,1.1724576589198292,0.12622237380456777,0.24250871709003094,0.7117752882031653,1.3827746971458235,0.750867782548202,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.379669569244915,0.3323755543146736,-0.3526841856315902,0.3093840412448344,1.0860966201996032,1.5321914581127427,0.9424169493720062,4.04916935483871,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8098121852617767,0.8497102959798857,1.2714164318528434,0.4886198744293289,-0.027847247697762145,0.4682308155174344,0.8098121852617767,0.2350621093197773,0.2487335944128329,0.8497102959798857,1.2714164318528434,0.4886198744293289,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.508177402141953,0.25500109116145797,-0.4347335327847208,0.3099115895913138,0.8907134139775861,1.0833373568060356,0.5865687183779633,3.611674136786188,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8055334036866859,0.3324293280106064,0.9112311332217675,0.4288677384160095,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,0.8055334036866859,0.11991885570972328,0.24735642512821943,0.3324293280106064,0.9112311332217675,0.4288677384160095,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03432732499943103,-0.034724356795272304,-0.15571183078177375,0.20826371530523133,-0.06376523144814726,-0.0897953893740531,-0.22300397227965052,3.0353185595567864,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3710452624560938,1.25043887672137,0.76076103943867,0.3458701266374859,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,0.3710452624560938,0.11433737603345918,0.26443528233678965,1.25043887672137,0.76076103943867,0.3458701266374859,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.376432709664089,0.45507541404392726,-0.3526841856315899,0.3349536615033804,1.2920082249302525,1.8331331184072976,1.2903198742211088,4.248407172995781,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1770885086520277,0.6751402219943277,1.3867307402455555,0.8477660733391914,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,1.1770885086520277,0.11613817175178255,0.24257651315238055,0.6751402219943277,1.3867307402455555,0.8477660733391914,0.8968915845337376,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.260528806700741,0.32115521482091647,-0.3526841856315899,0.31005113072389145,1.0570443056133954,1.4863378912578842,0.9106028223119473,3.9549112903225807,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8172150876017354,0.819031768670381,1.2732505470063225,0.5289753033972687,-0.03432732499943103,0.45507541404392726,0.8172150876017354,0.22585601408353911,0.24793704534722205,0.819031768670381,1.2732505470063225,0.5289753033972687,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.791313862154216,0.2614987603328891,-0.4311032517727461,0.31054480207194873,0.906212114232307,1.102612192774441,0.6065803476489128,3.462114043824701,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8072343297723619,0.35359338947714913,0.9123494433400529,0.40411849019339074,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,0.8072343297723619,0.12496624427915996,0.2477579741165258,0.35359338947714913,0.9123494433400529,0.40411849019339074,0.9097801364670205,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0318410511626811,-0.03220980859952516,-0.15571183078177375,0.20720532064681269,-0.05272471902276289,-0.07477553163129491,-0.20685524303330813,2.883552631578947,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3692043685922471,1.2598919849002292,0.76076103943867,0.3423148918464043,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,0.3692043685922471,0.11605936043515402,0.26432051564694203,1.2598919849002292,0.76076103943867,0.3423148918464043,0.9097801364670205,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3908714230073036,0.45699049205581965,-0.34396467280179677,0.3362800953006513,1.2921828217334645,1.8299206657304223,1.3285971734636595,4.04292194092827,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1834567786084407,0.6802049695395018,1.3575090705156574,0.7427973259364645,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,1.1834567786084407,0.11619764937496192,0.2433761074370056,0.6802049695395018,1.3575090705156574,0.7427973259364645,0.9097801364670205,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.282902512541257,0.32328593494164237,-0.3439646728017963,0.31097990315882174,1.0600281552488584,1.4891093712668448,0.9398812160222346,3.762467741935484,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8199047476361789,0.824838058644649,1.2493263872412794,0.48842168423066606,-0.0318410511626811,0.45699049205581965,0.8199047476361789,0.22743036648913814,0.24850694691596603,0.824838058644649,1.2493263872412794,0.48842168423066606,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.03221870184562,0.26684244410402247,-0.40335879971152255,0.3134428352487356,0.914172195335016,1.1275725303338293,0.6615510664323303,3.702622841965471,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8175416401560299,0.37235093001460695,0.9396868758892754,0.4224487057637874,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,0.8175416401560299,0.12808980762517305,0.24903078661871755,0.37235093001460695,0.9396868758892754,0.4224487057637874,0.9211523881728583,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015054286765801561,-0.015230162174147965,-0.15912984560159582,0.21880830979905894,0.04030837766877433,0.05652864488829158,-0.09570902376339156,2.8329639889196674,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.36205662316865184,1.277243225518359,0.8532219920182039,0.34855718038427735,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,0.36205662316865184,0.13334561416290416,0.27618854604978194,1.277243225518359,0.8532219920182039,0.34855718038427735,0.9211523881728583,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.600184985499201,0.48413976352740873,-0.3404579462299032,0.33919848034399364,1.3387181903914323,1.8820490200669717,1.4220251543210585,4.392246835443038,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2062842978305783,0.7594512901193191,1.425239047948496,0.7849876616466217,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,1.2062842978305783,0.1296130946152259,0.24373051110096886,0.7594512901193191,1.425239047948496,0.7849876616466217,0.9211523881728583,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.545986768317554,0.347543799715089,-0.34045794622990333,0.31524499669183775,1.107861293803936,1.5465287433731338,1.0208127128876021,4.0177499999999995,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8293176760200865,0.8919272158741802,1.3215397699172537,0.5077787898434858,-0.015054286765801561,0.48413976352740873,0.8293176760200865,0.2458571385748865,0.25178989999658996,0.8919272158741802,1.3215397699172537,0.5077787898434858,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.09816573134462,0.26827720022116486,-0.40875068693250227,0.3153671719476812,0.9141162663486204,1.1244027562297374,0.6563345550180468,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.828585573363817,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.828585573363817,0.12769087702016074,0.2489303347618909,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.024269527565687454,-0.02455171278002377,-0.15912984560159582,0.22087267064204394,-0.0007509643882581444,-0.0010714575919058816,-0.15428729090514215,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3784507077192514,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.3784507077192514,0.1299985224232407,0.27168395665135825,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.528740121351604,0.47499868834075887,-0.3404579462299032,0.33870570636478015,1.3218439582651151,1.8526330083474223,1.3951758024763607,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030852224046247,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,1.2030852224046247,0.12409852883189167,0.24356226476763881,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4430992657043165,0.3382263033129467,-0.34045794622990344,0.3151815247357876,1.0859074212568376,1.5161360085041025,0.993445173062726,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348493203796685,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.8348493203796685,0.23817773828313385,0.2505069895043087,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.9277247243793605,0.26454465897493495,-0.4038526440546917,0.31634105510428345,0.9029378286448915,1.1110396626626828,0.6550524377379315,3.417650232403718,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8312438584347711,0.36794309259984914,0.9317987366682485,0.41887102539696724,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,0.8312438584347711,0.1245297081342718,0.2495560521238971,0.36794309259984914,0.9317987366682485,0.41887102539696724,0.9219105382865808,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.029691910068548433,-0.03003616581438817,-0.15912984560159582,0.22141220469476613,-0.02547612486043753,-0.036403255488048014,-0.188752560532158,2.731786703601108,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.38001002101857284,1.2458906352280832,0.8294370303920522,0.3628484703948992,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,0.38001002101857284,0.1250599753974895,0.27153219302033055,1.2458906352280832,0.8294370303920522,0.3628484703948992,0.9219105382865808,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4303222288538917,0.46219444505680274,-0.3418414842237779,0.33973182560475235,1.2931371879674878,1.810653325975099,1.352072426511695,3.955590717299578,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2078567566200828,0.6974492281905437,1.3884945337253418,0.8085120018835513,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,1.2078567566200828,0.1144188011943022,0.24421868438356484,0.6974492281905437,1.3884945337253418,0.8085120018835513,0.9219105382865808,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3284694097286103,0.327591325052208,-0.34184148422377825,0.3161106739493824,1.0583305680109527,1.4769055401106932,0.958313546397307,3.660354838709677,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8381486397264334,0.8363162973203558,1.287144654604472,0.5254385455785875,-0.029691910068548433,0.46219444505680274,0.8381486397264334,0.23005804626549003,0.25095783063969046,0.8363162973203558,1.287144654604472,0.5254385455785875,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.645850527651861,0.23355471570626163,-0.40256951082991266,0.28990221408482136,0.8716240544191903,1.0554920409909507,0.5801599709445941,3.487882843625498,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7803661786221007,0.2580343479441404,0.8550208365906748,0.43063487342967405,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.7803661786221007,0.10143994647319525,0.22815514245737908,0.2580343479441404,0.8550208365906748,0.43063487342967405,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.048313862184410916,-0.04886852543629583,-0.13246155389315584,0.18502207538662196,-0.1758127669162699,-0.24464481190861223,-0.36892610723646974,3.161790166204986,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.354427626763235,1.2289733740917672,0.6315671009586394,0.3252288469708971,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.354427626763235,0.08937264505757762,0.253391086389669,1.2289733740917672,0.6315671009586394,0.3252288469708971,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0140080961175437,0.4050301763105253,-0.3316850716261458,0.3098901408815452,1.2570334332142945,1.7555141992279961,1.2211287481971735,3.914493670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1118114275676578,0.5512517514875035,1.301514084438196,0.9476120347019372,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,1.1118114275676578,0.09047641790012026,0.2186887256026429,0.5512517514875035,1.301514084438196,0.9476120347019372,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.868389724339036,0.28185888377297896,-0.33168507162614536,0.2856712272209717,1.0157181566971227,1.4036421893331343,0.8497786240155922,3.729084677419355,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.773658231178799,0.7277755818172316,1.1800613798627144,0.5522910186236613,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.773658231178799,0.19370989424237842,0.22739425594634818,0.7277755818172316,1.1800613798627144,0.5522910186236613,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.64067344219421,0.23341749341399276,-0.4056139768302768,0.2906444495702754,0.8697520697536926,1.0528117208647485,0.5754670863121241,3.3878392679282867,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.785875609366005,0.2589774717677272,0.8558142029978283,0.43095550287138445,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.785875609366005,0.10047501067562342,0.22772147462094117,0.2589774717677272,0.8558142029978283,0.43095550287138445,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05176007052803533,-0.05235319894542689,-0.1423174048540351,0.18888241728706406,-0.18767590485167795,-0.2615830111696846,-0.36786223722335204,2.984729916897507,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3607205178418444,1.2160543093231748,0.6315671009586403,0.331388847575603,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.3607205178418444,0.08861758734448211,0.2536823071793391,1.2160543093231748,0.6315671009586403,0.331388847575603,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.040569987733138,0.40883516018903077,-0.33291336017232764,0.3107082276057167,1.2632791733525428,1.757964158633071,1.2280527281254299,3.7834968354430383,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.126607774886425,0.56875511388461,1.3196725498607056,0.9784184850886657,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,1.126607774886425,0.08946531772038292,0.2171787210621558,0.56875511388461,1.3196725498607056,0.9784184850886657,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.883189870722644,0.2834143906839488,-0.33291336017232787,0.28694885883311316,1.0167105660406908,1.4022826278778056,0.8513157613657901,3.587697580645162,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7846558434410011,0.738096919055926,1.1949279508653852,0.5674427087877183,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.7846558434410011,0.19392131215550623,0.22635844557054066,0.738096919055926,1.1949279508653852,0.5674427087877183,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.010429448347175,0.2429507746701811,-0.4228869749983737,0.29121960102333716,0.8951175907063367,1.0834983966209288,0.5745052201504088,3.2074576693227095,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7865112322567628,0.29287335327859904,0.8781635524533877,0.42766362926011076,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.7865112322567628,0.10823899419536895,0.22829631673335343,0.29287335327859904,0.8781635524533877,0.42766362926011076,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04640781157141738,-0.04694113642752984,-0.142317404854035,0.18890730670273562,-0.15772565127118482,-0.22010842898763083,-0.3298341230693047,2.8456111495844874,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35957628334026376,1.23598814867848,0.6563832250559832,0.3322588135122687,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.35957628334026376,0.0938771897635391,0.25416474565367964,1.23598814867848,0.6563832250559832,0.3322588135122687,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2475990090013482,0.43773146610547586,-0.33291336017232775,0.310434655745088,1.3298033773619782,1.8517572110136173,1.3148510047145316,3.5792958860759496,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.12471368848367,0.6623985790262266,1.3740267880284218,0.953979724075156,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,1.12471368848367,0.11028062823684155,0.2171310952672853,0.6623985790262266,1.3740267880284218,0.953979724075156,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.09688504613209,0.3052212049665055,-0.33291336017232787,0.2867421453265607,1.076227020310798,1.4858044201191187,0.9168187326832186,3.3991814516129035,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7832212329977538,0.8122592143942384,1.243927311810917,0.5590793685934397,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.7832212329977538,0.2109558722459245,0.22644271187303222,0.8122592143942384,1.243927311810917,0.5590793685934397,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.823169476277349,0.23818920269170984,-0.40256951082991266,0.29090836063021497,0.8825466324432526,1.0714208162351404,0.5916722361826994,3.474240537848605,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7777601833851145,0.2734983790138421,0.8691757885057845,0.4363706157610596,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.7777601833851145,0.10599947531891751,0.23007929494521376,0.2734983790138421,0.8691757885057845,0.4363706157610596,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.020812597349379125,-0.021055023322700595,-0.13531105990719494,0.19754827818759296,-0.007725930935821963,-0.010881606236706875,-0.1556045997802507,3.0100242382271465,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3429324048645072,1.2817560863332298,0.787462428654147,0.34004008527648577,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.3429324048645072,0.11642197547262663,0.2671443504085023,1.2817560863332298,0.787462428654147,0.34004008527648577,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.021359436108699,0.406085567787825,-0.3316850716261458,0.3099401927801875,1.259313315018279,1.7589822317963466,1.224310656481817,3.9260522151898734,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1119712582326646,0.5546637886156113,1.303601190966582,0.9476120347019372,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,1.1119712582326646,0.09120296900937486,0.21873085899057468,0.5546637886156113,1.303601190966582,0.9476120347019372,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9584770987172289,0.29123397513384086,-0.3316850716261456,0.28765004676680056,1.0361540303720889,1.437797730333744,0.8780436626406309,3.7025745967741934,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7684032586796776,0.7501718601534071,1.2100319233007926,0.561698717757837,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.7684032586796776,0.20225333181444352,0.23112075924528067,0.7501718601534071,1.2100319233007926,0.561698717757837,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.8620177853010516,0.23918797250713908,-0.4056139768302768,0.2915580876948168,0.8839975312028866,1.072593768172002,0.5896936155314583,3.383291832669322,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7829076379964535,0.2783789203392247,0.8718825649251671,0.43541289041434195,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.7829076379964535,0.10599826287020894,0.22962496526295328,0.2783789203392247,0.8718825649251671,0.43541289041434195,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02145953359965136,-0.021709411259648315,-0.1423174048540351,0.199943155630568,-0.00858988098017193,-0.012151834766910877,-0.15254220860698045,2.9467884349030466,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.34644842590097624,1.2789989273247793,0.7922870376326082,0.34289902800296496,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.34644842590097624,0.11744003268924465,0.2675707119047761,1.2789989273247793,0.7922870376326082,0.34289902800296496,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0620383631102426,0.4118937308887436,-0.33291336017232764,0.3107875163441985,1.2700461792368536,1.7680069116140744,1.237240015466886,3.7834968354430383,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1277032292617242,0.579127478022151,1.3256397214999414,0.9784184850886657,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,1.1277032292617242,0.09137391651343475,0.21709343411622478,0.579127478022151,1.3256397214999414,0.9784184850886657,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9963284479736503,0.29510801229238237,-0.332913360172328,0.28874105359102215,1.0437405851718524,1.445568687824212,0.8864408810136781,3.5788608870967744,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7786741770259418,0.7680962469897296,1.2289497929747895,0.5747536649823695,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.7786741770259418,0.2042938628590248,0.23005097540797279,0.7680962469897296,1.2289497929747895,0.5747536649823695,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.1883718431901675,0.2473561280962211,-0.4228869749983737,0.2921755601966882,0.9052927979257394,1.0984171030647738,0.584922550752887,3.1983627988047805,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7849499634779864,0.3074809009525096,0.8909609708146269,0.4320233514569825,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.7849499634779864,0.11237023249632234,0.22990224871000542,0.3074809009525096,0.8909609708146269,0.4320233514569825,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02505984192500965,-0.02535109632894994,-0.142317404854035,0.20045254032440976,-0.026508410999757145,-0.03760446136171434,-0.1781306815912698,2.7697281855955675,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3515533069176899,1.273113435240997,0.7789005973451815,0.34351679559606874,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.3515533069176899,0.1155996157728641,0.265982946783086,1.273113435240997,0.7789005973451815,0.34351679559606874,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2705291421279714,0.4408527704713423,-0.33291336017232753,0.31051344258963093,1.336561518762914,1.8618596733018011,1.3242267304716806,3.5792958860759496,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1258091428589692,0.6728126094253393,1.379993959667658,0.953979724075156,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,1.1258091428589692,0.11218922702989345,0.21704497163937236,0.6728126094253393,1.379993959667658,0.953979724075156,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1885701988151083,0.314225702755486,-0.332913360172328,0.2886228985933509,1.09502267159394,1.5186707588882244,0.9438663038119931,3.3815080645161295,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7800866212599747,0.8336534894196184,1.2710235241605587,0.5662301352016825,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.7800866212599747,0.2187956354540922,0.22956678586336154,0.8336534894196184,1.2710235241605587,0.5662301352016825,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.855990831245223,0.23903340455199662,-0.4186562738628984,0.29661680947644525,0.8736135343344457,1.057853094590765,0.5709538336699459,3.4939460906374498,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7899327965416807,0.2787520274413315,0.8725685214469343,0.43681972398568153,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.7899327965416807,0.10602851918153822,0.23431068845535521,0.2787520274413315,0.8725685214469343,0.43681972398568153,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.022679731919858503,-0.022943650477203814,-0.14565586637391448,0.2070819035664069,-0.007259194178813749,-0.010208805051457716,-0.15751957712643694,2.946788434903047,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35139702559275826,1.2632625128511275,0.8232173702124614,0.3550393264526255,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.35139702559275826,0.11935629492782389,0.2710734231301069,1.2632625128511275,0.8232173702124614,0.3550393264526255,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.023901046901288,0.40645003960662085,-0.3338872887775495,0.314803181152079,1.2455074978585332,1.7369777473783612,1.2173270839232695,4.033931962025316,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1335541379384724,0.5550865090669806,1.2937518240959185,0.9079380898520936,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,1.1335541379384724,0.0871753069864471,0.2217672304610367,0.5550865090669806,1.2937518240959185,0.9079380898520936,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.955319781805386,0.2909091193202431,-0.33388728877754936,0.2932142673961302,1.0211455850543392,1.4169164972737243,0.8712794080461679,3.7703225806451615,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7840732066078646,0.7455438549928196,1.2084500264472735,0.5567517062154663,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.7840732066078646,0.20166446711557826,0.23438592920485352,0.7455438549928196,1.2084500264472735,0.5567517062154663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.6882446308392645,0.23467426004211944,-0.42199328280724857,0.2968727455847622,0.8612040449506936,1.0432941037844614,0.5561089941550331,3.365102091633466,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7933099797094271,0.2645463768324971,0.8681127677448874,0.44518218683631605,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.7933099797094271,0.10191352427245393,0.233812045593653,0.2645463768324971,0.8681127677448874,0.44518218683631605,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.016227002667865476,-0.016416464101092543,-0.14764092671149698,0.20827714817293097,0.0256785571993303,0.03642426276156302,-0.11119182510396809,2.731786703601108,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35335036666208447,1.2877123426528467,0.8232173702124614,0.345153662179117,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.35335036666208447,0.12687963174302713,0.27124722386561684,1.2877123426528467,0.8232173702124614,0.345153662179117,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0528662293369146,0.4105888101658053,-0.3351115298934131,0.31549117332575427,1.2527998369416145,1.748722559183964,1.225230329426143,3.872112341772152,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1456828867050184,0.5723705812007058,1.3075572300519696,0.9225941448189742,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,1.1456828867050184,0.08707036621925969,0.2205870985570226,0.5723705812007058,1.3075572300519696,0.9225941448189742,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.003327360888832,0.2958202391597793,-0.3351115298934133,0.29397443398515016,1.0322047109731451,1.4348110147452444,0.8827515999042732,3.5965342741935484,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7915976282519581,0.7653482861141431,1.2197526912424996,0.5558195229752909,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.7915976282519581,0.20475374253031692,0.23358297587855809,0.7653482861141431,1.2197526912424996,0.5558195229752909,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.72990468807659,0.23576729961295095,-0.4299762889842619,0.29804373962529673,0.8619799947295577,1.0443816706941946,0.548326281362879,3.2301948456175302,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.798625843746447,0.2696264692526482,0.873721462827274,0.44930005574200815,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.798625843746447,0.10212296781706356,0.23400470092812073,0.2696264692526482,0.873721462827274,0.44930005574200815,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02077967339446074,-0.021021719999537836,-0.14764092671149698,0.20771200934292994,0.002776703877397106,0.003928381042336737,-0.14238409679326977,2.6938452216066477,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3601451844500483,1.284466051829063,0.8049015691173307,0.345153662179117,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.3601451844500483,0.12444514041299096,0.26821798495222166,1.284466051829063,0.8049015691173307,0.345153662179117,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.143526945056749,0.4233700693996967,-0.33511152989341353,0.31636863545950633,1.2788439518210453,1.784697466386444,1.2633706441982313,3.7334098101265827,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.152134349389291,0.6144158503094959,1.3333307524427787,0.922679731316081,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,1.152134349389291,0.09467381455219595,0.22069155807487795,0.6144158503094959,1.3333307524427787,0.922679731316081,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.078205481831782,0.30336174068032706,-0.3351115298934134,0.29461415808563873,1.0503847141966058,1.459115627564885,0.9052560524456297,3.4816572580645166,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.798282847210603,0.7936835308108053,1.2375333907498334,0.5558507472375788,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.798282847210603,0.2099367124305084,0.2328242122389034,0.7936835308108053,1.2375333907498334,0.5558507472375788,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.645850527651861,0.23355471570626163,-0.40256951082991266,0.28990221408482136,0.8716240544191903,1.0554920409909507,0.5801599709445941,3.487882843625498,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7803661786221007,0.2580343479441404,0.8550208365906748,0.43063487342967405,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.7803661786221007,0.10143994647319525,0.22815514245737908,0.2580343479441404,0.8550208365906748,0.43063487342967405,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.048313862184410916,-0.04886852543629583,-0.13246155389315584,0.18502207538662196,-0.1758127669162699,-0.24464481190861223,-0.36892610723646974,3.161790166204986,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.354427626763235,1.2289733740917672,0.6315671009586394,0.3252288469708971,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.354427626763235,0.08937264505757762,0.253391086389669,1.2289733740917672,0.6315671009586394,0.3252288469708971,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0140080961175437,0.4050301763105253,-0.3316850716261458,0.3098901408815452,1.2570334332142945,1.7555141992279961,1.2211287481971735,3.914493670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1118114275676578,0.5512517514875035,1.301514084438196,0.9476120347019372,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,1.1118114275676578,0.09047641790012026,0.2186887256026429,0.5512517514875035,1.301514084438196,0.9476120347019372,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.868389724339036,0.28185888377297896,-0.33168507162614536,0.2856712272209717,1.0157181566971227,1.4036421893331343,0.8497786240155922,3.729084677419355,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.773658231178799,0.7277755818172316,1.1800613798627144,0.5522910186236613,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.773658231178799,0.19370989424237842,0.22739425594634818,0.7277755818172316,1.1800613798627144,0.5522910186236613,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.64067344219421,0.23341749341399276,-0.4056139768302768,0.2906444495702754,0.8697520697536926,1.0528117208647485,0.5754670863121241,3.3878392679282867,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.785875609366005,0.2589774717677272,0.8558142029978283,0.43095550287138445,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.785875609366005,0.10047501067562342,0.22772147462094117,0.2589774717677272,0.8558142029978283,0.43095550287138445,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05176007052803533,-0.05235319894542689,-0.1423174048540351,0.18888241728706406,-0.18767590485167795,-0.2615830111696846,-0.36786223722335204,2.984729916897507,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3607205178418444,1.2160543093231748,0.6315671009586403,0.331388847575603,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.3607205178418444,0.08861758734448211,0.2536823071793391,1.2160543093231748,0.6315671009586403,0.331388847575603,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.040569987733138,0.40883516018903077,-0.33291336017232764,0.3107082276057167,1.2632791733525428,1.757964158633071,1.2280527281254299,3.7834968354430383,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.126607774886425,0.56875511388461,1.3196725498607056,0.9784184850886657,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,1.126607774886425,0.08946531772038292,0.2171787210621558,0.56875511388461,1.3196725498607056,0.9784184850886657,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.883189870722644,0.2834143906839488,-0.33291336017232787,0.28694885883311316,1.0167105660406908,1.4022826278778056,0.8513157613657901,3.587697580645162,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7846558434410011,0.738096919055926,1.1949279508653852,0.5674427087877183,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.7846558434410011,0.19392131215550623,0.22635844557054066,0.738096919055926,1.1949279508653852,0.5674427087877183,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.010429448347175,0.2429507746701811,-0.4228869749983737,0.29121960102333716,0.8951175907063367,1.0834983966209288,0.5745052201504088,3.2074576693227095,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7865112322567628,0.29287335327859904,0.8781635524533877,0.42766362926011076,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.7865112322567628,0.10823899419536895,0.22829631673335343,0.29287335327859904,0.8781635524533877,0.42766362926011076,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04640781157141738,-0.04694113642752984,-0.142317404854035,0.18890730670273562,-0.15772565127118482,-0.22010842898763083,-0.3298341230693047,2.8456111495844874,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35957628334026376,1.23598814867848,0.6563832250559832,0.3322588135122687,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.35957628334026376,0.0938771897635391,0.25416474565367964,1.23598814867848,0.6563832250559832,0.3322588135122687,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2475990090013482,0.43773146610547586,-0.33291336017232775,0.310434655745088,1.3298033773619782,1.8517572110136173,1.3148510047145316,3.5792958860759496,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.12471368848367,0.6623985790262266,1.3740267880284218,0.953979724075156,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,1.12471368848367,0.11028062823684155,0.2171310952672853,0.6623985790262266,1.3740267880284218,0.953979724075156,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.09688504613209,0.3052212049665055,-0.33291336017232787,0.2867421453265607,1.076227020310798,1.4858044201191187,0.9168187326832186,3.3991814516129035,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7832212329977538,0.8122592143942384,1.243927311810917,0.5590793685934397,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.7832212329977538,0.2109558722459245,0.22644271187303222,0.8122592143942384,1.243927311810917,0.5590793685934397,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.823169476277349,0.23818920269170984,-0.40256951082991266,0.29090836063021497,0.8825466324432526,1.0714208162351404,0.5916722361826994,3.474240537848605,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7777601833851145,0.2734983790138421,0.8691757885057845,0.4363706157610596,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.7777601833851145,0.10599947531891751,0.23007929494521376,0.2734983790138421,0.8691757885057845,0.4363706157610596,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.020812597349379125,-0.021055023322700595,-0.13531105990719494,0.19754827818759296,-0.007725930935821963,-0.010881606236706875,-0.1556045997802507,3.0100242382271465,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3429324048645072,1.2817560863332298,0.787462428654147,0.34004008527648577,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.3429324048645072,0.11642197547262663,0.2671443504085023,1.2817560863332298,0.787462428654147,0.34004008527648577,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.021359436108699,0.406085567787825,-0.3316850716261458,0.3099401927801875,1.259313315018279,1.7589822317963466,1.224310656481817,3.9260522151898734,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1119712582326646,0.5546637886156113,1.303601190966582,0.9476120347019372,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,1.1119712582326646,0.09120296900937486,0.21873085899057468,0.5546637886156113,1.303601190966582,0.9476120347019372,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9584770987172289,0.29123397513384086,-0.3316850716261456,0.28765004676680056,1.0361540303720889,1.437797730333744,0.8780436626406309,3.7025745967741934,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7684032586796776,0.7501718601534071,1.2100319233007926,0.561698717757837,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.7684032586796776,0.20225333181444352,0.23112075924528067,0.7501718601534071,1.2100319233007926,0.561698717757837,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.8620177853010516,0.23918797250713908,-0.4056139768302768,0.2915580876948168,0.8839975312028866,1.072593768172002,0.5896936155314583,3.383291832669322,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7829076379964535,0.2783789203392247,0.8718825649251671,0.43541289041434195,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.7829076379964535,0.10599826287020894,0.22962496526295328,0.2783789203392247,0.8718825649251671,0.43541289041434195,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02145953359965136,-0.021709411259648315,-0.1423174048540351,0.199943155630568,-0.00858988098017193,-0.012151834766910877,-0.15254220860698045,2.9467884349030466,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.34644842590097624,1.2789989273247793,0.7922870376326082,0.34289902800296496,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.34644842590097624,0.11744003268924465,0.2675707119047761,1.2789989273247793,0.7922870376326082,0.34289902800296496,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0620383631102426,0.4118937308887436,-0.33291336017232764,0.3107875163441985,1.2700461792368536,1.7680069116140744,1.237240015466886,3.7834968354430383,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1277032292617242,0.579127478022151,1.3256397214999414,0.9784184850886657,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,1.1277032292617242,0.09137391651343475,0.21709343411622478,0.579127478022151,1.3256397214999414,0.9784184850886657,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9963284479736503,0.29510801229238237,-0.332913360172328,0.28874105359102215,1.0437405851718524,1.445568687824212,0.8864408810136781,3.5788608870967744,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7786741770259418,0.7680962469897296,1.2289497929747895,0.5747536649823695,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.7786741770259418,0.2042938628590248,0.23005097540797279,0.7680962469897296,1.2289497929747895,0.5747536649823695,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.1883718431901675,0.2473561280962211,-0.4228869749983737,0.2921755601966882,0.9052927979257394,1.0984171030647738,0.584922550752887,3.1983627988047805,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7849499634779864,0.3074809009525096,0.8909609708146269,0.4320233514569825,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.7849499634779864,0.11237023249632234,0.22990224871000542,0.3074809009525096,0.8909609708146269,0.4320233514569825,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02505984192500965,-0.02535109632894994,-0.142317404854035,0.20045254032440976,-0.026508410999757145,-0.03760446136171434,-0.1781306815912698,2.7697281855955675,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3515533069176899,1.273113435240997,0.7789005973451815,0.34351679559606874,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.3515533069176899,0.1155996157728641,0.265982946783086,1.273113435240997,0.7789005973451815,0.34351679559606874,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2705291421279714,0.4408527704713423,-0.33291336017232753,0.31051344258963093,1.336561518762914,1.8618596733018011,1.3242267304716806,3.5792958860759496,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1258091428589692,0.6728126094253393,1.379993959667658,0.953979724075156,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,1.1258091428589692,0.11218922702989345,0.21704497163937236,0.6728126094253393,1.379993959667658,0.953979724075156,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1885701988151083,0.314225702755486,-0.332913360172328,0.2886228985933509,1.09502267159394,1.5186707588882244,0.9438663038119931,3.3815080645161295,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7800866212599747,0.8336534894196184,1.2710235241605587,0.5662301352016825,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.7800866212599747,0.2187956354540922,0.22956678586336154,0.8336534894196184,1.2710235241605587,0.5662301352016825,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.855990831245223,0.23903340455199662,-0.4186562738628984,0.29661680947644525,0.8736135343344457,1.057853094590765,0.5709538336699459,3.4939460906374498,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7899327965416807,0.2787520274413315,0.8725685214469343,0.43681972398568153,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.7899327965416807,0.10602851918153822,0.23431068845535521,0.2787520274413315,0.8725685214469343,0.43681972398568153,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.022679731919858503,-0.022943650477203814,-0.14565586637391448,0.2070819035664069,-0.007259194178813749,-0.010208805051457716,-0.15751957712643694,2.946788434903047,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35139702559275826,1.2632625128511275,0.8232173702124614,0.3550393264526255,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.35139702559275826,0.11935629492782389,0.2710734231301069,1.2632625128511275,0.8232173702124614,0.3550393264526255,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.023901046901288,0.40645003960662085,-0.3338872887775495,0.314803181152079,1.2455074978585332,1.7369777473783612,1.2173270839232695,4.033931962025316,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1335541379384724,0.5550865090669806,1.2937518240959185,0.9079380898520936,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,1.1335541379384724,0.0871753069864471,0.2217672304610367,0.5550865090669806,1.2937518240959185,0.9079380898520936,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.955319781805386,0.2909091193202431,-0.33388728877754936,0.2932142673961302,1.0211455850543392,1.4169164972737243,0.8712794080461679,3.7703225806451615,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7840732066078646,0.7455438549928196,1.2084500264472735,0.5567517062154663,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.7840732066078646,0.20166446711557826,0.23438592920485352,0.7455438549928196,1.2084500264472735,0.5567517062154663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.6882446308392645,0.23467426004211944,-0.42199328280724857,0.2968727455847622,0.8612040449506936,1.0432941037844614,0.5561089941550331,3.365102091633466,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7933099797094271,0.2645463768324971,0.8681127677448874,0.44518218683631605,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.7933099797094271,0.10191352427245393,0.233812045593653,0.2645463768324971,0.8681127677448874,0.44518218683631605,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.016227002667865476,-0.016416464101092543,-0.14764092671149698,0.20827714817293097,0.0256785571993303,0.03642426276156302,-0.11119182510396809,2.731786703601108,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35335036666208447,1.2877123426528467,0.8232173702124614,0.345153662179117,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.35335036666208447,0.12687963174302713,0.27124722386561684,1.2877123426528467,0.8232173702124614,0.345153662179117,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0528662293369146,0.4105888101658053,-0.3351115298934131,0.31549117332575427,1.2527998369416145,1.748722559183964,1.225230329426143,3.872112341772152,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1456828867050184,0.5723705812007058,1.3075572300519696,0.9225941448189742,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,1.1456828867050184,0.08707036621925969,0.2205870985570226,0.5723705812007058,1.3075572300519696,0.9225941448189742,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.003327360888832,0.2958202391597793,-0.3351115298934133,0.29397443398515016,1.0322047109731451,1.4348110147452444,0.8827515999042732,3.5965342741935484,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7915976282519581,0.7653482861141431,1.2197526912424996,0.5558195229752909,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.7915976282519581,0.20475374253031692,0.23358297587855809,0.7653482861141431,1.2197526912424996,0.5558195229752909,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.72990468807659,0.23576729961295095,-0.4299762889842619,0.29804373962529673,0.8619799947295577,1.0443816706941946,0.548326281362879,3.2301948456175302,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.798625843746447,0.2696264692526482,0.873721462827274,0.44930005574200815,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.798625843746447,0.10212296781706356,0.23400470092812073,0.2696264692526482,0.873721462827274,0.44930005574200815,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02077967339446074,-0.021021719999537836,-0.14764092671149698,0.20771200934292994,0.002776703877397106,0.003928381042336737,-0.14238409679326977,2.6938452216066477,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3601451844500483,1.284466051829063,0.8049015691173307,0.345153662179117,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.3601451844500483,0.12444514041299096,0.26821798495222166,1.284466051829063,0.8049015691173307,0.345153662179117,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.143526945056749,0.4233700693996967,-0.33511152989341353,0.31636863545950633,1.2788439518210453,1.784697466386444,1.2633706441982313,3.7334098101265827,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.152134349389291,0.6144158503094959,1.3333307524427787,0.922679731316081,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,1.152134349389291,0.09467381455219595,0.22069155807487795,0.6144158503094959,1.3333307524427787,0.922679731316081,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.078205481831782,0.30336174068032706,-0.3351115298934134,0.29461415808563873,1.0503847141966058,1.459115627564885,0.9052560524456297,3.4816572580645166,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.798282847210603,0.7936835308108053,1.2375333907498334,0.5558507472375788,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.798282847210603,0.2099367124305084,0.2328242122389034,0.7936835308108053,1.2375333907498334,0.5558507472375788,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.645850527651861,0.23355471570626163,-0.40256951082991266,0.28990221408482136,0.8716240544191903,1.0554920409909507,0.5801599709445941,3.487882843625498,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7803661786221007,0.2580343479441404,0.8550208365906748,0.43063487342967405,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.7803661786221007,0.10143994647319525,0.22815514245737908,0.2580343479441404,0.8550208365906748,0.43063487342967405,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.048313862184410916,-0.04886852543629583,-0.13246155389315584,0.18502207538662196,-0.1758127669162699,-0.24464481190861223,-0.36892610723646974,3.161790166204986,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.354427626763235,1.2289733740917672,0.6315671009586394,0.3252288469708971,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.354427626763235,0.08937264505757762,0.253391086389669,1.2289733740917672,0.6315671009586394,0.3252288469708971,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0140080961175437,0.4050301763105253,-0.3316850716261458,0.3098901408815452,1.2570334332142945,1.7555141992279961,1.2211287481971735,3.914493670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1118114275676578,0.5512517514875035,1.301514084438196,0.9476120347019372,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,1.1118114275676578,0.09047641790012026,0.2186887256026429,0.5512517514875035,1.301514084438196,0.9476120347019372,0.913570887035633,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.868389724339036,0.28185888377297896,-0.33168507162614536,0.2856712272209717,1.0157181566971227,1.4036421893331343,0.8497786240155922,3.729084677419355,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.773658231178799,0.7277755818172316,1.1800613798627144,0.5522910186236613,-0.048313862184410916,0.4050301763105253,0.773658231178799,0.19370989424237842,0.22739425594634818,0.7277755818172316,1.1800613798627144,0.5522910186236613,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.64067344219421,0.23341749341399276,-0.4056139768302768,0.2906444495702754,0.8697520697536926,1.0528117208647485,0.5754670863121241,3.3878392679282867,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.785875609366005,0.2589774717677272,0.8558142029978283,0.43095550287138445,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.785875609366005,0.10047501067562342,0.22772147462094117,0.2589774717677272,0.8558142029978283,0.43095550287138445,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05176007052803533,-0.05235319894542689,-0.1423174048540351,0.18888241728706406,-0.18767590485167795,-0.2615830111696846,-0.36786223722335204,2.984729916897507,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3607205178418444,1.2160543093231748,0.6315671009586403,0.331388847575603,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.3607205178418444,0.08861758734448211,0.2536823071793391,1.2160543093231748,0.6315671009586403,0.331388847575603,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.040569987733138,0.40883516018903077,-0.33291336017232764,0.3107082276057167,1.2632791733525428,1.757964158633071,1.2280527281254299,3.7834968354430383,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.126607774886425,0.56875511388461,1.3196725498607056,0.9784184850886657,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,1.126607774886425,0.08946531772038292,0.2171787210621558,0.56875511388461,1.3196725498607056,0.9784184850886657,0.9082638362395754,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.883189870722644,0.2834143906839488,-0.33291336017232787,0.28694885883311316,1.0167105660406908,1.4022826278778056,0.8513157613657901,3.587697580645162,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7846558434410011,0.738096919055926,1.1949279508653852,0.5674427087877183,-0.05176007052803533,0.40883516018903077,0.7846558434410011,0.19392131215550623,0.22635844557054066,0.738096919055926,1.1949279508653852,0.5674427087877183,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.010429448347175,0.2429507746701811,-0.4228869749983737,0.29121960102333716,0.8951175907063367,1.0834983966209288,0.5745052201504088,3.2074576693227095,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7865112322567628,0.29287335327859904,0.8781635524533877,0.42766362926011076,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.7865112322567628,0.10823899419536895,0.22829631673335343,0.29287335327859904,0.8781635524533877,0.42766362926011076,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04640781157141738,-0.04694113642752984,-0.142317404854035,0.18890730670273562,-0.15772565127118482,-0.22010842898763083,-0.3298341230693047,2.8456111495844874,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35957628334026376,1.23598814867848,0.6563832250559832,0.3322588135122687,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.35957628334026376,0.0938771897635391,0.25416474565367964,1.23598814867848,0.6563832250559832,0.3322588135122687,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2475990090013482,0.43773146610547586,-0.33291336017232775,0.310434655745088,1.3298033773619782,1.8517572110136173,1.3148510047145316,3.5792958860759496,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.12471368848367,0.6623985790262266,1.3740267880284218,0.953979724075156,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,1.12471368848367,0.11028062823684155,0.2171310952672853,0.6623985790262266,1.3740267880284218,0.953979724075156,0.9120545868081881,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.09688504613209,0.3052212049665055,-0.33291336017232787,0.2867421453265607,1.076227020310798,1.4858044201191187,0.9168187326832186,3.3991814516129035,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7832212329977538,0.8122592143942384,1.243927311810917,0.5590793685934397,-0.04640781157141738,0.43773146610547586,0.7832212329977538,0.2109558722459245,0.22644271187303222,0.8122592143942384,1.243927311810917,0.5590793685934397,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.823169476277349,0.23818920269170984,-0.40256951082991266,0.29090836063021497,0.8825466324432526,1.0714208162351404,0.5916722361826994,3.474240537848605,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7777601833851145,0.2734983790138421,0.8691757885057845,0.4363706157610596,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.7777601833851145,0.10599947531891751,0.23007929494521376,0.2734983790138421,0.8691757885057845,0.4363706157610596,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.020812597349379125,-0.021055023322700595,-0.13531105990719494,0.19754827818759296,-0.007725930935821963,-0.010881606236706875,-0.1556045997802507,3.0100242382271465,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3429324048645072,1.2817560863332298,0.787462428654147,0.34004008527648577,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.3429324048645072,0.11642197547262663,0.2671443504085023,1.2817560863332298,0.787462428654147,0.34004008527648577,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.021359436108699,0.406085567787825,-0.3316850716261458,0.3099401927801875,1.259313315018279,1.7589822317963466,1.224310656481817,3.9260522151898734,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1119712582326646,0.5546637886156113,1.303601190966582,0.9476120347019372,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,1.1119712582326646,0.09120296900937486,0.21873085899057468,0.5546637886156113,1.303601190966582,0.9476120347019372,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9584770987172289,0.29123397513384086,-0.3316850716261456,0.28765004676680056,1.0361540303720889,1.437797730333744,0.8780436626406309,3.7025745967741934,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7684032586796776,0.7501718601534071,1.2100319233007926,0.561698717757837,-0.020812597349379125,0.406085567787825,0.7684032586796776,0.20225333181444352,0.23112075924528067,0.7501718601534071,1.2100319233007926,0.561698717757837,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.8620177853010516,0.23918797250713908,-0.4056139768302768,0.2915580876948168,0.8839975312028866,1.072593768172002,0.5896936155314583,3.383291832669322,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7829076379964535,0.2783789203392247,0.8718825649251671,0.43541289041434195,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.7829076379964535,0.10599826287020894,0.22962496526295328,0.2783789203392247,0.8718825649251671,0.43541289041434195,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02145953359965136,-0.021709411259648315,-0.1423174048540351,0.199943155630568,-0.00858988098017193,-0.012151834766910877,-0.15254220860698045,2.9467884349030466,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.34644842590097624,1.2789989273247793,0.7922870376326082,0.34289902800296496,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.34644842590097624,0.11744003268924465,0.2675707119047761,1.2789989273247793,0.7922870376326082,0.34289902800296496,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0620383631102426,0.4118937308887436,-0.33291336017232764,0.3107875163441985,1.2700461792368536,1.7680069116140744,1.237240015466886,3.7834968354430383,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1277032292617242,0.579127478022151,1.3256397214999414,0.9784184850886657,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,1.1277032292617242,0.09137391651343475,0.21709343411622478,0.579127478022151,1.3256397214999414,0.9784184850886657,0.9143290371493555,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9963284479736503,0.29510801229238237,-0.332913360172328,0.28874105359102215,1.0437405851718524,1.445568687824212,0.8864408810136781,3.5788608870967744,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7786741770259418,0.7680962469897296,1.2289497929747895,0.5747536649823695,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.7786741770259418,0.2042938628590248,0.23005097540797279,0.7680962469897296,1.2289497929747895,0.5747536649823695,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.1883718431901675,0.2473561280962211,-0.4228869749983737,0.2921755601966882,0.9052927979257394,1.0984171030647738,0.584922550752887,3.1983627988047805,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7849499634779864,0.3074809009525096,0.8909609708146269,0.4320233514569825,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.7849499634779864,0.11237023249632234,0.22990224871000542,0.3074809009525096,0.8909609708146269,0.4320233514569825,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02505984192500965,-0.02535109632894994,-0.142317404854035,0.20045254032440976,-0.026508410999757145,-0.03760446136171434,-0.1781306815912698,2.7697281855955675,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3515533069176899,1.273113435240997,0.7789005973451815,0.34351679559606874,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.3515533069176899,0.1155996157728641,0.265982946783086,1.273113435240997,0.7789005973451815,0.34351679559606874,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2705291421279714,0.4408527704713423,-0.33291336017232753,0.31051344258963093,1.336561518762914,1.8618596733018011,1.3242267304716806,3.5792958860759496,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1258091428589692,0.6728126094253393,1.379993959667658,0.953979724075156,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,1.1258091428589692,0.11218922702989345,0.21704497163937236,0.6728126094253393,1.379993959667658,0.953979724075156,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1885701988151083,0.314225702755486,-0.332913360172328,0.2886228985933509,1.09502267159394,1.5186707588882244,0.9438663038119931,3.3815080645161295,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7800866212599747,0.8336534894196184,1.2710235241605587,0.5662301352016825,-0.02505984192500965,0.4408527704713423,0.7800866212599747,0.2187956354540922,0.22956678586336154,0.8336534894196184,1.2710235241605587,0.5662301352016825,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.855990831245223,0.23903340455199662,-0.4186562738628984,0.29661680947644525,0.8736135343344457,1.057853094590765,0.5709538336699459,3.4939460906374498,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7899327965416807,0.2787520274413315,0.8725685214469343,0.43681972398568153,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.7899327965416807,0.10602851918153822,0.23431068845535521,0.2787520274413315,0.8725685214469343,0.43681972398568153,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.022679731919858503,-0.022943650477203814,-0.14565586637391448,0.2070819035664069,-0.007259194178813749,-0.010208805051457716,-0.15751957712643694,2.946788434903047,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35139702559275826,1.2632625128511275,0.8232173702124614,0.3550393264526255,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.35139702559275826,0.11935629492782389,0.2710734231301069,1.2632625128511275,0.8232173702124614,0.3550393264526255,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.023901046901288,0.40645003960662085,-0.3338872887775495,0.314803181152079,1.2455074978585332,1.7369777473783612,1.2173270839232695,4.033931962025316,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1335541379384724,0.5550865090669806,1.2937518240959185,0.9079380898520936,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,1.1335541379384724,0.0871753069864471,0.2217672304610367,0.5550865090669806,1.2937518240959185,0.9079380898520936,0.9166034874905231,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.955319781805386,0.2909091193202431,-0.33388728877754936,0.2932142673961302,1.0211455850543392,1.4169164972737243,0.8712794080461679,3.7703225806451615,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7840732066078646,0.7455438549928196,1.2084500264472735,0.5567517062154663,-0.022679731919858503,0.40645003960662085,0.7840732066078646,0.20166446711557826,0.23438592920485352,0.7455438549928196,1.2084500264472735,0.5567517062154663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.6882446308392645,0.23467426004211944,-0.42199328280724857,0.2968727455847622,0.8612040449506936,1.0432941037844614,0.5561089941550331,3.365102091633466,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7933099797094271,0.2645463768324971,0.8681127677448874,0.44518218683631605,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.7933099797094271,0.10191352427245393,0.233812045593653,0.2645463768324971,0.8681127677448874,0.44518218683631605,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.016227002667865476,-0.016416464101092543,-0.14764092671149698,0.20827714817293097,0.0256785571993303,0.03642426276156302,-0.11119182510396809,2.731786703601108,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.35335036666208447,1.2877123426528467,0.8232173702124614,0.345153662179117,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.35335036666208447,0.12687963174302713,0.27124722386561684,1.2877123426528467,0.8232173702124614,0.345153662179117,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0528662293369146,0.4105888101658053,-0.3351115298934131,0.31549117332575427,1.2527998369416145,1.748722559183964,1.225230329426143,3.872112341772152,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1456828867050184,0.5723705812007058,1.3075572300519696,0.9225941448189742,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,1.1456828867050184,0.08707036621925969,0.2205870985570226,0.5723705812007058,1.3075572300519696,0.9225941448189742,0.8999241849886277,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.003327360888832,0.2958202391597793,-0.3351115298934133,0.29397443398515016,1.0322047109731451,1.4348110147452444,0.8827515999042732,3.5965342741935484,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7915976282519581,0.7653482861141431,1.2197526912424996,0.5558195229752909,-0.016227002667865476,0.4105888101658053,0.7915976282519581,0.20475374253031692,0.23358297587855809,0.7653482861141431,1.2197526912424996,0.5558195229752909,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.72990468807659,0.23576729961295095,-0.4299762889842619,0.29804373962529673,0.8619799947295577,1.0443816706941946,0.548326281362879,3.2301948456175302,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.798625843746447,0.2696264692526482,0.873721462827274,0.44930005574200815,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.798625843746447,0.10212296781706356,0.23400470092812073,0.2696264692526482,0.873721462827274,0.44930005574200815,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02077967339446074,-0.021021719999537836,-0.14764092671149698,0.20771200934292994,0.002776703877397106,0.003928381042336737,-0.14238409679326977,2.6938452216066477,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3601451844500483,1.284466051829063,0.8049015691173307,0.345153662179117,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.3601451844500483,0.12444514041299096,0.26821798495222166,1.284466051829063,0.8049015691173307,0.345153662179117,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.143526945056749,0.4233700693996967,-0.33511152989341353,0.31636863545950633,1.2788439518210453,1.784697466386444,1.2633706441982313,3.7334098101265827,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.152134349389291,0.6144158503094959,1.3333307524427787,0.922679731316081,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,1.152134349389291,0.09467381455219595,0.22069155807487795,0.6144158503094959,1.3333307524427787,0.922679731316081,0.8862774829416225,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.078205481831782,0.30336174068032706,-0.3351115298934134,0.29461415808563873,1.0503847141966058,1.459115627564885,0.9052560524456297,3.4816572580645166,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.798282847210603,0.7936835308108053,1.2375333907498334,0.5558507472375788,-0.02077967339446074,0.4233700693996967,0.798282847210603,0.2099367124305084,0.2328242122389034,0.7936835308108053,1.2375333907498334,0.5558507472375788,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.196961361765081,0.1899813967808981,-0.3245297366688573,0.2575483088582878,0.806324714840325,0.9484535189813781,0.5854052042532877,3.743448705179283,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6216791182733927,0.060492360598396425,0.6673560650713727,0.2730195421474192,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,0.6216791182733927,0.08717752478733373,0.22901547813814838,0.060492360598396425,0.6673560650713727,0.2730195421474192,0.8332069749810462,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09903872213784415,-0.10014426712301217,-0.17159276043717542,0.1292185918847777,-0.7454607938241543,-0.7848435688567679,-0.583615922186167,3.0353185595567864,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20239687425518413,0.8867379934085425,0.16577874132640646,0.2204534154723816,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,0.20239687425518413,-0.02671498452909273,0.2792400338958472,0.8867379934085425,0.16577874132640646,0.2204534154723816,0.8332069749810462,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9990666485613486,0.4028796146114699,-0.3245297366688573,0.30310007276727,1.273299018403806,1.7213647204079507,1.2414258820989308,4.349094936708861,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0666647020289632,0.5381806572948996,1.2457562654578482,0.7845078965394982,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,1.0666647020289632,0.09901518059464146,0.21730119589943192,0.5381806572948996,1.2457562654578482,0.7845078965394982,0.8332069749810462,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.702042920081614,0.2639392144030177,-0.3245297366688574,0.2726458799374985,0.9990365814901475,1.27374997097615,0.813297471942718,4.03188870967742,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.681788037001292,0.6328893885375664,1.0499703384800925,0.42623570189384513,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,0.681788037001292,0.187385057753538,0.2333958273189211,0.6328893885375664,1.0499703384800925,0.42623570189384513,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.204211450801173,0.1902304856976842,-0.3245297366688574,0.25826549090621037,0.8056199541008375,0.9453102957955263,0.5861727422895331,3.6282470119521912,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6240252460014406,0.06216209957540089,0.6720206100186696,0.2811246481609755,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,0.6240252460014406,0.08711907890175176,0.2292386070516625,0.06216209957540089,0.6720206100186696,0.2811246481609755,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10463755521259965,-0.10580185599391556,-0.1715927604371752,0.13073399995967905,-0.7831234826928736,-0.8126901554478198,-0.6165869453021156,2.9037880886426595,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2062010304952012,0.8672275022123975,0.1485042286163676,0.22337622223665216,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,0.2062010304952012,-0.031460053765447714,0.2785419920936124,0.8672275022123975,0.1485042286163676,0.22337622223665216,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9272361035310137,0.39243608473364344,-0.3245297366688574,0.30528892504298416,1.2418185896998934,1.6687406419963706,1.2092453799821619,4.2843670886075955,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0739480611719048,0.5027611311200775,1.2375057965936205,0.8160810438946289,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,1.0739480611719048,0.09023246903913253,0.2190378906379906,0.5027611311200775,1.2375057965936205,0.8160810438946289,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6209372741274777,0.2548946836688206,-0.3245297366688571,0.2746745701838663,0.9674756945103539,1.2263399206284136,0.7854278202213237,3.9517693548387105,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.6874856160419267,0.6017419032619525,1.040083927431919,0.43961092556363685,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,0.6874856160419267,0.1800325063232423,0.23443855974995487,0.6017419032619525,1.040083927431919,0.43961092556363685,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.050462335997385,0.18486537608764508,-0.3262990124898948,0.2588784980051067,0.7868258749434048,0.9276552822411268,0.5665520550521747,3.481516434262948,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.627380585892539,0.043119319687910246,0.6647352859836418,0.29128575953975366,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,0.627380585892539,0.08209723522658238,0.22909500791712292,0.043119319687910246,0.6647352859836418,0.29128575953975366,0.8407884761182715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10159593419974655,-0.10272836682504216,-0.16333969891780908,0.12973890599623963,-0.7639275831908824,-0.8195626843954604,-0.6289246735830831,2.772257617728532,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20988720882413675,0.8847911947362498,0.1790764746616749,0.23203444286811065,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,0.20988720882413675,-0.026922492618439108,0.27670823802541133,0.8847911947362498,0.1790764746616749,0.23203444286811065,0.8407884761182715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7976207446001986,0.3731334998338578,-0.3262990124898947,0.30592488426774284,1.1940331781307971,1.611638031746923,1.1435324213413411,4.099430379746836,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0757412111150877,0.4384967376191756,1.2010933029965736,0.8258559770154814,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,1.0757412111150877,0.0759211296132175,0.2196019465544485,0.4384967376191756,1.2010933029965736,0.8258559770154814,0.8407884761182715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5133938515159526,0.2425659871670638,-0.32629901248989446,0.2750831111935688,0.9304025672752777,1.1860352539944905,0.743385599962783,3.7797483870967743,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.689972907318297,0.5601677695986094,1.0158148989081748,0.44867655302733633,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,0.689972907318297,0.16991947936509375,0.23433795120270476,0.5601677695986094,1.0158148989081748,0.44867655302733633,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.196961361765081,0.1899813967808981,-0.3245297366688573,0.2575483088582878,0.806324714840325,0.9484535189813781,0.5854052042532877,3.743448705179283,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6216791182733927,0.060492360598396425,0.6673560650713727,0.2730195421474192,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,0.6216791182733927,0.08717752478733373,0.22901547813814838,0.060492360598396425,0.6673560650713727,0.2730195421474192,0.8332069749810462,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09903872213784415,-0.10014426712301217,-0.17159276043717542,0.1292185918847777,-0.7454607938241543,-0.7848435688567679,-0.583615922186167,3.0353185595567864,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20239687425518413,0.8867379934085425,0.16577874132640646,0.2204534154723816,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,0.20239687425518413,-0.02671498452909273,0.2792400338958472,0.8867379934085425,0.16577874132640646,0.2204534154723816,0.8332069749810462,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9990666485613486,0.4028796146114699,-0.3245297366688573,0.30310007276727,1.273299018403806,1.7213647204079507,1.2414258820989308,4.349094936708861,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0666647020289632,0.5381806572948996,1.2457562654578482,0.7845078965394982,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,1.0666647020289632,0.09901518059464146,0.21730119589943192,0.5381806572948996,1.2457562654578482,0.7845078965394982,0.8332069749810462,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.702042920081614,0.2639392144030177,-0.3245297366688574,0.2726458799374985,0.9990365814901475,1.27374997097615,0.813297471942718,4.03188870967742,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.681788037001292,0.6328893885375664,1.0499703384800925,0.42623570189384513,-0.09903872213784415,0.4028796146114699,0.681788037001292,0.187385057753538,0.2333958273189211,0.6328893885375664,1.0499703384800925,0.42623570189384513,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.204211450801173,0.1902304856976842,-0.3245297366688574,0.25826549090621037,0.8056199541008375,0.9453102957955263,0.5861727422895331,3.6282470119521912,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6240252460014406,0.06216209957540089,0.6720206100186696,0.2811246481609755,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,0.6240252460014406,0.08711907890175176,0.2292386070516625,0.06216209957540089,0.6720206100186696,0.2811246481609755,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10463755521259965,-0.10580185599391556,-0.1715927604371752,0.13073399995967905,-0.7831234826928736,-0.8126901554478198,-0.6165869453021156,2.9037880886426595,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2062010304952012,0.8672275022123975,0.1485042286163676,0.22337622223665216,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,0.2062010304952012,-0.031460053765447714,0.2785419920936124,0.8672275022123975,0.1485042286163676,0.22337622223665216,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9272361035310137,0.39243608473364344,-0.3245297366688574,0.30528892504298416,1.2418185896998934,1.6687406419963706,1.2092453799821619,4.2843670886075955,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0739480611719048,0.5027611311200775,1.2375057965936205,0.8160810438946289,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,1.0739480611719048,0.09023246903913253,0.2190378906379906,0.5027611311200775,1.2375057965936205,0.8160810438946289,0.8438210765731615,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6209372741274777,0.2548946836688206,-0.3245297366688571,0.2746745701838663,0.9674756945103539,1.2263399206284136,0.7854278202213237,3.9517693548387105,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.6874856160419267,0.6017419032619525,1.040083927431919,0.43961092556363685,-0.10463755521259965,0.39243608473364344,0.6874856160419267,0.1800325063232423,0.23443855974995487,0.6017419032619525,1.040083927431919,0.43961092556363685,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.050462335997385,0.18486537608764508,-0.3262990124898948,0.2588784980051067,0.7868258749434048,0.9276552822411268,0.5665520550521747,3.481516434262948,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.627380585892539,0.043119319687910246,0.6647352859836418,0.29128575953975366,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,0.627380585892539,0.08209723522658238,0.22909500791712292,0.043119319687910246,0.6647352859836418,0.29128575953975366,0.8407884761182715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10159593419974655,-0.10272836682504216,-0.16333969891780908,0.12973890599623963,-0.7639275831908824,-0.8195626843954604,-0.6289246735830831,2.772257617728532,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20988720882413675,0.8847911947362498,0.1790764746616749,0.23203444286811065,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,0.20988720882413675,-0.026922492618439108,0.27670823802541133,0.8847911947362498,0.1790764746616749,0.23203444286811065,0.8407884761182715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7976207446001986,0.3731334998338578,-0.3262990124898947,0.30592488426774284,1.1940331781307971,1.611638031746923,1.1435324213413411,4.099430379746836,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0757412111150877,0.4384967376191756,1.2010933029965736,0.8258559770154814,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,1.0757412111150877,0.0759211296132175,0.2196019465544485,0.4384967376191756,1.2010933029965736,0.8258559770154814,0.8407884761182715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5133938515159526,0.2425659871670638,-0.32629901248989446,0.2750831111935688,0.9304025672752777,1.1860352539944905,0.743385599962783,3.7797483870967743,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.689972907318297,0.5601677695986094,1.0158148989081748,0.44867655302733633,-0.10159593419974655,0.3731334998338578,0.689972907318297,0.16991947936509375,0.23433795120270476,0.5601677695986094,1.0158148989081748,0.44867655302733633,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4556498839307244,0.19864384767977628,-0.3242695303966062,0.2599691993888187,0.8291992134719377,0.97471014671069,0.612588692612654,3.702218625498008,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6280533784758922,0.09450976345410082,0.6745212604947891,0.2488272664077426,-0.09903872213784415,0.4234111056558998,0.6280533784758922,0.09384079364892944,0.2301600919685102,0.09450976345410082,0.6745212604947891,0.2488272664077426,0.8514025777103866,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09903872213784415,-0.10014426712301217,-0.17159276043717542,0.1292185918847777,-0.7454607938241543,-0.7848435688567679,-0.583615922186167,3.0353185595567864,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20239687425518413,0.8867379934085425,0.16577874132640646,0.2204534154723816,-0.09903872213784415,0.4234111056558998,0.20239687425518413,-0.02671498452909273,0.2792400338958472,0.8867379934085425,0.16577874132640646,0.2204534154723816,0.8514025777103866,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.143820986988298,0.4234111056558998,-0.3218231385986835,0.30778954370730927,1.30597333042659,1.7614689009271045,1.3156639621984965,4.244297468354431,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0845177648594087,0.6027053223297077,1.2572986672612614,0.6856590943100541,-0.09903872213784415,0.4234111056558998,1.0845177648594087,0.11024080047218876,0.22063055666962947,0.6027053223297077,1.2572986672612614,0.6856590943100541,0.8514025777103866,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8324609738068394,0.27805705888503907,-0.32182313859868295,0.276653608604089,1.0288576869294939,1.3086830062629755,0.8640058017449743,3.9517693548387105,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.6917599106155568,0.6785025791909096,1.0594202524435865,0.3901729930322562,-0.09903872213784415,0.4234111056558998,0.6917599106155568,0.19839585357986997,0.23576583394688944,0.6785025791909096,1.0594202524435865,0.3901729930322562,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5059345249605496,0.2002761705703595,-0.3221207597290361,0.2606632808628144,0.8329231133229548,0.9772050364697262,0.6217425127732509,3.583378984063745,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6300099042152129,0.10109604483442282,0.6827855412315841,0.25838299923991415,-0.10463755521259965,0.41696335800080897,0.6300099042152129,0.09500780756953373,0.2304599715228248,0.10109604483442282,0.6827855412315841,0.25838299923991415,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10463755521259965,-0.10580185599391556,-0.1715927604371752,0.13073399995967905,-0.7831234826928736,-0.8126901554478198,-0.6165869453021156,2.9037880886426595,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2062010304952012,0.8672275022123975,0.1485042286163676,0.22337622223665216,-0.10463755521259965,0.41696335800080897,0.2062010304952012,-0.031460053765447714,0.2785419920936124,0.8672275022123975,0.1485042286163676,0.22337622223665216,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.097853100057571,0.41696335800080897,-0.32182313859868317,0.30988791278569694,1.2845539657967306,1.7239996893270293,1.2956288967176057,4.170322784810127,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0903433201694674,0.5800750451486555,1.2582715244945517,0.7237539677522665,-0.10463755521259965,0.41696335800080897,1.0903433201694674,0.10477659780857815,0.2225195234794087,0.5800750451486555,1.2582715244945517,0.7237539677522665,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7737013252597773,0.2717591561502035,-0.3218231385986834,0.2786080501551242,1.0058298237672028,1.2732492145727083,0.8444363489012201,3.8645806451612903,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.6966771737073203,0.6565907627576701,1.0570850980197508,0.4059275182600732,-0.10463755521259965,0.41696335800080897,0.6966771737073203,0.1933779151774864,0.2369250824109238,0.6565907627576701,1.0570850980197508,0.4059275182600732,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3712624178724173,0.1958677523586978,-0.3235995038784032,0.2602371792517822,0.8196841785512818,0.9633624149179097,0.6052782838390807,3.4463496015936257,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6314899583038653,0.0849195487225147,0.6736521184203158,0.25975862802803984,-0.10159593419974655,0.4025276841950105,0.6314899583038653,0.0909207796225496,0.22961048410176418,0.0849195487225147,0.6736521184203158,0.25975862802803984,0.8718726307808946,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10159593419974655,-0.10272836682504216,-0.16333969891780908,0.12973890599623963,-0.7639275831908824,-0.8195626843954604,-0.6289246735830831,2.772257617728532,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20988720882413675,0.8847911947362498,0.1790764746616749,0.23203444286811065,-0.10159593419974655,0.4025276841950105,0.20988720882413675,-0.026922492618439108,0.27670823802541133,0.8847911947362498,0.1790764746616749,0.23203444286811065,0.8718726307808946,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9966264319559004,0.4025276841950105,-0.32359950387840286,0.3089686232669173,1.2541714818411647,1.6802290990749758,1.2439069880226579,3.985386075949368,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0905154803480979,0.5357425336846944,1.230544146638722,0.725537130075466,-0.10159593419974655,0.4025276841950105,1.0905154803480979,0.09416217725328106,0.22120683713023764,0.5357425336846944,1.230544146638722,0.725537130075466,0.8718726307808946,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6921813701536927,0.26285067465651646,-0.32359950387840297,0.27769894671793016,0.9827996573999654,1.2443811576293997,0.8122715625524762,3.6925596774193554,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.698296856407687,0.6295779752435452,1.039926686325618,0.4120775322103653,-0.10159593419974655,0.4025276841950105,0.698296856407687,0.18586613390815676,0.23547990894427784,0.6295779752435452,1.039926686325618,0.4120775322103653,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3002008037470745,0.19349326811425693,-0.3338788702827158,0.2667095898017378,0.7987878862063594,0.9387482698178103,0.5795313370696812,3.902709993359894,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6389964823899309,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.6389964823899309,0.08919800203072542,0.2351066342622728,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1040313830411832,-0.10518934253297663,-0.17815421646294938,0.1315861559619798,-0.7720735449657848,-0.8043937535764717,-0.5904398145684797,3.102770083102493,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20483854466697166,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.20483854466697166,-0.031141991881083495,0.27944537888195853,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.063514200835109,0.41210344587995595,-0.333878870282716,0.3146543168955504,1.2589044432161445,1.6983615232857894,1.2342902847700494,4.556635021097047,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1012690428395757,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,1.1012690428395757,0.09988966097108919,0.22722428637429853,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7448125815559274,0.2686253780012402,-0.3338788702827158,0.2827525936500562,0.9864743075752193,1.253625822880488,0.8045593833888876,4.206266129032259,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7020746533417463,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.7020746533417463,0.19140089732527968,0.24056256893908162,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3085255243733878,0.1937732094664395,-0.33387887028271634,0.2674487351642356,0.7982035049996118,0.9357675063405968,0.5803697889068555,3.783466135458167,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6414071265815663,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.6414071265815663,0.08916491407420966,0.23536122540118126,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10959769973882838,-0.11081370588505324,-0.17815421646294938,0.13307360853730327,-0.80892063460176,-0.8319000657647484,-0.622010009558764,2.9678670360110804,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20864287955818253,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.20864287955818253,-0.035885326365348816,0.27874730925051033,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.98682788264672,0.4011125282209991,-0.3338788702827161,0.31694164920457124,1.227391599073572,1.645919054653228,1.2013714071853425,4.489852320675106,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1088558647510744,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,1.1088558647510744,0.09074068384708821,0.22908022448612428,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.65947841719283,0.2592188977101564,-0.33387887028271623,0.28486045764503826,0.9550946851726962,1.2067871787954647,0.7763860512965659,4.123790322580645,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7079373332556588,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.7079373332556588,0.18381054023113755,0.24171521299568302,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1451490702728693,0.18819021025059124,-0.3356985505939676,0.26807803650146367,0.7794245432279707,0.9180763627427465,0.5605928590326567,3.6318849601593626,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6448253681726823,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.6448253681726823,0.08397049474310081,0.23524860910739373,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10632351041365018,-0.10750542263089691,-0.16961487315788804,0.13190095890982462,-0.7893981353346061,-0.8399814769351734,-0.6338207294523294,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21220819591954906,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.21220819591954906,-0.031135454097336004,0.27686680669165953,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8504085077506431,0.381067922637395,-0.33569855059396736,0.317596333642133,1.1799359879724143,1.5892939555136512,1.1351491448597364,4.299778481012658,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1106753582306044,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,1.1106753582306044,0.07598308487918261,0.22967325924537316,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5473430690936523,0.24650073791665217,-0.33569855059396736,0.28526746416605553,0.9184005088260396,1.166980232794208,0.7342919338808783,3.9470564516129034,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7103799643690759,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.7103799643690759,0.17342709384501293,0.24164314197513875,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3002008037470745,0.19349326811425693,-0.3338788702827158,0.2667095898017378,0.7987878862063594,0.9387482698178103,0.5795313370696812,3.902709993359894,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6389964823899309,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.6389964823899309,0.08919800203072542,0.2351066342622728,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1040313830411832,-0.10518934253297663,-0.17815421646294938,0.1315861559619798,-0.7720735449657848,-0.8043937535764717,-0.5904398145684797,3.102770083102493,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20483854466697166,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.20483854466697166,-0.031141991881083495,0.27944537888195853,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.063514200835109,0.41210344587995595,-0.333878870282716,0.3146543168955504,1.2589044432161445,1.6983615232857894,1.2342902847700494,4.556635021097047,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1012690428395757,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,1.1012690428395757,0.09988966097108919,0.22722428637429853,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7448125815559274,0.2686253780012402,-0.3338788702827158,0.2827525936500562,0.9864743075752193,1.253625822880488,0.8045593833888876,4.206266129032259,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7020746533417463,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.7020746533417463,0.19140089732527968,0.24056256893908162,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3085255243733878,0.1937732094664395,-0.33387887028271634,0.2674487351642356,0.7982035049996118,0.9357675063405968,0.5803697889068555,3.783466135458167,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6414071265815663,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.6414071265815663,0.08916491407420966,0.23536122540118126,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10959769973882838,-0.11081370588505324,-0.17815421646294938,0.13307360853730327,-0.80892063460176,-0.8319000657647484,-0.622010009558764,2.9678670360110804,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20864287955818253,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.20864287955818253,-0.035885326365348816,0.27874730925051033,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.98682788264672,0.4011125282209991,-0.3338788702827161,0.31694164920457124,1.227391599073572,1.645919054653228,1.2013714071853425,4.489852320675106,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1088558647510744,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,1.1088558647510744,0.09074068384708821,0.22908022448612428,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.65947841719283,0.2592188977101564,-0.33387887028271623,0.28486045764503826,0.9550946851726962,1.2067871787954647,0.7763860512965659,4.123790322580645,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7079373332556588,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.7079373332556588,0.18381054023113755,0.24171521299568302,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1451490702728693,0.18819021025059124,-0.3356985505939676,0.26807803650146367,0.7794245432279707,0.9180763627427465,0.5605928590326567,3.6318849601593626,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6448253681726823,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.6448253681726823,0.08397049474310081,0.23524860910739373,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10632351041365018,-0.10750542263089691,-0.16961487315788804,0.13190095890982462,-0.7893981353346061,-0.8399814769351734,-0.6338207294523294,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21220819591954906,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.21220819591954906,-0.031135454097336004,0.27686680669165953,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8504085077506431,0.381067922637395,-0.33569855059396736,0.317596333642133,1.1799359879724143,1.5892939555136512,1.1351491448597364,4.299778481012658,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1106753582306044,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,1.1106753582306044,0.07598308487918261,0.22967325924537316,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5473430690936523,0.24650073791665217,-0.33569855059396736,0.28526746416605553,0.9184005088260396,1.166980232794208,0.7342919338808783,3.9470564516129034,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7103799643690759,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.7103799643690759,0.17342709384501293,0.24164314197513875,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.575606689899608,0.2025115889157474,-0.33107132125314165,0.2692461980905118,0.8218200996202746,0.965152431758538,0.6116856879938093,3.8602672642762283,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6456362966663305,0.11615903951392628,0.6931369051929451,0.25875436510813965,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,0.6456362966663305,0.09613866173301708,0.23638330379111674,0.11615903951392628,0.6931369051929451,0.25875436510813965,0.8498862774829417,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1040313830411832,-0.10518934253297663,-0.17815421646294938,0.1315861559619798,-0.7720735449657848,-0.8043937535764717,-0.5904398145684797,3.102770083102493,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20483854466697166,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,0.20483854466697166,-0.031141991881083495,0.27944537888195853,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,0.8498862774829417,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2170327430985783,0.43354691669523726,-0.3310713212531423,0.31955629434313404,1.29183752810809,1.7388556614645432,1.3095272494585555,4.448755274261604,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1198658403966562,0.6231250158611884,1.2955230335524117,0.7227337710644907,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,1.1198658403966562,0.1115824092747133,0.2308125737566152,0.6231250158611884,1.2955230335524117,0.7227337710644907,0.8498862774829417,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8823603775452646,0.28332737194947466,-0.33107132125314187,0.2869459337997069,1.0165407793828236,1.2888955772270942,0.8557895346448281,4.123790322580645,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7124619377428661,0.6868982704329156,1.0907150365719331,0.40869276833081175,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,0.7124619377428661,0.20286999428136918,0.24315504196739396,0.6868982704329156,1.0907150365719331,0.40869276833081175,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.630053400506572,0.2042377758483105,-0.33107132125314176,0.2699610890416606,0.8256895730403107,0.9678314686383523,0.6168996307963124,3.7369812416998673,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.647641108972245,0.122891350413523,0.7017622389132093,0.26865478275910687,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,0.647641108972245,0.09738222029289513,0.23671459739680034,0.122891350413523,0.7017622389132093,0.26865478275910687,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10959769973882838,-0.11081370588505324,-0.17815421646294938,0.13307360853730327,-0.80892063460176,-0.8319000657647484,-0.622010009558764,2.9678670360110804,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20864287955818253,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,0.20864287955818253,-0.035885326365348816,0.27874730925051033,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.167749943537113,0.42674174956580235,-0.33107132125314187,0.321748755445442,1.27041747784163,1.701545117846941,1.2889722611748347,4.371698312236287,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1259341271779673,0.6003313707574298,1.2965451901642524,0.7623911003395484,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,1.1259341271779673,0.105890531500119,0.2328139499403112,0.6003313707574298,1.2965451901642524,0.7623911003395484,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8205718363776464,0.27679088593878487,-0.3310713212531421,0.28897595158964134,0.9937283069050331,1.254001855514738,0.8360460969289044,4.033459677419355,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7175117969301187,0.6648116838688771,1.0884202441883115,0.42501598630336673,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,0.7175117969301187,0.1977117709600524,0.2444212724312682,0.6648116838688771,1.0884202441883115,0.42501598630336673,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4871030112029393,0.19966675208792517,-0.33289867110295623,0.2695018472567231,0.8124890714479531,0.9540039852759059,0.5997823644846387,3.595505478087649,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.64910592785248,0.10665613414905496,0.6921698258423351,0.2697894780826012,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,0.64910592785248,0.09316156734531252,0.2358366541239025,0.10665613414905496,0.6921698258423351,0.2697894780826012,0.8703563305534496,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10632351041365018,-0.10750542263089691,-0.16961487315788804,0.13190095890982462,-0.7893981353346061,-0.8399814769351734,-0.6338207294523294,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21220819591954906,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,0.21220819591954906,-0.031135454097336004,0.27686680669165953,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,0.8703563305534496,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.061506616392115,0.41181815310319436,-0.33289867110295635,0.3207785464478178,1.2403691972132347,1.658314827210974,1.2370675789685877,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1260650896527549,0.556900718791994,1.2680833538760643,0.7641417486813121,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,1.1260650896527549,0.09498388968910712,0.23144898021991542,0.556900718791994,1.2680833538760643,0.7641417486813121,0.8703563305534496,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.735996485782695,0.26766401077768376,-0.33289867110295646,0.28800496862334735,0.9710999756638485,1.2256763519066407,0.8040404904317043,3.8567258064516134,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.719050669110199,0.6381025687795854,1.0706605218559115,0.4309342176723058,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,0.719050669110199,0.19003795549978084,0.24292670206081626,0.6381025687795854,1.0706605218559115,0.4309342176723058,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3002008037470745,0.19349326811425693,-0.3338788702827158,0.2667095898017378,0.7987878862063594,0.9387482698178103,0.5795313370696812,3.902709993359894,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6389964823899309,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.6389964823899309,0.08919800203072542,0.2351066342622728,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1040313830411832,-0.10518934253297663,-0.17815421646294938,0.1315861559619798,-0.7720735449657848,-0.8043937535764717,-0.5904398145684797,3.102770083102493,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20483854466697166,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.20483854466697166,-0.031141991881083495,0.27944537888195853,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.063514200835109,0.41210344587995595,-0.333878870282716,0.3146543168955504,1.2589044432161445,1.6983615232857894,1.2342902847700494,4.556635021097047,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1012690428395757,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,1.1012690428395757,0.09988966097108919,0.22722428637429853,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7448125815559274,0.2686253780012402,-0.3338788702827158,0.2827525936500562,0.9864743075752193,1.253625822880488,0.8045593833888876,4.206266129032259,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7020746533417463,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.7020746533417463,0.19140089732527968,0.24056256893908162,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3085255243733878,0.1937732094664395,-0.33387887028271634,0.2674487351642356,0.7982035049996118,0.9357675063405968,0.5803697889068555,3.783466135458167,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6414071265815663,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.6414071265815663,0.08916491407420966,0.23536122540118126,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10959769973882838,-0.11081370588505324,-0.17815421646294938,0.13307360853730327,-0.80892063460176,-0.8319000657647484,-0.622010009558764,2.9678670360110804,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20864287955818253,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.20864287955818253,-0.035885326365348816,0.27874730925051033,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.98682788264672,0.4011125282209991,-0.3338788702827161,0.31694164920457124,1.227391599073572,1.645919054653228,1.2013714071853425,4.489852320675106,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1088558647510744,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,1.1088558647510744,0.09074068384708821,0.22908022448612428,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.65947841719283,0.2592188977101564,-0.33387887028271623,0.28486045764503826,0.9550946851726962,1.2067871787954647,0.7763860512965659,4.123790322580645,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7079373332556588,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.7079373332556588,0.18381054023113755,0.24171521299568302,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1451490702728693,0.18819021025059124,-0.3356985505939676,0.26807803650146367,0.7794245432279707,0.9180763627427465,0.5605928590326567,3.6318849601593626,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6448253681726823,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.6448253681726823,0.08397049474310081,0.23524860910739373,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10632351041365018,-0.10750542263089691,-0.16961487315788804,0.13190095890982462,-0.7893981353346061,-0.8399814769351734,-0.6338207294523294,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21220819591954906,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.21220819591954906,-0.031135454097336004,0.27686680669165953,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8504085077506431,0.381067922637395,-0.33569855059396736,0.317596333642133,1.1799359879724143,1.5892939555136512,1.1351491448597364,4.299778481012658,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1106753582306044,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,1.1106753582306044,0.07598308487918261,0.22967325924537316,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5473430690936523,0.24650073791665217,-0.33569855059396736,0.28526746416605553,0.9184005088260396,1.166980232794208,0.7342919338808783,3.9470564516129034,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7103799643690759,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.7103799643690759,0.17342709384501293,0.24164314197513875,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3002008037470745,0.19349326811425693,-0.3338788702827158,0.2667095898017378,0.7987878862063594,0.9387482698178103,0.5795313370696812,3.902709993359894,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6389964823899309,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.6389964823899309,0.08919800203072542,0.2351066342622728,0.08179484053020367,0.6856732371081733,0.2838359599468753,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1040313830411832,-0.10518934253297663,-0.17815421646294938,0.1315861559619798,-0.7720735449657848,-0.8043937535764717,-0.5904398145684797,3.102770083102493,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20483854466697166,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.20483854466697166,-0.031141991881083495,0.27944537888195853,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.063514200835109,0.41210344587995595,-0.333878870282716,0.3146543168955504,1.2589044432161445,1.6983615232857894,1.2342902847700494,4.556635021097047,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1012690428395757,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,1.1012690428395757,0.09988966097108919,0.22722428637429853,0.5594912187994258,1.2835028240338788,0.8253268059930013,0.8278999241849886,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7448125815559274,0.2686253780012402,-0.3338788702827158,0.2827525936500562,0.9864743075752193,1.253625822880488,0.8045593833888876,4.206266129032259,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7020746533417463,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,-0.1040313830411832,0.41210344587995595,0.7020746533417463,0.19140089732527968,0.24056256893908162,0.6412415044672215,1.0808739352389576,0.446121474257525,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3085255243733878,0.1937732094664395,-0.33387887028271634,0.2674487351642356,0.7982035049996118,0.9357675063405968,0.5803697889068555,3.783466135458167,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6414071265815663,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.6414071265815663,0.08916491407420966,0.23536122540118126,0.08355088214155455,0.6905607110549733,0.29223476713640845,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10959769973882838,-0.11081370588505324,-0.17815421646294938,0.13307360853730327,-0.80892063460176,-0.8319000657647484,-0.622010009558764,2.9678670360110804,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20864287955818253,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.20864287955818253,-0.035885326365348816,0.27874730925051033,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.98682788264672,0.4011125282209991,-0.3338788702827161,0.31694164920457124,1.227391599073572,1.645919054653228,1.2013714071853425,4.489852320675106,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1088558647510744,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,1.1088558647510744,0.09074068384708821,0.22908022448612428,0.5239290873181438,1.274951645922055,0.8582331969886192,0.8430629264594389,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.65947841719283,0.2592188977101564,-0.33387887028271623,0.28486045764503826,0.9550946851726962,1.2067871787954647,0.7763860512965659,4.123790322580645,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7079373332556588,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,-0.10959769973882838,0.4011125282209991,0.7079373332556588,0.18381054023113755,0.24171521299568302,0.6098054064318669,1.0707413296321289,0.4599817678827634,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1451490702728693,0.18819021025059124,-0.3356985505939676,0.26807803650146367,0.7794245432279707,0.9180763627427465,0.5605928590326567,3.6318849601593626,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6448253681726823,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.6448253681726823,0.08397049474310081,0.23524860910739373,0.06432650715939615,0.6828675934249889,0.3025639236903337,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10632351041365018,-0.10750542263089691,-0.16961487315788804,0.13190095890982462,-0.7893981353346061,-0.8399814769351734,-0.6338207294523294,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21220819591954906,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.21220819591954906,-0.031135454097336004,0.27686680669165953,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8504085077506431,0.381067922637395,-0.33569855059396736,0.317596333642133,1.1799359879724143,1.5892939555136512,1.1351491448597364,4.299778481012658,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1106753582306044,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,1.1106753582306044,0.07598308487918261,0.22967325924537316,0.4604524678552193,1.2373738967800483,0.8683954139133572,0.8392721758908264,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5473430690936523,0.24650073791665217,-0.33569855059396736,0.28526746416605553,0.9184005088260396,1.166980232794208,0.7342919338808783,3.9470564516129034,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7103799643690759,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,-0.10632351041365018,0.381067922637395,0.7103799643690759,0.17342709384501293,0.24164314197513875,0.5682773270871778,1.0455182912902463,0.46896876631853013,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.575606689899608,0.2025115889157474,-0.33107132125314165,0.2692461980905118,0.8218200996202746,0.965152431758538,0.6116856879938093,3.8602672642762283,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6456362966663305,0.11615903951392628,0.6931369051929451,0.25875436510813965,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,0.6456362966663305,0.09613866173301708,0.23638330379111674,0.11615903951392628,0.6931369051929451,0.25875436510813965,0.8498862774829417,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1040313830411832,-0.10518934253297663,-0.17815421646294938,0.1315861559619798,-0.7720735449657848,-0.8043937535764717,-0.5904398145684797,3.102770083102493,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20483854466697166,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,0.20483854466697166,-0.031141991881083495,0.27944537888195853,0.8672390736501908,0.16577874132640646,0.22831573506273575,0.8498862774829417,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2170327430985783,0.43354691669523726,-0.3310713212531423,0.31955629434313404,1.29183752810809,1.7388556614645432,1.3095272494585555,4.448755274261604,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1198658403966562,0.6231250158611884,1.2955230335524117,0.7227337710644907,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,1.1198658403966562,0.1115824092747133,0.2308125737566152,0.6231250158611884,1.2955230335524117,0.7227337710644907,0.8498862774829417,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8823603775452646,0.28332737194947466,-0.33107132125314187,0.2869459337997069,1.0165407793828236,1.2888955772270942,0.8557895346448281,4.123790322580645,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7124619377428661,0.6868982704329156,1.0907150365719331,0.40869276833081175,-0.1040313830411832,0.43354691669523726,0.7124619377428661,0.20286999428136918,0.24315504196739396,0.6868982704329156,1.0907150365719331,0.40869276833081175,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.630053400506572,0.2042377758483105,-0.33107132125314176,0.2699610890416606,0.8256895730403107,0.9678314686383523,0.6168996307963124,3.7369812416998673,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.647641108972245,0.122891350413523,0.7017622389132093,0.26865478275910687,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,0.647641108972245,0.09738222029289513,0.23671459739680034,0.122891350413523,0.7017622389132093,0.26865478275910687,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10959769973882838,-0.11081370588505324,-0.17815421646294938,0.13307360853730327,-0.80892063460176,-0.8319000657647484,-0.622010009558764,2.9678670360110804,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20864287955818253,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,0.20864287955818253,-0.035885326365348816,0.27874730925051033,0.8477002134585755,0.1485042286163676,0.23123644274506008,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.167749943537113,0.42674174956580235,-0.33107132125314187,0.321748755445442,1.27041747784163,1.701545117846941,1.2889722611748347,4.371698312236287,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1259341271779673,0.6003313707574298,1.2965451901642524,0.7623911003395484,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,1.1259341271779673,0.105890531500119,0.2328139499403112,0.6003313707574298,1.2965451901642524,0.7623911003395484,0.8711144806671721,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8205718363776464,0.27679088593878487,-0.3310713212531421,0.28897595158964134,0.9937283069050331,1.254001855514738,0.8360460969289044,4.033459677419355,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7175117969301187,0.6648116838688771,1.0884202441883115,0.42501598630336673,-0.10959769973882838,0.42674174956580235,0.7175117969301187,0.1977117709600524,0.2444212724312682,0.6648116838688771,1.0884202441883115,0.42501598630336673,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4871030112029393,0.19966675208792517,-0.33289867110295623,0.2695018472567231,0.8124890714479531,0.9540039852759059,0.5997823644846387,3.595505478087649,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.64910592785248,0.10665613414905496,0.6921698258423351,0.2697894780826012,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,0.64910592785248,0.09316156734531252,0.2358366541239025,0.10665613414905496,0.6921698258423351,0.2697894780826012,0.8703563305534496,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10632351041365018,-0.10750542263089691,-0.16961487315788804,0.13190095890982462,-0.7893981353346061,-0.8399814769351734,-0.6338207294523294,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21220819591954906,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,0.21220819591954906,-0.031135454097336004,0.27686680669165953,0.8661846223921689,0.1790764746616749,0.23954842606293733,0.8703563305534496,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.061506616392115,0.41181815310319436,-0.33289867110295635,0.3207785464478178,1.2403691972132347,1.658314827210974,1.2370675789685877,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1260650896527549,0.556900718791994,1.2680833538760643,0.7641417486813121,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,1.1260650896527549,0.09498388968910712,0.23144898021991542,0.556900718791994,1.2680833538760643,0.7641417486813121,0.8703563305534496,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.735996485782695,0.26766401077768376,-0.33289867110295646,0.28800496862334735,0.9710999756638485,1.2256763519066407,0.8040404904317043,3.8567258064516134,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.719050669110199,0.6381025687795854,1.0706605218559115,0.4309342176723058,-0.10632351041365018,0.41181815310319436,0.719050669110199,0.19003795549978084,0.24292670206081626,0.6381025687795854,1.0706605218559115,0.4309342176723058,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.046570076563765,0.184727247083305,-0.34370311641543694,0.2516453688291202,0.801630076110411,0.927760362421764,0.5374616587998102,3.7698238296812745,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6296122393691681,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6296122393691681,0.07969890527829931,0.2203116336336673,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8652963084327627,0.3832872806406622,-0.3068172849856786,0.2931207219013101,1.2582130362674375,1.698162012793545,1.2492362699140402,4.295925632911392,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0748764454183972,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,1.0748764454183972,0.07967759436473504,0.20155117507223327,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5526915701030797,0.2471169745429347,-0.30681728498567873,0.2641772496952583,0.9714601645624791,1.2345100123941668,0.8054206416514941,3.95589314516129,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6849118392561414,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6849118392561414,0.17125008160886326,0.22267947579095795,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.343671908742115,0.19494988751845987,-0.34871611819280113,0.2517669996158089,0.8355645197812573,0.9674509120589265,0.5590504061836176,3.6076319721115535,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6299163578326753,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6299163578326753,0.08828103886239592,0.22037183985882033,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9562845206805206,0.39668058868534284,-0.3057683791567075,0.29294874995669307,1.2917791190147867,1.7482924825241457,1.2973237774925133,4.091724683544303,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747572991575591,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,1.0747572991575591,0.08932640812382545,0.2013243072521596,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6247172417836202,0.25532092741802637,-0.30576837915670707,0.2640575822384737,0.9966788264700066,1.2693993378343225,0.8350141637346148,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6852907136553237,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6852907136553237,0.17774577426338975,0.22244446632160064,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.141440851203545,0.1880612614758217,-0.3533254473712104,0.2517668834793075,0.8125604983389705,0.9397026420735136,0.5322607326333927,3.50152514940239,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6279557091460715,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.6279557091460715,0.08286929196573836,0.2208786783595547,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9455788237028977,0.3951196622183175,-0.30576837915670696,0.2923790883500464,1.2898887767957157,1.7417174766045824,1.2922188465270237,4.037784810126582,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.069645035453518,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,1.069645035453518,0.08941298102707908,0.20149653643193233,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.612587444194975,0.25395145660602547,-0.3057683791567073,0.2636039048105057,0.9937863945293326,1.2636894855079521,0.8305353787936146,3.755594758064516,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.683058913141371,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.683058913141371,0.17680938459990497,0.22245448758857772,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.046570076563765,0.184727247083305,-0.34370311641543694,0.2516453688291202,0.801630076110411,0.927760362421764,0.5374616587998102,3.7698238296812745,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6296122393691681,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6296122393691681,0.07969890527829931,0.2203116336336673,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8652963084327627,0.3832872806406622,-0.3068172849856786,0.2931207219013101,1.2582130362674375,1.698162012793545,1.2492362699140402,4.295925632911392,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0748764454183972,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,1.0748764454183972,0.07967759436473504,0.20155117507223327,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5526915701030797,0.2471169745429347,-0.30681728498567873,0.2641772496952583,0.9714601645624791,1.2345100123941668,0.8054206416514941,3.95589314516129,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6849118392561414,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6849118392561414,0.17125008160886326,0.22267947579095795,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.343671908742115,0.19494988751845987,-0.34871611819280113,0.2517669996158089,0.8355645197812573,0.9674509120589265,0.5590504061836176,3.6076319721115535,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6299163578326753,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6299163578326753,0.08828103886239592,0.22037183985882033,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9562845206805206,0.39668058868534284,-0.3057683791567075,0.29294874995669307,1.2917791190147867,1.7482924825241457,1.2973237774925133,4.091724683544303,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747572991575591,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,1.0747572991575591,0.08932640812382545,0.2013243072521596,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6247172417836202,0.25532092741802637,-0.30576837915670707,0.2640575822384737,0.9966788264700066,1.2693993378343225,0.8350141637346148,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6852907136553237,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6852907136553237,0.17774577426338975,0.22244446632160064,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.141440851203545,0.1880612614758217,-0.3533254473712104,0.2517668834793075,0.8125604983389705,0.9397026420735136,0.5322607326333927,3.50152514940239,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6279557091460715,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.6279557091460715,0.08286929196573836,0.2208786783595547,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9455788237028977,0.3951196622183175,-0.30576837915670696,0.2923790883500464,1.2898887767957157,1.7417174766045824,1.2922188465270237,4.037784810126582,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.069645035453518,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,1.069645035453518,0.08941298102707908,0.20149653643193233,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.612587444194975,0.25395145660602547,-0.3057683791567073,0.2636039048105057,0.9937863945293326,1.2636894855079521,0.8305353787936146,3.755594758064516,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.683058913141371,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.683058913141371,0.17680938459990497,0.22245448758857772,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9983078028251406,0.18300473905645687,-0.34288357498540156,0.2517642358329235,0.7955799218511374,0.9209430796838622,0.5337226755882033,3.7470866533864537,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6304955428003837,0.02944659739075274,0.6651144880191763,0.31460819696679265,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.6304955428003837,0.07809978371479306,0.2202186952603641,0.02944659739075274,0.6651144880191763,0.31460819696679265,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8761211234180029,0.38489595645730756,-0.3068172849856785,0.2933078626366239,1.2615784835887767,1.7045112229360924,1.2544793767902405,4.2882199367088605,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.076289306817896,0.5013274145930342,1.18515218117896,0.7400127483992324,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,1.076289306817896,0.08052012423928169,0.20154725422154873,0.5013274145930342,1.18515218117896,0.7400127483992324,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5623353943314582,0.24822561455854442,-0.30681728498567873,0.2643375808955621,0.9744069744055742,1.2394283827844916,0.8090339974494293,3.9500020161290315,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6857006291255204,0.5968437553410235,1.0031776010257367,0.42645063859895904,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.6857006291255204,0.1720864515570408,0.22267622945163495,0.5968437553410235,1.0031776010257367,0.42645063859895904,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.0944892881751276,0.18641974217789659,-0.34871611819280146,0.2523052703253168,0.8058611966400265,0.9345225136810137,0.5345888315802686,3.6197584661354583,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6323002118967667,0.04315075759221641,0.6756241549003664,0.31731884419560086,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.6323002118967667,0.08077446978952349,0.2203703430004354,0.04315075759221641,0.6756241549003664,0.31731884419560086,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9063231656139572,0.3893622491472828,-0.3057683791567075,0.2931934895685085,1.27295243667359,1.7279469393006375,1.2733895186321182,4.1032832278481015,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.077568255475328,0.5182291525365067,1.199466868094125,0.7491043379338314,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,1.077568255475328,0.08336657858531168,0.20113041066936124,0.5182291525365067,1.199466868094125,0.7491043379338314,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5803593901801207,0.25028910493099854,-0.3057683791567072,0.2642583248483924,0.9808665601641943,1.2524271911823721,0.8185578431009854,3.814506048387097,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6867988472430276,0.6051514415077134,1.0150939458439572,0.43399760579162633,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.6867988472430276,0.1735793089580879,0.22231243197995407,0.6051514415077134,1.0150939458439572,0.43399760579162633,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.062580236188542,0.1852946721102846,-0.3533254473712104,0.2521580326435283,0.8024300820325447,0.929704892570754,0.5244305879718041,3.531841384462151,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6303897087297967,0.038629178146328595,0.6709108382221453,0.3138317468788351,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.6303897087297967,0.0801609155770727,0.22069615292868855,0.038629178146328595,0.6709108382221453,0.3138317468788351,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9525226545383392,0.39613254229017225,-0.3057683791567074,0.29269025490825074,1.2913258858237682,1.749142916036378,1.2955314195100367,4.057049050632911,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747003679053388,0.5422434409430414,1.2034020690458618,0.7172693284901044,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,1.0747003679053388,0.08887514660152808,0.200959144492934,0.5422434409430414,1.2034020690458618,0.7172693284901044,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.618746289821272,0.25464740466578006,-0.30576837915670707,0.2638688711988304,0.9951701526064443,1.2689358131129629,0.832811441680412,3.770322580645161,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6858527945593198,0.621053652539579,1.018315745869319,0.42336393834554004,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.6858527945593198,0.17708952357065186,0.2220821966733385,0.621053652539579,1.018315745869319,0.42336393834554004,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.046570076563765,0.184727247083305,-0.34370311641543694,0.2516453688291202,0.801630076110411,0.927760362421764,0.5374616587998102,3.7698238296812745,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6296122393691681,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6296122393691681,0.07969890527829931,0.2203116336336673,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8652963084327627,0.3832872806406622,-0.3068172849856786,0.2931207219013101,1.2582130362674375,1.698162012793545,1.2492362699140402,4.295925632911392,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0748764454183972,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,1.0748764454183972,0.07967759436473504,0.20155117507223327,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5526915701030797,0.2471169745429347,-0.30681728498567873,0.2641772496952583,0.9714601645624791,1.2345100123941668,0.8054206416514941,3.95589314516129,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6849118392561414,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6849118392561414,0.17125008160886326,0.22267947579095795,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.343671908742115,0.19494988751845987,-0.34871611819280113,0.2517669996158089,0.8355645197812573,0.9674509120589265,0.5590504061836176,3.6076319721115535,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6299163578326753,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6299163578326753,0.08828103886239592,0.22037183985882033,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9562845206805206,0.39668058868534284,-0.3057683791567075,0.29294874995669307,1.2917791190147867,1.7482924825241457,1.2973237774925133,4.091724683544303,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747572991575591,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,1.0747572991575591,0.08932640812382545,0.2013243072521596,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6247172417836202,0.25532092741802637,-0.30576837915670707,0.2640575822384737,0.9966788264700066,1.2693993378343225,0.8350141637346148,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6852907136553237,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6852907136553237,0.17774577426338975,0.22244446632160064,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.141440851203545,0.1880612614758217,-0.3533254473712104,0.2517668834793075,0.8125604983389705,0.9397026420735136,0.5322607326333927,3.50152514940239,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6279557091460715,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.6279557091460715,0.08286929196573836,0.2208786783595547,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9455788237028977,0.3951196622183175,-0.30576837915670696,0.2923790883500464,1.2898887767957157,1.7417174766045824,1.2922188465270237,4.037784810126582,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.069645035453518,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,1.069645035453518,0.08941298102707908,0.20149653643193233,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.612587444194975,0.25395145660602547,-0.3057683791567073,0.2636039048105057,0.9937863945293326,1.2636894855079521,0.8305353787936146,3.755594758064516,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.683058913141371,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.683058913141371,0.17680938459990497,0.22245448758857772,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.046570076563765,0.184727247083305,-0.34370311641543694,0.2516453688291202,0.801630076110411,0.927760362421764,0.5374616587998102,3.7698238296812745,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6296122393691681,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6296122393691681,0.07969890527829931,0.2203116336336673,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8652963084327627,0.3832872806406622,-0.3068172849856786,0.2931207219013101,1.2582130362674375,1.698162012793545,1.2492362699140402,4.295925632911392,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0748764454183972,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,1.0748764454183972,0.07967759436473504,0.20155117507223327,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5526915701030797,0.2471169745429347,-0.30681728498567873,0.2641772496952583,0.9714601645624791,1.2345100123941668,0.8054206416514941,3.95589314516129,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6849118392561414,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6849118392561414,0.17125008160886326,0.22267947579095795,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.343671908742115,0.19494988751845987,-0.34871611819280113,0.2517669996158089,0.8355645197812573,0.9674509120589265,0.5590504061836176,3.6076319721115535,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6299163578326753,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6299163578326753,0.08828103886239592,0.22037183985882033,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9562845206805206,0.39668058868534284,-0.3057683791567075,0.29294874995669307,1.2917791190147867,1.7482924825241457,1.2973237774925133,4.091724683544303,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747572991575591,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,1.0747572991575591,0.08932640812382545,0.2013243072521596,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6247172417836202,0.25532092741802637,-0.30576837915670707,0.2640575822384737,0.9966788264700066,1.2693993378343225,0.8350141637346148,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6852907136553237,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6852907136553237,0.17774577426338975,0.22244446632160064,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.141440851203545,0.1880612614758217,-0.3533254473712104,0.2517668834793075,0.8125604983389705,0.9397026420735136,0.5322607326333927,3.50152514940239,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6279557091460715,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.6279557091460715,0.08286929196573836,0.2208786783595547,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9455788237028977,0.3951196622183175,-0.30576837915670696,0.2923790883500464,1.2898887767957157,1.7417174766045824,1.2922188465270237,4.037784810126582,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.069645035453518,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,1.069645035453518,0.08941298102707908,0.20149653643193233,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.612587444194975,0.25395145660602547,-0.3057683791567073,0.2636039048105057,0.9937863945293326,1.2636894855079521,0.8305353787936146,3.755594758064516,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.683058913141371,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.683058913141371,0.17680938459990497,0.22245448758857772,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9983078028251406,0.18300473905645687,-0.34288357498540156,0.2517642358329235,0.7955799218511374,0.9209430796838622,0.5337226755882033,3.7470866533864537,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6304955428003837,0.02944659739075274,0.6651144880191763,0.31460819696679265,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.6304955428003837,0.07809978371479306,0.2202186952603641,0.02944659739075274,0.6651144880191763,0.31460819696679265,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8761211234180029,0.38489595645730756,-0.3068172849856785,0.2933078626366239,1.2615784835887767,1.7045112229360924,1.2544793767902405,4.2882199367088605,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.076289306817896,0.5013274145930342,1.18515218117896,0.7400127483992324,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,1.076289306817896,0.08052012423928169,0.20154725422154873,0.5013274145930342,1.18515218117896,0.7400127483992324,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5623353943314582,0.24822561455854442,-0.30681728498567873,0.2643375808955621,0.9744069744055742,1.2394283827844916,0.8090339974494293,3.9500020161290315,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6857006291255204,0.5968437553410235,1.0031776010257367,0.42645063859895904,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.6857006291255204,0.1720864515570408,0.22267622945163495,0.5968437553410235,1.0031776010257367,0.42645063859895904,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.0944892881751276,0.18641974217789659,-0.34871611819280146,0.2523052703253168,0.8058611966400265,0.9345225136810137,0.5345888315802686,3.6197584661354583,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6323002118967667,0.04315075759221641,0.6756241549003664,0.31731884419560086,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.6323002118967667,0.08077446978952349,0.2203703430004354,0.04315075759221641,0.6756241549003664,0.31731884419560086,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9063231656139572,0.3893622491472828,-0.3057683791567075,0.2931934895685085,1.27295243667359,1.7279469393006375,1.2733895186321182,4.1032832278481015,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.077568255475328,0.5182291525365067,1.199466868094125,0.7491043379338314,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,1.077568255475328,0.08336657858531168,0.20113041066936124,0.5182291525365067,1.199466868094125,0.7491043379338314,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5803593901801207,0.25028910493099854,-0.3057683791567072,0.2642583248483924,0.9808665601641943,1.2524271911823721,0.8185578431009854,3.814506048387097,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6867988472430276,0.6051514415077134,1.0150939458439572,0.43399760579162633,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.6867988472430276,0.1735793089580879,0.22231243197995407,0.6051514415077134,1.0150939458439572,0.43399760579162633,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.062580236188542,0.1852946721102846,-0.3533254473712104,0.2521580326435283,0.8024300820325447,0.929704892570754,0.5244305879718041,3.531841384462151,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6303897087297967,0.038629178146328595,0.6709108382221453,0.3138317468788351,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.6303897087297967,0.0801609155770727,0.22069615292868855,0.038629178146328595,0.6709108382221453,0.3138317468788351,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9525226545383392,0.39613254229017225,-0.3057683791567074,0.29269025490825074,1.2913258858237682,1.749142916036378,1.2955314195100367,4.057049050632911,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747003679053388,0.5422434409430414,1.2034020690458618,0.7172693284901044,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,1.0747003679053388,0.08887514660152808,0.200959144492934,0.5422434409430414,1.2034020690458618,0.7172693284901044,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.618746289821272,0.25464740466578006,-0.30576837915670707,0.2638688711988304,0.9951701526064443,1.2689358131129629,0.832811441680412,3.770322580645161,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6858527945593198,0.621053652539579,1.018315745869319,0.42336393834554004,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.6858527945593198,0.17708952357065186,0.2220821966733385,0.621053652539579,1.018315745869319,0.42336393834554004,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.046570076563765,0.184727247083305,-0.34370311641543694,0.2516453688291202,0.801630076110411,0.927760362421764,0.5374616587998102,3.7698238296812745,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6296122393691681,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6296122393691681,0.07969890527829931,0.2203116336336673,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8652963084327627,0.3832872806406622,-0.3068172849856786,0.2931207219013101,1.2582130362674375,1.698162012793545,1.2492362699140402,4.295925632911392,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0748764454183972,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,1.0748764454183972,0.07967759436473504,0.20155117507223327,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5526915701030797,0.2471169745429347,-0.30681728498567873,0.2641772496952583,0.9714601645624791,1.2345100123941668,0.8054206416514941,3.95589314516129,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6849118392561414,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6849118392561414,0.17125008160886326,0.22267947579095795,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.343671908742115,0.19494988751845987,-0.34871611819280113,0.2517669996158089,0.8355645197812573,0.9674509120589265,0.5590504061836176,3.6076319721115535,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6299163578326753,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6299163578326753,0.08828103886239592,0.22037183985882033,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9562845206805206,0.39668058868534284,-0.3057683791567075,0.29294874995669307,1.2917791190147867,1.7482924825241457,1.2973237774925133,4.091724683544303,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747572991575591,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,1.0747572991575591,0.08932640812382545,0.2013243072521596,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6247172417836202,0.25532092741802637,-0.30576837915670707,0.2640575822384737,0.9966788264700066,1.2693993378343225,0.8350141637346148,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6852907136553237,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6852907136553237,0.17774577426338975,0.22244446632160064,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.141440851203545,0.1880612614758217,-0.3533254473712104,0.2517668834793075,0.8125604983389705,0.9397026420735136,0.5322607326333927,3.50152514940239,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6279557091460715,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.6279557091460715,0.08286929196573836,0.2208786783595547,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9455788237028977,0.3951196622183175,-0.30576837915670696,0.2923790883500464,1.2898887767957157,1.7417174766045824,1.2922188465270237,4.037784810126582,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.069645035453518,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,1.069645035453518,0.08941298102707908,0.20149653643193233,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.612587444194975,0.25395145660602547,-0.3057683791567073,0.2636039048105057,0.9937863945293326,1.2636894855079521,0.8305353787936146,3.755594758064516,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.683058913141371,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.683058913141371,0.17680938459990497,0.22245448758857772,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.046570076563765,0.184727247083305,-0.34370311641543694,0.2516453688291202,0.801630076110411,0.927760362421764,0.5374616587998102,3.7698238296812745,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6296122393691681,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6296122393691681,0.07969890527829931,0.2203116336336673,0.03591556299227166,0.6651700113789636,0.30756089428352046,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8652963084327627,0.3832872806406622,-0.3068172849856786,0.2931207219013101,1.2582130362674375,1.698162012793545,1.2492362699140402,4.295925632911392,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0748764454183972,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,1.0748764454183972,0.07967759436473504,0.20155117507223327,0.4952518325334189,1.176362890864608,0.7218404176229499,0.8165276724791509,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5526915701030797,0.2471169745429347,-0.30681728498567873,0.2641772496952583,0.9714601645624791,1.2345100123941668,0.8054206416514941,3.95589314516129,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6849118392561414,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,-0.10910031797048869,0.3832872806406622,0.6849118392561414,0.17125008160886326,0.22267947579095795,0.5926375054675659,0.9959816951228391,0.4198208822504663,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.343671908742115,0.19494988751845987,-0.34871611819280113,0.2517669996158089,0.8355645197812573,0.9674509120589265,0.5590504061836176,3.6076319721115535,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6299163578326753,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6299163578326753,0.08828103886239592,0.22037183985882033,0.0751170944969037,0.6865745153192147,0.30321327497467937,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9562845206805206,0.39668058868534284,-0.3057683791567075,0.29294874995669307,1.2917791190147867,1.7482924825241457,1.2973237774925133,4.091724683544303,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747572991575591,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,1.0747572991575591,0.08932640812382545,0.2013243072521596,0.5435774494229781,1.2024293632336334,0.7117635797077325,0.8415466262319939,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6247172417836202,0.25532092741802637,-0.30576837915670707,0.2640575822384737,0.9966788264700066,1.2693993378343225,0.8350141637346148,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6852907136553237,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,-0.1121567550678716,0.39668058868534284,0.6852907136553237,0.17774577426338975,0.22244446632160064,0.6226773723139312,1.0175193790131045,0.4203746901648584,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.141440851203545,0.1880612614758217,-0.3533254473712104,0.2517668834793075,0.8125604983389705,0.9397026420735136,0.5322607326333927,3.50152514940239,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6279557091460715,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.6279557091460715,0.08286929196573836,0.2208786783595547,0.048723328903919956,0.6723578805129501,0.30424577560458116,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9455788237028977,0.3951196622183175,-0.30576837915670696,0.2923790883500464,1.2898887767957157,1.7417174766045824,1.2922188465270237,4.037784810126582,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.069645035453518,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,1.069645035453518,0.08941298102707908,0.20149653643193233,0.5367178109111462,1.19017217768269,0.6799285702640053,0.7869598180439727,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.612587444194975,0.25395145660602547,-0.3057683791567073,0.2636039048105057,0.9937863945293326,1.2636894855079521,0.8305353787936146,3.755594758064516,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.683058913141371,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,-0.11304785899069014,0.3951196622183175,0.683058913141371,0.17680938459990497,0.22245448758857772,0.6171892067575236,1.0074842623308256,0.40974102271877205,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9983078028251406,0.18300473905645687,-0.34288357498540156,0.2517642358329235,0.7955799218511374,0.9209430796838622,0.5337226755882033,3.7470866533864537,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6304955428003837,0.02944659739075274,0.6651144880191763,0.31460819696679265,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.6304955428003837,0.07809978371479306,0.2202186952603641,0.02944659739075274,0.6651144880191763,0.31460819696679265,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10910031797048869,-0.11031115412408643,-0.17905504323308052,0.12933032712101483,-0.8318368441469467,-0.8399494965516601,-0.6160739855871671,2.883552631578947,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19933934623689012,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.19933934623689012,-0.039020928229669974,0.2804165500657178,0.842883239948473,0.18135962283504425,0.2463486690513172,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8761211234180029,0.38489595645730756,-0.3068172849856785,0.2933078626366239,1.2615784835887767,1.7045112229360924,1.2544793767902405,4.2882199367088605,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.076289306817896,0.5013274145930342,1.18515218117896,0.7400127483992324,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,1.076289306817896,0.08052012423928169,0.20154725422154873,0.5013274145930342,1.18515218117896,0.7400127483992324,0.796057619408643,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5623353943314582,0.24822561455854442,-0.30681728498567873,0.2643375808955621,0.9744069744055742,1.2394283827844916,0.8090339974494293,3.9500020161290315,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6857006291255204,0.5968437553410235,1.0031776010257367,0.42645063859895904,-0.10910031797048869,0.38489595645730756,0.6857006291255204,0.1720864515570408,0.22267622945163495,0.5968437553410235,1.0031776010257367,0.42645063859895904,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.0944892881751276,0.18641974217789659,-0.34871611819280146,0.2523052703253168,0.8058611966400265,0.9345225136810137,0.5345888315802686,3.6197584661354583,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6323002118967667,0.04315075759221641,0.6756241549003664,0.31731884419560086,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.6323002118967667,0.08077446978952349,0.2203703430004354,0.04315075759221641,0.6756241549003664,0.31731884419560086,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1121567550678716,-0.11339930881222349,-0.17905504323308052,0.12940971480588304,-0.8578922614884896,-0.8573370564071551,-0.6333209429047397,2.908846952908587,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20010543199359296,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.20010543199359296,-0.042195302314732425,0.28017180892440796,0.8313489833977072,0.18244478094872058,0.253008445102917,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9063231656139572,0.3893622491472828,-0.3057683791567075,0.2931934895685085,1.27295243667359,1.7279469393006375,1.2733895186321182,4.1032832278481015,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.077568255475328,0.5182291525365067,1.199466868094125,0.7491043379338314,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,1.077568255475328,0.08336657858531168,0.20113041066936124,0.5182291525365067,1.199466868094125,0.7491043379338314,0.7975739196360879,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5803593901801207,0.25028910493099854,-0.3057683791567072,0.2642583248483924,0.9808665601641943,1.2524271911823721,0.8185578431009854,3.814506048387097,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6867988472430276,0.6051514415077134,1.0150939458439572,0.43399760579162633,-0.1121567550678716,0.3893622491472828,0.6867988472430276,0.1735793089580879,0.22231243197995407,0.6051514415077134,1.0150939458439572,0.43399760579162633,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.062580236188542,0.1852946721102846,-0.3533254473712104,0.2521580326435283,0.8024300820325447,0.929704892570754,0.5244305879718041,3.531841384462151,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6303897087297967,0.038629178146328595,0.6709108382221453,0.3138317468788351,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.6303897087297967,0.0801609155770727,0.22069615292868855,0.038629178146328595,0.6709108382221453,0.3138317468788351,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11304785899069014,-0.11429963645047858,-0.17905504323308052,0.12966804648958316,-0.8636986360013648,-0.8680190937437496,-0.6383491600495822,2.8709054709141277,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20143371429156562,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.20143371429156562,-0.0427129747059379,0.2798029170976,0.8289621457108735,0.18244478094872058,0.254552280395476,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9525226545383392,0.39613254229017225,-0.3057683791567074,0.29269025490825074,1.2913258858237682,1.749142916036378,1.2955314195100367,4.057049050632911,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0747003679053388,0.5422434409430414,1.2034020690458618,0.7172693284901044,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,1.0747003679053388,0.08887514660152808,0.200959144492934,0.5422434409430414,1.2034020690458618,0.7172693284901044,0.7740712661106899,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_sector_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,sector,sector,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.618746289821272,0.25464740466578006,-0.30576837915670707,0.2638688711988304,0.9951701526064443,1.2689358131129629,0.832811441680412,3.770322580645161,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.6858527945593198,0.621053652539579,1.018315745869319,0.42336393834554004,-0.11304785899069014,0.39613254229017225,0.6858527945593198,0.17708952357065186,0.2220821966733385,0.621053652539579,1.018315745869319,0.42336393834554004,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.748490330657367,0.23625268201034366,-0.33695653054200336,0.28351292392603217,0.8922181641670839,1.07126102114068,0.7011369734556712,3.6173331673306772,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6719074564155754,0.2399181261737906,0.7989549746412663,0.31829215028713753,-0.0181496233789753,0.4317324156792295,0.6719074564155754,0.12273038950066693,0.24650701318193027,0.2399181261737906,0.7989549746412663,0.31829215028713753,0.954510993176649,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0181496233789753,-0.018361322525151658,-0.16355701046128357,0.1582142765962046,-0.03714341592341914,-0.0418829575671975,-0.11226252224448711,2.944259002770083,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20976185903801087,1.1609639677623027,0.24904274661242434,0.12202030936413705,-0.0181496233789753,0.4317324156792295,0.20976185903801087,0.06626890478129457,0.29119208875221747,1.1609639677623027,0.24904274661242434,0.12202030936413705,0.954510993176649,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.203840703949092,0.4317324156792295,-0.33695653054200325,0.3299663225379468,1.2572600277466115,1.7528750093219874,1.2812703614462577,4.293613924050633,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1725629810437284,0.617027488688201,1.3687257335744327,0.9593637538965581,-0.0181496233789753,0.4317324156792295,1.1725629810437284,0.09944607437386276,0.2363974795467366,0.617027488688201,1.3687257335744327,0.9593637538965581,0.954510993176649,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1456922018061793,0.31003958956158906,-0.33695653054200325,0.29876725155096917,1.0569716128715763,1.3934088565477163,0.9201174675643841,3.9682645161290333,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7429506789859681,0.7631520075252555,1.1657417208285354,0.4275057798632224,-0.0181496233789753,0.4317324156792295,0.7429506789859681,0.22316523976908584,0.2504337752497765,0.7631520075252555,1.1657417208285354,0.4275057798632224,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.02821710903432,0.24339626521122248,-0.3237786750219299,0.28414942396732457,0.9111709298960622,1.098961842839113,0.7517365533561992,3.428159860557769,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6731013940051532,0.26358107586553564,0.8083101056853462,0.3057568842051192,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,0.6731013940051532,0.1284523021869891,0.24696315864241158,0.26358107586553564,0.8083101056853462,0.3057568842051192,0.9583017437452616,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01752902021976721,-0.017733546145892065,-0.16355701046128357,0.1576312715429212,-0.03384824679904101,-0.03823270247976885,-0.10842424972110788,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20906949925541202,1.1631073242777932,0.24904274661242434,0.12103004717928091,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,0.20906949925541202,0.06657185095795866,0.2911206835080508,1.1631073242777932,0.24904274661242434,0.12103004717928091,0.9583017437452616,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4467174105514733,0.4643449562179822,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303107307324576,1.3247672406383697,1.85366893874829,1.4341431108349931,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.176475190705227,0.7137013796316878,1.4149132172539958,0.9048494674994846,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,1.176475190705227,0.12112509765025167,0.2362264042422384,0.7137013796316878,1.4149132172539958,0.9048494674994846,0.9583017437452616,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3862998313700907,0.33299103761904325,-0.3237786750219296,0.2990084677165102,1.114667271287586,1.4743999789696298,1.0284526539510044,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7449783343676848,0.833570689137495,1.2035560123768585,0.406988510180739,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,0.7449783343676848,0.2404189021130182,0.25027929857547127,0.833570689137495,1.2035560123768585,0.406988510180739,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.365986183464859,0.22597300962190436,-0.3237786750219297,0.28446358697105,0.8607261843586635,1.0412346638165666,0.697924313905476,3.3384238047808763,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6725909143395747,0.20623548174757547,0.7606231305911311,0.2859975745140051,-0.010506140019959531,0.4056076862189064,0.6725909143395747,0.11448780316837287,0.2474422808263972,0.20623548174757547,0.7606231305911311,0.2859975745140051,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.010506140019959531,-0.010629167589889965,-0.16355701046128357,0.1571175655253485,0.011031842625305531,0.012509584219492073,-0.06498753896217765,2.843081717451524,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.209140228880955,1.1886253933283928,0.24904274661242434,0.10982402512240189,-0.010506140019959531,0.4056076862189064,0.209140228880955,0.07366501615434866,0.290817813262422,1.1886253933283928,0.24904274661242434,0.10982402512240189,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.018029212416452,0.4056076862189064,-0.3237786750219299,0.3304932367056804,1.1997741986187966,1.6819946746768433,1.2527313177479467,3.9021645569620254,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1744956781966824,0.538520124647097,1.3099262339847548,0.9211370367713818,-0.010506140019959531,0.4056076862189064,1.1744956781966824,0.08058998908675921,0.23681108223856676,0.538520124647097,1.3099262339847548,0.9211370367713818,0.9226686884003032,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.98632137492647,0.29408745536815095,-0.32377867502193014,0.2990508165706178,1.0150835344246498,1.3439251057488768,0.9082977912249219,3.6454306451612903,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7435324944643174,0.7137263323425664,1.1176018083837396,0.4058128917027293,-0.010506140019959531,0.4056076862189064,0.7435324944643174,0.21086576125647666,0.2506452211996817,0.7137263323425664,1.1176018083837396,0.4058128917027293,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.728261588332594,0.2357243219089704,-0.33695653054200303,0.2846046549590985,0.8884098566538301,1.0639819214158692,0.6995689370667544,3.6294596613545815,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6788255198497171,0.23980658245940542,0.7966257258216475,0.3159121681170434,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,0.6788255198497171,0.12127977299801207,0.24616380542264124,0.23980658245940542,0.7966257258216475,0.3159121681170434,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015312392803116026,-0.015491259822233205,-0.16355701046128357,0.15754305309699584,-0.019576278822279247,-0.022270011646969685,-0.09471474061883897,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20861774033233954,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,0.20861774033233954,0.06866790837856118,0.29123266808728493,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2070150633925487,0.43216950494675865,-0.33695653054200325,0.3299876109230109,1.25812906475481,1.7541997909761469,1.2825675295611658,4.293613924050633,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1726262243160428,0.6183036468867099,1.3695770191200956,0.9593637538965581,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,1.1726262243160428,0.09974259906518974,0.23641665442976498,0.6183036468867099,1.3695770191200956,0.9593637538965581,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1579079890163597,0.31123661843083084,-0.33695653054200336,0.29869921654090054,1.0602161686929297,1.3972063417316436,0.9236699402448103,3.9564822580645163,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7424579997232471,0.7666541707652299,1.1626322776807811,0.4192181738393843,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,0.7424579997232471,0.2241238970369259,0.25046009121671325,0.7666541707652299,1.1626322776807811,0.4192181738393843,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.958779781250848,0.2416506149571933,-0.3237786750219297,0.2852530615979183,0.9038399819654638,1.0872431256196995,0.7463450609921305,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.680132606009888,0.25955550200999655,0.8033469054684741,0.3037603871032996,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.680132606009888,0.12600398289309162,0.24661100128083882,0.25955550200999655,0.8033469054684741,0.3037603871032996,0.9529946929492039,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015312392803116026,-0.015491259822233205,-0.16355701046128357,0.15754305309699587,-0.019576278822279154,-0.02227001164696958,-0.09471474061883897,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20861774033233954,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.20861774033233954,0.0686679083785612,0.29123266808728493,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,0.9529946929492039,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4501324117865915,0.46479200166957213,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303319113044961,1.3256314537040514,1.8549971219723533,1.435523823914876,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.176538433977541,0.7149709356914971,1.4157645027996586,0.9048494674994846,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,1.176538433977541,0.12142162234157876,0.23624547329534554,0.7149709356914971,1.4157645027996586,0.9048494674994846,0.9529946929492039,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3973026290745523,0.3340103912486361,-0.3237786750219295,0.29901336327568034,1.117223600509941,1.4774266208748699,1.0316009577406962,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7447972128382271,0.8364949185011566,1.2004465692291044,0.399329891990792,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.7447972128382271,0.24121131595526807,0.2503246777441277,0.8364949185011566,1.2004465692291044,0.399329891990792,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.314571647808295,0.2245425091625659,-0.32377867502193003,0.285572042017115,0.8544242393049166,1.030661048143287,0.6935061709896654,3.3444870517928287,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6796478722442832,0.20310584266074183,0.759624592231542,0.29001123665182643,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,0.6796478722442832,0.1122744837418485,0.24709183299779947,0.20310584266074183,0.759624592231542,0.29001123665182643,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01800131677175376,-0.018211302145841102,-0.16355701046128357,0.15718571639852952,-0.03744113854055539,-0.04249533029759627,-0.11134528623676448,2.843081717451524,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20865616040003526,1.1615972814387823,0.22804620052839725,0.11328635163420168,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,0.20865616040003526,0.06588001713174392,0.2910259301023897,1.1615972814387823,0.22804620052839725,0.11328635163420168,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.021019470177785,0.4060367999466352,-0.3237786750219299,0.3305145601773118,1.2006454253825818,1.6833246714970742,1.2540566481691047,3.9021645569620254,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1745589214689964,0.5398002672381028,1.3107775195304177,0.9211370367713818,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,1.1745589214689964,0.08088651377808628,0.23683031996401818,0.5398002672381028,1.3107775195304177,0.9211370367713818,0.9173616376042456,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9666371417214736,0.29207233486512685,-0.32377867502193003,0.2990848199489426,1.009771809119722,1.3366808829607246,0.9020740320385348,3.6454306451612903,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7434161424136954,0.7073397331046183,1.1144923652359857,0.4080120681291191,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,0.7434161424136954,0.2093261266674369,0.2507111448846335,0.7073397331046183,1.1144923652359857,0.4080120681291191,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.420210517513504,0.2529317476018218,-0.3343235359943971,0.2912521704100745,0.9222354867336378,1.1163377459928492,0.756547835764876,3.566401892430279,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6975962007310067,0.29967755633514104,0.8501175047808985,0.32675261103206654,-0.02965728630393627,0.4420539041223568,0.6975962007310067,0.13339926093484156,0.24956559391155736,0.29967755633514104,0.8501175047808985,0.32675261103206654,0.9658832448824868,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02965728630393627,-0.03000114685071309,-0.17536222592259576,0.16503365387112046,-0.10063189314567872,-0.10822838154408922,-0.17108101070726306,2.843081717451524,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2110345634858274,1.1114542891706247,0.2610482423542331,0.14348020681228038,-0.02965728630393627,0.4420539041223568,0.2110345634858274,0.05597560858789785,0.29450828125541817,1.1114542891706247,0.2610482423542331,0.14348020681228038,0.9658832448824868,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2793828278175168,0.4420539041223568,-0.3343235359943969,0.3375177436407262,1.258040508381363,1.743291450566652,1.3222338738657198,4.1364177215189875,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2116488583101226,0.6470501993982682,1.3745354222520645,0.9023743480499474,-0.02965728630393627,0.4420539041223568,1.2116488583101226,0.09868990097661137,0.24050880325771998,0.6470501993982682,1.3745354222520645,0.9023743480499474,0.9658832448824868,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1821252323927136,0.31359924914789783,-0.334323535994397,0.30601822084028857,1.048048055057088,1.3701777105653135,0.9380112836362006,3.8245209677419365,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7652299037641048,0.7709511762436843,1.1726746290198424,0.42034525580593957,-0.02965728630393627,0.4420539041223568,0.7652299037641048,0.2253209981448821,0.25429928871486135,0.7709511762436843,1.1726746290198424,0.42034525580593957,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.1395108659767486,0.2461576697939276,-0.3343235359943967,0.29171496148596043,0.9025879965481051,1.0979177295058007,0.7362857929274033,3.4208839641434263,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6966970750916937,0.2775933617039681,0.8356580228164774,0.32430726713738506,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,0.6966970750916937,0.1282688594737921,0.2503105348506164,0.2775933617039681,0.8356580228164774,0.32430726713738506,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03345110253648842,-0.033838178458114876,-0.1780615482389949,0.16567843309703445,-0.12338541353308957,-0.1346145161123135,-0.19003641601889895,2.812728531855956,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2124398971778508,1.0989161247430448,0.2610482423542331,0.14917145345559216,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,0.2124398971778508,0.052624306297281445,0.29437900869263606,1.0989161247430448,0.2610482423542331,0.14917145345559216,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.101361050508883,0.4174577291269965,-0.334323535994397,0.3375855952703694,1.2066426180320076,1.6819979346385612,1.2486638964418968,3.957645569620253,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.208532744867741,0.573818220195993,1.3289757780816325,0.8991155782002277,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,1.208532744867741,0.08226227616301095,0.24111371323676764,0.573818220195993,1.3289757780816325,0.8991155782002277,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.997617104005636,0.29523924459189343,-0.3343235359943971,0.3061438279468876,1.001550400954632,1.317773488327776,0.8830944064818737,3.6807774193548393,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7640277529337364,0.714342404250495,1.1353743578153972,0.4227712950636784,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,0.7640277529337364,0.21136754211254394,0.25470839633250697,0.714342404250495,1.1353743578153972,0.4227712950636784,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.152590665852122,0.2464793093193105,-0.3343235359943969,0.29261041251628866,0.9016608468980192,1.0878045330830077,0.7372478535984418,3.3250846613545813,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6964570860754078,0.2785172856670368,0.8212455354445479,0.30288915843431663,-0.03345110253648842,0.42076314938518644,0.6964570860754078,0.12885230238604561,0.2514079956699904,0.2785172856670368,0.8212455354445479,0.30288915843431663,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03345110253648842,-0.033838178458114876,-0.1780615482389949,0.16567843309703445,-0.12338541353308966,-0.1346145161123136,-0.19003641601889895,2.812728531855956,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2124398971778508,1.0989161247430448,0.2610482423542339,0.14917145345559216,-0.03345110253648842,0.42076314938518644,0.2124398971778508,0.052624306297281445,0.29437900869263606,1.0989161247430448,0.2610482423542339,0.14917145345559216,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1248862391749794,0.42076314938518644,-0.3343235359943967,0.3376207608934767,1.2134769343632916,1.683951489217899,1.258550787140031,3.843601265822785,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2093574251001193,0.5837710647249642,1.327108690158434,0.8749212249734389,-0.03345110253648842,0.42076314938518644,1.2093574251001193,0.08439028507382998,0.24102818676041501,0.5837710647249642,1.327108690158434,0.8749212249734389,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.020355349173479,0.2975477668708655,-0.3343235359943968,0.30617582663002973,1.0073134252561606,1.3200399568833268,0.8899994611083927,3.5935887096774195,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7645012798314031,0.7215745330306053,1.1338457487323825,0.4139445425200625,-0.03345110253648842,0.42076314938518644,0.7645012798314031,0.21310505479069458,0.2546452886447671,0.7215745330306053,1.1338457487323825,0.4139445425200625,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.9334214394650235,0.24100864955050216,-0.3466530139892622,0.29377123029837926,0.8843301129395641,1.0599729906042985,0.6952446389459852,3.769318559096946,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6912572872181354,0.25982406833584376,0.821845095777748,0.3322073064523908,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,0.6912572872181354,0.12581548848435842,0.25392899849162626,0.25982406833584376,0.821845095777748,0.3322073064523908,0.9492039423805914,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.021884156365404417,-0.02213892224246017,-0.16988928698639327,0.16095745666083114,-0.05754366712775238,-0.06387079387000816,-0.13031382163746036,3.0015927977839336,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21264801015741602,1.1474361719543316,0.24904274661242434,0.12765758658616339,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,0.21264801015741602,0.06387610437827573,0.2916746632987464,1.1474361719543316,0.24904274661242434,0.12765758658616339,0.9492039423805914,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.27894028290807,0.44199391964591217,-0.34665301398926185,0.34247022065638416,1.2446665014945635,1.7316336406621293,1.275032674776062,4.500126582278481,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2103903549657453,0.6351551584258285,1.4115666271731968,1.0069691639421925,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,1.2103903549657453,0.10067864305768336,0.2476111303380928,0.6351551584258285,1.4115666271731968,1.0069691639421925,0.9492039423805914,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2071834410440916,0.31602950064902235,-0.34665301398926185,0.30968595328528364,1.0452945647630973,1.372883203559266,0.9116594631968551,4.1395,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.765206306975247,0.7693805131985485,1.2008161157008235,0.4484541637587443,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,0.765206306975247,0.22831518253282515,0.25870629022570474,0.7693805131985485,1.2008161157008235,0.4484541637587443,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.231163493489795,0.24839890786035124,-0.3330934877409457,0.2944401809742109,0.9031905935044116,1.0874790334513669,0.7457333061207628,3.573273572377158,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6924931731906018,0.2834687534278138,0.8314332849883552,0.3191641423347996,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,0.6924931731906018,0.13172081316651335,0.25442565052373606,0.2834687534278138,0.8314332849883552,0.3191641423347996,0.9567854435178166,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.021265913711447926,-0.021513561709201712,-0.16988928698639305,0.16038446883085394,-0.05437562547788631,-0.06043710584772912,-0.12663283301038752,2.951004155124653,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2119556503748171,1.1495721047377268,0.24904274661242434,0.1266673244013069,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,0.2119556503748171,0.0641790505549398,0.29160340115095795,1.1495721047377268,0.24904274661242434,0.1266673244013069,0.9567854435178166,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5366555950054868,0.476017711557432,-0.33309348774094605,0.34282974169067953,1.3120307763251131,1.831957442619416,1.4290814113052885,4.161075949367088,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2144143796055942,0.7306528311302538,1.4593282964855336,0.9501765926995573,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,1.2144143796055942,0.12313818250496159,0.24746834576072882,0.7306528311302538,1.4593282964855336,0.9501765926995573,0.9567854435178166,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4614453822949853,0.3399031762997915,-0.3330934877409455,0.30994369310711894,1.1029075011015603,1.4534067184726207,1.0204437757250362,3.8685080645161287,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7673021091251482,0.8398800497576169,1.239919213430533,0.42710571432257416,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,0.7673021091251482,0.2461800802935656,0.25857235053814503,0.8398800497576169,1.239919213430533,0.42710571432257416,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.519415254449916,0.2301713794881186,-0.33309348774094594,0.2947731908290645,0.8524598254193108,1.0295002811719745,0.6910113465416289,3.480303784860558,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6919716052122779,0.2254302775441754,0.7818551694437474,0.29879759980921655,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,0.6919716052122779,0.11716860126677138,0.25492770362027406,0.2254302775441754,0.7818551694437474,0.29879759980921655,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01426974550196991,-0.014436522640773108,-0.16988928698639305,0.15988020328184863,-0.010333783274752754,-0.011522131249517722,-0.08497606233363834,2.9004155124653734,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2120263800003601,1.1750304751743421,0.24904274661242434,0.11546130234442786,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,0.2120263800003601,0.07127221575132982,0.29130135879920777,1.1750304751743421,0.24904274661242434,0.11546130234442786,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0799237861046005,0.4144305356995661,-0.3330934877409458,0.34302056340892717,1.1866614566758436,1.6601473405986782,1.2441868452915474,4.094293248945148,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2123853896542789,0.556568117251662,1.3500570533575107,0.9671163961921554,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,1.2123853896542789,0.08093006926021566,0.24805509419724228,0.556568117251662,1.3500570533575107,0.9671163961921554,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0359740575114147,0.2991257865573955,-0.3330934877409457,0.3099939679365392,1.0026536270963862,1.3225814097220752,0.8980235206220314,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7658154739182697,0.7188633784513133,1.1504574303605213,0.42616804847808354,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,0.7658154739182697,0.2153427705926789,0.2589464375269174,0.7188633784513133,1.1504574303605213,0.42616804847808354,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.912542163509816,0.24047826272300465,-0.34665301398926196,0.29482496804657105,0.8807969935553079,1.0533793104783045,0.6937146166871458,3.781445053120849,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6981753506522771,0.2597324532671253,0.8195158631739731,0.3298272453257886,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,0.6981753506522771,0.12436487198170354,0.2535958246276519,0.2597324532671253,0.8195158631739731,0.3298272453257886,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.019057717384097672,-0.01927990428370685,-0.16988928698639327,0.16029795427988536,-0.04035965642973013,-0.04513618249481193,-0.11348510918908625,2.951004155124653,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21150389145174467,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.11460979391643596,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,0.21150389145174467,0.06627510797554229,0.29171530410852087,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.11460979391643596,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2821890948443717,0.44243414757294985,-0.34665301398926185,0.34249067753489204,1.245507617791232,1.732907343980223,1.2763026130407595,4.500126582278481,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2104535982380595,0.6363745480200307,1.412417907719558,1.0069691639421925,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,1.2104535982380595,0.10097516774901036,0.24762936181203946,0.6363745480200307,1.412417907719558,1.0069691639421925,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2196380626736514,0.31723200686713904,-0.34665301398926207,0.30962021552783414,1.0484143563001342,1.3765024860536776,0.9151283677486376,4.127717741935484,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7647136277125262,0.7727729451380194,1.1977066684600766,0.44016655773490615,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,0.7647136277125262,0.22927383980066518,0.25873164272511234,0.7727729451380194,1.1977066684600766,0.44016655773490615,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.15938872608468,0.24664624015911807,-0.3330934877409457,0.2955054706911355,0.8962610010932264,1.0766425743733548,0.740471516966253,3.585400066401062,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6995243851953366,0.27957749394626524,0.8264701009873268,0.31716756627647197,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.6995243851953366,0.12927249387261588,0.25408393277963726,0.27957749394626524,0.8264701009873268,0.31716756627647197,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01905771738409745,-0.019279904283706628,-0.16988928698639305,0.16029795427988536,-0.040359656429730044,-0.045136182494811834,-0.1134851091890851,2.951004155124653,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21150389145174467,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.1146097939164356,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.21150389145174467,0.0662751079755423,0.29171530410852087,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.1146097939164356,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5401597542521603,0.4764683266457326,-0.33309348774094605,0.3428500916845704,1.3128674004661283,1.8332344133631262,1.4304342299729744,4.161075949367088,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2144776228779084,0.7318662081439591,1.4601795770318953,0.9501765926995573,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,1.2144776228779084,0.12343470719628857,0.24748646940029861,0.7318662081439591,1.4601795770318953,0.9501765926995573,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.472692390161072,0.3409278199545822,-0.3330934877409455,0.30994832087441215,1.1053747818294553,1.4563251338991574,1.0235199200884098,3.8685080645161287,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7671209875956905,0.8427145142602795,1.2368097661897863,0.41944709613262726,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.7671209875956905,0.24697249413581537,0.2586161605929177,0.8427145142602795,1.2368097661897863,0.41944709613262726,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.466531060881202,0.22873599203717565,-0.3330934877409456,0.29584305850913306,0.8465188300145993,1.0197527400435202,0.6867020835155709,3.4863670318725095,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6990285631169864,0.22241004310223927,0.7808565798686374,0.3028111829905298,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,0.6990285631169864,0.11495528184024706,0.2545876038495406,0.22241004310223927,0.7808565798686374,0.3028111829905298,0.9150871872630781,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.021736413852193937,-0.02198947918040084,-0.16988928698639305,0.159946537145026,-0.05796109110541565,-0.0646743965522588,-0.12943417192728604,2.9004155124653734,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21154231151944036,1.1480596446893374,0.22804620052839725,0.11892362885622766,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,0.21154231151944036,0.0634872167287251,0.29150877931826,1.1480596446893374,0.22804620052839725,0.11892362885622766,0.9150871872630781,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.082975410195273,0.4148623487704721,-0.3330934877409458,0.3430410571490369,1.187504555028699,1.6614260967101901,1.2454832172915964,4.094293248945148,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2124486329265933,0.5577909568168496,1.3509083339038723,0.9671163961921554,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,1.2124486329265933,0.08122659395154258,0.2480733893991993,0.5577909568168496,1.3509083339038723,0.9671163961921554,0.9150871872630781,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0159625807831185,0.29710282458614334,-0.3330934877409456,0.3100269045492894,0.997534187047995,1.3156696989035994,0.8919502647773377,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7656991218676479,0.7126855330293334,1.1473479831197744,0.4283672249044733,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,0.7656991218676479,0.2138031360036392,0.25901040813458454,0.7126855330293334,1.1473479831197744,0.4283672249044733,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.6523705238235005,0.25834053756922826,-0.3439379439782083,0.3017705417084621,0.9148093725269065,1.1058080903373393,0.7511254343766053,3.7167704183266927,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.7177785055333997,0.31962518862668926,0.8754041632722048,0.3410251645304578,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,0.7177785055333997,0.1369470829046085,0.2573284053400015,0.31962518862668926,0.8754041632722048,0.3410251645304578,0.9620924943138741,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0341206858889711,-0.034515370648589894,-0.18210850756368024,0.16807059767773821,-0.12332470005058774,-0.13057926869409006,-0.18953189562832728,2.9004155124653734,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21428793843966326,1.095310557355551,0.2610482423542331,0.15017320545745627,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,0.21428793843966326,0.05297496780547999,0.2950878937511728,1.095310557355551,0.2610482423542331,0.15017320545745627,0.9620924943138741,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.357928976614419,0.45261287215395973,-0.3439379439782082,0.35036085570992137,1.2455434430006038,1.7222330312781586,1.3159724888703677,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2510996697998245,0.663937972129045,1.4173478462659381,0.947622896864687,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,1.2510996697998245,0.09985671077116187,0.2521318991354116,0.663937972129045,1.4173478462659381,0.947622896864687,0.9620924943138741,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.243354136765876,0.3195120208226083,-0.3439379439782084,0.31725365638876685,1.0362593580270487,1.3497176557318882,0.9289815980375004,3.990258064516129,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7885524308905034,0.7762586843777417,1.207725715473972,0.4411043589400296,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,0.7885524308905034,0.2304486602934621,0.26291184755467994,0.7762586843777417,1.207725715473972,0.4411043589400296,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.3475095369999295,0.25120263041019686,-0.3439379439782082,0.3022541588207,0.8949435707011336,1.0871243878777643,0.7303719604316555,3.565189243027888,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.7168287066712057,0.29711326894989265,0.8602552294110455,0.3384350251324165,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,0.7168287066712057,0.13156906335397292,0.25810539062655585,0.29711326894989265,0.8602552294110455,0.3384350251324165,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03805685834486616,-0.03849616009729828,-0.18489654684064938,0.1687574234048532,-0.14648623981373152,-0.15745666495066873,-0.20820378073623885,2.86668975069252,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21575191067803753,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542331,0.1560780175994292,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,0.21575191067803753,0.04948510227487985,0.29496910015996947,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542331,0.1560780175994292,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1673225616502605,0.4266824156881033,-0.34393794397820854,0.3504289839120146,1.193711551043824,1.6603901746733194,1.2405796544365495,4.150801687763713,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.247805283595334,0.5908088958607598,1.3696396984350967,0.9439995436135277,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,1.247805283595334,0.0826643262120876,0.2527406108301909,0.5908088958607598,1.3696396984350967,0.9439995436135277,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.046784215589043,0.30021434952974624,-0.3439379439782083,0.3173827325839068,0.9893260836246794,1.2968862241096422,0.8728735947458232,3.8410161290322575,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7872727662473595,0.7189581608741593,1.1686664364748824,0.44353303938583866,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,0.7872727662473595,0.2158461409366064,0.2633331961850189,0.7189581608741593,1.1686664364748824,0.44353303938583866,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.358538757783905,0.2514660651553269,-0.3439379439782082,0.303193255640955,0.8938674710998721,1.076890989907219,0.7311378972808528,3.466156208499336,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.7165878026020874,0.2977761807645615,0.8449113920802026,0.3161931266372119,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,0.7165878026020874,0.1321299264263237,0.25925750227731226,0.2977761807645615,0.8449113920802026,0.3161931266372119,0.9476876421531463,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03805685834486594,-0.03849616009729806,-0.18489654684064938,0.1687574234048532,-0.14648623981373152,-0.15745666495066873,-0.20820378073623766,2.86668975069252,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21575191067803753,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542339,0.1560780175994292,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,0.21575191067803753,0.04948510227487984,0.29496910015996947,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542339,0.1560780175994292,0.9476876421531463,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.192152691220167,0.4301204630128479,-0.3439379439782083,0.35046748115373094,1.2005121448699176,1.6624316545658409,1.2505757813104217,4.032647679324895,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2486944338790544,0.6006234463918181,1.3676054868444165,0.9188461170766782,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,1.2486944338790544,0.08485449551276011,0.252655376219637,0.6006234463918181,1.3676054868444165,0.9188461170766782,0.9476876421531463,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.070669388435212,0.3026091152246704,-0.3439379439782083,0.3174176588083049,0.9950686003523678,1.2992733033052575,0.8798363789830747,3.7506854838709676,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7877824763614706,0.7261868487666955,1.1670010010791243,0.4343563910339017,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,0.7877824763614706,0.21763992528933548,0.26326954335672254,0.7261868487666955,1.1670010010791243,0.4343563910339017,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.9334214394650235,0.24100864955050216,-0.3466530139892622,0.29377123029837926,0.8843301129395641,1.0599729906042985,0.6952446389459852,3.769318559096946,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6912572872181354,0.25982406833584376,0.821845095777748,0.3322073064523908,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,0.6912572872181354,0.12581548848435842,0.25392899849162626,0.25982406833584376,0.821845095777748,0.3322073064523908,0.9492039423805914,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.021884156365404417,-0.02213892224246017,-0.16988928698639327,0.16095745666083114,-0.05754366712775238,-0.06387079387000816,-0.13031382163746036,3.0015927977839336,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21264801015741602,1.1474361719543316,0.24904274661242434,0.12765758658616339,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,0.21264801015741602,0.06387610437827573,0.2916746632987464,1.1474361719543316,0.24904274661242434,0.12765758658616339,0.9492039423805914,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.27894028290807,0.44199391964591217,-0.34665301398926185,0.34247022065638416,1.2446665014945635,1.7316336406621293,1.275032674776062,4.500126582278481,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2103903549657453,0.6351551584258285,1.4115666271731968,1.0069691639421925,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,1.2103903549657453,0.10067864305768336,0.2476111303380928,0.6351551584258285,1.4115666271731968,1.0069691639421925,0.9492039423805914,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2071834410440916,0.31602950064902235,-0.34665301398926185,0.30968595328528364,1.0452945647630973,1.372883203559266,0.9116594631968551,4.1395,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.765206306975247,0.7693805131985485,1.2008161157008235,0.4484541637587443,-0.021884156365404417,0.44199391964591217,0.765206306975247,0.22831518253282515,0.25870629022570474,0.7693805131985485,1.2008161157008235,0.4484541637587443,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.231163493489795,0.24839890786035124,-0.3330934877409457,0.2944401809742109,0.9031905935044116,1.0874790334513669,0.7457333061207628,3.573273572377158,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6924931731906018,0.2834687534278138,0.8314332849883552,0.3191641423347996,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,0.6924931731906018,0.13172081316651335,0.25442565052373606,0.2834687534278138,0.8314332849883552,0.3191641423347996,0.9567854435178166,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.021265913711447926,-0.021513561709201712,-0.16988928698639305,0.16038446883085394,-0.05437562547788631,-0.06043710584772912,-0.12663283301038752,2.951004155124653,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2119556503748171,1.1495721047377268,0.24904274661242434,0.1266673244013069,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,0.2119556503748171,0.0641790505549398,0.29160340115095795,1.1495721047377268,0.24904274661242434,0.1266673244013069,0.9567854435178166,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5366555950054868,0.476017711557432,-0.33309348774094605,0.34282974169067953,1.3120307763251131,1.831957442619416,1.4290814113052885,4.161075949367088,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2144143796055942,0.7306528311302538,1.4593282964855336,0.9501765926995573,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,1.2144143796055942,0.12313818250496159,0.24746834576072882,0.7306528311302538,1.4593282964855336,0.9501765926995573,0.9567854435178166,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4614453822949853,0.3399031762997915,-0.3330934877409455,0.30994369310711894,1.1029075011015603,1.4534067184726207,1.0204437757250362,3.8685080645161287,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7673021091251482,0.8398800497576169,1.239919213430533,0.42710571432257416,-0.021265913711447926,0.476017711557432,0.7673021091251482,0.2461800802935656,0.25857235053814503,0.8398800497576169,1.239919213430533,0.42710571432257416,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.519415254449916,0.2301713794881186,-0.33309348774094594,0.2947731908290645,0.8524598254193108,1.0295002811719745,0.6910113465416289,3.480303784860558,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6919716052122779,0.2254302775441754,0.7818551694437474,0.29879759980921655,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,0.6919716052122779,0.11716860126677138,0.25492770362027406,0.2254302775441754,0.7818551694437474,0.29879759980921655,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01426974550196991,-0.014436522640773108,-0.16988928698639305,0.15988020328184863,-0.010333783274752754,-0.011522131249517722,-0.08497606233363834,2.9004155124653734,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2120263800003601,1.1750304751743421,0.24904274661242434,0.11546130234442786,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,0.2120263800003601,0.07127221575132982,0.29130135879920777,1.1750304751743421,0.24904274661242434,0.11546130234442786,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0799237861046005,0.4144305356995661,-0.3330934877409458,0.34302056340892717,1.1866614566758436,1.6601473405986782,1.2441868452915474,4.094293248945148,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2123853896542789,0.556568117251662,1.3500570533575107,0.9671163961921554,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,1.2123853896542789,0.08093006926021566,0.24805509419724228,0.556568117251662,1.3500570533575107,0.9671163961921554,0.9203942380591357,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0359740575114147,0.2991257865573955,-0.3330934877409457,0.3099939679365392,1.0026536270963862,1.3225814097220752,0.8980235206220314,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7658154739182697,0.7188633784513133,1.1504574303605213,0.42616804847808354,-0.01426974550196991,0.4144305356995661,0.7658154739182697,0.2153427705926789,0.2589464375269174,0.7188633784513133,1.1504574303605213,0.42616804847808354,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.912542163509816,0.24047826272300465,-0.34665301398926196,0.29482496804657105,0.8807969935553079,1.0533793104783045,0.6937146166871458,3.781445053120849,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6981753506522771,0.2597324532671253,0.8195158631739731,0.3298272453257886,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,0.6981753506522771,0.12436487198170354,0.2535958246276519,0.2597324532671253,0.8195158631739731,0.3298272453257886,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.019057717384097672,-0.01927990428370685,-0.16988928698639327,0.16029795427988536,-0.04035965642973013,-0.04513618249481193,-0.11348510918908625,2.951004155124653,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21150389145174467,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.11460979391643596,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,0.21150389145174467,0.06627510797554229,0.29171530410852087,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.11460979391643596,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2821890948443717,0.44243414757294985,-0.34665301398926185,0.34249067753489204,1.245507617791232,1.732907343980223,1.2763026130407595,4.500126582278481,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2104535982380595,0.6363745480200307,1.412417907719558,1.0069691639421925,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,1.2104535982380595,0.10097516774901036,0.24762936181203946,0.6363745480200307,1.412417907719558,1.0069691639421925,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2196380626736514,0.31723200686713904,-0.34665301398926207,0.30962021552783414,1.0484143563001342,1.3765024860536776,0.9151283677486376,4.127717741935484,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7647136277125262,0.7727729451380194,1.1977066684600766,0.44016655773490615,-0.019057717384097672,0.44243414757294985,0.7647136277125262,0.22927383980066518,0.25873164272511234,0.7727729451380194,1.1977066684600766,0.44016655773490615,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.15938872608468,0.24664624015911807,-0.3330934877409457,0.2955054706911355,0.8962610010932264,1.0766425743733548,0.740471516966253,3.585400066401062,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6995243851953366,0.27957749394626524,0.8264701009873268,0.31716756627647197,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.6995243851953366,0.12927249387261588,0.25408393277963726,0.27957749394626524,0.8264701009873268,0.31716756627647197,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01905771738409745,-0.019279904283706628,-0.16988928698639305,0.16029795427988536,-0.040359656429730044,-0.045136182494811834,-0.1134851091890851,2.951004155124653,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21150389145174467,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.1146097939164356,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.21150389145174467,0.0662751079755423,0.29171530410852087,1.1568490453032099,0.22804620052839725,0.1146097939164356,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5401597542521603,0.4764683266457326,-0.33309348774094605,0.3428500916845704,1.3128674004661283,1.8332344133631262,1.4304342299729744,4.161075949367088,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2144776228779084,0.7318662081439591,1.4601795770318953,0.9501765926995573,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,1.2144776228779084,0.12343470719628857,0.24748646940029861,0.7318662081439591,1.4601795770318953,0.9501765926995573,0.9522365428354814,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.472692390161072,0.3409278199545822,-0.3330934877409455,0.30994832087441215,1.1053747818294553,1.4563251338991574,1.0235199200884098,3.8685080645161287,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7671209875956905,0.8427145142602795,1.2368097661897863,0.41944709613262726,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.7671209875956905,0.24697249413581537,0.2586161605929177,0.8427145142602795,1.2368097661897863,0.41944709613262726,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.466531060881202,0.22873599203717565,-0.3330934877409456,0.29584305850913306,0.8465188300145993,1.0197527400435202,0.6867020835155709,3.4863670318725095,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6990285631169864,0.22241004310223927,0.7808565798686374,0.3028111829905298,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,0.6990285631169864,0.11495528184024706,0.2545876038495406,0.22241004310223927,0.7808565798686374,0.3028111829905298,0.9150871872630781,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.021736413852193937,-0.02198947918040084,-0.16988928698639305,0.159946537145026,-0.05796109110541565,-0.0646743965522588,-0.12943417192728604,2.9004155124653734,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21154231151944036,1.1480596446893374,0.22804620052839725,0.11892362885622766,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,0.21154231151944036,0.0634872167287251,0.29150877931826,1.1480596446893374,0.22804620052839725,0.11892362885622766,0.9150871872630781,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.082975410195273,0.4148623487704721,-0.3330934877409458,0.3430410571490369,1.187504555028699,1.6614260967101901,1.2454832172915964,4.094293248945148,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2124486329265933,0.5577909568168496,1.3509083339038723,0.9671163961921554,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,1.2124486329265933,0.08122659395154258,0.2480733893991993,0.5577909568168496,1.3509083339038723,0.9671163961921554,0.9150871872630781,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0159625807831185,0.29710282458614334,-0.3330934877409456,0.3100269045492894,0.997534187047995,1.3156696989035994,0.8919502647773377,3.8056693548387095,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7656991218676479,0.7126855330293334,1.1473479831197744,0.4283672249044733,-0.021736413852193937,0.4148623487704721,0.7656991218676479,0.2138031360036392,0.25901040813458454,0.7126855330293334,1.1473479831197744,0.4283672249044733,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.6523705238235005,0.25834053756922826,-0.3439379439782083,0.3017705417084621,0.9148093725269065,1.1058080903373393,0.7511254343766053,3.7167704183266927,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.7177785055333997,0.31962518862668926,0.8754041632722048,0.3410251645304578,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,0.7177785055333997,0.1369470829046085,0.2573284053400015,0.31962518862668926,0.8754041632722048,0.3410251645304578,0.9620924943138741,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0341206858889711,-0.034515370648589894,-0.18210850756368024,0.16807059767773821,-0.12332470005058774,-0.13057926869409006,-0.18953189562832728,2.9004155124653734,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21428793843966326,1.095310557355551,0.2610482423542331,0.15017320545745627,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,0.21428793843966326,0.05297496780547999,0.2950878937511728,1.095310557355551,0.2610482423542331,0.15017320545745627,0.9620924943138741,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.357928976614419,0.45261287215395973,-0.3439379439782082,0.35036085570992137,1.2455434430006038,1.7222330312781586,1.3159724888703677,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2510996697998245,0.663937972129045,1.4173478462659381,0.947622896864687,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,1.2510996697998245,0.09985671077116187,0.2521318991354116,0.663937972129045,1.4173478462659381,0.947622896864687,0.9620924943138741,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.243354136765876,0.3195120208226083,-0.3439379439782084,0.31725365638876685,1.0362593580270487,1.3497176557318882,0.9289815980375004,3.990258064516129,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7885524308905034,0.7762586843777417,1.207725715473972,0.4411043589400296,-0.0341206858889711,0.45261287215395973,0.7885524308905034,0.2304486602934621,0.26291184755467994,0.7762586843777417,1.207725715473972,0.4411043589400296,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.3475095369999295,0.25120263041019686,-0.3439379439782082,0.3022541588207,0.8949435707011336,1.0871243878777643,0.7303719604316555,3.565189243027888,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.7168287066712057,0.29711326894989265,0.8602552294110455,0.3384350251324165,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,0.7168287066712057,0.13156906335397292,0.25810539062655585,0.29711326894989265,0.8602552294110455,0.3384350251324165,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03805685834486616,-0.03849616009729828,-0.18489654684064938,0.1687574234048532,-0.14648623981373152,-0.15745666495066873,-0.20820378073623885,2.86668975069252,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21575191067803753,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542331,0.1560780175994292,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,0.21575191067803753,0.04948510227487985,0.29496910015996947,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542331,0.1560780175994292,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1673225616502605,0.4266824156881033,-0.34393794397820854,0.3504289839120146,1.193711551043824,1.6603901746733194,1.2405796544365495,4.150801687763713,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.247805283595334,0.5908088958607598,1.3696396984350967,0.9439995436135277,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,1.247805283595334,0.0826643262120876,0.2527406108301909,0.5908088958607598,1.3696396984350967,0.9439995436135277,0.9507202426080363,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.046784215589043,0.30021434952974624,-0.3439379439782083,0.3173827325839068,0.9893260836246794,1.2968862241096422,0.8728735947458232,3.8410161290322575,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7872727662473595,0.7189581608741593,1.1686664364748824,0.44353303938583866,-0.03805685834486616,0.4266824156881033,0.7872727662473595,0.2158461409366064,0.2633331961850189,0.7189581608741593,1.1686664364748824,0.44353303938583866,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.358538757783905,0.2514660651553269,-0.3439379439782082,0.303193255640955,0.8938674710998721,1.076890989907219,0.7311378972808528,3.466156208499336,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.7165878026020874,0.2977761807645615,0.8449113920802026,0.3161931266372119,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,0.7165878026020874,0.1321299264263237,0.25925750227731226,0.2977761807645615,0.8449113920802026,0.3161931266372119,0.9476876421531463,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03805685834486594,-0.03849616009729806,-0.18489654684064938,0.1687574234048532,-0.14648623981373152,-0.15745666495066873,-0.20820378073623766,2.86668975069252,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21575191067803753,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542339,0.1560780175994292,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,0.21575191067803753,0.04948510227487984,0.29496910015996947,1.0822133601487438,0.2610482423542339,0.1560780175994292,0.9476876421531463,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.192152691220167,0.4301204630128479,-0.3439379439782083,0.35046748115373094,1.2005121448699176,1.6624316545658409,1.2505757813104217,4.032647679324895,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2486944338790544,0.6006234463918181,1.3676054868444165,0.9188461170766782,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,1.2486944338790544,0.08485449551276011,0.252655376219637,0.6006234463918181,1.3676054868444165,0.9188461170766782,0.9476876421531463,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.070669388435212,0.3026091152246704,-0.3439379439782083,0.3174176588083049,0.9950686003523678,1.2992733033052575,0.8798363789830747,3.7506854838709676,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7877824763614706,0.7261868487666955,1.1670010010791243,0.4343563910339017,-0.03805685834486594,0.4301204630128479,0.7877824763614706,0.21763992528933548,0.26326954335672254,0.7261868487666955,1.1670010010791243,0.4343563910339017,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.109845294079474,0.21872304590228908,-0.33859819185517126,0.27517993724816836,0.8587022679896289,1.0237588298099969,0.6459663730154932,3.6015687250996016,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6721043284194438,0.1793862822641881,0.7817983303320775,0.36490932770463536,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.6721043284194438,0.10603448869109044,0.23682834535841982,0.1793862822641881,0.7817983303320775,0.36490932770463536,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0826859031045738,-0.08361747599437097,-0.19385047508921105,0.14897284239956593,-0.5069959908338789,-0.5253723348834527,-0.4313503794916662,2.9720827562326875,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20012110916287484,0.9264438691211194,0.21119912258364065,0.21118966477546844,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.20012110916287484,-0.006698951253220298,0.28972236368116594,0.9264438691211194,0.21119912258364065,0.21118966477546844,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.008450281524621,0.4042310887602514,-0.33859819185517104,0.3155398561261665,1.2382900058038093,1.7072766338573822,1.1938371157432335,4.199604430379747,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1458413375446457,0.5517880287228769,1.3177188576739771,1.0026019093966307,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,1.1458413375446457,0.08251030434631129,0.22062842838944935,0.5517880287228769,1.3177188576739771,1.0026019093966307,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7596938530515391,0.27024279250420746,-0.33859819185517137,0.28548660066481146,0.9840909675300092,1.277871838799064,0.7981223733758107,3.902872983870968,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7243045222190798,0.654593514236033,1.1171211718766982,0.4999181948493337,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.7243045222190798,0.1906461274852362,0.23873643147294898,0.654593514236033,1.1171211718766982,0.4999181948493337,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.926190205272916,0.21332550369605618,-0.3400244867798996,0.2748989574070181,0.8430983792248676,1.0041217501317585,0.6273827679773645,3.4530191733067728,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6707248494811181,0.16025120507063104,0.7638295524508717,0.3564060637536089,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.6707248494811181,0.10177108007646266,0.23683432278787037,0.16025120507063104,0.7638295524508717,0.3564060637536089,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.053193524305695905,-0.05380260847201923,-0.16790637438371125,0.14579580091345182,-0.3034597091422069,-0.32554733369556205,-0.3204321972259718,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19606531241502761,1.035053527917351,0.21119912258364065,0.1657045756715668,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.19606531241502761,0.023191579940112797,0.28954733450653225,1.035053527917351,0.21119912258364065,0.1657045756715668,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8632664192432977,0.38298515088670393,-0.34002448677989994,0.31617383932498083,1.1879806909717856,1.6342618128803612,1.1263457950150888,4.064754746835443,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1518748129445258,0.48362226992309,1.277688712871112,1.0088017462673384,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,1.1518748129445258,0.0657659272942474,0.2204586059134237,0.48362226992309,1.277688712871112,1.0088017462673384,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.710959187377596,0.2649208008885795,-0.3400244867798998,0.2855852108678311,0.9690638635829976,1.2567663192406617,0.7791227137710954,3.7673770161290325,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7254594962447759,0.6374148966281445,1.0843479734751815,0.47328916060817783,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.7254594962447759,0.18630766025154671,0.23859003487241418,0.6374148966281445,1.0843479734751815,0.47328916060817783,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.393973111211077,0.22674663147505725,-0.3266298738131752,0.2762649748135587,0.8802372975926084,1.047067953311831,0.6942005298778982,3.263542704183267,9.701195219123505,12.621022179363548,0.672411849498219,0.20740269465416197,0.7781811971117358,0.32326189319118065,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.672411849498219,0.11285598546682012,0.2380145307179908,0.20740269465416197,0.7781811971117358,0.32326189319118065,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04927864378170799,-0.04984409052671035,-0.16790637438371125,0.14565020287650354,-0.2754797634045324,-0.29729946535409385,-0.2968564517556861,2.7191395429362886,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.195419426399985,1.0487145716109774,0.211272408328615,0.15836424198190047,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.195419426399985,0.027088901723868037,0.28970366791457397,1.0487145716109774,0.211272408328615,0.15836424198190047,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1003685672637125,0.41731789894473237,-0.32662987381317554,0.31666334070741076,1.2644425183677002,1.7300741278300722,1.2776476752503911,3.8027610759493666,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1496957628641513,0.5931578352094742,1.3238514780445043,0.9307053564077107,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,1.1496957628641513,0.09114624526577318,0.22154789080689774,0.5931578352094742,1.3238514780445043,0.9307053564077107,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9475866090455156,0.2901123324086958,-0.3266298738131751,0.28600430673411203,1.0373145332848557,1.3391656479667753,0.8881990156682164,3.5405685483870974,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7241371672249933,0.7185114903722873,1.1221553134177826,0.4401351094398845,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.7241371672249933,0.2063986304351492,0.23939346948674514,0.7185114903722873,1.1221553134177826,0.4401351094398845,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.123421691189596,0.21911524864879417,-0.33859819185517115,0.27480839776741334,0.8606602105693153,1.0283021986912508,0.6471246861900447,3.6015687250996016,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6670683918331729,0.17971888784599374,0.7783707742973082,0.3581119761026056,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.6670683918331729,0.10722954036783303,0.23760871319041066,0.17971888784599374,0.7783707742973082,0.3581119761026056,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07194703559173721,-0.0727624704401112,-0.19385047508921105,0.15195182740929516,-0.41725435560552065,-0.4361121151273625,-0.3753535832534097,2.9341412742382276,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.1913722542971866,0.95310236383745,0.25861508685781176,0.2119790994929169,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.1913722542971866,0.002418038377977493,0.29434150017332356,0.95310236383745,0.25861508685781176,0.2119790994929169,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0151931099220732,0.40520042252730804,-0.33859819185517104,0.31559278143366576,1.2403307679803788,1.7103771412186302,1.1966999005730805,4.199604430379747,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1460261797383469,0.5548968709779339,1.3196365401022434,1.0026019093966307,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,1.1460261797383469,0.08317017038639474,0.22067111688036306,0.5548968709779339,1.3196365401022434,1.0026019093966307,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7982589039265484,0.27440354227495667,-0.33859819185517115,0.285887570286432,0.9945955091684309,1.2926880011469193,0.8104105363691,3.8940362903225805,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7204328018996333,0.6650317942997922,1.1272871030768634,0.5004196224919519,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.7204328018996333,0.19452652125655434,0.2400983373900762,0.6650317942997922,1.1272871030768634,0.5004196224919519,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.003448542313967,0.2156172845390969,-0.34002448677989994,0.2746934060667746,0.8504081628455913,1.0155014289963735,0.6341228144509115,3.4787879731075697,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6683485512985939,0.16776140922781055,0.7647817983462802,0.35004417713747094,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.6683485512985939,0.10406628900538784,0.23716798261627967,0.16776140922781055,0.7647817983462802,0.35004417713747094,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04360806115663052,-0.04410996035857229,-0.16790637438371125,0.14824605110203695,-0.22783930733802227,-0.24690436720044456,-0.2627056925055695,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18748961814173684,1.0556638953084811,0.25861508685781176,0.16894936697300147,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.18748961814173684,0.03070892817965366,0.2938092940367947,1.0556638953084811,0.25861508685781176,0.16894936697300147,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8705547914532485,0.384069267957452,-0.34002448677990005,0.31622406869769104,1.190330424816275,1.6379642666246275,1.1295341450101575,4.076313291139241,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1521260599458525,0.48720339657028916,1.2798661715857238,1.0088017462673384,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,1.1521260599458525,0.0665010583540912,0.22048574803396845,0.48720339657028916,1.2798661715857238,1.0088017462673384,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7453754625541005,0.2686866781853865,-0.34002448677990027,0.2859145169293424,0.9787140036116893,1.270563451674111,0.7901980258242662,3.7762137096774193,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7217152699453794,0.646931531036504,1.0947265868880725,0.47535016453555173,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.7217152699453794,0.18985268467154376,0.23983848166278898,0.646931531036504,1.0947265868880725,0.47535016453555173,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.586302104429535,0.2319696187593816,-0.32662987381317476,0.2759107227614118,0.8964509636584506,1.0680501794364512,0.7101910674957528,3.290827315737052,9.701195219123505,12.621022179363548,0.6694247987953462,0.22460010745411987,0.7803303845536285,0.3068108148520467,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.6694247987953462,0.1175966158065282,0.23831935833993975,0.22460010745411987,0.7803303845536285,0.3068108148520467,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03251353725109973,-0.032889949830858356,-0.16790637438371125,0.1478830929557334,-0.15048611254873312,-0.16398376653673674,-0.1958826753991839,2.7191395429362886,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18686796429507974,1.094749459410034,0.2586890088801254,0.14998235668064896,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.18686796429507974,0.04201704229581436,0.29384420963511554,1.094749459410034,0.2586890088801254,0.14998235668064896,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1052524019005694,0.41800568012751893,-0.3266298738131753,0.31667820796123747,1.2659369950433763,1.732418762003745,1.279753365017091,3.825878164556962,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1498074286215891,0.5953751316194299,1.3252003838928368,0.9307053564077107,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,1.1498074286215891,0.09160827530778527,0.2215492842820355,0.5953751316194299,1.3252003838928368,0.9307053564077107,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.004289662257322,0.29591806611611693,-0.3266298738131752,0.2862678253961865,1.052371622257914,1.3593893974685904,0.9059736718551815,3.5582419354838715,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.72026491492122,0.7339927822516675,1.1318556952085832,0.4348111619437734,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.72026491492122,0.21146509391487325,0.24058911023574808,0.7339927822516675,1.1318556952085832,0.4348111619437734,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.630848692751094,0.23315677693777737,-0.34073200771783874,0.27920854794002287,0.892611073121266,1.0672769725185323,0.6842819918780723,3.562157619521912,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6742095571644089,0.22992040423347354,0.8103614307419019,0.354641992523198,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.6742095571644089,0.11855347152126604,0.24099975804447246,0.22992040423347354,0.8103614307419019,0.354641992523198,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05503541956773794,-0.05566496790839104,-0.18018476343619927,0.15344312653535105,-0.29360527188590196,-0.3057804462367454,-0.3089327135482306,2.7950225069252084,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18963935584380065,1.0107209636547894,0.2733985945366349,0.1913703830980246,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.18963935584380065,0.020172875982166598,0.2957180480883477,1.0107209636547894,0.2733985945366349,0.1913703830980246,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.036696606363235,0.4082817351976564,-0.3407320077178385,0.3210098263906157,1.2316117432659308,1.6951554899586907,1.198248846453416,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1636326784037005,0.5609127637479548,1.3253457077992268,0.9920555963060713,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,1.1636326784037005,0.08235423807935881,0.2252930497596254,0.5609127637479548,1.3253457077992268,0.9920555963060713,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8695707345321058,0.2819832338059274,-0.3407320077178385,0.29063074792151183,1.0035428309239744,1.300679240183233,0.8275807010166147,3.8763629032258073,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7292556684960455,0.6850697469111757,1.1346413309953403,0.48348194219084806,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.7292556684960455,0.20074448918333324,0.24375757193277056,0.6850697469111757,1.1346413309953403,0.48348194219084806,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.397608163764988,0.22684685357338852,-0.3421537011269713,0.279870140320896,0.8727771501322696,1.0436640396331058,0.6629969304035291,3.4848512201195216,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6751477476152623,0.208865835106462,0.7918073697605704,0.3462406287299684,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.6751477476152623,0.11341125906499977,0.2415444519160109,0.208865835106462,0.7918073697605704,0.3462406287299684,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05733585039935152,-0.057990897395366,-0.18018476343619905,0.15356487234536986,-0.30918306390043515,-0.32368920808156865,-0.32184129384446974,2.820316828254848,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18976146914919945,1.0024405059606425,0.2733985945366349,0.1951402542351894,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.18976146914919945,0.01778692879590866,0.2957387315430584,1.0024405059606425,0.2733985945366349,0.1951402542351894,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.018437847819982,0.40566634434854487,-0.3421537011269713,0.321222484340168,1.2251730297889574,1.6843145528924628,1.1856260593188919,4.09557753164557,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1688625462250222,0.5544016791446015,1.3046637823774025,0.943412976704244,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,1.1688625462250222,0.07914110986286259,0.22468077635516556,0.5544016791446015,1.3046637823774025,0.943412976704244,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.845373146937642,0.27942759003040973,-0.3421537011269712,0.2908261362263248,0.9961542597219456,1.2903157180332148,0.8166727091071735,3.7879959677419364,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7321983604395133,0.6782465478392499,1.1177087705833604,0.46813032321785764,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.7321983604395133,0.19842491626949407,0.2433307320989175,0.6782465478392499,1.1177087705833604,0.46813032321785764,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.697399726175298,0.23491506495640024,-0.32880236706796584,0.28013601570530106,0.8956846567195011,1.0717126153753156,0.7144567329341689,3.365102091633466,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6751436264891832,0.23609195838575242,0.7916681045405336,0.31407999541668913,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.6751436264891832,0.12006132538181562,0.24185343558739913,0.23609195838575242,0.7916681045405336,0.31407999541668913,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.030473687506666458,-0.030826862620132456,-0.1691481778239945,0.152559375189359,-0.12740879371124217,-0.136456786357442,-0.18224767784497833,2.6811980609418287,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18824442275826425,1.0972329461784973,0.2734727160815588,0.1522114499728465,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.18824442275826425,0.04530740742267424,0.2957464379714276,1.0972329461784973,0.2734727160815588,0.1522114499728465,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.103498691645389,0.41775879459878684,-0.3288023670679654,0.32144821910888166,1.2513389062345561,1.714381290928559,1.270546797835046,3.979992088607595,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1682989921693687,0.5919579283886452,1.3178627180804319,0.9135987780287491,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,1.1682989921693687,0.08798023864851634,0.2251020415942564,0.5919579283886452,1.3178627180804319,0.9135987780287491,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.008923642338844,0.2963888185498089,-0.3288023670679656,0.29087170986429617,1.0415330090389874,1.3456438368529104,0.9014193577522007,3.6672278225806454,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7310593560330995,0.7317455723464662,1.12852834759703,0.4299860807554168,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.7310593560330995,0.21181170811888986,0.2436407250631402,0.7317455723464662,1.12852834759703,0.4299860807554168,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.109845294079474,0.21872304590228908,-0.33859819185517126,0.27517993724816836,0.8587022679896289,1.0237588298099969,0.6459663730154932,3.6015687250996016,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6721043284194438,0.1793862822641881,0.7817983303320775,0.36490932770463536,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.6721043284194438,0.10603448869109044,0.23682834535841982,0.1793862822641881,0.7817983303320775,0.36490932770463536,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0826859031045738,-0.08361747599437097,-0.19385047508921105,0.14897284239956593,-0.5069959908338789,-0.5253723348834527,-0.4313503794916662,2.9720827562326875,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20012110916287484,0.9264438691211194,0.21119912258364065,0.21118966477546844,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.20012110916287484,-0.006698951253220298,0.28972236368116594,0.9264438691211194,0.21119912258364065,0.21118966477546844,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.008450281524621,0.4042310887602514,-0.33859819185517104,0.3155398561261665,1.2382900058038093,1.7072766338573822,1.1938371157432335,4.199604430379747,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1458413375446457,0.5517880287228769,1.3177188576739771,1.0026019093966307,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,1.1458413375446457,0.08251030434631129,0.22062842838944935,0.5517880287228769,1.3177188576739771,1.0026019093966307,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7596938530515391,0.27024279250420746,-0.33859819185517137,0.28548660066481146,0.9840909675300092,1.277871838799064,0.7981223733758107,3.902872983870968,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7243045222190798,0.654593514236033,1.1171211718766982,0.4999181948493337,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.7243045222190798,0.1906461274852362,0.23873643147294898,0.654593514236033,1.1171211718766982,0.4999181948493337,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.926190205272916,0.21332550369605618,-0.3400244867798996,0.2748989574070181,0.8430983792248676,1.0041217501317585,0.6273827679773645,3.4530191733067728,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6707248494811181,0.16025120507063104,0.7638295524508717,0.3564060637536089,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.6707248494811181,0.10177108007646266,0.23683432278787037,0.16025120507063104,0.7638295524508717,0.3564060637536089,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.053193524305695905,-0.05380260847201923,-0.16790637438371125,0.14579580091345182,-0.3034597091422069,-0.32554733369556205,-0.3204321972259718,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19606531241502761,1.035053527917351,0.21119912258364065,0.1657045756715668,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.19606531241502761,0.023191579940112797,0.28954733450653225,1.035053527917351,0.21119912258364065,0.1657045756715668,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8632664192432977,0.38298515088670393,-0.34002448677989994,0.31617383932498083,1.1879806909717856,1.6342618128803612,1.1263457950150888,4.064754746835443,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1518748129445258,0.48362226992309,1.277688712871112,1.0088017462673384,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,1.1518748129445258,0.0657659272942474,0.2204586059134237,0.48362226992309,1.277688712871112,1.0088017462673384,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.710959187377596,0.2649208008885795,-0.3400244867798998,0.2855852108678311,0.9690638635829976,1.2567663192406617,0.7791227137710954,3.7673770161290325,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7254594962447759,0.6374148966281445,1.0843479734751815,0.47328916060817783,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.7254594962447759,0.18630766025154671,0.23859003487241418,0.6374148966281445,1.0843479734751815,0.47328916060817783,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.393973111211077,0.22674663147505725,-0.3266298738131752,0.2762649748135587,0.8802372975926084,1.047067953311831,0.6942005298778982,3.263542704183267,9.701195219123505,12.621022179363548,0.672411849498219,0.20740269465416197,0.7781811971117358,0.32326189319118065,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.672411849498219,0.11285598546682012,0.2380145307179908,0.20740269465416197,0.7781811971117358,0.32326189319118065,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04927864378170799,-0.04984409052671035,-0.16790637438371125,0.14565020287650354,-0.2754797634045324,-0.29729946535409385,-0.2968564517556861,2.7191395429362886,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.195419426399985,1.0487145716109774,0.211272408328615,0.15836424198190047,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.195419426399985,0.027088901723868037,0.28970366791457397,1.0487145716109774,0.211272408328615,0.15836424198190047,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1003685672637125,0.41731789894473237,-0.32662987381317554,0.31666334070741076,1.2644425183677002,1.7300741278300722,1.2776476752503911,3.8027610759493666,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1496957628641513,0.5931578352094742,1.3238514780445043,0.9307053564077107,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,1.1496957628641513,0.09114624526577318,0.22154789080689774,0.5931578352094742,1.3238514780445043,0.9307053564077107,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9475866090455156,0.2901123324086958,-0.3266298738131751,0.28600430673411203,1.0373145332848557,1.3391656479667753,0.8881990156682164,3.5405685483870974,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7241371672249933,0.7185114903722873,1.1221553134177826,0.4401351094398845,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.7241371672249933,0.2063986304351492,0.23939346948674514,0.7185114903722873,1.1221553134177826,0.4401351094398845,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.123421691189596,0.21911524864879417,-0.33859819185517115,0.27480839776741334,0.8606602105693153,1.0283021986912508,0.6471246861900447,3.6015687250996016,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6670683918331729,0.17971888784599374,0.7783707742973082,0.3581119761026056,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.6670683918331729,0.10722954036783303,0.23760871319041066,0.17971888784599374,0.7783707742973082,0.3581119761026056,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07194703559173721,-0.0727624704401112,-0.19385047508921105,0.15195182740929516,-0.41725435560552065,-0.4361121151273625,-0.3753535832534097,2.9341412742382276,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.1913722542971866,0.95310236383745,0.25861508685781176,0.2119790994929169,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.1913722542971866,0.002418038377977493,0.29434150017332356,0.95310236383745,0.25861508685781176,0.2119790994929169,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0151931099220732,0.40520042252730804,-0.33859819185517104,0.31559278143366576,1.2403307679803788,1.7103771412186302,1.1966999005730805,4.199604430379747,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1460261797383469,0.5548968709779339,1.3196365401022434,1.0026019093966307,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,1.1460261797383469,0.08317017038639474,0.22067111688036306,0.5548968709779339,1.3196365401022434,1.0026019093966307,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7982589039265484,0.27440354227495667,-0.33859819185517115,0.285887570286432,0.9945955091684309,1.2926880011469193,0.8104105363691,3.8940362903225805,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7204328018996333,0.6650317942997922,1.1272871030768634,0.5004196224919519,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.7204328018996333,0.19452652125655434,0.2400983373900762,0.6650317942997922,1.1272871030768634,0.5004196224919519,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.003448542313967,0.2156172845390969,-0.34002448677989994,0.2746934060667746,0.8504081628455913,1.0155014289963735,0.6341228144509115,3.4787879731075697,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6683485512985939,0.16776140922781055,0.7647817983462802,0.35004417713747094,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.6683485512985939,0.10406628900538784,0.23716798261627967,0.16776140922781055,0.7647817983462802,0.35004417713747094,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04360806115663052,-0.04410996035857229,-0.16790637438371125,0.14824605110203695,-0.22783930733802227,-0.24690436720044456,-0.2627056925055695,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18748961814173684,1.0556638953084811,0.25861508685781176,0.16894936697300147,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.18748961814173684,0.03070892817965366,0.2938092940367947,1.0556638953084811,0.25861508685781176,0.16894936697300147,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8705547914532485,0.384069267957452,-0.34002448677990005,0.31622406869769104,1.190330424816275,1.6379642666246275,1.1295341450101575,4.076313291139241,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1521260599458525,0.48720339657028916,1.2798661715857238,1.0088017462673384,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,1.1521260599458525,0.0665010583540912,0.22048574803396845,0.48720339657028916,1.2798661715857238,1.0088017462673384,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7453754625541005,0.2686866781853865,-0.34002448677990027,0.2859145169293424,0.9787140036116893,1.270563451674111,0.7901980258242662,3.7762137096774193,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7217152699453794,0.646931531036504,1.0947265868880725,0.47535016453555173,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.7217152699453794,0.18985268467154376,0.23983848166278898,0.646931531036504,1.0947265868880725,0.47535016453555173,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.586302104429535,0.2319696187593816,-0.32662987381317476,0.2759107227614118,0.8964509636584506,1.0680501794364512,0.7101910674957528,3.290827315737052,9.701195219123505,12.621022179363548,0.6694247987953462,0.22460010745411987,0.7803303845536285,0.3068108148520467,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.6694247987953462,0.1175966158065282,0.23831935833993975,0.22460010745411987,0.7803303845536285,0.3068108148520467,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03251353725109973,-0.032889949830858356,-0.16790637438371125,0.1478830929557334,-0.15048611254873312,-0.16398376653673674,-0.1958826753991839,2.7191395429362886,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18686796429507974,1.094749459410034,0.2586890088801254,0.14998235668064896,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.18686796429507974,0.04201704229581436,0.29384420963511554,1.094749459410034,0.2586890088801254,0.14998235668064896,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1052524019005694,0.41800568012751893,-0.3266298738131753,0.31667820796123747,1.2659369950433763,1.732418762003745,1.279753365017091,3.825878164556962,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1498074286215891,0.5953751316194299,1.3252003838928368,0.9307053564077107,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,1.1498074286215891,0.09160827530778527,0.2215492842820355,0.5953751316194299,1.3252003838928368,0.9307053564077107,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.004289662257322,0.29591806611611693,-0.3266298738131752,0.2862678253961865,1.052371622257914,1.3593893974685904,0.9059736718551815,3.5582419354838715,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.72026491492122,0.7339927822516675,1.1318556952085832,0.4348111619437734,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.72026491492122,0.21146509391487325,0.24058911023574808,0.7339927822516675,1.1318556952085832,0.4348111619437734,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.630848692751094,0.23315677693777737,-0.34073200771783874,0.27920854794002287,0.892611073121266,1.0672769725185323,0.6842819918780723,3.562157619521912,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6742095571644089,0.22992040423347354,0.8103614307419019,0.354641992523198,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.6742095571644089,0.11855347152126604,0.24099975804447246,0.22992040423347354,0.8103614307419019,0.354641992523198,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05503541956773794,-0.05566496790839104,-0.18018476343619927,0.15344312653535105,-0.29360527188590196,-0.3057804462367454,-0.3089327135482306,2.7950225069252084,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18963935584380065,1.0107209636547894,0.2733985945366349,0.1913703830980246,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.18963935584380065,0.020172875982166598,0.2957180480883477,1.0107209636547894,0.2733985945366349,0.1913703830980246,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.036696606363235,0.4082817351976564,-0.3407320077178385,0.3210098263906157,1.2316117432659308,1.6951554899586907,1.198248846453416,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1636326784037005,0.5609127637479548,1.3253457077992268,0.9920555963060713,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,1.1636326784037005,0.08235423807935881,0.2252930497596254,0.5609127637479548,1.3253457077992268,0.9920555963060713,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8695707345321058,0.2819832338059274,-0.3407320077178385,0.29063074792151183,1.0035428309239744,1.300679240183233,0.8275807010166147,3.8763629032258073,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7292556684960455,0.6850697469111757,1.1346413309953403,0.48348194219084806,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.7292556684960455,0.20074448918333324,0.24375757193277056,0.6850697469111757,1.1346413309953403,0.48348194219084806,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.397608163764988,0.22684685357338852,-0.3421537011269713,0.279870140320896,0.8727771501322696,1.0436640396331058,0.6629969304035291,3.4848512201195216,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6751477476152623,0.208865835106462,0.7918073697605704,0.3462406287299684,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.6751477476152623,0.11341125906499977,0.2415444519160109,0.208865835106462,0.7918073697605704,0.3462406287299684,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05733585039935152,-0.057990897395366,-0.18018476343619905,0.15356487234536986,-0.30918306390043515,-0.32368920808156865,-0.32184129384446974,2.820316828254848,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18976146914919945,1.0024405059606425,0.2733985945366349,0.1951402542351894,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.18976146914919945,0.01778692879590866,0.2957387315430584,1.0024405059606425,0.2733985945366349,0.1951402542351894,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.018437847819982,0.40566634434854487,-0.3421537011269713,0.321222484340168,1.2251730297889574,1.6843145528924628,1.1856260593188919,4.09557753164557,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1688625462250222,0.5544016791446015,1.3046637823774025,0.943412976704244,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,1.1688625462250222,0.07914110986286259,0.22468077635516556,0.5544016791446015,1.3046637823774025,0.943412976704244,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.845373146937642,0.27942759003040973,-0.3421537011269712,0.2908261362263248,0.9961542597219456,1.2903157180332148,0.8166727091071735,3.7879959677419364,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7321983604395133,0.6782465478392499,1.1177087705833604,0.46813032321785764,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.7321983604395133,0.19842491626949407,0.2433307320989175,0.6782465478392499,1.1177087705833604,0.46813032321785764,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.697399726175298,0.23491506495640024,-0.32880236706796584,0.28013601570530106,0.8956846567195011,1.0717126153753156,0.7144567329341689,3.365102091633466,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6751436264891832,0.23609195838575242,0.7916681045405336,0.31407999541668913,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.6751436264891832,0.12006132538181562,0.24185343558739913,0.23609195838575242,0.7916681045405336,0.31407999541668913,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.030473687506666458,-0.030826862620132456,-0.1691481778239945,0.152559375189359,-0.12740879371124217,-0.136456786357442,-0.18224767784497833,2.6811980609418287,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18824442275826425,1.0972329461784973,0.2734727160815588,0.1522114499728465,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.18824442275826425,0.04530740742267424,0.2957464379714276,1.0972329461784973,0.2734727160815588,0.1522114499728465,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.103498691645389,0.41775879459878684,-0.3288023670679654,0.32144821910888166,1.2513389062345561,1.714381290928559,1.270546797835046,3.979992088607595,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1682989921693687,0.5919579283886452,1.3178627180804319,0.9135987780287491,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,1.1682989921693687,0.08798023864851634,0.2251020415942564,0.5919579283886452,1.3178627180804319,0.9135987780287491,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.008923642338844,0.2963888185498089,-0.3288023670679656,0.29087170986429617,1.0415330090389874,1.3456438368529104,0.9014193577522007,3.6672278225806454,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7310593560330995,0.7317455723464662,1.12852834759703,0.4299860807554168,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.7310593560330995,0.21181170811888986,0.2436407250631402,0.7317455723464662,1.12852834759703,0.4299860807554168,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.109845294079474,0.21872304590228908,-0.33859819185517126,0.27517993724816836,0.8587022679896289,1.0237588298099969,0.6459663730154932,3.6015687250996016,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6721043284194438,0.1793862822641881,0.7817983303320775,0.36490932770463536,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.6721043284194438,0.10603448869109044,0.23682834535841982,0.1793862822641881,0.7817983303320775,0.36490932770463536,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0826859031045738,-0.08361747599437097,-0.19385047508921105,0.14897284239956593,-0.5069959908338789,-0.5253723348834527,-0.4313503794916662,2.9720827562326875,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.20012110916287484,0.9264438691211194,0.21119912258364065,0.21118966477546844,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.20012110916287484,-0.006698951253220298,0.28972236368116594,0.9264438691211194,0.21119912258364065,0.21118966477546844,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.008450281524621,0.4042310887602514,-0.33859819185517104,0.3155398561261665,1.2382900058038093,1.7072766338573822,1.1938371157432335,4.199604430379747,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1458413375446457,0.5517880287228769,1.3177188576739771,1.0026019093966307,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,1.1458413375446457,0.08251030434631129,0.22062842838944935,0.5517880287228769,1.3177188576739771,1.0026019093966307,0.9249431387414708,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7596938530515391,0.27024279250420746,-0.33859819185517137,0.28548660066481146,0.9840909675300092,1.277871838799064,0.7981223733758107,3.902872983870968,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7243045222190798,0.654593514236033,1.1171211718766982,0.4999181948493337,-0.0826859031045738,0.4042310887602514,0.7243045222190798,0.1906461274852362,0.23873643147294898,0.654593514236033,1.1171211718766982,0.4999181948493337,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.926190205272916,0.21332550369605618,-0.3400244867798996,0.2748989574070181,0.8430983792248676,1.0041217501317585,0.6273827679773645,3.4530191733067728,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6707248494811181,0.16025120507063104,0.7638295524508717,0.3564060637536089,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.6707248494811181,0.10177108007646266,0.23683432278787037,0.16025120507063104,0.7638295524508717,0.3564060637536089,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.053193524305695905,-0.05380260847201923,-0.16790637438371125,0.14579580091345182,-0.3034597091422069,-0.32554733369556205,-0.3204321972259718,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.19606531241502761,1.035053527917351,0.21119912258364065,0.1657045756715668,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.19606531241502761,0.023191579940112797,0.28954733450653225,1.035053527917351,0.21119912258364065,0.1657045756715668,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8632664192432977,0.38298515088670393,-0.34002448677989994,0.31617383932498083,1.1879806909717856,1.6342618128803612,1.1263457950150888,4.064754746835443,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1518748129445258,0.48362226992309,1.277688712871112,1.0088017462673384,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,1.1518748129445258,0.0657659272942474,0.2204586059134237,0.48362226992309,1.277688712871112,1.0088017462673384,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.710959187377596,0.2649208008885795,-0.3400244867798998,0.2855852108678311,0.9690638635829976,1.2567663192406617,0.7791227137710954,3.7673770161290325,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7254594962447759,0.6374148966281445,1.0843479734751815,0.47328916060817783,-0.053193524305695905,0.38298515088670393,0.7254594962447759,0.18630766025154671,0.23859003487241418,0.6374148966281445,1.0843479734751815,0.47328916060817783,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.393973111211077,0.22674663147505725,-0.3266298738131752,0.2762649748135587,0.8802372975926084,1.047067953311831,0.6942005298778982,3.263542704183267,9.701195219123505,12.621022179363548,0.672411849498219,0.20740269465416197,0.7781811971117358,0.32326189319118065,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.672411849498219,0.11285598546682012,0.2380145307179908,0.20740269465416197,0.7781811971117358,0.32326189319118065,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04927864378170799,-0.04984409052671035,-0.16790637438371125,0.14565020287650354,-0.2754797634045324,-0.29729946535409385,-0.2968564517556861,2.7191395429362886,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.195419426399985,1.0487145716109774,0.211272408328615,0.15836424198190047,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.195419426399985,0.027088901723868037,0.28970366791457397,1.0487145716109774,0.211272408328615,0.15836424198190047,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1003685672637125,0.41731789894473237,-0.32662987381317554,0.31666334070741076,1.2644425183677002,1.7300741278300722,1.2776476752503911,3.8027610759493666,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1496957628641513,0.5931578352094742,1.3238514780445043,0.9307053564077107,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,1.1496957628641513,0.09114624526577318,0.22154789080689774,0.5931578352094742,1.3238514780445043,0.9307053564077107,0.9408642911296436,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector25_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9475866090455156,0.2901123324086958,-0.3266298738131751,0.28600430673411203,1.0373145332848557,1.3391656479667753,0.8881990156682164,3.5405685483870974,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7241371672249933,0.7185114903722873,1.1221553134177826,0.4401351094398845,-0.04927864378170799,0.41731789894473237,0.7241371672249933,0.2063986304351492,0.23939346948674514,0.7185114903722873,1.1221553134177826,0.4401351094398845,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.123421691189596,0.21911524864879417,-0.33859819185517115,0.27480839776741334,0.8606602105693153,1.0283021986912508,0.6471246861900447,3.6015687250996016,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6670683918331729,0.17971888784599374,0.7783707742973082,0.3581119761026056,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.6670683918331729,0.10722954036783303,0.23760871319041066,0.17971888784599374,0.7783707742973082,0.3581119761026056,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07194703559173721,-0.0727624704401112,-0.19385047508921105,0.15195182740929516,-0.41725435560552065,-0.4361121151273625,-0.3753535832534097,2.9341412742382276,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.1913722542971866,0.95310236383745,0.25861508685781176,0.2119790994929169,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.1913722542971866,0.002418038377977493,0.29434150017332356,0.95310236383745,0.25861508685781176,0.2119790994929169,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0151931099220732,0.40520042252730804,-0.33859819185517104,0.31559278143366576,1.2403307679803788,1.7103771412186302,1.1966999005730805,4.199604430379747,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1460261797383469,0.5548968709779339,1.3196365401022434,1.0026019093966307,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,1.1460261797383469,0.08317017038639474,0.22067111688036306,0.5548968709779339,1.3196365401022434,1.0026019093966307,0.9241849886277483,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7982589039265484,0.27440354227495667,-0.33859819185517115,0.285887570286432,0.9945955091684309,1.2926880011469193,0.8104105363691,3.8940362903225805,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7204328018996333,0.6650317942997922,1.1272871030768634,0.5004196224919519,-0.07194703559173721,0.40520042252730804,0.7204328018996333,0.19452652125655434,0.2400983373900762,0.6650317942997922,1.1272871030768634,0.5004196224919519,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.003448542313967,0.2156172845390969,-0.34002448677989994,0.2746934060667746,0.8504081628455913,1.0155014289963735,0.6341228144509115,3.4787879731075697,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6683485512985939,0.16776140922781055,0.7647817983462802,0.35004417713747094,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.6683485512985939,0.10406628900538784,0.23716798261627967,0.16776140922781055,0.7647817983462802,0.35004417713747094,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04360806115663052,-0.04410996035857229,-0.16790637438371125,0.14824605110203695,-0.22783930733802227,-0.24690436720044456,-0.2627056925055695,2.832963988919668,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18748961814173684,1.0556638953084811,0.25861508685781176,0.16894936697300147,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.18748961814173684,0.03070892817965366,0.2938092940367947,1.0556638953084811,0.25861508685781176,0.16894936697300147,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8705547914532485,0.384069267957452,-0.34002448677990005,0.31622406869769104,1.190330424816275,1.6379642666246275,1.1295341450101575,4.076313291139241,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1521260599458525,0.48720339657028916,1.2798661715857238,1.0088017462673384,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,1.1521260599458525,0.0665010583540912,0.22048574803396845,0.48720339657028916,1.2798661715857238,1.0088017462673384,0.9287338893100834,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7453754625541005,0.2686866781853865,-0.34002448677990027,0.2859145169293424,0.9787140036116893,1.270563451674111,0.7901980258242662,3.7762137096774193,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7217152699453794,0.646931531036504,1.0947265868880725,0.47535016453555173,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.7217152699453794,0.18985268467154376,0.23983848166278898,0.646931531036504,1.0947265868880725,0.47535016453555173,0.9935691318327974,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.586302104429535,0.2319696187593816,-0.32662987381317476,0.2759107227614118,0.8964509636584506,1.0680501794364512,0.7101910674957528,3.290827315737052,9.701195219123505,12.621022179363548,0.6694247987953462,0.22460010745411987,0.7803303845536285,0.3068108148520467,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.6694247987953462,0.1175966158065282,0.23831935833993975,0.22460010745411987,0.7803303845536285,0.3068108148520467,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03251353725109973,-0.032889949830858356,-0.16790637438371125,0.1478830929557334,-0.15048611254873312,-0.16398376653673674,-0.1958826753991839,2.7191395429362886,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18686796429507974,1.094749459410034,0.2586890088801254,0.14998235668064896,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.18686796429507974,0.04201704229581436,0.29384420963511554,1.094749459410034,0.2586890088801254,0.14998235668064896,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1052524019005694,0.41800568012751893,-0.3266298738131753,0.31667820796123747,1.2659369950433763,1.732418762003745,1.279753365017091,3.825878164556962,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1498074286215891,0.5953751316194299,1.3252003838928368,0.9307053564077107,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,1.1498074286215891,0.09160827530778527,0.2215492842820355,0.5953751316194299,1.3252003838928368,0.9307053564077107,0.9552691432903715,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector30_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.004289662257322,0.29591806611611693,-0.3266298738131752,0.2862678253961865,1.052371622257914,1.3593893974685904,0.9059736718551815,3.5582419354838715,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.72026491492122,0.7339927822516675,1.1318556952085832,0.4348111619437734,-0.03251353725109973,0.41800568012751893,0.72026491492122,0.21146509391487325,0.24058911023574808,0.7339927822516675,1.1318556952085832,0.4348111619437734,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.630848692751094,0.23315677693777737,-0.34073200771783874,0.27920854794002287,0.892611073121266,1.0672769725185323,0.6842819918780723,3.562157619521912,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6742095571644089,0.22992040423347354,0.8103614307419019,0.354641992523198,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.6742095571644089,0.11855347152126604,0.24099975804447246,0.22992040423347354,0.8103614307419019,0.354641992523198,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05503541956773794,-0.05566496790839104,-0.18018476343619927,0.15344312653535105,-0.29360527188590196,-0.3057804462367454,-0.3089327135482306,2.7950225069252084,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18963935584380065,1.0107209636547894,0.2733985945366349,0.1913703830980246,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.18963935584380065,0.020172875982166598,0.2957180480883477,1.0107209636547894,0.2733985945366349,0.1913703830980246,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.036696606363235,0.4082817351976564,-0.3407320077178385,0.3210098263906157,1.2316117432659308,1.6951554899586907,1.198248846453416,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1636326784037005,0.5609127637479548,1.3253457077992268,0.9920555963060713,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,1.1636326784037005,0.08235423807935881,0.2252930497596254,0.5609127637479548,1.3253457077992268,0.9920555963060713,0.9469294920394238,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8695707345321058,0.2819832338059274,-0.3407320077178385,0.29063074792151183,1.0035428309239744,1.300679240183233,0.8275807010166147,3.8763629032258073,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7292556684960455,0.6850697469111757,1.1346413309953403,0.48348194219084806,-0.05503541956773794,0.4082817351976564,0.7292556684960455,0.20074448918333324,0.24375757193277056,0.6850697469111757,1.1346413309953403,0.48348194219084806,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.397608163764988,0.22684685357338852,-0.3421537011269713,0.279870140320896,0.8727771501322696,1.0436640396331058,0.6629969304035291,3.4848512201195216,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6751477476152623,0.208865835106462,0.7918073697605704,0.3462406287299684,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.6751477476152623,0.11341125906499977,0.2415444519160109,0.208865835106462,0.7918073697605704,0.3462406287299684,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.05733585039935152,-0.057990897395366,-0.18018476343619905,0.15356487234536986,-0.30918306390043515,-0.32368920808156865,-0.32184129384446974,2.820316828254848,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18976146914919945,1.0024405059606425,0.2733985945366349,0.1951402542351894,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.18976146914919945,0.01778692879590866,0.2957387315430584,1.0024405059606425,0.2733985945366349,0.1951402542351894,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.018437847819982,0.40566634434854487,-0.3421537011269713,0.321222484340168,1.2251730297889574,1.6843145528924628,1.1856260593188919,4.09557753164557,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1688625462250222,0.5544016791446015,1.3046637823774025,0.943412976704244,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,1.1688625462250222,0.07914110986286259,0.22468077635516556,0.5544016791446015,1.3046637823774025,0.943412976704244,0.9461713419257013,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.845373146937642,0.27942759003040973,-0.3421537011269712,0.2908261362263248,0.9961542597219456,1.2903157180332148,0.8166727091071735,3.7879959677419364,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7321983604395133,0.6782465478392499,1.1177087705833604,0.46813032321785764,-0.05733585039935152,0.40566634434854487,0.7321983604395133,0.19842491626949407,0.2433307320989175,0.6782465478392499,1.1177087705833604,0.46813032321785764,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.697399726175298,0.23491506495640024,-0.32880236706796584,0.28013601570530106,0.8956846567195011,1.0717126153753156,0.7144567329341689,3.365102091633466,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6751436264891832,0.23609195838575242,0.7916681045405336,0.31407999541668913,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.6751436264891832,0.12006132538181562,0.24185343558739913,0.23609195838575242,0.7916681045405336,0.31407999541668913,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.030473687506666458,-0.030826862620132456,-0.1691481778239945,0.152559375189359,-0.12740879371124217,-0.136456786357442,-0.18224767784497833,2.6811980609418287,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18824442275826425,1.0972329461784973,0.2734727160815588,0.1522114499728465,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.18824442275826425,0.04530740742267424,0.2957464379714276,1.0972329461784973,0.2734727160815588,0.1522114499728465,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.103498691645389,0.41775879459878684,-0.3288023670679654,0.32144821910888166,1.2513389062345561,1.714381290928559,1.270546797835046,3.979992088607595,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1682989921693687,0.5919579283886452,1.3178627180804319,0.9135987780287491,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,1.1682989921693687,0.08798023864851634,0.2251020415942564,0.5919579283886452,1.3178627180804319,0.9135987780287491,0.9484457922668689,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +v1_1_local_grid,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h16_cap10_sector35_hold15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.1,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.008923642338844,0.2963888185498089,-0.3288023670679656,0.29087170986429617,1.0415330090389874,1.3456438368529104,0.9014193577522007,3.6672278225806454,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7310593560330995,0.7317455723464662,1.12852834759703,0.4299860807554168,-0.030473687506666458,0.41775879459878684,0.7310593560330995,0.21181170811888986,0.2436407250631402,0.7317455723464662,1.12852834759703,0.4299860807554168,1.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,Full Sample,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.608202663991033,0.20354717066382433,-0.3728767879785573,0.2672417247679089,0.8295049834586475,0.981435608546031,0.5458831904428697,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224687675250869,0.1298686950383506,0.7863576101416702,0.44398992229477263,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,0.7224687675250869,0.08165386760630845,0.2145587330589291,0.1298686950383506,0.7863576101416702,0.44398992229477263,0.8855193328279,previous_offensive_default,0.056942922893043396,0.05923280025621901,0.09818935210741515,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,OOS Sample,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.262463032742955,0.2121473401366376,-0.29918541026204715,0.26279834779912886,0.8666829365306828,1.1650030907323656,0.7090831733767512,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.7102500879348812,0.48020038032888507,1.0285627299152542,0.5920053610044367,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,0.7102500879348812,0.13921634501497474,0.21468824806909304,0.48020038032888507,1.0285627299152542,0.5920053610044367,1.0,previous_offensive_default,0.0956224277610892,0.09929658546354254,0.09818935210741536,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,2022,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1244364943351901,-0.12580521284639434,-0.17182148696144184,0.16324886462037996,-0.7351046152661415,-0.9698178923434266,-0.732185566957793,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3326213286072033,0.9058404104821239,0.46534241573101176,0.3930911721064508,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,0.3326213286072033,-0.005603167019127714,0.2472125829325905,0.9058404104821239,0.46534241573101176,0.3930911721064508,,previous_offensive_default,,,,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,2023+,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5840079195912629,0.3399248551319709,-0.2991854102620468,0.28623720813390774,1.169892641741006,1.5955585195583344,1.136167886108623,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.013880486133207,0.3236080540517381,1.1532762101838279,0.9383200231745439,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,1.013880486133207,0.062143370752214155,0.20357057888692737,0.3236080540517381,1.1532762101838279,0.9383200231745439,1.0,previous_offensive_default,0.06978684754356006,0.07357748169482967,0.09818935210741629,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,Full Sample,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224454759199508,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224454759199508,0.07986923044440271,0.21456910304979113,0.12152407267662334,0.7830359923207508,0.4469057770289744,0.8741470811220622,previous_offensive_default,0.05502248250447018,0.057407238345438955,0.09617880683407294,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,OOS Sample,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.20974888847886253,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096775,16.0,0.710224954397275,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.710224954397275,0.1372352147974206,0.21471301990587321,0.4709035102621802,1.0250100123047943,0.5953789597915741,1.0,previous_offensive_default,0.09373670126190216,0.09737556410395153,0.0961788068340732,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,2022,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325267494448035,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.3325267494448035,-0.007467967505953544,0.24724863651701787,0.8982976804742948,0.4634625245991294,0.3951725994021438,,previous_offensive_default,,,,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,2023+,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,leadership_liquid,True,sector,sector,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139139081909632,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139139081909632,0.06010330694246767,0.2035911209592863,0.31359916373229385,1.149353079776146,0.9439433253941242,1.0,previous_offensive_default,0.06784712380443976,0.07159401276549926,0.09617880683407413,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471,"{""Information Technology"": 0.14734848484848484, ""Industrials"": 0.12272727272727273, ""Financials"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.09583333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0938131313131313, ""Materials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.0428030303030303, ""Communication"": 0.0422979797979798, ""Real Estate"": 0.04078282828282828, ""Utilities"": 0.04040404040404041, ""Energy"": 0.033207070707070706}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.04373173920548,0.24378388574639698,-0.3235799419986797,0.28526152647898456,0.9098551224514431,1.0945329127057937,0.7533961599739446,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.68015371577219,0.26653909497418743,0.8066245883572689,0.30104733276008794,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.68015371577219,0.12772343058312424,0.24661590938458042,0.26653909497418743,0.8066245883572689,0.30104733276008794,0.9537528430629265,default_frozen_spec,0.10182485205745101,0.10110835013931299,0.16660212824515688,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4241265156225213,0.33648495585783333,-0.3235799419986797,0.2990077864716931,1.1234625645574188,1.4857828333527416,1.0398819957116079,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7448225237790773,0.8439634287434008,1.203880330903692,0.3961854949622712,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.7448225237790773,0.24306742874648618,0.25031249223159807,0.8439634287434008,1.203880330903692,0.3961854949622712,1.0,default_frozen_spec,0.16795216126720344,0.16825988312290752,0.16660212824515716,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.013910946960355441,-0.014073560659338846,-0.16355701046128335,0.15759350625442667,-0.010459882275372874,-0.011985569790295612,-0.08604682012496365,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2086706178210406,1.175285798984538,0.22977657382183383,0.10739927972737544,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.2086706178210406,0.07012179228065828,0.29124127271201833,1.175285798984538,0.22977657382183383,0.10739927972737544,,default_frozen_spec,,,,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.472431323588437,0.4677035721380778,-0.3235799419986798,0.3303172050131003,1.3317141308500173,1.863473896064528,1.4454034735564234,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1765337313892839,0.7234537531289856,1.41957544457218,0.8989696408421203,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,1.1765337313892839,0.12341260508091047,0.23622569396746929,0.7234537531289856,1.41957544457218,0.8989696408421203,1.0,default_frozen_spec,0.14205273921389322,0.14262533477695313,0.16660212824515824,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.958779781250848,0.2416506149571933,-0.3237786750219297,0.2852530615979183,0.9038399819654638,1.0872431256196995,0.7463450609921305,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.680132606009888,0.25955550200999655,0.8033469054684741,0.3037603871032996,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.680132606009888,0.12600398289309162,0.24661100128083882,0.25955550200999655,0.8033469054684741,0.3037603871032996,0.9529946929492039,default_frozen_spec,0.09996091898729645,0.09919083397527892,0.16463740854745343,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3973026290745523,0.3340103912486361,-0.3237786750219295,0.29901336327568034,1.117223600509941,1.4774266208748699,1.0316009577406962,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7447972128382271,0.8364949185011566,1.2004465692291044,0.399329891990792,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.7447972128382271,0.24121131595526807,0.2503246777441277,0.8364949185011566,1.2004465692291044,0.399329891990792,1.0,default_frozen_spec,0.1661333948594023,0.1664666841187142,0.1646374085474537,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015312392803116026,-0.015491259822233205,-0.16355701046128357,0.15754305309699587,-0.019576278822279154,-0.02227001164696958,-0.09471474061883897,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20861774033233954,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.20861774033233954,0.0686679083785612,0.29123266808728493,1.170390797584924,0.22804620052839725,0.10897251669440962,,default_frozen_spec,,,,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4501324117865915,0.46479200166957213,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303319113044961,1.3256314537040514,1.8549971219723533,1.435523823914876,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.176538433977541,0.7149709356914971,1.4157645027996586,0.9048494674994846,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,1.176538433977541,0.12142162234157876,0.23624547329534554,0.7149709356914971,1.4157645027996586,0.9048494674994846,1.0,default_frozen_spec,0.1401495226546826,0.14070038350740227,0.164637408547455,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.202123877371508,0.2705153219242542,-0.4079876801425707,0.315373543661988,0.9197099147663343,1.1312736873388658,0.6630477710251521,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8286092851931682,0.3866032449868936,0.9398870778181849,0.40823650911327297,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.8286092851931682,0.1294561945497028,0.2489329730084562,0.3866032449868936,0.9398870778181849,0.40823650911327297,0.9234268385140257,aggressive_alt_spec,0.09117204713349882,0.0840334130723704,0.16859326751364787,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4712698882927118,0.34079836506540406,-0.3401769871282664,0.3151829903943289,1.092021393525367,1.5246113035386382,1.0018266313144322,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348763752148067,0.8763055183927224,1.3086323518583869,0.5092770100080566,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.8348763752148067,0.24010297700357047,0.2505029334717588,0.8763055183927224,1.3086323518583869,0.5092770100080566,1.0,aggressive_alt_spec,0.13667140765768035,0.13744237594985492,0.16859326751364817,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, 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+final_comparison,0.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.022933307842714634,-0.023200142037817506,-0.15912984560159604,0.22090278072860353,0.0054983942422617916,0.007844480833340354,-0.14579378211616145,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.37851984507573966,1.270435469935437,0.8311120786927835,0.352776521618729,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.37851984507573966,0.1314027796230581,0.27168223822859827,1.270435469935437,0.8311120786927835,0.352776521618729,,aggressive_alt_spec,,,,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,0.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5527461084856062,0.47808432075925467,-0.3401769871282666,0.3387005561881389,1.3280566172180337,1.8612173765027051,1.405398774312117,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030682284684404,0.7424264461854106,1.414369331980523,0.78174834081796,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,1.2030682284684404,0.12620052333899076,0.24355785160617088,0.7424264461854106,1.414369331980523,0.78174834081796,1.0,aggressive_alt_spec,0.12591133659306425,0.1332975518915957,0.16859326751364928,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.09816573134462,0.26827720022116486,-0.40875068693250227,0.3153671719476812,0.9141162663486204,1.1244027562297374,0.6563345550180468,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.828585573363817,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.828585573363817,0.12769087702016074,0.2489303347618909,0.3794972678941664,0.9364444522240166,0.41091217676676,0.9226686884003032,aggressive_alt_spec,0.08929378113430118,0.08199436501788054,0.16654229449683122,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4430992657043165,0.3382263033129467,-0.34045794622990344,0.3151815247357876,1.0859074212568376,1.5161360085041025,0.993445173062726,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348493203796685,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.8348493203796685,0.23817773828313385,0.2505069895043087,0.8685924962539002,1.3049852128404669,0.5123845328559922,1.0,aggressive_alt_spec,0.1347950119176551,0.13548890107725847,0.16654229449683153,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.024269527565687454,-0.02455171278002377,-0.15912984560159582,0.22087267064204394,-0.0007509643882581444,-0.0010714575919058816,-0.15428729090514215,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3784507077192514,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.3784507077192514,0.1299985224232407,0.27168395665135825,1.2653462432843012,0.8294370303920522,0.35427151186309463,,aggressive_alt_spec,,,,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",,,,,,, +final_comparison,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.528740121351604,0.47499868834075887,-0.3404579462299032,0.33870570636478015,1.3218439582651151,1.8526330083474223,1.3951758024763607,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030852224046247,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,1.2030852224046247,0.12409852883189167,0.24356226476763881,0.733801547896373,1.410285514294323,0.7876633239427995,1.0,aggressive_alt_spec,0.1239143513217766,0.1312848431963202,0.16654229449683275,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",,,,,,, +spy_sanity_check,,,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,0.22967226882490155,0.20051785315950724,-0.3237786750219297,0.30719408803716064,0.20524572871710012,-0.3237786750219298,True +spy_sanity_check,,,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,0.2544235699256516,0.31750078645730784,-0.3308445529516364,0.3230026629024694,0.22105430358240885,-0.3308445529516366,True +spy_sanity_check,,,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,0.25170723096672387,0.3094119684812067,-0.3308445529516364,0.3155154442205803,0.2135670849005198,-0.3308445529516365,True diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.md b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..791c314 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.md @@ -0,0 +1,105 @@ +# qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1.1 spec lock + +## 结论先看 +- previous_default=qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1 +- default_frozen_spec=v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10 +- aggressive_alt_spec=v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10 +- 原 promotion gate（上一轮）=no_shadow_tracking +- 原 promotion gate（V1.1 局部收敛空间）=no_shadow_tracking +- V1.1 recommendation layer=not_ready +- reason=edge exists but spec-lock / platform width is still insufficient + +## 选型规则（robustness_score） +- 0.30 * pct_rank(OOS CAGR - QQQ) +- 0.20 * pct_rank(OOS rolling 36m alpha > 0 ratio) +- 0.15 * plateau_200bps_share（同 universe+normalization+holdings 子空间） +- 0.10 * pct_rank(OOS MaxDD，越浅越好) +- 0.10 * pct_rank(2022 return) +- 0.07 * pct_rank(2023+ CAGR) +- 0.05 * pct_rank(annual turnover，越低越好) +- 0.03 * complexity_score（相对上一轮默认规格的改动越少越高） + +## Top candidates by robustness_score +| scenario | robustness_score | robustness_rank | full_cagr_rank | universe_filter | group_normalization_label | holdings_count | single_name_cap | sector_cap | hold_bonus | oos_cagr_minus_qqq | plateau_200bps_share | oos_max_drawdown | annual_turnover | return_2022 | cagr_2023_plus | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10 | 0.806944 | 1 | 48 | liquid_50m | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.232062 | 0.333333 | -0.323779 | 3.440286 | -0.015312 | 0.464792 | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05 | 0.803102 | 2 | 12 | leadership_liquid | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.350000 | 0.050000 | 0.237184 | 0.962963 | -0.330845 | 3.551850 | -0.011143 | 0.470237 | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10 | 0.803102 | 2 | 7 | leadership_liquid | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.350000 | 0.100000 | 0.228163 | 0.962963 | -0.330845 | 3.388142 | -0.020395 | 0.461524 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10 | 0.797917 | 4 | 44 | liquid_50m | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.250000 | 0.100000 | 0.231043 | 0.333333 | -0.323779 | 3.428160 | -0.017529 | 0.464345 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10 | 0.767731 | 5 | 40 | liquid_50m | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.238979 | 0.333333 | -0.333093 | 3.585400 | -0.019058 | 0.476468 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector30_hold10 | 0.767731 | 5 | 40 | liquid_50m | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.238979 | 0.333333 | -0.333093 | 3.585400 | -0.019058 | 0.476468 | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15 | 0.766343 | 7 | 19 | leadership_liquid | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.350000 | 0.150000 | 0.217948 | 0.962963 | -0.332161 | 3.277791 | -0.025839 | 0.449348 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10 | 0.755139 | 8 | 34 | liquid_50m | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.250000 | 0.100000 | 0.237955 | 0.333333 | -0.333093 | 3.573274 | -0.021266 | 0.476018 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector25_hold10 | 0.755139 | 8 | 34 | liquid_50m | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.100000 | 0.250000 | 0.100000 | 0.237955 | 0.333333 | -0.333093 | 3.573274 | -0.021266 | 0.476018 | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05 | 0.751343 | 10 | 3 | leadership_liquid | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.350000 | 0.050000 | 0.245595 | 0.962963 | -0.340458 | 3.702623 | -0.015054 | 0.484140 | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap10_sector35_hold05 | 0.751343 | 10 | 3 | leadership_liquid | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.100000 | 0.350000 | 0.050000 | 0.245595 | 0.962963 | -0.340458 | 3.702623 | -0.015054 | 0.484140 | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10 | 0.742824 | 12 | 1 | leadership_liquid | universe_cross_sectional | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.350000 | 0.100000 | 0.236278 | 0.962963 | -0.340458 | 3.532852 | -0.024270 | 0.474999 | + +## Plateau 复核 +| neighborhood | count | total | share | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | +| top_decile_full_cagr | 23 | 216 | 0.106481 | +| within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive | 18 | 216 | 0.083333 | +| within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive | 35 | 216 | 0.162037 | + +### Plateau by key axis (within 200bps) +| dimension | value | share | count | total | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| group_normalization | universe | 0.324074 | 35 | 108 | +| group_normalization | sector | 0.000000 | 0 | 108 | +| hold_bonus | 0.050000 | 0.166667 | 12 | 72 | +| hold_bonus | 0.100000 | 0.166667 | 12 | 72 | +| hold_bonus | 0.150000 | 0.152778 | 11 | 72 | +| holdings_count | 12 | 0.324074 | 35 | 108 | +| holdings_count | 16 | 0.000000 | 0 | 108 | +| universe_filter | leadership_liquid | 0.240741 | 26 | 108 | +| universe_filter | liquid_50m | 0.083333 | 9 | 108 | + +## spy_breadth sanity check（仅前 3 名） +| scenario | spy_sanity_full_cagr | spy_sanity_full_ir_vs_qqq | spy_sanity_oos_cagr | spy_sanity_oos_cagr_minus_qqq | spy_sanity_pass | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10 | 0.229672 | 0.200518 | 0.307194 | 0.205246 | True | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05 | 0.254424 | 0.317501 | 0.323003 | 0.221054 | True | +| v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10 | 0.251707 | 0.309412 | 0.315515 | 0.213567 | True | + +## Full / OOS / 2022 / 2023+（5 bps） +| strategy | period | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | Information Ratio vs QQQ | rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio | annual_turnover | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| previous_offensive_default | Full Sample | 0.201400 | 3.540848 | -0.373027 | 0.822800 | 0.121524 | 0.874147 | 3.571252 | +| previous_offensive_default | OOS Sample | 0.209749 | 1.243526 | -0.299533 | 0.859083 | 0.470904 | 1.000000 | 3.571252 | +| previous_offensive_default | 2022 | -0.127418 | -0.126033 | -0.172500 | -0.746351 | 0.898298 | | 3.571252 | +| previous_offensive_default | 2023+ | 0.337210 | 1.567061 | -0.299533 | 1.162719 | 0.313599 | 1.000000 | 3.571252 | +| default_frozen_spec | Full Sample | 0.241651 | 4.958780 | -0.323779 | 0.903840 | 0.259556 | 0.952995 | 3.440286 | +| default_frozen_spec | OOS Sample | 0.334010 | 2.397303 | -0.323779 | 1.117224 | 0.836495 | 1.000000 | 3.440286 | +| default_frozen_spec | 2022 | -0.015491 | -0.015312 | -0.163557 | -0.019576 | 1.170391 | | 3.440286 | +| default_frozen_spec | 2023+ | 0.464792 | 2.450132 | -0.323779 | 1.325631 | 0.714971 | 1.000000 | 3.440286 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | Full Sample | 0.268277 | 6.098166 | -0.408751 | 0.914116 | 0.379497 | 0.922669 | 3.532852 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | OOS Sample | 0.338226 | 2.443099 | -0.340458 | 1.085907 | 0.868592 | 1.000000 | 3.532852 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2022 | -0.024552 | -0.024270 | -0.159130 | -0.000751 | 1.265346 | | 3.532852 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2023+ | 0.474999 | 2.528740 | -0.340458 | 1.321844 | 0.733802 | 1.000000 | 3.532852 | +| defensive_baseline | Full Sample | 0.163311 | 2.481396 | -0.276198 | 0.854919 | -0.104102 | 0.914329 | 3.926458 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS Sample | 0.184469 | 1.051214 | -0.254393 | 0.885560 | 0.344425 | 1.000000 | 3.926458 | +| defensive_baseline | 2022 | -0.141182 | -0.139659 | -0.171444 | -1.225741 | 0.723840 | | 3.926458 | +| defensive_baseline | 2023+ | 0.307094 | 1.384188 | -0.254393 | 1.234418 | 0.169338 | 1.000000 | 3.926458 | +| QQQ | Full Sample | 0.179222 | 2.894099 | -0.351187 | 0.811457 | | 0.012130 | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS Sample | 0.101948 | 0.509796 | -0.348280 | 0.533390 | | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | 2022 | -0.328891 | -0.325770 | -0.348280 | -1.071929 | | | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | 2023+ | 0.282076 | 1.239289 | -0.227683 | 1.355201 | | 0.066667 | 0.000000 | + +## Relative-to-QQQ attribution +| strategy | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | tracking_error_vs_qqq | information_ratio_vs_qqq | up_capture_vs_qqq | down_capture_vs_qqq | turnover | average_names_held | active_share_vs_qqq | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| defensive_baseline | 0.465097 | 0.081736 | 0.210717 | -0.104102 | 0.595210 | 0.293529 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | | +| previous_offensive_default | 0.722445 | 0.079869 | 0.214569 | 0.121524 | 0.783036 | 0.446906 | 3.571252 | 13.762777 | | +| default_frozen_spec | 0.680133 | 0.126004 | 0.246611 | 0.259556 | 0.803347 | 0.303760 | 3.440286 | 9.465767 | | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 0.828586 | 0.127691 | 0.248930 | 0.379497 | 0.936444 | 0.410912 | 3.532852 | 10.322083 | | + +## Plateau key stats +- old_round_plateau_200bps_share=18.5% +- v1_1_local_grid_plateau_200bps_share=16.2% +- within_100bps_share=8.3% +- top_decile_share=10.6% + +## Active share note +- active_share_vs_QQQ 继续显式记为 NaN，因为当前公开数据链路没有 QQQ 历史 constituent weights。 +- 如果后续拿到 QQQ 历史 constituent weights，可在同一回测日期轴上对比组合权重与 QQQ 成分权重，补做真正 active share。 \ No newline at end of file diff --git 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+block_holdout,12,0.0,2025-05->2026-04,2025-05-01,2026-04-30,12,232,2022-01-03,2025-04-30,1.1570216020142752,0.260456636993458,0.062031953793192374,-0.3235799419986797,0.2123652259255327,0.7351506678838924,-0.07602831886437533,-0.030702203694281616,0.0,True diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..d2768c9 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.csv @@ -0,0 +1,81 @@ +experiment_group,strategy,cost_bps_one_way,period,scenario,universe_filter,leadership_only,group_normalization,group_normalization_label,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,annual_turnover,average_monthly_turnover,average_names_replaced_per_rebalance,median_holding_duration_days,top5_continuity,avg_sector_weights_json,change_dimension,change_direction,from_value,to_value,is_center,is_neighbor,scenario_group,delta_oos_cagr_vs_center,delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center,delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center,abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.958779781250848,0.2416506149571933,-0.3237786750219297,0.2852530615979183,0.9038399819654638,1.0872431256196995,0.7463450609921305,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6801331217706884,0.25955556656200623,0.8033467178077253,0.3037602935341871,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.6801331217706884,0.12600387663277035,0.24661090426791057,0.25955556656200623,0.8033467178077253,0.3037602935341871,0.09996087340586489,0.09919077799427092,0.1646373524070207,0.9529946929492039,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, 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Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3973026290745523,0.3340103912486361,-0.3237786750219295,0.29901336327568034,1.117223600509941,1.4774266208748699,1.0316009577406962,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7447974002360829,0.8364952086519275,1.200446024512899,0.3993296292561382,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.7447974002360829,0.24121131692145067,0.2503246299654018,0.8364952086519275,1.200446024512899,0.3993296292561382,0.16613331828440253,0.1664664856475045,0.1646373524070207,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 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+final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015312392803116026,-0.015491259822233205,-0.16355701046128357,0.15754305309699587,-0.019576278822279154,-0.02227001164696958,-0.09471474061883897,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2086178759334363,1.1703930223985157,0.22804596799600213,0.10897238513226014,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,0.2086178759334363,0.06866808335784388,0.2912326401106595,1.1703930223985157,0.22804596799600213,0.10897238513226014,,,,,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",center,center,,,True,False,,,,, +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4501324117865915,0.46479200166957213,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303319113044961,1.3256314537040514,1.8549971219723533,1.435523823914876,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1765387328979986,0.7149704843834861,1.4157640377890541,0.9048497376046407,-0.015312392803116026,0.46479200166957213,1.1765387328979986,0.12142136929025166,0.23624541718099842,0.7149704843834861,1.4157640377890541,0.9048497376046407,0.14014943339111294,0.14070030788784188,0.16463735240702032,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",center,center,,,True,False,,,,, +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.04373173920548,0.24378388574639698,-0.3235799419986797,0.28526152647898456,0.9098551224514431,1.0945329127057937,0.7533961599739446,3.4402863545816738,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6801542325038641,0.2665391625099131,0.8066243999308579,0.3010472400266936,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.6801542325038641,0.12772332413443865,0.24661581215161102,0.2665391625099131,0.8066243999308579,0.3010472400266936,0.10182480624390863,0.10110829379955547,0.16660207175769626,0.9537528430629265,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",center,center,,,True,False,,,,, +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4241265156225213,0.33648495585783333,-0.3235799419986797,0.2990077864716931,1.1234625645574188,1.4857828333527416,1.0398819957116079,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7448227119283705,0.8439637208970466,1.2038797846293783,0.39618523429643837,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.7448227119283705,0.2430674296198143,0.2503124442858354,0.8439637208970466,1.2038797846293783,0.39618523429643837,0.1679520842552294,0.16825968411371756,0.16660207175769626,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",center,center,,,True,False,,,,, +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.013910946960355441,-0.014073560659338846,-0.16355701046128335,0.15759350625442667,-0.010459882275372874,-0.011985569790295612,-0.08604682012496365,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20867075314154676,1.1752880238136294,0.22977633952502502,0.10739915006458961,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,0.20867075314154676,0.07012196719596435,0.2912412448317846,1.1752880238136294,0.22977633952502502,0.10739915006458961,,,,,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",center,center,,,True,False,,,,, +final_comparison,default_frozen_spec,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.472431323588437,0.4677035721380778,-0.3235799419986798,0.3303172050131003,1.3317141308500173,1.863473896064528,1.4454034735564234,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1765340318863649,0.7234533046177801,1.4195749783098643,0.8989699091920988,-0.013910946960355441,0.4677035721380778,1.1765340318863649,0.12341235160617764,0.23622563758552234,0.7234533046177801,1.4195749783098643,0.8989699091920988,0.14205264958828626,0.14262525881180158,0.16660207175769587,1.0,3.4402863545816738,0.28369999999999995,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16858585858585856, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1291919191919192, ""Health Care"": 0.09242424242424241, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06474747474747476, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.0494949494949495, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",center,center,,,True,False,,,,, +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.003448542313967,0.2156172845390969,-0.34002448677989994,0.2746934060667746,0.8504081628455913,1.0155014289963735,0.6341228144509115,3.4787879731075697,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.668349024876673,0.16776143542977176,0.7647816196942883,0.35004406931128823,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.668349024876673,0.10406619102979608,0.23716789037054972,0.16776143542977176,0.7647816196942883,0.35004406931128823,0.07293852784319564,0.07234781537236556,0.10942472833147648,0.9287338893100834,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7453754625541005,0.2686866781853865,-0.34002448677990027,0.2859145169293424,0.9787140036116893,1.270563451674111,0.7901980258242662,3.7762137096774193,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7217154900703594,0.6469318200254608,1.0947260901435043,0.4753498517842065,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.7217154900703594,0.18985268080367754,0.23983842501779407,0.6469318200254608,1.0947260901435043,0.4753498517842065,0.0897372576686217,0.0900977965046795,0.10942472833147643,0.9935691318327974,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04360806115663052,-0.04410996035857229,-0.16790637438371125,0.14824605110203695,-0.22783930733802227,-0.24690436720044456,-0.2627056925055695,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18748979537440075,1.0556661360655148,0.25861482315516987,0.16894916300100424,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,0.18748979537440075,0.030709104479819154,0.29380925315219164,1.0556661360655148,0.25861482315516987,0.16894916300100424,,,,,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8705547914532485,0.384069267957452,-0.34002448677990005,0.31622406869769104,1.190330424816275,1.6379642666246275,1.1295341450101575,4.076313291139241,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1521263845331358,0.48720287349802316,1.2798657512111904,1.0088020474031218,-0.04360806115663052,0.384069267957452,1.1521263845331358,0.06650080198090937,0.220485683564733,0.48720287349802316,1.2798657512111904,1.0088020474031218,0.0770971859347194,0.08348546947370619,0.109424728331476,1.0,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.075562639821047,0.21772857821319302,-0.33980177499104725,0.27470451669191764,0.8567181402839326,1.0231592388224793,0.6407517389187549,3.4787879731075697,9.82246015936255,12.621022179363548,0.6683863777701878,0.17510706616235638,0.7681101504482741,0.34736465857711624,-0.04227404182462302,0.38689458888872674,0.6683863777701878,0.10580177938908833,0.2371717744203437,0.17510706616235638,0.7681101504482741,0.34736465857711624,0.07481060696710184,0.0742487785633652,0.11142514540577064,0.9332827899924185,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.767453866012373,0.2710835690967901,-0.3398017749910469,0.28591147876070366,0.9853493106900041,1.279205696536414,0.7977697264940202,3.7762137096774193,11.075322580645162,14.093808630393996,0.7217551435038844,0.6548639261441993,1.0982670513649042,0.4722762021194641,-0.04227404182462302,0.38689458888872674,0.7217551435038844,0.19174187419321395,0.23982577066677388,0.6548639261441993,1.0982670513649042,0.4722762021194641,0.09162234636878432,0.09183091091903461,0.11142514540577064,0.9967845659163987,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.04227404182462302,-0.042760933055464356,-0.16790637438371137,0.14828936964274428,-0.21829413657519045,-0.23726538221441185,-0.25467129054757676,2.8329639889196674,7.0824099722991685,7.904382470119522,0.18753922817976737,1.0604337347921948,0.2604192428193404,0.16746248139306066,-0.04227404182462302,0.38689458888872674,0.18753922817976737,0.03213168412554156,0.29381379192521434,1.0604337347921948,0.2604192428193404,0.16746248139306066,,,,,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8896093317600222,0.38689458888872674,-0.33980177499104713,0.3162134452684624,1.1968363044643526,1.6467957435104899,1.1385890756424695,4.076313291139241,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1521492316248012,0.4965195492522536,1.2837912338809059,1.002965441827156,-0.04227404182462302,0.38689458888872674,1.1521492316248012,0.06853925757165354,0.22046636429474034,0.4965195492522536,1.2837912338809059,1.002965441827156,0.07904340126714184,0.08544806807462557,0.1114251454057702,1.0,3.4787879731075697,0.286875,4.214285714285714,61.0,0.5948717948717946,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17133838383838382, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13333333333333333, ""Health Care"": 0.0933080808080808, ""Industrials"": 0.07954545454545454, ""Communication"": 0.06148989898989898, ""Financials"": 0.0582070707070707, ""Materials"": 0.05088383838383839, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02335858585858586, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.013131313131313133, ""Real Estate"": 0.007323232323232323}",holdings_count,up,12.0,16.0,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.06532371306324958,-0.05135863611777314,-0.016245811757970796,0.06532371306324958 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.15938872608468,0.24664624015911807,-0.3330934877409457,0.2955054706911355,0.8962610010932264,1.0766425743733548,0.740471516966253,3.585400066401062,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6995249116336999,0.27957756117932603,0.8264699079250309,0.3171674685774665,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.6995249116336999,0.12927238536324712,0.25408383855229577,0.27957756117932603,0.8264699079250309,0.3171674685774665,0.10256831809879394,0.10113986206105816,0.1680798166045136,0.9522365428354814,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.472692390161072,0.3409278199545822,-0.3330934877409455,0.30994832087441215,1.1053747818294553,1.4563251338991574,1.0235199200884098,3.8685080645161287,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.767121176122667,0.8427147940226153,1.236809204973369,0.4194468201620831,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.767121176122667,0.24697249569044222,0.25861611350007147,0.8427147940226153,1.236809204973369,0.4194468201620831,0.1707727185384816,0.17075886009559552,0.16807981660451365,1.0,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01905771738409745,-0.019279904283706628,-0.16988928698639305,0.16029795427988536,-0.040359656429730044,-0.045136182494811834,-0.1134851091890851,2.9510041551246537,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2115040136390615,1.1568512469628665,0.22804596799600213,0.11460965554842047,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,0.2115040136390615,0.06627528011682439,0.2917152807147915,1.1568512469628665,0.22804596799600213,0.11460965554842047,,,,,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5401597542521603,0.4764683266457326,-0.33309348774094605,0.3428500916845704,1.3128674004661283,1.8332344133631262,1.4304342299729744,4.161075949367088,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2144779370181489,0.731865781784863,1.4601790974330733,0.9501768763352405,-0.01905771738409745,0.4764683266457326,1.2144779370181489,0.12343444448381352,0.2474864130764887,0.731865781784863,1.4601790974330733,0.9501768763352405,0.14334130920532998,0.14385045741639885,0.16807981660451327,1.0,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.25092540420782,0.248878358651764,-0.3328830906582608,0.29551443257675614,0.9023121673500748,1.0839619879724391,0.7476449409299182,3.585400066401062,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6995504925813542,0.2866417563166642,0.8298872774707564,0.31433591730214905,-0.01763432288578981,0.47954729572558463,0.6995504925813542,0.13106366657169435,0.25408851803318566,0.2866417563166642,0.8298872774707564,0.31433591730214905,0.10450679832021655,0.10310536222061274,0.17014067986420556,0.9537528430629265,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5013156455456107,0.3435241090125398,-0.3328830906582607,0.3099421801602047,1.1116573062322992,1.464692403565754,1.0319662327492725,3.8685080645161287,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7671494268610505,0.8502617460530357,1.240401864275577,0.4161692345506232,-0.01763432288578981,0.47954729572558463,0.7671494268610505,0.24890940520661312,0.25860278597683334,0.8502617460530357,1.240401864275577,0.4161692345506232,0.17267416485817164,0.17271950718676674,0.17014067986420556,1.0,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01763432288578981,-0.01784006627807111,-0.16988928698639283,0.16035126234572164,-0.03121538840173327,-0.03514139430752005,-0.10500995439165035,2.9510041551246537,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2115593771738551,1.1618314640524914,0.22977633952502502,0.11299128003819532,-0.01763432288578981,0.47954729572558463,0.2115593771738551,0.06775846531916495,0.2917250394451454,1.1618314640524914,0.22977633952502502,0.11299128003819532,,,,,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.564167322937265,0.47954729572558463,-0.33288309065826094,0.34283437732994554,1.3190154053562417,1.8417808688998067,1.4405877293956326,4.161075949367088,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2144755632492885,0.7403630340473046,1.4641841220994993,0.9440105593863553,-0.01763432288578981,0.47954729572558463,1.2144755632492885,0.12552219956801122,0.24746502097789352,0.7403630340473046,1.4641841220994993,0.9440105593863553,0.1453366179705978,0.1458686768421496,0.1701406798642051,1.0,3.585400066401062,0.2956666666666667,3.2857142857142856,61.0,0.5897435897435896,"{""Information Technology"": 0.17424242424242425, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13400673400673402, ""Health Care"": 0.09545454545454546, ""Industrials"": 0.07104377104377103, ""Communication"": 0.06717171717171716, ""Financials"": 0.05858585858585858, ""Materials"": 0.05134680134680134, ""Energy"": 0.035016835016835016, ""Utilities"": 0.021885521885521883, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012289562289562291, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",single_name_cap,up,0.08,0.09,False,True,candidate_neighbor,0.006917428705946138,0.005761178768991543,-0.009314812719016019,0.006917428705946138 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.02821710903432,0.24339626521122248,-0.3237786750219299,0.28414942396732457,0.9111709298960624,1.0989618428391132,0.7517365533561992,3.428159860557769,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6731019139103274,0.26358114370849545,0.8083099168652006,0.30575679002101386,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,0.6731019139103274,0.1284521951885467,0.24696305994141537,0.26358114370849545,0.8083099168652006,0.30575679002101386,0.10264430969861378,0.09931439261743535,0.16431632309781036,0.9583017437452616,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.3862998313700907,0.33299103761904325,-0.3237786750219296,0.2990084677165102,1.114667271287586,1.4743999789696298,1.0284526539510044,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7449785386060357,0.8335709910712005,1.203555466249708,0.4069882424071827,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,0.7449785386060357,0.24041890098562224,0.2502792471071098,0.8335709910712005,1.203555466249708,0.4069882424071827,0.1657773653658952,0.16639821315125905,0.16431632309781036,1.0,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01752902021976721,-0.017733546145892065,-0.16355701046128357,0.1576312715429212,-0.03384824679904101,-0.03823270247976885,-0.10842424972110788,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20906967272436652,1.163109602917083,0.24904249267043269,0.12102990106011581,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,0.20906967272436652,0.06657203923946071,0.29112064209813027,1.163109602917083,0.24904249267043269,0.12102990106011581,,,,,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4467174105514733,0.4643449562179822,-0.3237786750219295,0.3303107307324576,1.3247672406383697,1.85366893874829,1.4341431108349931,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1764754896338305,0.7137009280016898,1.4149127525229976,0.9048497376046407,-0.01752902021976721,0.4643449562179822,1.1764754896338305,0.12112484460601375,0.23622634812258864,0.7137009280016898,1.4149127525229976,0.9048497376046407,0.14014040645325582,0.14070030788784188,0.16431632309781002,1.0,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.113858529700189,0.2455251122614428,-0.3235799419986798,0.2841575005478438,0.9171890877462516,1.1062637965625894,0.7587772923899113,3.428159860557769,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6731235597427198,0.27053077632238076,0.8115719063678906,0.30304313522193177,-0.016130503847665345,0.4672557304551026,0.6731235597427198,0.13016546376358273,0.24696735262196076,0.27053077632238076,0.8115719063678906,0.30304313522193177,0.10450183601661697,0.10112305883447636,0.16628104244848613,0.9598180439727066,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.413038322434006,0.3354638476854801,-0.32357994199868,0.29900255695483885,1.1209075417530598,1.482739218697993,1.0367263360435628,3.7066983870967745,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7450038502983235,0.8410420631573758,1.2069898081025618,0.40384467426493115,-0.016130503847665345,0.4672557304551026,0.7450038502983235,0.24227501368398588,0.2502666603357797,0.8410420631573758,1.2069898081025618,0.40384467426493115,0.16759613133672213,0.16807549431135813,0.16628104244848613,1.0,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.016130503847665345,-0.01631884796125216,-0.16355701046128335,0.15768031856290535,-0.024732604594023922,-0.0280795939830808,-0.09977467743649607,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.209122549932477,1.1680096836043894,0.25077641742712165,0.11945796771174563,-0.016130503847665345,0.4672557304551026,0.209122549932477,0.06802592307758124,0.29112850382672983,1.1680096836043894,0.25077641742712165,0.11945796771174563,,,,,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4689949589671545,0.4672557304551026,-0.3235799419986798,0.33029582773277777,1.3308510619538476,1.8621456785859933,1.4440194517897806,3.9668924050632914,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1764707886221966,0.7221851685870416,1.4187236168044888,0.8989699091920988,-0.016130503847665345,0.4672557304551026,1.1764707886221966,0.12311582692193973,0.2362062931847554,0.7221851685870416,1.4187236168044888,0.8989699091920988,0.14204362265042914,0.14262525881180158,0.16628104244848568,1.0,3.428159860557769,0.28269999999999995,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16707070707070706, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1296969696969697, ""Health Care"": 0.09292929292929292, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06525252525252526, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.05050505050505051, ""Energy"": 0.03313131313131313, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",sector_cap,down,0.3,0.25,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.001019353629592823,-0.0007924159358284333,-1.1102230246251565e-16,0.001019353629592823 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.1395108659767486,0.2461576697939276,-0.3343235359943967,0.29171496148596043,0.9025879965481051,1.0979177295058007,0.7362857929274033,3.4208839641434263,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6966975210941935,0.277593410831215,0.8356578276078954,0.32430716723909525,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,0.6966975210941935,0.1282687665801946,0.2503104571899933,0.277593410831215,0.8356578276078954,0.32430716723909525,0.09904091534762921,0.09823524946169916,0.12234014609008131,0.9484457922668689,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.997617104005636,0.29523924459189343,-0.3343235359943971,0.3061438279468876,1.001550400954632,1.317773488327776,0.8830944064818737,3.6807774193548393,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7640279967600423,0.7143426996207396,1.1353738426264435,0.4227710169060146,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,0.7640279967600423,0.21136753667199354,0.25470833674197935,0.7143426996207396,1.1353738426264435,0.4227710169060146,0.11612763102182827,0.116029231237483,0.12234014609008131,1.0,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.03345110253648842,-0.033838178458114876,-0.1780615482389949,0.16567843309703445,-0.12338541353308957,-0.1346145161123135,-0.19003641601889895,2.812728531855956,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21243998845619916,1.0989182609711372,0.26104797617056985,0.1491712733614028,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,0.21243998845619916,0.05262446838353538,0.2943789962568095,1.0989182609711372,0.26104797617056985,0.1491712733614028,,,,,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.101361050508883,0.4174577291269965,-0.334323535994397,0.3375855952703694,1.2066426180320076,1.6819979346385612,1.2486638964418968,3.957645569620253,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2085331841621163,0.573817797730214,1.3289753415769534,0.8991158465937699,-0.03345110253648842,0.4174577291269965,1.2085331841621163,0.0822619806576901,0.24111363502852096,0.573817797730214,1.3289753415769534,0.8991158465937699,0.09240703784755609,0.09783385814617805,0.12234014609008088,1.0,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.226475611108263,0.24828497741451727,-0.33410040375188554,0.2917276070333965,0.9084235943710101,1.1050910736442578,0.7431447990673553,3.4208839641434263,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6967271106453,0.28443109970536723,0.8389088962827649,0.32158600207822796,-0.0321133066796091,0.4202653089955821,0.6967271106453,0.12997685042202975,0.2503184509698625,0.28443109970536723,0.8389088962827649,0.32158600207822796,0.10088781080461824,0.10014822204744364,0.12429988352422089,0.9514783927217589,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0210987695601155,0.2976230187686604,-0.33410040375188554,0.30614426852759524,1.007579666704415,1.3257468536376327,0.8908190933815376,3.6807774193548393,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7640526023728094,0.7216047019657632,1.1387898645227077,0.4196802954021635,-0.0321133066796091,0.4202653089955821,0.7640526023728094,0.21321073552071784,0.25470358882085614,0.7216047019657632,1.1387898645227077,0.4196802954021635,0.11795329607162156,0.11782362160085405,0.12429988352422089,1.0,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0321133066796091,-0.032485163965913166,-0.17806154823899478,0.16572132728323116,-0.11493248602839082,-0.12585390664884882,-0.18243783841703698,2.812728531855956,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.21249070086080676,1.1036348505575069,0.2627820242967956,0.14765738750976268,-0.0321133066796091,0.4202653089955821,0.21249070086080676,0.05403744829495141,0.2943854050254445,1.1036348505575069,0.2627820242967956,0.14765738750976268,,,,,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1213351628960417,0.4202653089955821,-0.33410040375188566,0.33757893514290566,1.2125467664866398,1.690169473090422,1.2579012305165769,3.957645569620253,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2085284283963293,0.5820713966612066,1.3327638020062267,0.8932798099793597,-0.0321133066796091,0.4202653089955821,1.2085284283963293,0.08424833966511892,0.24110508713259882,0.5820713966612066,1.3327638020062267,0.8932798099793597,0.09431631137251628,0.09970925833416061,0.12429988352422039,1.0,3.4208839641434263,0.28209999999999996,3.2653061224489797,61.0,0.5999999999999999,"{""Information Technology"": 0.20484848484848486, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12949494949494947, ""Health Care"": 0.08979797979797978, ""Industrials"": 0.05757575757575758, ""Communication"": 0.05717171717171718, ""Financials"": 0.048989898989898986, ""Materials"": 0.04787878787878788, ""Energy"": 0.03515151515151515, ""Utilities"": 0.01696969696969697, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.010303030303030303, ""Real Estate"": 0.0024242424242424242}",sector_cap,up,0.3,0.35,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.03877114665674264,-0.029843780249457136,-0.010544860972467651,0.03877114665674264 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.728261588332594,0.2357243219089704,-0.33695653054200303,0.2846046549590985,0.8884098566538301,1.0639819214158692,0.6995689370667544,3.6294596613545815,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6788260698547227,0.2398066474062873,0.7966255397309572,0.31591207080474576,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,0.6788260698547227,0.12127966011279313,0.24616370013539554,0.2398066474062873,0.7966255397309572,0.31591207080474576,0.09728167837448476,0.09298729653202747,0.14224539651597265,0.9522365428354814,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1579079890163597,0.31123661843083084,-0.33695653054200336,0.29869921654090054,1.0602161686929297,1.3972063417316436,0.9236699402448103,3.9564822580645163,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7424582665328677,0.7666545001756944,1.162631750123238,0.4192178980194571,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,0.7424582665328677,0.22412388802647792,0.25046002620835284,0.7666545001756944,1.162631750123238,0.4192178980194571,0.14408025104471944,0.14358088136910463,0.14224539651597265,1.0,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.015312392803116026,-0.015491259822233205,-0.16355701046128357,0.15754305309699584,-0.019576278822279247,-0.022270011646969685,-0.09471474061883897,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.2086178759334363,1.1703930223985157,0.22804596799600213,0.10897238513226014,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,0.2086178759334363,0.06866808335784388,0.2912326401106595,1.1703930223985157,0.22804596799600213,0.10897238513226014,,,,,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.2070150633925487,0.43216950494675865,-0.33695653054200325,0.3299876109230109,1.25812906475481,1.7541997909761469,1.2825675295611658,4.293613924050633,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.172626667347682,0.6183032355670561,1.3695765692798598,0.959364040274686,-0.015312392803116026,0.43216950494675865,1.172626667347682,0.09974230782349044,0.23641657437719965,0.6183032355670561,1.3695765692798598,0.959364040274686,0.11781621159677692,0.11855865547739736,0.14224539651597232,1.0,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.814476106993888,0.2379648992139214,-0.3367506872945807,0.28461189045253715,0.8947760149796836,1.0717599991561695,0.7066500773189393,3.6294596613545815,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6788367081746263,0.24718732143518182,0.800074683540141,0.3130509563487207,-0.013910946960355441,0.4352523176233749,0.6788367081746263,0.12309591069836942,0.24616960016002318,0.24718732143518182,0.800074683540141,0.3130509563487207,0.09925106003716161,0.09514311163493189,0.14438663500041124,0.9567854435178166,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1845408709820635,0.3138341638237163,-0.3367506872945806,0.2986907287935629,1.0668904901707084,1.4063083237991056,0.9319481018584603,3.9564822580645163,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7424667345812036,0.774615175707882,1.1662832009881843,0.4158735859711765,-0.013910946960355441,0.4352523176233749,0.7424667345812036,0.22610739141913253,0.2504480565190394,0.774615175707882,1.1662832009881843,0.4158735859711765,0.1460719906607435,0.14564056112278895,0.14438663500041124,1.0,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.013910946960355441,-0.014073560659338846,-0.16355701046128335,0.15759350625442667,-0.010459882275372962,-0.011985569790295712,-0.08604682012496365,2.8936703601108036,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20867075314154676,1.1752880238136294,0.22977633952502502,0.10739915006458961,-0.013910946960355441,0.4352523176233749,0.20867075314154676,0.07012196719596434,0.2912412448317846,1.1752880238136294,0.22977633952502502,0.10739915006458961,,,,,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.229465798414072,0.4352523176233749,-0.3367506872945806,0.32996929098613587,1.2647255693282096,1.7635805785070988,1.2925061003442815,4.293613924050633,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1725890346812349,0.6274637816129632,1.3736534036926416,0.9529362335134252,-0.013910946960355441,0.4352523176233749,1.1725890346812349,0.10190602572162423,0.23639727473962974,0.6274637816129632,1.3736534036926416,0.9529362335134252,0.1198971200893692,0.12066100866070849,0.1443866350004108,1.0,3.6294596613545815,0.2993,3.5,60.0,0.6,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16909090909090904, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.12787878787878787, ""Health Care"": 0.09191919191919191, ""Industrials"": 0.0698989898989899, ""Communication"": 0.06363636363636364, ""Financials"": 0.05646464646464646, ""Materials"": 0.051111111111111114, ""Energy"": 0.03333333333333333, ""Utilities"": 0.02101010101010101, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012222222222222221, ""Real Estate"": 0.00404040404040404}",hold_bonus,down,0.1,0.05,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.022773772817805238,-0.01708742889497275,-0.013177855520073889,0.022773772817805238 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,5.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.314571647808295,0.2245425091625659,-0.32377867502193003,0.285572042017115,0.8544242393049166,1.030661048143287,0.6935061709896654,3.3444870517928282,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.6796484130881828,0.20310588957817247,0.7596244147842663,0.2900111473179462,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,0.6796484130881828,0.11227437262456332,0.24709173032266882,0.20310588957817247,0.7596244147842663,0.2900111473179462,0.07888376465676843,0.07453902294398418,0.12092033865458651,0.9173616376042456,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9666371417214736,0.29207233486512685,-0.32377867502193003,0.2990848199489426,1.009771809119722,1.3366808829607246,0.9020740320385348,3.6454306451612903,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7434163731994722,0.7073400245510756,1.1144918595224722,0.40801179968212425,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,0.7434163731994722,0.20932612217935911,0.25071108776408235,0.7073400245510756,1.1144918595224722,0.40801179968212425,0.12209350940591933,0.12250165271593115,0.12092033865458657,1.0,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,5.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01800131677175376,-0.018211302145841102,-0.16355701046128357,0.15718571639852952,-0.03744113854055539,-0.04249533029759627,-0.11134528623676448,2.843081717451524,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20865630359857676,1.1615995178047414,0.22804596799600213,0.11328621486397393,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,0.20865630359857676,0.06588019474773335,0.2910258994156241,1.1615995178047414,0.22804596799600213,0.11328621486397393,,,,,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,5.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.021019470177785,0.4060367999466352,-0.3237786750219299,0.3305145601773118,1.2006454253825818,1.6833246714970742,1.2540566481691047,3.9021645569620254,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1745592934407985,0.5397998028804059,1.310777089002992,0.921137311738514,-0.01800131677175376,0.4060367999466352,1.1745592934407985,0.08088624136716019,0.23683025185433287,0.5397998028804059,1.310777089002992,0.921137311738514,0.0964576533814136,0.09700837464348581,0.12092033865458612,1.0,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,0.0,Full Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.388228191002758,0.22658811709262272,-0.3235799419986797,0.2855795294351792,0.8602690119071565,1.0377355216229525,0.7002539023063032,3.3444870517928282,9.82246015936255,9.465766634522662,0.679667893969676,0.20988342355025974,0.7628032526386407,0.2873890772608501,-0.01662812507247835,0.4087860978631048,0.679667893969676,0.11394614180004575,0.24709588617446834,0.20988342355025974,0.7628032526386407,0.2873890772608501,0.08069307644109998,0.07641464809648854,0.12284574310671267,0.9203942380591357,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.989673200159218,0.29442957718360296,-0.3235799419986798,0.2990797351004166,1.015902853476323,1.3448560434612218,0.9099129425791301,3.6454306451612903,11.075322580645162,10.570356472795497,0.7434507282210319,0.7146720576272954,1.1178206473566492,0.40489997091035873,-0.01662812507247835,0.4087860978631048,0.7434507282210319,0.21115037574367512,0.25069753553045004,0.7146720576272954,1.1178206473566492,0.40489997091035873,0.12387207284738638,0.12414115272479882,0.12284574310671267,1.0,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,0.0,2022,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.01662812507247835,-0.016822229726627058,-0.16355701046128335,0.15723535557703647,-0.02845806885029566,-0.03253220407716731,-0.10285239183073207,2.843081717451524,7.0824099722991685,5.9282868525896415,0.20870931209922414,1.1664141861584505,0.22977633952502502,0.11175265467737172,-0.01662812507247835,0.4087860978631048,0.20870931209922414,0.06730902414111475,0.29103396209322807,1.1664141861584505,0.22977633952502502,0.11175265467737172,,,,,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,0.0,2023+,v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15,liquid_50m,False,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.040226466085956,0.4087860978631048,-0.32357994199867945,0.33050064712593796,1.2066180496191548,1.6916686369587903,1.2633233547732483,3.9021645569620254,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.1745709957999315,0.5481136116310058,1.3144598132863778,0.915277673079717,-0.01662812507247835,0.4087860978631048,1.1745709957999315,0.08284034508482402,0.2368088878774448,0.5481136116310058,1.3144598132863778,0.915277673079717,0.09832105686633592,0.09889357878315852,0.12284574310671213,1.0,3.3444870517928282,0.2758,3.173469387755102,61.0,0.5923076923076922,"{""Information Technology"": 0.16939393939393935, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.1305050505050505, ""Health Care"": 0.09272727272727273, ""Industrials"": 0.06858585858585858, ""Communication"": 0.06393939393939395, ""Financials"": 0.055656565656565654, ""Materials"": 0.05030303030303031, ""Energy"": 0.03414141414141414, ""Utilities"": 0.020202020202020204, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.011919191919191921, ""Real Estate"": 0.0032323232323232323}",hold_bonus,up,0.1,0.15,False,True,candidate_neighbor,-0.041938056383509226,-0.03188519474209156,-5.551115123125783e-16,0.041938056383509226 +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.09816573134462,0.26827720022116486,-0.40875068693250227,0.3153671719476812,0.9141162663486204,1.1244027562297374,0.6563345550180468,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.828586072666698,0.37949734370822846,0.9364442334718612,0.4109120501910466,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.828586072666698,0.12769077257478845,0.24893026062848753,0.37949734370822846,0.9364442334718612,0.4109120501910466,0.08929375139144417,0.08199438092744755,0.16654219307060236,0.9226686884003032,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4430992657043165,0.3382263033129467,-0.34045794622990344,0.3151815247357876,1.0859074212568376,1.5161360085041025,0.993445173062726,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348496742952791,0.8685929268785193,1.3049846206886697,0.512384195738297,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.8348496742952791,0.2381777214312145,0.2505069029168502,0.8685929268785193,1.3049846206886697,0.512384195738297,0.13479488562363687,0.1354888212541475,0.16654219307060236,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.024269527565687454,-0.02455171278002377,-0.15912984560159582,0.22087267064204394,-0.0007509643882581444,-0.0010714575919058816,-0.15428729090514215,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3784509224231604,1.2653488450215127,0.8294361846380829,0.354271084152301,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,0.3784509224231604,0.12999882908955468,0.27168388421638606,1.2653488450215127,0.8294361846380829,0.354271084152301,,,,,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,5.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.528740121351604,0.47499868834075887,-0.3404579462299032,0.33870570636478015,1.3218439582651151,1.8526330083474223,1.3951758024763607,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030857526333605,0.7338012228474018,1.410285051083303,0.7876635590669088,-0.024269527565687454,0.47499868834075887,1.2030857526333605,0.12409820966551605,0.24356217268559957,0.7338012228474018,1.410285051083303,0.7876635590669088,0.12391420216110012,0.13128478634454133,0.16654219307060197,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,Full Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,6.202123877371508,0.2705153219242542,-0.4079876801425707,0.315373543661988,0.9197099147663343,1.1312736873388658,0.6630477710251521,3.5328519256308097,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.8286097853795851,0.3866033232250685,0.9398868582618369,0.40823638336176127,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.8286097853795851,0.12945608993286944,0.2489328986762671,0.3866033232250685,0.9398868582618369,0.40823638336176127,0.09117201718475239,0.08403329273333213,0.1685931660063851,0.9234268385140257,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,OOS Sample,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,2.4712698882927118,0.34079836506540406,-0.3401769871282664,0.3151829903943289,1.092021393525367,1.5246113035386382,1.0018266313144322,3.844943548387097,12.253548387096775,12.0,0.8348767292886964,0.8763059518186683,1.308631758051659,0.5092766749349213,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.8348767292886964,0.2401029601328024,0.2505028468476205,0.8763059518186683,1.308631758051659,0.5092766749349213,0.13667128114044483,0.1374422960283234,0.16859316600638505,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,2022,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.022933307842714634,-0.023200142037817506,-0.15912984560159604,0.22090278072860353,0.0054983942422617916,0.007844480833340354,-0.14579378211616145,2.7823753462603875,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.37852005906267777,1.270438071801381,0.8311112312308139,0.3527760957128321,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,0.37852005906267777,0.1314030860853094,0.27168216605978185,1.270438071801381,0.8311112312308139,0.3527760957128321,,,,,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,aggressive_alt_spec,0.0,2023+,v11_leadership_liquid_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,leadership_liquid,True,universe,universe_cross_sectional,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.5527461084856062,0.47808432075925467,-0.3401769871282666,0.3387005561881389,1.3280566172180337,1.8612173765027051,1.405398774312117,4.18162447257384,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.2030687595447918,0.7424261248139293,1.4143688674281651,0.7817485741763972,-0.022933307842714634,0.47808432075925467,1.2030687595447918,0.1262002039471089,0.2435577593855085,0.7424261248139293,1.4143688674281651,0.7817485741763972,0.12591118736318171,0.1332974949775378,0.16859316600638463,1.0,3.5328519256308097,0.2913333333333333,3.4489795918367347,61.0,0.6235294117647059,"{""Information Technology"": 0.21430976430976434, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.13434343434343435, ""Health Care"": 0.10707070707070708, ""Industrials"": 0.07457912457912458, ""Communication"": 0.0632996632996633, ""Financials"": 0.06043771043771043, ""Energy"": 0.05892255892255893, ""Materials"": 0.05521885521885522, ""Utilities"": 0.019023569023569022, ""Consumer Staples"": 0.012626262626262626, ""Real Estate"": 0.004208754208754209}",reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,Full Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.48139574393527,0.16331062031314847,-0.2761975873275607,0.20104565807249608,0.8549194866751278,1.0286443089448685,0.5912818496834578,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.46509748890157465,-0.10410198467500606,0.5952100950107393,0.2935292633650195,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.46509748890157465,0.08173549767567322,0.21071681143745433,-0.10410198467500606,0.5952100950107393,0.2935292633650195,0.05560239397317616,0.06138368564877426,0.10694877061624607,0.9143290371493555,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,OOS Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0512136613648755,0.18446943665750348,-0.2543933164893194,0.21897443101811265,0.8855596641926721,1.1503033015067359,0.7251347606266549,4.530278225806453,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.5689187642856236,0.344425078331652,0.8269146810694509,0.4130456233177719,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.5689187642856236,0.12298814397724124,0.2010465997098112,0.344425078331652,0.8269146810694509,0.4130456233177719,0.07833071665230182,0.07317105854445877,0.10694877061624607,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,2022,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13965933707208145,-0.14118161178774558,-0.17144434318856616,0.11753290830641766,-1.22574087079287,-1.371223647029373,-0.8234836400082587,3.330418975069252,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.19677701615689608,0.7238426119812879,0.1924676467924243,0.30867972246903075,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.19677701615689608,-0.0763852535530485,0.2761316672041879,0.7238426119812879,0.1924676467924243,0.30867972246903075,,,,,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,5.0,2023+,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3841877406842245,0.3070940420390593,-0.2543933164893192,0.24141291820070146,1.2344178357685558,1.6712222513704722,1.207162382553996,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8670601336823492,0.169337187393806,0.9673999412604084,0.5947495848088636,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,0.8670601336823492,0.06477401812873232,0.17134181231123327,0.169337187393806,0.9673999412604084,0.5947495848088636,0.07656610973575624,0.08038506823835226,0.10694877061624576,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,Full Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.538178055078061,0.16559516064907287,-0.2730484175464801,0.201047263416303,0.8646969497235207,1.0403792239790637,0.6064681206983525,3.9264577108233722,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.4651943849082208,-0.09477779569759484,0.5987936736469467,0.29026577103279283,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.4651943849082208,0.08368382251252629,0.2106921088353401,-0.09477779569759484,0.5987936736469467,0.29026577103279283,0.057673887716946266,0.06338813897904853,0.10933532630981814,0.9203942380591357,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,OOS Sample,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.071043284702037,0.18715779728000648,-0.25408275519467394,0.21895931198687688,0.895998873842317,1.1636566229106875,0.7366017309463183,4.530278225806453,12.253548387096775,24.0,0.5689734753756346,0.3557832513151052,0.831030344821731,0.4092757538968166,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.5689734753756346,0.12525369653503363,0.20101526406135398,0.3557832513151052,0.831030344821731,0.4092757538968166,0.08054176007797464,0.07527551664924197,0.10933532630981814,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,2022,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13824001776887718,-0.13974811002293708,-0.17144434318856605,0.11751977166385677,-1.211817355665259,-1.3557589284939886,-0.8151223156382167,3.330418975069252,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.19685473665027048,0.7299180613093852,0.19385498102534948,0.30669283975459444,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.19685473665027048,-0.07470613186950587,0.27609709686667655,0.7299180613093852,0.19385498102534948,0.30669283975459444,,,,,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,defensive_baseline,0.0,2023+,,IWB_proxy_russell_1000,False,industry_like_sector_zscore,industry_like_sector_zscore,24,0.06,0.2,0.15,spy_breadth_defensive,SPY,broad,0.5,0.1,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.403271592329042,0.3103099651215735,-0.25408275519467394,0.24139556176087082,1.2447110572520121,1.6850627853586875,1.2212948686101077,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.867085026275407,0.1837461531898896,0.9721197375276273,0.5878754855079786,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,0.867085026275407,0.06723063515676171,0.17131163247073197,0.1837461531898896,0.9721197375276273,0.5878754855079786,0.0788783949789474,0.08266607729693326,0.1093353263098178,1.0,3.9264577108233722,0.32379166666666664,,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,Full Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8940997005777076,0.1792222842738589,-0.3511872359927679,0.23884666430427037,0.8114573826567123,1.05934752016748,0.510332568799709,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999998,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,0.9999999999999998,3.809495802448976e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,7.269612555975324e-17,5.4643789493269423e-17,2.185751579730777e-16,0.7293404094010614,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,OOS Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5097960266436314,0.10194831841499297,-0.34827966264398225,0.2337306451932443,0.5333893321637085,0.761162688526841,0.29271970014283144,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,1.0000000000000002,-2.9179290206222125e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,2.1550034666718632e-16,2.185751579730777e-16,2.185751579730777e-16,0.9903536977491961,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,2022,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3257702639095521,-0.3288918959681105,-0.34827966264398225,0.3208610525471644,-1.0719305253279283,-1.7749099445461356,-0.9443327625601549,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,5.0,2023+,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.239290179335982,0.2820759917275921,-0.22768296008055644,0.1984869272336291,1.3552019530007893,1.9271426434733192,1.2388981223179412,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999998,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,0.9999999999999998,5.814388344835019e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-1.1384122811097797e-16,-1.0928757898653885e-16,-1.0928757898653885e-16,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,Full Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8940997005777076,0.1792222842738589,-0.3511872359927679,0.23884666430427037,0.8114573826567123,1.05934752016748,0.510332568799709,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999998,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,0.9999999999999998,3.809495802448976e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,7.269612555975324e-17,5.4643789493269423e-17,2.185751579730777e-16,0.7293404094010614,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,OOS Sample,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5097960266436314,0.10194831841499297,-0.34827966264398225,0.2337306451932443,0.5333893321637085,0.761162688526841,0.29271970014283144,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,1.0000000000000002,-2.9179290206222125e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,2.1550034666718632e-16,2.185751579730777e-16,2.185751579730777e-16,0.9903536977491961,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,2022,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3257702639095521,-0.3288918959681105,-0.34827966264398225,0.3208610525471644,-1.0719305253279283,-1.7749099445461356,-0.9443327625601549,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,,,,,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, +final_comparison,QQQ,0.0,2023+,,QQQ,False,n/a,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.239290179335982,0.2820759917275921,-0.22768296008055644,0.1984869272336291,1.3552019530007893,1.9271426434733192,1.2388981223179412,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999998,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257702639095521,0.2820759917275921,0.9999999999999998,5.814388344835019e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,-1.1384122811097797e-16,-1.0928757898653885e-16,-1.0928757898653885e-16,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,,,{},reference,reference,,,False,False,,,,, diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.md b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..601b07a --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.md @@ -0,0 +1,118 @@ +# qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1.1b candidate-centric gate review + +## Frozen center spec +- universe=liquid_50m +- normalization=universe_cross_sectional +- regime=qqq_breadth +- holdings=12 +- single_cap=8% +- sector_cap=30% +- hold_bonus=0.10 +- exposures=100/60/0 +- residual proxy=simple excess return vs QQQ +- cost assumption(main)=5 bps one-way + +## One-step neighborhood (5 bps, OOS) +| strategy | change_dimension | change_direction | from_value | to_value | CAGR | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | Max Drawdown | delta_oos_cagr_vs_center | delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center | delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__holdings_count_up_16 | holdings_count | up | 12.000000 | 16.000000 | 0.268687 | 0.189853 | -0.340024 | -0.065324 | -0.051359 | -0.016246 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__single_name_cap_up_0p09 | single_name_cap | up | 0.080000 | 0.090000 | 0.340928 | 0.246972 | -0.333093 | 0.006917 | 0.005761 | -0.009315 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_down_0p25 | sector_cap | down | 0.300000 | 0.250000 | 0.332991 | 0.240419 | -0.323779 | -0.001019 | -0.000792 | -0.000000 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__sector_cap_up_0p35 | sector_cap | up | 0.300000 | 0.350000 | 0.295239 | 0.211368 | -0.334324 | -0.038771 | -0.029844 | -0.010545 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_down_0p05 | hold_bonus | down | 0.100000 | 0.050000 | 0.311237 | 0.224124 | -0.336957 | -0.022774 | -0.017087 | -0.013178 | +| v11_liquid_50m_norm_universe_cross_sectional_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10__hold_bonus_up_0p15 | hold_bonus | up | 0.100000 | 0.150000 | 0.292072 | 0.209326 | -0.323779 | -0.041938 | -0.031885 | -0.000000 | + +## Candidate-centric plateau +- original_global_plateau_200bps_share=16.2% +- neighbor_count=6 +- neighbor_plateau_50bps_share=16.7% +- neighbor_plateau_100bps_share=33.3% +- neighbor_plateau_200bps_share=33.3% + +## Monthly jackknife (5 bps) +- positive alpha share after removing any single month=100.0% +### Worst 5 removed months (lowest post-removal alpha) +| removed_label | CAGR | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | Max Drawdown | delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| 2024-11 | 0.270147 | 0.204243 | -0.323779 | -0.036969 | +| 2024-02 | 0.274519 | 0.208470 | -0.323779 | -0.032741 | +| 2025-01 | 0.289559 | 0.215208 | -0.331159 | -0.026004 | +| 2025-07 | 0.290790 | 0.216350 | -0.323779 | -0.024861 | +| 2024-03 | 0.295855 | 0.218182 | -0.323779 | -0.023029 | + +### Best 5 removed months (highest post-removal alpha) +| removed_label | CAGR | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | Max Drawdown | delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| 2024-12 | 0.371014 | 0.275188 | -0.323779 | 0.033976 | +| 2025-11 | 0.373176 | 0.272837 | -0.323779 | 0.031625 | +| 2022-07 | 0.334010 | 0.265562 | -0.323779 | 0.024351 | +| 2023-04 | 0.356750 | 0.263277 | -0.323779 | 0.022066 | +| 2024-06 | 0.340287 | 0.261320 | -0.323779 | 0.020109 | + +## Continuous block holdout (5 bps) +- 6m block positive alpha share=100.0% +- 12m block positive alpha share=100.0% +### Worst 5 removed 6m blocks +| removed_label | CAGR | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | +| 2024-08->2025-01 | 0.193498 | 0.167719 | -0.073493 | +| 2022-01->2022-06 | 0.382681 | 0.169901 | -0.071311 | +| 2022-04->2022-09 | 0.340681 | 0.178418 | -0.062793 | +| 2024-09->2025-02 | 0.214814 | 0.179067 | -0.062145 | +| 2023-12->2024-05 | 0.205994 | 0.187906 | -0.053306 | + +### Best 5 removed 6m blocks +| removed_label | CAGR | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | +| 2023-01->2023-06 | 0.325561 | 0.329656 | 0.088445 | +| 2022-12->2023-05 | 0.355573 | 0.322632 | 0.081420 | +| 2022-11->2023-04 | 0.348281 | 0.309747 | 0.068536 | +| 2023-02->2023-07 | 0.315623 | 0.308169 | 0.066958 | +| 2023-04->2023-09 | 0.348890 | 0.307755 | 0.066544 | + +### Worst 5 removed 12m blocks +| removed_label | CAGR | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | +| 2024-02->2025-01 | 0.099471 | 0.109728 | -0.131483 | +| 2023-12->2024-11 | 0.095852 | 0.115161 | -0.126050 | +| 2022-01->2022-12 | 0.464792 | 0.121421 | -0.119790 | +| 2024-01->2024-12 | 0.136485 | 0.152921 | -0.088290 | +| 2024-09->2025-08 | 0.144083 | 0.154966 | -0.086245 | + +### Best 5 removed 12m blocks +| removed_label | CAGR | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | +| 2023-01->2023-12 | 0.313415 | 0.392483 | 0.151271 | +| 2022-10->2023-09 | 0.340470 | 0.384827 | 0.143616 | +| 2022-12->2023-11 | 0.340003 | 0.384597 | 0.143386 | +| 2022-11->2023-10 | 0.350726 | 0.381826 | 0.140615 | +| 2023-02->2024-01 | 0.316134 | 0.376089 | 0.134878 | + +## Main comparison (5 bps) +| strategy | period | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | annual_turnover | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| default_frozen_spec | Full Sample | 0.241651 | 4.958780 | -0.323779 | 0.903840 | 0.126004 | 3.440286 | +| default_frozen_spec | OOS Sample | 0.334010 | 2.397303 | -0.323779 | 1.117224 | 0.241211 | 3.440286 | +| default_frozen_spec | 2022 | -0.015491 | -0.015312 | -0.163557 | -0.019576 | 0.068668 | 3.440286 | +| default_frozen_spec | 2023+ | 0.464792 | 2.450132 | -0.323779 | 1.325631 | 0.121421 | 3.440286 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | Full Sample | 0.268277 | 6.098166 | -0.408751 | 0.914116 | 0.127691 | 3.532852 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | OOS Sample | 0.338226 | 2.443099 | -0.340458 | 1.085907 | 0.238178 | 3.532852 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2022 | -0.024552 | -0.024270 | -0.159130 | -0.000751 | 0.129999 | 3.532852 | +| aggressive_alt_spec | 2023+ | 0.474999 | 2.528740 | -0.340458 | 1.321844 | 0.124098 | 3.532852 | +| defensive_baseline | Full Sample | 0.163311 | 2.481396 | -0.276198 | 0.854919 | 0.081735 | 3.926458 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS Sample | 0.184469 | 1.051214 | -0.254393 | 0.885560 | 0.122988 | 3.926458 | +| defensive_baseline | 2022 | -0.141182 | -0.139659 | -0.171444 | -1.225741 | -0.076385 | 3.926458 | +| defensive_baseline | 2023+ | 0.307094 | 1.384188 | -0.254393 | 1.234418 | 0.064774 | 3.926458 | +| QQQ | Full Sample | 0.179222 | 2.894100 | -0.351187 | 0.811457 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS Sample | 0.101948 | 0.509796 | -0.348280 | 0.533389 | -0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | 2022 | -0.328892 | -0.325770 | -0.348280 | -1.071931 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | 2023+ | 0.282076 | 1.239290 | -0.227683 | 1.355202 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | + +## Recommendation layers +- original_global_gate=no_shadow_tracking +- candidate_centric_recommendation=not_ready +- reason=center spec still fails at least one local-neighborhood or holdout stability check + +## Interpretation +- 这里只复核 default_frozen_spec 自己附近是否稳，不再重新做更大网格搜参。 +- active share vs QQQ 仍显式留空，因为没有 QQQ 历史 constituent weights。 \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_monthly_holdout.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_monthly_holdout.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..29385a5 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_1b_monthly_holdout.csv @@ -0,0 +1,105 @@ +holdout_type,cost_bps_one_way,removed_label,removed_start,removed_end,removed_month_count,removed_trading_days,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,QQQ CAGR,Max Drawdown,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,delta_oos_cagr_vs_center,delta_oos_alpha_ann_vs_center,delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center,alpha_positive_after_removal +monthly_jackknife,5.0,2022-01,2022-01-01,2022-01-31,1,20,2022-02-01,2026-04-02,2.700916315445565,0.36921827923907147,0.12852527563576976,-0.3237786750219297,0.2509742051766584,0.8408552761445749,0.035207887990435394,0.009762888255207741,-2.220446049250313e-16,True 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0.9, + "block_6m_positive_alpha_share_min": 0.8, + "block_12m_positive_alpha_share_min": 0.7 + } +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_attribution.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_attribution.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..165caca --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_attribution.csv @@ -0,0 +1,3 @@ +strategy,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,active_share_vs_qqq,avg_sector_weights_json +defensive_baseline,0.4650971177010506,0.08173556324613164,0.21071691638939097,-0.1041019978565818,0.5952102232020672,0.29352936581311145,,"{""Information Technology"": 0.10641666666666666, ""Industrials"": 0.09554166666666668, ""Financials"": 0.08604166666666668, ""Consumer Discretionary"": 0.08491666666666667, ""Health Care"": 0.07929166666666666, ""Materials"": 0.048125, ""Real Estate"": 0.04333333333333333, ""Communication"": 0.04062500000000001, ""Consumer 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Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.608202663991033,0.20354717066382433,-0.3728767879785573,0.2672417247679089,0.8295049834586475,0.981435608546031,0.5458831904428697,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224689147378215,0.1298686094266467,0.786357595808625,0.4439899404920092,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,0.7224689147378215,0.08165382248344741,0.214558697672726,0.1298686094266467,0.786357595808625,0.4439899404920092,0.056942943590408766,0.05923273228967799,0.09818941506900299,0.8855193328279,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_0bps,0.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1244364943351901,-0.12580521284639434,-0.17182148696144184,0.16324886462037996,-0.7351046152661415,-0.9698178923434266,-0.732185566957793,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3326216639665496,0.9058411036540963,0.46534232246819496,0.3930910499913954,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,0.3326216639665496,-0.005603009585782676,0.24721253345232483,0.9058411036540963,0.46534232246819496,0.3930910499913954,0.056942943590408766,0.05923273228967799,0.09818941506900299,0.8855193328279,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_0bps,0.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5840079195912629,0.3399248551319709,-0.2991854102620468,0.28623720813390774,1.169892641741006,1.5955585195583344,1.136167886108623,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0138803833102763,0.3236078355145351,1.1532764664156039,0.938320938772998,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,1.0138803833102763,0.06214336550233872,0.20357061606180774,0.3236078355145351,1.1532764664156039,0.938320938772998,0.056942943590408766,0.05923273228967799,0.09818941506900299,0.8855193328279,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_5bps,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_5bps,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_5bps,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_10bps,10.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.474463440184918,0.19925645324593622,-0.3731771235848198,0.2672497930439111,0.8160905840278833,0.9656787365583579,0.5339460557813293,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224223311725619,0.11317927490066028,0.7797143602878768,0.4498216501994313,-0.1276269980592114,0.3345001851408298,0.7224223311725619,0.07808454822950713,0.21458113185419497,0.11317927490066028,0.7797143602878768,0.4498216501994313,0.05310206292236076,0.055576089229760185,0.0941683247189237,0.8703563305534496,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_10bps,10.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1276269980592114,-0.129028162436024,-0.1731774773180269,0.163240853090308,-0.7575893736824064,-1.0010631803791654,-0.745063182777942,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3324325035182246,0.8907529134370952,0.46158254095795354,0.3972539032895784,-0.1276269980592114,0.3345001851408298,0.3324325035182246,-0.009332611313736125,0.24728600825672767,0.8907529134370952,0.46158254095795354,0.3972539032895784,0.05310206292236076,0.055576089229760185,0.0941683247189237,0.8703563305534496,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 +cost_sensitivity,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_cost_10bps,10.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5502216201643688,0.3345001851408298,-0.2998805108232644,0.28627693827944856,1.1555407094167311,1.5756427881875994,1.115444895777067,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139472267858463,0.3035893303859987,1.1454302038569826,0.9495675541864257,-0.1276269980592114,0.3345001851408298,1.0139472267858463,0.05806323805281431,0.20361354307235907,0.3035893303859987,1.1454302038569826,0.9495675541864257,0.05310206292236076,0.055576089229760185,0.0941683247189237,0.8703563305534496,3.57125249003984,0.29450000000000004,4.755102040816326,61.0,0.5882352941176471 diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_parameter_stability_summary.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_parameter_stability_summary.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..f8c4632 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_parameter_stability_summary.csv @@ -0,0 +1,13 @@ +axis,axis_value,mean_cagr,median_cagr,std_cagr,mean_ir,mean_2022,mean_2023_plus +holdings_count,12.0,0.21134680562624555,0.21134949928567925,0.011305307289587133,0.15406897035442427,-0.08894249349717066,0.3685283079186185 +holdings_count,16.0,0.20096408595045145,0.201400122193105,0.004467471916237849,0.11997307504955941,-0.12536262525166167,0.3311179726581375 +holdings_count,20.0,0.19930054422765514,0.19863235779649657,0.0014183552128246221,0.10290000447658987,-0.12641911922473828,0.31938632718656174 +single_name_cap,0.07,0.19960138187390275,0.20004923178782663,0.004240382119936643,0.1021390901002964,-0.11045719914872809,0.3316911981325131 +single_name_cap,0.08,0.2051261272622119,0.201400122193105,0.008543888039272737,0.1329257657738243,-0.11446706213741877,0.3419942799809977 +single_name_cap,0.09,0.2068839266682375,0.201400122193105,0.010831085105084032,0.14187719400645285,-0.11579997668742378,0.345347129649807 +sector_cap,0.25,0.20480454202415488,0.20025549951013355,0.009157529410479997,0.12887250405537634,-0.11336222531832478,0.3413464691447898 +sector_cap,0.3,0.20480454202415488,0.20025549951013355,0.009157529410479997,0.12887250405537634,-0.11336222531832478,0.3413464691447898 +sector_cap,0.35,0.20200235175604234,0.2006512227719619,0.008070190462167882,0.11919704176982088,-0.11399978733692107,0.3363396694737383 +hold_bonus,0.05,0.20790783176385633,0.2065160318099839,0.010361856188407742,0.14089063390758488,-0.1167393993644052,0.35172941943906433 +hold_bonus,0.1,0.20107999888239322,0.19857862958786043,0.0063957849624544675,0.1150521950059353,-0.11390762017122469,0.3364706055716495 +hold_bonus,0.15,0.20262360515810254,0.20025549951013355,0.007961332312432816,0.12099922096705339,-0.11007721843794076,0.330832582752604 diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_promotion_gate.json b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_promotion_gate.json new file mode 100644 index 0000000..cc3c8f0 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_promotion_gate.json @@ -0,0 +1,10 @@ +{ + "recommendation": "no_shadow_tracking", + "reason": "fails at least one promotion gate", + "oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio": 1.0, + "oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps": 0.1078005496113359, + "oos_max_drawdown": -0.2995329938075524, + "annual_turnover": 3.57125249003984, + "plateau_200bps_share": 0.18518518518518517, + "selected_oos_config": "grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15" +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..1c9cb32 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.csv @@ -0,0 +1,271 @@ +experiment_group,scenario,cost_bps_one_way,period,data_variant,universe_lag_rebalances,universe_filter,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,group_normalization,residual_proxy,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.7224504477125873,0.20712674059330127,-0.3289137167577022,0.2405262252761029,0.905448337397402,1.0914511526051363,0.6297297134186818,3.2644521912350606,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6450474192017366,0.11794433766766182,0.7388940710363736,0.35490567092634506,-0.08023425932404293,0.37239189613749657,0.6450474192017366,0.09276491298569972,0.20323288489140387,0.11794433766766182,0.7388940710363736,0.35490567092634506,0.0737006651152425,0.06532467667412081,0.12881100309754473,0.9166034874905231 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08023425932404293,-0.08113944948527418,-0.1386583151165599,0.16311380225331598,-0.43288793773288553,-0.6023880051110353,-0.5851755043833194,3.470380886426593,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3315546569150765,1.1040637003060072,0.4531937991076798,0.31148700853090444,-0.08023425932404293,0.37239189613749657,0.3315546569150765,0.04342500006921078,0.24756748221140942,1.1040637003060072,0.4531937991076798,0.31148700853090444,0.0737006651152425,0.06532467667412081,0.12881100309754473,0.9166034874905231 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7927216834946083,0.37239189613749657,-0.3001195051747907,0.2594634818855461,1.3548830113330843,1.8461217817067452,1.240812042258347,3.5877721518987356,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9229696186163757,0.4477469069253585,1.1727403063376993,0.808676621321876,-0.08023425932404293,0.37239189613749657,0.9229696186163757,0.10327329009940076,0.1843740408721402,0.4477469069253585,1.1727403063376993,0.808676621321876,0.0737006651152425,0.06532467667412081,0.12881100309754473,0.9166034874905231 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3330544572558223,0.19459530681008097,-0.3396854513528871,0.24107692602493888,0.8605205766616724,1.0358201465278267,0.5728691235819896,3.203819721115538,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6447271327716785,0.06686026982577713,0.7219310624400025,0.375503172232471,-0.08136221949468958,0.3387429578712571,0.6447271327716785,0.08249457357479889,0.2039739394176116,0.06686026982577713,0.7219310624400025,0.375503172232471,0.0680146296920589,0.06321342567623878,0.10208649145939318,0.9158453373768006 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08136221949468958,-0.08227955757755478,-0.1386583151165599,0.16310917123976357,-0.440456057239655,-0.6126782038850559,-0.5933979329576331,3.490616343490305,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3316405078864519,1.0992576470030608,0.4531937991076798,0.3134822228922611,-0.08136221949468958,0.3387429578712571,0.3316405078864519,0.0422221026846238,0.24752872653368624,1.0992576470030608,0.4531937991076798,0.3134822228922611,0.0680146296920589,0.06321342567623878,0.10208649145939318,0.9158453373768006 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.576620524679568,0.3387429578712571,-0.3001195051747906,0.25920773733032637,1.259773529084104,1.7183026353904172,1.1286935771601119,3.513797468354431,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9221882057215046,0.3124819055854711,1.1129545205409386,0.8447168115000266,-0.08136221949468958,0.3387429578712571,0.9221882057215046,0.07848386451870104,0.1841811888738726,0.3124819055854711,1.1129545205409386,0.8447168115000266,0.0680146296920589,0.06321342567623878,0.10208649145939318,0.9158453373768006 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.442386481981668,0.19821059825956877,-0.3396854513528874,0.24084833059395402,0.8737126185830824,1.0477825947756896,0.5835121800776056,3.0570891434262952,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.643818215783136,0.08147910310863497,0.728253744802339,0.37156650068183905,-0.07509680219166781,0.3345565571231319,0.643818215783136,0.08565130452545137,0.20395809716431185,0.08147910310863497,0.728253744802339,0.37156650068183905,0.07235713038670487,0.0664783117810241,0.09978501640281741,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07509680219166781,-0.07594645496874775,-0.1386583151165599,0.16175607577383272,-0.4033323389378939,-0.5589248860033426,-0.5477237690715131,3.490616343490305,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.329114126266216,1.1251851211137358,0.45309671603972024,0.3030998538008564,-0.07509680219166781,0.3345565571231319,0.329114126266216,0.047954144397812044,0.24769151879989304,1.1251851211137358,0.45309671603972024,0.3030998538008564,0.07235713038670487,0.0664783117810241,0.09978501640281741,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5505711395789419,0.3345565571231319,-0.30780616029397057,0.2596076598590355,1.2461782738505338,1.6858349795513081,1.0869066324196155,3.421329113924051,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9247886345902088,0.296043201549909,1.1084991607743262,0.8554627035590812,-0.07509680219166781,0.3345565571231319,0.9247886345902088,0.07475875520780051,0.1841882130912277,0.296043201549909,1.1084991607743262,0.8554627035590812,0.07235713038670487,0.0664783117810241,0.09978501640281741,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.7224504477125873,0.20712674059330127,-0.3289137167577022,0.2405262252761029,0.905448337397402,1.0914511526051363,0.6297297134186818,3.2644521912350606,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6450474192017366,0.11794433766766182,0.7388940710363736,0.35490567092634506,-0.08023425932404293,0.37239189613749657,0.6450474192017366,0.09276491298569972,0.20323288489140387,0.11794433766766182,0.7388940710363736,0.35490567092634506,0.0737006651152425,0.06532467667412081,0.12881100309754473,0.9166034874905231 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08023425932404293,-0.08113944948527418,-0.1386583151165599,0.16311380225331598,-0.43288793773288553,-0.6023880051110353,-0.5851755043833194,3.470380886426593,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3315546569150765,1.1040637003060072,0.4531937991076798,0.31148700853090444,-0.08023425932404293,0.37239189613749657,0.3315546569150765,0.04342500006921078,0.24756748221140942,1.1040637003060072,0.4531937991076798,0.31148700853090444,0.0737006651152425,0.06532467667412081,0.12881100309754473,0.9166034874905231 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7927216834946083,0.37239189613749657,-0.3001195051747907,0.2594634818855461,1.3548830113330843,1.8461217817067452,1.240812042258347,3.5877721518987356,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9229696186163757,0.4477469069253585,1.1727403063376993,0.808676621321876,-0.08023425932404293,0.37239189613749657,0.9229696186163757,0.10327329009940076,0.1843740408721402,0.4477469069253585,1.1727403063376993,0.808676621321876,0.0737006651152425,0.06532467667412081,0.12881100309754473,0.9166034874905231 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3330544572558223,0.19459530681008097,-0.3396854513528871,0.24107692602493888,0.8605205766616724,1.0358201465278267,0.5728691235819896,3.203819721115538,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6447271327716785,0.06686026982577713,0.7219310624400025,0.375503172232471,-0.08136221949468958,0.3387429578712571,0.6447271327716785,0.08249457357479889,0.2039739394176116,0.06686026982577713,0.7219310624400025,0.375503172232471,0.0680146296920589,0.06321342567623878,0.10208649145939318,0.9158453373768006 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08136221949468958,-0.08227955757755478,-0.1386583151165599,0.16310917123976357,-0.440456057239655,-0.6126782038850559,-0.5933979329576331,3.490616343490305,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3316405078864519,1.0992576470030608,0.4531937991076798,0.3134822228922611,-0.08136221949468958,0.3387429578712571,0.3316405078864519,0.0422221026846238,0.24752872653368624,1.0992576470030608,0.4531937991076798,0.3134822228922611,0.0680146296920589,0.06321342567623878,0.10208649145939318,0.9158453373768006 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.576620524679568,0.3387429578712571,-0.3001195051747906,0.25920773733032637,1.259773529084104,1.7183026353904172,1.1286935771601119,3.513797468354431,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9221882057215046,0.3124819055854711,1.1129545205409386,0.8447168115000266,-0.08136221949468958,0.3387429578712571,0.9221882057215046,0.07848386451870104,0.1841811888738726,0.3124819055854711,1.1129545205409386,0.8447168115000266,0.0680146296920589,0.06321342567623878,0.10208649145939318,0.9158453373768006 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.442386481981668,0.19821059825956877,-0.3396854513528874,0.24084833059395402,0.8737126185830824,1.0477825947756896,0.5835121800776056,3.0570891434262952,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.643818215783136,0.08147910310863497,0.728253744802339,0.37156650068183905,-0.07509680219166781,0.3345565571231319,0.643818215783136,0.08565130452545137,0.20395809716431185,0.08147910310863497,0.728253744802339,0.37156650068183905,0.07235713038670487,0.0664783117810241,0.09978501640281741,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07509680219166781,-0.07594645496874775,-0.1386583151165599,0.16175607577383272,-0.4033323389378939,-0.5589248860033426,-0.5477237690715131,3.490616343490305,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.329114126266216,1.1251851211137358,0.45309671603972024,0.3030998538008564,-0.07509680219166781,0.3345565571231319,0.329114126266216,0.047954144397812044,0.24769151879989304,1.1251851211137358,0.45309671603972024,0.3030998538008564,0.07235713038670487,0.0664783117810241,0.09978501640281741,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5505711395789419,0.3345565571231319,-0.30780616029397057,0.2596076598590355,1.2461782738505338,1.6858349795513081,1.0869066324196155,3.421329113924051,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9247886345902088,0.296043201549909,1.1084991607743262,0.8554627035590812,-0.07509680219166781,0.3345565571231319,0.9247886345902088,0.07475875520780051,0.1841882130912277,0.296043201549909,1.1084991607743262,0.8554627035590812,0.07235713038670487,0.0664783117810241,0.09978501640281741,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.5165331824986437,0.20061817680741867,-0.3498496406018272,0.24351158583184118,0.8751113757208232,1.0475535514809422,0.5734411402061359,3.245049800796813,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6538376995897875,0.0943915333750325,0.732564126298288,0.366600108636073,-0.08026638638148031,0.35883828803539486,0.6538376995897875,0.08637692254173848,0.2043176481594016,0.0943915333750325,0.732564126298288,0.366600108636073,0.06764903881612258,0.06422725746955626,0.11610409052969124,0.9150871872630781 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08026638638148031,-0.08117192277299357,-0.1386583151165599,0.16311331150523167,-0.43310466977535966,-0.6026877867179434,-0.5854097008517539,3.5412049861495842,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3315509052449478,1.1039162464745789,0.4531937991076798,0.311538562033946,-0.08026638638148031,0.35883828803539486,0.3315509052449478,0.04338857027655034,0.24756871901860597,1.1039162464745789,0.4531937991076798,0.311538562033946,0.06764903881612258,0.06422725746955626,0.11610409052969124,0.9150871872630781 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7042279443194897,0.35883828803539486,-0.3001195051747906,0.2623711670607281,1.3047929952896864,1.7686507635226814,1.1956513383773784,3.6093481012658244,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9335267625940928,0.39388269316625274,1.1474888337962699,0.8157159593956429,-0.08026638638148031,0.35883828803539486,0.9335267625940928,0.09123092378339688,0.186223728712123,0.39388269316625274,1.1474888337962699,0.8157159593956429,0.06764903881612258,0.06422725746955626,0.11610409052969124,0.9150871872630781 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.2286796647010894,0.1910683547200569,-0.32804616217874405,0.24220304422707564,0.8453549026229347,1.0225659152105948,0.5824434995704921,3.186842629482072,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.650582941781389,0.05368305125787477,0.7127042005464702,0.37372049524776546,-0.08136221949468958,0.3275269338239468,0.650582941781389,0.07865551184147061,0.20367001940931048,0.05368305125787477,0.7127042005464702,0.37372049524776546,0.06474559499304672,0.059176901809659066,0.09100011185863646,0.9143290371493555 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08136221949468958,-0.08227955757755478,-0.1386583151165599,0.16310917123976357,-0.440456057239655,-0.6126782038850559,-0.5933979329576331,3.490616343490305,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3316405078864519,1.0992576470030608,0.4531937991076798,0.3134822228922611,-0.08136221949468958,0.3275269338239468,0.3316405078864519,0.0422221026846238,0.24752872653368624,1.0992576470030608,0.4531937991076798,0.3134822228922611,0.06474559499304672,0.059176901809659066,0.09100011185863646,0.9143290371493555 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.507240851891313,0.3275269338239468,-0.3001195051747907,0.2618323436560712,1.2175154566184647,1.65205242589941,1.0913217174378385,3.513797468354431,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.9325017971840377,0.2681753055046883,1.085547644815395,0.8305221071856589,-0.08136221949468958,0.3275269338239468,0.9325017971840377,0.06795149347722132,0.1856814079132592,0.2681753055046883,1.085547644815395,0.8305221071856589,0.06474559499304672,0.059176901809659066,0.09100011185863646,0.9143290371493555 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.354292625978628,0.1953038161390368,-0.3280461621787438,0.24228018574496685,0.8598743282913953,1.0372099771141663,0.5953546746040602,3.0486005976095623,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.6507122139935826,0.0712557111356042,0.7218074475372567,0.37267189103337023,-0.08129350883108832,0.32337560685244715,0.6507122139935826,0.08221343819771489,0.20372555362230943,0.0712557111356042,0.7218074475372567,0.37267189103337023,0.06978576533864081,0.06469280721920322,0.0886986368020607,0.9287338893100834 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08129350883108832,-0.08221010738404888,-0.13620301462143447,0.16341384066329587,-0.4388673632998862,-0.6038031773177496,-0.603585079321081,3.4197922437673127,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33194371300859804,1.0994319750560282,0.4530002763306187,0.3149348247144494,-0.08129350883108832,0.32337560685244715,0.33194371300859804,0.042451808220866874,0.2476035559785286,1.0994319750560282,0.4530002763306187,0.3149348247144494,0.06978576533864081,0.06469280721920322,0.0886986368020607,0.9287338893100834 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4818928885939022,0.32337560685244715,-0.3078061602939709,0.26222790823123926,1.2041407300722486,1.6208556961625744,1.0505819849206612,3.421329113924051,12.329113924050633,12.0,0.935102226052742,0.2518718469271479,1.0810922850487825,0.8412679992447133,-0.08129350883108832,0.32337560685244715,0.935102226052742,0.06422638416632076,0.18568787374710177,0.2518718469271479,1.0810922850487825,0.8412679992447133,0.06978576533864081,0.06469280721920322,0.0886986368020607,0.9287338893100834 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.34220985026497,0.22531298747301887,-0.36857871561831357,0.2721044547521774,0.8855560059926452,1.0610033762564457,0.6113022210060134,3.7264716135458165,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7198745536246457,0.21310098416832512,0.8222127309583797,0.4079304142763902,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.7198745536246457,0.101442037416082,0.22125581245549875,0.21310098416832512,0.8222127309583797,0.4079304142763902,0.08090157643837709,0.07221038801657848,0.1390218449251132,0.9128127369219106 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09231362836283519,-0.09334805126691026,-0.15711833341206438,0.16837008787384872,-0.49297132337388094,-0.6723355164602971,-0.594125772847222,3.6626177285318557,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33906656264141416,1.0523319214936977,0.4531937991076798,0.33088258329034875,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.33906656264141416,0.03361701937506973,0.247962299340734,1.0523319214936977,0.4531937991076798,0.33088258329034875,0.08090157643837709,0.07221038801657848,0.1390218449251132,0.9128127369219106 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.037260668958375,0.40836235828365175,-0.32992913722670747,0.2941701532102519,1.3162728425904826,1.791107403977896,1.2377274760157049,4.148746835443038,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0319690710665212,0.559654669323121,1.3105342310496013,0.9576874039172671,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,1.0319690710665212,0.10961907395860881,0.21123459358266578,0.559654669323121,1.3105342310496013,0.9576874039172671,0.08090157643837709,0.07221038801657848,0.1390218449251132,0.9128127369219106 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.832172332490414,0.21049357594282658,-0.38013419941113513,0.27274281180828996,0.839376516179911,1.004169992881757,0.5537349080111751,3.6597758964143425,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7195490033627302,0.1581098998670091,0.801958523854506,0.4311894284777262,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.7195490033627302,0.08947531060850435,0.2221240317170551,0.1581098998670091,0.801958523854506,0.4311894284777262,0.07422195423664801,0.06845168165576636,0.10818442002684021,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09343128844019188,-0.09447757249234512,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836510389067874,-0.5003356871472027,-0.6822547847009102,-0.6013147571045376,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3391518776599141,1.0475054136895807,0.4531937991076798,0.3328843754157002,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.3391518776599141,0.03240891773438843,0.2479234900538522,1.0475054136895807,0.4531937991076798,0.3328843754157002,0.07422195423664801,0.06845168165576636,0.10818442002684021,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7676395122915225,0.3685808747558319,-0.32992913722670736,0.29386268817783495,1.2193980973015865,1.660806813565856,1.1171516339963796,4.068607594936709,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0309635254031828,0.4234519872661942,1.2407649884548502,0.9990429169178948,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,1.0309635254031828,0.08101697450303891,0.21099404033636177,0.4234519872661942,1.2407649884548502,0.9990429169178948,0.07422195423664801,0.06845168165576636,0.10818442002684021,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.9670425431558147,0.21454124514964645,-0.3801341994111349,0.27251016536111555,0.8521758718293271,1.0156837695537988,0.5643829086727578,3.4912176294820716,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.718593390093267,0.17296473228275513,0.8092159995596929,0.42713838614687444,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.718593390093267,0.09295319830601068,0.2220839154091354,0.17296473228275513,0.8092159995596929,0.42713838614687444,0.07898636325442293,0.07237847892770123,0.10555530057263415,0.9203942380591357 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08724818622915353,-0.0882286472391981,-0.15711833341206416,0.16705652923066855,-0.4647415112697141,-0.6311864906000517,-0.5615426622926715,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3366254960396782,1.0734210479568875,0.45309671603972024,0.3225020063242956,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.3366254960396782,0.038140959447576714,0.24808733218313,1.0734210479568875,0.45309671603972024,0.3225020063242956,0.07898636325442293,0.07237847892770123,0.10555530057263415,0.9203942380591357 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7354952205309293,0.36366173320859696,-0.33840415007815017,0.2943235571601229,1.2057439725791195,1.628683882367375,1.0746373326822791,3.9607278481012664,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0339356401409163,0.40690027291569875,1.2356284465494982,1.010842026570344,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,1.0339356401409163,0.07676075828339607,0.2110814457512861,0.40690027291569875,1.2356284465494982,1.010842026570344,0.07898636325442293,0.07237847892770123,0.10555530057263415,0.9203942380591357 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.34220985026497,0.22531298747301887,-0.36857871561831357,0.2721044547521774,0.8855560059926452,1.0610033762564457,0.6113022210060134,3.7264716135458165,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7198745536246457,0.21310098416832512,0.8222127309583797,0.4079304142763902,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.7198745536246457,0.101442037416082,0.22125581245549875,0.21310098416832512,0.8222127309583797,0.4079304142763902,0.08090157643837709,0.07221038801657848,0.1390218449251132,0.9128127369219106 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09231362836283519,-0.09334805126691026,-0.15711833341206438,0.16837008787384872,-0.49297132337388094,-0.6723355164602971,-0.594125772847222,3.6626177285318557,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33906656264141416,1.0523319214936977,0.4531937991076798,0.33088258329034875,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,0.33906656264141416,0.03361701937506973,0.247962299340734,1.0523319214936977,0.4531937991076798,0.33088258329034875,0.08090157643837709,0.07221038801657848,0.1390218449251132,0.9128127369219106 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.037260668958375,0.40836235828365175,-0.32992913722670747,0.2941701532102519,1.3162728425904826,1.791107403977896,1.2377274760157049,4.148746835443038,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0319690710665212,0.559654669323121,1.3105342310496013,0.9576874039172671,-0.09231362836283519,0.40836235828365175,1.0319690710665212,0.10961907395860881,0.21123459358266578,0.559654669323121,1.3105342310496013,0.9576874039172671,0.08090157643837709,0.07221038801657848,0.1390218449251132,0.9128127369219106 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.832172332490414,0.21049357594282658,-0.38013419941113513,0.27274281180828996,0.839376516179911,1.004169992881757,0.5537349080111751,3.6597758964143425,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7195490033627302,0.1581098998670091,0.801958523854506,0.4311894284777262,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.7195490033627302,0.08947531060850435,0.2221240317170551,0.1581098998670091,0.801958523854506,0.4311894284777262,0.07422195423664801,0.06845168165576636,0.10818442002684021,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09343128844019188,-0.09447757249234512,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836510389067874,-0.5003356871472027,-0.6822547847009102,-0.6013147571045376,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3391518776599141,1.0475054136895807,0.4531937991076798,0.3328843754157002,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,0.3391518776599141,0.03240891773438843,0.2479234900538522,1.0475054136895807,0.4531937991076798,0.3328843754157002,0.07422195423664801,0.06845168165576636,0.10818442002684021,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7676395122915225,0.3685808747558319,-0.32992913722670736,0.29386268817783495,1.2193980973015865,1.660806813565856,1.1171516339963796,4.068607594936709,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0309635254031828,0.4234519872661942,1.2407649884548502,0.9990429169178948,-0.09343128844019188,0.3685808747558319,1.0309635254031828,0.08101697450303891,0.21099404033636177,0.4234519872661942,1.2407649884548502,0.9990429169178948,0.07422195423664801,0.06845168165576636,0.10818442002684021,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.9670425431558147,0.21454124514964645,-0.3801341994111349,0.27251016536111555,0.8521758718293271,1.0156837695537988,0.5643829086727578,3.4912176294820716,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.718593390093267,0.17296473228275513,0.8092159995596929,0.42713838614687444,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.718593390093267,0.09295319830601068,0.2220839154091354,0.17296473228275513,0.8092159995596929,0.42713838614687444,0.07898636325442293,0.07237847892770123,0.10555530057263415,0.9203942380591357 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.08724818622915353,-0.0882286472391981,-0.15711833341206416,0.16705652923066855,-0.4647415112697141,-0.6311864906000517,-0.5615426622926715,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3366254960396782,1.0734210479568875,0.45309671603972024,0.3225020063242956,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,0.3366254960396782,0.038140959447576714,0.24808733218313,1.0734210479568875,0.45309671603972024,0.3225020063242956,0.07898636325442293,0.07237847892770123,0.10555530057263415,0.9203942380591357 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7354952205309293,0.36366173320859696,-0.33840415007815017,0.2943235571601229,1.2057439725791195,1.628683882367375,1.0746373326822791,3.9607278481012664,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0339356401409163,0.40690027291569875,1.2356284465494982,1.010842026570344,-0.08724818622915353,0.36366173320859696,1.0339356401409163,0.07676075828339607,0.2110814457512861,0.40690027291569875,1.2356284465494982,1.010842026570344,0.07898636325442293,0.07237847892770123,0.10555530057263415,0.9203942380591357 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.071723056195159,0.2176168327018122,-0.3918340849053571,0.2755502841826421,0.8550550746010106,1.0172328318116817,0.555380047538169,3.703431274900398,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7299202592979789,0.1874933815014175,0.8150807708102086,0.4213625360773271,-0.0923498523893247,0.39230438531849865,0.7299202592979789,0.09414197462836918,0.22292395436842202,0.1874933815014175,0.8150807708102086,0.4213625360773271,0.0739860185375947,0.07116230112710419,0.12449965913328051,0.9075056861258529 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0923498523893247,-0.09338465997710121,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836946472577605,-0.49321166717223985,-0.672660818112512,-0.5943587737287619,3.7435595567867037,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33906227501841,1.0521642056398564,0.4531937991076798,0.3309407145573851,-0.0923498523893247,0.39230438531849865,0.33906227501841,0.033575385326314953,0.24796365639716778,1.0521642056398564,0.4531937991076798,0.3309407145573851,0.0739860185375947,0.07116230112710419,0.12449965913328051,0.9075056861258529 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9263379545946044,0.39230438531849865,-0.32992913722670747,0.29751800997764904,1.266111330694877,1.7136331825480222,1.1890565004840135,4.173405063291139,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0440343784696269,0.5040791704263974,1.2814996940109324,0.9664987655384826,-0.0923498523893247,0.39230438531849865,1.0440343784696269,0.0958563695974614,0.21365922792874736,0.5040791704263974,1.2814996940109324,0.9664987655384826,0.0739860185375947,0.07116230112710419,0.12449965913328051,0.9075056861258529 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.697829694699638,0.2063618153582869,-0.36758448648772013,0.2740424305524861,0.8241186691168968,0.9907381702381941,0.5613996861784885,3.6403735059760955,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7262413565166853,0.1442742708890254,0.7914066704544727,0.42949241693116336,-0.09343128844019188,0.35533203190232054,0.7262413565166853,0.08508781148470063,0.2220047980502071,0.1442742708890254,0.7914066704544727,0.42949241693116336,0.0704859145806341,0.06381813182399078,0.09551427191168968,0.9112964366944655 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09343128844019188,-0.09447757249234512,-0.15711833341206416,0.16836510389067874,-0.5003356871472027,-0.6822547847009102,-0.6013147571045376,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3391518776599141,1.0475054136895807,0.4531937991076798,0.3328843754157002,-0.09343128844019188,0.35533203190232054,0.3391518776599141,0.03240891773438843,0.2479234900538522,1.0475054136895807,0.4531937991076798,0.3328843754157002,0.0704859145806341,0.06381813182399078,0.09551427191168968,0.9112964366944655 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6816549448452847,0.35533203190232054,-0.32992913722670736,0.2968843547837001,1.1771222487226136,1.5946726367109256,1.0769950022878938,4.068607594936709,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0427504870746493,0.37781358598382775,1.209247814730728,0.9834080083662577,-0.09343128844019188,0.35533203190232054,1.0427504870746493,0.06897997902706202,0.2130135737542555,0.37781358598382775,1.209247814730728,0.9834080083662577,0.0704859145806341,0.06381813182399078,0.09551427191168968,0.9112964366944655 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8604206364727576,0.21134949928567925,-0.36758448648772013,0.2741543236004508,0.8390132345506768,1.0058510627387167,0.5749684958283455,3.481516434262948,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7264402548397126,0.16301907513129107,0.8018512439611237,0.4277889275985288,-0.09280763052882934,0.3504605111676633,0.7264402548397126,0.08922488488605175,0.2220918196535769,0.16301907513129107,0.8018512439611237,0.4277889275985288,0.07636037154043666,0.07043727572718587,0.09288515245748355,0.9249431387414708 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09280763052882934,-0.09384729804265557,-0.15439453111635937,0.1690506736702366,-0.49353117446488204,-0.6649420061932465,-0.6078408177031063,3.612029085872576,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.33974614445713036,1.0498315289921962,0.4530002763306187,0.3335266114459825,-0.09280763052882934,0.3504605111676633,0.33974614445713036,0.03342060244206364,0.24814313844098976,1.0498315289921962,0.4530002763306187,0.3335266114459825,0.07636037154043666,0.07043727572718587,0.09288515245748355,0.9249431387414708 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6505093066342713,0.3504605111676633,-0.33840415007814995,0.2973401312733726,1.1636923345450214,1.563833988582849,1.0356271076661712,3.960727848101266,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0457226018123826,0.36143982230061805,1.204111272825376,0.9952071180187069,-0.09280763052882934,0.3504605111676633,1.0457226018123826,0.06472376280741927,0.2130995801042281,0.36143982230061805,1.204111272825376,0.9952071180187069,0.07636037154043666,0.07043727572718587,0.09288515245748355,0.9249431387414708 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.5551084176684125,0.23113335077038255,-0.3814170963207695,0.28269499709303425,0.8797123797116321,1.0520071344738402,0.6059858171013939,3.880478087649402,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7448169317656156,0.2406860226988093,0.8500480932991772,0.4259839433503502,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.7448169317656156,0.10433441222620937,0.2279998864663696,0.2406860226988093,0.8500480932991772,0.4259839433503502,0.0833018802127553,0.07456842798123216,0.14242545886763597,0.9120545868081881 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09632843834160154,-0.09740539197181397,-0.16319946588171752,0.17023774275623552,-0.5118263796610582,-0.6929943140073543,-0.5968487178898656,3.726696675900277,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3415705312168601,1.0346914541918795,0.4531937991076798,0.33732959496767734,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.3415705312168601,0.030347692477022712,0.24819775920828202,1.0346914541918795,0.4531937991076798,0.33732959496767734,0.0833018802127553,0.07456842798123216,0.14242545886763597,0.9120545868081881 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1205190313026354,0.4201508366927038,-0.3396845287814597,0.3057947146000184,1.305113108297018,1.775047870702285,1.2368854071744113,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0683022218832363,0.5893799462648546,1.3566198739749271,1.0079933216016654,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,1.0683022218832363,0.11173433524501146,0.22075222298747307,0.5893799462648546,1.3566198739749271,1.0079933216016654,0.0833018802127553,0.07456842798123216,0.14242545886763597,0.9120545868081881 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.000822959041916,0.21553991168180886,-0.3931999645535218,0.28336239719672895,0.8331898143616192,0.9948649112674499,0.5481686956064562,3.8117612881806107,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7444896268930811,0.18470598236329328,0.8286878712646286,0.45011672245820433,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.7444896268930811,0.09180222295307278,0.228908451153085,0.18470598236329328,0.8286878712646286,0.45011672245820433,0.07629106241817772,0.07016809566396108,0.11021706288265591,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416556675844016,1.02986004330419,0.4531937991076798,0.33933353681790324,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.3416556675844016,0.029137856084309993,0.24815894533070829,1.02986004330419,0.4531937991076798,0.33933353681790324,0.07629106241817772,0.07016809566396108,0.11021706288265591,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.831764078166497,0.3782772172500717,-0.33968452878145905,0.3054702899984416,1.207754514425436,1.6440954616989836,1.1136133241247552,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0672219652970758,0.45326673480259444,1.283490801263789,1.0511285260235443,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,1.0672219652970758,0.08186134449781811,0.22049569700226623,0.45326673480259444,1.283490801263789,1.0511285260235443,0.07629106241817772,0.07016809566396108,0.11021706288265591,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.144875409491048,0.21973315809426208,-0.3931999645535218,0.28312780471016513,0.8458772721936623,1.0062558004863733,0.558833107586286,3.635927124833997,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7435184481966439,0.1995867873521112,0.8362585984713353,0.4460201965136882,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.7435184481966439,0.09538716289953042,0.22886020142162317,0.1995867873521112,0.8362585984713353,0.4460201965136882,0.08119610754366233,0.07444288423775362,0.10747872862923981,0.9196360879454132 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09128690877788526,-0.09231042120809396,-0.16319946588171763,0.1689391774229664,-0.4840222436091811,-0.6526335045133197,-0.5656294321146734,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3391292859641656,1.0557615544419447,0.45309671603972024,0.32895116772649863,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.3391292859641656,0.03486989779749822,0.2483230679940814,1.0557615544419447,0.45309671603972024,0.32895116772649863,0.08119610754366233,0.07444288423775362,0.10747872862923981,0.9196360879454132 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7974431834536868,0.3731066369105571,-0.3484066593279047,0.3059513969685625,1.19408725868809,1.6120726955669458,1.0708941029723715,4.140527426160338,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0703179753244854,0.43671235857250457,1.2781247784610588,1.0632502281126943,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,1.0703179753244854,0.07742809264192797,0.2206095290334259,0.43671235857250457,1.2781247784610588,1.0632502281126943,0.08119610754366233,0.07444288423775362,0.10747872862923981,0.9196360879454132 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.5551084176684125,0.23113335077038255,-0.3814170963207695,0.28269499709303425,0.8797123797116321,1.0520071344738402,0.6059858171013939,3.880478087649402,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7448169317656156,0.2406860226988093,0.8500480932991772,0.4259839433503502,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.7448169317656156,0.10433441222620937,0.2279998864663696,0.2406860226988093,0.8500480932991772,0.4259839433503502,0.0833018802127553,0.07456842798123216,0.14242545886763597,0.9120545868081881 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09632843834160154,-0.09740539197181397,-0.16319946588171752,0.17023774275623552,-0.5118263796610582,-0.6929943140073543,-0.5968487178898656,3.726696675900277,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3415705312168601,1.0346914541918795,0.4531937991076798,0.33732959496767734,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,0.3415705312168601,0.030347692477022712,0.24819775920828202,1.0346914541918795,0.4531937991076798,0.33732959496767734,0.0833018802127553,0.07456842798123216,0.14242545886763597,0.9120545868081881 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.1205190313026354,0.4201508366927038,-0.3396845287814597,0.3057947146000184,1.305113108297018,1.775047870702285,1.2368854071744113,4.335738396624473,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0683022218832363,0.5893799462648546,1.3566198739749271,1.0079933216016654,-0.09632843834160154,0.4201508366927038,1.0683022218832363,0.11173433524501146,0.22075222298747307,0.5893799462648546,1.3566198739749271,1.0079933216016654,0.0833018802127553,0.07456842798123216,0.14242545886763597,0.9120545868081881 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.000822959041916,0.21553991168180886,-0.3931999645535218,0.28336239719672895,0.8331898143616192,0.9948649112674499,0.5481686956064562,3.8117612881806107,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7444896268930811,0.18470598236329328,0.8286878712646286,0.45011672245820433,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.7444896268930811,0.09180222295307278,0.228908451153085,0.18470598236329328,0.8286878712646286,0.45011672245820433,0.07629106241817772,0.07016809566396108,0.11021706288265591,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416556675844016,1.02986004330419,0.4531937991076798,0.33933353681790324,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,0.3416556675844016,0.029137856084309993,0.24815894533070829,1.02986004330419,0.4531937991076798,0.33933353681790324,0.07629106241817772,0.07016809566396108,0.11021706288265591,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.831764078166497,0.3782772172500717,-0.33968452878145905,0.3054702899984416,1.207754514425436,1.6440954616989836,1.1136133241247552,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0672219652970758,0.45326673480259444,1.283490801263789,1.0511285260235443,-0.09744265214510184,0.3782772172500717,1.0672219652970758,0.08186134449781811,0.22049569700226623,0.45326673480259444,1.283490801263789,1.0511285260235443,0.07629106241817772,0.07016809566396108,0.11021706288265591,0.909021986353298 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.144875409491048,0.21973315809426208,-0.3931999645535218,0.28312780471016513,0.8458772721936623,1.0062558004863733,0.558833107586286,3.635927124833997,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7435184481966439,0.1995867873521112,0.8362585984713353,0.4460201965136882,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.7435184481966439,0.09538716289953042,0.22886020142162317,0.1995867873521112,0.8362585984713353,0.4460201965136882,0.08119610754366233,0.07444288423775362,0.10747872862923981,0.9196360879454132 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09128690877788526,-0.09231042120809396,-0.16319946588171763,0.1689391774229664,-0.4840222436091811,-0.6526335045133197,-0.5656294321146734,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3391292859641656,1.0557615544419447,0.45309671603972024,0.32895116772649863,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,0.3391292859641656,0.03486989779749822,0.2483230679940814,1.0557615544419447,0.45309671603972024,0.32895116772649863,0.08119610754366233,0.07444288423775362,0.10747872862923981,0.9196360879454132 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7974431834536868,0.3731066369105571,-0.3484066593279047,0.3059513969685625,1.19408725868809,1.6120726955669458,1.0708941029723715,4.140527426160338,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0703179753244854,0.43671235857250457,1.2781247784610588,1.0632502281126943,-0.09128690877788526,0.3731066369105571,1.0703179753244854,0.07742809264192797,0.2206095290334259,0.43671235857250457,1.2781247784610588,1.0632502281126943,0.08119610754366233,0.07444288423775362,0.10747872862923981,0.9196360879454132 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.260587997147608,0.223027380918551,-0.4054011201786337,0.2862936351284246,0.8491781709642814,1.008306625529337,0.550140021370137,3.8562250996015934,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7552811125340427,0.21447607733613958,0.8426548989963867,0.4399936308307457,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.7552811125340427,0.09673032532391268,0.22986434325674898,0.21447607733613958,0.8426548989963867,0.4399936308307457,0.07609834511141875,0.0732054633076433,0.12729818200114354,0.9044730856709629 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09636600120678895,-0.09744335175711938,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023707335985044,-0.512074124075472,-0.6933270246788934,-0.5970813153747916,3.8110110803324098,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.34156606494289743,1.0345171003616047,0.4531937991076798,0.3373898759595882,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,0.34156606494289743,0.030304323676236512,0.24819915267066212,1.0345171003616047,0.4531937991076798,0.3373898759595882,0.07609834511141875,0.0732054633076433,0.12729818200114354,0.9044730856709629 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.001476442232139,0.40322696305547456,-0.33968452878145916,0.30928873937388457,1.2549477612024502,1.6976200375232968,1.1870630802702713,4.361424050632911,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0808702504281382,0.5334466167872696,1.326315506163144,1.0174366998340825,-0.09636600120678895,0.40322696305547456,1.0808702504281382,0.09739818486881625,0.22336153261175315,0.5334466167872696,1.326315506163144,1.0174366998340825,0.07609834511141875,0.0732054633076433,0.12729818200114354,0.9044730856709629 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8555333303387593,0.21120172721553088,-0.38038083852453053,0.2847195906665049,0.8179116396485793,0.9813922909706803,0.5552375562206733,3.7915504648074365,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7514608280951175,0.17068245721844244,0.8176944970755552,0.4484671956628734,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.7514608280951175,0.08723191136577726,0.22885517998024899,0.17068245721844244,0.8176944970755552,0.4484671956628734,0.07239935444316321,0.06521849626140519,0.09701899192937402,0.9075056861258529 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09744265214510184,-0.09853137157438485,-0.16319946588171763,0.17023264503844956,-0.519120676027871,-0.7027973864736314,-0.603748125289807,3.76042243767313,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3416556675844016,1.02986004330419,0.4531937991076798,0.33933353681790324,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,0.3416556675844016,0.029137856084309993,0.24815894533070829,1.02986004330419,0.4531937991076798,0.33933353681790324,0.07239935444316321,0.06521849626140519,0.09701899192937402,0.9075056861258529 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7398328061500088,0.3643278533754637,-0.33968452878145927,0.3086238040993679,1.1654877529179664,1.5780346755447818,1.072547680291495,4.253544303797469,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0795000503715195,0.40734019946692523,1.2505937898760424,1.0350460056531208,-0.09744265214510184,0.3643278533754637,1.0795000503715195,0.06932280754367574,0.2226824332713732,0.40734019946692523,1.2505937898760424,1.0350460056531208,0.07239935444316321,0.06521849626140519,0.09701899192937402,0.9075056861258529 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.031523549585775,0.21644239921246444,-0.38038083852453075,0.2848425762760288,0.8329114284455121,0.9966362962172336,0.5690149904817198,3.6258217131474098,10.428784860557768,10.322082931533268,0.7516829351217561,0.18971040305587408,0.8285882305376804,0.44654200607652983,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.7516829351217561,0.09156203378216403,0.22895283343770473,0.18971040305587408,0.8285882305376804,0.44654200607652983,0.07855190694103531,0.07253123266353263,0.09428065767595803,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.09663901839177425,-0.09771925330791287,-0.16039030867976445,0.17105070932666286,-0.5105895394704758,-0.6828268625671094,-0.6092590887334676,3.676108033240997,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3423469549399744,1.0328820483017325,0.4530002763306187,0.33971362567748803,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,0.3423469549399744,0.030410200515795877,0.24843452887934997,1.0328820483017325,0.4530002763306187,0.33971362567748803,0.07855190694103531,0.07253123266353263,0.09428065767595803,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,12,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7066261156648674,0.3592096038048924,-0.34840665932790515,0.3090995758277691,1.1520456024976953,1.547298823310169,1.0310067106576744,4.140527426160338,12.329113924050633,12.0,1.0825960603989297,0.3909747687454374,1.245227767073312,1.047167707742271,-0.09663901839177425,0.3592096038048924,1.0825960603989297,0.06488955568778543,0.22279455576012897,0.3909747687454374,1.245227767073312,1.047167707742271,0.07855190694103531,0.07253123266353263,0.09428065767595803,0.9241849886277483 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221862975484716,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221862975484716,0.08401729158241573,0.21393959541564928,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143938185176993,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143938185176993,0.06038981419335993,0.20315448406930173,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233601995736441,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233601995736441,0.07859727088236651,0.21446861873417433,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162395503765773,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162395503765773,0.04956435911296512,0.20387509339879006,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221862975484716,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221862975484716,0.08401729158241573,0.21393959541564928,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143938185176993,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143938185176993,0.06038981419335993,0.20315448406930173,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233601995736441,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233601995736441,0.07859727088236651,0.21446861873417433,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162395503765773,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162395503765773,0.04956435911296512,0.20387509339879006,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.6252529658826367,0.2040863011893883,-0.36280848330171056,0.266126699877393,0.8334778186213053,0.9959040468933249,0.562517996635902,3.722833665338645,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7187877207804992,0.13073381099744855,0.7872275456905868,0.44581254887669325,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.7187877207804992,0.08249964785882274,0.21415116947311516,0.13073381099744855,0.7872275456905868,0.44581254887669325,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5428810343635702,0.33331502733667606,-0.2991348287054614,0.28859384595151016,1.1455049838453952,1.5592396156680766,1.114263520497206,4.238132911392405,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.022234747663441,0.30006698487701594,1.1438482522372566,0.9590218421402749,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,1.022234747663441,0.05561501232005411,0.2052739381494603,0.30006698487701594,1.1438482522372566,0.9590218421402749,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3972384523964685,0.19672726685660047,-0.37302695578168865,0.26872312219906874,0.8052254400176976,0.9509899523744517,0.5273808334959409,3.5485153137450194,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7255437589454561,0.10468437212783457,0.770327092665408,0.44515314163570413,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7255437589454561,0.07576222675974771,0.21558892775513228,0.10468437212783457,0.770327092665408,0.44515314163570413,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.513787867077201,0.32859444063973053,-0.2995329938075525,0.2889637368914631,1.1320854404206662,1.5368379543131303,1.0970225231710193,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.023349949067118,0.28281871614569404,1.1168023930295266,0.9035904577779575,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,1.023349949067118,0.05186098506511385,0.20558003722849902,0.28281871614569404,1.1168023930295266,0.9035904577779575,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,3.456050796812749,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7266069354327255,0.08626627676941998,0.7564926939152407,0.4389857135181579,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7266069354327255,0.07157927295952322,0.2155175442840303,0.08626627676941998,0.7564926939152407,0.4389857135181579,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4631881848224246,0.3202934250579852,-0.2995329938075524,0.2888099383188728,1.110764181927043,1.4994140852508038,1.0693093304565013,3.9915506329113923,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0237664672665479,0.25238210369245095,1.0957754384992604,0.8875762751444606,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.0237664672665479,0.045417041460589565,0.20528388091285565,0.25238210369245095,1.0957754384992604,0.8875762751444606,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221862975484716,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221862975484716,0.08401729158241573,0.21393959541564928,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143938185176993,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143938185176993,0.06038981419335993,0.20315448406930173,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233601995736441,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233601995736441,0.07859727088236651,0.21446861873417433,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162395503765773,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162395503765773,0.04956435911296512,0.20387509339879006,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221862975484716,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221862975484716,0.08401729158241573,0.21393959541564928,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143938185176993,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143938185176993,0.06038981419335993,0.20315448406930173,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233601995736441,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233601995736441,0.07859727088236651,0.21446861873417433,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162395503765773,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162395503765773,0.04956435911296512,0.20387509339879006,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.6252529658826367,0.2040863011893883,-0.36280848330171056,0.266126699877393,0.8334778186213053,0.9959040468933249,0.562517996635902,3.722833665338645,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7187877207804992,0.13073381099744855,0.7872275456905868,0.44581254887669325,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.7187877207804992,0.08249964785882274,0.21415116947311516,0.13073381099744855,0.7872275456905868,0.44581254887669325,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5428810343635702,0.33331502733667606,-0.2991348287054614,0.28859384595151016,1.1455049838453952,1.5592396156680766,1.114263520497206,4.238132911392405,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.022234747663441,0.30006698487701594,1.1438482522372566,0.9590218421402749,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,1.022234747663441,0.05561501232005411,0.2052739381494603,0.30006698487701594,1.1438482522372566,0.9590218421402749,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3972384523964685,0.19672726685660047,-0.37302695578168865,0.26872312219906874,0.8052254400176976,0.9509899523744517,0.5273808334959409,3.5485153137450194,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7255437589454561,0.10468437212783457,0.770327092665408,0.44515314163570413,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7255437589454561,0.07576222675974771,0.21558892775513228,0.10468437212783457,0.770327092665408,0.44515314163570413,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.513787867077201,0.32859444063973053,-0.2995329938075525,0.2889637368914631,1.1320854404206662,1.5368379543131303,1.0970225231710193,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.023349949067118,0.28281871614569404,1.1168023930295266,0.9035904577779575,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,1.023349949067118,0.05186098506511385,0.20558003722849902,0.28281871614569404,1.1168023930295266,0.9035904577779575,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,3.456050796812749,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7266069354327255,0.08626627676941998,0.7564926939152407,0.4389857135181579,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7266069354327255,0.07157927295952322,0.2155175442840303,0.08626627676941998,0.7564926939152407,0.4389857135181579,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4631881848224246,0.3202934250579852,-0.2995329938075524,0.2888099383188728,1.110764181927043,1.4994140852508038,1.0693093304565013,3.9915506329113923,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0237664672665479,0.25238210369245095,1.0957754384992604,0.8875762751444606,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.0237664672665479,0.045417041460589565,0.20528388091285565,0.25238210369245095,1.0957754384992604,0.8875762751444606,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221862975484716,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221862975484716,0.08401729158241573,0.21393959541564928,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143938185176993,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143938185176993,0.06038981419335993,0.20315448406930173,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233601995736441,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233601995736441,0.07859727088236651,0.21446861873417433,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162395503765773,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162395503765773,0.04956435911296512,0.20387509339879006,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.702784382536155,0.2065160318099839,-0.37302695578168865,0.2666844761954289,0.8398952936331914,1.000371830314296,0.5536222747689202,3.712222983067729,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7221862975484716,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.7221862975484716,0.08401729158241573,0.21393959541564928,0.1410357610849767,0.8027991520716242,0.4610512854278891,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5711023713408063,0.3378585871561093,-0.2991348287054617,0.28601213900870753,1.1651650949017238,1.5933815509472893,1.1294525235266948,4.218868670886076,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0143938185176993,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,-0.12580421873774272,0.3378585871561093,1.0143938185176993,0.06038981419335993,0.20315448406930173,0.3163189049717401,1.176399194344022,1.0274894536217474,0.05874105905434919,0.06596237229731206,0.09649961159244044,0.8953752843062927 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.498913837184637,0.20004923178782663,-0.37255947451271276,0.26735965426977065,0.8183528471118234,0.9666106189663057,0.536959184971688,3.4408926792828685,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7233601995736441,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.7233601995736441,0.07859727088236651,0.21446861873417433,0.11647686102527954,0.7800397157973228,0.44638436401858905,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4848463538409145,0.32386081172621184,-0.2995329938075523,0.2867781124083876,1.1260356875330708,1.5229502974266103,1.0812191592298843,3.9530221518987343,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0162395503765773,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,-0.12425060808766375,0.32386081172621184,1.0162395503765773,0.04956435911296512,0.20387509339879006,0.2645376192151855,1.1283263806060255,0.9605916401705901,0.05690897089785746,0.06047101865888024,0.08489075044796864,0.9029567854435178 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.6252529658826367,0.2040863011893883,-0.36280848330171056,0.266126699877393,0.8334778186213053,0.9959040468933249,0.562517996635902,3.722833665338645,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7187877207804992,0.13073381099744855,0.7872275456905868,0.44581254887669325,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.7187877207804992,0.08249964785882274,0.21415116947311516,0.13073381099744855,0.7872275456905868,0.44581254887669325,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12580421873774272,-0.12718686329933093,-0.1721546131897076,0.16294955361440866,-0.7463846230053429,-0.9909792027070066,-0.738794395008027,3.8067953601108035,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33482069176354584,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,0.33482069176354584,-0.006464722700015032,0.24609675661230435,0.9033732499198777,0.4759252990584497,0.40012365456873483,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5428810343635702,0.33331502733667606,-0.2991348287054614,0.28859384595151016,1.1455049838453952,1.5592396156680766,1.114263520497206,4.238132911392405,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.022234747663441,0.30006698487701594,1.1438482522372566,0.9590218421402749,-0.12580421873774272,0.33331502733667606,1.022234747663441,0.05561501232005411,0.2052739381494603,0.30006698487701594,1.1438482522372566,0.9590218421402749,0.05522491267387996,0.06352220224059645,0.09155338540656983,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.3972384523964685,0.19672726685660047,-0.37302695578168865,0.26872312219906874,0.8052254400176976,0.9509899523744517,0.5273808334959409,3.5485153137450194,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7255437589454561,0.10468437212783457,0.770327092665408,0.44515314163570413,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.7255437589454561,0.07576222675974771,0.21558892775513228,0.10468437212783457,0.770327092665408,0.44515314163570413,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.513787867077201,0.32859444063973053,-0.2995329938075525,0.2889637368914631,1.1320854404206662,1.5368379543131303,1.0970225231710193,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.023349949067118,0.28281871614569404,1.1168023930295266,0.9035904577779575,-0.12603304892957856,0.32859444063973053,1.023349949067118,0.05186098506511385,0.20558003722849902,0.28281871614569404,1.1168023930295266,0.9035904577779575,0.04861544103761669,0.05227670673549723,0.0875373875115533,0.8438210765731615 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.254044273537616,0.19193243392624315,-0.37255947451271276,0.2688915137998727,0.7899312101678085,0.9313667360434504,0.5151726021121331,3.456050796812749,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7266069354327255,0.08626627676941998,0.7564926939152407,0.4389857135181579,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.7266069354327255,0.07157927295952322,0.2155175442840303,0.08626627676941998,0.7564926939152407,0.4389857135181579,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12425060808766375,-0.12561743195910258,-0.16855116220444566,0.1638766452472426,-0.7303909434554461,-0.9712854668705193,-0.745277756119734,3.591793628808864,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3348943416080641,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,0.3348943416080641,-0.004510367941823888,0.24668085994342773,0.9090541133915222,0.46242164908939776,0.39245048767801094,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h16_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4631881848224246,0.3202934250579852,-0.2995329938075524,0.2888099383188728,1.110764181927043,1.4994140852508038,1.0693093304565013,3.9915506329113923,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0237664672665479,0.25238210369245095,1.0957754384992604,0.8875762751444606,-0.12425060808766375,0.3202934250579852,1.0237664672665479,0.045417041460589565,0.20528388091285565,0.25238210369245095,1.0957754384992604,0.8875762751444606,0.04523059366354073,0.04717960568067115,0.08061258241107339,0.8415466262319939 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4552976865082714,0.19863235779649657,-0.34447872427348214,0.25490014466945893,0.8407046537455001,1.0029358742867143,0.57661720100543,3.6609885458167333,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7032735506043938,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.7032735506043938,0.07799154630230246,0.2044051954809429,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4686903641722049,0.3212017562528757,-0.2908542545709004,0.2718454234845895,1.1649147511373803,1.5846077761521482,1.1043392049627991,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.980341377225883,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.980341377225883,0.05297495486207848,0.18987329079216816,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.420464268635704,0.19749201019488294,-0.34574636510440604,0.25522976498730043,0.8362092671940902,0.9977225890271663,0.5712048777005817,3.549424800796813,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7041014643549732,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.7041014643549732,0.07696084198927579,0.2045853657507756,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.441390473230486,0.3166810769860926,-0.2908542545709002,0.27260940377412457,1.149796925047084,1.5608745764929628,1.0887964401734296,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9831889740321511,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.9831889740321511,0.04897769084071972,0.1903771138508423,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.505294636779338,0.20025549951013355,-0.34574636510440593,0.25441019363527173,0.8471451058848654,1.0141786851216352,0.5791977001686247,3.428159860557769,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7015771622192997,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.7015771622192997,0.07954694251716726,0.20426819897824144,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.437469580546097,0.31602893587528347,-0.2789760070216415,0.2698657922756877,1.1568268970331506,1.5817320722941501,1.1328176184368701,3.973056962025317,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.971583365661685,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.971583365661685,0.050842033513141045,0.18886386046097456,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4552976865082714,0.19863235779649657,-0.34447872427348214,0.25490014466945893,0.8407046537455001,1.0029358742867143,0.57661720100543,3.6609885458167333,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7032735506043938,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.7032735506043938,0.07799154630230246,0.2044051954809429,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4686903641722049,0.3212017562528757,-0.2908542545709004,0.2718454234845895,1.1649147511373803,1.5846077761521482,1.1043392049627991,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.980341377225883,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.980341377225883,0.05297495486207848,0.18987329079216816,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.420464268635704,0.19749201019488294,-0.34574636510440604,0.25522976498730043,0.8362092671940902,0.9977225890271663,0.5712048777005817,3.549424800796813,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7041014643549732,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.7041014643549732,0.07696084198927579,0.2045853657507756,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.441390473230486,0.3166810769860926,-0.2908542545709002,0.27260940377412457,1.149796925047084,1.5608745764929628,1.0887964401734296,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9831889740321511,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.9831889740321511,0.04897769084071972,0.1903771138508423,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.505294636779338,0.20025549951013355,-0.34574636510440593,0.25441019363527173,0.8471451058848654,1.0141786851216352,0.5791977001686247,3.428159860557769,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7015771622192997,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.7015771622192997,0.07954694251716726,0.20426819897824144,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.437469580546097,0.31602893587528347,-0.2789760070216415,0.2698657922756877,1.1568268970331506,1.5817320722941501,1.1328176184368701,3.973056962025317,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.971583365661685,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.971583365661685,0.050842033513141045,0.18886386046097456,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.517558425414782,0.2006512227719619,-0.34831925351500737,0.254747529406397,0.8476909792207912,1.012765353099928,0.5760555029534618,3.6634138446215143,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7020286530880604,0.10819822687158889,0.7785003965466502,0.44952913287599655,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.7020286530880604,0.07988426954106971,0.20456231604366804,0.10819822687158889,0.7785003965466502,0.44952913287599655,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5146556350530616,0.3287357879179085,-0.2908542545709,0.27304655579409953,1.1818842580974493,1.6108947159964135,1.1302423215465611,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9854892395220128,0.28195229329911753,1.1284942305571795,0.9532282307331137,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.9854892395220128,0.05762291480758654,0.19052751173602817,0.28195229329911753,1.1284942305571795,0.9532282307331137,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4536510895786643,0.19857862958786043,-0.3495794280049963,0.25503068265738194,0.840241067382804,1.0036787496810269,0.5680501015781234,3.555488047808766,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7028241725716325,0.10001967104027383,0.7782304872017657,0.4566506794738771,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.7028241725716325,0.07807015716004209,0.20469323706578157,0.10001967104027383,0.7782304872017657,0.4566506794738771,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4557453679652719,0.31906248612337484,-0.2908542545709003,0.27363059914552823,1.153140474816307,1.5677851688408055,1.0969840774517476,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9872627192156203,0.24369227041548105,1.1184276473486174,0.9817828480485818,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.9872627192156203,0.04997095993766403,0.1909981050829531,0.24369227041548105,1.1184276473486174,0.9817828480485818,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.550680997905281,0.20171531068604787,-0.3471728260466461,0.2553092217359581,0.8498400415314775,1.0187874984517284,0.5810227516451573,3.422096613545817,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7045461493307567,0.11320903115492156,0.7700729737975998,0.4305541970263861,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.7045461493307567,0.08042116071591886,0.20456050715467602,0.11320903115492156,0.7700729737975998,0.4305541970263861,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap7_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.07,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.454493146062139,0.31885513240926877,-0.2849649151370587,0.2709227769616775,1.1613122279986312,1.5879652657973187,1.1189276836269828,3.957645569620254,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9761196464259492,0.24091312249077618,1.0939134851139092,0.9071523843058363,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.9761196464259492,0.05205974708726191,0.18943001571225634,0.24091312249077618,1.0939134851139092,0.9071523843058363,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4552976865082714,0.19863235779649657,-0.34447872427348214,0.25490014466945893,0.8407046537455001,1.0029358742867143,0.57661720100543,3.6609885458167333,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7032735506043938,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.7032735506043938,0.07799154630230246,0.2044051954809429,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4686903641722049,0.3212017562528757,-0.2908542545709004,0.2718454234845895,1.1649147511373803,1.5846077761521482,1.1043392049627991,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.980341377225883,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.980341377225883,0.05297495486207848,0.18987329079216816,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.420464268635704,0.19749201019488294,-0.34574636510440604,0.25522976498730043,0.8362092671940902,0.9977225890271663,0.5712048777005817,3.549424800796813,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7041014643549732,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.7041014643549732,0.07696084198927579,0.2045853657507756,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.441390473230486,0.3166810769860926,-0.2908542545709002,0.27260940377412457,1.149796925047084,1.5608745764929628,1.0887964401734296,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9831889740321511,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.9831889740321511,0.04897769084071972,0.1903771138508423,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.505294636779338,0.20025549951013355,-0.34574636510440593,0.25441019363527173,0.8471451058848654,1.0141786851216352,0.5791977001686247,3.428159860557769,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7015771622192997,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.7015771622192997,0.07954694251716726,0.20426819897824144,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.437469580546097,0.31602893587528347,-0.2789760070216415,0.2698657922756877,1.1568268970331506,1.5817320722941501,1.1328176184368701,3.973056962025317,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.971583365661685,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.971583365661685,0.050842033513141045,0.18886386046097456,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4552976865082714,0.19863235779649657,-0.34447872427348214,0.25490014466945893,0.8407046537455001,1.0029358742867143,0.57661720100543,3.6609885458167333,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7032735506043938,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.7032735506043938,0.07799154630230246,0.2044051954809429,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4686903641722049,0.3212017562528757,-0.2908542545709004,0.2718454234845895,1.1649147511373803,1.5846077761521482,1.1043392049627991,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.980341377225883,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.980341377225883,0.05297495486207848,0.18987329079216816,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.420464268635704,0.19749201019488294,-0.34574636510440604,0.25522976498730043,0.8362092671940902,0.9977225890271663,0.5712048777005817,3.549424800796813,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7041014643549732,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.7041014643549732,0.07696084198927579,0.2045853657507756,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.441390473230486,0.3166810769860926,-0.2908542545709002,0.27260940377412457,1.149796925047084,1.5608745764929628,1.0887964401734296,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9831889740321511,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.9831889740321511,0.04897769084071972,0.1903771138508423,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.505294636779338,0.20025549951013355,-0.34574636510440593,0.25441019363527173,0.8471451058848654,1.0141786851216352,0.5791977001686247,3.428159860557769,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7015771622192997,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.7015771622192997,0.07954694251716726,0.20426819897824144,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.437469580546097,0.31602893587528347,-0.2789760070216415,0.2698657922756877,1.1568268970331506,1.5817320722941501,1.1328176184368701,3.973056962025317,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.971583365661685,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.971583365661685,0.050842033513141045,0.18886386046097456,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.517558425414782,0.2006512227719619,-0.34831925351500737,0.254747529406397,0.8476909792207912,1.012765353099928,0.5760555029534618,3.6634138446215143,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7020286530880604,0.10819822687158889,0.7785003965466502,0.44952913287599655,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.7020286530880604,0.07988426954106971,0.20456231604366804,0.10819822687158889,0.7785003965466502,0.44952913287599655,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5146556350530616,0.3287357879179085,-0.2908542545709,0.27304655579409953,1.1818842580974493,1.6108947159964135,1.1302423215465611,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9854892395220128,0.28195229329911753,1.1284942305571795,0.9532282307331137,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.9854892395220128,0.05762291480758654,0.19052751173602817,0.28195229329911753,1.1284942305571795,0.9532282307331137,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4536510895786643,0.19857862958786043,-0.3495794280049963,0.25503068265738194,0.840241067382804,1.0036787496810269,0.5680501015781234,3.555488047808766,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7028241725716325,0.10001967104027383,0.7782304872017657,0.4566506794738771,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.7028241725716325,0.07807015716004209,0.20469323706578157,0.10001967104027383,0.7782304872017657,0.4566506794738771,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4557453679652719,0.31906248612337484,-0.2908542545709003,0.27363059914552823,1.153140474816307,1.5677851688408055,1.0969840774517476,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9872627192156203,0.24369227041548105,1.1184276473486174,0.9817828480485818,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.9872627192156203,0.04997095993766403,0.1909981050829531,0.24369227041548105,1.1184276473486174,0.9817828480485818,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.550680997905281,0.20171531068604787,-0.3471728260466461,0.2553092217359581,0.8498400415314775,1.0187874984517284,0.5810227516451573,3.422096613545817,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7045461493307567,0.11320903115492156,0.7700729737975998,0.4305541970263861,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.7045461493307567,0.08042116071591886,0.20456050715467602,0.11320903115492156,0.7700729737975998,0.4305541970263861,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap8_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.08,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.454493146062139,0.31885513240926877,-0.2849649151370587,0.2709227769616775,1.1613122279986312,1.5879652657973187,1.1189276836269828,3.957645569620254,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9761196464259492,0.24091312249077618,1.0939134851139092,0.9071523843058363,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.9761196464259492,0.05205974708726191,0.18943001571225634,0.24091312249077618,1.0939134851139092,0.9071523843058363,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4552976865082714,0.19863235779649657,-0.34447872427348214,0.25490014466945893,0.8407046537455001,1.0029358742867143,0.57661720100543,3.6609885458167333,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7032735506043938,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.7032735506043938,0.07799154630230246,0.2044051954809429,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4686903641722049,0.3212017562528757,-0.2908542545709004,0.2718454234845895,1.1649147511373803,1.5846077761521482,1.1043392049627991,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.980341377225883,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.980341377225883,0.05297495486207848,0.18987329079216816,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.420464268635704,0.19749201019488294,-0.34574636510440604,0.25522976498730043,0.8362092671940902,0.9977225890271663,0.5712048777005817,3.549424800796813,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7041014643549732,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.7041014643549732,0.07696084198927579,0.2045853657507756,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.441390473230486,0.3166810769860926,-0.2908542545709002,0.27260940377412457,1.149796925047084,1.5608745764929628,1.0887964401734296,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9831889740321511,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.9831889740321511,0.04897769084071972,0.1903771138508423,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.505294636779338,0.20025549951013355,-0.34574636510440593,0.25441019363527173,0.8471451058848654,1.0141786851216352,0.5791977001686247,3.428159860557769,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7015771622192997,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.7015771622192997,0.07954694251716726,0.20426819897824144,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector25_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.25,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.437469580546097,0.31602893587528347,-0.2789760070216415,0.2698657922756877,1.1568268970331506,1.5817320722941501,1.1328176184368701,3.973056962025317,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.971583365661685,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.971583365661685,0.050842033513141045,0.18886386046097456,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4552976865082714,0.19863235779649657,-0.34447872427348214,0.25490014466945893,0.8407046537455001,1.0029358742867143,0.57661720100543,3.6609885458167333,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7032735506043938,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.7032735506043938,0.07799154630230246,0.2044051954809429,0.10020212568427286,0.7724176386032245,0.4486352748146901,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4686903641722049,0.3212017562528757,-0.2908542545709004,0.2718454234845895,1.1649147511373803,1.5846077761521482,1.1043392049627991,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.980341377225883,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,-0.1347767691294114,0.3212017562528757,0.980341377225883,0.05297495486207848,0.18987329079216816,0.2511516311599515,1.1154794616552077,0.9664974575094055,0.04997439281088444,0.05681403346256502,0.09023743763372889,0.8620166793025019 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.420464268635704,0.19749201019488294,-0.34574636510440604,0.25522976498730043,0.8362092671940902,0.9977225890271663,0.5712048777005817,3.549424800796813,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7041014643549732,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.7041014643549732,0.07696084198927579,0.2045853657507756,0.0958601896976615,0.7759853622909317,0.4577620316862589,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.441390473230486,0.3166810769860926,-0.2908542545709002,0.27260940377412457,1.149796925047084,1.5608745764929628,1.0887964401734296,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9831889740321511,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,-0.12494442489076774,0.3166810769860926,0.9831889740321511,0.04897769084071972,0.1903771138508423,0.2335138722767502,1.1207282590360632,1.0039943151152615,0.05103997357065534,0.05643439984191101,0.08747856035804319,0.8794541319181198 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.505294636779338,0.20025549951013355,-0.34574636510440593,0.25441019363527173,0.8471451058848654,1.0141786851216352,0.5791977001686247,3.428159860557769,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7015771622192997,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.7015771622192997,0.07954694251716726,0.20426819897824144,0.10627424022932794,0.7663592207946014,0.43059332529483063,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector30_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.3,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.437469580546097,0.31602893587528347,-0.2789760070216415,0.2698657922756877,1.1568268970331506,1.5817320722941501,1.1328176184368701,3.973056962025317,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.971583365661685,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,-0.11953616365403574,0.31602893587528347,0.971583365661685,0.050842033513141045,0.18886386046097456,0.22872692445242657,1.0864456028359502,0.9052311867588008,0.05416226802922609,0.06094983477151467,0.08892351034043343,0.8824867323730099 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.517558425414782,0.2006512227719619,-0.34831925351500737,0.254747529406397,0.8476909792207912,1.012765353099928,0.5760555029534618,3.6634138446215143,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7020286530880604,0.10819822687158889,0.7785003965466502,0.44952913287599655,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.7020286530880604,0.07988426954106971,0.20456231604366804,0.10819822687158889,0.7785003965466502,0.44952913287599655,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1347767691294114,-0.1362501385141076,-0.1812436719580207,0.15798659574493143,-0.8404497820789045,-1.1321064185262841,-0.7517511482865211,3.5007340720221625,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.3338944419344456,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.3338944419344456,-0.01794005613626902,0.24323145240489563,0.8681462282363619,0.4853348796699667,0.4192579022965474,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold05,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5146556350530616,0.3287357879179085,-0.2908542545709,0.27304655579409953,1.1818842580974493,1.6108947159964135,1.1302423215465611,4.176487341772153,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9854892395220128,0.28195229329911753,1.1284942305571795,0.9532282307331137,-0.1347767691294114,0.3287357879179085,0.9854892395220128,0.05762291480758654,0.19052751173602817,0.28195229329911753,1.1284942305571795,0.9532282307331137,0.050990384185466295,0.058852906945371194,0.09537420375869557,0.8756633813495072 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.4536510895786643,0.19857862958786043,-0.3495794280049963,0.25503068265738194,0.840241067382804,1.0036787496810269,0.5680501015781234,3.555488047808766,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7028241725716325,0.10001967104027383,0.7782304872017657,0.4566506794738771,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.7028241725716325,0.07807015716004209,0.20469323706578157,0.10001967104027383,0.7782304872017657,0.4566506794738771,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12494442489076774,-0.1263183180745785,-0.17629364035389583,0.1579667696552269,-0.7687969814888393,-1.0346153814355536,-0.7165222626352502,3.4096745152354586,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33475876074804034,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.33475876074804034,-0.006307357813184845,0.24285244232290992,0.9161772891567381,0.5083209537846298,0.4106535357493727,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold10,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4557453679652719,0.31906248612337484,-0.2908542545709003,0.27363059914552823,1.153140474816307,1.5677851688408055,1.0969840774517476,4.084018987341773,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9872627192156203,0.24369227041548105,1.1184276473486174,0.9817828480485818,-0.12494442489076774,0.31906248612337484,0.9872627192156203,0.04997095993766403,0.1909981050829531,0.24369227041548105,1.1184276473486174,0.9817828480485818,0.05117580981328624,0.05723784200009884,0.08865119233951665,0.8718726307808946 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.550680997905281,0.20171531068604787,-0.3471728260466461,0.2553092217359581,0.8498400415314775,1.0187874984517284,0.5810227516451573,3.422096613545817,10.428784860557768,17.20347155255545,0.7045461493307567,0.11320903115492156,0.7700729737975998,0.4305541970263861,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.7045461493307567,0.08042116071591886,0.20456050715467602,0.11320903115492156,0.7700729737975998,0.4305541970263861,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11953616365403574,-0.1208547790971789,-0.17358208620380644,0.1584722568539954,-0.7268248675651615,-0.9762570653004973,-0.6962399274040336,3.3489681440443224,12.141274238227146,20.0,0.33603481447304323,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.33603481447304323,0.00039432703274639965,0.24264072254285954,0.9427877087611005,0.5083209537846298,0.40083347787225604,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +parameter_stability,grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold15,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,20,0.09,0.35,0.15,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.454493146062139,0.31885513240926877,-0.2849649151370587,0.2709227769616775,1.1613122279986312,1.5879652657973187,1.1189276836269828,3.957645569620254,12.329113924050633,20.0,0.9761196464259492,0.24091312249077618,1.0939134851139092,0.9071523843058363,-0.11953616365403574,0.31885513240926877,0.9761196464259492,0.05205974708726191,0.18943001571225634,0.24091312249077618,1.0939134851139092,0.9071523843058363,0.054556454453800134,0.061269850092549906,0.0903495800221522,0.88855193328279 +regime_robustness,regime_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1932518720393794,0.1898538048107985,-0.3141200528022545,0.25482478841954415,0.8118352372717984,0.9924386583689404,0.6043988695313115,3.8774464641434263,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6680973010811955,0.06106295747127338,0.7480466880564004,0.4354311996792276,-0.1607600365033507,0.3230885825509029,0.6680973010811955,0.07738919721271408,0.21390774922006936,0.06106295747127338,0.7480466880564004,0.4354311996792276,0.050725609959008315,0.06535705563505327,0.08616400037272975,0.8127369219105383 +regime_robustness,regime_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1607600365033507,-0.16248984993961724,-0.19080392399157964,0.18646700579521824,-0.8496951025053002,-1.125176377055289,-0.8516064373329558,5.084158587257618,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3800031300268772,0.7606186887689697,0.46268804391915147,0.45687517916549925,-0.1607600365033507,0.3230885825509029,0.3800031300268772,-0.027741723236329893,0.24388063177382352,0.7606186887689697,0.46268804391915147,0.45687517916549925,0.050725609959008315,0.06535705563505327,0.08616400037272975,0.8127369219105383 +regime_robustness,regime_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4801469016206914,0.3230885825509029,-0.2995329938075523,0.2851646741699035,1.1286937931475034,1.5298852340622493,1.078641048666862,4.357571202531646,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0073556792833185,0.2600421640710059,1.1187189474955763,0.9439442464797114,-0.1607600365033507,0.3230885825509029,1.0073556792833185,0.050895238226179945,0.20332795183106267,0.2600421640710059,1.1187189474955763,0.9439442464797114,0.050725609959008315,0.06535705563505327,0.08616400037272975,0.8127369219105383 +regime_robustness,regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +regime_robustness,regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +regime_robustness,regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +regime_robustness,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.656972014427413,0.17027226256599892,-0.37302695578168854,0.2555068142853254,0.7454685293912566,0.8343505275091319,0.45646101421595275,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6127061467255247,-0.014594500306273675,0.663538952634496,0.36286295478422587,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,0.6127061467255247,0.07172131954305977,0.22896389811665252,-0.014594500306273675,0.663538952634496,0.36286295478422587,0.04676031998030951,0.04113601435401307,0.12128375938185015,0.8089461713419257 +regime_robustness,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13153520934909452,0.6036971949562685,-0.0011209246429138477,0.26246361075539837,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,0.13153520934909452,-0.11971780742037302,0.29647678817192846,0.6036971949562685,-0.0011209246429138477,0.26246361075539837,0.04676031998030951,0.04113601435401307,0.12128375938185015,0.8089461713419257 +regime_robustness,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4338354479528697,0.3154238417006321,-0.23145973561681488,0.2696540189077112,1.1557848166264428,1.5810409471676061,1.3627590166387344,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8348331586280263,0.19824972881322214,1.0542129572671954,0.7971540125984331,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,0.8348331586280263,0.08710045219552374,0.21524500386989087,0.19824972881322214,1.0542129572671954,0.7971540125984331,0.04676031998030951,0.04113601435401307,0.12128375938185015,0.8089461713419257 +pressure_test,alias_on_baseline,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224456229551918,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.7224456229551918,0.07986918535647727,0.21456906771209555,0.12152398566540953,0.7830359780482492,0.4469057953457193,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +pressure_test,alias_on_baseline,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33252708374238704,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,0.33252708374238704,-0.007467810449759422,0.24724858753702517,0.8982983702181303,0.46346243171307594,0.3951724766404862,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +pressure_test,alias_on_baseline,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,1.0139138050480614,0.060103301777576494,0.20359115819345705,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,0.05502250325638476,0.0574071688754294,0.09617886989396338,0.8741470811220622 +pressure_test,alias_off_no_identifier_repair,5.0,Full Sample,alias_off,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.070109426223193,0.21756984815528702,-0.35355796346384616,0.2651348381308042,0.8776846444845093,1.0471181152929498,0.6153725008022202,3.601568725099601,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7166445358839844,0.18216652428616267,0.815923759684736,0.43988571962244133,-0.12516432183396342,0.3391606897517312,0.7166445358839844,0.09380910174258315,0.21349078005289385,0.18216652428616267,0.815923759684736,0.43988571962244133,0.07329160523841284,0.08287215076960809,0.0963518798970482,0.9317664897649734 +pressure_test,alias_off_no_identifier_repair,5.0,2022,alias_off,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12516432183396342,-0.12654045418672455,-0.17249960581990842,0.16330240719251002,-0.7399203743505673,-0.9772795342510964,-0.7335695266390014,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33263487249610163,0.9023917220004588,0.46346236531755897,0.39360979030469007,-0.12516432183396342,0.3391606897517312,0.33263487249610163,-0.006424251083421166,0.2472423940261208,0.9023917220004588,0.46346236531755897,0.39360979030469007,0.07329160523841284,0.08287215076960809,0.0963518798970482,0.9317664897649734 +pressure_test,alias_off_no_identifier_repair,5.0,2023+,alias_off,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5792298670913048,0.3391606897517312,-0.29953298925948213,0.28631445788627347,1.1676510730055742,1.5908564398753442,1.132298284039492,4.060901898734177,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0172128799702016,0.321747857101619,1.15587127450443,0.9499752780344293,-0.12516432183396342,0.3391606897517312,1.0172128799702016,0.06069553841465058,0.2030336034128085,0.321747857101619,1.15587127450443,0.9499752780344293,0.07329160523841284,0.08287215076960809,0.0963518798970482,0.9317664897649734 +pressure_test,universe_lag_1_rebalance,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,1,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.284439067647635,0.19296192997049366,-0.37302695578168865,0.2644669101274272,0.8019092089564023,0.948378593161892,0.5172868260046688,3.5606418077689237,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7177117645193142,0.08600171674456739,0.7577215962291622,0.44431049400095546,-0.1346717972723359,0.32174367513072877,0.7177117645193142,0.07297593254575191,0.21237422473508072,0.08600171674456739,0.7577215962291622,0.44431049400095546,0.059537725937446474,0.059684298358470854,0.08492743146152831,0.9006823351023503 +pressure_test,universe_lag_1_rebalance,5.0,2022,alias_on,1,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1346717972723359,-0.13614411162173967,-0.1724996894671298,0.16226935416805566,-0.8132383671521204,-1.071112417127287,-0.7892426475798511,3.7309123961218837,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3316595813173153,0.8583154254213818,0.425110926839064,0.3952032363970093,-0.1346717972723359,0.32174367513072877,0.3316595813173153,-0.017892579353018894,0.2469681856555838,0.8583154254213818,0.425110926839064,0.3952032363970093,0.059537725937446474,0.059684298358470854,0.08492743146152831,0.9006823351023503 +pressure_test,universe_lag_1_rebalance,5.0,2023+,alias_on,1,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.47197706195892,0.32174367513072877,-0.2995329938075524,0.2821851382987488,1.1339535548621096,1.5482868981192277,1.0741510343847014,4.03007911392405,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0041157904256508,0.2552720214813869,1.122504544432282,0.9754046340530955,-0.1346717972723359,0.32174367513072877,1.0041157904256508,0.049887978085819774,0.19976761752801447,0.2552720214813869,1.122504544432282,0.9754046340530955,0.059537725937446474,0.059684298358470854,0.08492743146152831,0.9006823351023503 +pressure_test,leadership_ultra_liquid_100m,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_ultra_liquid_100m,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.11303499108061,0.2188152739207574,-0.3884510498412951,0.27060829010046944,0.86916346943093,1.0309160109410287,0.5633020531419756,3.7395075946215135,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7411723594158203,0.19358352448123642,0.8164478591203507,0.4390399607404519,-0.07322081603752084,0.36183239735464534,0.7411723594158203,0.09155333267248186,0.213804029116082,0.19358352448123642,0.8164478591203507,0.4390399607404519,0.06935493089676058,0.06541024883662079,0.11939831793154523,0.9188779378316907 +pressure_test,leadership_ultra_liquid_100m,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_ultra_liquid_100m,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.07322081603752084,-0.07405010412311486,-0.15604281120220154,0.15806199960916426,-0.4036412989704167,-0.5404038716302278,-0.4745499235281024,3.5917936288088645,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.32909462566161257,1.1420148224993854,0.5589564315313522,0.34705147809665937,-0.07322081603752084,0.36183239735464534,0.32909462566161257,0.04938854289381,0.2453032233905389,1.1420148224993854,0.5589564315313522,0.34705147809665937,0.06935493089676058,0.06541024883662079,0.11939831793154523,0.9188779378316907 +pressure_test,leadership_ultra_liquid_100m,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_ultra_liquid_100m,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7236075442651857,0.36183239735464534,-0.3013947019031731,0.29083318966153676,1.2119949816719533,1.6463122626749285,1.200526734776143,4.084018987341772,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0424584754946784,0.4082028736371108,1.195455387411059,0.917133761785396,-0.07322081603752084,0.36183239735464534,1.0424584754946784,0.07207771421092213,0.204551742811674,0.4082028736371108,1.195455387411059,0.917133761785396,0.06935493089676058,0.06541024883662079,0.11939831793154523,0.9188779378316907 +pressure_test,normalization_universe,5.0,Full Sample,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,universe,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.8620177853010516,0.23918797250713908,-0.4056139768302768,0.2915580876948168,0.8839975312028866,1.072593768172002,0.5896936155314583,3.383291832669322,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7829078050325458,0.2783788652309097,0.8718825490332471,0.43541290826004286,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.7829078050325458,0.10599821251736949,0.22962492822691327,0.2783788652309097,0.8718825490332471,0.43541290826004286,0.0759731274762383,0.07274512244620503,0.1345013935110656,0.9143290371493555 +pressure_test,normalization_universe,5.0,2022,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,universe,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.02145953359965136,-0.021709411259648315,-0.1423174048540351,0.199943155630568,-0.00858988098017193,-0.012151834766910877,-0.15254220860698045,2.9467884349030466,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.34644887541821645,1.278999861626882,0.7922868788443304,0.3428989214802629,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,0.34644887541821645,0.1174402311357614,0.26757061538224525,1.278999861626882,0.7922868788443304,0.3428989214802629,0.0759731274762383,0.07274512244620503,0.1345013935110656,0.9143290371493555 +pressure_test,normalization_universe,5.0,2023+,alias_on,0,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,0.1,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,universe,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0620383631102426,0.4118937308887436,-0.33291336017232764,0.3107875163441985,1.2700461792368536,1.7680069116140744,1.237240015466886,3.7834968354430383,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.1277030888171347,0.57912720773529,1.3256400160269743,0.9784194398145911,-0.02145953359965136,0.4118937308887436,1.1277030888171347,0.09137391768898012,0.21709347939097637,0.57912720773529,1.3256400160269743,0.9784194398145911,0.0759731274762383,0.07274512244620503,0.1345013935110656,0.9143290371493555 +qqq_reference,QQQ,5.0,Full Sample,public_yfinance,0,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,n/a,n/a,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.894099700577682,0.17922228427385778,-0.3511872863827362,0.23884672062305018,0.8114572486921191,1.0593466116978214,0.51033249557484,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.32576997451278045,0.2820758532350989,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_reference,QQQ,5.0,2022,public_yfinance,0,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,n/a,n/a,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.32576997451278045,-0.32889160451997157,-0.34827986601438543,0.3208612290173805,-1.0719284128290465,-1.774903903297333,-0.944331374316042,0.0,0.0,1.0,0.9999999999999999,,1.0,1.0,-0.32576997451278045,0.2820758532350989,0.9999999999999999,-3.0254100084234204e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 +qqq_reference,QQQ,5.0,2023+,public_yfinance,0,n/a,1,1.0,1.0,0.0,buy_and_hold,QQQ,n/a,1.0,1.0,n/a,n/a,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2392893945505814,0.2820758532350989,-0.2276830170034312,0.19848690448285977,1.3552015325698927,1.9271441793390975,1.2388972043129944,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.32576997451278045,0.2820758532350989,1.0000000000000002,-5.814388344835019e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0 diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.md b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..24fb845 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_robustness.md @@ -0,0 +1,118 @@ +# qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1 robustness + +## Base candidate +- universe=leadership_liquid +- holdings=16 +- single_cap=8% +- sector_cap=30% +- hold_bonus=0.10 +- regime=qqq_breadth +- breadth thresholds: soft=55%, hard=35% +- normalization=sector +- residual proxy=simple excess return vs QQQ + +## Parameter stability (5 bps, full sample top 12) +| scenario | holdings_count | single_name_cap | sector_cap | hold_bonus | CAGR | Sharpe | information_ratio_vs_qqq | rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold05 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.250000 | 0.050000 | 0.231133 | 0.879712 | 0.240686 | 0.912055 | -0.096328 | 0.420151 | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold05 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.300000 | 0.050000 | 0.231133 | 0.879712 | 0.240686 | 0.912055 | -0.096328 | 0.420151 | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold05 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.350000 | 0.050000 | 0.223027 | 0.849178 | 0.214476 | 0.904473 | -0.096366 | 0.403227 | +| grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold05 | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.250000 | 0.050000 | 0.225313 | 0.885556 | 0.213101 | 0.912813 | -0.092314 | 0.408362 | +| grid_h12_cap8_sector30_hold05 | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | 0.050000 | 0.225313 | 0.885556 | 0.213101 | 0.912813 | -0.092314 | 0.408362 | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold15 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.250000 | 0.150000 | 0.219733 | 0.845877 | 0.199587 | 0.919636 | -0.091287 | 0.373107 | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold15 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.300000 | 0.150000 | 0.219733 | 0.845877 | 0.199587 | 0.919636 | -0.091287 | 0.373107 | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.350000 | 0.150000 | 0.216442 | 0.832911 | 0.189710 | 0.924185 | -0.096639 | 0.359210 | +| grid_h12_cap8_sector35_hold05 | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.350000 | 0.050000 | 0.217617 | 0.855055 | 0.187493 | 0.907506 | -0.092350 | 0.392304 | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector25_hold10 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.250000 | 0.100000 | 0.215540 | 0.833190 | 0.184706 | 0.909022 | -0.097443 | 0.378277 | +| grid_h12_cap9_sector30_hold10 | 12 | 0.090000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.215540 | 0.833190 | 0.184706 | 0.909022 | -0.097443 | 0.378277 | +| grid_h12_cap8_sector25_hold15 | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.250000 | 0.150000 | 0.214541 | 0.852176 | 0.172965 | 0.920394 | -0.087248 | 0.363662 | + +## Stability axis summary +| axis | axis_value | mean_cagr | median_cagr | std_cagr | mean_ir | mean_2022 | mean_2023_plus | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| holdings_count | 12.000000 | 0.211347 | 0.211349 | 0.011305 | 0.154069 | -0.088942 | 0.368528 | +| holdings_count | 16.000000 | 0.200964 | 0.201400 | 0.004467 | 0.119973 | -0.125363 | 0.331118 | +| holdings_count | 20.000000 | 0.199301 | 0.198632 | 0.001418 | 0.102900 | -0.126419 | 0.319386 | +| single_name_cap | 0.070000 | 0.199601 | 0.200049 | 0.004240 | 0.102139 | -0.110457 | 0.331691 | +| single_name_cap | 0.080000 | 0.205126 | 0.201400 | 0.008544 | 0.132926 | -0.114467 | 0.341994 | +| single_name_cap | 0.090000 | 0.206884 | 0.201400 | 0.010831 | 0.141877 | -0.115800 | 0.345347 | +| sector_cap | 0.250000 | 0.204805 | 0.200255 | 0.009158 | 0.128873 | -0.113362 | 0.341346 | +| sector_cap | 0.300000 | 0.204805 | 0.200255 | 0.009158 | 0.128873 | -0.113362 | 0.341346 | +| sector_cap | 0.350000 | 0.202002 | 0.200651 | 0.008070 | 0.119197 | -0.114000 | 0.336340 | +| hold_bonus | 0.050000 | 0.207908 | 0.206516 | 0.010362 | 0.140891 | -0.116739 | 0.351729 | +| hold_bonus | 0.100000 | 0.201080 | 0.198579 | 0.006396 | 0.115052 | -0.113908 | 0.336471 | +| hold_bonus | 0.150000 | 0.202624 | 0.200255 | 0.007961 | 0.120999 | -0.110077 | 0.330833 | + +### Stability platform stats +- best_full_sample_CAGR=0.2311 +- best_full_sample_IR_vs_QQQ=0.2407 +- plateau_within_100bps_and_positive_IR=5 (6.2%) +- plateau_within_200bps_and_positive_IR=15 (18.5%) + +## Regime robustness (5 bps, full sample) +- spy_breadth: benchmark=SPY, breadth=eligible universe 中 sma200_gap > 0 的比例 +- qqq_breadth: benchmark=QQQ, breadth=eligible universe 中 sma200_gap > 0 的比例 +- qqq_xlk_smh_breadth: benchmark=QQQ, breadth=(XLK 与 SMH 在 200 日线上方的 ETF 比例) +- ETF data assumption: QQQ / XLK / SMH 均来自 yfinance/Yahoo，2018-01-01 之后可直接取到 +| scenario | CAGR | Sharpe | information_ratio_vs_qqq | rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| regime_qqq_breadth | 0.201400 | 0.822800 | 0.121524 | 0.874147 | -0.126033 | 0.337210 | +| regime_spy_breadth | 0.189854 | 0.811835 | 0.061063 | 0.812737 | -0.160760 | 0.323089 | +| regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.170272 | 0.745469 | -0.014595 | 0.808946 | -0.156651 | 0.315424 | + +## Data pressure tests (5 bps, full sample) +| scenario | data_variant | universe_lag_rebalances | universe_filter | group_normalization | CAGR | Sharpe | information_ratio_vs_qqq | rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| normalization_universe | alias_on | 0 | leadership_liquid | universe | 0.239188 | 0.883998 | 0.278379 | 0.914329 | -0.021460 | 0.411894 | +| leadership_ultra_liquid_100m | alias_on | 0 | leadership_ultra_liquid_100m | sector | 0.218815 | 0.869163 | 0.193584 | 0.918878 | -0.073221 | 0.361832 | +| alias_off_no_identifier_repair | alias_off | 0 | leadership_liquid | sector | 0.217570 | 0.877685 | 0.182167 | 0.931766 | -0.125164 | 0.339161 | +| alias_on_baseline | alias_on | 0 | leadership_liquid | sector | 0.201400 | 0.822800 | 0.121524 | 0.874147 | -0.126033 | 0.337210 | +| universe_lag_1_rebalance | alias_on | 1 | leadership_liquid | sector | 0.192962 | 0.801909 | 0.086002 | 0.900682 | -0.134672 | 0.321744 | + +## Cost / turnover profile +| cost_bps_one_way | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | annual_turnover | average_monthly_turnover | average_names_replaced_per_rebalance | median_holding_duration_days | top5_continuity | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| 0.000000 | 0.203547 | 3.608203 | -0.372877 | 0.829505 | 3.571252 | 0.294500 | 4.755102 | 61.000000 | 0.588235 | +| 5.000000 | 0.201400 | 3.540848 | -0.373027 | 0.822800 | 3.571252 | 0.294500 | 4.755102 | 61.000000 | 0.588235 | +| 10.000000 | 0.199256 | 3.474463 | -0.373177 | 0.816091 | 3.571252 | 0.294500 | 4.755102 | 61.000000 | 0.588235 | + +## Walk-forward / OOS +| scenario | period | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | information_ratio_vs_qqq | rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| offensive_default_candidate | OOS 2022-2026 | 0.209749 | 1.243526 | -0.299533 | 0.859083 | 0.470904 | 1.000000 | +| offensive_default_candidate | OOS 2022 | -0.127418 | -0.126033 | -0.172500 | -0.746351 | 0.898298 | 1.000000 | +| offensive_default_candidate | OOS 2023+ | 0.337210 | 1.567061 | -0.299533 | 1.162719 | 0.313599 | 1.000000 | +| offensive_is_selected | OOS 2022-2026 | 0.234521 | 1.445060 | -0.348407 | 0.889424 | 0.554331 | 1.000000 | +| offensive_is_selected | OOS 2022 | -0.097719 | -0.096639 | -0.160390 | -0.510590 | 1.032882 | 1.000000 | +| offensive_is_selected | OOS 2023+ | 0.359210 | 1.706626 | -0.348407 | 1.152046 | 0.390975 | 1.000000 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS 2022-2026 | 0.184469 | 1.051214 | -0.254393 | 0.885560 | 0.344425 | 1.000000 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS 2022 | -0.141182 | -0.139659 | -0.171444 | -1.225741 | 0.723841 | 1.000000 | +| defensive_baseline | OOS 2023+ | 0.307094 | 1.384188 | -0.254393 | 1.234418 | 0.169338 | 1.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS 2022-2026 | 0.101948 | 0.509796 | -0.348280 | 0.533389 | | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS 2022 | -0.328892 | -0.325770 | -0.348280 | -1.071928 | | 0.000000 | +| QQQ | OOS 2023+ | 0.282076 | 1.239289 | -0.227683 | 1.355202 | | 0.000000 | + +## Relative attribution vs QQQ +| strategy | beta_vs_qqq | alpha_ann_vs_qqq | tracking_error_vs_qqq | information_ratio_vs_qqq | up_capture_vs_qqq | down_capture_vs_qqq | active_share_vs_qqq | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| defensive_baseline | 0.465097 | 0.081736 | 0.210717 | -0.104102 | 0.595210 | 0.293529 | | +| qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1 | 0.722446 | 0.079869 | 0.214569 | 0.121524 | 0.783036 | 0.446906 | | + +## Shadow tracking gate +- recommendation=no_shadow_tracking +- reason=fails at least one promotion gate +- oos_positive_rolling_alpha_ratio=100.0% +- oos_cagr_minus_qqq_5bps=0.1078 +- oos_max_drawdown=-0.2995 +- annual_turnover=3.5713 +- plateau_200bps_share=18.5% + +### Gate thresholds used +- OOS rolling 36m alpha > 0 的窗口占比 >= 60% +- 5 bps 成本后 OOS CAGR 不低于 QQQ +- OOS MaxDD <= 40% +- annual turnover <= 5.0x +- 参数局部网格里，至少 20% 组合落在 best-200bps 且 IR>0 的平台内 + +## Active share vs QQQ note +- 这里无法准确给出真正的 active share vs QQQ，因为当前公开数据链路没有 QQQ 历史 constituent weights。输出里显式记为 NaN。 \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_rolling_alpha.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_rolling_alpha.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..0011d4e --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_rolling_alpha.csv @@ -0,0 +1,117392 @@ +experiment_group,scenario,as_of,rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold05,2020-12-31,0.052242738110007826 +parameter_stability,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold05,2021-01-04,0.05435589623643 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+qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,Utilities,0.04040404040404041 +qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,Energy,0.033207070707070706 diff --git a/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_walkforward.csv b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_walkforward.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..ff0e569 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_alpha_v1_walkforward.csv @@ -0,0 +1,94 @@ +stage,scenario,selection_objective,universe_filter,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,hold_bonus,regime_name,group_normalization,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,beta_vs_qqq,alpha_ann_vs_qqq,tracking_error_vs_qqq,information_ratio_vs_qqq,up_capture_vs_qqq,down_capture_vs_qqq,selected_from_in_sample,rolling_36m_alpha_mean,rolling_36m_alpha_median,rolling_36m_alpha_last,rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio,period 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+in_sample_ranking,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold05,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,leadership_liquid,12.0,0.07,0.25,0.05,qqq_breadth,sector,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.8384952984236278,0.1646790467444658,-0.3289137167577022,0.2404853403203108,0.7545092508088246,0.7948874912066121,0.5006755217380564,2.966561000685401,8.511651816312543,8.547619047619047,0.6319273248106886,-0.416560561029151,0.4673496505736998,0.1393921036652876,-0.0802342593240429,0.3723918961374965,0.6319273248106886,0.0127636963952023,0.205224614196958,-0.416560561029151,0.4673496505736998,0.1393921036652876,,,,,, +in_sample_ranking,grid_h12_cap7_sector30_hold05,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,leadership_liquid,12.0,0.07,0.3,0.05,qqq_breadth,sector,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.8384952984236278,0.1646790467444658,-0.3289137167577022,0.2404853403203108,0.7545092508088246,0.7948874912066121,0.5006755217380564,2.966561000685401,8.511651816312543,8.547619047619047,0.6319273248106886,-0.416560561029151,0.4673496505736998,0.1393921036652876,-0.0802342593240429,0.3723918961374965,0.6319273248106886,0.0127636963952023,0.205224614196958,-0.416560561029151,0.4673496505736998,0.1393921036652876,,,,,, +in_sample_ranking,grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold10,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,leadership_liquid,12.0,0.07,0.25,0.1,qqq_breadth,sector,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.83062497353719,0.1634288758659496,-0.3396854513528871,0.2418799877570432,0.7471016064283662,0.7848084321839739,0.4811182675473765,2.896465044551064,8.511651816312543,8.547619047619047,0.6317709378217466,-0.4167572204156888,0.4790126529734826,0.1696457750329479,-0.0813622194946895,0.3387429578712571,0.6317709378217466,0.01206595531293,0.2069021548811832,-0.4167572204156888,0.4790126529734826,0.1696457750329479,,,,,, 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+in_sample_ranking,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold10,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,leadership_liquid,12.0,0.07,0.35,0.1,qqq_breadth,sector,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.8359651335832115,0.1642775780936061,-0.328046162178744,0.2419213930411546,0.7499037946795494,0.7988229333939079,0.5007757963164203,2.861417066483894,8.511651816312543,8.547619047619047,0.6378230208266297,-0.416757242239954,0.4816100785200558,0.1731676735292237,-0.0813622194946895,0.3275269338239468,0.6378230208266297,0.0111592743106256,0.2052012900054065,-0.416757242239954,0.4816100785200558,0.1731676735292237,,,,,, +in_sample_ranking,grid_h12_cap7_sector35_hold05,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,leadership_liquid,12.0,0.07,0.35,0.05,qqq_breadth,sector,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.8159331217114885,0.1610843093838914,-0.3498496406018272,0.2441040059987158,0.7343574803621463,0.7678061137026747,0.4604386876224507,2.891458190541468,8.511651816312543,8.547619047619047,0.6436532210930342,-0.4254282728610728,0.4738573661683741,0.1652910295690638,-0.0802663863814803,0.3588382880353948,0.6436532210930342,0.0074448108936825,0.2060918307128293,-0.4254282728610728,0.4738573661683741,0.1652910295690638,,,,,, +oos_eval,offensive_default_candidate,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2435263170833468,0.2097488884788625,-0.2995329938075524,0.2628133607208378,0.85908334174659,1.1548569200123198,0.7002530366108001,3.955893145161291,12.253548387096776,16.0,0.7102247990893433,0.4709035031982608,1.0250101615116889,0.5953790542625367,-0.1260330489295785,0.3372100315621018,0.7102247990893433,0.137235237696336,0.2147130337016699,0.4709035031982608,1.0250101615116889,0.5953790542625367,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.0937367348549402,0.0973755847946519,0.0961788698939639,1.0,OOS 2022-2026 +oos_eval,offensive_default_candidate,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1260330489295785,-0.1274180209362019,-0.1724996894671298,0.1632438198219758,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772264,-0.7386565235555494,3.692970914127424,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.332527083742387,0.8982983702181303,0.4634624317130759,0.3951724766404862,-0.1260330489295785,0.3372100315621018,0.332527083742387,-0.0074678104497594,0.2472485875370251,0.8982983702181303,0.4634624317130759,0.3951724766404862,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.0937367348549402,0.0973755847946519,0.0961788698939639,1.0,OOS 2022 +oos_eval,offensive_default_candidate,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.3372100315621018,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050631,16.0,1.0139138050480614,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,-0.1260330489295785,0.3372100315621018,1.0139138050480614,0.0601033017775764,0.203591158193457,0.3135989469533946,1.1493533351362917,0.9439442464797114,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.0937367348549402,0.0973755847946519,0.0961788698939639,1.0,OOS 2023+ +oos_eval,offensive_is_selected,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4450604246934775,0.2345212347584659,-0.3484066593279049,0.2829766041921259,0.889423715010956,1.1802084772368313,0.6731250063097817,4.021677419354839,12.253548387096776,12.0,0.7523605164499094,0.5543311253273945,1.1016071417815083,0.5978117429265498,-0.0966390183917742,0.3592096038048924,0.7523605164499094,0.1578897229261462,0.2291349634308578,0.5543311253273945,1.1016071417815083,0.5978117429265498,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.1196693289443033,0.1226271714590453,0.0942806576759585,1.0,OOS 2022-2026 +oos_eval,offensive_is_selected,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.0966390183917742,-0.0977192533079128,-0.1603903086797644,0.1710507093266628,-0.5105895394704758,-0.6828268625671094,-0.6092590887334676,3.676108033240997,12.141274238227146,12.0,0.3423469549399744,1.0328820483017325,0.4530002763306187,0.339713625677488,-0.0966390183917742,0.3592096038048924,0.3423469549399744,0.0304102005157958,0.2484345288793499,1.0328820483017325,0.4530002763306187,0.339713625677488,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.1196693289443033,0.1226271714590453,0.0942806576759585,1.0,OOS 2022 +oos_eval,offensive_is_selected,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7066261156648674,0.3592096038048924,-0.3484066593279051,0.3090995758277691,1.1520456024976953,1.547298823310169,1.0310067106576744,4.140527426160338,12.329113924050631,12.0,1.0825960603989295,0.3909747687454374,1.245227767073312,1.047167707742271,-0.0966390183917742,0.3592096038048924,1.0825960603989295,0.0648895556877854,0.2227945557601289,0.3909747687454374,1.245227767073312,1.047167707742271,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.1196693289443033,0.1226271714590453,0.0942806576759585,1.0,OOS 2023+ +oos_eval,defensive_baseline,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0512136613648757,0.1844694366575034,-0.2543933164893194,0.2189744310181126,0.8855596641926721,1.150303301506736,0.7251347606266549,4.530278225806453,12.253548387096776,24.0,0.5689184680245226,0.3444248140056651,0.8269151766624571,0.4130459606162238,-0.1396593370720814,0.3070940420390593,0.5689184680245226,0.1229881651611811,0.2010466736196759,0.3444248140056651,0.8269151766624571,0.4130459606162238,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.0783308013420801,0.0731711657184938,0.1069488501009,1.0,OOS 2022-2026 +oos_eval,defensive_baseline,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1396593370720814,-0.1411816117877455,-0.1714443431885661,0.1175329083064176,-1.22574087079287,-1.371223647029373,-0.8234836400082587,3.3304189750692523,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.1967771628409224,0.7238406597155327,0.1924678044726077,0.3086799992449828,-0.1396593370720814,0.3070940420390593,0.1967771628409224,-0.0763852992586126,0.276131736870379,0.7238406597155327,0.1924678044726077,0.3086799992449828,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.0783308013420801,0.0731711657184938,0.1069488501009,1.0,OOS 2022 +oos_eval,defensive_baseline,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3841877406842245,0.3070940420390593,-0.2543933164893192,0.2414129182007014,1.2344178357685558,1.6712222513704722,1.207162382553996,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050631,24.0,0.8670598724376974,0.1693377758882986,0.9674004739392672,0.5947499876186322,-0.1396593370720814,0.3070940420390593,0.8670598724376974,0.0647741874901595,0.1713418917276614,0.1693377758882986,0.9674004739392672,0.5947499876186322,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,0.0783308013420801,0.0731711657184938,0.1069488501009,1.0,OOS 2023+ +oos_eval,QQQ,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2026-04-02,0.5097961455611002,0.1019483388675266,-0.3482798660143854,0.233730686333949,0.5333893567280329,0.7611626957546365,0.2927195879399923,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257699745127804,0.2820758532350989,1.0,0.0,0.0,,1.0,1.0,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,-2.260425568588138e-16,-2.1857515797307772e-16,-1.6393136847980827e-16,0.0,OOS 2022-2026 +oos_eval,QQQ,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3257699745127804,-0.3288916045199715,-0.3482798660143854,0.3208612290173805,-1.0719284128290465,-1.774903903297333,-0.944331374316042,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257699745127804,0.2820758532350989,1.0,-3.0254100084234204e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,-2.260425568588138e-16,-2.1857515797307772e-16,-1.6393136847980827e-16,0.0,OOS 2022 +oos_eval,QQQ,IR_vs_QQQ_then_CAGR_then_Sharpe,,,,,,,,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2392893945505814,0.2820758532350989,-0.2276830170034312,0.1984869044828597,1.3552015325698927,1.927144179339097,1.2388972043129944,0.0,0.0,1.0,1.0000000000000002,,1.0,1.0,-0.3257699745127804,0.2820758532350989,1.0000000000000002,-5.814388344835019e-17,0.0,,1.0,1.0,grid_h12_cap9_sector35_hold15,-2.260425568588138e-16,-2.1857515797307772e-16,-1.6393136847980827e-16,0.0,OOS 2023+ diff --git a/research/results/stock_strategy_ablations.csv b/research/results/stock_strategy_ablations.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..06cf4d9 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_strategy_ablations.csv @@ -0,0 +1,223 @@ +comparison_layer,strategy,display_name,cost_bps_one_way,period,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,research_group,universe_filter,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,hold_bonus,group_normalization,residual_proxy +research_only,base_candidate,base_candidate,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.715579490824457,0.17253073736292612,-0.3728767879785576,0.25550656800540367,0.7530333525120412,0.8424628702778963,0.4627017366735297,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6126966054562466,-0.006153425141650513,0.6670457142614694,0.35960135698661166,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,base_candidate,base_candidate,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,base_candidate,base_candidate,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4513871679873818,0.31834050168371664,-0.23124383390695058,0.2696340784900374,1.164098211030813,1.59357405549437,1.3766442819479139,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8347984280674579,0.20857478438388466,1.0583396880602474,0.7905458751977053,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,base_candidate,base_candidate,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.656972014427413,0.17027226256599892,-0.37302695578168854,0.2555068142853254,0.7454685293912566,0.8343505275091319,0.45646101421595275,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6127069594732573,-0.014594468126391832,0.6635389318425475,0.3628629735129287,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,base_candidate,base_candidate,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,base_candidate,base_candidate,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4338354479528697,0.3154238417006321,-0.23145973561681488,0.2696540189077112,1.1557848166264428,1.5810409471676061,1.3627590166387344,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8348343591171368,0.19824995460380937,1.0542126510232326,0.7971533582463123,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_full_eligible,universe_full_eligible,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.199594232286683,0.151463838285814,-0.46068471449988324,0.2655735383224109,0.6661729250420294,0.733312074844346,0.32877982168399555,3.878962275896414,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6334511671884334,-0.07184702839340631,0.6455142632593253,0.39670030649373844,-0.16059893451452434,0.3554854485594161,offensive_ablation,full_eligible,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_full_eligible,universe_full_eligible,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16059893451452434,-0.16232718710425598,-0.18101985305713997,0.11670548822310796,-1.4471681654241324,-1.258779071417011,-0.8967369289213624,3.7056180747922443,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.14287064623734408,0.5929420174020622,0.0,0.26376456564307244,-0.16059893451452434,0.3554854485594161,offensive_ablation,full_eligible,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_full_eligible,universe_full_eligible,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6826398921568155,0.3554854485594161,-0.23084351847777274,0.27956081942762173,1.2322923634123826,1.6972012762192996,1.5399412160391446,4.334454113924051,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8639907283085551,0.3394856828335357,1.1289742874933026,0.7420635748158559,-0.16059893451452434,0.3554854485594161,offensive_ablation,full_eligible,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_full_eligible,universe_full_eligible,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.1489114461946004,0.14923646315789307,-0.4614729092235589,0.2655645151147937,0.6588779029210186,0.7257290837892049,0.32339160148964674,3.878962275896414,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6334610424336183,-0.08011487645266069,0.6419909871274236,0.3999618935288555,-0.16213332881554554,0.35255291109186015,offensive_ablation,full_eligible,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_full_eligible,universe_full_eligible,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16213332881554554,-0.1638764325489267,-0.1810198530571402,0.11668049230271521,-1.4632352823859565,-1.253877921816423,-0.9052953572843634,3.7056180747922443,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.14279457368071843,0.5866812039174036,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2661596853353931,-0.16213332881554554,0.35255291109186015,offensive_ablation,full_eligible,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_full_eligible,universe_full_eligible,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6638560466504577,0.35255291109186015,-0.23104458287573337,0.27956407048917653,1.2245013550431132,1.6855181701698674,1.5259085787848992,4.334454113924051,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8640122632131645,0.32971094597172895,1.1249783130600501,0.7487119967493425,-0.16213332881554554,0.35255291109186015,offensive_ablation,full_eligible,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_liquid_50m,universe_liquid_50m,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.141429877869429,0.18806087974103525,-0.4662713252981918,0.2637399046984919,0.787926801010672,0.8587305099341878,0.4033292839116061,3.809234935258964,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6364614214561722,0.06022599871466014,0.6942253894537922,0.33454414049227993,-0.15439051897864087,0.3923483652147417,offensive_ablation,liquid_50m,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_liquid_50m,universe_liquid_50m,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15439051897864087,-0.15605834161473664,-0.1790550432330804,0.11535750737683859,-1.4012673877324326,-1.2244363974031642,-0.8715663004900208,3.6297351108033244,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.14880063924991443,0.6229919792396061,0.0,0.253964680145623,-0.15439051897864087,0.3923483652147417,offensive_ablation,liquid_50m,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_liquid_50m,universe_liquid_50m,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9266378625663374,0.3923483652147417,-0.22969366000991776,0.27590535538924305,1.342590354809467,1.8476942818914424,1.7081375480620615,4.222721518987342,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8669289940587089,0.4668477421928739,1.1632960185962258,0.6172202389668644,-0.15439051897864087,0.3923483652147417,offensive_ablation,liquid_50m,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_liquid_50m,universe_liquid_50m,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.0770192351563477,0.18580473005596776,-0.46636721510365886,0.2637294568313378,0.7807218971685823,0.8515466345167295,0.3984086446013774,3.809234935258964,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6364646720182001,0.05201565495013617,0.6907443513173047,0.33773088960986136,-0.1559058592046817,0.3894136988101955,offensive_ablation,liquid_50m,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_liquid_50m,universe_liquid_50m,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1559058592046817,-0.15758848162817063,-0.17905504323308052,0.1153459484575793,-1.4170208110232938,-1.220369320869264,-0.8801119409020705,3.6297351108033244,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.14872755391744702,0.6167927861814749,-0.0011209241210952186,0.25630151586077504,-0.1559058592046817,0.3894136988101955,offensive_ablation,liquid_50m,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_liquid_50m,universe_liquid_50m,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.9066723518493727,0.3894136988101955,-0.22986555694514832,0.2759093079225044,1.334894552667678,1.8366088640046248,1.6940932951652228,4.222721518987342,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8669380369936031,0.4570928122413127,1.1593960200317237,0.6236804270088363,-0.1559058592046817,0.3894136988101955,offensive_ablation,liquid_50m,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_leadership_liquid,universe_leadership_liquid,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.715579490824457,0.17253073736292612,-0.3728767879785576,0.25550656800540367,0.7530333525120412,0.8424628702778963,0.4627017366735297,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6126966054562466,-0.006153425141650513,0.6670457142614694,0.35960135698661166,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_leadership_liquid,universe_leadership_liquid,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_leadership_liquid,universe_leadership_liquid,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4513871679873818,0.31834050168371664,-0.23124383390695058,0.2696340784900374,1.164098211030813,1.59357405549437,1.3766442819479139,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8347984280674579,0.20857478438388466,1.0583396880602474,0.7905458751977053,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_leadership_liquid,universe_leadership_liquid,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.656972014427413,0.17027226256599892,-0.37302695578168854,0.2555068142853254,0.7454685293912566,0.8343505275091319,0.45646101421595275,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6127069594732573,-0.014594468126391832,0.6635389318425475,0.3628629735129287,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_leadership_liquid,universe_leadership_liquid,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,universe_leadership_liquid,universe_leadership_liquid,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4338354479528697,0.3154238417006321,-0.23145973561681488,0.2696540189077112,1.1557848166264428,1.5810409471676061,1.3627590166387344,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8348343591171368,0.19824995460380937,1.0542126510232326,0.7971533582463123,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.0820646802175897,0.14625004420947652,-0.2812029889357561,0.1922697124179831,0.8080747180180191,0.9223375694943644,0.5200870899807147,3.0146464143426295,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.4475071819808535,-0.185494273899662,0.5304701941351111,0.26031045655793983,-0.10941458589457898,0.2834131468914747,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10941458589457898,-0.11062868906376955,-0.11707100053271002,0.09355700144069162,-1.1963246729581214,-1.1083332034509472,-0.9449709027886845,3.27814404432133,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.11798262657069171,0.7847527315525512,0.0,0.17975392247295682,-0.10941458589457898,0.2834131468914747,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2468762128002382,0.2834131468914747,-0.2239928625137506,0.20914515863182623,1.3022771871895564,1.7758621495232034,1.2652775794321407,3.3812594936708864,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.629186000863267,0.018423623269331127,0.9015283501684869,0.5978302194202224,-0.10941458589457898,0.2834131468914747,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.0440060112576317,0.14452422757518413,-0.2813076299365479,0.1922702829714886,0.8002172375703781,0.9135665027514671,0.5137586478112349,3.0146464143426295,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.4475137018900538,-0.19278241763051931,0.5277567736563983,0.26289976571597673,-0.11085542159515815,0.2812440897419135,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11085542159515815,-0.1120844862755308,-0.11707100053271002,0.09353999772983629,-1.2139299346863854,-1.098376013440143,-0.9574060678179138,3.27814404432133,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.11792534359666265,0.7792131462385251,-0.0011209241210952186,0.1818337528414463,-0.11085542159515815,0.2812440897419135,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,struct_h12_cap6_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.2345795315445223,0.2812440897419135,-0.22408022105811365,0.20915650574131806,1.2940978932398368,1.7642375244158486,1.2551044818407904,3.3812594936708864,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.6292059861803797,0.009165733301733184,0.8982639307484782,0.6025598553549759,-0.11085542159515815,0.2812440897419135,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.9315483929578154,0.13931154438067028,-0.29719610936092467,0.1974555792128779,0.7612157871588551,0.8597696417890721,0.4687529210265865,3.0170717131474105,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.4621922103073058,-0.2090783298214629,0.5190944724684731,0.2638999008613785,-0.10880551207175249,0.26399535742099145,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10880551207175249,-0.11001328233119012,-0.11987000274126192,0.09614825834192274,-1.154377375363011,-1.0577320012261664,-0.9177715843441882,3.2882617728531858,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.12095311630897275,0.7884506855489788,0.0,0.17873176636103305,-0.10880551207175249,0.26399535742099145,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1384459019082627,0.26399535742099145,-0.22607063356539492,0.21068866720616397,1.2216277783853082,1.6456672615487062,1.1677560825016493,3.378177215189874,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.6411804320728541,-0.06363679047382487,0.8728403151633081,0.6387158915888318,-0.10880551207175249,0.26399535742099145,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.895330342789113,0.13759531584197937,-0.29731905772349254,0.1974535581259235,0.7535685433528845,0.8514106430489918,0.4627867345454302,3.0170717131474105,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.4621978510302883,-0.21634560261086047,0.5164460272299626,0.2666131338139264,-0.11025139210526791,0.2618617737750304,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11025139210526791,-0.11147418797498365,-0.1198700027412618,0.09612719022703545,-1.1716024149677515,-1.0405068792425678,-0.9299590007985531,3.2882617728531858,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.12089460912126418,0.7828928621988235,-0.0011209241210952186,0.18081454460681395,-0.11025139210526791,0.2618617737750304,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,struct_h12_cap6_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.1267571606327387,0.2618617737750304,-0.22617755926057426,0.21069674653997839,1.2135389046154992,1.6344741519958652,1.1577708002116387,3.378177215189874,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.6412036513782908,-0.07292528879795218,0.8696612841538758,0.6436689829951701,-0.11025139210526791,0.2618617737750304,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.871457997431699,0.13645375618959021,-0.2866279565057478,0.19846525771537266,0.7456276961133788,0.846916596639225,0.4760657608318604,3.002519920318725,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.4672142288272923,-0.22069369025194227,0.5111805608576343,0.26213662411158206,-0.10880551207175249,0.2550182963160077,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.10880551207175249,-0.11001328233119012,-0.11987000274126192,0.09614825834192274,-1.154377375363011,-1.0577320012261664,-0.9177715843441882,3.2882617728531858,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.12095311630897275,0.7884506855489788,0.0,0.17873176636103305,-0.10880551207175249,0.2550182963160077,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0895637582040956,0.2550182963160077,-0.22607063356539492,0.21305796170770105,1.1768314537580704,1.575296033556952,1.1280469837858846,3.378177215189874,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.6500277495720287,-0.09963792746035725,0.8494714068337044,0.626023854797287,-0.10880551207175249,0.2550182963160077,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.836156799959439,0.1347502973255954,-0.28675262905389143,0.19846227088248666,0.7380595238342171,0.8385477318400371,0.46991826289505734,3.002519920318725,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.46721712356088574,-0.22794083641490528,0.5085438951391248,0.264830032454918,-0.11025139210526791,0.2529001170932128,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.11025139210526791,-0.11147418797498365,-0.1198700027412618,0.09612719022703545,-1.1716024149677515,-1.0405068792425678,-0.9299590007985531,3.2882617728531858,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.12089460912126418,0.7828928621988235,-0.0011209241210952186,0.18081454460681395,-0.11025139210526791,0.2529001170932128,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,struct_h12_cap6_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.0781435596636588,0.2529001170932128,-0.22617755926057448,0.21306479234132158,1.1688410770579196,1.564264514886404,1.1181485816718528,3.378177215189874,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.6500438848978161,-0.10888293821051517,0.846319471150787,0.6310609138087938,-0.11025139210526791,0.2529001170932128,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.0913740109349677,0.1863102417514435,-0.3608384866769411,0.25270382487836185,0.804761517024662,0.9193290670223512,0.5163258594370704,3.9386852589641435,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.5841621436682392,0.0410097122362361,0.6917669176703958,0.34547658304504997,-0.13248945650835575,0.37060755849250615,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13248945650835575,-0.13393980264628924,-0.1534740624251687,0.10777617809006564,-1.2695579679686235,-1.0995705594474419,-0.8727194714846098,3.6626177285318557,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.1320332912129774,0.7006422476460547,0.0,0.21847848942325393,-0.13248945650835575,0.37060755849250615,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7809586072290378,0.37060755849250615,-0.25741104094776324,0.27305856429732167,1.295844248053046,1.7967964969851982,1.4397500477367404,4.472386075949367,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8164625692840597,0.3808967128803915,1.1731070418046674,0.7864659964066167,-0.13248945650835575,0.37060755849250615,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.0254917245375914,0.18397718143372677,-0.3609613431658363,0.25270483831642965,0.7969498500157309,0.9106128599714113,0.5096866601285951,3.9386852589641435,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.584173339452504,0.032538621539577504,0.6881661307681276,0.3488080410853336,-0.13405676456911542,0.3675429883187875,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13405676456911542,-0.13552289439865306,-0.15347406242516892,0.10775089927723322,-1.2867207395652906,-1.0960819423053278,-0.8830345157816585,3.6626177285318557,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.13195894582992163,0.6944556070516118,-0.0011209241210952186,0.22084982453676846,-0.13405676456911542,0.3675429883187875,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,struct_h12_cap8_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.7608357773989716,0.3675429883187875,-0.25758583365613263,0.27307549912153944,1.2875490743537492,1.7845737851655727,1.426875783896732,4.472386075949367,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8164984055103842,0.3708027579109203,1.1688161517827247,0.7929691297973112,-0.13405676456911542,0.3675429883187875,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.812602517882649,0.17620167664882458,-0.3799909230133056,0.2597153042129271,0.7570481637501446,0.8551924180314633,0.46369969906532416,3.9459611553784857,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6037421814368423,0.011886137777965385,0.6767528672018029,0.35019275592290283,-0.13179398393428932,0.342839400430496,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13179398393428932,-0.13323731547483086,-0.15711833341206405,0.11175640157882723,-1.2132090005404166,-1.015132963031595,-0.8480061656802202,3.6929709141274234,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.13599394419735206,0.7046164584772884,0.0,0.21731133773225153,-0.13179398393428932,0.342839400430496,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6022877460471685,0.342839400430496,-0.2600726629764135,0.2751573700464011,1.2133623119267527,1.6605150454361124,1.3182446648058075,4.4631392405063295,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8324551442301759,0.29154782404596047,1.134651031462093,0.8408922967356949,-0.13179398393428932,0.342839400430496,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.751122997694218,0.17388522461301026,-0.380134199411135,0.25971263579464215,0.7494441614439229,0.8468744380128174,0.4574311516363838,3.9459611553784857,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.603751874403201,0.003503566980157418,0.6732333993814358,0.3536870238374099,-0.1333747255596328,0.33984464449290464,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1333747255596328,-0.13483399100706106,-0.15711833341206416,0.1117235070734047,-1.2299662513233833,-1.008619387538611,-0.8581684140796009,3.6929709141274234,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.13591730270179964,0.698386453726823,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2196984241380214,-0.1333747255596328,0.33984464449290464,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,struct_h12_cap8_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5835061037983449,0.33984464449290464,-0.260265760294179,0.27516933535630866,1.2051741029461047,1.6487546076456925,1.3057600973281211,4.4631392405063295,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8324937914448012,0.2814775243003553,1.130479122517976,0.847666392044443,-0.1333747255596328,0.33984464449290464,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.70629811822564,0.1721751696837408,-0.36743850211534557,0.2610795925364297,0.7412178174660203,0.8419982235849534,0.46858227619731563,3.926558764940239,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6104382061301574,-0.0012601899583480252,0.6661841116381724,0.34852282888784947,-0.13179398393428932,0.3298392804061643,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13179398393428932,-0.13323731547483086,-0.15711833341206405,0.11175640157882723,-1.2132090005404166,-1.015132963031595,-0.8480061656802202,3.6929709141274234,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.13599394419735206,0.7046164584772884,0.0,0.21731133773225153,-0.13179398393428932,0.3298392804061643,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5214373898815614,0.3298392804061643,-0.2600726629764134,0.2783803419256383,1.1674644728742047,1.5859018313109745,1.2682581730478846,4.4631392405063295,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8442515675624086,0.24955846303491772,1.1030967782048866,0.8251460673204134,-0.13179398393428932,0.3298392804061643,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6468345113440233,0.16987838514387565,-0.36758448648772,0.26107562227304415,0.733694279234139,0.8336737849564783,0.46214786365732774,3.926558764940239,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6104442377773308,-0.009605873061802012,0.6626812404209723,0.3519900122032581,-0.1333747255596328,0.3268739889252008,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1333747255596328,-0.13483399100706106,-0.15711833341206416,0.1117235070734047,-1.2299662513233833,-1.008619387538611,-0.8581684140796009,3.6929709141274234,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.13591730270179964,0.698386453726823,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2196984241380214,-0.1333747255596328,0.3268739889252008,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,struct_h12_cap8_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5032421626877919,0.3268739889252008,-0.26026576029417936,0.27839059662082244,1.1593801561390236,1.5743515444218392,1.2559239008455585,4.4631392405063295,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8442807694708347,0.23957582000465985,1.0989619579494463,0.8320314963268826,-0.1333747255596328,0.3268739889252008,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.275743286108723,0.19266805398866227,-0.37346461580275936,0.2628454733779849,0.8041454194394152,0.9183921399964466,0.5158937308545918,4.092691733067729,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6069379706161367,0.07359085128593407,0.7187414167242352,0.36030444099760556,-0.1363116799355234,0.3851081441270927,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1363116799355234,-0.13780045886392178,-0.1594185226044591,0.11032933827497919,-1.27779882128972,-1.093618394513516,-0.8643942787365121,3.7266966759002766,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.13437506865335835,0.6863079625562584,0.0,0.22489299763358273,-0.1363116799355234,0.3851081441270927,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8775510474409662,0.3851081441270927,-0.2628865326703911,0.2838182491984887,1.294563584742716,1.797610128555818,1.4649215394002093,4.654240506329114,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8476753306875251,0.42692096216352815,1.21861642524675,0.818958348412686,-0.1363116799355234,0.3851081441270927,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.2042225306963896,0.19023086607702933,-0.3735898601290182,0.2628465529689171,0.7963414218103982,0.9096895468205127,0.5091970804864288,4.092691733067729,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6069499457129122,0.06499463190314457,0.7149909588447115,0.36375860611095784,-0.13789926514483908,0.38188511352032695,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13789926514483908,-0.1394039483096864,-0.15941852260445877,0.11030295416307406,-1.2948674264367181,-1.0913059859279945,-0.8744526422162904,3.7266966759002766,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.1342978795354648,0.6800164615892904,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2273124063517711,-0.13789926514483908,0.38188511352032695,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,struct_h12_cap10_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.8558841120203478,0.38188511352032695,-0.26307512383506726,0.2838360762203195,1.2862575343903855,1.785327453889553,1.4516200085863937,4.654240506329114,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8477138087320516,0.4167679381233018,1.2141516327644828,0.8257557981302124,-0.13789926514483908,0.38188511352032695,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9700684453605697,0.18198836889491843,-0.39305408853497015,0.2701595338342913,0.7563510329776795,0.8541452358877347,0.46301100587260996,4.100776062416998,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6273338432917651,0.04351689144207303,0.7031316889455292,0.3652000738140362,-0.13560699237886964,0.35585611817523155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13560699237886964,-0.1370887007092234,-0.16319946588171763,0.11454548610237944,-1.2194511255620943,-1.0056883603839117,-0.8400070427226853,3.76042243767313,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.1385007488454153,0.6903015292378465,0.0,0.22371038123137607,-0.13560699237886964,0.35585611817523155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6850206537000267,0.35585611817523155,-0.2656404229158129,0.286008901461517,1.2118946529082657,1.6606895240136017,1.3396158395968596,4.643966244725738,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8643342629230627,0.33687467394165477,1.1785239074764122,0.8756325996461677,-0.13560699237886964,0.35585611817523155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9035604386796514,0.17956932924828095,-0.3931999645535218,0.2701567548467999,0.7487542065210773,0.8458397405747756,0.45668704332713195,4.100776062416998,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6273442116320198,0.03502059529467511,0.6994652802961613,0.3688233847247985,-0.13720934849258937,0.352709803195397,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13720934849258937,-0.13870712442322752,-0.16319946588171763,0.11451088725527828,-1.236112673652104,-1.0007597088586873,-0.8499238871514355,3.76042243767313,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.1384210849652222,0.6839630439624359,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2261475840407113,-0.13720934849258937,0.352709803195397,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,struct_h12_cap10_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.664858680196267,0.352709803195397,-0.2658470981530442,0.28602148577205283,1.2036974504998714,1.6488790260152995,1.3267393386868842,4.643966244725738,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8643754814558863,0.3267535092410132,1.1741839659853393,0.8827086810736393,-0.13720934849258937,0.352709803195397,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.854391826299228,0.17775756516220942,-0.38023208506668604,0.271582603857322,0.7404970656849379,0.8409184042819449,0.4674975420105167,4.080565239043825,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6343088690139682,0.030166912570488185,0.6921205563268243,0.36357887978317255,-0.13560699237886964,0.3421331574643174,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13560699237886964,-0.1370887007092234,-0.16319946588171763,0.11454548610237944,-1.2194511255620943,-1.0056883603839117,-0.8400070427226853,3.76042243767313,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.1385007488454153,0.6903015292378465,0.0,0.22371038123137607,-0.13560699237886964,0.3421331574643174,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.597850053942162,0.3421331574643174,-0.265640422915813,0.2893730960143337,1.165888623305084,1.5856657347328285,1.2879559282012831,4.643966244725738,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8766222038941384,0.2941244077344428,1.145588104854337,0.8594342447786929,-0.13560699237886964,0.3421331574643174,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.790148798225895,0.17535948624009667,-0.38038083852453053,0.2715784673281777,0.7329808312666564,0.8326068258771087,0.4610103046207672,4.080565239043825,9.579930278884461,8.852459016393443,0.6343154234800717,0.021710446920982333,0.6884715873190397,0.36717385784432943,-0.13720934849258937,0.33901920378233363,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13720934849258937,-0.13870712442322752,-0.16319946588171763,0.11451088725527828,-1.236112673652104,-1.0007597088586873,-0.8499238871514355,3.76042243767313,6.070637119113573,3.7768924302788847,0.1384210849652222,0.6839630439624359,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2261475840407113,-0.13720934849258937,0.33901920378233363,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,struct_h12_cap10_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5783458770628758,0.33901920378233363,-0.2658470981530444,0.28938389358682465,1.1577958649581235,1.574070416384899,1.2752413178012765,4.643966244725738,12.020886075949367,11.101840490797546,0.8766535835663379,0.28409634082900864,1.1412869641540213,0.8666261739047192,-0.13720934849258937,0.33901920378233363,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,12,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.684668848412511,0.17134351029398331,-0.3401757564270983,0.24029235420093933,0.7805142229739092,0.8884920162614232,0.5036911274736983,3.753453062749004,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5721763266936787,-0.02814536944410709,0.6446469412725092,0.3352823754447939,-0.15478614355617215,0.3183617910236496,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15478614355617215,-0.15645783323255447,-0.15983967221955575,0.10414339920491966,-1.5683935309612538,-1.2962330100452208,-0.9788423052922932,3.7637950138504164,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1264912234649706,0.6096683807832246,0.0,0.25952766912778213,-0.15478614355617215,0.3183617910236496,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4515156027259994,0.3183617910236496,-0.2243561447524407,0.2539679793946111,1.2196443363069482,1.7009806278973125,1.4190018792439882,4.232738924050634,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.783982462513893,0.1986006232847798,1.0512213888365312,0.7901395756327118,-0.15478614355617215,0.3183617910236496,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6281174275025188,0.1691486260838062,-0.34034638382497706,0.24029124781532527,0.7726921820104957,0.8798516175839278,0.4969896379765586,3.753453062749004,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5721825945148742,-0.036597278242389626,0.6412444075195041,0.3384683234261515,-0.1563564021186069,0.31557178820769693,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1563564021186069,-0.15804341859966098,-0.1599724276004253,0.10412720102706353,-1.586571446599615,-1.2998433279456862,-0.9879416157540439,3.7637950138504164,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.12641151858782887,0.6033196597587668,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2619601105773746,-0.1563564021186069,0.31557178820769693,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,struct_h16_cap6_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4347236528374934,0.31557178820769693,-0.22454328575391214,0.2539843172427586,1.211206855847848,1.6876840653508782,1.4053940074322566,4.232738924050634,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.7840036911445565,0.1882415505625153,1.0472249069079056,0.7963356968301617,-0.1563564021186069,0.31557178820769693,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.572731155763627,0.16696962737994459,-0.3602152921875714,0.2456060974944106,0.7537673704025964,0.8436249288145168,0.4635273154727704,3.712526145418327,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5895722467641165,-0.0387963913154865,0.642273509369615,0.3451559247603035,-0.15113400901529628,0.30709256913371674,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15113400901529628,-0.15276991732302359,-0.1597737223798118,0.10699145040383841,-1.4833834386890588,-1.2086043031449567,-0.9561642243012973,3.6651471606648207,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.12919872815097772,0.6251368546030199,0.0,0.25330200216730603,-0.15113400901529628,0.30709256913371674,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.384179024306754,0.30709256913371674,-0.22635664873914374,0.2593588919438484,1.1665067186533598,1.595226906240944,1.3566757188016778,4.2512325949367105,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8038616639958195,0.1612052552941899,1.0195840117108563,0.7583133719638245,-0.15113400901529628,0.30709256913371674,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.518481687725394,0.16480638392569058,-0.360362612421149,0.2456063385371539,0.7461938306591916,0.8354956115711248,0.4573348572939206,3.712526145418327,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5895818869746633,-0.04710618348962664,0.6389066253293326,0.3483031195253934,-0.15266976293364543,0.30431326435667616,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15266976293364543,-0.15432074041996424,-0.15977372237981158,0.10697649022143171,-1.5005896287451175,-1.214049005306661,-0.9658705957486263,3.6651471606648207,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1291237325823667,0.6189565603512672,-0.0011209241210952186,0.25566262836744674,-0.15266976293364543,0.30431326435667616,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,struct_h16_cap6_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.367770851597609,0.30431326435667616,-0.2265581212290555,0.2593779116206881,1.1582002133280962,1.582735047323441,1.343201747550724,4.2512325949367105,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8038952130829271,0.1509482170243725,1.0156141174083388,0.7646375319903456,-0.15266976293364543,0.30431326435667616,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4721775468917255,0.162936656709465,-0.36021529218757187,0.24776673771904473,0.7353527251230944,0.8231522025458531,0.4523313147533458,3.690698456175299,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5946326203724585,-0.05165256205798199,0.6305822247298167,0.3426406435413144,-0.15113400901529628,0.29942640144975874,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15113400901529628,-0.15276991732302359,-0.1597737223798118,0.10699145040383841,-1.4833834386890588,-1.2086043031449567,-0.9561642243012973,3.6651471606648207,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.12919872815097772,0.6251368546030199,0.0,0.25330200216730603,-0.15113400901529628,0.29942640144975874,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3391100013752104,0.29942640144975874,-0.22635664873914374,0.26267095511975536,1.1326254378727827,1.542616357931155,1.322808069114071,4.25123259493671,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8150856209884119,0.13569393826814932,0.986926781545695,0.712206206703911,-0.15113400901529628,0.29942640144975874,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.419757403344656,0.16079334069188578,-0.3603626124211492,0.2477676394773582,0.7278874427328125,0.8151210213358696,0.44619873191497883,3.690698456175299,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5946395066054362,-0.05987325011982983,0.6272039062203475,0.34571472866187886,-0.15266976293364543,0.2966631320312847,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15266976293364543,-0.15432074041996424,-0.15977372237981158,0.10697649022143171,-1.5005896287451175,-1.214049005306661,-0.9658705957486263,3.6651471606648207,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1291237325823667,0.6189565603512672,-0.0011209241210952186,0.25566262836744674,-0.15266976293364543,0.2966631320312847,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,struct_h16_cap6_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3230104557872542,0.2966631320312847,-0.2265581212290556,0.26269034853089274,1.124424516498464,1.5303784667653708,1.3094349936427627,4.25123259493671,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8151121093541198,0.1255363910929107,0.9829047184191424,0.7183775647687071,-0.15266976293364543,0.2966631320312847,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8388029440272446,0.17717890539514047,-0.35231307839336223,0.24996415458077514,0.7798222566257915,0.8874101533640586,0.5029018684265756,3.900183640438247,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5945758553828739,0.004898534737280414,0.6694953000352548,0.3492117768474462,-0.15887046433702623,0.3302651467942155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15887046433702623,-0.1605819474255289,-0.16599884098400242,0.10668309294937353,-1.574085489755089,-1.2875388554323952,-0.9673678832553081,3.832089681440444,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.128792513214433,0.5939636975100121,0.0,0.26649006896731486,-0.15887046433702623,0.3302651467942155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.524058025168752,0.3302651467942155,-0.2291734176071648,0.26400761226058855,1.217341966890497,1.6999229832491738,1.441114550904573,4.403805379746835,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8140909265237847,0.24713875851977218,1.091362107464043,0.8235122216395966,-0.15887046433702623,0.3302651467942155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.777601738440287,0.17488696186765007,-0.35248723931285353,0.2499630262911203,0.7720088538908957,0.878785964719215,0.4961511860928033,3.900183640438247,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5945827635025271,-0.003695653482063953,0.6659515916326794,0.35251376592126304,-0.16046139358738254,0.32733606818252015,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16046139358738254,-0.16218831331253292,-0.1659988409840023,0.10666588328440138,-1.5921642253850348,-1.2921146490881636,-0.9770448537539089,3.832089681440444,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.12870974129019988,0.5875029325282668,-0.0011209241210952186,0.26897232318832803,-0.16046139358738254,0.32733606818252015,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,struct_h16_cap8_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5060715180327913,0.32733606818252015,-0.22937514056751895,0.2640248294101551,1.2088964574496839,1.6865720573024712,1.4270773518552478,4.403805379746835,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8141142336821127,0.236701356227273,1.087207525592655,0.8299887433924142,-0.16046139358738254,0.32733606818252015,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.715579490824457,0.17253073736292612,-0.3728767879785576,0.25550656800540367,0.7530333525120412,0.8424628702778963,0.4627017366735297,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6126966054562466,-0.006153425141650513,0.6670457142614694,0.35960135698661166,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4513871679873818,0.31834050168371664,-0.23124383390695058,0.2696340784900374,1.164098211030813,1.59357405549437,1.3766442819479139,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8347984280674579,0.20857478438388466,1.0583396880602474,0.7905458751977053,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.656972014427413,0.17027226256599892,-0.37302695578168854,0.2555068142853254,0.7454685293912566,0.8343505275091319,0.45646101421595275,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6127069594732573,-0.014594468126391832,0.6635389318425475,0.3628629735129287,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,struct_h16_cap8_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4338354479528697,0.3154238417006321,-0.23145973561681488,0.2696540189077112,1.1557848166264428,1.5810409471676061,1.3627590166387344,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8348343591171368,0.19824995460380937,1.0542126510232326,0.7971533582463123,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.606018301710476,0.16828273374789604,-0.3728767879785575,0.2577599244455882,0.7345936529671877,0.8219582566746035,0.451309223779232,3.8350037350597606,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6179678279649363,-0.019398656703014088,0.6548354924466615,0.35714478403448674,-0.15509523200605835,0.3102378086790738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.3102378086790738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4028422485150043,0.3102378086790738,-0.23124383390695058,0.27309028467266017,1.130156012271267,1.540719822366291,1.3416046751928068,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8464900499347419,0.18233180045508424,1.0242307894821088,0.7430234398100949,-0.15509523200605835,0.3102378086790738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.549465794536064,0.1660454610379294,-0.37302695578168854,0.2577608601975887,0.7271372270248899,0.8139443345609071,0.44512992550357766,3.8350037350597606,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6179753132553125,-0.027745821683196538,0.6513167128595404,0.36033031612251126,-0.15665114419875414,0.3073387844099793,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3073387844099793,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,struct_h16_cap8_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3856363862945664,0.3073387844099793,-0.23145973561681477,0.2731106132930141,1.1219487072059333,1.5284449888375524,1.3278282876758465,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8465186260662956,0.1721124015840159,1.02004931039725,0.749472398229462,-0.15665114419875414,0.3073387844099793,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8388029440272446,0.17717890539514047,-0.35231307839336223,0.24996415458077514,0.7798222566257915,0.8874101533640586,0.5029018684265756,3.900183640438247,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5945758553828739,0.004898534737280414,0.6694953000352548,0.3492117768474462,-0.15887046433702623,0.3302651467942155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15887046433702623,-0.1605819474255289,-0.16599884098400242,0.10668309294937353,-1.574085489755089,-1.2875388554323952,-0.9673678832553081,3.832089681440444,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.128792513214433,0.5939636975100121,0.0,0.26649006896731486,-0.15887046433702623,0.3302651467942155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.524058025168752,0.3302651467942155,-0.2291734176071648,0.26400761226058855,1.217341966890497,1.6999229832491738,1.441114550904573,4.403805379746835,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8140909265237847,0.24713875851977218,1.091362107464043,0.8235122216395966,-0.15887046433702623,0.3302651467942155,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.777601738440287,0.17488696186765007,-0.35248723931285353,0.2499630262911203,0.7720088538908957,0.878785964719215,0.4961511860928033,3.900183640438247,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.5945827635025271,-0.003695653482063953,0.6659515916326794,0.35251376592126304,-0.16046139358738254,0.32733606818252015,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16046139358738254,-0.16218831331253292,-0.1659988409840023,0.10666588328440138,-1.5921642253850348,-1.2921146490881636,-0.9770448537539089,3.832089681440444,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.12870974129019988,0.5875029325282668,-0.0011209241210952186,0.26897232318832803,-0.16046139358738254,0.32733606818252015,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,struct_h16_cap10_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5060715180327913,0.32733606818252015,-0.22937514056751895,0.2640248294101551,1.2088964574496839,1.6865720573024712,1.4270773518552478,4.403805379746835,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8141142336821127,0.236701356227273,1.087207525592655,0.8299887433924142,-0.16046139358738254,0.32733606818252015,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.715579490824457,0.17253073736292612,-0.3728767879785576,0.25550656800540367,0.7530333525120412,0.8424628702778963,0.4627017366735297,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6126966054562466,-0.006153425141650513,0.6670457142614694,0.35960135698661166,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4513871679873818,0.31834050168371664,-0.23124383390695058,0.2696340784900374,1.164098211030813,1.59357405549437,1.3766442819479139,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8347984280674579,0.20857478438388466,1.0583396880602474,0.7905458751977053,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.656972014427413,0.17027226256599892,-0.37302695578168854,0.2555068142853254,0.7454685293912566,0.8343505275091319,0.45646101421595275,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6127069594732573,-0.014594468126391832,0.6635389318425475,0.3628629735129287,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,struct_h16_cap10_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4338354479528697,0.3154238417006321,-0.23145973561681488,0.2696540189077112,1.1557848166264428,1.5810409471676061,1.3627590166387344,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8348343591171368,0.19824995460380937,1.0542126510232326,0.7971533582463123,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.606018301710476,0.16828273374789604,-0.3728767879785575,0.2577599244455882,0.7345936529671877,0.8219582566746035,0.451309223779232,3.8350037350597606,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6179678279649363,-0.019398656703014088,0.6548354924466615,0.35714478403448674,-0.15509523200605835,0.3102378086790738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.3102378086790738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4028422485150043,0.3102378086790738,-0.23124383390695058,0.27309028467266017,1.130156012271267,1.540719822366291,1.3416046751928068,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8464900499347419,0.18233180045508424,1.0242307894821088,0.7430234398100949,-0.15509523200605835,0.3102378086790738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.549465794536064,0.1660454610379294,-0.37302695578168854,0.2577608601975887,0.7271372270248899,0.8139443345609071,0.44512992550357766,3.8350037350597606,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6179753132553125,-0.027745821683196538,0.6513167128595404,0.36033031612251126,-0.15665114419875414,0.3073387844099793,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3073387844099793,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,struct_h16_cap10_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3856363862945664,0.3073387844099793,-0.23145973561681477,0.2731106132930141,1.1219487072059333,1.5284449888375524,1.3278282876758465,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8465186260662956,0.1721124015840159,1.02004931039725,0.749472398229462,-0.15665114419875414,0.3073387844099793,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4612445684981203,0.16249199525998081,-0.37284540501904506,0.23363448895142072,0.7635434739342787,0.8413778301975505,0.43581600597084114,3.9401000166002653,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5779237098801397,-0.0721539809862699,0.6198472234927511,0.33316629975813766,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15161373498424457,-0.15325435402630128,-0.15348582471144112,0.10065737133057917,-1.5889030792151617,-1.281512276417287,-0.9984919083858395,3.6845394736842088,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12376630397970562,0.6216978864707269,0.0,0.25374380992053175,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3276348420905353,0.2974581980230555,-0.1945352273664177,0.23923093891680597,1.2124283987440485,1.66431428034742,1.5290711201769989,4.5412236286919825,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7560036622887731,0.109400573740513,0.9863460600643777,0.7272060280492139,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4055477090541424,0.16020737280827713,-0.3729582628496314,0.2336264819489506,0.7551205180393283,0.8326700464639901,0.42955844866981596,3.9401000166002653,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5779291933232011,-0.08139214100659635,0.6162644520331961,0.3364839420356225,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1531581562008737,-0.15481391898459584,-0.15348582471144112,0.10065798407355366,-1.6070547844874268,-1.2874198524300309,-1.0086528790241809,3.6845394736842088,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1236913479843479,0.6154666956140032,-0.0011209241210952186,0.25612785984787373,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,struct_h24_cap6_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3105629597629078,0.2945175927415815,-0.19473000315147337,0.23923286855768833,1.2028973883264804,1.650340573189723,1.512440753736788,4.5412236286919825,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7560053232259567,0.09756742743474434,0.9821250622515806,0.7340137551943389,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6206003235269137,0.1688546108139486,-0.36709838249072724,0.2390268558078171,0.7745675342801712,0.855020861530303,0.4599710019648855,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5918669490598614,-0.04014722191312949,0.6387512569150847,0.3360639680979356,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15285381168208145,-0.15450659287868795,-0.1600306261120199,0.10389889557975208,-1.5502502329320704,-1.242818624501377,-0.9654813996074403,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1259969437918569,0.6171474347778343,0.0,0.2558497086435391,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4124059318667088,0.3118429932419362,-0.19856896425407256,0.24692707333087882,1.227101511879502,1.6676719743190977,1.5704518297377403,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.788090235952877,0.17386859991943435,1.0134280182181785,0.7188066713098664,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.562919038880088,0.16658050892927423,-0.36721219929913285,0.23902107834105182,0.7664125485361016,0.8465135434499594,0.45363555254213367,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5918762324173518,-0.04919445543229955,0.6351692345304685,0.3392958100261015,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15440674320600023,-0.15607472446940351,-0.16003062611202,0.10390155762684042,-1.5679257197392673,-1.2496169629023286,-0.9752803464016481,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12592099205511315,0.6108793877475306,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2582538477126479,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,struct_h24_cap6_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3949042846067679,0.30890212765738,-0.19877288403243376,0.2469330674405214,1.2179517453281818,1.6548246277103542,1.5540456091937394,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7880899453741227,0.16235093480818133,1.009207188768994,0.7254285149755622,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.604194922244869,0.16821108165941734,-0.35491238407380665,0.237810038074539,0.7749462980474044,0.8607284408457644,0.47395100652344835,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5894445800935308,-0.04423812827602887,0.6387512569150847,0.3385375247556774,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15285381168208145,-0.15450659287868795,-0.1600306261120199,0.10389889557975208,-1.5502502329320704,-1.242818624501377,-0.9654813996074403,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1259969437918569,0.6171474347778343,0.0,0.2558497086435391,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4124059318667088,0.3118429932419362,-0.19856896425407256,0.24692707333087882,1.227101511879502,1.6676719743190977,1.5704518297377403,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.788090235952877,0.17386859991943435,1.0134280182181785,0.7188066713098664,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.5467751694423213,0.16593823861371781,-0.3550283613085655,0.23780417653646935,0.7667498644281515,0.8520657528579351,0.46739431746269994,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5894538634510211,-0.053315159845743136,0.6351692345304685,0.34176889572227503,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15440674320600023,-0.15607472446940351,-0.16003062611202,0.10390155762684042,-1.5679257197392673,-1.2496169629023286,-0.9752803464016481,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12592099205511315,0.6108793877475306,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2582538477126479,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,struct_h24_cap6_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3949042846067679,0.30890212765738,-0.19877288403243376,0.2469330674405214,1.2179517453281818,1.6548246277103542,1.5540456091937394,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7880899453741227,0.16235093480818133,1.009207188768994,0.7254285149755622,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.06,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4612445684981203,0.16249199525998081,-0.37284540501904506,0.23363448895142072,0.7635434739342787,0.8413778301975505,0.43581600597084114,3.9401000166002653,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5779237098801397,-0.0721539809862699,0.6198472234927511,0.33316629975813766,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15161373498424457,-0.15325435402630128,-0.15348582471144112,0.10065737133057917,-1.5889030792151617,-1.281512276417287,-0.9984919083858395,3.6845394736842088,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12376630397970562,0.6216978864707269,0.0,0.25374380992053175,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3276348420905353,0.2974581980230555,-0.1945352273664177,0.23923093891680597,1.2124283987440485,1.66431428034742,1.5290711201769989,4.5412236286919825,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7560036622887731,0.109400573740513,0.9863460600643777,0.7272060280492139,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4055477090541424,0.16020737280827713,-0.3729582628496314,0.2336264819489506,0.7551205180393283,0.8326700464639901,0.42955844866981596,3.9401000166002653,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5779291933232011,-0.08139214100659635,0.6162644520331961,0.3364839420356225,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1531581562008737,-0.15481391898459584,-0.15348582471144112,0.10065798407355366,-1.6070547844874268,-1.2874198524300309,-1.0086528790241809,3.6845394736842088,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1236913479843479,0.6154666956140032,-0.0011209241210952186,0.25612785984787373,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,struct_h24_cap8_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3105629597629078,0.2945175927415815,-0.19473000315147337,0.23923286855768833,1.2028973883264804,1.650340573189723,1.512440753736788,4.5412236286919825,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7560053232259567,0.09756742743474434,0.9821250622515806,0.7340137551943389,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6206003235269137,0.1688546108139486,-0.36709838249072724,0.2390268558078171,0.7745675342801712,0.855020861530303,0.4599710019648855,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5918669490598614,-0.04014722191312949,0.6387512569150847,0.3360639680979356,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15285381168208145,-0.15450659287868795,-0.1600306261120199,0.10389889557975208,-1.5502502329320704,-1.242818624501377,-0.9654813996074403,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1259969437918569,0.6171474347778343,0.0,0.2558497086435391,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4124059318667088,0.3118429932419362,-0.19856896425407256,0.24692707333087882,1.227101511879502,1.6676719743190977,1.5704518297377403,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.788090235952877,0.17386859991943435,1.0134280182181785,0.7188066713098664,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.562919038880088,0.16658050892927423,-0.36721219929913285,0.23902107834105182,0.7664125485361016,0.8465135434499594,0.45363555254213367,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5918762324173518,-0.04919445543229955,0.6351692345304685,0.3392958100261015,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15440674320600023,-0.15607472446940351,-0.16003062611202,0.10390155762684042,-1.5679257197392673,-1.2496169629023286,-0.9752803464016481,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12592099205511315,0.6108793877475306,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2582538477126479,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,struct_h24_cap8_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3949042846067679,0.30890212765738,-0.19877288403243376,0.2469330674405214,1.2179517453281818,1.6548246277103542,1.5540456091937394,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7880899453741227,0.16235093480818133,1.009207188768994,0.7254285149755622,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.604194922244869,0.16821108165941734,-0.35491238407380665,0.237810038074539,0.7749462980474044,0.8607284408457644,0.47395100652344835,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5894445800935308,-0.04423812827602887,0.6387512569150847,0.3385375247556774,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15285381168208145,-0.15450659287868795,-0.1600306261120199,0.10389889557975208,-1.5502502329320704,-1.242818624501377,-0.9654813996074403,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1259969437918569,0.6171474347778343,0.0,0.2558497086435391,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4124059318667088,0.3118429932419362,-0.19856896425407256,0.24692707333087882,1.227101511879502,1.6676719743190977,1.5704518297377403,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.788090235952877,0.17386859991943435,1.0134280182181785,0.7188066713098664,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.5467751694423213,0.16593823861371781,-0.3550283613085655,0.23780417653646935,0.7667498644281515,0.8520657528579351,0.46739431746269994,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5894538634510211,-0.053315159845743136,0.6351692345304685,0.34176889572227503,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15440674320600023,-0.15607472446940351,-0.16003062611202,0.10390155762684042,-1.5679257197392673,-1.2496169629023286,-0.9752803464016481,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12592099205511315,0.6108793877475306,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2582538477126479,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,struct_h24_cap8_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3949042846067679,0.30890212765738,-0.19877288403243376,0.2469330674405214,1.2179517453281818,1.6548246277103542,1.5540456091937394,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7880899453741227,0.16235093480818133,1.009207188768994,0.7254285149755622,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.08,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4612445684981203,0.16249199525998081,-0.37284540501904506,0.23363448895142072,0.7635434739342787,0.8413778301975505,0.43581600597084114,3.9401000166002653,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5779237098801397,-0.0721539809862699,0.6198472234927511,0.33316629975813766,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15161373498424457,-0.15325435402630128,-0.15348582471144112,0.10065737133057917,-1.5889030792151617,-1.281512276417287,-0.9984919083858395,3.6845394736842088,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12376630397970562,0.6216978864707269,0.0,0.25374380992053175,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3276348420905353,0.2974581980230555,-0.1945352273664177,0.23923093891680597,1.2124283987440485,1.66431428034742,1.5290711201769989,4.5412236286919825,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7560036622887731,0.109400573740513,0.9863460600643777,0.7272060280492139,-0.15161373498424457,0.2974581980230555,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.4055477090541424,0.16020737280827713,-0.3729582628496314,0.2336264819489506,0.7551205180393283,0.8326700464639901,0.42955844866981596,3.9401000166002653,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5779291933232011,-0.08139214100659635,0.6162644520331961,0.3364839420356225,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1531581562008737,-0.15481391898459584,-0.15348582471144112,0.10065798407355366,-1.6070547844874268,-1.2874198524300309,-1.0086528790241809,3.6845394736842088,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1236913479843479,0.6154666956140032,-0.0011209241210952186,0.25612785984787373,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,struct_h24_cap10_sector20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3105629597629078,0.2945175927415815,-0.19473000315147337,0.23923286855768833,1.2028973883264804,1.650340573189723,1.512440753736788,4.5412236286919825,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7560053232259567,0.09756742743474434,0.9821250622515806,0.7340137551943389,-0.1531581562008737,0.2945175927415815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.2,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.6206003235269137,0.1688546108139486,-0.36709838249072724,0.2390268558078171,0.7745675342801712,0.855020861530303,0.4599710019648855,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5918669490598614,-0.04014722191312949,0.6387512569150847,0.3360639680979356,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15285381168208145,-0.15450659287868795,-0.1600306261120199,0.10389889557975208,-1.5502502329320704,-1.242818624501377,-0.9654813996074403,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1259969437918569,0.6171474347778343,0.0,0.2558497086435391,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4124059318667088,0.3118429932419362,-0.19856896425407256,0.24692707333087882,1.227101511879502,1.6676719743190977,1.5704518297377403,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.788090235952877,0.17386859991943435,1.0134280182181785,0.7188066713098664,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.562919038880088,0.16658050892927423,-0.36721219929913285,0.23902107834105182,0.7664125485361016,0.8465135434499594,0.45363555254213367,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5918762324173518,-0.04919445543229955,0.6351692345304685,0.3392958100261015,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15440674320600023,-0.15607472446940351,-0.16003062611202,0.10390155762684042,-1.5679257197392673,-1.2496169629023286,-0.9752803464016481,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12592099205511315,0.6108793877475306,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2582538477126479,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,struct_h24_cap10_sector30,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3949042846067679,0.30890212765738,-0.19877288403243376,0.2469330674405214,1.2179517453281818,1.6548246277103542,1.5540456091937394,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7880899453741227,0.16235093480818133,1.009207188768994,0.7254285149755622,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.604194922244869,0.16821108165941734,-0.35491238407380665,0.237810038074539,0.7749462980474044,0.8607284408457644,0.47395100652344835,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5894445800935308,-0.04423812827602887,0.6387512569150847,0.3385375247556774,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15285381168208145,-0.15450659287868795,-0.1600306261120199,0.10389889557975208,-1.5502502329320704,-1.242818624501377,-0.9654813996074403,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.1259969437918569,0.6171474347778343,0.0,0.2558497086435391,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4124059318667088,0.3118429932419362,-0.19856896425407256,0.24692707333087882,1.227101511879502,1.6676719743190977,1.5704518297377403,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.788090235952877,0.17386859991943435,1.0134280182181785,0.7188066713098664,-0.15285381168208145,0.3118429932419362,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.5467751694423213,0.16593823861371781,-0.3550283613085655,0.23780417653646935,0.7667498644281515,0.8520657528579351,0.46739431746269994,3.899678369853916,9.579930278884461,17.704918032786885,0.5894538634510211,-0.053315159845743136,0.6351692345304685,0.34176889572227503,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15440674320600023,-0.15607472446940351,-0.16003062611202,0.10390155762684042,-1.5679257197392673,-1.2496169629023286,-0.9752803464016481,3.7098337950138482,6.070637119113573,7.553784860557769,0.12592099205511315,0.6108793877475306,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2582538477126479,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,struct_h24_cap10_sector40,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3949042846067679,0.30890212765738,-0.19877288403243376,0.2469330674405214,1.2179517453281818,1.6548246277103542,1.5540456091937394,4.489852320675106,12.020886075949367,22.20368098159509,0.7880899453741227,0.16235093480818133,1.009207188768994,0.7254285149755622,-0.15440674320600023,0.30890212765738,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,24,0.1,0.4,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_spy_breadth,regime_spy_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.2608162527027877,0.19216236461603553,-0.31094204142911763,0.2548222147194984,0.8194665972351987,1.0016784230440776,0.6180005885754142,3.8774464641434263,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6681611014208372,0.07015083270277434,0.7515729888547655,0.43215571337436165,-0.15864485955335816,0.3259788783790474,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_spy_breadth,regime_spy_breadth,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15864485955335816,-0.16035415072247694,-0.1897432283344167,0.1864509274723242,-0.8362392923253686,-1.1060209784685142,-0.8451113229709447,5.084158587257618,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3801005064963283,0.7711313773298416,0.46534210583963365,0.4540398822300182,-0.15864485955335816,0.3259788783790474,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_spy_breadth,regime_spy_breadth,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4977676031708165,0.3259788783790474,-0.2991854102620469,0.2851455918576134,1.1364344456320372,1.5404400957088906,1.0895547282654354,4.357571202531646,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0073323308339568,0.27082125857755296,1.1230619216439732,0.9383201685425451,-0.15864485955335816,0.3259788783790474,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_spy_breadth,regime_spy_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.1932518720393794,0.1898538048107985,-0.3141200528022545,0.25482478841954415,0.8118352372717984,0.9924386583689404,0.6043988695313115,3.8774464641434263,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6680981744022876,0.06106306068814356,0.7480466646164077,0.4354312221534467,-0.1607600365033507,0.3230885825509029,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_spy_breadth,regime_spy_breadth,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1607600365033507,-0.16248984993961724,-0.19080392399157964,0.18646700579521824,-0.8496951025053002,-1.125176377055289,-0.8516064373329558,5.084158587257618,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3800028577655676,0.7606189390298601,0.4626878285262236,0.4568750729361314,-0.1607600365033507,0.3230885825509029,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_spy_breadth,regime_spy_breadth,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4801469016206914,0.3230885825509029,-0.2995329938075523,0.2851646741699035,1.1286937931475034,1.5298852340622493,1.078641048666862,4.357571202531646,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0073567579928564,0.2600424039085427,1.118718622512923,0.943943471633308,-0.1607600365033507,0.3230885825509029,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,spy_breadth,SPY,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_breadth,regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.608202663991033,0.20354717066382433,-0.3728767879785573,0.2672417247679089,0.8295049834586475,0.981435608546031,0.5458831904428697,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224697374599928,0.12986876038910314,0.7863575711681625,0.44398996340797664,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_breadth,regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1244364943351901,-0.12580521284639434,-0.17182148696144184,0.16324886462037996,-0.7351046152661415,-0.9698178923434266,-0.732185566957793,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33262148914655637,0.9058415093248827,0.46534210583963365,0.3930909585926597,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_breadth,regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5840079195912629,0.3399248551319709,-0.2991854102620468,0.28623720813390774,1.169892641741006,1.5955585195583344,1.136167886108623,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0138814954050175,0.32360812444845194,1.1532761313941522,0.9383201685425451,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_breadth,regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224464455944846,0.12152412990183921,0.7830359535118695,0.4469058184121848,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_breadth,regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325269085057089,0.8982987759992987,0.46346221595965104,0.39517238475779193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_breadth,regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139149173902922,0.3135992291948323,1.1493530012544915,0.943943471633308,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.715579490824457,0.17253073736292612,-0.3728767879785576,0.25550656800540367,0.7530333525120412,0.8424628702778963,0.4627017366735297,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6126966054562466,-0.006153425141650513,0.6670457142614694,0.35960135698661166,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4513871679873818,0.31834050168371664,-0.23124383390695058,0.2696340784900374,1.164098211030813,1.59357405549437,1.3766442819479139,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8347984280674579,0.20857478438388466,1.0583396880602474,0.7905458751977053,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.656972014427413,0.17027226256599892,-0.37302695578168854,0.2555068142853254,0.7454685293912566,0.8343505275091319,0.45646101421595275,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6127069594732573,-0.014594468126391832,0.6635389318425475,0.3628629735129287,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4338354479528697,0.3154238417006321,-0.23145973561681488,0.2696540189077112,1.1557848166264428,1.5810409471676061,1.3627590166387344,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8348343591171368,0.19824995460380937,1.0542126510232326,0.7971533582463123,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_50_10,exposure_100_50_10,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9364700971949635,0.18077081322850153,-0.3728767879785575,0.25446712589471226,0.7826520585570884,0.8923837325467822,0.4848003926672337,3.778160794322709,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6232722260758903,0.02374207220634512,0.6824563264464711,0.35425462955642106,-0.14095573964909502,0.33091403138451847,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.5,0.1,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_50_10,exposure_100_50_10,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14095573964909502,-0.14249094426082387,-0.16593827614097512,0.10515177978995478,-1.3974576141387087,-1.4309904337752777,-0.8586984725559567,3.3767918975069247,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.15324451935005834,0.6860359296071126,0.07774936867255468,0.26712421807480774,-0.14095573964909502,0.33091403138451847,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.5,0.1,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_50_10,exposure_100_50_10,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5280546595157176,0.33091403138451847,-0.21665489246988434,0.2677948240127554,1.2058234427600858,1.6621321937372164,1.5273785309533985,4.334454113924051,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.8479716483483669,0.25621007982733035,1.0724982496935214,0.7541996032162332,-0.14095573964909502,0.33091403138451847,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.5,0.1,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_50_10,exposure_100_50_10,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.8756412840359133,0.17854304226178597,-0.37302695578168854,0.2544685431792641,0.7752094135650611,0.8840923698991427,0.4786330840023182,3.778160794322709,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6232804595396768,0.015334906636941193,0.6790036374552504,0.3574263733664492,-0.14238783978991076,0.3280280595371017,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.5,0.1,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_50_10,exposure_100_50_10,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.14238783978991076,-0.1439373006574013,-0.165938276140975,0.10513968157477149,-1.4135533938096447,-1.4483008666069532,-0.8674147038572192,3.3767918975069247,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.1531645824087702,0.6801439661430498,0.07669233679365432,0.2692935601061434,-0.14238783978991076,0.3280280595371017,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.5,0.1,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_50_10,exposure_100_50_10,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5103127831130387,0.3280280595371017,-0.21690400112066666,0.2678159934599437,1.1976103172410524,1.6504774289943565,1.512319080525468,4.334454113924051,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.8480174301998186,0.24585879131130947,1.0684928889524568,0.7608202670594301,-0.14238783978991076,0.3280280595371017,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.5,0.1,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_60_0,exposure_100_60_0,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.715579490824457,0.17253073736292612,-0.3728767879785576,0.25550656800540367,0.7530333525120412,0.8424628702778963,0.4627017366735297,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6126966054562466,-0.006153425141650513,0.6670457142614694,0.35960135698661166,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_60_0,exposure_100_60_0,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15509523200605835,-0.1567699413418765,-0.16593827614097512,0.10969810672107719,-1.4868713036874315,-1.1989759550928014,-0.9447485232924226,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.13161283059569037,0.6099847149176609,0.0,0.2600545614776624,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_60_0,exposure_100_60_0,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4513871679873818,0.31834050168371664,-0.23124383390695058,0.2696340784900374,1.164098211030813,1.59357405549437,1.3766442819479139,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8347984280674579,0.20857478438388466,1.0583396880602474,0.7905458751977053,-0.15509523200605835,0.31834050168371664,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_60_0,exposure_100_60_0,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.656972014427413,0.17027226256599892,-0.37302695578168854,0.2555068142853254,0.7454685293912566,0.8343505275091319,0.45646101421595275,3.8577409113545813,9.579930278884461,11.80327868852459,0.6127069594732573,-0.014594468126391832,0.6635389318425475,0.3628629735129287,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_60_0,exposure_100_60_0,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15665114419875414,-0.15834103369454133,-0.165938276140975,0.10968210664609651,-1.5039651189614671,-1.205291059439916,-0.9542164555212124,3.730912396121884,6.070637119113573,5.035856573705179,0.1315349019673401,0.6036975726793589,-0.0011209241210952186,0.2624635497292259,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_60_0,exposure_100_60_0,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.4338354479528697,0.3154238417006321,-0.23145973561681488,0.2696540189077112,1.1557848166264428,1.5810409471676061,1.3627590166387344,4.423069620253164,12.020886075949367,14.802453987730061,0.8348343591171368,0.19824995460380937,1.0542126510232326,0.7971533582463123,-0.15665114419875414,0.3154238417006321,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.6,0.0,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_70_20,exposure_100_70_20,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.994856200972946,0.18288085055718128,-0.3728767879785576,0.25763263845860285,0.7831586252465651,0.9044991814495156,0.49045919846235614,3.81226655876494,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6509897873151076,0.03587558862075217,0.7073620921971593,0.39068934958029317,-0.15193613558054175,0.32979917511065815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.7,0.2,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_70_20,exposure_100_70_20,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15193613558054175,-0.15357991866724607,-0.16593827614097512,0.12375507990805511,-1.2744348930790121,-1.419445253355445,-0.9255243711027236,4.066062153739611,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.2104854711167554,0.6803179748378528,0.15542926729230608,0.3193065936947718,-0.15193613558054175,0.32979917511065815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.7,0.2,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_70_20,exposure_100_70_20,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5211906927042032,0.32979917511065815,-0.2456688986721498,0.2724287190282557,1.1868792715322711,1.6343579498589056,1.3424539161987368,4.309410601265823,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.8914663162105985,0.26097319666612206,1.0938128758830168,0.8271518717651758,-0.15193613558054175,0.32979917511065815,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.7,0.2,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_70_20,exposure_100_70_20,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.9325616380605606,0.18062858394606374,-0.37302695578168843,0.25763536122665476,0.7757371723615097,0.8961070164405548,0.4842239445338514,3.81226655876494,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.6509921546533761,0.027260184454404993,0.7038926076385771,0.39391752661913787,-0.15363924372474214,0.32693211620427576,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.7,0.2,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_70_20,exposure_100_70_20,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.15363924372474214,-0.15529971695014955,-0.165938276140975,0.12375166020584766,-1.2907719560528896,-1.438955122438433,-0.9358884554050246,4.066062153739611,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.21040122479509438,0.6728738918698642,0.15387015623899913,0.32179964188291726,-0.15363924372474214,0.32693211620427576,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.7,0.2,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ +research_only,exposure_100_70_20,exposure_100_70_20,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.503597959992848,0.32693211620427576,-0.24585251659604224,0.2724497037594333,1.1788542132657667,1.6229468693713218,1.329789585768018,4.309410601265823,12.329113924050633,16.0,0.8915101398565252,0.2505711977285418,1.08974903055579,0.8334626670121255,-0.15363924372474214,0.32693211620427576,offensive_ablation,leadership_liquid,16,0.08,0.3,qqq_xlk_smh_breadth,QQQ,sector_etf,0.7,0.2,0.1,sector,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ diff --git a/research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.csv b/research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..c1a82af --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.csv @@ -0,0 +1,65 @@ +comparison_layer,strategy,display_name,cost_bps_one_way,period,Start,End,Total Return,CAGR,Max Drawdown,Volatility,Sharpe,Sortino,Calmar,Turnover/Year,Rebalances/Year,Average Names Held,Beta vs QQQ,Information Ratio vs QQQ,Up Capture vs QQQ,Down Capture vs QQQ,2022 Return,2023+ CAGR,research_group,group_normalization,data_assumption,starting_equity,income_layer,universe_filter,holdings_count,single_name_cap,sector_cap,regime_name,benchmark_symbol,breadth_mode,soft_defense_exposure,hard_defense_exposure,hold_bonus,residual_proxy,selected_candidate_name +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.538178055078061,0.16559516064907287,-0.2730484175464801,0.201047263416303,0.8646969497235207,1.0403792239790637,0.6064681206983525,3.926457710823373,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.465194740890812,-0.09477785794590755,0.598793783846912,0.29026588732355324,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 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+full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.403271592329042,0.3103099651215735,-0.25408275519467394,0.24139556176087082,1.2447110572520121,1.6850627853586875,1.2212948686101077,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8670855219328018,0.18374693566277095,0.9721199904089248,0.5878754010980801,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.48139574393527,0.16331062031314847,-0.2761975873275607,0.20104565807249608,0.8549194866751278,1.0286443089448685,0.5912818496834578,3.926457710823373,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.46509784516337177,-0.10410205134694388,0.5952102045511949,0.2935293809632506,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 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+full_strategy,hybrid_growth_income,hybrid_growth_income::full,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6643512221841168,0.17002155809370523,-0.17906470769826544,0.16110112678038196,1.0587081580813908,1.4207671609703172,0.9494978674424307,0.4692746625858897,5.548101265822785,2.9300613496932515,0.7678422320943722,-1.4134983508243641,0.7584582334758003,1.0591482687613385,-0.07714618234015447,0.17002155809370523,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,hybrid_growth_income,hybrid_growth_income::full,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,1.467213602149469,0.11573466939264021,-0.18970916385322145,0.13487598540835777,0.8813419059525092,0.9830834664487714,0.6100636734774946,0.5542480511406154,4.850597609561753,2.7005785920925747,0.41028637361705,-0.4444844398744196,0.5692267512221426,0.5086299560421602,-0.077245974122514,0.1697470396665237,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,hybrid_growth_income,hybrid_growth_income::full,5.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.607705331064937,0.126217522222835,-0.18970916385322145,0.1257002835610474,1.0076882020922933,0.9908187994581732,0.6653211666701029,0.7091383163106915,5.006854009595614,2.6726190476190474,0.36473295155705165,-0.7851845983442295,0.5039009060877425,0.5247406073093904,-0.077245974122514,0.1697470396665237,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,hybrid_growth_income,hybrid_growth_income::full,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.077245974122514,-0.0781189014891005,-0.1005112634415517,0.048968050794909276,-1.6234348530899256,-1.294632970066841,-0.7772153967055385,0.21792756613284026,2.0235457063711912,2.0677290836653386,0.07236222498745198,0.8792840003233795,0.11843108305064688,0.17548716360644004,-0.077245974122514,0.1697470396665237,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,hybrid_growth_income,hybrid_growth_income::full,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.6630846311990137,0.1697470396665237,-0.1792585769614906,0.1611020577804547,1.0572409831295788,1.4187540730300403,0.9469395693294484,0.4692746625858897,5.548101265822785,2.9300613496932515,0.7678449985466181,-1.4168664998261595,0.758198029392283,1.0603699117220595,-0.077245974122514,0.1697470396665237,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,4.008978291500845,0.21578012312708705,-0.3314676414952916,0.3050116966747206,0.7949993842571411,1.0885441933082727,0.6509839758525935,3.214211837191914,8.124750996015935,3.0,0.9372452877176222,0.234315397971205,1.1214216745980856,1.0001619863820874,-0.24942398042212977,0.34350275168252464,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,0.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,1.560373263595518,0.2653647928362546,-0.31393961881149346,0.30363621832738447,0.9267768893937981,1.253785410462542,0.8452733485530354,4.778355508347124,12.266792323509252,3.0,0.9161532517377393,0.07007205462882951,1.0205893395134287,0.975759900700051,-0.24942398042212977,0.34350275168252464,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.24942398042212977,-0.2519549993676139,-0.3182736369725696,0.21198290691368418,-1.2516048340176338,-1.7845571273852583,-0.7916301260896724,1.2586758170100976,3.0353185595567864,3.0,0.5647190309214632,0.4422048051228455,0.6104231927534719,0.6842507714884378,-0.24942398042212977,0.34350275168252464,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.6064607005723643,0.34350275168252464,-0.3314676414952916,0.3294096032652082,1.0647523672906398,1.464045198277777,1.036308552270566,1.903125229538352,4.6234177215189876,3.0,1.2764139205031142,0.3757518820805649,1.372180241175516,1.5929919339755725,-0.24942398042212977,0.34350275168252464,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.94288909998651,0.2138235195807927,-0.3318964584255296,0.3050262904388046,0.7896822010361554,1.0812836507033943,0.6442476686709512,3.214211837191914,8.124750996015935,3.0,0.9372867199115509,0.2265519926257384,1.1193838803516238,1.0042289046994888,-0.24990120852999076,0.3422192385408471,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,5.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,1.5360508275599352,0.26234479446362813,-0.3146964990577942,0.3036442512092429,0.9188947976769078,1.2433169254613448,0.8336438290514582,4.778355508347124,12.266792323509252,3.0,0.9161524277290041,0.05851160188414778,1.0180322445023204,0.9837111125672655,-0.24990120852999076,0.3422192385408471,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.24990120852999076,-0.2524362158030081,-0.3187070893795484,0.21204418714737466,-1.254188232011992,-1.7876925643384958,-0.7920633842643574,1.2586758170100976,3.0353185595567864,3.0,0.5648767265760329,0.43873737081576697,0.6104231927534719,0.6852096149408569,-0.24990120852999076,0.3422192385408471,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,semiconductor_rotation_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::full,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5983906657751459,0.3422192385408471,-0.3318964584255296,0.3294241292958836,1.0618077194570095,1.4598740731181885,1.0311024111684932,1.903125229538352,4.6234177215189876,3.0,1.2764597666784379,0.37134096059188765,1.3703999223187224,1.5956540428288137,-0.24990120852999076,0.3422192385408471,etf_full,,,200000.0,on,,,,,,,,,,,, +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.608202663991033,0.20354717066382433,-0.3728767879785573,0.2672417247679089,0.8295049834586475,0.981435608546031,0.5458831904428697,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224697374599928,0.12986876038910314,0.7863575711681625,0.44398996340797664,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,1.0368079377651358,0.1949325653028866,-0.3728767879785573,0.2718611837941074,0.7917413508719273,0.8137648764469314,0.522780102134157,3.1699644448252227,8.511651816312543,11.396825396825397,0.7348835432493757,-0.24121045489367285,0.569584102760508,0.2127840760259667,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1244364943351901,-0.12580521284639434,-0.17182148696144184,0.16324886462037996,-0.7351046152661415,-0.9698178923434266,-0.732185566957793,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33262148914655637,0.9058415093248827,0.46534210583963365,0.3930909585926597,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5840079195912629,0.3399248551319709,-0.2991854102620468,0.28623720813390774,1.169892641741006,1.5955585195583344,1.136167886108623,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0138814954050175,0.32360812444845194,1.1532761313941522,0.9383201685425451,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224464455944846,0.12152412990183921,0.7830359535118695,0.4469058184121848,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,1.0239779272157739,0.19304377722853383,-0.37302695578168865,0.2718526562829128,0.7859438687420232,0.8078024306765884,0.5175062397944006,3.1699644448252227,8.511651816312543,11.396825396825397,0.7348600665686689,-0.24860114676263792,0.5664693190147886,0.2149849178873483,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325269085057089,0.8982987759992987,0.46346221595965104,0.39517238475779193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +full_strategy,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139149173902922,0.3135992291948323,1.1493530012544915,0.943943471633308,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.538178055078061,0.16559516064907287,-0.2730484175464801,0.201047263416303,0.8646969497235207,1.0403792239790637,0.6064681206983525,3.926457710823373,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.465194740890812,-0.09477785794590755,0.598793783846912,0.29026588732355324,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,0.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.7084037215509504,0.14347674326174187,-0.17656242285118695,0.18016556946826442,0.8337721968719933,0.9115730784343474,0.8126119983223675,3.293049605894448,8.511651816312543,17.095238095238095,0.3650809320482174,-0.5298224891798777,0.3909418422927328,0.10436733241621764,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13824001776887718,-0.13974811002293708,-0.17144434318856605,0.11751977166385677,-1.211817355665259,-1.3557589284939886,-0.8151223156382167,3.3304189750692523,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.19685462326922137,0.7299165037284122,0.19385504959766817,0.306693043438917,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.403271592329042,0.3103099651215735,-0.25408275519467394,0.24139556176087082,1.2447110572520121,1.6850627853586875,1.2212948686101077,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.8670855219328018,0.18374693566277095,0.9721199904089248,0.5878754010980801,-0.13824001776887718,0.3103099651215735,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,2.48139574393527,0.16331062031314847,-0.2761975873275607,0.20104565807249608,0.8549194866751278,1.0286443089448685,0.5912818496834578,3.926457710823373,10.428784860557768,20.644165863066537,0.46509784516337177,-0.10410205134694388,0.5952102045511949,0.2935293809632506,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,5.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,0.6972370111940172,0.14160104144213892,-0.17694874335534772,0.18014277435565407,0.8247501036571664,0.9015785458998371,0.8002376211159427,3.293049605894448,8.511651816312543,17.095238095238095,0.36493999206901384,-0.5372388035953947,0.38783447963700707,0.10683984403062798,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.13965933707208145,-0.14118161178774558,-0.17144434318856616,0.11753290830641766,-1.22574087079287,-1.371223647029373,-0.8234836400082587,3.3304189750692523,12.141274238227146,24.0,0.1967769007962861,0.723841054528833,0.1924677148740013,0.3086799274729044,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.3841877406842245,0.3070940420390593,-0.2543933164893192,0.24141291820070146,1.2344178357685558,1.6712222513704722,1.207162382553996,4.911097046413502,12.329113924050633,24.0,0.867060631371347,0.16933796785652044,0.967400192913927,0.5947494994119499,-0.13965933707208145,0.3070940420390593,baseline,sector,official_monthly_v2_alias,,,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8649525262202307,0.21148640839688548,-0.4537671478715215,0.2808490754883344,0.8265844279906891,0.8532704150527197,0.4660681351413417,1.273606909897548,20.25124501992032,0.7005785920925748,0.7815570756887471,0.17727904794173358,1.1473810909724278,1.0635561600490386,-0.16150493214390527,0.2122848286561656,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,0.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,2.1069553824220755,0.328166364371701,-0.4537671478715215,0.3343532191745184,1.0176319436940973,0.9868440837043237,0.7232043260756664,1.4919740452910202,30.29146675805346,0.6726190476190477,0.9671311330463216,0.3093995017281253,1.3397053976281297,1.3952441661123551,-0.16150493214390527,0.2122848286561656,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16150493214390527,-0.1632419577669213,-0.17358246856078674,0.08557017783627238,-2.0223585162657183,-0.7863861438839493,-0.940428829710736,0.5123799470538866,2.0235457063711912,0.06772908366533864,0.05077692238334195,0.5408813913904594,0.0,0.26051451093262484,-0.16150493214390527,0.2122848286561656,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.8674246090713345,0.2122848286561656,-0.20252498289389886,0.24483476568935872,0.9117738239498618,1.2603327109028817,1.0481908237828605,1.2441727591943994,13.562025316455697,0.9300613496932515,1.0229827429629594,-0.3342767824795875,1.1389751429320862,1.8796361547788452,-0.16150493214390527,0.2122848286561656,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.8392456291819714,0.210708308580835,-0.45450820486482835,0.28086857920252983,0.8242552885408493,0.8511486602295537,0.4635962702664522,1.273606909897548,20.25124501992032,0.7005785920925748,0.7815830267839213,0.17431318924660938,1.1464637279177836,1.0649649127176937,-0.16171928519421186,0.2115305309012545,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,5.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,2.097576820410483,0.32716156207949676,-0.45450820486482835,0.33438425882530876,1.01530960721522,0.9848958930798736,0.7198144248612526,1.4919740452910202,30.29146675805346,0.6726190476190477,0.9671755716643418,0.30621333002671347,1.3385315190042386,1.3968232016282933,-0.16171928519421186,0.2115305309012545,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.16171928519421186,-0.1634583847571477,-0.17379373410721843,0.08559662411534642,-2.024703631233187,-0.7672083004510739,-0.9405309437468294,0.5123799470538866,2.0235457063711912,0.06772908366533864,0.05079290956626184,0.5400734147271701,0.0,0.2608602717668375,-0.16171928519421186,0.2115305309012545,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,hybrid_growth_income_no_income,hybrid_growth_income::no_income,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,0.8636575183199917,0.2115305309012545,-0.20252498289389886,0.24483743463149246,0.909215036859497,1.2548199716011197,1.0444663560943175,1.2441727591943994,13.562025316455697,0.9300613496932515,1.0229896789337303,-0.33882903405145587,1.1382047220440545,1.882596796940425,-0.16171928519421186,0.2115305309012545,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.620640891111535,0.257611190984502,-0.3982358954688794,0.3793268670508598,0.7960216978042857,1.093277231061562,0.6468808912395828,4.091512193295611,10.064990039840637,1.0,1.1617740450545204,0.413527912818703,1.3894751342376075,1.2453327949603186,-0.3106798594412914,0.40565276074028356,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,0.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,2.1820752252034983,0.3361336131184245,-0.3982358954688794,0.3924654124030111,0.9349465807905365,1.2602278868435335,0.8440565427249188,6.067215835906625,13.268163125428375,1.0,1.1881031408326321,0.3725184584170663,1.3176558750233953,1.2680210735986792,-0.3106798594412914,0.40565276074028356,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3106798594412914,-0.31369253671310793,-0.38888813200607353,0.2715240687084533,-1.2381201444711591,-1.7829073596079796,-0.8066395214863713,1.6339287041088362,4.0470914127423825,1.0,0.726148633675916,0.04709201449081702,0.7796276408703371,0.8679877428893155,-0.3106798594412914,0.40565276074028356,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0183432157029877,0.40565276074028356,-0.3771273072277589,0.3903640083852718,1.0710804577644695,1.487112990020464,1.075638790842842,2.431830007962301,8.013924050632912,1.0,1.4628722235386724,0.5390954939698321,1.622526895879517,1.8624878244995722,-0.3106798594412914,0.40565276074028356,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,5.509551607209342,0.25503322267892714,-0.3991246095850196,0.3793465502606776,0.7905769058204386,1.0858156444415887,0.638981452294039,4.091512193295611,10.064990039840637,1.0,1.16183133320997,0.4056644750398638,1.3868532909591547,1.2503851457588033,-0.3112523950535232,0.4039355635198274,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,5.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,2.1437260601416077,0.33208411172848407,-0.3991246095850196,0.3924779706684359,0.9271978746983693,1.2499670957543574,0.8320311595763555,6.067215835906625,13.268163125428375,1.0,1.1881104497688373,0.3612103479881169,1.3143920278597188,1.2778780266732728,-0.3112523950535232,0.4039355635198274,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.3112523950535232,-0.3142692781537484,-0.3893957093810806,0.27160359448234256,-1.2407423953598156,-1.7861032968454391,-0.8070691858758772,1.6339287041088362,4.0470914127423825,1.0,0.7263521403126825,0.04217199749324171,0.7796276408703371,0.8692190764566816,-0.3112523950535232,0.4039355635198274,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,semiconductor_rotation_income_no_income,semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,2.0063966411633123,0.4039355635198274,-0.3776167300257379,0.39038231205274315,1.0679057125267903,1.4825815362968056,1.0696972125474833,2.431830007962301,8.013924050632912,1.0,1.46292918561689,0.5346516437567199,1.6202006584267028,1.865761685254698,-0.3112523950535232,0.4039355635198274,etf_normalized,,,50000.0,off,,,,,,,,,,,, +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.608202663991033,0.20354717066382433,-0.3728767879785573,0.2672417247679089,0.8295049834586475,0.981435608546031,0.5458831904428697,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224697374599928,0.12986876038910314,0.7863575711681625,0.44398996340797664,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,1.0368079377651358,0.1949325653028866,-0.3728767879785573,0.2718611837941074,0.7917413508719273,0.8137648764469314,0.522780102134157,3.1699644448252227,8.511651816312543,11.396825396825397,0.7348835432493757,-0.24121045489367285,0.569584102760508,0.2127840760259667,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.1244364943351901,-0.12580521284639434,-0.17182148696144184,0.16324886462037996,-0.7351046152661415,-0.9698178923434266,-0.732185566957793,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.33262148914655637,0.9058415093248827,0.46534210583963365,0.3930909585926597,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,0.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5840079195912629,0.3399248551319709,-0.2991854102620468,0.28623720813390774,1.169892641741006,1.5955585195583344,1.136167886108623,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0138814954050175,0.32360812444845194,1.1532761313941522,0.9383201685425451,-0.1244364943351901,0.3399248551319709,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,Full Sample,2018-01-02,2026-04-02,3.540847744904384,0.201400122193105,-0.37302695578168865,0.26724507860929086,0.8227997770027259,0.9735311016562492,0.5399076905074199,3.57125249003984,10.428784860557768,13.76277724204436,0.7224464455944846,0.12152412990183921,0.7830359535118695,0.4469058184121848,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2018-2021,2018-01-02,2021-12-31,1.0239779272157739,0.19304377722853383,-0.37302695578168865,0.2718526562829128,0.7859438687420232,0.8078024306765884,0.5175062397944006,3.1699644448252227,8.511651816312543,11.396825396825397,0.7348600665686689,-0.24860114676263792,0.5664693190147886,0.2149849178873483,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2022,2022-01-03,2022-12-30,-0.12603304892957856,-0.12741802093620191,-0.1724996894671298,0.16324381982197586,-0.7463514690393916,-0.9854407175772265,-0.7386565235555494,3.6929709141274234,12.141274238227146,16.0,0.3325269085057089,0.8982987759992987,0.46346221595965104,0.39517238475779193,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth +normalized,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1,qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth,5.0,2023+,2023-01-03,2026-04-02,1.5670608188736534,0.33721003156210183,-0.2995329938075525,0.2862564177916299,1.1627188397606212,1.5857128342904407,1.1257859352173956,4.04934335443038,12.329113924050633,16.0,1.0139149173902922,0.3135992291948323,1.1493530012544915,0.943943471633308,-0.12603304892957856,0.33721003156210183,best_offensive_candidate,sector,,,,leadership_liquid,16.0,0.08,0.3,qqq_breadth,QQQ,broad,0.6,0.0,0.1,simple_excess_return_vs_QQQ,regime_qqq_breadth diff --git a/research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.md b/research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..bea6233 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_strategy_comparison.md @@ -0,0 +1,31 @@ +# Stock strategy comparison research + +## Full-strategy comparison (5 bps one-way) +| display_name | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | Sortino | Calmar | Turnover/Year | Average Names Held | Beta vs QQQ | Information Ratio vs QQQ | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| defensive_baseline | 0.163311 | 2.481396 | -0.276198 | 0.854919 | 1.028644 | 0.591282 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | 0.465098 | -0.104102 | -0.139659 | 0.307094 | +| hybrid_growth_income::full | 0.115735 | 1.467214 | -0.189709 | 0.881342 | 0.983083 | 0.610064 | 0.554248 | 2.700579 | 0.410286 | -0.444484 | -0.077246 | 0.169747 | +| semiconductor_rotation_income::full | 0.213824 | 3.942889 | -0.331896 | 0.789682 | 1.081284 | 0.644248 | 3.214212 | 3.000000 | 0.937287 | 0.226552 | -0.249901 | 0.342219 | +| qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth | 0.201400 | 3.540848 | -0.373027 | 0.822800 | 0.973531 | 0.539908 | 3.571252 | 13.762777 | 0.722446 | 0.121524 | -0.126033 | 0.337210 | + +## Normalized comparison (5 bps one-way) +| display_name | CAGR | Total Return | Max Drawdown | Sharpe | Sortino | Calmar | Turnover/Year | Average Names Held | Beta vs QQQ | Information Ratio vs QQQ | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| defensive_baseline | 0.163311 | 2.481396 | -0.276198 | 0.854919 | 1.028644 | 0.591282 | 3.926458 | 20.644166 | 0.465098 | -0.104102 | -0.139659 | 0.307094 | +| hybrid_growth_income::no_income | 0.210708 | 3.839246 | -0.454508 | 0.824255 | 0.851149 | 0.463596 | 1.273607 | 0.700579 | 0.781583 | 0.174313 | -0.161719 | 0.211531 | +| semiconductor_rotation_income::no_income | 0.255033 | 5.509552 | -0.399125 | 0.790577 | 1.085816 | 0.638981 | 4.091512 | 1.000000 | 1.161831 | 0.405664 | -0.311252 | 0.403936 | +| qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1::regime_qqq_breadth | 0.201400 | 3.540848 | -0.373027 | 0.822800 | 0.973531 | 0.539908 | 3.571252 | 13.762777 | 0.722446 | 0.121524 | -0.126033 | 0.337210 | + +## Top offensive ablations (5 bps one-way, full sample) +| strategy | universe_filter | holdings_count | single_name_cap | sector_cap | regime_name | soft_defense_exposure | hard_defense_exposure | CAGR | Sharpe | Information Ratio vs QQQ | 2022 Return | 2023+ CAGR | +| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | +| regime_qqq_breadth | leadership_liquid | 16 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | qqq_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.201400 | 0.822800 | 0.121524 | -0.126033 | 0.337210 | +| struct_h12_cap10_sector20 | leadership_liquid | 12 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.190231 | 0.796341 | 0.064995 | -0.137899 | 0.381885 | +| regime_spy_breadth | leadership_liquid | 16 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | spy_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.189854 | 0.811835 | 0.061063 | -0.160760 | 0.323089 | +| universe_liquid_50m | liquid_50m | 16 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.185805 | 0.780722 | 0.052016 | -0.155906 | 0.389414 | +| struct_h12_cap10_sector30 | leadership_liquid | 12 | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.179569 | 0.748754 | 0.035021 | -0.137209 | 0.352710 | +| struct_h12_cap8_sector20 | leadership_liquid | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.200000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.183977 | 0.796950 | 0.032539 | -0.134057 | 0.367543 | +| exposure_100_70_20 | leadership_liquid | 16 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.700000 | 0.200000 | 0.180629 | 0.775737 | 0.027260 | -0.153639 | 0.326932 | +| struct_h12_cap10_sector40 | leadership_liquid | 12 | 0.100000 | 0.400000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.175359 | 0.732981 | 0.021710 | -0.137209 | 0.339019 | +| exposure_100_50_10 | leadership_liquid | 16 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.500000 | 0.100000 | 0.178543 | 0.775209 | 0.015335 | -0.142388 | 0.328028 | +| struct_h12_cap8_sector30 | leadership_liquid | 12 | 0.080000 | 0.300000 | qqq_xlk_smh_breadth | 0.600000 | 0.000000 | 0.173885 | 0.749444 | 0.003504 | -0.133375 | 0.339845 | \ No newline at end of file diff --git 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a/research/results/stock_strategy_rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq.csv b/research/results/stock_strategy_rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq.csv new file mode 100644 index 0000000..d568a43 --- /dev/null +++ b/research/results/stock_strategy_rolling_36m_alpha_vs_qqq.csv @@ -0,0 +1,10553 @@ +comparison_layer,strategy,display_name,as_of,rolling_36m_capm_alpha_vs_qqq +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,2020-12-31,0.04867719091753571 +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,2021-01-04,0.04622732978863252 +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,2021-01-05,0.05467723302954226 +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,2021-01-06,0.06370014479240053 +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,2021-01-07,0.07543267791397842 +full_strategy,russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive,defensive_baseline,2021-01-08,0.0782402044711252 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"/Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/hybrid_growth_income.py", + "hybrid_runtime_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/CharlesSchwabPlatform/main.py", + "semiconductor_code_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/UsEquityStrategies/src/us_equity_strategies/strategies/semiconductor_rotation_income.py", + "semiconductor_runtime_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/LongBridgePlatform/main.py", + "existing_research_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/backtest_qqq_variants.py", + "new_research_entry": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py", + "results_dir": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/InteractiveBrokersPlatform/research/results", + "prepared_data_run_dir": "/Users/lisiyi/Projects/_local_runs/r1000_multifactor_defensive_20260403_official_monthly_v2_alias" +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py b/tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..efe98b3 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py @@ -0,0 +1,133 @@ +import importlib.util +import json +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + +def load_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + +def test_overlay_state_transition_requires_recovery_confirmation(): + module = load_module() + current, recovery, changed = module.update_portfolio_state(0.4, 0.6, 0, 2) + assert current == 0.4 + assert recovery == 1 + assert changed is False + + current, recovery, changed = module.update_portfolio_state(current, 0.6, recovery, 2) + assert current == 0.6 + assert recovery == 0 + assert changed is True + + current, recovery, changed = module.update_portfolio_state(current, 0.2, recovery, 2) + assert current == 0.2 + assert recovery == 0 + assert changed is True + + +def test_no_new_names_added_mid_month_and_boxx_reallocation_correct(): + module = load_module() + monthly_target_weights = {'AAA': 0.10, 'BBB': 0.10, 'CCC': 0.10, module.SAFE_HAVEN: 0.70} + monthly_names = ['AAA', 'BBB', 'CCC'] + effective = module.build_effective_weights( + monthly_target_weights, + monthly_names, + monthly_base_stock_weight=0.30, + portfolio_target=0.20, + name_multipliers={'AAA': 1.0, 'BBB': 0.5, 'CCC': 1.0}, + ) + + assert set(effective).issubset({'AAA', 'BBB', 'CCC', module.SAFE_HAVEN}) + assert abs(sum(weight for symbol, weight in effective.items() if symbol != module.SAFE_HAVEN) - 0.20) < 1e-12 + assert abs(effective[module.SAFE_HAVEN] - 0.80) < 1e-12 + + +def test_name_trim_overlay_reallocates_to_boxx_without_replacing_names(): + module = load_module() + monthly_target_weights = {'AAA': 0.10, 'BBB': 0.10, module.SAFE_HAVEN: 0.80} + monthly_names = ['AAA', 'BBB'] + effective = module.build_effective_weights( + monthly_target_weights, + monthly_names, + monthly_base_stock_weight=0.20, + portfolio_target=None, + name_multipliers={'AAA': 0.0, 'BBB': 0.5}, + ) + + assert set(effective).issubset({'AAA', 'BBB', module.SAFE_HAVEN}) + assert 'AAA' not in effective or effective['AAA'] == 0.0 + assert abs(effective['BBB'] - 0.05) < 1e-12 + assert abs(effective[module.SAFE_HAVEN] - 0.95) < 1e-12 + + +def test_result_export_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + summary_path = tmp_path / 'summary.md' + baseline_payload = { + 'name': 'cash_buffer_branch_default', + 'family': 'tech_heavy_pullback', + 'exposures': {'risk_on': 0.8, 'soft_defense': 0.6, 'hard_defense': 0.0}, + 'holdings_count': 8, + 'single_name_cap': 0.1, + 'sector_cap': 0.4, + 'hold_bonus': 0.1, + 'benchmark_symbol': 'QQQ', + } + baseline_row = pd.Series({ + 'strategy': 'cash_buffer_branch_default_monthly_baseline', + 'CAGR': 0.25, + 'Max Drawdown': -0.2, + 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.8, + 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.2, + 'return_2022': -0.12, + 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.4, + 'Turnover/Year': 2.5, + 'Average Stock Weight': 0.6, + 'Average BOXX Weight': 0.4, + }) + family_scores = pd.DataFrame([ + { + 'strategy': 'baseline', 'family': 'monthly_baseline', 'overlay_selection_score': 0.4, + 'CAGR': 0.25, 'Max Drawdown': -0.2, 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.8, + 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.2, 'return_2022': -0.12, 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.4, + 'Turnover/Year': 2.5, 'Average Stock Weight': 0.6, 'Average BOXX Weight': 0.4, + 'Overlay Trigger Frequency': 0.0, 'Average Days In Throttle': 0.0, 'Average Days Trimmed': 0.0, + } + ]) + comparison_rows = pd.DataFrame([ + { + 'strategy': 'baseline', 'family': 'monthly_baseline', 'CAGR': 0.25, 'cagr_minus_qqq': 0.1, + 'Max Drawdown': -0.2, 'return_2022': -0.12, 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.4, 'Turnover/Year': 2.5, + 'Average Names Held': 6.0, 'Average Stock Weight': 0.6, 'Average BOXX Weight': 0.4, + 'beta_vs_qqq': 0.5, 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.2, 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.8, + 'Up Capture vs QQQ': 0.9, 'Down Capture vs QQQ': 0.4, + 'Overlay Trigger Frequency': 0.0, 'Average Days In Throttle': 0.0, 'Average Days Trimmed': 0.0, + } + ]) + recommendation = { + 'overlay_has_incremental_value': False, + 'best_overlay_family': 'monthly_baseline', + 'best_overlay_strategy': 'baseline', + 'recommended_upgrade_direction': 'do_not_upgrade_overlay', + 'next_step': '保持月频 baseline，不加 overlay', + } + + module.write_summary_markdown( + summary_path, + baseline_payload=baseline_payload, + baseline_row=baseline_row, + family_scores=family_scores, + comparison_rows=comparison_rows, + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + assert summary_path.exists() and summary_path.stat().st_size > 0 + assert 'cash_buffer_branch daily overlay research' in summary_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..a0fbafb --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py @@ -0,0 +1,161 @@ +import importlib.util +import json +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + + +def load_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('backtest_growth_pullback_suite_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + + +def test_config_round_trip(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + config = module.GrowthPullbackConfig( + name='growth_round_trip', + family='broad_growth_leadership_pullback', + universe_spec=module.UniverseSpec( + name='leadership_growth', + normalization='sector', + min_adv20_usd=50_000_000.0, + leadership_filter=True, + notes='round trip', + ), + score_template='balanced_pullback', + holdings_count=16, + single_name_cap=0.08, + sector_cap=0.30, + regime=module.suite.RegimeConfig('qqq_breadth', 'QQQ', 'broad'), + exposures=module.suite.ExposureConfig('100_60_0', 0.60, 0.00), + hold_bonus=0.10, + ) + path = tmp_path / 'default.json' + module.save_spec_config(path, config, role='default_research_spec') + loaded = module.load_spec_config(path) + + assert path.exists() and path.stat().st_size > 0 + assert loaded.name == config.name + assert loaded.family == config.family + assert loaded.universe_spec.name == 'leadership_growth' + assert loaded.score_template == 'balanced_pullback' + assert loaded.regime.name == 'qqq_breadth' + + + +def test_balanced_pullback_score_prefers_controlled_pullback_over_falling_knife(): + module = load_module() + config = module.GrowthPullbackConfig( + name='score_test', + family='broad_growth_leadership_pullback', + universe_spec=module.UniverseSpec( + name='large_cap_eligible', + normalization='sector', + min_adv20_usd=20_000_000.0, + ), + score_template='balanced_pullback', + holdings_count=12, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.40, + regime=module.suite.RegimeConfig('qqq_breadth', 'QQQ', 'broad'), + exposures=module.suite.ExposureConfig('100_60_0', 0.60, 0.00), + hold_bonus=0.0, + ) + frame = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'symbol': 'QQQ', 'sector': 'benchmark', 'base_eligible': False, + 'mom_6_1': 0.12, 'mom_12_1': 0.22, 'sma20_gap': 0.03, 'sma50_gap': 0.05, 'sma200_gap': 0.10, + 'ma50_over_ma200': 0.06, 'vol_63': 0.25, 'maxdd_126': -0.18, 'breakout_252': -0.03, + 'dist_63_high': -0.04, 'dist_126_high': -0.06, 'rebound_20': 0.05, 'adv20_usd': 1e9, + 'history_days': 1000, 'close': 100.0, + }, + { + 'symbol': 'CTRL', 'sector': 'Information Technology', 'base_eligible': True, + 'mom_6_1': 0.20, 'mom_12_1': 0.35, 'sma20_gap': 0.02, 'sma50_gap': 0.04, 'sma200_gap': 0.12, + 'ma50_over_ma200': 0.08, 'vol_63': 0.22, 'maxdd_126': -0.16, 'breakout_252': -0.05, + 'dist_63_high': -0.08, 'dist_126_high': -0.12, 'rebound_20': 0.06, 'adv20_usd': 2e8, + 'history_days': 900, 'close': 80.0, + }, + { + 'symbol': 'KNIFE', 'sector': 'Information Technology', 'base_eligible': True, + 'mom_6_1': -0.05, 'mom_12_1': 0.02, 'sma20_gap': -0.10, 'sma50_gap': -0.18, 'sma200_gap': -0.25, + 'ma50_over_ma200': -0.12, 'vol_63': 0.40, 'maxdd_126': -0.55, 'breakout_252': -0.42, + 'dist_63_high': -0.32, 'dist_126_high': -0.45, 'rebound_20': -0.12, 'adv20_usd': 2e8, + 'history_days': 900, 'close': 30.0, + }, + ] + ) + scored = module.score_candidates(frame, current_holdings=set(), config=config) + ranked = scored.sort_values('score', ascending=False)['symbol'].tolist() + assert ranked[0] == 'CTRL' + assert ranked[-1] == 'KNIFE' + + + +def test_selection_score_and_recommendation_prefer_broad_over_naive_or_theme(): + module = load_module() + summary = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'broad_best', 'family': 'broad_growth_leadership_pullback', 'universe': 'leadership_growth', 'normalization': 'sector', + 'normalization_label': 'sector', 'min_adv20_usd': 5e7, 'leadership_filter': True, 'sector_whitelist': '[]', 'symbol_whitelist': '[]', 'notes': '', + 'score_template': 'balanced_pullback', 'holdings_count': 16, 'single_name_cap': 0.08, 'sector_cap': 0.30, 'hold_bonus': 0.10, + 'regime_name': 'qqq_breadth', 'benchmark_symbol': 'QQQ', 'breadth_mode': 'broad', 'breadth_symbols': '[]', + 'soft_defense_exposure': 0.60, 'hard_defense_exposure': 0.00, + 'full_cagr': 0.24, 'full_information_ratio_vs_qqq': 0.22, 'full_alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.11, + 'oos_cagr': 0.29, 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.18, 'oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.14, 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.28, + 'oos_rolling_alpha_positive_ratio': 1.0, 'return_2022': -0.05, 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.38, + 'annual_turnover': 3.2, 'average_names_held': 14, + }, + { + 'strategy': 'crypto_theme', 'family': 'crypto_equity_theme_pullback', 'universe': 'crypto_linked_equity_theme', 'normalization': 'universe', + 'normalization_label': 'universe_cross_sectional', 'min_adv20_usd': 2e7, 'leadership_filter': False, 'sector_whitelist': '[]', 'symbol_whitelist': '["COIN"]', 'notes': '', + 'score_template': 'balanced_pullback', 'holdings_count': 12, 'single_name_cap': 0.10, 'sector_cap': 0.40, 'hold_bonus': 0.05, + 'regime_name': 'qqq_breadth', 'benchmark_symbol': 'QQQ', 'breadth_mode': 'broad', 'breadth_symbols': '[]', + 'soft_defense_exposure': 0.60, 'hard_defense_exposure': 0.00, + 'full_cagr': 0.27, 'full_information_ratio_vs_qqq': 0.08, 'full_alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.08, + 'oos_cagr': 0.26, 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.15, 'oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.12, 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.46, + 'oos_rolling_alpha_positive_ratio': 0.8, 'return_2022': -0.16, 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.42, + 'annual_turnover': 5.0, 'average_names_held': 4, + }, + { + 'strategy': 'naive', 'family': 'naive_dip_buy_control', 'universe': 'large_cap_eligible', 'normalization': 'sector', + 'normalization_label': 'sector', 'min_adv20_usd': 2e7, 'leadership_filter': False, 'sector_whitelist': '[]', 'symbol_whitelist': '[]', 'notes': '', + 'score_template': 'naive_dip_buy', 'holdings_count': 16, 'single_name_cap': 0.08, 'sector_cap': 0.30, 'hold_bonus': 0.10, + 'regime_name': 'qqq_breadth', 'benchmark_symbol': 'QQQ', 'breadth_mode': 'broad', 'breadth_symbols': '[]', + 'soft_defense_exposure': 0.60, 'hard_defense_exposure': 0.00, + 'full_cagr': 0.18, 'full_information_ratio_vs_qqq': -0.02, 'full_alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.01, + 'oos_cagr': 0.16, 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.05, 'oos_alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.03, 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.41, + 'oos_rolling_alpha_positive_ratio': 0.6, 'return_2022': -0.22, 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.25, + 'annual_turnover': 5.8, 'average_names_held': 16, + }, + ] + ) + scored = module.add_selection_scores(summary) + default_row, aggressive_row, ranked = module.pick_specs(scored) + rec = module.build_recommendation( + family_best_df=module.build_family_best_table(ranked), + default_row=default_row, + aggressive_row=aggressive_row, + ) + + assert default_row['strategy'] == 'broad_best' + assert rec['answers']['C_stock_line_to_continue'] == 'broad_growth_leadership_pullback' + assert rec['answers']['D_crypto_linked_equity_theme'] in {'no', 'only_as_secondary_thematic_bucket'} + + + +def test_result_export_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + md_path = tmp_path / 'hypotheses.md' + module.write_hypotheses_note(md_path) + assert md_path.exists() and md_path.stat().st_size > 100 + assert 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1 hypotheses' in md_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..534d83b --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py @@ -0,0 +1,172 @@ +import importlib.util +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + +def load_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + +def test_config_parse_and_first_order_neighbors(): + module = load_module() + cfg = module.gp.load_spec_config( + Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'configs' / 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json' + ) + neighbors = module.build_first_order_neighbors(cfg) + names = [config.name for _meta, config in neighbors] + + assert cfg.name == 'tech_heavy_pullback_balanced_focused_qqq_breadth' + assert len(neighbors) == 6 + assert any('holdings_count_16' in name for name in names) + assert any('single_name_cap_0p08' in name for name in names) + assert any('sector_cap_0p5' in name for name in names) + assert any(name.endswith('__adv20m') for name in names) + + +def test_occupancy_summary_detects_sector_cap_binding(): + module = load_module() + monthly = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'center', 'rebalance_date': '2024-01-31', 'regime': 'risk_on', 'selected_count': 8, + 'stock_weight': 1.0, 'safe_haven_weight': 0.0, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.10, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.30, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.50, + 'underfilled_lt_nominal': True, 'underfilled_lt_10': True, 'underfilled_lt_8': False, 'underfilled_lt_6': False, + 'primary_underfill_reason': 'sector_cap_binding', + }, + { + 'strategy': 'center', 'rebalance_date': '2024-02-29', 'regime': 'soft_defense', 'selected_count': 6, + 'stock_weight': 0.60, 'safe_haven_weight': 0.40, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.10, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.30, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.50, + 'underfilled_lt_nominal': True, 'underfilled_lt_10': True, 'underfilled_lt_8': True, 'underfilled_lt_6': False, + 'primary_underfill_reason': 'sector_cap_binding', + }, + { + 'strategy': 'center', 'rebalance_date': '2024-03-31', 'regime': 'risk_on', 'selected_count': 8, + 'stock_weight': 1.0, 'safe_haven_weight': 0.0, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.10, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.30, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.50, + 'underfilled_lt_nominal': True, 'underfilled_lt_10': True, 'underfilled_lt_8': False, 'underfilled_lt_6': False, + 'primary_underfill_reason': 'sector_cap_binding', + }, + ] + ) + summary = module.summarize_occupancy(monthly, strategy_label='center') + + assert summary['avg_selected_count'] == 22 / 3 + assert summary['risk_on_avg_names'] == 8 + assert summary['soft_defense_avg_names'] == 6 + assert summary['share_lt_8'] == 1 / 3 + assert summary['dominant_underfill_reason'] == 'sector_cap_binding' + assert summary['dominant_underfill_reason_share'] == 1.0 + + +def test_recommendation_logic_requires_more_than_performance(): + module = load_module() + center = pd.Series({'strategy': 'center', 'avg_selected_count': 6.4}) + stable = pd.Series( + { + 'strategy': 'center', + 'avg_selected_count': 6.4, + 'share_lt_8': 0.55, + 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.74, + 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.21, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.19, + 'annual_turnover': 2.9, + 'full_max_drawdown': -0.33, + 'oos_cagr': 0.315, + } + ) + rec = module.build_recommendation( + center_summary=center, + stable_summary=stable, + local_plateau_summary={ + 'local_plateau_100bps_share': 0.33, + 'local_plateau_200bps_share': 0.33, + }, + qqq_plus_default_oos=pd.Series({'CAGR': 0.334, 'Max Drawdown': -0.323}), + ) + + assert rec['research_recommendation'] == 'research_default_candidate' + assert rec['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default'] in {'并行分支', '次级实验'} + + +def test_markdown_export_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + cfg = module.gp.load_spec_config( + Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'configs' / 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json' + ) + md_path = tmp_path / 'spec_lock.md' + module.write_markdown_report( + md_path, + center_config=cfg, + center_result_5bps=pd.Series({'strategy': cfg.name}), + stable_result_5bps=pd.Series({'strategy': cfg.name}), + occupancy_summary_df=pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': cfg.name, + 'avg_selected_count': 6.4, + 'risk_on_avg_names': 7.8, + 'soft_defense_avg_names': 5.0, + 'share_lt_nominal': 1.0, + 'share_lt_8': 0.5, + 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.72, + 'avg_safe_haven_weight': 0.18, + 'dominant_underfill_reason': 'sector_cap_binding', + 'dominant_underfill_reason_share': 0.8, + } + ] + ), + local_plateau_df=pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': cfg.name, + 'variant_scope': 'center', + 'change_summary': 'center', + 'CAGR': 0.31, + 'Max Drawdown': -0.18, + 'Turnover/Year': 2.9, + 'delta_oos_cagr_vs_center': 0.0, + 'delta_oos_maxdd_vs_center': 0.0, + 'delta_oos_turnover_vs_center': 0.0, + } + ] + ), + local_plateau_summary={ + 'local_plateau_50bps_share': 0.17, + 'local_plateau_100bps_share': 0.33, + 'local_plateau_200bps_share': 0.33, + }, + comparison_df_5bps=pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': cfg.name, + 'period': 'OOS Sample', + 'family': cfg.family, + 'CAGR': 0.31, + 'Total Return': 1.2, + 'Max Drawdown': -0.18, + 'Sharpe': 1.0, + 'Alpha_ann_vs_QQQ': 0.23, + 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.18, + 'Turnover/Year': 2.9, + 'Average Names Held': 6.4, + } + ] + ), + recommendation={ + 'research_recommendation': 'research_default_candidate', + 'role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default': '并行分支', + 'selected_local_default': cfg.name, + 'reason': 'edge is good, but occupancy/concentration or local plateau still needs more tightening', + }, + ) + assert md_path.exists() and md_path.stat().st_size > 100 + assert 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1.1 spec lock' in md_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..7a844e5 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py @@ -0,0 +1,164 @@ +import importlib.util +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + +def load_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + +def test_geometry_feasibility_checks(): + module = load_module() + center = module.gp.load_spec_config( + Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'configs' / 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json' + ) + assert module.theoretical_stock_capacity(1.0, center, 2) == 0.8 + + feasible = center.__class__( + name='feasible', + family=center.family, + universe_spec=center.universe_spec, + score_template=center.score_template, + holdings_count=center.holdings_count, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.50, + regime=center.regime, + exposures=center.exposures, + hold_bonus=center.hold_bonus, + ) + assert module.theoretical_stock_capacity(1.0, feasible, 2) == 1.0 + + single8 = center.__class__( + name='single8', + family=center.family, + universe_spec=center.universe_spec, + score_template=center.score_template, + holdings_count=center.holdings_count, + single_name_cap=0.08, + sector_cap=0.50, + regime=center.regime, + exposures=center.exposures, + hold_bonus=center.hold_bonus, + ) + assert module.theoretical_stock_capacity(1.0, single8, 2) == 0.96 + + +def test_deployment_fill_rate_statistics(): + module = load_module() + monthly = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'center_current', 'regime': 'risk_on', 'selected_count': 8, + 'target_stock_weight': 1.0, 'realized_stock_weight': 0.8, 'safe_haven_weight': 0.2, + 'fill_rate': 0.8, 'theoretical_stock_max': 0.8, 'geometry_feasible': False, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.10, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.30, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.50, + 'underfilled_month': True, 'primary_underfill_reason': 'sector_cap_binding', + }, + { + 'strategy': 'center_current', 'regime': 'soft_defense', 'selected_count': 12, + 'target_stock_weight': 0.6, 'realized_stock_weight': 0.6, 'safe_haven_weight': 0.4, + 'fill_rate': 1.0, 'theoretical_stock_max': 0.6, 'geometry_feasible': True, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.05, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.15, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.25, + 'underfilled_month': False, 'primary_underfill_reason': 'filled', + }, + ] + ) + summary = module.summarize_deployment(monthly) + assert summary['avg_names_held'] == 10 + assert summary['risk_on_realized_stock_weight'] == 0.8 + assert summary['risk_on_fill_rate'] == 0.8 + assert summary['soft_defense_realized_stock_weight'] == 0.6 + assert summary['underfilled_month_share'] == 0.5 + assert summary['dominant_underfill_reason'] == 'sector_cap_binding' + + +def test_recommendation_logic_can_return_cash_buffer_branch(): + module = load_module() + center = pd.Series({'strategy': 'center_current', 'oos_cagr': 0.31, 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.18}) + stable = pd.Series({'strategy': 'local_stable_neighbor'}) + explicit_cash = pd.Series({'strategy': 'explicit_cash_buffer_control', 'oos_cagr': 0.30, 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.17}) + best = pd.Series( + { + 'strategy': 'center_current', + 'oos_cagr': 0.31, + 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.18, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.18, + 'annual_turnover': 3.0, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 0.80, + 'avg_names_held': 6.5, + 'underfilled_month_share': 0.5, + 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.30, + 'full_max_drawdown': -0.33, + } + ) + rec = module.build_recommendation( + center_summary=center, + stable_summary=stable, + explicit_cash_summary=explicit_cash, + best_overall_summary=best, + selected_repair_summary=best, + qqq_plus_oos=pd.Series({'CAGR': 0.334, 'Max Drawdown': -0.323}), + ) + assert rec['research_recommendation'] == 'cash_buffer_branch' + assert rec['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default'] == '并行分支' + + +def test_markdown_export_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + center = module.gp.load_spec_config( + Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'configs' / 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1_default.json' + ) + stable = module.gp.load_spec_config( + Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'configs' / 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1_1_default.json' + ) + md_path = tmp_path / 'geometry.md' + module.write_markdown_report( + md_path, + center_cfg=center, + stable_cfg=stable, + repair_summary=pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'center_current', 'full_cagr': 0.23, 'oos_cagr': 0.31, 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.21, + 'full_max_drawdown': -0.33, 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.18, 'return_2022': -0.11, + 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.48, 'annual_turnover': 2.96, 'avg_names_held': 6.4, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 0.8, 'geometry_repair_score': 0.7, + } + ] + ), + deployment_summary=pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'center_current', 'avg_names_held': 6.4, 'risk_on_avg_names': 8.0, + 'risk_on_target_stock_weight': 1.0, 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 0.8, 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.3, 'avg_safe_haven_weight': 0.44, + 'underfilled_month_share': 0.84, 'dominant_underfill_reason': 'sector_cap_binding', + } + ] + ), + comparison_5bps=pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'center_current', 'period': 'OOS Sample', 'CAGR': 0.31, 'Max Drawdown': -0.18, + 'Turnover/Year': 3.0, 'Average Names Held': 6.4, 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'beta_vs_qqq': 0.5, 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.23, 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.79, + 'Up Capture vs QQQ': 0.98, 'Down Capture vs QQQ': 0.18, + } + ] + ), + recommendation={ + 'research_recommendation': 'cash_buffer_branch', + 'role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default': '并行分支', + 'selected_geometry_repair_default': 'center_current', + 'reason': 'test', + }, + ) + assert md_path.exists() and md_path.stat().st_size > 100 + assert 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1.2 geometry repair' in md_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..301d651 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py @@ -0,0 +1,192 @@ +import importlib.util +import json +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + +ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] +RESEARCH_DIR = ROOT / 'research' +CONFIGS_DIR = RESEARCH_DIR / 'configs' + + +def load_module(): + path = RESEARCH_DIR / 'backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + +def test_geometry_consistency_checks(): + module = load_module() + center_path, stable_path = module.resolve_config_paths(CONFIGS_DIR) + center = module.gp.load_spec_config(center_path) + stable = module.gp.load_spec_config(stable_path) + candidates = {candidate.label: candidate for candidate in module.build_candidates(center, stable)} + + cash = candidates['coherent_cash_buffer_branch'] + full = candidates['coherent_full_deployment_branch'] + full_single8 = candidates['coherent_full_deployment_branch_single8'] + + assert cash.config.holdings_count == 8 + assert cash.risk_on_exposure == 0.8 + assert full.config.holdings_count == 10 + assert full.config.sector_cap == 0.50 + assert full.config.single_name_cap == 0.10 + assert full.risk_on_exposure == 1.0 + assert full_single8.config.single_name_cap == 0.08 + + +def test_deployment_consistency_statistics(): + module = load_module() + center_path, _ = module.resolve_config_paths(CONFIGS_DIR) + center = module.gp.load_spec_config(center_path) + candidate = module.v12.make_candidate( + 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + center.__class__( + name='cash_cfg', + family=center.family, + universe_spec=center.universe_spec, + score_template=center.score_template, + holdings_count=8, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.40, + regime=center.regime, + exposures=center.exposures, + hold_bonus=0.05, + ), + risk_on_exposure=0.8, + note='test', + ) + summary = pd.Series( + { + 'risk_on_avg_names': 8.0, + 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + } + ) + metrics = module.spec_consistency_metrics(candidate, summary) + + assert metrics['target_names'] == 8 + assert metrics['realized_names'] == 8 + assert metrics['target_stock_weight'] == 0.8 + assert metrics['realized_stock_weight'] == 0.8 + assert metrics['names_alignment_score'] == 1.0 + assert metrics['stock_alignment_score'] == 1.0 + assert metrics['deployment_honesty_score'] == 1.0 + + +def test_recommendation_logic_prefers_cash_buffer_when_selected(): + module = load_module() + rec = module.build_recommendation( + center_summary=pd.Series( + { + 'strategy': 'center_current', + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 0.8, + 'deployment_honesty_score': 0.73, + } + ), + cash_summary=pd.Series( + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 1.0, + 'deployment_honesty_score': 1.0, + } + ), + full_summary=pd.Series({'strategy': 'coherent_full_deployment_branch'}), + selected_summary=pd.Series( + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.15, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.18, + 'annual_turnover': 2.8, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 1.0, + 'deployment_honesty_score': 1.0, + 'avg_names_held': 8.5, + 'underfilled_month_share': 0.2, + 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.28, + 'full_max_drawdown': -0.31, + 'oos_cagr': 0.30, + } + ), + qqq_plus_oos=pd.Series({'CAGR': 0.334, 'Max Drawdown': -0.323}), + ) + + assert rec['research_recommendation'] == 'cash_buffer_branch' + assert rec['checks']['center_is_cash_prototype'] is True + assert rec['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default'] == '并行分支' + + +def test_result_export_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + candidate_summary = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'target_names': 8, + 'realized_names': 8, + 'target_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 1.0, + 'deployment_honesty_score': 1.0, + 'spec_normalization_score': 0.8, + } + ] + ) + deployment_summary = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'avg_names_held': 8.5, + 'risk_on_avg_names': 8, + 'risk_on_target_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 1.0, + 'underfilled_month_share': 0.2, + 'avg_top1_stock_weight': 0.08, + 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.24, + 'avg_top5_stock_weight': 0.40, + 'avg_safe_haven_weight': 0.36, + } + ] + ) + comparison = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'period': 'OOS Sample', + 'CAGR': 0.30, + 'Max Drawdown': -0.18, + 'Turnover/Year': 2.8, + 'Average Names Held': 8.5, + 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'beta_vs_qqq': 0.55, + 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.18, + 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.6, + 'Up Capture vs QQQ': 0.95, + 'Down Capture vs QQQ': 0.22, + } + ] + ) + recommendation = { + 'research_recommendation': 'cash_buffer_branch', + 'selected_research_default': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default': '并行分支', + 'reason': 'test', + } + + md_path = tmp_path / 'growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.md' + module.write_markdown_report( + md_path, + candidate_summary=candidate_summary, + deployment_summary=deployment_summary, + comparison_5bps=comparison, + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + assert md_path.exists() and md_path.stat().st_size > 100 + text = md_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') + assert 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1.3 spec normalization' in text + assert 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch' in text diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..522a923 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py @@ -0,0 +1,165 @@ +import importlib.util +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + +ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] +RESEARCH_DIR = ROOT / 'research' +CONFIGS_DIR = RESEARCH_DIR / 'configs' + + +def load_module(): + path = RESEARCH_DIR / 'backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + +def test_honest_cash_buffer_geometry_checks(): + module = load_module() + center = module.gp.load_spec_config(module.resolve_center_config(CONFIGS_DIR)) + candidates = {candidate.label: candidate for candidate in module.build_cash_buffer_candidates(center)} + + default = candidates['coherent_cash_buffer_branch'] + diversified = candidates['cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv50'] + + assert default.config.holdings_count == 8 + assert default.config.single_name_cap == 0.10 + assert default.config.sector_cap == 0.40 + assert default.risk_on_exposure == 0.80 + + assert diversified.config.holdings_count == 10 + assert diversified.config.single_name_cap == 0.08 + assert diversified.config.sector_cap == 0.40 + assert diversified.risk_on_exposure == 0.80 + + +def test_deployment_consistency_statistics_include_2022_breakdown(): + module = load_module() + monthly = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', 'rebalance_date': '2022-01-31', 'regime': 'risk_on', 'selected_count': 8, + 'target_stock_weight': 0.8, 'realized_stock_weight': 0.8, 'safe_haven_weight': 0.2, + 'fill_rate': 1.0, 'theoretical_stock_max': 0.8, 'geometry_feasible': True, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.10, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.30, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.50, + 'underfilled_month': False, 'primary_underfill_reason': 'filled', + }, + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', 'rebalance_date': '2022-02-28', 'regime': 'soft_defense', 'selected_count': 8, + 'target_stock_weight': 0.6, 'realized_stock_weight': 0.6, 'safe_haven_weight': 0.4, + 'fill_rate': 1.0, 'theoretical_stock_max': 0.6, 'geometry_feasible': True, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.08, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.24, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.40, + 'underfilled_month': False, 'primary_underfill_reason': 'filled', + }, + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', 'rebalance_date': '2022-03-31', 'regime': 'hard_defense', 'selected_count': 0, + 'target_stock_weight': 0.0, 'realized_stock_weight': 0.0, 'safe_haven_weight': 1.0, + 'fill_rate': None, 'theoretical_stock_max': 0.0, 'geometry_feasible': True, + 'top1_stock_weight': 0.0, 'top3_stock_weight': 0.0, 'top5_stock_weight': 0.0, + 'underfilled_month': True, 'primary_underfill_reason': 'hard_defense_zero_stock', + }, + ] + ) + + summary = module.v12.summarize_deployment(monthly) + year_2022 = module.summarize_2022_deployment(monthly) + + assert summary['avg_names_held'] == 16 / 3 + assert summary['risk_on_realized_stock_weight'] == 0.8 + assert summary['risk_on_fill_rate'] == 1.0 + assert year_2022['share_2022_risk_on'] == 1 / 3 + assert year_2022['share_2022_soft_defense'] == 1 / 3 + assert year_2022['share_2022_hard_defense'] == 1 / 3 + assert year_2022['avg_2022_stock_weight'] == (0.8 + 0.6 + 0.0) / 3 + + +def test_freeze_decision_logic_can_freeze_current_default(): + module = load_module() + candidate_table = pd.DataFrame( + [ + {'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', 'cash_buffer_refinement_score': 0.80}, + {'strategy': 'cash_buffer_b__hb05__base__adv50', 'cash_buffer_refinement_score': 0.75}, + ] + ) + rec = module.build_recommendation( + current_default=pd.Series( + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'oos_cagr': 0.33, + 'return_2022': -0.12, + 'avg_names_held': 6.0, + } + ), + best_refined=pd.Series( + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'oos_cagr': 0.33, + 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.20, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.19, + 'annual_turnover': 2.8, + 'avg_names_held': 6.2, + 'underfilled_month_share': 0.25, + 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.21, + 'deployment_honesty_score': 1.0, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 1.0, + 'return_2022': -0.11, + } + ), + qqq_plus_oos=pd.Series({'CAGR': 0.334, 'Max Drawdown': -0.323}), + full_deployment_reference=pd.Series({'strategy': 'coherent_full_deployment_branch'}), + all_candidates=candidate_table, + ) + + assert rec['research_recommendation'] == 'cash_buffer_branch_default_frozen' + assert rec['keep_parallel_branch'] is True + assert rec['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default'] == '并行分支' + + +def test_result_export_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + md_path = tmp_path / 'growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.md' + module.write_markdown_report( + md_path, + branch_default={'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch'}, + reference_params=[{'strategy': 'center_current'}], + candidate_summary=pd.DataFrame([ + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', 'base_shape': 'A', 'regime_variant': 'base', 'adv_bucket': '50M', + 'hold_bonus_bucket': '0.05', 'holdings_count': 8, 'single_name_cap': 0.10, 'sector_cap': 0.40, + 'soft_defense_exposure': 0.60, 'full_cagr': 0.24, 'oos_cagr': 0.33, 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.23, + 'return_2022': -0.12, 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.19, 'annual_turnover': 2.8, 'avg_names_held': 5.9, + 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.21, 'cash_buffer_refinement_score': 0.69, + } + ]), + deployment_summary=pd.DataFrame([ + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', 'avg_names_held': 5.9, 'risk_on_avg_names': 8.0, + 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, 'risk_on_fill_rate': 1.0, 'underfilled_month_share': 0.26, + 'avg_top1_stock_weight': 0.07, 'avg_top3_stock_weight': 0.21, 'avg_top5_stock_weight': 0.35, + 'avg_safe_haven_weight': 0.44, 'share_2022_risk_on': 0.25, 'share_2022_soft_defense': 0.50, + 'share_2022_hard_defense': 0.25, 'avg_2022_stock_weight': 0.35, + } + ]), + comparison_5bps=pd.DataFrame([ + { + 'strategy': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', 'period': 'OOS Sample', 'CAGR': 0.33, 'Max Drawdown': -0.19, + 'Turnover/Year': 2.8, 'Average Names Held': 5.9, 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'beta_vs_qqq': 0.50, 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.25, 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.84, + 'Up Capture vs QQQ': 1.0, 'Down Capture vs QQQ': 0.15, + } + ]), + recommendation={ + 'research_recommendation': 'cash_buffer_branch_default', + 'selected_refined_default': 'coherent_cash_buffer_branch', + 'keep_parallel_branch': True, + 'role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default': '并行分支', + 'reason': 'test', + }, + ) + assert md_path.exists() and md_path.stat().st_size > 100 + assert 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1.4 cash buffer branch refinement' in md_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..5c9dc09 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py @@ -0,0 +1,173 @@ +import importlib.util +import json +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + +ROOT = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] +RESEARCH_DIR = ROOT / 'research' +CONFIGS_DIR = RESEARCH_DIR / 'configs' + + +def load_module(): + path = RESEARCH_DIR / 'backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + +def test_canonical_config_export(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + center = module.gp.load_spec_config(CONFIGS_DIR / module.v14.CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME) + spec = module.build_canonical_spec(center, 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50') + + out = tmp_path / 'growth_pullback_cash_buffer_branch_default.json' + module.save_canonical_spec(out, spec) + payload = json.loads(out.read_text(encoding='utf-8')) + + assert payload['name'] == 'cash_buffer_branch_default' + assert payload['previous_candidate_name'] == 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50' + assert payload['holdings_count'] == 8 + assert payload['single_name_cap'] == 0.10 + assert payload['sector_cap'] == 0.40 + assert payload['hold_bonus'] == 0.10 + assert payload['exposures']['risk_on'] == 0.80 + assert payload['branch_role'] == 'cash-buffered parallel branch' + + +def test_manifest_fields_non_empty(): + module = load_module() + center = module.gp.load_spec_config(CONFIGS_DIR / module.v14.CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME) + spec = module.build_canonical_spec(center, 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50') + manifest = module.build_manifest( + spec=spec, + canonical_summary={ + 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'avg_names_held': 5.9, + 'risk_on_fill_rate': 1.0, + 'beta_vs_qqq_oos': 0.50, + 'oos_cagr': 0.34068, + 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.238732, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.191763, + 'return_2022': -0.120121, + }, + qqq_plus_oos=pd.Series({'CAGR': 0.33401}), + recommendation_level='cash_buffer_branch_default', + ) + + assert manifest['branch_name'] == 'cash_buffer_branch_default' + assert manifest['role'] + assert manifest['intended_use'] + assert manifest['why_this_is_a_cash_buffer_branch'] + assert manifest['why_this_is_not_frozen'] + assert manifest['preferred_comparison_set'] + + +def test_geometry_and_deployment_consistency_checks(): + module = load_module() + center = module.gp.load_spec_config(CONFIGS_DIR / module.v14.CENTER_CONFIG_FILENAME) + spec = module.build_canonical_spec(center, 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50') + payload = module.canonical_spec_to_dict(spec) + v14_summary = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'strategy': 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50', + 'oos_cagr': 0.34068, + 'return_2022': -0.120121, + 'avg_names_held': 5.9, + } + ] + ) + manifest = {'role': 'cash-buffered parallel branch'} + canonical_summary = { + 'risk_on_realized_stock_weight': 0.8, + 'soft_defense_realized_stock_weight': 0.6, + 'hard_defense_realized_stock_weight': 0.0, + 'oos_cagr': 0.34068, + 'return_2022': -0.120121, + 'avg_names_held': 5.9, + } + + checks = module.build_consistency_checks( + spec=spec, + config_payload=payload, + v14_summary=v14_summary, + previous_candidate_name='cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50', + canonical_summary=canonical_summary, + recommendation_level='cash_buffer_branch_default', + manifest=manifest, + ) + + assert checks['passed'].all() + assert 'geometry_capacity_matches_target' in checks['check'].values + assert 'risk_on_realized_matches_target' in checks['check'].values + + +def test_recommendation_logic_defaults_but_not_frozen(): + module = load_module() + recommendation = module.build_freeze_recommendation( + canonical_summary={ + 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.238732, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.191763, + 'annual_turnover': 2.80, + 'avg_names_held': 5.90, + 'return_2022': -0.120121, + }, + checks_df=pd.DataFrame([ + {'check': 'a', 'passed': True}, + {'check': 'b', 'passed': True}, + ]), + ) + + assert recommendation['research_recommendation'] == 'cash_buffer_branch_default' + assert recommendation['keep_parallel_branch'] is True + assert recommendation['role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default'] == '并行分支' + assert 'average_names_held_still_low' in recommendation['frozen_blockers'] + + +def test_result_export_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + md_path = tmp_path / 'growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.md' + module.write_markdown_report( + md_path, + canonical_payload={ + 'name': 'cash_buffer_branch_default', + 'previous_candidate_name': 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50', + 'holdings_count': 8, + 'single_name_cap': 0.10, + 'sector_cap': 0.40, + }, + comparison_df=pd.DataFrame([ + { + 'strategy': 'cash_buffer_branch_default', + 'role': 'cash-buffered parallel branch', + 'oos_cagr': 0.34068, + } + ]), + checks_df=pd.DataFrame([ + {'check': 'geometry_capacity_matches_target', 'passed': True, 'detail': 'ok'} + ]), + recommendation={ + 'research_recommendation': 'cash_buffer_branch_default', + 'previous_candidate_name': 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50', + 'branch_name': 'cash_buffer_branch_default', + 'role_vs_qqq_plus_current_default': '并行分支', + 'keep_parallel_branch': True, + 'reason': 'test', + 'frozen_blockers': ['average_names_held_still_low'], + }, + manifest={ + 'branch_name': 'cash_buffer_branch_default', + 'role': 'cash-buffered parallel branch', + 'previous_candidate_name': 'cash_buffer_a__hb10__base__adv50', + 'benchmark': 'QQQ', + 'intended_use': 'test', + }, + ) + + assert md_path.exists() and md_path.stat().st_size > 100 + assert 'growth_pullback_systematic_v1.5 freeze review and branch packaging' in md_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') diff --git a/tests/test_stock_alpha_suite.py b/tests/test_stock_alpha_suite.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..e582528 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_stock_alpha_suite.py @@ -0,0 +1,128 @@ +import importlib.util +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd +import pytest + + + +def load_research_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / "research" / "backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py" + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location("backtest_stock_alpha_suite_test", path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + +def test_build_offensive_ablation_configs_covers_requested_grid_axes(): + module = load_research_module() + + configs = module.build_offensive_ablation_configs() + names = {config.name for config in configs} + + assert "base_candidate" in names + assert "universe_full_eligible" in names + assert "universe_liquid_50m" in names + assert "universe_leadership_liquid" in names + assert "struct_h12_cap6_sector20" in names + assert "struct_h16_cap8_sector30" in names + assert "struct_h24_cap10_sector40" in names + assert "regime_spy_breadth" in names + assert "regime_qqq_breadth" in names + assert "regime_qqq_xlk_smh_breadth" in names + assert "exposure_100_50_10" in names + assert "exposure_100_60_0" in names + assert "exposure_100_70_20" in names + + + +def test_normalize_universe_history_parses_dates_and_symbols(): + module = load_research_module() + + raw = pd.DataFrame( + { + "symbol": [" aapl ", "msft"], + "sector": ["Tech", ""], + "start_date": ["2020-01-31", "2020-02-29"], + "end_date": ["2020-12-31", None], + } + ) + + normalized = module.normalize_universe_history(raw) + + assert normalized.loc[0, "symbol"] == "AAPL" + assert normalized.loc[1, "sector"] == "unknown" + assert normalized.loc[0, "start_date"] == pd.Timestamp("2020-01-31") + assert pd.isna(normalized.loc[1, "end_date"]) + + + +def test_build_offensive_target_weights_respects_caps_and_safe_haven(): + module = load_research_module() + + rows = [ + {"symbol": "QQQ", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.15, "mom_6_1": 0.20, "mom_12_1": 0.30, "breakout_252": 0.08, "vol_63": 0.20, "maxdd_126": -0.10, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "SPY", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.10, "mom_6_1": 0.12, "mom_12_1": 0.18, "breakout_252": 0.04, "vol_63": 0.16, "maxdd_126": -0.08, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "XLK", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.12, "mom_6_1": 0.18, "mom_12_1": 0.26, "breakout_252": 0.07, "vol_63": 0.19, "maxdd_126": -0.09, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "SMH", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.14, "mom_6_1": 0.22, "mom_12_1": 0.34, "breakout_252": 0.09, "vol_63": 0.24, "maxdd_126": -0.11, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "AAA", "sector": "tech", "sma200_gap": 0.20, "mom_6_1": 0.32, "mom_12_1": 0.44, "breakout_252": 0.12, "vol_63": 0.18, "maxdd_126": -0.08, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + {"symbol": "AAB", "sector": "tech", "sma200_gap": 0.18, "mom_6_1": 0.28, "mom_12_1": 0.40, "breakout_252": 0.10, "vol_63": 0.19, "maxdd_126": -0.09, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + {"symbol": "AAC", "sector": "tech", "sma200_gap": 0.16, "mom_6_1": 0.24, "mom_12_1": 0.36, "breakout_252": 0.08, "vol_63": 0.20, "maxdd_126": -0.10, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + {"symbol": "BAA", "sector": "health", "sma200_gap": 0.15, "mom_6_1": 0.25, "mom_12_1": 0.35, "breakout_252": 0.09, "vol_63": 0.17, "maxdd_126": -0.07, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + {"symbol": "BAB", "sector": "health", "sma200_gap": 0.13, "mom_6_1": 0.21, "mom_12_1": 0.31, "breakout_252": 0.07, "vol_63": 0.18, "maxdd_126": -0.08, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + {"symbol": "BAC", "sector": "health", "sma200_gap": 0.11, "mom_6_1": 0.19, "mom_12_1": 0.29, "breakout_252": 0.06, "vol_63": 0.19, "maxdd_126": -0.09, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + ] + snapshot = pd.DataFrame(rows) + config = module.OffensiveConfig( + name="toy", + universe_filter=module.UniverseFilterConfig("full_eligible", 20_000_000.0), + holdings_count=4, + single_name_cap=0.20, + sector_cap=0.30, + regime=module.RegimeConfig("qqq_breadth", "QQQ", "broad"), + exposures=module.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.0), + ) + + weights, metadata = module.build_offensive_target_weights(snapshot, {"AAA"}, config) + + stock_weights = {symbol: weight for symbol, weight in weights.items() if symbol != module.SAFE_HAVEN} + assert metadata["regime"] == "risk_on" + assert len(stock_weights) == 2 + assert all(weight <= 0.20 + 1e-12 for weight in stock_weights.values()) + assert weights[module.SAFE_HAVEN] == pytest.approx(0.60) + selected = set(metadata["selected_symbols"]) + assert "AAA" in selected + tech_count = sum(1 for symbol in selected if symbol.startswith("AA")) + assert tech_count <= 1 + + + +def test_build_offensive_target_weights_can_go_full_safe_haven_in_hard_defense(): + module = load_research_module() + + rows = [ + {"symbol": "QQQ", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": -0.10, "mom_6_1": -0.05, "mom_12_1": 0.02, "breakout_252": -0.08, "vol_63": 0.22, "maxdd_126": -0.25, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "SPY", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": -0.08, "mom_6_1": -0.04, "mom_12_1": 0.01, "breakout_252": -0.07, "vol_63": 0.18, "maxdd_126": -0.20, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "XLK", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": -0.09, "mom_6_1": -0.06, "mom_12_1": 0.00, "breakout_252": -0.09, "vol_63": 0.24, "maxdd_126": -0.22, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "SMH", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": -0.11, "mom_6_1": -0.08, "mom_12_1": -0.01, "breakout_252": -0.10, "vol_63": 0.26, "maxdd_126": -0.24, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False}, + {"symbol": "AAA", "sector": "tech", "sma200_gap": -0.05, "mom_6_1": -0.03, "mom_12_1": 0.00, "breakout_252": -0.05, "vol_63": 0.19, "maxdd_126": -0.18, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + {"symbol": "BAA", "sector": "health", "sma200_gap": -0.02, "mom_6_1": -0.01, "mom_12_1": 0.01, "breakout_252": -0.04, "vol_63": 0.17, "maxdd_126": -0.16, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True}, + ] + snapshot = pd.DataFrame(rows) + config = module.OffensiveConfig( + name="hard_defense", + universe_filter=module.UniverseFilterConfig("full_eligible", 20_000_000.0), + holdings_count=4, + single_name_cap=0.10, + sector_cap=0.30, + regime=module.RegimeConfig("qqq_breadth", "QQQ", "broad"), + exposures=module.ExposureConfig("100_60_0", 0.60, 0.0), + ) + + weights, metadata = module.build_offensive_target_weights(snapshot, set(), config) + + assert metadata["regime"] == "hard_defense" + assert metadata["stock_exposure"] == pytest.approx(0.0) + assert weights == {module.SAFE_HAVEN: 1.0} diff --git a/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..008c845 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py @@ -0,0 +1,209 @@ +import importlib.util +import json +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + + +def load_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + + +def test_config_round_trip(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + base = module.robust.build_base_candidate() + config = module.replace( + base, + name='spec_lock_round_trip', + universe_filter=module.suite.UniverseFilterConfig('liquid_50m', 50_000_000.0, leadership_only=False), + group_normalization='universe', + holdings_count=12, + single_name_cap=0.09, + sector_cap=0.25, + hold_bonus=0.05, + ) + + path = tmp_path / 'default.json' + module.save_spec_config(path, config, role='default_frozen_spec') + loaded = module.load_spec_config(path) + + assert path.exists() and path.stat().st_size > 0 + assert loaded.name == config.name + assert loaded.universe_filter.name == 'liquid_50m' + assert loaded.group_normalization == 'universe' + assert loaded.holdings_count == 12 + assert loaded.single_name_cap == 0.09 + + + +def test_selection_score_prefers_more_robust_candidate_and_recommendation_layers(): + module = load_module() + base = module.robust.build_base_candidate() + frame = pd.DataFrame( + [ + { + 'scenario': 'candidate_a', + 'universe_filter': 'leadership_liquid', + 'group_normalization': 'sector', + 'group_normalization_label': 'sector', + 'holdings_count': 16, + 'single_name_cap': 0.08, + 'sector_cap': 0.30, + 'hold_bonus': 0.10, + 'full_total_return': 3.0, + 'full_cagr': 0.20, + 'full_information_ratio_vs_qqq': 0.10, + 'return_2022': -0.12, + 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.32, + 'oos_cagr': 0.21, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.28, + 'oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio': 1.0, + 'annual_turnover': 3.2, + 'plateau_200bps_share': 0.25, + }, + { + 'scenario': 'candidate_b', + 'universe_filter': 'liquid_50m', + 'group_normalization': 'universe', + 'group_normalization_label': 'universe_cross_sectional', + 'holdings_count': 12, + 'single_name_cap': 0.10, + 'sector_cap': 0.25, + 'hold_bonus': 0.05, + 'full_total_return': 3.4, + 'full_cagr': 0.22, + 'full_information_ratio_vs_qqq': 0.14, + 'return_2022': -0.08, + 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.36, + 'oos_cagr': 0.24, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.31, + 'oos_rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio': 1.0, + 'annual_turnover': 3.7, + 'plateau_200bps_share': 0.32, + }, + ] + ) + scored = module.add_selection_scores(frame, base, qqq_oos_cagr=0.10) + top = scored.iloc[0] + + assert top['scenario'] == 'candidate_b' + assert top['robustness_score'] > scored.iloc[1]['robustness_score'] + + recommendation = module.build_recommendation( + previous_gate={'recommendation': 'no_shadow_tracking', 'plateau_200bps_share': 0.185}, + local_plateau_share=0.22, + default_row=top, + aggressive_row=top, + qqq_oos_cagr=0.10, + ) + assert recommendation['original_gate_v1_1_local_grid']['recommendation'] == 'yes_shadow_tracking' + assert recommendation['v1_1_recommendation'] in {'shadow_candidate', 'shadow_ready'} + + + +def test_markdown_export_is_not_empty(tmp_path): + module = load_module() + md_path = tmp_path / 'report.md' + selection_df = pd.DataFrame( + [{ + 'scenario': 'candidate_a', + 'robustness_score': 0.75, + 'robustness_rank': 1, + 'full_cagr_rank': 1, + 'universe_filter': 'leadership_liquid', + 'group_normalization_label': 'sector', + 'holdings_count': 16, + 'single_name_cap': 0.08, + 'sector_cap': 0.30, + 'hold_bonus': 0.10, + 'oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.08, + 'plateau_200bps_share': 0.25, + 'oos_max_drawdown': -0.28, + 'annual_turnover': 3.2, + 'return_2022': -0.12, + 'cagr_2023_plus': 0.32, + }] + ) + plateau_df = pd.DataFrame( + [ + {'scope': 'overall', 'dimension': 'all', 'value': 'all', 'neighborhood': 'top_decile_full_cagr', 'count': 2, 'total': 10, 'share': 0.2}, + {'scope': 'overall', 'dimension': 'all', 'value': 'all', 'neighborhood': 'within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive', 'count': 3, 'total': 10, 'share': 0.3}, + {'scope': 'overall', 'dimension': 'all', 'value': 'all', 'neighborhood': 'within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive', 'count': 4, 'total': 10, 'share': 0.4}, + {'scope': 'axis', 'dimension': 'universe_filter', 'value': 'leadership_liquid', 'neighborhood': 'within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive', 'count': 4, 'total': 5, 'share': 0.8}, + ] + ) + oos_df = pd.DataFrame( + [{ + 'strategy': 'default_frozen_spec', + 'cost_bps_one_way': 5.0, + 'period': 'OOS Sample', + 'CAGR': 0.22, + 'Total Return': 1.0, + 'Max Drawdown': -0.3, + 'Sharpe': 0.9, + 'Information Ratio vs QQQ': 0.5, + 'rolling_36m_alpha_positive_ratio': 1.0, + 'annual_turnover': 3.5, + }] + ) + attribution_df = pd.DataFrame( + [{ + 'strategy': 'default_frozen_spec', + 'beta_vs_qqq': 0.7, + 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.08, + 'tracking_error_vs_qqq': 0.2, + 'information_ratio_vs_qqq': 0.1, + 'up_capture_vs_qqq': 0.8, + 'down_capture_vs_qqq': 0.45, + 'turnover': 3.5, + 'average_names_held': 14, + 'active_share_vs_qqq': float('nan'), + }] + ) + spy_sanity_df = pd.DataFrame( + [{ + 'scenario': 'candidate_a', + 'spy_sanity_full_cagr': 0.18, + 'spy_sanity_full_ir_vs_qqq': 0.05, + 'spy_sanity_oos_cagr': 0.19, + 'spy_sanity_oos_cagr_minus_qqq': 0.03, + 'spy_sanity_pass': True, + }] + ) + recommendation = { + 'original_gate_previous_round': {'recommendation': 'no_shadow_tracking', 'plateau_200bps_share': 0.185}, + 'original_gate_v1_1_local_grid': {'recommendation': 'yes_shadow_tracking'}, + 'v1_1_recommendation': 'shadow_candidate', + 'reason': 'test', + } + + module.write_markdown_report( + md_path, + previous_default_row=pd.Series({'scenario': 'previous_offensive_default'}), + default_row=pd.Series({'scenario': 'candidate_a'}), + aggressive_row=pd.Series({'scenario': 'candidate_b'}), + selection_df=selection_df, + plateau_df=plateau_df, + plateau_stats={ + 'within_200bps_best_cagr_ir_positive_share': 0.4, + 'within_100bps_best_cagr_ir_positive_share': 0.3, + 'top_decile_full_cagr_share': 0.2, + }, + oos_df=oos_df, + attribution_df=attribution_df, + spy_sanity_df=spy_sanity_df, + recommendation=recommendation, + ) + + text = md_path.read_text(encoding='utf-8') + assert 'qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1.1 spec lock' in text + assert 'shadow_candidate' in text + assert len(text) > 100 diff --git a/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..c9f6ab6 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py @@ -0,0 +1,92 @@ +import importlib.util +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd + + + +def load_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + + +def test_build_first_order_neighbors_changes_one_dimension_at_a_time(): + module = load_module() + center = module.v11.load_spec_config( + Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'configs' / 'qqq_plus_stock_alpha_v1_1_default.json' + ) + neighbors = module.build_first_order_neighbors(center) + + assert len(neighbors) == 6 + dims = [meta['change_dimension'] for meta, _config in neighbors] + assert dims.count('holdings_count') == 1 + assert dims.count('single_name_cap') == 1 + assert dims.count('sector_cap') == 2 + assert dims.count('hold_bonus') == 2 + + + +def test_candidate_plateau_summary_counts_first_order_neighbors(): + module = load_module() + center = pd.Series({'CAGR': 0.33, 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.12, 'Max Drawdown': -0.32}) + neighbors = pd.DataFrame( + [ + {'strategy': 'n1', 'CAGR': 0.329, 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.11, 'Max Drawdown': -0.31}, + {'strategy': 'n2', 'CAGR': 0.321, 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.10, 'Max Drawdown': -0.34}, + {'strategy': 'n3', 'CAGR': 0.300, 'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.05, 'Max Drawdown': -0.36}, + ] + ) + _frame, summary = module.build_candidate_plateau(neighbors, center) + + assert summary['neighbor_count'] == 3 + assert summary['neighbor_plateau_50bps_count'] == 1 + assert summary['neighbor_plateau_100bps_count'] == 2 + assert summary['neighbor_plateau_200bps_count'] == 2 + + + +def test_holdout_builders_and_recommendation_layer(): + module = load_module() + dates = pd.bdate_range('2022-01-03', '2023-12-29') + strategy = pd.Series(0.0008, index=dates) + benchmark = pd.Series(0.0004, index=dates) + + monthly, monthly_summary = module.build_monthly_jackknife( + strategy_returns=strategy, + benchmark_returns=benchmark, + cost_bps=5.0, + ) + blocks, block6_summary = module.build_block_holdout( + strategy_returns=strategy, + benchmark_returns=benchmark, + cost_bps=5.0, + window_months=6, + ) + _blocks12, block12_summary = module.build_block_holdout( + strategy_returns=strategy, + benchmark_returns=benchmark, + cost_bps=5.0, + window_months=12, + ) + + assert not monthly.empty + assert not blocks.empty + assert 0.0 <= monthly_summary['positive_alpha_share'] <= 1.0 + assert 0.0 <= block6_summary['positive_alpha_share'] <= 1.0 + + center_row = pd.Series({'alpha_ann_vs_qqq': 0.10, 'Max Drawdown': -0.20}) + recommendation = module.build_candidate_recommendation( + original_global_gate={'recommendation': 'no_shadow_tracking', 'plateau_200bps_share': 0.162}, + center_row=center_row, + local_plateau_summary={'neighbor_plateau_100bps_share': 0.6, 'neighbor_plateau_200bps_share': 0.8}, + monthly_summary_5bps={'positive_alpha_share': 0.95}, + block6_summary_5bps={'positive_alpha_share': 0.85}, + block12_summary_5bps={'positive_alpha_share': 0.75}, + ) + assert recommendation['candidate_centric_recommendation'] == 'shadow_candidate' diff --git a/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py new file mode 100644 index 0000000..ecb55c7 --- /dev/null +++ b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py @@ -0,0 +1,95 @@ +import importlib.util +import sys +from pathlib import Path + +import pandas as pd +import pytest + + + +def load_module(): + path = Path(__file__).resolve().parents[1] / 'research' / 'backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py' + spec = importlib.util.spec_from_file_location('backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness_test', path) + module = importlib.util.module_from_spec(spec) + sys.modules[spec.name] = module + spec.loader.exec_module(module) + return module + + + +def build_toy_snapshot(module): + rows = [ + {"symbol": "QQQ", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.10, "mom_6_1": 0.20, "mom_12_1": 0.30, "breakout_252": 0.08, "vol_63": 0.21, "maxdd_126": -0.12, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + {"symbol": "SPY", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.08, "mom_6_1": 0.16, "mom_12_1": 0.24, "breakout_252": 0.06, "vol_63": 0.18, "maxdd_126": -0.10, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + {"symbol": "XLK", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.09, "mom_6_1": 0.18, "mom_12_1": 0.28, "breakout_252": 0.07, "vol_63": 0.22, "maxdd_126": -0.11, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + {"symbol": "SMH", "sector": "benchmark", "sma200_gap": 0.11, "mom_6_1": 0.22, "mom_12_1": 0.34, "breakout_252": 0.09, "vol_63": 0.24, "maxdd_126": -0.13, "adv20_usd": 1e9, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": False, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + {"symbol": "AAA", "sector": "tech", "sma200_gap": 0.20, "mom_6_1": 0.35, "mom_12_1": 0.45, "breakout_252": 0.13, "vol_63": 0.19, "maxdd_126": -0.08, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + {"symbol": "AAB", "sector": "tech", "sma200_gap": 0.16, "mom_6_1": 0.27, "mom_12_1": 0.39, "breakout_252": 0.09, "vol_63": 0.20, "maxdd_126": -0.09, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + {"symbol": "BAA", "sector": "health", "sma200_gap": 0.18, "mom_6_1": 0.30, "mom_12_1": 0.41, "breakout_252": 0.10, "vol_63": 0.18, "maxdd_126": -0.07, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + {"symbol": "BAB", "sector": "health", "sma200_gap": 0.14, "mom_6_1": 0.24, "mom_12_1": 0.33, "breakout_252": 0.07, "vol_63": 0.17, "maxdd_126": -0.06, "adv20_usd": 2e8, "history_days": 500, "base_eligible": True, "universe_reference_date": pd.Timestamp("2024-01-31")}, + ] + return pd.DataFrame(rows) + + + +def test_build_local_parameter_grid_has_expected_size_and_contains_base_neighborhood(): + module = load_module() + base = module.build_base_candidate() + grid = module.build_local_parameter_grid(base) + + assert len(grid) == 81 + names = {config.name for config in grid} + assert 'grid_h12_cap7_sector25_hold05' in names + assert 'grid_h16_cap8_sector30_hold10' in names + assert 'grid_h20_cap9_sector35_hold15' in names + + + +def test_pressure_variants_explicitly_include_required_degradations(): + module = load_module() + base = module.build_base_candidate() + variants = module.build_pressure_variants(base) + names = {name for name, _config, _context, _lag in variants} + + assert 'alias_on_baseline' in names + assert 'alias_off_no_identifier_repair' in names + assert 'universe_lag_1_rebalance' in names + assert 'leadership_ultra_liquid_100m' in names + assert 'normalization_universe' in names + + + +def test_universe_normalization_path_runs_and_keeps_safe_haven_weight(): + module = load_module() + snapshot = build_toy_snapshot(module) + base = module.build_base_candidate() + config = module.replace(base, group_normalization='universe', holdings_count=4, single_name_cap=0.20, sector_cap=0.30) + + weights, metadata = module.build_offensive_target_weights_robust(snapshot, {'AAA'}, config) + + assert metadata['group_normalization'] == 'universe' + assert metadata['regime'] == 'risk_on' + assert module.suite.SAFE_HAVEN in weights + assert weights[module.suite.SAFE_HAVEN] == pytest.approx(0.60) + + + +def test_turnover_profile_reports_replacements_and_holding_duration(): + module = load_module() + selection_history = pd.DataFrame( + { + 'rebalance_date': pd.to_datetime(['2024-01-31', '2024-02-29', '2024-03-31']), + 'selected_symbols': [('AAA', 'BAA', 'CAA'), ('AAA', 'BAB', 'CAA'), ('AAA', 'BAB', 'CAD')], + } + ) + turnover_history = pd.Series( + [0.0, 0.15, 0.10], + index=pd.to_datetime(['2024-01-31', '2024-02-29', '2024-03-31']), + ) + + profile = module.compute_turnover_profile(selection_history, turnover_history) + + assert profile['annual_turnover'] > 0 + assert profile['average_names_replaced_per_rebalance'] == pytest.approx(1.0) + assert profile['median_holding_duration_days'] > 0 + assert 0 <= profile['top5_continuity'] <= 1 From 000cb143a171323dab017aa41851ea2b42f4993d Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Pigbibi <20649888+Pigbibi@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Sun, 5 Apr 2026 21:22:32 +0800 Subject: [PATCH 2/3] fix lint issues in research suites --- .../backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py | 13 +++++-------- research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py | 10 ++++------ research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py | 12 +++--------- ...backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py | 9 ++++----- ...ktest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py | 7 +++---- ...t_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py | 8 ++++---- .../backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py | 10 +++++----- research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py | 2 +- research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py | 5 ++--- .../backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py | 8 ++++---- research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py | 4 ++-- tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py | 1 - tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py | 1 - .../test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py | 1 - tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py | 1 - 15 files changed, 37 insertions(+), 55 deletions(-) diff --git a/research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py b/research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py index 5f1853f..f3580a7 100644 --- a/research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py +++ b/research/backtest_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py @@ -17,11 +17,10 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 -import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" @@ -913,7 +912,7 @@ def write_summary_markdown( f"- sector_cap={float(baseline_payload['sector_cap']):.0%}", f"- hold_bonus={float(baseline_payload['hold_bonus']):.2f}", f"- benchmark={baseline_payload['benchmark_symbol']}", - f"- non-rebalance days=no-op baseline; overlay only changes exposure / existing-name weights / BOXX", + "- non-rebalance days=no-op baseline; overlay only changes exposure / existing-name weights / BOXX", "", "## Overlay families tested", "- daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay", @@ -1030,7 +1029,6 @@ def main() -> None: best_portfolio_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_portfolio_throttle_overlay"].iloc[0] best_name_row = family_scores.loc[family_scores["family"] == "daily_name_level_trim_overlay"].iloc[0] - combo_rows: pd.DataFrame | None = None combo_candidate: OverlayStrategyConfig | None = None if overlay_has_incremental_value(best_portfolio_row, baseline_oos_row) and overlay_has_incremental_value(best_name_row, baseline_oos_row): portfolio_cfg = next(candidate for candidate in portfolio_candidates if candidate.name == str(best_portfolio_row["strategy"])) @@ -1041,7 +1039,6 @@ def main() -> None: combo_candidate_rows = candidate_rows_from_artifacts(combo_candidate.name, combo_candidate.family, combo_artifacts, benchmark_returns, cost_bps_values=COST_LEVELS) all_rows_df = pd.concat([all_rows_df, pd.DataFrame(combo_candidate_rows)], ignore_index=True) family_scores = build_family_selection_table(all_rows_df, oos_benchmark_cagr=qqq_oos_cagr) - combo_rows = family_scores.loc[family_scores["strategy"] == combo_candidate.name].copy() # qqq_plus_current_default reference qqq_rows = build_reference_rows_from_existing_results( diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py index 9142f51..07bcf3f 100644 --- a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_suite.py @@ -15,7 +15,7 @@ import json import math import sys -from dataclasses import dataclass, replace +from dataclasses import dataclass from pathlib import Path from typing import Iterable, Mapping @@ -26,9 +26,9 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" @@ -1157,8 +1157,6 @@ def build_recommendation( broad_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "broad_growth_leadership_pullback"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "broad_growth_leadership_pullback").any() else None tech_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "tech_heavy_pullback"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "tech_heavy_pullback").any() else None crypto_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "crypto_equity_theme_pullback"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "crypto_equity_theme_pullback").any() else None - trend_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "trend_only_control"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "trend_only_control").any() else None - naive_best = family_best_df.loc[family_best_df["family"] == "naive_dip_buy_control"].iloc[0] if (family_best_df["family"] == "naive_dip_buy_control").any() else None if default_row["family"] == "broad_growth_leadership_pullback": main_line = "broad_growth_leadership_pullback" diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py index 6414917..d3cf896 100644 --- a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock.py @@ -9,7 +9,6 @@ import sys from dataclasses import replace from pathlib import Path -from typing import Iterable import numpy as np import pandas as pd @@ -18,10 +17,9 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust -import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" @@ -398,7 +396,6 @@ def build_local_plateau(local_oos_rows: pd.DataFrame, center_row: pd.Series) -> frame["within_100bps"] = frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.010 frame["within_200bps"] = frame["abs_delta_oos_cagr_vs_center"] <= 0.020 local_only = frame.loc[frame["strategy"] != str(center_row["strategy"])].copy() - denom = max(len(local_only), 1) summary = { "variant_count_ex_center": int(len(local_only)), "local_plateau_50bps_share": float(local_only["within_50bps"].mean()) if not local_only.empty else float("nan"), @@ -510,8 +507,6 @@ def write_markdown_report( comparison_df_5bps: pd.DataFrame, recommendation: dict[str, object], ) -> None: - center_occ = occupancy_summary_df.loc[occupancy_summary_df["strategy"] == center_config.name].iloc[0] - stable_occ = occupancy_summary_df.loc[occupancy_summary_df["strategy"] == str(stable_result_5bps["strategy"])].iloc[0] lines = [ "# growth_pullback_systematic_v1.1 spec lock", "", @@ -639,7 +634,6 @@ def main() -> None: local_oos_main = local_df.loc[(local_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (local_df["period"] == "OOS Sample")].copy() local_plateau_df, local_plateau_summary = build_local_plateau(local_oos_main, center_oos) - center_full = extract_period_row(local_df, center_config.name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") local_summary_rows = [] for strategy_name in sorted(local_df["strategy"].unique()): full_row = extract_period_row(local_df, strategy_name, MAIN_COST_BPS, "Full Sample") diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py index 088b04d..20d1bbf 100644 --- a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair.py @@ -18,10 +18,10 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock as v11g -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust -import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_1_spec_lock as v11g # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" @@ -672,7 +672,6 @@ def main() -> None: deployment_summary_rows.append(summarize_deployment(monthly)) candidate_df = pd.DataFrame(candidate_rows) - deployment_monthly_df = pd.concat(deployment_monthly_frames, ignore_index=True) deployment_summary_df = pd.DataFrame(deployment_summary_rows) reference_rows_df, reference_artifacts = gp.build_reference_rows(context, COST_LEVELS) diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py index e754991..32f67ee 100644 --- a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py @@ -8,7 +8,6 @@ import sys from dataclasses import replace from pathlib import Path -from typing import Iterable import numpy as np import pandas as pd @@ -17,9 +16,9 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py index d986b02..20e76a8 100644 --- a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement.py @@ -18,10 +18,10 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization as v13 -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization as v13 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" diff --git a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py index 1fdcbbe..f41fff7 100644 --- a/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py +++ b/research/backtest_growth_pullback_v1_5_freeze_review.py @@ -16,11 +16,11 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization as v13 -import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement as v14 -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_growth_pullback_suite as gp # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_2_geometry_repair as v12 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization as v13 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_growth_pullback_v1_4_cash_buffer_refinement as v14 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py index 786ac1b..965e33a 100644 --- a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_suite.py @@ -18,7 +18,7 @@ import json import math import sys -from dataclasses import asdict, dataclass +from dataclasses import dataclass from pathlib import Path from typing import Iterable, Mapping diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py index d1d2d3f..157477f 100755 --- a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py @@ -13,7 +13,6 @@ import argparse import json -import math import sys from dataclasses import replace from pathlib import Path @@ -26,8 +25,8 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py index dbc4a30..21c9067 100755 --- a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1b_candidate_gate.py @@ -27,9 +27,9 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 -import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock as v11 # noqa: E402 +import backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness as robust # noqa: E402 DEFAULT_RESULTS_DIR = SCRIPT_DIR / "results" @@ -591,7 +591,7 @@ def main() -> None: & (candidate_gate_df["period"] == "OOS Sample") ].iloc[0] neighbor_oos_rows_5bps = candidate_gate_df.loc[ - (candidate_gate_df["is_neighbor"] == True) + (candidate_gate_df["is_neighbor"]) & (candidate_gate_df["cost_bps_one_way"] == MAIN_COST_BPS) & (candidate_gate_df["period"] == "OOS Sample") ].copy() diff --git a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py index 74b4fcb..6efc50d 100644 --- a/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py +++ b/research/backtest_stock_alpha_v1_robustness.py @@ -28,7 +28,7 @@ if str(SCRIPT_DIR) not in sys.path: sys.path.insert(0, str(SCRIPT_DIR)) -import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite +import backtest_stock_alpha_suite as suite # noqa: E402 from us_equity_strategies.backtests.russell_1000_multi_factor_defensive import ( # noqa: E402 build_monthly_rebalance_dates, @@ -979,7 +979,7 @@ def format_value(value) -> str: f"- regime={base_config.regime.name}", f"- breadth thresholds: soft={SOFT_BREADTH_THRESHOLD:.0%}, hard={HARD_BREADTH_THRESHOLD:.0%}", f"- normalization={base_config.group_normalization}", - f"- residual proxy=simple excess return vs QQQ", + "- residual proxy=simple excess return vs QQQ", "", "## Parameter stability (5 bps, full sample top 12)", format_frame(parameter_full.head(12)[[ diff --git a/tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py b/tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py index efe98b3..c6e0b29 100644 --- a/tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py +++ b/tests/test_cash_buffer_branch_daily_overlay.py @@ -1,5 +1,4 @@ import importlib.util -import json import sys from pathlib import Path diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py index a0fbafb..535bf25 100644 --- a/tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_suite.py @@ -1,5 +1,4 @@ import importlib.util -import json import sys from pathlib import Path diff --git a/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py index 301d651..81b261e 100644 --- a/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py +++ b/tests/test_growth_pullback_v1_3_spec_normalization.py @@ -1,5 +1,4 @@ import importlib.util -import json import sys from pathlib import Path diff --git a/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py index 008c845..096d746 100644 --- a/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py +++ b/tests/test_stock_alpha_v1_1_spec_lock.py @@ -1,5 +1,4 @@ import importlib.util -import json import sys from pathlib import Path From bc5f2db46919f371d63587de80ff834e5eec6ca3 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Pigbibi <20649888+Pigbibi@users.noreply.github.com> Date: Mon, 6 Apr 2026 02:40:42 +0800 Subject: [PATCH 3/3] update us equity strategies pin for research suites --- requirements.txt | 2 +- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/requirements.txt b/requirements.txt index 08bbd42..d5b17ce 100644 --- a/requirements.txt +++ b/requirements.txt @@ -1,7 +1,7 @@ flask gunicorn quant-platform-kit @ git+https://github.com/QuantStrategyLab/QuantPlatformKit.git@v0.6.0 -us-equity-strategies @ git+https://github.com/QuantStrategyLab/UsEquityStrategies.git@17fa78c22463070b88ba4a884c84e7a761835ccb +us-equity-strategies @ git+https://github.com/QuantStrategyLab/UsEquityStrategies.git@98d063564a53f6678ae12a7e941b58b958941554 pandas numpy requests